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North Carolina New Teacher Support Program Final Race to the Top Evaluation Report Authors: Kevin Bastian and Julie Marks Education Policy Initiative at Carolina, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill August 2015 Consortium for Educational Research and EvaluationNorth Carolina

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  • North Carolina New Teacher Support

    Program

    Final Race to the Top Evaluation Report

    Authors:

    Kevin Bastian and Julie Marks

    Education Policy Initiative at Carolina, The University of North

    Carolina at Chapel Hill

    August 2015

    Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina

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    Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina

    Table of Contents

    Executive Summary ........................................................................................................................ 3

    Introduction ..................................................................................................................................... 6

    Data and Analyses........................................................................................................................... 8

    Evaluation Sample ...................................................................................................................... 8

    Data Sources ............................................................................................................................... 9

    Analysis..................................................................................................................................... 10

    Findings......................................................................................................................................... 11

    Implementation ......................................................................................................................... 11

    To What Extent was the NC NTSP Implemented as Intended? ........................................... 11

    To What Extent did the NC NTSP Reach its Target Population? ........................................ 11

    Knowledge, Skills, and Attitudes.............................................................................................. 13

    How do Teachers Perceive the Impact of NC NTSP Components on their Knowledge,

    Skills, and Attitudes about Teaching? .................................................................................. 13

    How do Teachers Perceive the Impact of NC NTSP Components on Self-Efficacy and Job

    Satisfaction? .......................................................................................................................... 15

    Teacher Effectiveness ............................................................................................................... 16

    To What Extent does the NC NTSP Impact Teacher Effectiveness, as Measured by Teacher

    Value Added to Student Achievement? ................................................................................ 16

    To What Extent does the NC NTSP Impact Teacher Effectiveness, as Measured by the

    North Carolina Educator Evaluation System (NCEES) Teacher Evaluation Ratings? ........ 18

    Retention ................................................................................................................................... 20

    To What Extent does the NC NTSP Impact the Retention of Novice Teachers a) in the Same

    Schools or LEAs, and b) in the State? .................................................................................. 20

    Conclusions ................................................................................................................................... 22

    Summary of Findings ................................................................................................................ 22

    Implementation ..................................................................................................................... 22

    Teacher Knowledge, Skills, and Attitudes ............................................................................ 22

    Teacher Effectiveness ........................................................................................................... 22

    Teacher Retention ................................................................................................................. 22

    Limitations ................................................................................................................................ 23

    Recommendations and Next Steps............................................................................................ 23

    Appendix A. Evaluation Sample................................................................................................... 25

    Appendix B. Data Sources ............................................................................................................ 30

    Appendix C. To What Extent was the NC NTSP Implemented as it was Intended? ................... 42

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    Appendix D. To What Extent did the NC NTSP Reach its Target Population? ........................... 44

    Appendix E. How do Teachers Perceive the Impact of the NC NTSP Components on their

    Confidence, Knowledge, and Skills in Teaching? ........................................................................ 52

    Appendix F. How do Teachers Perceive the Impact of the NC NTSP on their Self-Efficacy and

    Job Satisfaction? ........................................................................................................................... 58

    Appendix G. To What Extent does the NC NTSP Impact Teacher Effectiveness as Measured by

    Teacher Value-Added to Student Achievement? .......................................................................... 61

    Appendix H. To What Extent does the NC NTSP Impact Teacher Effectiveness as Measured by

    the North Carolina Educator Evaluation System (NCEES) Teacher Evaluation Ratings? .......... 82

    Appendix I. To What Extent does the NC NTSP Impact the Retention of Novice Teachers to the

    Same School, LEA, and the State? ............................................................................................... 90

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    NORTH CAROLINA NEW TEACHER SUPPORT PROGRAM: FINAL RACE TO THE

    TOP EVALUATION REPORT

    Executive Summary

    Overview

    The North Carolina New Teacher Support Program (NC NTSP) was developed to provide

    induction supports to beginning teachers in North Carolina’s lowest-achieving schools and to

    meet two high-priority needs identified by the state’s Race to the Top (RttT) grant: (1) helping

    teachers to succeed during their initial years in teaching; and (2) retaining qualified teachers,

    particularly in high-need schools. The NC NTSP aims to improve the instructional knowledge,

    skills, attitudes, effectiveness, and retention of participating teachers through the provision of

    three support components: institutes (multi-day trainings); instructional coaching; and

    professional development. This report reflects findings from an independent external evaluation

    of the NC NTSP conducted by the Education Policy Initiative at Carolina as part of the statewide

    RttT evaluation undertaken by the Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North

    Carolina (CERE–NC).

    Data and Methods

    This final evaluation report draws upon the following data sources: (1) participation records from

    each of the components of the NC NTSP; (2) Perception of Success Inventory for Beginning

    Teachers (PSI-BT) survey responses; and (3) student demographics and test scores, classroom

    rosters, teacher evaluation ratings, EVAAS scores, certified salaries, school personnel, and

    school characteristics files provided by the North Carolina Department of Public Instruction.

    With these data sources, the Evaluation Team used a comparison group design to examine: levels

    of participation in NC NTSP components; NC NTSP teachers’ perceptions of the impact of

    program components on their confidence, knowledge, and skills for teaching; teachers’

    perceptions of their self-efficacy and job satisfaction; and the impact of the NC NTSP on teacher

    value-added, teacher evaluation ratings, and teacher retention.

    Summary of Findings

    This report reflects evaluation findings for the two full years of program implementation

    spanning the 2012-13 and 2013-14 school years. The study design and analysis were developed

    to address evaluation questions across four overarching areas: implementation; teacher

    knowledge, skills, and attitudes; teacher effectiveness; and teacher retention.

    Implementation

    To what extent was the NC NTSP implemented as intended, and to what extent did it reach its

    target population? Over the course of the four-year grant period, the NC NTSP was developed,

    staffed, and implemented from the ground up and has grown to scale, serving over 1,100 teachers

    in 114 schools as of the 2013-14 school year. There were substantial differences in program

    participation and implementation across the four NC NTSP regions. As the NC NTSP doubled in

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    size in 2013-14, there was a drop in attendance at institutes and professional development

    sessions and fewer instructional coach visits per teacher.

    Teacher Knowledge, Skills, and Attitudes

    How do teachers perceive the impact of NC NTSP components on their confidence, knowledge,

    skills, and attitudes toward teaching? There was a statistically significant difference in the

    proportion of NC NTSP evaluation sample respondents who felt the program components had a

    positive impact on their teaching, compared with similar services provided by their own school.

    This significant difference also existed between NC NTSP respondents’ perceptions of program

    utility and comparison sample perceptions of analogous school-provided services.

    Teacher Effectiveness

    To what extent does the NC NTSP impact teacher effectiveness as measured by teacher value-

    added to student achievement (EVAAS) and the North Carolina Educator Evaluation System

    (NCEES) teacher evaluation ratings? Overall, NC NTSP evaluation sample teachers had

    significantly higher EVAAS estimates than comparison sample teachers in fifth and eighth grade

    science. When assessing results by cohort, positive and significant EVAAS results were

    concentrated within NC NTSP Cohort 1 teachers, while NC NTSP Cohort 2 teachers were

    generally no more or less effective. Regarding teacher evaluation ratings, there were no

    significant differences between NC NTSP evaluation sample teachers and comparison teachers

    in overall models. By cohort, NC NTSP Cohort 1 teachers had significantly higher evaluation

    ratings on four standards in 2013-14.

    Teacher Retention

    To what extent does the NC NTSP impact the retention of novice teachers in the same schools or

    local education agencies (LEAs) and in the state? Overall, NC NTSP evaluation sample teachers

    were significantly more likely to return to teaching in North Carolina public schools, to the same

    LEA, and to the same low-performing school. NC NTSP teachers from both cohorts were

    significantly more likely than comparison sample teachers to return to the same low-performing

    school.

    Limitations

    Two primary limitations should be taken into account when interpreting the findings in this

    report: (1) the ability to isolate the impact of the NC NTSP is diminished due to the lack of a

    comparison group of teachers working in schools similar to those served by the NC NTSP in all

    ways other than participating in the program; and (2) given the time required for program

    development and scaling up, the length of the evaluation period is not adequate to assess the

    effectiveness of a consistent program model implemented as intended for first-, second-, and

    third-year teachers over the course of three years.

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    Recommendations and Next Steps

    There are three overarching recommendations for the NC NTSP after the close of the RttT grant:

    1. The impacts of the NC NTSP on teacher value-added to student achievement and teacher retention support a recommendation to sustain the program beyond the end of the RttT grant;

    2. Findings from this evaluation should be used to explore the disparities in program implementation by region, and moving forward, implementation fidelity should be formally

    monitored; and

    3. Strategies should be explored to counter the decline in program participation and effectiveness seen in 2013-14, such as requiring participating schools and Local Education

    Agencies (districts) to enforce mandatory participant attendance, and/or concentrating

    resources toward instructional coaching (the most intensive program component).

