NatureWorks Fueling the Innovation Cycle/media/ITR2012/2012/presentations/... · NatureWorks...
Transcript of NatureWorks Fueling the Innovation Cycle/media/ITR2012/2012/presentations/... · NatureWorks...
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© 2011 NatureWorks LLC
Marc Verbruggen
President & CEO NatureWorks LLC
www.natureworksllc.com
Innovation Takes Root – Orlando – February 2012
NatureWorks
Fueling the Innovation Cycle
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© 2011 NatureWorks LLC
Fueling the Innovation Cycle
•Value Drivers for the biopolymers Industry • Market for Ingeo • 2010 & Beyond: Key issues for the future
What has changed since ITR 2010?
2012
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What if …
• 5 billion products bio-packaged, end 2011
• Commits to begin conversion of its product to 100 % biobased packaging
• Shifts to biobased plastic for Health & Beauty lineup
• America’s favorite condiment repackaged in bio
• Automotive supply chain partnership for bioplastics
• Complete replacement of Polystyrene packaging
All a reality in the last year
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Value Drivers
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Environmental (consumer, retail, brand owners)
• Lower carbon footprint, less energy usage
• Better end-of-life options (litter, landfill, incineration)
• Target: lower environmental footprint of plastics
• Oil vs. plants feedstock cost (stability)
• Carbon or waste taxation • Target: create viable
alternate product portfolio (plastics)
Economic (plastics value chain)
Value drivers Biopolymers
(NatureWorks)
• Renewable feedstock vs. oil
• Reduce dependence on foreign oil
• Target: cellulosic bio-refinery concept (gas + plastics)
Strategic (governments)
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$0.40
$0.60
$0.80
$1.00
$1.20
$1.40
USD
/lb
Economic (plasticsvalue
chain) Value drivers Biopolymers (NatureWorks)
PP: 44% swing
PET: 29% swing
ITR 2 – ITR 3
PET
PS
PP
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CORN
$5/bushel
STARCH LACTIC ACID LACTIDE
≈ $0.90/lb
PLA
Actual US data Q4 2010
OIL NAPHTHA
BENZENE
ETHYLENE
STYRENE $90/barrel
$1.00/lb
XYLENE
PS
MEG
PTA PET
$0.80/lb
At NatureWorks scale, Ingeo can be cost-competitive with PS and PET
1st myth about bio-plastics: “they are intrinsically more expensive than regular plastics”
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Plastic bag bans around the world # of bag bans passed per year
Anti-Litter and Marine Debris
Backlash
0 5 10 15 20
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Environmental Consumer,
Retail, Brands
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Plastic bag bans around the world # of bag bans passed per year
Anti-Litter and Marine Debris
Backlash
In California – an example: • Clean Water Action • Algalita Marine Resources Foundation • Heal The Bay
0 5 10 15 20
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
• Californians Against Waste • Earth Resources Foundation
Environmental Consumer,
Retail, Brands
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Plastic bag bans around the world # of bag bans passed per year
0 5 10 15 20
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
In California – an example:
• AB 2138: Requires that all fast food packaging & take-out bags be recyclable, or compostable
Environmental Consumer,
Retail, Brands
Anti-Litter and Marine Debris
Backlash
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Value drivers Biopolymers
(NatureWorks)
Strategic (governments)
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Bio-PE28%
Biodegradable Starch Blends
16%PLA15%
PHA12%
Biodegradable Polyesters
8%
Bio-PET7%
Regenerated Cellulose5%
Bio-PA5%
Cellulose Derivatives1%
PLA-Blends1% Others
1%
Durable Starch-Blends1%
Bio-PE26%
Biodegradable Starch Blends
7%
PLA13%PHA
9%
Biodegradable Polyesters
9%
Bio-PET17%
Regenerated Cellulose
2%
