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Transcript of New Forests
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Investors supportingtransformation towards
sustainability in the forestry
sector
Adam Grant
Manager, Certification and Environmental Markets
PEFC
Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
November 2013
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Slide 96
Important Note
New Forests 2013. This publication is the property of New Forests. This material may not be reproduced or used in any form or mediumwithout express written permission.
The information contained in this publication is of a general nature and is intended for discussion purposes only. The information does not
constitute financial product advice or provides a recommendation to enter into any investment. This presentation has been prepared withouttaking account of any personsobjectives, financial situation or needs. This is not an offer to buy or sell, nor a solicitation of an offer to buy or
sell any security or other financial instrument. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. Past performance is not a reliable
indicator of future performance. You should consider obtaining independent professional advice before making any financial decisions. Theterms set forth herein are based on information obtained from sources that New Forests believes to be reliable, but New Forests makes no
representations as to, and accepts no responsibility or li ability for, the accuracy, rel iability or completeness of the information. Except insofaras liability under any statute cannot be excluded, New Forests, including all companies within the New Forests group, and all directors,
employees and consultants, do not accept any liability for any loss or damage (whether direct, indirect, consequential or otherwise) arising
from the use of this presentation.
The information contained in this publication may include financial and business projections that are based on a large number of assumptions,any of which could prove to be significantly incorrect. New Forests notes that all projections, valuations, and statistical analyses are subjective
illustrations based on one or more among many alternative methodologies that may produce different results. Projections, valuations, andstatistical analyses included herein should not be viewed as facts, predictions or the only possible outcome. Before considering any
investment, potential investors should conduct such enquiries and investigations as the investor deems necessary and consult with its own
legal, accounting and tax advisors in order to make an independent determination of the suitability, risk and merits of any investment.
New Forests Advisory Pty Limited (ACN 114 545 274) is the holder of AFSL No 301556. New Forests Asset Management Pty Limited (ACN 114
545 283) is registered with the Australian Securities and Investments Commission and is an Authorised Representative of New ForestsAdvisory Pty Limited (ACN 114 545 274, AFSL 301556). New Forests Inc. has filed as an exempt reporting adviser with the Securities andExchange Commission.
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Slide 97
Overview of New Forests
Founded in 2005
Managing forestry investment forinstitutional investment clients
Currently managing nearly US$2 billion in
assets in the Asia-Pacific region
Head office in Sydney; 38 employees in
Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, andSan Francisco
Managing over 420,000 hectares of land
and forestry assets across the Asia-Pacific
region and United States
New Forests has generated excellentreturns to our clients over 8 years, and has
aimed to operate as a leading sustainableand responsible investor in the forestry
sector
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Slide 98
What Differentiates New Forests?
Strategically, New Forests is
1. Focused on Asia Pacific opportunities
Unique for a TIMOheadquartered in Sydney with an office in Singapore
Largest forestland owner in Australia and active in markets throughoutAustralia, New Zealand, and Asia
Providing investors with exposure to the integrated Asia Pacific regionaltimber tradeextensive experience in domestic and export markets
2. A leader in sustainable forest management Investment team experienced in sustainable forest management and
environmental markets; company-wide Social and EnvironmentalManagement System
Member of Forest Stewardship Council (FSC) International and FSCAustralia
Signatory to United Nations Principles for Responsible Investment (PRI)3. Forward Thinking
Engaged with international NGOs, and participating in global initiativesincluding World Economic Forum Global Council, Aspen Institute, etc.
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Slide 99
New Forests Business
New Forests Pty Ltd (Sydney)
Sydney
Australia New ZealandForest Fund
Australia New ZealandForest Fund 2
Singapore
Tropical Asia Forest Fund
San Francisco
The Eco Products Fund
Forest Carbon Partners
Mitigation Partners*
Back Office, Administration, Risk and Compliance Systems and Governance
Financial and Forest Resource Modeling Services
Sustainability and Responsible Investment
Investor Services
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Slide 100
Tropical Asia Forest Fund - TAFF
TAFF is a commingled fund investing in tropical timber plantations in SouthEast Asia with US$171 million in commitments. Clients include pension
funds and development banks.Forestry in Asia is changing:
Originated from logging concessions in natural forests
Low cost of timber from these concessions meant attractive returns were possible withoutoperating efficiently or sustainably
Natural forest timber has been largely depleted
Global concern over rainforest logging and a demand for certification and sustainableforest management models are on the rise
Fast-growing, high-quality managed timber plantation estates are emerging as the basisfor the future of the industry, which will require significant capital
TAFF will:
Invest in existing forestry enterprises or assets Upgrade and expand those businesses
Help Implement modern forestry systems and practices
Obtain certification and where possible, access environmental markets
Exit after 10-15 years of investment
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1. Shift to plantations and thedeclining economic frontier of
natural forests2. Global timber demand
growing and restructuring toaccommodate Asian demandgrowth
3. Shifts in Pulp & Paper marketsand increasing demand forbio-energy, bio-fuels, andother bio-products
4. Rising institutional ownershipof high productivity timber
plantations5. Sustainability imperatives and
the pricing of ecosystemservices
The Changing Forestry Landscape
Three-year old Teak PlantationSolomon Islands
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Natural Forest Harvest in SE Asia in Decline
Steady Decline in Natural Forest Logging in Malaysia and Indonesia
Source s: Malaysia Timber Council and personal communication with Yayasan Sabah; ITTO; Indonesian Forestry Department Annual Report, 2008.