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    Introduction

    North Carolina’s $400 million, four-year Race to the Top (RttT) grant was built upon a

    comprehensive plan to strengthen the education workforce, with the goal of having a great

    teacher in every classroom and a great principal leading every school. With this end in mind, the

    North Carolina Department of Public Instruction (NCDPI) identified the state’s highest-priority

    needs, including the recruitment and preparation, equitable distribution, professional

    development, and induction and retention of high-quality teachers.1

    Data from the 2010 Teacher Working Conditions Survey illustrated the need for induction

    supports prior to RttT, showing that while nearly all new teachers (93%) are assigned a mentor,

    almost half (47%) do not have time during the day to meet with their mentors, and one in eight

    indicate that they never received any additional support as new teachers.1,2

    These supports are

    particularly needed in high-need schools, where novice teachers are concentrated and where the

    teacher turnover rate is often greatest.

    To help teachers succeed during their early-career years and persist in the state’s highest-need

    schools, NCDPI partnered with the UNC General Administration (UNC-GA) to develop and

    implement the North Carolina New Teacher Support Program (NC NTSP). The NC NTSP is a

    comprehensive induction program for early-career teachers designed to increase competency in

    goal-setting, backwards planning and assessment, data-driven decision-making, classroom

    management, and strategies for success in the school and community. The goal of the NC NTSP

    is to help participating novice teachers acquire the knowledge and skills necessary to increase the

    quality of their instruction, raise student achievement, and persist in teaching.

    The NC NTSP drew from the successful induction model utilized by Teach For America to

    create a three part program comprised of 1) institutes (multi-day training sessions); 2) intensive

    face-to-face and virtual instructional coaching; and 3) professional development sessions held

    throughout the academic year. Implementation of these beginning teacher supports is organized

    through a central NC NTSP office and regional anchor sites located at four UNC system

    institutions—East Carolina University (ECU), the UNC Center for School Leadership

    Development (UNC-CSLD), UNC Charlotte (UNCC), and UNCG Greensboro (UNCG).

    As part of the statewide evaluation of RttT conducted by the Consortium for Education Research

    and Evaluation–North Carolina (CERE–NC),3 the Education Policy Initiative at Carolina (EPIC)

    was tasked with conducting an independent external evaluation of the NC NTSP from the 2011-

    12 to the 2013-14 school years. Over this time period, EPIC has collected and analyzed data on

    program implementation and participation, short-term and intermediate outcomes, and

    summative impact findings to address the following evaluation questions:

    1 NC RttT Proposal, 2010

    2 Teacher Working Conditions Survey, 2010

    3 The Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina (http://cerenc.org) is a partnership of:

    the SERVE Center, University of North Carolina at Greensboro; the Education Policy Initiative at Carolina,

    University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; and the Friday Institute for Educational Innovation, North Carolina

    State University.

    http://cerenc.org/

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    Implementation

    1. To what extent was the NC NTSP implemented as it was intended?

    2. To what extent did the NC NTSP reach its target population?

    Teacher Knowledge, Skills, and Attitudes

    3. How do teachers perceive the impact of NC NTSP components on their confidence, knowledge, and skills in teaching?

    4. How do teachers perceive the impact of NC NTSP components on their self-efficacy and job satisfaction?

    Teacher Effectiveness

    5. To what extent does the NC NTSP impact teacher effectiveness as measured by teacher value-added to student achievement?

    6. To what extent does the NC NTSP impact teacher effectiveness as measured by the North Carolina Educator Evaluation System (NCEES) teacher evaluation ratings?

    Teacher Retention

    7. To what extent does the NC NTSP impact the retention of novice teachers in the same schools or LEAs and in the state?

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    Data and Analyses

    Evaluation Sample

    For the 2012-13 academic year, the inclusion criteria for the NC NTSP evaluation sample was all

    first- and second-year teachers who began receiving NC NTSP services by December 2012 and

    who worked in schools that were eligible for and agreed to participate in the NC NTSP.

    The exclusion criteria for the 2012-13 NC NTSP evaluation sample were as follows:

    Teachers who began receiving NC NTSP supports in January 2013 or later;

    Novice teachers receiving NC NTSP supports in non-RttT schools;

    The small number of third-year teachers served by the program in 2012-13; and

    Teach for America (TFA) corps members.

    For the 2013-14 academic year, the Evaluation Team defined the NC NTSP evaluation sample as

    all first-, second-, and third-year teachers who began receiving NC NTSP supports by December

    2013 and who worked in schools that were eligible for and agreed to participate in the NC NTSP.

    While this sample includes third-year teachers who were fully served by the program in 2013-14,

    it again excludes teachers who began receiving NC NTSP supports in January 2014 or later,

    novice teachers who received NC NTSP supports in non-RttT schools, and TFA corps members.

    In the 2012-13 academic year, the NC NTSP evaluation sample consisted of 344 teachers

    working in 59 schools and 16 LEAs, with a large majority (72%) of this treatment sample being

    first-year teachers. In the 2013-14 academic year, the NC NTSP evaluation sample consisted of

    808 teachers working in 91 schools and 25 LEAs. Approximately 50% of the treatment sample

    were first-year teachers, 36% were second-year teachers, and 15% were in their third year of

    teaching.

    To best isolate the impact of the NC NTSP, the Evaluation Team used a comparison group

    design to compare findings between NC NTSP program participants and comparison teachers

    who did not receive the intervention. An optimal comparison group would be comprised of

    teachers who were identical to the evaluation sample in every way other than participating in the

    NC NTSP; however, identifying such a group poses a particular challenge for evaluations of

    programs that are universally offered within the eligible target population, leaving two primary

    options for comparison groups: (1) those who were not eligible for the program but are thought

    to be similar due to characteristics that place them narrowly outside the program criteria, and (2)

    those who are eligible for the program but did not participate.

    To assess the impact of the NC NTSP, the Evaluation Team created two comparison groups. The

    group included in the main body of this final evaluation report meets the criteria of Option One

    above—schools that were in the bottom decile of school performance in 2011-12 but that were

    not eligible for and did not receive NC NTSP services. The key limitation of this sample is that it

    is comprised of schools that did not receive any RttT services, meaning comparisons to this

    group do not allow for isolation of the impact of the NC NTSP from other RttT programs.

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    In the 2012-13 school year, this comparison group (labeled Non-RttT Comparison throughout the

    report) consisted of all of the first- and second-year teachers who began working in these schools

    by December 2012. In the 2013-14 school year, this comparison group consisted of all of the

    first-, second-, and third-year teachers who began working in these schools by December 2013.4

    Overall, the Non-RttT Comparison evaluation sample included 1,033 teachers working in 147

    schools and 48 LEAs in the 2012-13 school year and 1,507 teachers working in 149 schools and

    48 LEAs in the 2013-14 school year.

    Table 1 presents school characteristics for the NC NTSP evaluation sample and the Non-RttT

    Comparison evaluation sample. Across 2012-13 and 2013-14, NC NTSP teachers worked in

    schools with more students qualifying for subsidized school meals, more racial and ethnic

    minority students, a higher short-term suspension rate, and a lower school performance

    composite than did comparison teachers. In 2012-13, NC NTSP schools also had a significantly

    higher percentage of novice teachers. Please see Appendix A for more details on the NC NTSP

    evaluation sample, both comparison samples,5 and additional characteristics of the treatment and

    comparison sample schools.

    Table 1. School Characteristics for the NC NTSP and Non-RttT Comparison Group

    Characteristic

    2012-13 School Year 2013-14 School Year

    NC NTSP

    Non-RttT

    Comparison NC NTSP

    Non-RttT

    Comparison

    Free and Reduced-Price

    Lunch Percentage 93.58 85.93

    ** 91.78 87.40**

    Racial/Ethnic

    Minority Percentage 90.87 78.37

    ** 89.63 78.67**

    Short-Term Suspension Rate

    (Per 100 students) 48.86 33.52

    ** 38.14 25.50**

    Performance Composite 20.04 23.25** 31.07 34.29

    **

    Novice Teacher Percentage 32.99 27.19** 32.93 30.29

    Note: +, *, and ** indicate statistically significant differences at the 0.10, 0.05, and 0.01 levels, respectively.

    Data Sources

    The Evaluation Team collected the data presented in this final evaluation report from the UNC-

    GA implementation team, the NC NTSP evaluation sample teachers and comparison sample

    teachers, and administrative datasets supplied by NCDPI. Specifically, this final evaluation

    report draws upon the following data sources: (1) participation records from each of the

    components of the NC NTSP (institutes, instructional coaching, and professional development);

    (2) the Perception of Success Inventory for Beginning Teachers (PSI-BT) survey responses of

    NC NTSP evaluation sample teachers and Non-RttT Comparison sample teachers; and (3)

    student test scores, student demographics, classroom rosters, teacher evaluation ratings, EVAAS

    scores, certified salaries, school personnel, and school characteristics files provided by NCDPI.