Bio-PA4%
PLA-Blends2%
Others1%
Bio-PC1%
Bio-PP2%
Bio-PVC7%
Biopolymers Production Capacity by Type
Source: European Bioplastics
2010 ( 725,000MT)
2015 ( 1,710,000MT)
market growth 136%
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Bio-PE28%
Biodegradable Starch Blends
16%PLA15%
PHA12%
Biodegradable Polyesters
8%
Bio-PET7%
Regenerated Cellulose5%
Bio-PA5%
Cellulose Derivatives1%
PLA-Blends1% Others
1%
Durable Starch-Blends1%
Bio-PE26%
Biodegradable Starch Blends
7%
PLA13%PHA
9%
Biodegradable Polyesters
9%
Bio-PET17%
Regenerated Cellulose
2%
Bio-PA4%
PLA-Blends2%
Others1%
Bio-PC1%
Bio-PP2%
Bio-PVC7%
Biopolymers Production Capacity by Type
Source: European Bioplastics
2010 ( 725,000MT)
2015 ( 1,710,000MT)
PLA: 222,300 ton Ingeo: 280,000 ton (Blair + Thailand) Others: 120,000 ton Total: 400,000 ton (or 23% in 2015)
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Let’s talk market
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Three Era’s of Bioplastics in the Market
• Biobased is a niche • “Back end”, Litter
focused
“Bioplastics are for
Biodegrading”
“Bioplastics =
Plastics”
• New to the world polymers expected to be “all things to all people”
• Biobased is the expectation
• “biodegradable” where it’s the highest good
“Bioplastics sequester Carbon”
2000’s 2010’s 1990’s
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Bioplastics in the Market: Coca Cola
Coca Cola Presentation, June 2011
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Bioplastics in the Market: Novamont
Novamont Presentation Conference Presentation, March 2001, Miami
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Bioplastics in the Market: Braskem
Braskem Presentation, European Bioplastics Conference, November 2011 Berlin
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Food Serviceware
Nonwovens / Fibers
Rigids Films
Durables Lactides Bus. Dev.
Bioplastics in the Market: NatureWorks
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Ingeo Technology Platforms
1st Generation Ingeo Platform
‘3 series’ injection Molding
‘7 series’ ISBM - bottles
‘6 series’ fibers, nonwovens
‘4 series’ films
‘2 series’ thermoforming
‘8 series’ foam
Family of Polymers
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Ingeo Technology Platforms
1st Generation Ingeo Platform
2nd Generation Ingeo Platform
L100 Lactide
L300 Lactide
L800 Lactide
Polymer grade
Industrial grade M3000 Lactide
Family of Polymers
Family of Monomers
‘3 series’ injection Molding
‘7 series’ ISBM - bottles
‘6 series’ fibers, nonwovens
‘4 series’ films
‘2 series’ thermoforming
‘8 series’ foam
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Further Ingeo Plant I Investments
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Ingeo Technology Platforms
1st Generation Ingeo Platform
3rd Generation Ingeo Platform
Family of Polymers
Family of Compounded
Solutions
AW 300 series Injection Molding
AW 200 series Thermoforming
3100 HP
3260 HP
6100 D
6260 D
Family of High %L Polymers
‘3 series’ injection Molding
‘7 series’ ISBM - bottles
‘6 series’ fibers, nonwovens
‘4 series’ films
‘2 series’ thermoforming
‘8 series’ foam
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“Elongation”
“Sti
ffne
ss”
Biodegradable + bio-based Conventional Plastics
PET
PP
PS Starch
PLA
PE
PBS
Performance Properties
New generation of compounded Ingeo grades
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NatureWorks in 2015
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Blair, NE
Rayong Province, Thailand
2015 target: Ingeo resin structurally less expensive than PS (and PET)
In 2015 NatureWorks will have 2 Ingeo plants operational – Combined capacity: 320,000 ton (700 MM lbs) – Supported by 3 feedstock sources (corn, cane, cassava) – Stronger global commercial organization
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Ingeo™ Resin
Secondary Converter
Brand Owner Retailer Primary
Converter
Nature Works
PP
PS
Resin Distrib.
