Navigating The First 100 Days - Home | Navigator

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Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted April 8-April 12, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org Navigating The First 100 Days Update: Thursday, April 15

Transcript of Navigating The First 100 Days - Home | Navigator

Page 1: Navigating The First 100 Days - Home | Navigator

Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted April 8-April 12, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org

Navigating The First 100 Days

Update:Thursday, April 15

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Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted April 8-April 12, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org

Key Takeaways:• Though only half report hearing “a lot” or “some” about

Biden’s “American Jobs Plan,” seven in ten support it once described.

• The most supported parts of Biden’s plan include repairing roads and bridges, fixing drinking water, and protecting America against future pandemics.

• Effective progressive messaging on Biden’s infrastructure plan focuses on the urgent need for domestic job creation, rather than American competitiveness in the global economy.

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Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted April 8-April 12, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org

Majorities of Democrats (90% positive or mix) and independents (67%) report hearing positive things or a mix of positive and negative things, as do 41% of Republicans.

In a few words, what positive things have you seen, read, or heard recently about Joe Biden?

In Addition to the Pandemic and Vaccines, Infrastructure Now Breaking Through in Conversation Around Biden

Hearing Mostly/Some Positive: 67%

“He has met his goals for coronavirus vaccines, he wants to improve infrastructure.”

“Used mass distribution of the vaccine & now working on infrastructure.”

“He has proposed a very large and comprehensive plan to update the nation's infrastructure and create millions of good paying jobs.”

“That we are rolling out the vaccine at a better than expected rate.”

“He is working hard to help us recover from coronavirus.”

March 29th

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Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted April 8-April 12, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org

Democrats (56% “a lot” or “some”) and Hispanic Americans (56%) are hearing the most about the proposal.

How much have you seen, read, or heard about President Biden's infrastructure proposal, known as the "American Jobs Plan"?

Half of Americans Say They Are Hearing a “Lot” or “Some” on Biden’s Infrastructure Proposal

48

56

39

42

49

56

47

50

52

44

61

58

51

44

53

50

A lot/Some

Overall

Democrats

Independents

Republicans

Black

Hispanic

White

Asian

A little/Nothing

Nationwide survey of 1,256 registered voters conducted April 8-April 12, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresarch.org.

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Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted April 8-April 12, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org

While 51% of Americans support the plan initially, support jumps to 70% when learning more about the proposal, including double-digit increases across all partisan and racial groups.

As you may know, President Biden has proposed the "American Jobs Plan." Do you support or oppose the "American Jobs Plan"?

Majorities Support Biden's New “American Jobs Plan”

51

774223

76584460

30

21

44

39

20

29

33

31

19

1438

413239

Overall

Democrats

Independents

Republicans

Black

Hispanic

White

Asian

70

916348

88716677

11

6

24

14

7

12

11

14

19

31338

517239

Support Oppose

Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted April 8-April 12, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org

Nationwide survey of 1,256 registered voters conducted April 8-April 12, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresarch.org.

Support OpposeNot sure Not sure

Regardless of how much you have heard about the "American Jobs Plan," do you support or oppose President Biden passing a new infrastructure plan to fix highways, bridges, and roads, expand high speed broadband, upgrade and build new schools, modernize our electric grid, and invest in clean energy?

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Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted April 8-April 12, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org

Among independents, a majority support each of a range of proposals, from rebuilding highways and roads to upgrading and building new schools and child care facilities.

Bipartisan Majorities Support Most Infrastructure Proposals

Fixing and rebuilding highways, roads, and bridges

Eliminating all lead pipes in our drinking water systems

Investing to protect America against future pandemics

Building high-speed broadband infrastructure to reach 100 percent of American households

Investing in clean energy generation and storage, like solar panels and wind turbines

Upgrading and building new schools and child care facilities

Raising wages and benefits for essential home care workers

Addressing racial inequalities by investing in communities of color

Upgrading and modernizing airports, ports, and public transit systems

Investing in reliable passenger and freight rails service, like Amtrak

Building electric vehicle charging stations across the country

For each policy proposed as a part of Biden’s new infrastructure bill, indicate whether you support or oppose it.

Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted February 25-March 1, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org

Nationwide survey of 1,007 registered voters conducted February 25-March 1, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresarch.org.

56

55

54

44

44

43

43

40

38

33

32

31

28

27

32

27

33

33

23

39

37

29

6

8

8

10

7

8

7

10

9

11

11

7

9

11

14

22

16

17

27

14

19

28

Strongly support Oppose

Total Support

Total Dem Ind Rep

88 93 85 82

83 91 80 73

81 92 82 68

76 91 71 60

70 91 71 46

76 93 71 58

76 93 74 58

63 88 58 36

77 90 73 64

70 86 67 54

61 83 59 37

Somewhat support

Nationwide survey of 1,256 registered voters conducted April 8-April 12, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresarch.org.

