Natural Gas Vehicles: A Feasibility Study Steven C. Agee, Ph.D. Shouro Dasgupta, B.S.B. Alexis...
-
Upload
roderick-fourman -
Category
Documents
-
view
230 -
download
5
Transcript of Natural Gas Vehicles: A Feasibility Study Steven C. Agee, Ph.D. Shouro Dasgupta, B.S.B. Alexis...
Steven C. Agee, Ph.D.Shouro Dasgupta, B.S.B.
Alexis Caron, B.S.B.
Introduction: Natural Gas Vehicles
• Dedicated natural gas vehicles are designed to run on natural gas only, while dual-fuel or bi-fuel vehicles can also run on gasoline or diesel.
• Dual-fuel vehicles allow users to take advantage of the wide-spread availability of gasoline or diesel but also uses a cleaner, more economical alternative when natural gas is available.
• Natural gas used as a transportation fuel is called compressed natural gas because the gas is compressed to a pressure of about 3,600 pounds per square inch (psi) and stored in a fuel cylinder aboard the vehicle. CNG flows into the engine's combustion chamber and is ignited to create power to drive the vehicle.
• It is estimated that there are 9.6 million natural gas operated vehicles in the world (December 2009)
Advantages and Disadvantages of Natural Gas Vehicles
Advantages Disadvantage•Nearly 87% of U.S. natural gas used is domestically produced, while in 2008 53% of the petroleum/crude oil consumed in US was imported
•60-90% less smog-producing pollutants*
•30-40% less greenhouse gas emissions
•Less expensive than gasoline
• Using CNG is also considered to be better for engines, as cylinder wear and oil contamination is reduced. Also, spark plugs stay cleaner for longer.
•Limited vehicle availability
•Filling stations are less readily available than gasoline and diesel
•Fewer miles on a tank of fuel
•Less trunk space for dual-fuel autos.
* Depending on the type of vehicle
Worldwide Natural Gas Vehicle Statistics
Rank Country Natural Gas Vehicles Refueling Stations
1 Pakistan 2,000,000 2,941
2 Argentina 1,745,677 1,801
3 Brazil 1,588,331 1,688
4 Iran 1,000,000 500
5 India 650,000 463
6 Italy 580,000 700
7 China 400,000 1,000
8 Colombia 280,340 401
9 Bangladesh 190,381 502
10 Thailand 127,735 303
11 Ukraine 120,000 224
12 USA 110,000 224
Source: International Association of Natural Gas Vehicles, 2009
Table 1: Number of Natural Gas Vehicles by Country
The Technology
Typical CNG Components in a Natural Gas Vehicle
The Technology (cont.)4th Generation CNG System
Conversion Costs (Gasoline to Natural Gas) • A specially designed Conversion Kit is required consisting of
cylinders to be fixed in the trunk of the car with associated
equipment to allow the natural gas to flow into the engine and all
cars can be converted irrespective of make or model.
Country Conversion Cost (50 liter
tank)
Conversion Cost (90 liter
tank)
Bangladesh $750 - $800 $850 - $ 900
Pakistan $ 200 - $230 $ 245 - $285
Argentina $ 200 - $400* $420 - $515*
Brazil $100- $175 $ 200 - $400
Iran $50* $80*
India $700 - $800 $950 - $1,000
Thailand $1170 - $1400 -
Malaysia $875 - $1100 -
USA $1450-$3000
*Government subsidized
Table 2: Conversion Cost Comparison by Country
Fuel Price Comparison
Average Price in
Gasoline Gallon
Equivalents ($)
Average Price in
Diesel Gallon
Equivalents ($)
Average price in
Dollars per Million
Btu ($)
Gasoline 2.65 2.96 22.99
Diesel 2.57 2.87 22.26
CNG 1.85 2.07 16.07
Ethanol (E85) 3.36 3.75 29.13
Propane 4.13 4.61 35.81
Biodiesel (B20) 2.70 3.02 23.44
Biodiesel (B99-B100) 3.54 3.95 30.67
•CNG is about 80 cents less than gasoline on an energy-equivalent basis, while E85 is about 28 cents less per gallon than gasoline.
Source: US Department of Energy (January 2010)
Table 3: Fuel Price Comparison
Emission Standards
Light-Duty Vehicle Emissions: CNG vs. Gasoline
• Reduces carbon monoxide emissions 90%-97%
• Reduces carbon dioxide emissions 25%
• Reduces nitrogen oxide emissions 35%-60%
• Potentially reduces non-methane hydrocarbon emissions
50%-75%
• Emits fewer toxic and carcinogenic pollutants
• Emits little or no particulate matter
• Eliminates evaporative emissions
Source: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Savings from CNG Vehicles
• As a vehicle fuel it is about 30-50% cheaper than gasoline. This is due
to a combination of:
– The cost of natural gas on an energy equivalent basis relative to
petroleum fuels and
– fuel taxes, the current pre-tax price of Russian H-gas (the
assumed marginal source for NG used in Europe) delivered in the
form of CNG is, per lower heating value energy unit, only 63 % of
the current price of petrol.