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
LogProduction
(Mm
3)
Malaysian Log Production
0
5
10
15
20
25
1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008
Annualharvestlevels
(m3m
illions)
Indonesian Log Production
Natural forests Plantation forests
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Limited Plantation Investment
Asia has lagged behind otherregions in the development of
commercial plantations for highervalue end uses. Significant
plantation areas in Indonesia,South China (approximately 6.0
million hectares) and Vietnam arebeing grown on short rotations
for chip/pulpwood only.
Source: New Forests Asia estimates based upon RISI 2011 Pulp and Chip wood Conference, ITTO 2005
Sus tainable Forestry Man agement Report, and government data sets. Data does not include rubber estates andis based on private/government commercial scale plantations not small holders (except for Thailand where
sm all scale private growers are fundamental to the industry)
Both China and Vietnam currentlyimport plantation hardwoods
from South America, NorthAmerica, Europe and Africa
primarily to fulfill demand forcertified timber. There are
significant cost advantages toregional sourcing.
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Opportunities for TAFF
Investing in Southeast Asia with
priority for Indonesia, Malaysia,and Vietnam
Attractive growing conditions,
low costs, and close access to
growing markets
Investment team in financial hubof Singapore
Combination of existing and
greenfield plantations
Environmental, Social &
Governance (ESG) factors andenvironmental markets offer
value-add opportunities
4-year old clonal teak in Java
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Sustainability at New Forests
ResponsibleInvestment
SEMS
Certification &Responsible
Management
Sustainability Reporting
New Forests is a signatory to the UN
Principles for Responsible Investment
(PRI) and commits to integratingEnvironment, Society, and Governance
(ESG) principles into investment decision
making
ESG policies are implemented at the fund
level through a Social & Environmental
Management System (SEMS) with internalauditing
The SEMS defines third-party certification
and responsible management
requirements relevant to the asset class
and type of investment
Sustainability reporting is integrated into
funds reporting structure and New Forests
publishes an annual Sustainability Report
covering responsible investment activities,
targets, and progress
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Environmental, social and governance best practice will ensure TAFFcontributes to:
Reduced greenhouse gas emissions and other forms of pollution
Maintenance or enhancement of high conservation value forests and biodiversity
Improvements in local livelihoods and safe working conditions
Recognition of indigenous rights
Third-party verified sustainable forest management will add significant value:
Price premiums and better market access for certain products
Lower project and political risk through reduced social conflicts
Improved asset liquidity and lower risk-adjusted discount rates on exit
Lower cost of debt capital and better debt access, especially from development banks
Improved access to licences, operating permits or additional assets from host countries
Reputational risk reduction for fund investors
Opportunities for increasing operating efficiencies through better management
Opportunities for environmental market products from areas set aside from production
TAFF Sustainability Goals
New Forests is committed to sustainable management of TAFF investments
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Forests provide not only timber, but a myriad of other benefits related to
freshwater, carbon cycling, biodiversity conservation, human health, and wellbeing
These ecosystem services have not been priced and therefore are usedwastefully and disregarded in land conversion decisions
Leads to plantation and agribusiness industry using more land rather thanincreasing productivity per hectare
Policy in conflict with overwhelming economic fundamentals is difficult toenforce on a sustainable basis
Opportunity Costs in the Landscape
Markets set prices for timber products, but how do we value other benefits?