    4 Like the NC NTSP evaluation sample, the Non-RttT Comparison evaluation sample excludes TFA corps members.

    5 The second sample is identified as the NC NTSP Eligible Comparison sample.

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    With these data sources, the Evaluation Team examined: levels of participation in NC NTSP

    components; NC NTSP teachers’ perceptions of the impact of program components on their

    confidence in, knowledge of, and skills for teaching; their self-efficacy and job satisfaction; and

    the impact of the NC NTSP on teacher value-added measures, teacher evaluation ratings, and

    teacher retention. Please see Appendix B for more details on program documents provided by the

    UNC-GA implementation team and for PSI-BT survey items, response rates, and respondent

    characteristics.

    Analysis

    This summative report utilizes data collected over a two-year period from two cohorts and across

    four regional sites. While the NC NTSP was implemented using a structured program model

    across regions and over time, natural variation is to be expected based upon the different needs

    and contextual factors within each region. Furthermore, due to the annual scaling-up of the

    program, different cohorts were exposed to different levels of program intensity. To account for

    these differences, the Evaluation Team will present impact results for teacher value-added

    measures, teacher evaluation ratings, and teacher retention in the following groupings:

    Overall: To determine the overall impact of the NC NTSP, the Evaluation Team will present results for the NC NTSP and Non-RttT Comparison evaluation sample teachers using pooled

    data from the 2012-13 and 2013-14 school-years.

    By Region: To examine any regional differences in outcomes, the Evaluation Team will present results, separately, for each of the four regions served by the anchor institutions at

    East Carolina University (ECU), the University of North Carolina Center for School

    Leadership Development (UNC-CSLD), the University of North Carolina at Charlotte

    (UNCC), and the University of North Carolina at Greensboro (UNCG). These results use

    pooled data from 2012-13 and 2013-14.

    By Cohort: To examine the impact of the NC NTSP based on when a teacher entered the program, the Evaluation Team will present results, separately, for teachers who entered the

    program in 2012-13 (Cohort 1) and those who entered the program in 2013-14 (Cohort 2).

    Appendices G through I show value-added, evaluation rating, and retention results in reference

    to a second comparison group (the NC NTSP Eligible Comparison sample), display results for

    first-year teachers only, and include results from analyses with a more comprehensive set of NC

    NTSP and comparison sample teachers.

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    Findings

    Implementation

    To What Extent was the NC NTSP Implemented as Intended?

    After the receipt of RttT grant funds, the NC NTSP was developed from the ground up in the

    2010-11 school year. As such, the model was scaled up over time as the program increased

    capacity and there was increased buy-in from Local Education Agencies (LEAs)6 and schools

    across the state.

    As shown in Table 2, there was a 30-fold increase in the number of teachers served by the NC

    NTSP over the course of the grant period. By 2013-14, the NC NTSP provided induction

    services to 1,108 teachers in 114 schools and 27 LEAs. Overall, the NC NTSP provided

    induction services to novice teachers in 73 RttT schools in 2012-13 and 91 RttT schools in 2013-

    14.7 By the end of the RttT funding period, this coverage includes over three-quarters of the

    lowest-achieving schools the program was tasked to serve.

    Please see Appendix C for more details on the implementation of the NC NTSP.

    Table 2. NC NTSP Program Implementation

    Year Teachers Served Schools Served LEAs Served

    2010-11* N/A N/A N/A

    2011-12 35 13 5

    2012-13 542 77 19

    2013-14 1108 114 27

    * Note: The 2010-11 school year was used for program development, and focused on program

    planning, staffing, identification of anchor institutes, and school recruitment.

    To What Extent did the NC NTSP Reach its Target Population?

    The NC NTSP is comprised of three components: institutes (multi-day trainings); instructional

    coaching; and professional development. In 2012-13, institutes were held at one centralized

    location at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; in 2013-14, there were regional

    institutes held prior to the start of the school year, followed by a centralized institute in

    September. All instructional coaching interactions and professional development opportunities

    were organized and implemented at the regional level.

    6 LEA is North Carolina’s term for traditional school districts and charter schools.

    7 There were a small number of schools served by the NC NTSP that were not in the RttT sample. Please see

    Appendix C for more details.

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    As shown in Table 3, the attendance and reach for all three NC NTSP components notably

    declined between the 2012-13 and 2013-14 school years. In addition, there was notable

    variability across regions in program attendance and reach.

    In the 2012-13 school year, nearly 55% of all NC NTSP evaluation sample participants attended

    an institute. There was considerable variation between regions, however, with almost 75% of

    teachers from the ECU region attending an institute, compared with only 40% of teachers in the

    UNCG region. In 2013-14, institute attendance decreased by over 50% across all regions and fell

    to 21% overall.

    Table 3. NC NTSP Evaluation Sample Participation

    NC NTSP

    Overall

    ECU

    Region

    UNC-CSLD

    Region

    UNCC

    Region

    UNCG

    Region

    NC NTSP Institute

    Attended a

    2012-13 Institute 54.94% 74.24% 66.25% 46.67% 39.74%

    Attended a

    2013-14 Institute 20.54% 27.51% 18.99% 16.48% 19.50%

    NC NTSP Instructional Coaching

    Average Number of

    In-Person Coaching

    Visits Per Month in

    2012-13

    3.73 6.02 2.10 3.39 4.01

    Average Number of

    In-Person Coaching

    Visits Per Month in

    2013-14

    2.39 3.82 1.65 2.56 1.77

    NC NTSP Professional Development

    Average Number of

    PD Sessions Attended

    in 2012-13

    2.22 2.41 3.59 1.17 2.26

    Average Number of

    PD Sessions Attended

    in 2013-14

    0.76 1.03 1.22 0.14 0.52

    The middle panel of Table 3 reflects a decrease in the frequency of instructional coaching visits

    between the 2012-13 and 2013-14 school years and shows substantial variation in the average

    number of in-person coaching visits between regions. Program-wide, teachers averaged 1.3

    fewer in-person instructional coaching visits per month in 2013-14.8 Coaching visits declined

    across all regions, with the largest decreases in the UNCG and ECU regions. In the 2012-13 and

    2013-14 school years, the ECU region had the highest average number of instructional coaching

    visits, while the UNC-CSLD had the lowest average number of instructional coaching visits.

    8 The drop in the average number of in-person coaching visits was not due to the NC NTSP serving third-year

    teachers in 2013-14 (a teacher group that averaged fewer coaching visits overall); rather, the average number of in-

    person instructional coaching visits declined for first- and second-year teachers.

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    To further illustrate the variation in program intensity across regions, Figure 1 displays the

    average number of total contact hours (in-person and virtual) between instructional coaches and

    NC NTSP evaluation sample teachers in the 2013-14 school-year.9 Overall, teachers in the ECU

    and UNCC regions averaged 41 and 34 contact hours, respectively, while teachers in the UNC-

    CSLD and UNCG regions averaged approximately 10 contact hours.

    Finally, the bottom panel of Table 3 (above) reports the average number of NC NTSP

    professional development sessions participants attended. Overall, professional development

    attendance was low, with a marked decline in the 2013-14 school year. In 2012-13, NC NTSP

    teachers averaged 2.2 professional development sessions (out of six), with a high of 3.59

    sessions in the UNC-CSLD region.10

    In 2013-14, NC NTSP teachers averaged 0.76 professional

    development sessions (out of six), with a high of 1.22 in the UNC-CSLD region and a low of

    0.14 in the UNCC region. Please see Appendix D for more detailed information on participation

    in NC NTSP components.

    Figure 1. Average Total Contact Hours with Instructional Coaches (2013-14)

    Knowledge, Skills, and Attitudes

    How do Teachers Perceive the Impact of NC NTSP Components on their Knowledge, Skills, and

    Attitudes about Teaching?

    A survey assessing teachers’ perceptions of their knowledge, skills, and attitudes was

    administered to the NC NTSP evaluation sample and the Non-RttT Comparison evaluation

    sample teachers. The Evaluation Team asked questions to reflect items specific to NC NTSP

    participants alone (e.g., related to institutes or instructional coaching), as well as items that

    allowed NC NTSP and comparison sample teachers to respond (e.g., concerning analogous

    support services provided by their schools or LEAs). Respondents were asked the extent to

    which they agreed that each NC NTSP component (or analogous school-/LEA-provided

    9 The UNC-GA program implementers only tracked and reported contact hours for the 2013-14 school year.

    10 In 2012-13, several LEAs and schools in the UNC-CSLD region required their NC NTSP teachers to attend the

    NC NTSP professional development sessions.

    41.16

    11.35

    33.61

    10.20

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    ECU Region UNC-CSLD Region UNCC Region UNCG Region

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    component) had been helpful in developing their confidence, knowledge, and skills in teaching.

    Given the potential for response bias, due in part to lower than desirable response rates (see

    Appendix B), survey results should be interpreted with caution.

