Navigating Volatility in the Stock Market
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Transcript of Navigating Volatility in the Stock Market
Volatility Can Be Your Friend…
If You’ve Got a GPS for Trades
Marc Chaikin, CEO of Chaikin Analytics
AlphaShark Trading SymposiumSeptember 26, 2015
Why Marc Chaikin?
50 Years on Wall Street
Survived 10 Bear Markets
45 Years Using Technical Analysis
Mentored by Smartest Institutional Investors
Created Chaikin Power Gauge Rating – Culmination of my Life’s Work
Sign up Now: www.chaikinanalytics.com/shark
In the next 45 minutes…
Learn The 5 Keys To Maximizing Profits in Any Market
1. Find Bulls & Bears With Chaikin Power Gauge and Chaikin
Relative Strength
2. 3 Indicators that Predict Future Price Movement
3. Dramatically improve your Timing with Buy/Sell Signals
4. Use Earnings Season to Supercharge Your Profits
5. Avoid Land Mines that Destroy Portfolios
Sign up Now: www.chaikinanalytics.com/shark
Netted $17,408 profit this morning:
"I have found more success in the past two weeks using Chaikin than I have had
the rest of the year . . . I had the biggest winner of the year today on Yelp
earnings (based on Marc's Bearish play of the week). I bought 3 different puts
strikes, risking $7,168 and netted $17,408 profit this morning” - Mike T., 7/29/15
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Individual Investors Agree
“I’m a cheap bastard but I subscribed to Chaikin …made $2,260 in a week
and a half!
Chaikin Analytics is Invaluable!”
“I love the product. Chaikin has really helped me find winners and get out
of positions that were rolling over.”
“I made +106% on the CPA put in less than 48 hours. Missed the KSS
trade. I’m a happy camper.”
“On Monday I took CLDX trade from the this week’s hotlist. In 1 day I
made 400% profit. Thanks very much, CLDX 21 put buy 0.95. Sold 3.80”
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Technicals
• Price Trend
• Price Trend Rate of Change
• Chaikin Money Flow
• Relative Strength vs. Market
• Volume Trend
Financials
• LT Debt to Equity Ratio
• Price to Book Value
• Return on Equity
• Price to Sales Ratio
• Free Cash Flow
Earnings
• Earnings Growth
• Earnings Surprise
• Earnings Trend
• Projected P/E Ratio
• Earnings Consistency
Chaikin Power Gauge RatingClear summary of a stock’s potential - with a record of success
Experts
• Earnings Estimate Trend
• Short Interest
• Insider Activity
• Analyst Ratings
• Industry Relative Strength
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Power Gauge Ratings: Life To Date
Model Performance
1/2/99 - 6/30/15
(all returns annualized)
• Includes Test Period &
Real World results7.43%
0.18%
3%
7%
13%
21.21%
0
6
12
17
23
Annualiz
ed R
etu
rn%
Life to Date
Avg Stock +9.26%
Russell 3000 stock universe. Annualized return by
rating group vs benchmark, 4-week rebalancing.
Results are equal-weighted. Russell 3000 ETF is cap-
weighted. Both include dividends.
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Power Gauge Ratings: Last 12 months
Model Performance
7/1/14 - 6/30/15
Russell 3000 stock universe. Annualized return by rating group vs benchmark, 4-week rebalancing.Results are equal-weighted. Russell 3000 ETF is cap-weighted. Both include dividends.
7.06%
-2.69%
0.26%
1.49%
4.52%
9.89%
-4.0
-0.3
3.5
7.3
11.0
Annualiz
ed R
etu
rn%
TTM thru Q2 2015
Avg Stock +2.78%
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18 month performance vs. benchmarks 4/1/14 - 9/14/15
NASDAQ Chaikin Indexes – Launched 4/1/2014
Nasdaq
Benchmark
Nasdaq/
Chaikin IndexIncrease in Return
Large Cap +4.53% +9.05% +452 bps
Small Cap -1.02% +5.45% +647 bps
Dividends -3.20% +4.13% +733 bps
Nasdaq partnered with Chaikin to overlay our ‘Enhanced Alpha’ strategies on popular Nasdaq indexes.