Economies of scale required throughout the value chain
Distrib.
PET
Resin premium
finished product premium
A context on cost position
2015 target: optimize value chain to make Ingeo products structurally less expensive than PS (and PET)
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Feedstocks…
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Bioplastic feedstocks
14.5 of today’s Ingeo plants can meet the 2011 NA PS demand
(4.8bn lbs)
2nd myth about bio-plastics: “They (will) impact food availability/prices”
With 1.65% of today’s sugar
production (cane – beet)
Source: NatureWorks, FAO crop statistics for 2009 production & NCGA’s 2011 World of Corn report
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Progress Against Vision: Renewable Feedstock Evolution
Where we are today
and long term . . . Where we’re going now
Dextrose from corn starch
Dextrose from cassava starch and
sugar cane
Feedstock Generation #
I
II III
Corn stover, switch grass and rice straw
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Feedstocks…
By 2015 NatureWorks will use 3 different 1st
generation feedstocks (corn, cassava, cane)
and
NatureWorks will have access to fermentable sugars from cellulosic
Switching from 1st to 2nd generation feedstock will be as much an economic as an environmental decision
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Ingeo feedstock Evolution
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
2003 2008 2013 2018 2023 2028 2033 2038
Mm lbs
Plant 3+: (Cellulosics)
(Bio-based Carbon Source Indicated)
Plant 1: (Corn Dextrose)
Plant 2: (Cassava, Sugar Cane, etc.)
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Market Driven Solutions
• Two Examples - addressing supply chain concerns: – Stonyfield & Working
– Landscapes Certification – Danone & ISCCplus Certification
• International Sustainability and Carbon Certification (ISCC) for the new Activia packaging – February 2012
• The ISCC seal assures that the entire supply chain for the Ingeo raw materials meets rigorous social and environmental criteria
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“End-of-Life…”
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“Nature doesn’t have a design problem, people do”
William McDonough and Michael Braungart, 2002
Source: Cradle to Cradle: Remaking the Way We Make Things by William McDonough & Michael Braungart
Ingeo & Cradle-to-Cradle
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Recycle X X
Incineration X X
Compost X Anaerobic Digestion X Feedstock Recovery X
Incum-bents Ingeo
Landfill
X X
3rd myth about bio-plastics: “There are no recovery (recycle)
options for bio-plastics”
Introduction phase: • Mixed waste stream • Energy recovery
Demonstrated At scale: • Sorting technology • Recovery technology
It’s now all about the economies of scale
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Recycle X X
Incineration X X
Compost X Anaerobic Digestion X Feedstock Recovery X
Incum-bents Ingeo
Landfill
X X
3rd myth about bio-plastics: “There are no recovery (recycle)
options for bio-plastics”
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3rd myth about bio-plastics: “There are no recovery (recycle)
options for bio-plastics”
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Cradle-to-Cradle: Composting
• Composting of bio-plastics as such makes little sense – No energy recovery, no
carbon storage, no re-use
• Use of compostable items to divert organics from landfills makes a lot of sense
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Recycle Market Development
“Mechanical”
Plastics Recycle
“Chemical”
Feedstock Recovery
Post Industrial
Post Consumer
• Complimentary Sources • Complimentary Models • We’re working to develop both . . . • Common Challenges at the post consumer level
2 Sources:
2 Recycle Models
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Recycle Availability:
Post Industrial
Post Consumer
Short Term Long Term
Volume Availability
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Ingeo feedstock Evolution
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2003 2008 2013 2018 2023 2028 2033 2038
Mm lbs
Plant 3+: (Cellulosics)
Feedstock Recovery: Biobased Carbon from the Market ?
(Biobased Carbon Source Indicated)
Plant 1: (Corn Dextrose)
Plant 2: (Cassava, Sugar Cane, etc.)