Not sure

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Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted April 8-April 12, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org

While 53% of Republicans earning less than $50,000 annually support raising incomes taxes on those making more than $400,000 per year, only 38% of Republicans earning more than $100,000 annually support it.

Majorities Support Closing Tax Loopholes, Raising Income Taxes on Wealthy and Increasing Corporate Tax Rate

Closing tax loopholes for multinational corporations

Raising income taxes on those earning more than $400,000 per year

Increasing the corporate tax rate from 21% to 28%

For each policy proposed as a part of Biden’s new infrastructure bill, indicate whether you support or oppose it.

Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted February 25-March 1, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org

Nationwide survey of 1,007 registered voters conducted February 25-March 1, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresarch.org.

74

69

56

12

9

13

14

22

31

Support Oppose

Support

Dem: <$50K

Dem: $50K-$100K

Dem: $100K+ Ind Rep:

<$50K

Rep: $50K-$100K

Rep: $100K+

85 89 91 69 62 56 64

88 93 90 64 53 43 38

77 87 87 52 30 27 26

Nationwide survey of 1,256 registered voters conducted April 8-April 12, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresarch.org.

Not sure

50% strongly support

45% strongly support

38% strongly support

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Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted April 8-April 12, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org

For each policy proposed as a part of Biden’s new infrastructure bill, indicate whether you support or oppose it:• Increasing the corporate tax rate from 21% to 28%.• Raising income taxes on those earning more than $400,000 a year.

More than two in three independents support these proposals as part of new infrastructure legislation (71%).

Support both raising corporate tax & raising taxes on $400k+

52

79

45

24

17

11

19

23

4

3

7

4

27

7

30

49

Oppose / Not sure on both

Support raising corporate tax rate only

Three in Four Americans Support Raising Corporate Tax Rate, Taxes on the Wealthy, or Both to Pay For Infrastructure

Overall

Democrats

Independents

Republicans

Support raising taxes on $400k+ only

Nationwide survey of 1,256 registered voters conducted April 8-April 12, 2021.For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org.

% Support Raising Corp Tax / Over $400k

73

93

71

51

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Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted April 8-April 12, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org

Progressive messaging effectively refutes conservative claims that the government should limit spending on infrastructure.

Which of the following comes closest to your opinion?

Conservative Arguments Against Infrastructure Spending Lose Regardless of Whether Rebuttals Focus on Urgency or Jobs

Nationwide survey of 2,833 2020 voters released November 3rd; Results adjusted to reflect final FiveThirtyEight Forecast (53.4% for Biden, 45.4% for Trump); interviews conducted October 30-November 3, 2020.For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org

Nationwide survey of 1,000 registered voters conducted January 8-11, 2021.For more info, visit navigatorresarch.org.

Statement 1: The government should limit spending on infrastructure and services to avoid adding to the deficit and the national debt.

Statement 2: The government should spend whatever is necessary on infrastructure and services because we need to create jobs and build an economy for working people.

Statement 1: 38%

Statement 2: 62%Net Statement 2: +24

Nationwide survey of 1,005 registered voters conducted January 27-February 1, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresarch.org.

Statement 3: The government should spend whatever is necessary on infrastructure and services because we have neglected these investments for too long, and the pandemic showed how badly they are needed.

Statement 1: 40%

Statement 3: 60%Net Statement 3: +20

Nationwide survey of 1,256 registered voters conducted April 8-April 12, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresarch.org.

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Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted April 8-April 12, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org

Winning arguments against criticisms that Biden’s infrastructure proposal is a “massive liberal wish list” are focused on the creation of “millions of good-paying jobs.”Which do you agree with more?

A Progressive Argument Focused on Good-Paying Jobs Is Highly Effective

Nationwide survey of 2,833 2020 voters released November 3rd; Results adjusted to reflect final FiveThirtyEight Forecast (53.4% for Biden, 45.4% for Trump); interviews conducted October 30-November 3, 2020.For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org

Nationwide survey of 1,000 registered voters conducted January 8-11, 2021.For more info, visit navigatorresarch.org.

Statement 1: Those who say Biden's infrastructure proposal is a $2 trillion tax increase to fund a massive liberal wish list that will hurt small business owners and individuals while making America less competitive in the global economy.

Statement 2: Those who say we need Biden's infrastructure plan because it doesn't just invest in our crumbling infrastructure, but invests in our people by creating millions of good-paying jobs that will help our economy grow.

Statement 1: 34%

Statement 2: 48%Net Statement 2: +14

Statement 1: 38%

Statement 3: 40%Net Statement 3: +2

Nationwide survey of 1,005 registered voters conducted January 27-February 1, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresarch.org.

Statement 3: Those who say we need Biden's infrastructure plan because we cannot afford to kick the can down the road, especially after years of Republicans saying they're concerned about exploding the deficit while running up trillions of dollars in debt during the Trump administration.

Nationwide survey of 1,256 registered voters conducted April 8-April 12, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresarch.org.

