New York Pizza How to Find the Best
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Transcript of New York Pizza How to Find the Best
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New York Pizza How to Find the Best
Jared P. LanderColumbia UniversityDecember 3, 2008
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What is New York Style?
Charring and air bubbles around the crust
Thin Slices
Just the right bend for folding
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Family TreeLombardi’s (1905)
Totonno’s (1924)
Patsy’s (1933)
John’s of Bleecker (1929)
Grimaldi’s (1990)
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The Data
MenuPages.com has menus, ratings, locations and price information for nearly 700 restaurants tagged as pizza in Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn
Slice, a pizza blog, has a definitive listing (and maps) of coal pizzerias An exhaustive Google search provided wood classifications
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The Data
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Rating Histogram
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Ratings Breakdown
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Model for Rating
logit(Rating/5.5) ~ 0.77571 – 0.1782*AreaMidtown Wald test
Model 1: logit(Rating/5.5) ~ Area Model 2: logit(Rating/5.5) ~ 1 Res.Df Df F Pr(>F) 1 640 2 643 -3 2.8195 0.03826 *
Perhaps is more appropriate due to its simplicity and the minimal impact of the lone coefficient in the model Maybe all pizza is for the most part pretty good
3.646Y_
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Ratings Breakdown
.020 .005 .006
One Sided P-Value
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Review Count
Use the number of reviews as a proxy for popularity
Why do people frequent these pizzerias in the first place?
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Number of Reviews by Area
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Number of Reviews by Fuel
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Number of Reviews by Price
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Reviews Histogram
Approximately Poisson
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Model for Review Count
Number.Reviews ~ 3.826 + 0.157*AreaUptown – 1.641*FuelGas – 0.734*FuelWood - 0.545*PriceExpensive + 0.119*FuelGas:PriceExpensive + 0.670*FuelWood:PriceExpensive (Poisson Regression)
Coefficients: Estimate SE z-value
Pr(>|z|) (Intercept) 3.82693 0.05899 64.876 < 2e-16 *** AreaUptown 0.15733 0.02156 7.297 2.94e-13 *** FuelGas -1.64163 0.06019 -27.273 < 2e-16 *** FuelWood -0.73476 0.08884 -8.271 <
2e-16 *** PriceExpensive -0.54561 0.07919 -6.890 5.60e-12 *** FuelGas:PriceExpensive 1.11908 0.08289 13.501 < 2e-16 *** FuelWood:PriceExpensive 0.67017 0.10819 6.195 5.85e-10 ***
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Model for Review Count
Number.Reviews ~ 3.826 + 0.157*AreaUptown – 1.641*FuelGas – 0.734*FuelWood - 0.545*PriceExpensive + 0.119*FuelGas:PriceExpensive + 0.670*FuelWood:PriceExpensive (Poisson Regression)
Wald test Model 1: Number.Reviews ~ Area + Fuel + Price +
Price * Fuel Model 2: Number.Reviews ~ 1 Res.Df Df F Pr(>F) 1 637 2 643 -6 309.94 < 2.2e-16 ***
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Fitted Values
Coal and then wood dominates!
All pizzerias on this list are categorized as expensive
Both Uptown and Downtown
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Top Pizzerias
Lombardi’s Di Fara Joe’s John’s of Bleecker Totonno’s (Coney
Island) Vinny Vincenz Pizza 33 No. 28
Patsy’s (East Harlem)
Artichoke Maffei’s New York Pizza
Suprema Una Pizza
Napoletana Franny’s
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Conclusions
Coal ovens attract large crowds and the higher prices are worth paying
The old adage about pizza is true: “Even when it’s bad, it’s still good.”
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Jared’s Picks
Pie:
Margherita:
Neapolitan:
Upscale:
Largest:
John’s of Bleecker
Pizza 33
Joe’s (Carmine St.)
Una Pizza Napoletana
Koronet
Specialty:
Sicilian:
Grandma:
Upside Down:
Cheapest:
Artichoke
Vinny Vincenz
Maffei’s
New York Pizza Suprema
Crocodile Lounge*
* Free with purchase of beer