NEM (2016-2030) - MIG17June2013 (Part 1).pdf
Transcript of NEM (2016-2030) - MIG17June2013 (Part 1).pdf
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PROPOSAL FOR NET ENERGY METERING
PROGRAM (2016-2030)
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History of Malaysia Grid Connected Solar PV and Ways Forward
History: • (2007-2011) Suria 1000 Solar PV Subsidy Program - Government Initiative (Total 1.5 MWp installed at an
estimated cost of 30 Million Ringgit) • (2012-2017) Feed-in-Tariff - Public Fund/ Consumers Funded (1.6%, ~ 600mil/year , 20++ years)
Ways Forward: • Roof Top PV Net Energy Metering(2016-2030)
• Proposed Cumulative PV capacities Targets : • 2020: 1,356 MWp (1.03% based on total national electricity generation), • 2025 : 6,393 MWp ( 4.41%) • 2030: 17,075 MWp by 2030 (11.40%)
• Utility Scale Solar PV Installation (2018 Onward) –Total Proposed Capacity 1000MWp • Building Code (2021-2030) : Total Proposed Capacity 500MWp • Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) (2021-2030) – Total Proposed Capacity 194MWp
Complimentary Technologies • Grid Stabilization - Energy Storage ( 2020 onward for power utility and 2025 onward for private investment ) • Smart Grid Management System • Energy Efficiency • Other Renewable Energy
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• BENEFITS of NET ENERGY METERING PROGRAM
CONSUMERS - Generate their own electricity to lower their monthly electricity bill and peak demand charges. - Hedge against portion of their electricity cost in future
NATION/COUNTRY - Reduce Nation Peak demand load - Reduce use of subsidized Gas and /OR Expensive Import
LNG - Reduction of CO2 emission
POWER UTILITY COMPANIES (TNB/SESB/SESCO) - Reduce Transmission and Distribution System Upgrading Cost - Reduce electricity losses in Transmission & Distribution Line
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Basis For Proposed PV Installation Capacity Targets - (2016-2030)
1. Based on 2014 SuruhanJaya Tenaga (ST) Forecast of Maximum Demand (MD) from (2016-2030) and Electricity Consumption & Generation in GigaWatthour (GWhr) (2016 -2030)
2. Based on International Energy Agency ( IEA ) Forecast on Global PV generation energy mixed percentage by 2050 (16%)
3. Domestic PV Industry Sustainability and Steady Growth 4. Current Tariff Structures and Forecast Tariff in Future
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1st Basis: SURUHANJAYA TENAGA 2014 FORECAST (2016-2030)
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2nd BASIS: Past Trend of Global Cumulative Solar PV Installation (2000-2014) (Data from EPIA )
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2nd Basis (contd) : IEA Forecast Global PV Generation (2015-2050)
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2nd Basis (Contd.) : US Solar PV rooftop Installation & Average Cost (2000-2013)
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3rd Basis: Malaysia PV rooftop Installations & Average Cost (2011-2015)
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Installed Capacity (MWp) 1.50 31.59 107.05 52.84 66.04 Cumulative Capacity (MWp) 1.50 33.09 140.14 192.98 259.02
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50.00
100.00
150.00
200.00
250.00
300.00
15,000
11000 10000
8500 7500
Average System Cost (RM/kWp)
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4th Basis: Malaysia Current Electricity Tariff Structure