    The top panel of Table 4 presents the summative survey item for NC NTSP institutes. In 2012-13

    and 2013-14, approximately 80% of NC NTSP survey respondents agreed or strongly agreed that

    the NC NTSP institute was helpful in developing their confidence, knowledge, and skills in

    teaching. Within years, however, there was considerable variation in responses by region,

    ranging from 59% to 94% in 2012-13 and from 65% to 100% in 2013-14.

    The middle panels of Table 4 display responses to two items related to NC NTSP instructional

    coaching. In both the 2012-13 and 2013-14 school years, 77% of the NC NTSP evaluation

    sample respondents agreed or strongly agreed that the program’s instructional coaching was

    helpful in developing their confidence, knowledge, and skills in teaching. In 2012-13 and 2013-

    14, approximately 60% of NC NTSP evaluation sample respondents attributed “quite a bit” or a

    “great deal” of their teaching success to help from their NC NTSP instructional coaches.

    Table 4. NC NTSP Summative Survey Items

    NC NTSP

    Overall

    ECU

    Region

    UNC-CSLD

    Region

    UNCC

    Region

    UNCG

    Region

    NC NTSP Institute was helpful in developing my confidence, knowledge, and skills in teaching

    Percentage Agree or

    Strongly Agree in 2012-13 80.00 81.58 59.09 93.93 76.47

    Percentage Agree or

    Strongly Agree in 2013-14 82.48 83.72 64.70 75.00 100.00

    NC NTSP Instructional Coaching was helpful in developing my confidence, knowledge, and skills in

    teaching

    Percentage Agree or

    Strongly Agree in 2012-13 77.58 70.21 72.72 75.00 94.60

    Percentage Agree or

    Strongly Agree in 2013-14 77.05 81.25 66.21 78.16 72.12

    Of the success you have had as a beginning teacher, what amount would you attribute to help from

    your NC NTSP Instructional Coach

    Percentage Responding

    Quite a Bit or a Great Deal

    in 2012-13

    62.43 53.19 45.45 66.67 83.78

    Percentage Responding

    Quite a Bit or a Great Deal

    in 2013-14

    58.20 65.98 52.71 52.88 55.21

    NC NTSP Professional Development was helpful in developing my confidence, knowledge, and skills

    in teaching

    Percentage Agree or

    Strongly Agree in 2012-13 87.12 87.18 80.77 87.50 91.43

  • NC NTSP: Final RttT Evaluation Report

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    Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 15

    As a basis of comparison, Figure 2 displays the responses of NC NTSP evaluation sample

    teachers to comparable items about their school-provided mentors. While 77% of NC NTSP

    respondents indicated that their NC NTSP instructional coaches were helpful in developing their

    confidence, knowledge, and skills in teaching, only 60% of NC NTSP respondents answered

    similarly about their school-provided mentors. Likewise, while approximately 60% of NC NTSP

    respondents attributed “quite a bit” or a “great deal” of their teaching success to their NC NTSP

    instructional coaches, less than half of the NC NTSP respondents answered similarly for their

    school-provided mentors. Both of these differences were statistically significant.

    The last panel of Table 4 (above) presents the summative survey item for NC NTSP professional

    development. In 2012-13, 87% of NC NTSP evaluation sample respondents agreed or strongly

    agreed that the program’s professional development sessions were helpful in developing their

    confidence, knowledge, and skills in teaching.11

    Please see Appendix E for more details on NC NTSP teachers’ perceptions of program utility.

    Figure 2. Teacher Perceptions of NC NTSP Quality Relative to School-Provided Support

    How do Teachers Perceive the Impact of NC NTSP Components on Self-Efficacy and Job

    Satisfaction?

    The Evaluation Team assessed teachers’ perceptions of self-efficacy and job satisfaction with

    five previously-validated items on the PSI-BT. As shown in Table 5 (following page), in both

    2012-13 and 2013-14, the percentages of NC NTSP evaluation sample respondents who agreed

    or strongly agreed with the self-efficacy and job satisfaction items were higher than the

    percentages of Non-RttT Comparison evaluation sample respondents who did so. In 2012-13, NC

    11

    Due to an error in the response categories recorded for the 2013-14 summative professional development

    question, the Evaluation Team is unable to present 2013-14 results.

    49.09

    60.10

    45.92

    60.38

    58.10

    77.05

    62.43

    77.58

    0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

    Attributes "Quite a Bit" or "A Great Deal" of

    Success to Coach/Mentor

    Agrees/Strongly Agrees that Coach/Mentor Helpful

    in Developing Confidence, Knowledge, and Skills in

    Teaching

    NC NTSP-Provided 2012-13 NC NTSP-Provided 2013-14

    School-Provided 2012-13 School-Provided 2013-14

  • NC NTSP: Final RttT Evaluation Report

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    Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 16

    NTSP evaluation sample respondents registered significantly higher levels of agreement (84% to

    78%) with the self-efficacy item, “I feel inspired to instruct students to the best of my ability.” In

    2013-14, NC NTSP evaluation sample survey respondents rated their self-efficacy and job

    satisfaction significantly higher than did comparison sample respondents on all five items. These

    differences should be interpreted carefully, however, due to the low response rate for Non-RttT

    Comparison teachers and the potential for bias in the sample of teachers who responded.

    See Appendix B for more details on these response rates and differences between NC NTSP

    teachers who did and did not respond to the PSI-BT, and see Appendix F for more details on the

    NC NTSP and Non-RttT Comparison evaluation sample responses to the self-efficacy and job

    satisfaction items.

    Table 5. Self-Efficacy and Job Satisfaction Survey Items

    Survey Items

    Percentage Agree or Strongly Agree

    NC NTSP

    2012-13

    Comparison

    2012-13

    NC NTSP

    2013-14

    Comparison

    2013-14

    I am able to successfully

    teach students with a

    variety of ability levels

    78.92% 72.64% 84.07% 74.16%

    I am able to motivate all

    students 60.24% 54.07% 68.87% 54.50%

    I feel inspired to instruct

    students to the

    best of my ability

    84.15%

    77.92% 81.52% 75.14%

    In general, I am satisfied

    with my current job 59.15% 54.55% 56.76% 47.75%

    I consider teaching to be my

    ideal career 70.73% 67.20% 68.07% 60.68%

    Teacher Effectiveness

    To What Extent does the NC NTSP Impact Teacher Effectiveness, as Measured by Teacher Value

    Added to Student Achievement?

    To assess the contributions of NC NTSP teachers to student achievement, the Evaluation Team

    analyzed EVAAS teacher effectiveness estimates. The Evaluation Team combined EVAAS data

    from elementary and middle grades to run separate models for mathematics, reading, and science

    (End-of-Grade [EOG] science exams in grades five and eight), and combined EVAAS data from

    End-of-Course (EOC) exams (Biology, English II, and Math I) to run a single EOC model. For

    these models, the Evaluation Team made teacher EVAAS estimates the outcome variable and

    regressed this measure of value added to student achievement on a set of school characteristics

    and teacher experience. The Evaluation Team chose to control for these variables due to the

    significant differences in school characteristics between NC NTSP and comparison sample

    schools, and because these contextual variables are not accounted for in EVAAS models. Results

    from these models express the adjusted-average differences in student achievement—in normal

  • NC NTSP: Final RttT Evaluation Report

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    Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 17

    curve equivalency units—between students taught by NC NTSP teachers and students taught by

    Non-RttT Comparison sample teachers.

    The top portion of Table 6 displays overall EVAAS results for NC NTSP evaluation sample

    teachers in comparison to Non-RttT Comparison evaluation sample teachers. Over the 2012-13

    and 2013-14 school years, students taught by NC NTSP evaluation sample teachers in fifth and

    eighth grade science made significantly larger achievement gains than did students taught by

    Non-RttT Comparison evaluation sample teachers. There were no significant differences for

    EOG mathematics, EOG reading, and all EOC exams.

    The bottom portion of Table 6 illustrates the heterogeneity of value-added results across regions.

    Students taught by NC NTSP evaluation sample teachers in the ECU region made significantly

    larger achievement gains in mathematics, reading, and fifth and eighth grade science than did

    students taught by Non-RttT Comparison evaluation sample teachers. Conversely, students

    taught by NC NTSP evaluation sample teachers in the ECU region made significantly smaller

    achievement gains on EOC exams. NC NTSP evaluation sample teachers in the UNCC region

    were significantly more effective in elementary and middle grades mathematics, and NC NTSP

    evaluation sample teachers in the UNCG region were significantly more effective in courses with

    EOC exams.

    Table 6. NC NTSP Overall and Regional EVAAS Results (2012-13 and 2013-14)

    Elementary

    and Middle

    Grades

    Mathematics

    Elementary

    and Middle

    Grades

    Reading

    5th

    and 8th

    Grade

    Science

    EOC

    Exams

    NC

    NT

    SP

    vs.