These co-branded indexes will serve as the basis for investible products.
In year 1, all 3 Chaikin indexes - which are unmanaged -
outperformed their benchmarks returning 49% to 76% more.
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1. Find Bulls & Bears With Chaikin Power Gauge and
Chaikin Relative Strength
2. 3 Indicators that Predict Future Price Movement
3. Dramatically improve your Timing with Buy/Sell Signals
4. Use Earnings Season to Supercharge Your Profits
5. Avoid Land Mines that Destroy Portfolios
The 5 Keys To Maximizing Profits in Any Market
Sign up Now: www.chaikinanalytics.com/shark
• Power Gauge Rating Bullish
• Relative Performance Strong
• Chaikin Money Flow Strong
What to Buy: Chaikin Classic Bulls
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• Power Gauge Rating Bearish
• Relative Performance Weak
• Chaikin Money Flow Weak
What to Sell: Chaikin Classic Bears
Sign up Now: www.chaikinanalytics.com/shark
1. Find Bulls & Bears with Chaikin Power Gauge and Chaikin Relative Strength
2. 3 Indicators that Predict Future Price Movement
• Dynamic Duo
• Personality Changes
• Chaikin Money Flow
3. Dramatically improve your Timing with Buy/Sell Signals
4. Use Earnings Season to Supercharge Your Portfolio
5. Avoid Land Mines that Destroy Portfolios
The 5 Keys To Maximizing Profits in Any Market
Sign up Now: www.chaikinanalytics.com/shark
1 - The Dynamic DuoChaikin Power Gauge Rating and Chaikin Relative Strength
• The Dynamic Duo finds big
Winners and Losers
• Relative Strength stands
alone as a bullish or
bearish indicator
• Superior returns come
from stocks that
outperform the market
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Market agrees with the Model
CMF stays negative
Market agrees with the Model
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Market agrees with the Model
CMF stays negative
Market agrees with the Model
Sign up Now: www.chaikinanalytics.com/shark
2 - The Key to Making and Keeping ProfitsSpotting Personality Changes
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Institutions Fly Under the Radar
3 - Monitor stealth buying and selling with Chaikin Money Flow
Bearish Personality ChangeBearish Personality Change
CMF stays negative
Bearish Personality Change
CMF stays negative
Sign up Now: www.chaikinanalytics.com/shark
1. Find Bulls & Bears with Chaikin Power Gauge and Chaikin
Relative Strength
2. 3 Indicators that Predict Future Price Movement
3. Dramatically Improve Timing with Buy/Sell Signals
4. Use Earnings Season to Supercharge Your Profits
5. Avoid Land Mines that Destroy Portfolios
The 5 Keys To Maximizing Profits in Any Market
Sign up Now: www.chaikinanalytics.com/shark
A DISCIPLINE
based on proven
analytics, gives
you
conviction…better
than trading on
EMOTIONS
To Trade More Profitably: Follow the signals
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A DISCIPLINE
based on proven
analytics, gives
you
conviction…better
than EMOTION.
To Trade More Profitably: Follow the signals
Sign up Now: www.chaikinanalytics.com/shark
$8k In 2 Days
“Just wanted to thank you for the word on ESL. Bought puts
on Wednesday for $1,700 and sold them this morning for
$10,200! That's awesome!”
- B.W., Chaikin Analytics Subscriber 6/5/15
Sign up Now: www.chaikinanalytics.com/shark
1. Find Bulls & Bears with Chaikin Power Gauge and Chaikin
Relative Strength
2. 3 Indicators that Predict Future Price Movement
3. Dramatically Improve Timing with Buy/Sell Signals
4. Use Earnings Season To Supercharge Your Profits
5. Avoid Land Mines that Destroy Portfolios
The 5 Keys To Maximizing Profits in Any Market
Sign up Now: www.chaikinanalytics.com/shark
A Quick $21,500 Profit
“Using the Upcoming Earnings Ideas in Chaikin Analytics, Netflix
had a very Bearish rating… bought 3 put contracts before
earnings on 10/15 for $22.20 and sold the day after earnings for
$93.90. A quick $21,500 profit.”
