New United Nations/Germany Expert Meeting on Space … · 2014. 9. 5. · Sebastian Pisi:...

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Sebastian Pisi: Assessment of Coping Capacities relating to the 2013 Floods in Germany United Nations/Germany Expert Meeting on Space Technologies for Flood and Drought Risk Reduction Bonn, Germany, 5-6 June 2014 Assessment of coping capacities relating to the 2013 floods in Germany

Transcript of New United Nations/Germany Expert Meeting on Space … · 2014. 9. 5. · Sebastian Pisi:...

Page 1: New United Nations/Germany Expert Meeting on Space … · 2014. 9. 5. · Sebastian Pisi: Assessment of Coping Capacities relating to the 2013 Floods in Germany United Nations/Germany

Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany

United Nations/Germany Expert Meetingon Space Technologies for Flood and Drought

Risk Reduction

Bonn, Germany, 5-6 June 2014

Assessment of coping capacitiesrelating to the 2013 floods in Germany

Page 2: New United Nations/Germany Expert Meeting on Space … · 2014. 9. 5. · Sebastian Pisi: Assessment of Coping Capacities relating to the 2013 Floods in Germany United Nations/Germany

Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany

Table of Contents

• Overview

• Methodoloy

• Reconstructing the 2013 flood

• Maps and their opportunities

• Requirements – what do we need?

Page 3: New United Nations/Germany Expert Meeting on Space … · 2014. 9. 5. · Sebastian Pisi: Assessment of Coping Capacities relating to the 2013 Floods in Germany United Nations/Germany

Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany

Overview - Project Data• Duration: Oct. 2013 until Sept. 2014

• Head of Project: Prof. Dr. Annegret Thieken, University of Potsdam

• Part 1: Potential and actual damage reduction through prevention and early

warning

• Part 2: Coping Capacity of German federal states and aid agencies in comparison

to the flood of 2002

Source: Administrative District of Stendal

Page 4: New United Nations/Germany Expert Meeting on Space … · 2014. 9. 5. · Sebastian Pisi: Assessment of Coping Capacities relating to the 2013 Floods in Germany United Nations/Germany

Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany

Flood in Germany 2013…Source: Berufsfeuerw

ehr Bremen

Page 5: New United Nations/Germany Expert Meeting on Space … · 2014. 9. 5. · Sebastian Pisi: Assessment of Coping Capacities relating to the 2013 Floods in Germany United Nations/Germany

Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany

…water as far as the eye can reach…

Source: Bundespolizei Flugdienst

Page 6: New United Nations/Germany Expert Meeting on Space … · 2014. 9. 5. · Sebastian Pisi: Assessment of Coping Capacities relating to the 2013 Floods in Germany United Nations/Germany

Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany

…at least not alone…

Source: Berufsfeuerwehr Brem

en

Page 7: New United Nations/Germany Expert Meeting on Space … · 2014. 9. 5. · Sebastian Pisi: Assessment of Coping Capacities relating to the 2013 Floods in Germany United Nations/Germany

Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany

…and imaginative!

Source: Adm

inistrative DistrictofStendal

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Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany

Methodology

• Reconstruction of Flood Event

• Questionnaire

• Expert Interviews

• Mission Reports

• Workshops

Page 9: New United Nations/Germany Expert Meeting on Space … · 2014. 9. 5. · Sebastian Pisi: Assessment of Coping Capacities relating to the 2013 Floods in Germany United Nations/Germany

Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany

Source: CEDIM Forensic Disaster Analysis Group (FDA): Juni-Hochwasser 2013 in Mitteleuropa - Fokus Deutschland. Bericht 1 – Update 2 (20.06.2013)

…but why…? Precipitation Events CausingFloods:

Page 10: New United Nations/Germany Expert Meeting on Space … · 2014. 9. 5. · Sebastian Pisi: Assessment of Coping Capacities relating to the 2013 Floods in Germany United Nations/Germany

Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany

Total damage compared

Financial loss by floods:2002 and 2013

Source: editedto

own

draftofAnnegret Thieken

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Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany

DKKV 2003 – Aftermath of 2002

Extensive Case Study Analysis Identification of Deficits …Recommendations

Revisions of a Statue Flood Protection EU-Flood Action Programme

Research Programme Horizon 2020

Page 12: New United Nations/Germany Expert Meeting on Space … · 2014. 9. 5. · Sebastian Pisi: Assessment of Coping Capacities relating to the 2013 Floods in Germany United Nations/Germany

Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany

Flood Area Management: RiskMaps

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 Kilometers

N

Flood plain (100-year flood)Flood prone area

River Mulde

State of the Art 2002:

Few Szenarios

(“HQ100“)

Data not accessible

Good One:

IKSR-Rheinatlas

Quelle: Petrow et al. (2006). Environmental Management 38: 717-732http://www.rheinatlas.de/

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Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany

Goal:Framework for assessment and management of floods in order to limitatenegative aspects of human health, environment, cultural heritage andeconomic activities

Progress:• 22 Dec. 2011: Identification of areas with high risk potential • 22 Dec. 2013: Risk and Hazard Maps• 22 Dec. 2015: Flood Management Plans

• Update every 6 years

Transfer to national law: Federal Water Act

EU-Flood Action Programme (2007/60/EC)

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Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany

Map RequirementsProbability of Occurrence• Flood with low probability (extreme)• Flood with moderate probability (HQ100) • Flood with high probability (HQ10/20)

Specific Data• Flood plain• Water depth• Velocity

Potential negative results shown on risk maps

Page 15: New United Nations/Germany Expert Meeting on Space … · 2014. 9. 5. · Sebastian Pisi: Assessment of Coping Capacities relating to the 2013 Floods in Germany United Nations/Germany

Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany

Analysis of Current Hazard Maps• Hazard Maps in all federal states for HQ100 and HQ200• No consistency in representaion of frequent floods• Variety of research options for WebGIS applications – or not

Thüringen Nordrhein-Westfalen Schleswig-Holstein Sachsen

Sachsen-Anhalt Bayern Baden-Württemberg Hessen

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Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany

Key Recommendations – end user needs• Public hazard maps in all federal states available

• Comprehensibility for private households to be explored

• Comprehensive and consistent structure of data required

• Remote sensing and WebGIS-applications for publicpurposes to be promoted

• Biggest threat in emergency is uncertainty

• Importance of early warning systems to be emphasised

• Reduction of potential damage has top priority

• Transnational cooperation

• Encourage sensitivity

Page 17: New United Nations/Germany Expert Meeting on Space … · 2014. 9. 5. · Sebastian Pisi: Assessment of Coping Capacities relating to the 2013 Floods in Germany United Nations/Germany

Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany

Thank you very much!

Don‘t hesitate to contact me:

Sebastian Pisi, German Comitee for Disaster Reduction

[email protected], +49-228-6191289