    Non

    -

    Rtt

    T C

    om

    pari

    son

    Gro

    up (

    2012-1

    3 a

    nd

    2013-1

    4)

    NC NTSP Overall 0.828 0.259 1.011+ 0.083

    ECU Region 2.219**

    1.116**

    2.772*

    -0.652*

    UNC-CSLD Region -0.007 -0.161 1.052 -0.727

    UNCC Region 1.915+ 0.236 0.234 -0.370

    UNCG Region -1.033 -0.336 -0.051 1.214*

    Note: +, *, and ** indicate statistically significant differences at the 0.10, 0.05, and 0.01 levels, respectively.

  • NC NTSP: Final RttT Evaluation Report

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    Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 18

    Table 7 presents considerable variability in teacher value added to student achievement by NC

    NTSP cohort. NC NTSP Cohort 1 teachers—first served by the program in 2012-13—were

    significantly more effective than Non-RttT Comparison evaluation sample teachers in elementary

    and middle grades mathematics and reading in 2012-13 and when pooling data for two years

    (2012-13 and 2013-14). Teachers from both NC NTSP cohorts were more effective in fifth and

    eighth grade science in 2013-14. There were no other significant differences for NC NTSP

    Cohort 2 teachers.

    Table 7. NC NTSP EVAAS Results by Cohort

    Elementary and Middle Grades

    Math

    Elementary and Middle Grades

    Reading

    Cohort 2012-13 2013-14

    2012-13

    2013-14 2012-13 2013-14

    2012-13

    2013-14

    NC NTSP

    Cohort 1 3.054

    ** 0.639 1.483+

    1.670** 0.307 0.759

    *

    NC NTSP

    Cohort 2 --- -0.189 -0.011 --- -0.183 -0.273

    5th

    and 8th

    Grade Science EOC Exams

    NC NTSP

    Cohort 1 0.971 1.208

    + 1.127 0.693 -0.088 0.029

    NC NTSP

    Cohort 2 --- 1.261

    + 0.862 --- -0.122 0.202

    Note: +, *, and ** indicate statistically significant differences at the 0.10, 0.05, and 0.01 levels, respectively.

    Please see Appendix G for: (1) more details on the value-added methodology; (2) a complete set

    of EVAAS results, including both comparison groups and models focusing on first-year teachers

    only; (3) an alternative set of value-added models with student-level data; and (4) value-added

    results with a more comprehensive set of NC NTSP and comparison sample teachers.

    To What Extent does the NC NTSP Impact Teacher Effectiveness, as Measured by the North

    Carolina Educator Evaluation System (NCEES) Teacher Evaluation Ratings?

    Since many important aspects of teaching will not be fully captured by measures of teachers’

    value added to student achievement, the Evaluation Team analyzed teachers’ evaluation ratings

    on the five North Carolina Professional Teaching Standards (NCPTS), all of which are directly

    assessed by school administrators. For these analyses, the Evaluation Team estimated models for

    which the outcome variable was a teacher’s evaluation rating on a one-to-five scale (where one

    was Not Demonstrated and five was Distinguished) and controlled for teacher experience and

    school characteristics. Results from these models estimate the odds of NC NTSP evaluation

    sample teachers receiving higher evaluation ratings than their Non-RttT Comparison evaluation

    sample peers. Statistically significant results greater than one indicate higher evaluation ratings;

    statistically significant results less than one indicate lower evaluation ratings.

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    Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 19

    Over the 2012-13 and 2013-14 school years, the top panel of Table 8 shows no significant

    evaluation rating differences between NC NTSP evaluation sample teachers and Non-RttT

    Comparison evaluation sample teachers. When analyzing the data by region, the bottom panel of

    Table 8 shows that NC NTSP teachers in the UNCC region had significantly higher evaluation

    ratings on Leadership (Standard 1) and Reflecting on Practice (Standard 5).

    Table 8. Overall and Regional NC NTSP Evaluation Rating Results (2012-13 and 2013-14)

    Standard

    1

    Standard

    2

    Standard

    3

    Standard

    4

    Standard

    5

    NC

    NT

    SP

    vs

    Non

    -Rtt

    T

    Com

    pari

    son

    (2012-1

    3 a

    nd

    2013

    -14)

    NC NTSP Overall 1.072 0.960 0.993 0.975 0.996

    ECU Region 0.878 0.921 0.666 0.655 0.941

    UNC-CSLD Region 0.834 0.719 0.906 0.896 0.886

    UNCC Region 1.822+ 1.601 1.613 1.588 1.735

    +

    UNCG Region 0.928 0.771 0.931 0.913 0.675

    Note: +, *, and ** indicate statistically significant differences at the 0.10, 0.05, and 0.01 levels, respectively.

    To determine whether evaluation ratings differ by NC NTSP cohort, Table 9 presents separate

    evaluation rating results for Cohorts 1 and 2. For NC NTSP Cohort 1, there were no significant

    differences in 2012-13; however, in their second year in the program (2013-14), NC NTSP

    Cohort 1 teachers had significantly higher evaluation ratings on Leadership (Standard 1),

    Content Knowledge (Standard 3), Facilitating Student Learning (Standard 4), and Reflecting on

    Practice (Standard 5). In contrast, NC NTSP Cohort 2 teachers had significantly lower evaluation

    ratings for Classroom Environment (Standard 2) in 2013-14 and when pooling data for two years

    (2012-13 and 2013-14).

    Please see Appendix H for: (1) more details on the evaluation rating models; (2) a complete set

    of evaluation rating results, including both comparison groups and models focusing on first-year

    teachers only; and (3) evaluation rating results with a more comprehensive set of NC NTSP and

    comparison sample teachers.

    Table 9. NC NTSP Evaluation Rating Results by Cohort

    Cohort

    Standard

    1

    Standard

    2

    Standard

    3

    Standard

    4

    Standard

    5

    2012-13 School Year

    NC NTSP Cohort 1 1.082 1.128 0.997 0.842 0.980

    NC NTSP Cohort 2 --- --- --- --- ---

    2013-14 School Year

    NC NTSP Cohort 1 1.722* 1.388 1.709

    + 1.844

    * 1.572

    +

    NC NTSP Cohort 2 0.845 0.700+ 0.748 0.811 0.801

    2012-13 and 2013-14 School Years

    NC NTSP Cohort 1 1.376 1.267 1.323 1.203 1.257

    NC NTSP Cohort 2 0.779 0.658* 0.694 0.752 0.730

    Note: +, *, and ** indicate statistically significant differences at the 0.10, 0.05, and 0.01 levels, respectively.

  • NC NTSP: Final RttT Evaluation Report

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    Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 20

    Retention

    To What Extent does the NC NTSP Impact the Retention of Novice Teachers a) in the Same

    Schools or LEAs, and b) in the State?

    To determine whether NC NTSP evaluation sample teachers were more likely to remain in

    teaching than their Non-RttT Comparison evaluation sample peers, the Evaluation Team

    estimated models for three types of retention: (1) returning to any North Carolina public school

    in the following school year (2013-14 and 2014-15); (2) returning to the same LEA in the

    following school year; and (3) returning to the same low-performing school in the following

    school year. For these analyses, the outcome variable was a “1” if the teacher returned in the

    following school year and a “0” if the teacher did not return. In these models, the Evaluation

    Team controlled for teacher experience and school characteristics and, post-estimation,

    converted the results to predicted retention probabilities to facilitate easier interpretation of the

    results.

    Overall, when pooling data from the 2012-13 and 2013-14 school years, NC NTSP evaluation

    sample teachers were significantly more likely to return to a North Carolina public school and to

    their same LEA than were Non-RttT Comparison evaluation sample teachers. However, given

    the need to keep teachers in high-need environments, the most important retention results are for

    teachers returning to the same low-performing school. As shown in Figure 3 (following page),

    the program-wide predicted probability of school-level retention was 73%—significantly higher

    than for the Non-RttT Comparison evaluation sample (66%). These school-level predicted

    probabilities of retention were above 70% in all four NC NTSP regions and were significantly

    higher than those for Non-RttT Comparison evaluation sample teachers in the ECU, UNCC, and

    UNCG regions.

    Examining school-level retention by cohort, Figure 4 (following page) indicates that NC NTSP

    Cohort 1 teachers had significantly higher retention rates than did Non-RttT Comparison

    evaluation sample teachers. When school-level retention was calculated for Cohort 2 in the 2014-

    15 school year, results demonstrated that they also had significantly higher retention rates than

    did Non-RttT Comparison evaluation sample teachers.

    Please see Appendix I for: (1) more details on the retention models; (2) a complete set of

    retention results, including both comparison groups and models focusing on first-year teachers

    only; and (3) retention results with a more comprehensive set of NC NTSP and comparison

    sample teachers.

  • NC NTSP: Final RttT Evaluation Report

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    Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 21

    Figure 3. NC NTSP School-Level Retention (2013-14 and 2014-15)

    Note: +, *, and ** indicate statistically significant differences at the 0.10, 0.05, and 0.01 levels, respectively.

    Figure 4. NC NTSP School-Level Retention Results by Cohort

    Note: +, *, and ** indicate statistically significant differences at the 0.10, 0.05, and 0.01 levels, respectively.