Region Value of Natural Vegetation Value of land converted to
Agriculture
Malaysia $500 (logging concession after
primary harvest)
$20,000 to $25,000 (oil palm)
Brazil $155 (Amazon frontier land) $420 (grazing)
US South $2500 (mixed timberland) $6250 (cropping)
Australia $1900 (woodland properties) $4850 (mixed cropping and grazing)
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Innovating Markets
New Forests established Malua
BioBank in 2008 with seedinvestment from The Eco
Products Fund.
The project creates an
alternative economic value forBorneos rainforests and offers
sustainability solutions for oil
palm supply chain.Unlocking Demand for Biodiversity-Roundtable on Sustainable Palm Oil (RSPO)
compensation mechanism for past HCV clearance
-Forest Stewardship Council (FSC) compensation
mechanism for past downwards conversion
Further Investment Potential-Carbon value through proven methodology
-Impact or CSR investment to catalyze biodiversity market
growth and establish sustainable brand value
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Price signals work SO2market drove changes in fuel from high to low sulphur coal
EU Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) drove $ billions into carbon funds and carboncompanies
Australian water market restructured agriculture to increased efficiency and morevaluable cropping
US Mitigation Banking is a $billion+ turnover industry
The finance and investment sector can facilitate change Investment funds sprang up related to the EU ETS, Australian Water market, and
Mitigation banking industrycreates liquidity to meet market needs
Markets create transparency in pricing; futures and options create stability; waterrights as collateral for investment in water use efficiency
Stability is necessary, but fine-tuning is also necessary Meddling by Government killed the SO2markets
Excessive allocations and unexpectedly huge offset supply have made the EU ETSunstable
It needs to cost more to remain outside rather than inside a scheme Lack of price premium has hampered most voluntary certification schemes
REDD has struggled to have impact because private sector is disengaged andcontinues to operate on a business as usual basis
Environmental Markets Lessons Learned
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Projections are that global industrial roundwood demand will begin to plateau around 2.3-2.5
billion m3per annum in 2030.
100 to 150 million hectares of commercial plantation area (2.5-3.75% of world forest cover)
could supply most of this timber, while timber production from frontier regions (Canada,
Russia, tropical natural forests) will stabilize or decline. Biomass demand may double this.
Towards the Future
Mechanisms to price ecosystems via
REDD, BioBanking, watershed
protection, etc. alongside
commercial timber plantations could
produce the basis for the
stabilization of conservation and
production functions
Large scale deals like NZ, Australia,
Indonesia-Norway, Boreal Canada,etc.
Ultimately this must be driven by
private capital and investment
Can forestry represent a natural infrastructure asset class?
Canopy view of New Forests Malua Biobank in Sabah, Malaysia.
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World timber demand will continue to rise, markets will evolve to
encompass Asian demand growth
Supply increases will primarily come from timber plantations, rather
than further expansion of the economic margin in primary forests
Increases in plantation area are more difficult to achieve than increases
in productivity of existing plantation baseland competition will also
rise among food, energy, and fibre crops
Institutional portfolios have gone from 5% real assets in 2000 to 15%
real assets today, and likely will reach 25-30% by 2025huge inflow of
capital for real estate, infrastructure, agriculture, forestry, etc.
Need fopr a financing source for conservation as well as production
this could include REDD+, biobanking, water rights, no net loss supplychains, etc.
Social and community integration via benefit sharing, consultation, and
governance models, and respect for traditional and legal rights will be
core to sustainable outcomes
Key Points & Conclusions
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www.newforests.com.au
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Appendices
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July 2005Company established in Sydney and
receives Australian Financial Service Licence
May 2007Establishes US office
August 2008Establishes SE Asian office
October 2009Begins Funds Management Business
August 2010Closes the AU$490 million Australia New
Zealand Forest Fund
New Forests History
January 2011Closes AU$415 million acquisition of
270,000 hectares of Australian forest land from the
Receivers of Great Southern Plantations
2011-2012Acquires major softwood plantations and
softwood sawmills in Australia
June 2013Final close of the New Forests Tropical Asia
Forest Fund, now with commitments of US$171 million,
and first close of the New Forests Australia New
Zealand Forest Fund 2 with AU$570 in commitments
June 2013 Makes first Asian investment, acquiring
Hijauan Benkoka plantations in Sabah
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Supply from Russia is Declining
Russian softwood exports have hit a wall
Russian log exports have
fallen dramatically over
the past six years while
lumber exports have been
flat to slightly increasing.