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Cradle-to-Cradle The Foundation we’re working to enable by 2015:
• Nascent and growing r-PLA end-market
• Providing a “raison d'être” for the sorting of post-consumer PLA
• Beginnings of mechanical and chemical recycle infrastructure
• A composting industry which views bioplastics as an organics diversion opportunity
What’s Needed: economies of scale
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Feedstock (farming)
Resin (manufacturing)
Product (converting)
Retail Brand Owners
Consumer (disposal)
Bio-based Industry: Needs between now and 2015
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Feedstock (farming)
Resin (manufacturing)
Product (converting)
Retail Brand Owners
Consumer (recovery)
Bio-based Industry: Needs between now and 2015
NEED: • Appropriate legislation to:
• Make 1st gen. feedstocks consistently available at competitive prices (no sugar quota)
• Develop 2nd generation feedstock infrastructure at large enough scale to become cost competitive
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Feedstock (farming)
Resin (manufacturing)
Product (converting)
Retail Brand Owners
Consumer (recovery)
Bio-based Industry: Needs between now and 2015
High CAPEX in “commodity+” market US/European technology is moving abroad NEED: Appropriate incentive program to attract investment
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Feedstock (farming)
Resin (manufacturing)
Product (converting)
Retail Brand Owners
Consumer (recovery)
Bio-based Industry: Needs between now and 2015
Existing converting equipment can be used Economies-of-scale will drive cost down NEED: Entire value chain cooperates to drive cost down
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Feedstock (farming)
Resin (manufacturing)
Product (converting)
Retail Brand Owners
Consumer (recovery)
Bio-based Industry: Needs between now and 2015
Economies of Scale throughout value chain can easily be created by large Retail/Brand Owners NEED: Early buy-in of Retail & Brand Owners Careful selection of value chain partners
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Feedstock (farming)
Resin (manufacturing)
Product (converting)
Retail Brand Owners
Consumer (recovery)
Bio-based Industry: Needs between now and 2015
Volume will create economies of scale for recycling NEED: appropriate regional recycle legislation NGO’s buy-in will reinforce consumer behavior
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When Henry Ford industrialized automobile production . . .
Closing Thoughts
Game-changing technology requires a “journey” approach
Did Ford’s potential customers, before buying their first car, ask Henry to:
• Build a complete national highway system? • Build a national network of service stations? • Build a national network of garages? • Prove that cars were better than horse drawn carriages
from a resource effectiveness point of view?
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Closing Thoughts
Then should we be insisting that the bioplastics industry must immediately:
• Move straight to cellulosic feedstocks although the technology is still in its infancy and the initial economics aren’t yet competitive?
• Have a robust recycle infrastructure up and running ahead of a critical mass of products in the market ?
• Provide a full-blown LCA for each and finished product ?