    NC NTSP Cohort 2 does not have a bar for returning in 2013-14 because they entered the program in 2013-14.

    73.04** 77.26**

    70.22 72.66+ 72.35+

    65.78

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    NC NTSP

    Overall

    ECU Region UNC-CSLD

    Region

    UNCC Region UNCG Region Non-RttT

    Comparison

    Pre

    dic

    ted

    Pro

    ba

    bil

    ity

    of

    Ret

    urn

    ing

    74.11+ 75.76** 74.18** 71.12* 71.67*

    67.14 64.92 65.78

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    Returns in 2013-14 Returns in 2014-15 Overall: 2013-14 & 2014-15

    Pre

    dic

    ted

    Pro

    ba

    bil

    ity

    of

    Ret

    urn

    ing

    NC NTSP Cohort 1 NC NTSP Cohort 2 Non-RttT Comparison

  • NC NTSP: Final RttT Evaluation Report

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    Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 22

    Conclusions

    Summary of Findings

    Implementation

    Over the course of the four-year grant period, the NC NTSP was developed, staffed, and

    implemented from the ground up and has grown to scale, serving over 1,100 teachers in 114

    schools as of the 2013-14 school year. There were substantial differences in program

    participation and implementation across the four NC NTSP regions. Furthermore, as the NC

    NTSP doubled in size in 2013-14, there was a drop in attendance at institutes and professional

    development sessions, as well as fewer instructional coach visits per teacher.

    Teacher Knowledge, Skills, and Attitudes

    A large majority of NC NTSP evaluation sample teachers who responded to the PSI-BT survey

    felt that the program components helped their confidence, knowledge, and skills in teaching. In

    addition, there was a statistically significant difference in the proportion of NC NTSP evaluation

    sample respondents who felt the program components had a positive impact on their teaching,

    compared to similar services provided by their own school. This significant difference also

    existed between NC NTSP perceptions of program utility and Non-RttT Comparison sample

    perceptions of analogous school-provided services.

    Teacher Effectiveness

    Overall, NC NTSP evaluation sample teachers were significantly more effective than Non-RttT

    Comparison evaluation sample teachers in fifth and eighth grade science, based on students’

    End-of-Grade exam results. When assessing results by cohort, significant EVAAS results were

    concentrated within NC NTSP Cohort 1 teachers—Cohort 1 teachers were significantly more

    effective in elementary and middle grades mathematics and reading (both in 2012-13 in isolation

    and with two years of pooled data) and were more effective in fifth and eighth grade science in

    2013-14. There was only one positive and significant result for Cohort 2 teachers, who were

    significantly more effective than Non-RttT Comparison evaluation sample teachers in fifth and

    eighth grade science in 2013-14.

    In terms of teacher evaluation ratings, there were no significant differences between NC NTSP

    evaluation sample teachers and Non-RttT Comparison evaluation sample teachers in the overall

    models. By cohort, NC NTSP Cohort 1 teachers had significantly higher evaluation ratings on

    four North Carolina Professional Teaching Standards (Leadership, Content Knowledge,

    Facilitating Student Learning, and Reflecting on Practice) in the 2013-14 school year, while

    Cohort 2 teachers had significantly lower evaluation ratings on a fifth Standard (Classroom

    Environment).

    Teacher Retention

    Overall, NC NTSP evaluation sample teachers were significantly more likely to return to

    teaching in North Carolina public schools, to the same LEA, and to the same low-performing

  • NC NTSP: Final RttT Evaluation Report

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    Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 23

    schools in comparison to Non-RttT Comparison evaluation sample teachers. Focusing on school-

    level retention, NC NTSP teachers from both cohorts were significantly more likely to return to

    the same low-performing school than were Non-RttT Comparison evaluation sample teachers.

    Limitations

    Two primary limitations should be taken into account when interpreting the findings in this

    report:

    1. The Evaluation Team’s ability to isolate the impact of the NC NTSP is diminished by two factors. First, the NC NTSP serves schools that received the highest proportion of RttT

    interventions, some of which—District and School Transformation—are providing support

    services similar to those provided by the NC NTSP. Thus, choosing comparison sample

    schools outside of this eligible sample, like the Non-RttT Comparison group, precludes the

    ability to hold these additional RttT interventions constant. Second, the NC NTSP is

    universally offered in all of North Carolina’s lowest-achieving schools, meaning

    comparisons with schools that are eligible yet non-participating may not take into account

    potential confounding factors related to selection into the program. If there are differences

    between the NC NTSP sample and the comparison groups that the Evaluation Team does

    not control for and that influence the outcomes of interest, then the evaluation results will

    be biased.

    2. A second challenge of this evaluation lies in the fact that the data used in these analyses represent three program components (institutes, instructional coaching, and professional

    development) implemented across four regional sites with two cohorts of teachers and in a

    model that has greatly expanded in scope over the course of the evaluation period. Simply

    put, given the time required for program development and scaling up, a longer evaluation

    period is needed to assess adequately the effectiveness of a consistent program model

    implemented as intended for first-, second-, and third-year teachers over the course of three

    years.

    Recommendations and Next Steps

    There are three overarching recommendations for the NC NTSP after the close of the RttT grant:

    1. Given the overwhelming need for effective teachers who remain in low-performing schools, the impacts of the NC NTSP on teacher value added to student achievement and teacher

    retention support a recommendation to sustain the program beyond the end of the RttT

    grant.

    2. Findings from this evaluation should be used to explore the disparities in program implementation by region. Going forward, the Evaluation Team recommends that program

    implementation fidelity be monitored formally to obtain reasonable consistency between

    regions.

    3. Further study is required to determine whether the decline in program participation and effectiveness in the 2013-14 school year is an artifact of the substantial scaling-up of the

    program between 2012-13 and 2013-14. If the efficacy of the program remains diluted

    when implemented at scale, the program implementers should explore options such as: (1)

  • NC NTSP: Final RttT Evaluation Report

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    Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 24

    making agreements with participating LEAs and schools to require attendance at institutes

    and professional development; (2) concentrating program resources on higher-intensity

    instructional coaching; and/or (3) limiting program size to ensure a high-intensity program.

  • NC NTSP: Final RttT Evaluation Report

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    Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 25

    Appendix A. Evaluation Sample

    The Evaluation Team defined the NC NTSP evaluation sample for the 2012-13 academic year as

    all first- and second-year teachers who began receiving NC NTSP services by December 2012

    and who worked in schools that were eligible for and agreed to participate in the NC NTSP (RttT

    schools).12

    This excludes teachers who began receiving NC NTSP supports in January 2013 or

    later, novice teachers receiving NC NTSP supports in non-RttT schools, the small number of

    third-year teachers served by the program in 2012-13, and TFA corps members. For the 2013-14

    academic year, the Evaluation Team defined the NC NTSP evaluation sample as all first-,

    second-, and third-year teachers who began receiving NC NTSP supports by December 2013 and

    who worked in schools that were eligible for (RttT schools) and agreed to participate in the NC

    NTSP. While this includes third-year teachers, who were fully served by the program in 2013-

    14, this again excludes teachers who began receiving NC NTSP supports in January 2014 or

    later, novice teachers receiving NC NTSP supports in non-RttT schools, and TFA corps

    members. For this final RttT evaluation report, the Evaluation Team excluded these groups

    because (1) estimates of program performance need to be based upon a sample of teachers who

    received NC NTSP supports for a majority of the school year; (2) the primary objective of the

    Evaluation Team is to evaluate the performance of the program in its intended treatment area—

    RttT schools; and (3) TFA corps members are significantly more likely to exit teaching after

    their two-year service commitment, are significantly more effective, on average, than other

    novice teachers (particularly in mathematics and science courses), and already receive induction

    services from TFA, and thus, did not fully participate in the NC NTSP.

    As shown in the left panel of Table A1 (following page), in the 2012-13 academic year the NC

    NTSP evaluation sample consisted of 344 teachers working in 59 schools and 16 LEAs. A large

    majority (72%) of this treatment sample were first-year teachers, and as stated above, all these

    teachers worked in RttT schools and entered the program by December 2012. The right panel of

    Table A1 shows that in the 2013-14 academic year the NC NTSP evaluation sample consisted of

    808 teachers working in 91 schools and 25 LEAs. Nearly 50% of this treatment sample were

    first-year teachers, 36% were second-year teachers, and 15% were in their third year of teaching.

    All these teachers worked in RttT schools and entered the NC NTSP by December 2013.

    12

    The directive of the NC NTSP is to provide comprehensive induction services to novice teachers employed in the

    state’s lowest-performing schools—schools that in the year before RttT began were either in the lowest 5% of all

    schools in terms of student achievement or had graduation rates below 60%. We refer to these schools as “RttT

    schools.”