Source: FAOstat
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
Millionscubicmetres
Roundwood
Sawnwood
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Canadian Supply Falling
Policy Constraints and Mountain Pine Beetle impact will lead to near-term
decline in timber supply, leveling off in the medium to long term.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
British
Columbia
Alberta Ontario Quebec
Canadian Timber Supply
2009 & 2050 Forecast
(million m3)
Softwood Annual Allowable Cut 2009
Estimated 2050
Source: Mark Kennedy, CIBC. Global Perspectives on Forest Products Trade. Presentation to Future Forestry Finance 2012.
Natural Forest Logging Collapse (repeated
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Natural Forest Logging Collapse (repeatedfrom main preso)
Regional Collapse in Natural Forest Logging in Malaysia and Indonesia
Sources: Mala ysia Timber Council and personal communication with Yayasa n Sabah. / Indonesi an Forestry Department Annual Report, 2008.
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Slide 119
Australian Plantation Harvest Rising
Australian hardwood plantations are steadily replacing
a declining supply from native forests
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
'000m3
Native and Plantation Hardwood Harvest
Native Plantation
Source : ABARES, Forest and Wood Product Statistics.
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Slide 120
Global industrial roundwooddemand is likely to rise from 1.5
billion m3in 2013 to 2.5 billionm3by 2050
Somewhat speculative forecastssuggest biomass energy, biofuelsand biomaterials demand coulddwarf industrial roundwood
demand over next 30 years* Almost all incremental supply will
come from timber plantationsboth productivity enhancementand plantation area will need toincrease
Investment needed could rangebetween $100 and $500 billion tomeet these levels of demand
Increasing Importance of Plantations
Source: FAO, 2010. Global Forest Resource Assessment.
*WWF, 2013 Living Planet Report
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Slide 121
0
200
400
600
800
15
20
25
30
2012 2025 2035 2045 2055 2065
TRV
-TotalRecoverableVolume(m3/ha)
Base Management Nutrition
Genetics TRV
AverageGrowthRate(m3/ha
/yr)
If industrial wood demand
grows at an equivalent rateto global GDP can we meetmuch of this viaproductivity enhancementrather than land base
expansion Investor strategies focus on
silviculture, nutrition, riskmanagement and genetics
to increase productivity by50-100% over the next 50years
Example of Productivity GainsSoftwood in Australia
Plantation Productivity Can Increase
*Source: Timberlands Pacific Pty Ltd
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Slide 122
Future wood supply growth will largely be delivered by
plantationsthis will be from existing plantations managed
more intensively and expansion of plantation areaexpansion
is a key policy challenge
As timber plantations take on increasing share of wood supply,
innovation is needed in financial mechanisms for forest
conservationREDD, biobanks, supply chain initiatives
Social outcomes need to balance multiple stakeholders and
conflicting interests and rights. Innovations around
consultation/governance models, sharing in economic
benefits, community benefits are needed
What Government Policies are Needed?
A modern forest policy framework needs to address woodsupply, forest conservation and sustainability issues
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Slide 123
Third-party verified sustainable forest management will add significant value: Price premiums and better market access for certain products
Lower project and political risk through reduced social conflicts
Improved asset liquidity and lower risk-adjusted discount rates on exit
Lower cost of debt capital and better debt access, especially from development banks
Improved access to licences, operating permits, or additional assets from host countries
Reputational risk reduction for fund investors
Opportunities for increasing operating efficiencies through better management
Opportunities for environmental market products from areas set aside from production
TAFF Certification Policy:
Achieve compliance against IFC Performance Standards within three years of acquisition on allassets including plantations, natural forests, and processing facilities
Achieve FSC certification on all natural forests within three years of acquisition if the asset
meets all FSC eligibility criteria Where plantation assets do not meet all FSC eligibility criteria, engage an FSC-accredited
certification body to undertake third-party verification of compliance with all applicable FSCrequirements and, depending on market requirements, pursue additional third-partycertification against an alternative certification system depending on market demands such asPEFC, LEI, FSC controlled wood, VLO, and/or VLC or other future standard that may bedeveloped
TAFF Certification & Sustainability
New Forests is committed to sustainable management of TAFF investments
i i
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External Motivations
New Forests designed its Social and Environmental Management
System (SEMS) in 2010 and began full implementation in 2011.
The SEMS is designed to systematically identify, manage, and report
on social and environmental issues and potential impacts.
The SEMS helps us win clients:
English pension fund manager said, Youre the only manager weve seen
who can show how they manage assets sustainably.
Dutch pension fund manager said, FSC certification is absolutely required
for us as a target and your SEMS shows us how you pursue that.
Provides a reference point and tool for due diligence
The SEMS helps us provide client services and meet requests: Current clients ask to see audit reports
Streamlines responses to client inquiries
Risk management and continual improvement.