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Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted April 8-April 12, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org

While messages on both competing on the world stage and domestic job creation are “convincing” to a majority, Americans are more convinced by language that focuses on domestic jobs that can’t be “outsourced.” • While 57% of white voters find messaging on global competition convincing, 67% find job creation convincing.Nonpartisan studies have shown the "American Jobs Plan" could create as many as 15 million jobs. How convincing is the following statement as a reason to pass the "American Jobs Plan"?

Messaging About Creating and Protecting Jobs Is Biggest Winner, Instead of Global Competition

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88

63

36

36

12

37

64

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Democrats

Independents

Republicans

70

91

66

48

30

9

34

52

Convincing Not convincing

Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted April 8-April 12, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org

Convincing Not convincing

The "American Jobs Plan" will invest in the type of economy that lets America compete on the world stage again with other

global superpowers like China.

The "American Jobs Plan" focuses on creating new jobs that can only be done in America – the kind of American jobs that

can't be downsized or outsourced.

Nationwide survey of 1,256 registered voters conducted April 8-April 12, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresarch.org.

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Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted April 8-April 12, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org

There has been a net increase of 5 points in the share who support “big, bold changes” since January 2020 (from +6 to +11), including notable upticks among Black Americans (from 62% to 74%) and independents (46% to 53%).Even if neither is completely right, which do you agree with more?

More Agree Income Gap Has Never Been Bigger and Support “Big, Bold Changes” Than Did Last Year

53

77

53

26

74

57

48

55

5

5

11

4

8

8

4

3

42

18

36

70

18

35

48

42

The gap between the wealthiest Americans and everyone else has never been bigger – we need big, bold changes in Washington to change the economic system so working people can get ahead

Overall

Democrats

Independents

Republicans

Black

Hispanic

White

Asian

We don’t need the government picking winners and losers – the best way to help working people is to keep taxes low and

get the government out of the way

January 2020

Big & Bold Small Gov’t

50 44

72 23

46 44

25 70

62 33

55 26

47 48

n/a* n/a**Previous survey’s sample size of AAPI interviews is too small for statistical analysis.Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted April 8-April 12, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org

33% agree much more

52% agree much more

27% agree much more

49% agree much more

48% agree much more

34% agree much more

30% agree much more

33% agree much more

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Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted April 8-April 12, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org

Nearly three in five agree “we need to make significant changes” when inequality is framed either as a reality exposed by the pandemic or as a consequence of it, rather than gradual economic changes.Even if neither is completely right, which do you agree with more?

Majorities Agree Pandemic Exposed Flaws in Our Economy and Support Significant Change Over Incrementalism

Throughout the coronavirus pandemic and economic crisis, our economy increasingly only works for the people at the top, so we need to make significant changes to give everyone the chance to succeed

59

78

51

40

6

2

13

8

35

20

36

52

Overall

Democrats

Independents

Republicans

57

71

57

42

6

6

10

4

37

23

33

54

The pandemic has exposed flaws in our economy that show it no longer works well for everyone, so we need to make significant changes to give everyone the chance to succeed

Our economy continues to work for most people, so any changes should be gradual so we do not

jeopardize the parts that work when fixing the parts that don’t

Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted April 8-April 12, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org

Our economy continues to work for most people, so any changes should be gradual so we do not

jeopardize the parts that work when fixing the parts that don’t

Nationwide survey of 1,256 registered voters conducted April 8-April 12, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresarch.org.

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Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted April 8-April 12, 2021. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org

About the StudyGlobal Strategy Group conducted public opinion surveys among a sample of 1,256 registered voters from April 8-April 12, 2021. 97 additional interviews were conducted among Hispanic voters. 92 additional interviews were conducted among Asian American and Pacific Islander voters. 100 additional interviews were conducted among African American voters. 100 additional interviews were conducted among independent voters. The survey was conducted online, recruiting respondents from an opt-in online panel vendor. Respondents were verified against a voter file and special care was taken to ensure the demographic composition of our sample matched that of the national registered voter population across a variety of demographic variables.

About NavigatorIn a world where the news cycle is the length of a tweet, our leaders often lack the real-time public-sentiment analysis to shape the best approaches to talking about the issues that matter the most. Navigator is designed to act as a consistent, flexible, responsive tool to inform policy debates by conducting research and reliable guidance to inform allies, elected leaders, and the press. Navigator is a project led by pollsters from Global Strategy Group and GBAO along with an advisory committee, including: Andrea Purse, progressive strategist; Arkadi Gerney, The Hub Project; Joel Payne, The Hub Project; Christina Reynolds, EMILY’s List; Delvone Michael, Working Families; Felicia Wong, Roosevelt Institute; Mike Podhorzer, AFL-CIO; Jesse Ferguson, progressive strategist; Navin Nayak, Center for American Progress Action Fund; Stephanie Valencia, EquisLabs; and Melanie Newman, Planned Parenthood Action Fund.

For Press inquiries contact:

[email protected]

To learn more about Navigator:

http://navigatorresearch.org

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