– J.V., Chaikin Analytics subscriber
Sign up Now: www.chaikinanalytics.com/shark
Market agrees with the ModelMarket agrees with the Model
Sign up Now: www.chaikinanalytics.com/shark
1. Find Bulls & Bears with Chaikin Power Gauge and Chaikin
Relative Strength
2. The 3 Indicators that Predict Future Price Movement
3. Dramatically Improve Timing with Buy/Sell Signals
4. Using Earnings Season to Supercharge Your Profits
5. Avoid Land Mines That Destroy Portfolios
The 5 Keys To Outperforming The Market
Sign up Now: www.chaikinanalytics.com/shark
Good Defense Leads to Good Offense”It’s the stocks you don’t own that matter”
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Market agrees with the Model
CMF stays negative
Market agrees with the Model
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Now You Know
The 5 Keys To Maximizing your Profits in Any Market
1. Find Bulls & Bears with Chaikin Power Gauge and Relative Strength
2. Rely on 3 Indicators that Predict Future Price Movement
3. Dramatically Improve your Timing with Buy/Sell Signals
4. Use Earnings Season to Supercharge Your Profits
5. Avoid Land Mines that Destroy Portfolios
Sign up Now: www.chaikinanalytics.com/shark
• Strong Groups = Tailwinds: Long Profits
• Weak Groups = Headwinds: Short Opportunities
ETF Sector & Group Strength or WeaknessBonus Key to Profits
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Market agrees with the Model
CMF stays negative
Market agrees with the Model
Sign up Now: www.chaikinanalytics.com/shark
Next Steps To Success
1. Reserve Your Free Professional Training Session
2. Get Our Daily & Weekly Market Insights
3. Sign Up for Personal Coaching Sessions
4. Apply The Chaikin Methodolgy To Your Strategy
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Chaikin Analytics $1950
Webinar Special
Only $1,750
www.chaikinanalytics.com/shark
Expires Monday, September 28
Or contact [email protected] 1-877-697-6783
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Turbo charge your profits
* Chaikin Market Insights Weekly Newsletter
* Small group tutorials to help you set up and use all the
features
* Subscriber-Only Open Forums, live bi-monthly Q&A
sessions
* John Schlitz’s Daily Morning Insights
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Invaluable: Market Insights
CHAIKIN MARKET INSIGHTS – July 26, 2015
Bearish Stock of the Week – Yelp Inc. (YELP) – 34.56
Yelp Inc. has a very bearish Chaikin Power Gauge rating and reports its
2nd quarter earnings after the close on Tuesday July 28. When YELP
reported their 1st quarter earnings in late April, the stock dropped over
20% on disappointing engagement numbers.
Buy put options on YELP ahead of Tuesday’s earnings.
Sign up Now: www.chaikinanalytics.com/shark
Netted $17,408 profit this morning:
"I have found more success in the past two weeks using Chaikin than I have had
the rest of the year . . . I had the biggest winner of the year today on Yelp
earnings (based on Marc's Bearish play of the week). I risked $7,168 and
netted $17,408 profit this morning” - Mike T., 7/29/15
Almost Tripled My Money Today!
“John thanks so much for RMBS (Rambus Inc.) today. Almost tripled my money on this inone day. I realize it may go lower but this was a great call. Thanks!!!”
- A.P., 9/16/15
Sign up Now: www.chaikinanalytics.com/shark
10x Return In 5 Days!
"In the 5 business days that I have been using Chaikin Analytics, I have paid for the subscription over ten fold. These initial results are nothing short of astounding. “
—GC, 6/4/15