Course 5: NBA Strategy

Intro to Advanced NBA Strategy

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Lesson Overview

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I. NBA advanced stats

II. The importance of minutes

III. Vegas elements to consider

IV. To stack or not to stack?

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DraftKings vs. FanDuel

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Stat DK Points FD Points

2-point FG +2.0 PT +2.0 PT

3-point FG +3.5 PT +3.0 PT

Free throw +1.0 PT +1.0 PT

Rebound +1.25 PT +1.2 PT

Assist +1.5 PT +1.5 PT

Steal +2.0 PT +2.0 PT

Block +2.0 PT +2.0 PT

Turnover -0.5 PT -1.0 PT

Double-double +1.5 PT N/A

Triple-double +3.0 PT N/A

Late Player Swap Yes No

● DraftKings gives additional points for milestones - Double-Doubles and Triple-Doubles

● PG and PF tend to benefit from these milestones and should be targeted more on DK

● FanDuel penalizes more for turnovers

● No penalty for missed shots. Volume is more valuable than efficient shooting

● Player swap is allowed on DraftKings, FanDuel does not allow you to edit lineups after games begin

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DFS Advanced Stats

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Stat Notes

Fantasy Points per Minute Serves as basis for projected fantasy points

PER Player Efficiency Rating - takes in missed shots, TOs, fouls

Usage Rate (USG%) Amount of possessions a player uses during the game

Team Pace How fast a team plays overall, dictates game opportunities

Player Pace Individual players play faster than others

Offensive Efficiency (OEFF) Offensive rating - points scored per 100 possessions

Defensive Efficiency (DEFF) Defensive rating - points given up per 100 possessions

Rebound Percentage Player’s ability to grab rebounds

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Using Vegas

5* Data from RotoGrinders - 2013-2014 NBA Season

Stat

Game Flow

Spread

Over/Under

Blowout Factor

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Minutes vs Fantasy Point

6Source: Daily Fantasy Cafe

FPTs per game and Minutes per game display a strong correlation

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FP/Min vs FP/Game

7Source: Daily Fantasy Cafe

FPTs per Min and FPTs per game display a strong correlation

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PER vs. FPTs per Min (Season)

8Source: KahlanRahl on Reddit

PER and fantasy points per minute display a strong correlation

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Usage Rate and Fantasy Points per Night

9Source: KahlanRahl on Reddit

Usage rate and FPTs per night display a moderate correlation

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To Stack or Not to Stack?

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● Not a preferred strategy, players tend to not be correlated

● Play at your own risk

Consider:

● Point Guards and Centers

● Close Games and Overtime

● Depleted Rosters

● Game Stack

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DraftKings - How to Use the Utility Spot

11* Data Provided from numberFire

Point Guards, Power Forwards, and Centers are most prevalent

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NBA Cash Game Strategy

12* Data Provided from DraftKings

Average scores needed to cash in a 50/50 NBA contest on DraftKings

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NBA Tournament and GPP Strategy

13* Data Provided from DraftKings

Average scores needed to cash in a large field tournament NBA contest on DraftKings

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NBA Lineup Example

14* Data Provided from DraftKings

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More Resources

Visit our Support Center to watch video tutorials on how to use RotoQL

• rotoql.zendesk.com

Monitor daily fantasy news, strategy and advice articles at the QL Wire

• rotoql.com/qlwire

If you are new to DFS or just need a refresher on the fundamentals, visit RotoU

• rotoql.com/university

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