CNG Gasoline
Rate 1.91/kg $2.67/liter
Average 16.80 km/kg 12 km/liter
Running cost/km $ 0.114 $0.225
Save/100km $ 7.82 ($12.59/100 miles)
Nil
Table 4: Saving Chart between CNG and Gasoline (Asia)
Source: International Association of Natural Gas Vehicles, 2009
Savings (cont.)
Natural Gas RatePrice per kg
Consumption/100 km Cost per 100 km
0.79 € ($1.02 USD)7 kg (15.4 pounds)5.53 € ($7.17 USD)
Regular Gasoline RatePrice per liter
Consumption/100 km Cost per 100 km
1.23 € ($1.59 USD) 10 liters (2.6 gallons) 12.30 € ($15.95 USD)
Savings 6.77 € /100 km ($14.13/100 miles) or 55 percent
Table 5: Saving Chart between CNG and Gasoline (Europe)
Source: International Association of Natural Gas Vehicles, 2009
Predicted Savings in USA
Source: US Department of Energy (April 2010)
• Based on the mileage information from a 2005 Honda Civic and gasoline and CNG prices data from
the Midwest region (CNG-$1.41* & Gasoline $2.73), it is projected that for a 100 miles trip a CNG
run vehicle will save;
• $3.71 in the city area and
• $2.14 in the highway
• Estimates do not include additional savings from lower maintenance costs from reduced wear and
tear of the engine, less frequent oil changes and tune-ups.
* Average price as of 3rd May 2010 in OKC
Gasoline CNG
MPG (City) 32 30
MPG (Highway) 38 34
Requirement for 100 miles (City) 3.12 gallons 3.33 gallons
Requirement for 100 miles (Highway) 2.63 gallons 2.94 gallons
Cost per 100 miles (City) $8.12 $4.41
Cost per 100 miles (Highway) $6.84 $4.70
Savings from using CNG (City) $3.71
Savings from using CNG (Highway) $2.14
Table 6: Savings in USA
Savings from Maintenance and Performance
• Some fleet operators have reduced maintenance costs by as much as 40 percent by converting their vehicles to CNG.
• Intervals between tune-ups for natural gas vehicles are extended 30,000 to 50,000 miles.
• Intervals between oil changes for natural gas vehicles are dramatically extended--anywhere from 10,000 to 25,000 additional miles depending on how the vehicle is used.
• CNG has an octane rating of 130 and has a slight efficiency advantage over gasoline.
• Because CNG is already in a gaseous state, NGVs have superior starting and drivability, even under severe hot and cold weather conditions
Tax Rate ComparisonCountry Tax on Gasoline Tax on CNG
Germany 68.7 % + 19.0 % VAT 0.0%
India 52.0% 8.0%*
Pakistan 38.57% 0.0%
Italy 63.1% 0 – 5%**
Oklahoma 12.93% † 11.48%‡
* Currently only in the states of Maharashtra and Uttar Pradesh
** Depending on the size of the vehicle
† Federal tax of 18.4 cents/gallon plus state tax of 17 cents/gallon as a percentage of average gasoline price
in OKC of $2.737 (04/29/2010)
‡ Federal tax of 18.3 cents/gallon plus state tax of 16 cents as a percentage of average CNG prices in OKC of
$1.41 (05/03/2010). However, a state tax waiver permit for CNG can be purchased from Oklahoma Tax
Commission at a cost of $ 100 per year.
• In order to recover the $100, a person would have to purchase ($100/0.16) 625 gallons
of CNG.
• At an average tank size of 23 gallons, a person would have to fill up their car
approximately 27 times a year or drive approximately 17,500 miles a year.
• Otherwise it is better off to pay taxes during CNG purchase.
Incentives for Natural Gas Vehicles
• The state of Oklahoma offers the following incentives – a one-time income tax credit for 50% of the cost of
converting a vehicle to operate on an alternative fuel or– for 50% of the incremental cost of purchasing a new
Original Equipment Manufacturer AFV– The state also provides a tax credit for 10% of the total
vehicle cost, up to $1,500
Federal• Qualifying vehicles are also eligible for a federal income tax
credit of up to $4,000.
For Consumers: Oklahoma
• Oklahoma provides a tax credit for up to 75% of the cost of
installing alternative fueling infrastructure.
• Beginning January 1, 2010, a tax credit is also available for up to
50% of the cost of installing a residential CNG fueling system (not
to exceed $2,500).
Federal
• A 30% tax credit (not to exceed $30,000) is available for
equipment placed into service before January 1, 2009.
• For equipment placed into service after January 1, 2009, the credit
amount is up to 50% (not to exceed $50,000).
For Fuel Retailers : Oklahoma
Incentives for Natural Gas Vehicles
Contact Information
Steven C. Agee, Ph.D. Professor of Economics and DirectorEconomic Research & Policy InstituteMeinders School of BusinessOklahoma City University2501 N. BlackwelderOklahoma City, Oklahoma 73106 [email protected](405) 208-6111