  • NC NTSP: Final RttT Evaluation Report

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    Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 26

    Table A1. NC NTSP Evaluation Sample

    2012-13

    NC NTSP

    Evaluation Sample

    2013-14

    NC NTSP

    Evaluation Sample

    Teacher Count 344 808

    Teachers by Region

    ECU 66 189

    UNC-CSLD 80 237

    UNCC 120 182

    UNCG 78 200

    1st Year Teacher % 71.80 48.51

    2nd

    Year Teacher % 28.20 36.14

    3rd

    Year Teacher % n/a 15.35

    Teachers in RttT Schools 344 808

    Teachers Served by NC NTSP

    Before January 344 808

    TFA Corps Members n/a n/a

    School Count 59 91

    Schools by Region

    ECU 12 23

    UNC-CSLD 15 29

    UNCC 18 19

    UNCG 14 20

    LEA Count 16 25

    LEAs by Region

    ECU 5 9

    UNC-CSLD 4 5

    UNCC 4 6

    UNCG 3 5

    To assess the impact of the NC NTSP, the Evaluation Team implemented a comparison group

    design to contrast the outcomes of NC NTSP teachers with those of other novice teachers

    working in low-performing schools. Isolating the effects of the NC NTSP on participating

    teachers is particularly challenging because several other RttT interventions were also

    concentrated in RttT schools over the same time period. The most notable was the District and

    School Transformation (DST) initiative, which provided regular professional development and

    coaching designed to improve the effectiveness and retention of teachers in RttT schools.

    To address these challenges, the Evaluation Team created two different comparison groups to

    better isolate the impact of the NC NTSP. For the first group, the Evaluation Team used school

    performance composite data from the 2011-12 school year to identify schools in the bottom

    decile of performance that were not eligible for (non-RttT schools) and did not receive NC NTSP

    services. In the 2012-13 school year this comparison group, labeled Non-RttT Comparison,

    consisted of all the first- and second-year teachers who began working in these schools by

    December 2012. In the 2013-14 school year this comparison group consisted of all the first-,

  • NC NTSP: Final RttT Evaluation Report

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    Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 27

    second-, and third-year teachers who began working in these schools by December 2013.13

    Like

    the NC NTSP evaluation sample, this Non-RttT Comparison evaluation sample excludes TFA

    corps members and those beginning work in these schools after December. Overall, the left panel

    of Table A2 shows that the evaluation sample for the Non-RttT Comparison group consisted of

    1,033 teachers working in 147 schools and 48 LEAs in the 2012-13 school year; in 2013-14, the

    Non-RttT Comparison evaluation sample consisted of 1,507 teachers working in 149 schools and

    48 LEAs.

    For the second comparison group, the Evaluation Team identified RttT schools (eligible for the

    NC NTSP) that did not participate in the NC NTSP. In the 2012-13 school year this comparison

    group, labeled NC NTSP Eligible Comparison, consisted of all the first- and second-year

    teachers who began working in these schools by December 2012. In the 2013-14 school year this

    comparison group consisted of all the first-, second-, and third-year teachers who began working

    in these schools by December 2013. As with the evaluation samples for the NC NTSP and the

    Non-RttT Comparison, the evaluation sample for the NC NTSP Eligible Comparison group

    excludes TFA corps members and those beginning work in these schools after December.

    Overall, the right panel of Table A2 shows that the evaluation sample for the NC NTSP Eligible

    Comparison group consisted of 201 teachers working in 32 schools and 18 LEAs in the 2012-13

    school year. In 2013-14 the NC NTSP expanded to serve an additional set of RttT schools.

    Therefore, in the 2013-14 school year, the evaluation sample for the NC NTSP Eligible

    Comparison group was reduced in size and consisted of 169 teachers working in 16 schools and

    11 LEAs. In the main body of the final evaluation report, the Evaluation Team only reports

    results for the Non-RttT Comparison sample; throughout the report appendices, the Evaluation

    Team provides results for both the Non-RttT Comparison and the NC NTSP Eligible Comparison

    groups.

    Table A2. Evaluation Sample Comparison Groups

    Like the NC NTSP sample, both of these comparison groups consist of novice teachers working

    in low-performing schools. The Non-RttT Comparison group provides a larger sample for

    13

    Because the NC NTSP fully served third year teachers in the 2013-14 school year, the Evaluation Team included

    third year teachers in both comparison samples in 2013-14.

    Characteristics

    Non-RttT Comparison NC NTSP Eligible Comparison

    2012-13

    Evaluation

    Sample

    2013-14

    Evaluation

    Sample

    2012-13

    Evaluation

    Sample

    2013-14

    Evaluation

    Sample

    Teacher Count 1033 1507 201 169

    1st Year Teacher % 60.47 40.69 60.70 39.05

    2nd

    Year Teacher % 39.53 34.77 39.30 33.14

    3rd

    Year Teacher % n/a 24.53 n/a 27.81

    Teachers Hired Before

    January 1033 1507 201 169

    TFA Corps Members n/a n/a n/a n/a

    School Count 147 149 32 16

    LEA Count 48 48 18 11

  • NC NTSP: Final RttT Evaluation Report

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    Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 28

    analyses; however, since it is comprised of schools that did not receive RttT services,

    comparisons to this group do not allow for isolation of the impact of the NC NTSP from other

    RttT programs. The NC NTSP Eligible Comparison group addresses this concern by comparing

    NC NTSP teachers to novice teachers who received other RttT supports (primarily through

    DST). Because this group is much smaller, it provides less statistical power for detecting

    differences in outcomes. In addition, it is unknown why these schools declined to participate in

    the NC NTSP (in 2012-13 and 2013-14) and why some schools chose to enter the program in

    2013-14. Therefore, analyses may not take into account other factors related to non-participation.

    Throughout subsequent appendices, the Evaluation Team presents results for the NC NTSP

    evaluation sample and the Non-RttT Comparison and NC NTSP Eligible Comparison evaluation

    samples. In appendices focused on teacher value-added to student achievement, teacher

    evaluation ratings, and teacher retention, the Evaluation Team presents two additional sets of

    results: (1) those for all teachers served by the NC NTSP and all novice teachers in comparison

    sample schools, and (2) those for an amended NC NTSP evaluation sample that includes teachers

    served in non-RttT schools who entered the NC NTSP by December of the academic year and

    were not TFA corps members.

    Table A3 (following page) presents school characteristics for the NC NTSP evaluation sample

    and for the evaluation samples for each of the comparison groups in 2012-13 and 2013-14. In

    2012-13, NC NTSP teachers worked in schools with (1) more students qualifying for subsidized

    school meals; (2) more racial and ethnic minority students; (3) higher short-term suspension rates

    and higher violent acts rates (in comparison to NC NTSP Eligible Comparison schools); (4)

    higher percentages of novice teachers; and (5) lower performance composites (in comparison to

    the Non-RttT Comparison schools). In 2013-14, NC NTSP teachers worked in schools with (1)

    more students qualifying for subsidized school meals (in comparison to Non-RttT Comparison

    schools); (2) more racial and ethnic minority students; (3) higher short-term suspension rates (in

    comparison to Non-RttT Comparison schools); and (4) lower performance composites.

  • NC NTSP: Final RttT Evaluation Report

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    Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 29

    Table A3. School Characteristics for the NC NTSP and Comparison Groups

    Characteristic

    2012-13 School Year 2013-14 School Year

    NC NTSP

    Sample

    Non-RttT

    Comparison

    Group

    NC NTSP

    Eligible

    Comparison

    Group

    NC NTSP

    Sample

    Non-RttT

    Comparison

    Group

    NC NTSP

    Eligible

    Comparison

    Group

    Free and Reduced-Price

    Lunch Percentage 93.58 85.93

    ** 87.16

    + 91.78 87.40** 86.54

    Racial/Ethnic

    Minority Percentage 90.87 78.37

    ** 82.31

    * 89.63 78.67**

    80.55+

    Short-Term Suspension

    Rate (Per 100 Students) 48.86 33.52

    ** 27.56

    ** 38.14 25.50** 26.30

    Violent Acts Rate

    (Per 1000 Students) 12.24 10.96 4.82

    ** 8.71 10.46 6.30

    Total Per-Pupil

    Expenditures $11,001 $10,052

    + $11,136 $10,534 $10,307 $10,214

    Performance Composite 20.04 23.25** 22.55 31.07 34.29

    ** 39.94

    *

    Novice Teacher

    Percentage 32.99 27.19

    ** 26.59

    ** 32.93 30.29 32.63

    School Level

    Elementary/Elementary-

    Middle Combination

    35

    (59.32%)

    89

    (60.54%)

    23

    (71.88%)

    57

    (62.64%)

    94

    (63.09%)

    10

    (62.50%)

    Middle School 10

    (16.95%)

    24

    (16.33%)

    2

    (6.25%)

    13

    (14.29%)

    23

    (15.44%)

    1

    (6.25%)

    High School 14

    (23.73%)

    33

    (22.45%)

    7

    (21.88%)

    21

    (23.08%)

    31

    (20.81%)

    5

    (31.25%)

    K-12 School 0

    (0.00%)

    1

    (0.68%)

    0

    (0.00%)

    0

    (0.00%)

    1

    (0.67%)

    0

    (0.00%)

    School Count 59 147 32 91 149 16

    Note: This table displays school characteristics for schools in the NC NTSP, Non-RttT Comparison, and NC NTSP Eligible Comparison samples. +, *, and

    ** indicate statistically significant differences between NC NTSP schools and Non-RttT Comparison/NCNTSP Eligible Comparison schools at the 0.10,

    0.05, and 0.01 levels, respectively.

