NCCMP - . Company Analysis - Part 1
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Transcript of NCCMP - . Company Analysis - Part 1
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Session 05
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NSE Certified Capital Market Professional
(NCCMP)
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Growth in
national
output
Growth in
industry
sales.
Growth in
company
sales.
Net Profit
Margin
Companys
marketshare
Input-output
relations
&Consumption
patterns
Company Analysis Industry Analysis Economy Analysis
g
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Fundamental Analysis
Part 1
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Years0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
A GNP projections a0 a1 a2 a3 a4 a5 a6 a7 a8 a9 a10
B Business cycle / Growth rate cycle
C Macro-economic policy changes
D Population projections
E Demographic profile
F Income distribution
G Industry life cycle
H Technological changes
I Industry related policy changes
J Industry sales estimates j0 j1 j2 j3 j4 j5 j6 j7 j8 j9 j10
K Quality of management
L Quality of technology
M Market share of the company
N Company sales estimates n0 n1 n2 n3 n4 n5 n6 n7 n8 n9 n10
O Net profit margin
P Net profit p0 p1 p2 p3 p4 p5 p6 p7 p8 p9 p10
Q Number of equity shares
Q EPS q0 q1 q2 q3 q4 q5 q6 q7 q8 q9 q10
Adjust Ofor
1. Increasing costs of scarce/non-renewable
resources.
2. Increasing cost of energy.
3. Increasing costs of environmentalconservation.
E-I-C Analysis Working Sheet
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J Industry sales estimates
Market share
Market structure & Barriers to entry
K Quality of management
Quality of plant & Process technology
L Locational advantage
Quality of labour & Industrial relations
Cost structure
M Marketing set up
Effective rate of protection
Financial ratios
N Company sales estimates
O Net profit margin
P Net profitQ Number of equity shares
Q EPSCompan
yspecificvaria
bles
1
2
Session 06
Session 05
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These determine the market leadership and
therefore, the pricing power that the company enjoys.But these change over time, and the company may have
to incur costs to conserve them in the nature of costs
of product differentiation, advertising, marketing and
technological development.
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Market share of the company
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Market share of the company will
determine, what part of the total industry sales
become company sales.
But the market share, or more correctly
the market structure / the position of thecompany in the market - whether it is a large
dominant firm, a #2 large firm, one small firm
among many, a niche player, a marginal player,
also determines the profit margin that it can
enjoy. Higher the domination of the market,
higher is the margin that the firm can enjoy.
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Relationship between market share
and profitability
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Economies of scale
The most obvious rationale for the high rate of
return enjoyed by large-share businesses is that theyhave achieved economies of scale in procurement,
manufacturing, marketing, and other cost components.
A business with a 40% share of a given market is
simply twice as big as one with 20% share of the samemarket.
Market power
Large-scale firms earn higher profits than theirsmaller competitors, as a result of their greater market
power : their size permits them to bargain more
effectively, administer prices, and, thereby, realize
significantly higher prices for a particular product.
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Quality of management cannot be defined
and measured accurately; but it can be perceived
very clearly.
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Professional Management v/s Family Management
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Quality of Management
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Corporate pitfalls
Professional management v/s Family
management
Succession planning
Financial integrity
Political collusion / lobbying
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The lack of succession planning at some of the biggest
public companies poses a serious threat to corporate health
especially as companies struggle toward a recovery," says
Stephen A. Miles, Vice Chairman at leadership advisory firm
Heidrick & Struggles and a global expert on succession planning.
"Not having a truly operational succession plan can have
devastating consequences for companies from tanking stockprices to serious regulatory and reputational impact.
This governance lapse stems primarily from a lack of
focus : boards of directors just arent spending the time that is
required to adequately prepare for a succession scenario.
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inan
cialIntegr
ity
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Nira Radia tapes
http://virsanghvi--42-188819-0-24-20090522-130319.mp3/ -
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J Industry sales estimates
Market share
Market structure & Barriers to entry
K Quality of management
Quality of plant & Process technology
L Locational advantage
Quality of labour & Industrial relations
Cost structure
M Marketing set up
Effective rate of protection
Financial ratios
N Company sales estimates
O Net profit margin
P Net profitQ Number of equity shares
Q
EPS
Compan
yspecificvaria
bles
1
2
Session 06