NCCMP - . Company Analysis - Part 1

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    Session 05

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    NSE Certified Capital Market Professional

    (NCCMP)

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    Growth in

    national

    output

    Growth in

    industry

    sales.

    Growth in

    company

    sales.

    Net Profit

    Margin

    Companys

    marketshare

    Input-output

    relations

    &Consumption

    patterns

    Company Analysis Industry Analysis Economy Analysis

    g

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    Fundamental Analysis

    Part 1

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    Years0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

    A GNP projections a0 a1 a2 a3 a4 a5 a6 a7 a8 a9 a10

    B Business cycle / Growth rate cycle

    C Macro-economic policy changes

    D Population projections

    E Demographic profile

    F Income distribution

    G Industry life cycle

    H Technological changes

    I Industry related policy changes

    J Industry sales estimates j0 j1 j2 j3 j4 j5 j6 j7 j8 j9 j10

    K Quality of management

    L Quality of technology

    M Market share of the company

    N Company sales estimates n0 n1 n2 n3 n4 n5 n6 n7 n8 n9 n10

    O Net profit margin

    P Net profit p0 p1 p2 p3 p4 p5 p6 p7 p8 p9 p10

    Q Number of equity shares

    Q EPS q0 q1 q2 q3 q4 q5 q6 q7 q8 q9 q10

    Adjust Ofor

    1. Increasing costs of scarce/non-renewable

    resources.

    2. Increasing cost of energy.

    3. Increasing costs of environmentalconservation.

    E-I-C Analysis Working Sheet

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    J Industry sales estimates

    Market share

    Market structure & Barriers to entry

    K Quality of management

    Quality of plant & Process technology

    L Locational advantage

    Quality of labour & Industrial relations

    Cost structure

    M Marketing set up

    Effective rate of protection

    Financial ratios

    N Company sales estimates

    O Net profit margin

    P Net profitQ Number of equity shares

    Q EPSCompan

    yspecificvaria

    bles

    1

    2

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    These determine the market leadership and

    therefore, the pricing power that the company enjoys.But these change over time, and the company may have

    to incur costs to conserve them in the nature of costs

    of product differentiation, advertising, marketing and

    technological development.

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    Market share of the company

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    Market share of the company will

    determine, what part of the total industry sales

    become company sales.

    But the market share, or more correctly

    the market structure / the position of thecompany in the market - whether it is a large

    dominant firm, a #2 large firm, one small firm

    among many, a niche player, a marginal player,

    also determines the profit margin that it can

    enjoy. Higher the domination of the market,

    higher is the margin that the firm can enjoy.

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    Relationship between market share

    and profitability

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    Economies of scale

    The most obvious rationale for the high rate of

    return enjoyed by large-share businesses is that theyhave achieved economies of scale in procurement,

    manufacturing, marketing, and other cost components.

    A business with a 40% share of a given market is

    simply twice as big as one with 20% share of the samemarket.

    Market power

    Large-scale firms earn higher profits than theirsmaller competitors, as a result of their greater market

    power : their size permits them to bargain more

    effectively, administer prices, and, thereby, realize

    significantly higher prices for a particular product.

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    Quality of management cannot be defined

    and measured accurately; but it can be perceived

    very clearly.

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    Professional Management v/s Family Management

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    Quality of Management

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    Corporate pitfalls

    Professional management v/s Family

    management

    Succession planning

    Financial integrity

    Political collusion / lobbying

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    The lack of succession planning at some of the biggest

    public companies poses a serious threat to corporate health

    especially as companies struggle toward a recovery," says

    Stephen A. Miles, Vice Chairman at leadership advisory firm

    Heidrick & Struggles and a global expert on succession planning.

    "Not having a truly operational succession plan can have

    devastating consequences for companies from tanking stockprices to serious regulatory and reputational impact.

    This governance lapse stems primarily from a lack of

    focus : boards of directors just arent spending the time that is

    required to adequately prepare for a succession scenario.

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    inan

    cialIntegr

    ity

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    Nira Radia tapes

    http://virsanghvi--42-188819-0-24-20090522-130319.mp3/
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    J Industry sales estimates

    Market share

    Market structure & Barriers to entry

    K Quality of management

    Quality of plant & Process technology

    L Locational advantage

    Quality of labour & Industrial relations

    Cost structure

    M Marketing set up

    Effective rate of protection

    Financial ratios

    N Company sales estimates

    O Net profit margin

    P Net profitQ Number of equity shares

    Q

    EPS

    Compan

    yspecificvaria

    bles

    1

    2

    Session 06