  • NC NTSP: Final RttT Evaluation Report

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    Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 30

    Appendix B. Data Sources

    The Evaluation Team collected the data presented in this final evaluation report from the UNC-

    GA implementation team, NC NTSP evaluation sample teachers and comparison sample

    teachers, and administrative datasets supplied by the North Carolina Department of Public

    Instruction (NCDPI). Specifically, this final evaluation report draws upon the following data

    sources: (1) participation records from each of the components of the NC NTSP—institutes,

    instructional coaching, and professional development; (2) survey responses by NC NTSP

    evaluation sample teachers and Non-RttT Comparison sample teachers; and (3) student test

    scores, student demographics, classroom rosters, teacher evaluation ratings, certified salaries,

    school personnel, and school characteristics files provided by NCDPI. With these data sources

    the Evaluation Team examined levels of participation in NC NTSP components, NC NTSP

    teachers’ perceptions of program utility and self-efficacy/job satisfaction, and the impact of the

    NC NTSP on teacher value-added to student achievement, teacher evaluation ratings, and teacher

    retention. Below, we elaborate on the data sources used in this final evaluation report.

    NC NTSP Program Documents

    To examine the evaluation sample’s participation in the components of the NC NTSP, the UNC-

    GA program implementers supplied the Evaluation Team with requested program documents.

    For the 2012-13 year this included (1) the curricula, agendas, and rosters of attendees for the

    2012 NC NTSP Summer and Winter Institutes; (2) counts of NC NTSP instructional coach visits

    with each teacher; and (3) the agendas and rosters of attendees for NC NTSP professional

    development sessions. Data for the 2013-14 year included (1) the curricula, agendas, and rosters

    of attendees for the 2013 NC NTSP Regional Institutes and Statewide Institute; (2) counts of in-

    person and virtual NC NTSP instructional coach visits with each teacher; (3) contact hours—in-

    person and virtual—between NC NTSP teachers and program instructional coaches; and (4) the

    agendas and rosters of attendees for NC NTSP professional development sessions.

    Survey Responses by NC NTSP and Non-RttT Comparison Sample Teachers

    To assess (1) the perceptions of NC NTSP teachers regarding the focus and utility of NC NTSP

    components, and (2) the perceptions of both NC NTSP and Non-RttT Comparison sample

    teachers regarding school-provided novice teacher supports, school context, teacher practices,

    self-efficacy, and job satisfaction, the Evaluation Team partnered with North Carolina State

    University’s (NCSU) College of Education to administer the Perceptions of Success Inventory—

    Beginning Teachers (PSI-BT) survey in the spring of 2013 and 2014 (see the end of Appendix B

    for a complete survey).14

    For each survey administration the sample included NC NTSP and

    Non-RttT Comparison sample teachers in the evaluation sample. Both sets of teachers completed

    the regular PSI-BT items. In addition, NC NTSP teachers completed items developed by the

    Evaluation Team assessing the components—institutes, instructional coaching, professional

    development—of the NC NTSP. Researchers at NCSU used both online and paper-based

    mediums to administer the PSI-BT in spring 2013; in spring 2014 NCSU researchers

    administered the survey online only.

    14

    Please see http://ncsu.edu/succeed/beginning-teachers/ for more information on the development and use of the

    PSI-BT instrument.

    http://ncsu.edu/succeed/beginning-teachers/

  • NC NTSP: Final RttT Evaluation Report

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    Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 31

    For the 2012-13 school year, the left panel of Table B1 presents response rates on the PSI-BT for

    the NC NTSP and Non-RttT Comparison samples overall, and for each NC NTSP region. Nearly

    half of the NC NTSP teachers in the evaluation sample responded to the survey (49.26%), with

    higher response rates for those in the ECU region. To encourage responses in the Non-RttT

    Comparison sample, the Evaluation Team provided a $5 financial incentive to survey

    completers; approximately 41% of Non-RttT Comparison sample teachers responded to the

    survey. The right panel of Table B1 displays PSI-BT response rates for the 2013-14 school year.

    Slightly more than half of the NC NTSP teachers in the evaluation sample responded to the

    survey (51.12%), with higher response rates for the ECU region and lower response rates for the

    UNC-CSLD region. As in 2012-13, the Evaluation Team offered a $5 financial incentive to Non-

    RttT Comparison sample teachers to complete the survey but only 17% responded in the 2013-14

    school year.

    Table B1. PSI-BT Response Rates

    Survey Group

    2012-13 PSI-BT Administration 2013-14 PSI-BT Administration

    Survey

    Respondents

    Administered

    Surveys

    Response

    Rate

    Survey

    Respondents

    Administered

    Surveys

    Response

    Rate

    NC NTSP Overall 167 339 49.26% 409 800 51.12%

    ECU 47 66 71.21% 147 187 78.61%

    UNC-CSLD 33 77 42.86% 78 236 33.05%

    UNCC 49 118 41.53% 88 179 49.16%

    UNCG 38 78 48.72% 96 198 48.48%

    Non-RttT

    Comparison Group 308 759 40.58% 179 1053 16.99%

    Due to the possibility for bias in the respondent sample, Table B2 (following page) displays data

    on participation in NC NTSP components for those NC NTSP teachers who did and did not

    respond to the survey (both overall and by region). In the 2012-13 school year, NC NTSP

    teachers who responded to the PSI-BT were more likely to attend an institute (66% for

    respondents versus 45% for non-respondents), received more instructional coaching visits per

    month (4.18 visits for respondents versus 3.33 for non-respondents), and attended more

    professional development sessions (2.87 PD sessions for respondents versus 1.60 PD sessions for

    non-respondents). In the 2013-14 school year, differences in program participation between PSI-

    BT respondents and non-respondents were reduced in magnitude; however, respondents were

    still more likely to attend an institute, to receive more instructional coaching visits, and to attend

    more professional development sessions. Given these differences, it is important to carefully

    interpret all survey results.

  • NC NTSP: Final RttT Evaluation Report

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    Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 32

    Table B2. Participation in NC NTSP Components, by PSI-BT Response Status

    Region

    Institute Attendance

    Average Instructional

    Coaching Visits

    Per Month

    Number of Professional

    Development Sessions

    Attended

    Respond

    Non

    Respond Respond

    Non

    Respond Respond

    Non

    Respond

    2012

    -13 P

    SI-

    BT

    Ad

    min

    istr

    ati

    on

    NC NTSP

    Overall 66.47% 45.35% 4.18 3.33 2.87 1.60

    ECU 80.85% 57.89% 6.35 5.20 2.89 1.21

    UNC-CSLD 66.67% 70.45% 2.26 1.94 4.15 3.32

    UNCC 67.35% 33.33% 3.53 3.31 1.86 0.67

    UNCG 47.37% 32.50% 4.02 4.01 3.03 1.53

    2013-1

    4 P

    SI-

    BT

    Ad

    min

    istr

    ati

    on

    NC NTSP

    Overall 23.47% 17.14% 2.86 1.92 0.93 0.58

    ECU 27.89% 25.00% 4.11 2.80 1.17 0.45

    UNC-CSLD 21.79% 17.72% 1.81 1.59 1.60 1.04

    UNCC 19.32% 13.19% 2.81 2.36 0.10 0.15

    UNCG 21.88% 16.67% 1.87 1.70 0.79 0.27

    Administrative Data from NCDPI

    To assess the impact of the NC NTSP on teacher value-added to student achievement, teacher

    evaluation ratings on the North Carolina Professional Teaching Standards (NCPTS), and teacher

    retention, the Evaluation Team used administrative datasets provided by NCDPI. Specifically, to

    estimate teacher value-added, the Evaluation Team used student test scores and demographics,

    classroom rosters, school personnel, and school characteristics files. This allows for the

    connection of students to their prior scores, demographics, teachers, and classroom peers;

    teachers to their characteristics; and students and teachers to the characteristics of their schools.

    To examine teacher evaluation ratings, the Evaluation Team used ratings on each of the five

    NCPTS that are directly assessed by school administrators. Finally, for teacher retention, the

    Evaluation Team used certified salary files to determine whether individuals returned to a

    teaching position—overall, within the same LEA, or within the school school—in North

    Carolina public schools.

  • NC NTSP: Final RttT Evaluation Report

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    Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 33

    PSI-BT Survey

    Unless otherwise noted, PSI-BT items have a six-point scale: strongly disagree, disagree,

    slightly disagree, slightly agree, agree, and strongly agree.

    Domain One: School- or LEA-Provided Mentor Support

    Directions: Please respond to the survey questions below conce