Game-changing technology requires a “journey” approach
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3M Fabri-Kal Nanjing Shengbo New Materials Technology Co.,Ltd Stora Enso OyjAccredo Packaging Far Eastern New Century Corporation Natureplas Sukano AGAhlstrom Nonwovens LLC Fiber Innovation Technology NatureWorks LLC Sukano Polymers CorporationAndersen Corporation FKuR Plastics Corporation Natur-Tec(R) SulzerArkema, Inc. Food & Biobased Research NEC Corporation Sulzer ChemtechAsean Corporation Futamura Chemical Co., Ltd. Nexeo Solutions Sustainable Biomaterials CollaborativeAspen Research Corporation Gala Industries NicePak Sustainable Bioplastics Council of MaineBASF Genomatica, Inc Nike, Inc. Synbra Technology bvBASF Corporation Genpak Nissan Chemical Industries, Ltd. SyntheZymeBASF Nederland B.V. Global Bioenergies S.A. Nisshinbo Chemical Inc. Taghleef Industries SPABASF SE Gneuss, Inc. NNFCC Taikoh USA, Inc.BD GOULSTON TECHNOLOGIES, INC. Onsemiro Inc. Taiyo InternationalBecton Dickinson Graham Packaging México Pack&Proper Co.,Ltd Taiyo Kagaku Co., Ltd.Ben's Land (UK) Limited Green Day Eco-friendly Material Co., Ltd PepsiCo Takemoto Oil & Fat Co., Ltd.BI-AX International Inc. Green Planet Plastic Suppliers, Inc Tecnologia del PlasticoBioAmber Greener Polymers / Natureplas Plastic Suppliers, Inc. Teknor Apex CompanyBioCor GSI Creos Corporation Plastics Technology Magazine The Chemical Daily Co., Ltd.Biopla Products Factory GSI EXIM AMERICA, INC Plaxica The Coca-Cola CompanyBlue Lake Citrus Products, LLC H.B. Fuller Company PolyOne The Dow Chemical CompanyBP Consulting, Inc. HallStar PolyOne Corporation The Eco-GroupeBritish American Tobacco Hefei Hengxin Paper & Plastic Co., Ltd Polyvel, Inc. Tianan Biologic Material Co.,LtdBroadway Companies, Inc. Hitachi Zosen U.S.A. Ltd. Portland Trail Blazers/Rose Quarter Tianjin Greenbio Material Ltd.,LtdBrueckner Group USA, Inc. Huhtamaki Films President Packaging Ind.Corp TJ Beall CompanyBrueckner Maschinenbau GmbH & Co KG IBM PTT Global Chemical Public Company Limited Toray Advanced Meterials Korea Inc.Cargill ICIS Chemical Business PTT MCC Biochem Company Limited Toray Industries (America), Inc.CBC America Corp ICO Polymer Specialty Powders PTT Polymer Marketing Co., Ltd. Total Petrochemicals BelgiumCelplast Metallized Products ICO POLYMERS Purac Toyobo Co.,LtdCereplast INDA Purac Biochem BV Toyota Tsusho CorporationChina Degradable Plastic Committee of CPPIA Independent Quimicoplasticos Trevira GmbHChina New Materials Holdings Limited Independent Photojournalist repurpose compostables, inc Uhde Inventa-Fischer GmbHClear Lam Packaging, Inc. InPro Corporation Resirene Ultra Flex Packaging Corp.ConAgra Foods Interfacial Solutions Rhein Chemie Rheinau GmbH UNIC TECHNOLOGY CORP.Consolidated Fibers Isolution Rho Renewables, Inc., Unitika Ltd.Control Laboratories Jamplast, Inc Risupack Corporation Universal Dynamics, Inc.Corinne Young LLC Jamplast, Inc. Robin Bio Plastic Co., Ltd University of MaineCSM Jim Lunt & Associates LLC Schlumberger University of TennesseeD&W Fine Pack Kao Corporation Seeplas Pty Ltd USDADandelion Research Limited Kao Specialties Americas LLC Segetis, Inc. Vender Service Co., Ltd.DaniMer Scientific, LLC Keurig, Inc. Shenzhen Esun Industrial Co.,Ltd Wacker ChemicalDart Container Kimberly-Clark Corp SKC Wacker Chemie AGDiafoods.co., ltd. King Yuan Fu Packing Co Ltd Södra Cell Western Plastics AssociationD-idea Kunimune Co. Ltd. Södra Innovation Wuhan Huali Environment Technology Co., LtdE.S. Robbins Corporation Kureha America Inc. Spartech Yunnan University of NationalitiesEco-Products Leistritz Spartech Color and Specialty Compounds Zhejiang Hangzhou Xinfu Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd.Edg Productions LG Hausys Stepan CompanyEncon, Inc. M&G Finanziaria SRL STFI e.V.ES Robbins Maerkische Faser GmbH Stonyfield FarmEstilo Pack Michigan State UniversityEx-Tech Plastics Mirel Bioplastics by Telles
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