Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not...
Transcript of Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not...
![Page 1: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
November 15, 2019
Justin J. KringstadGeological Engineer
Director
North Dakota Pipeline Authority
Natural Gas OverviewGas Capture Strategies Hearing
![Page 2: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
2
Natural Gas Update
Production
• Technology
• Markets
Gathering
• Capacity
• Connections
Processing
• Capacity
• Location
Transmission
• Dry Gas
• Natural Gas Liquids
JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 2
![Page 3: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
EIA Forecasted Oil Price (October 2019)
33JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 3
![Page 4: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
44JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 4
North Dakota Oil Production Forecast Assumes Current Technology – Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included
![Page 5: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
5
Statewide Gas Performance
JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 5Average BKN/TF Well Performance Statewide
~10% Improvement
Over 2018
![Page 6: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
6
Statewide Gas-Oil Ratio
JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 6Average BKN/TF Well Performance Statewide
![Page 7: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
NDPA North Dakota Gas Production ForecastAssumes Current Technology – Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included
77JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 7
![Page 8: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
8
Natural Gas Update
Production
• Technology
• Markets
Gathering
• Capacity
• Connections
Processing
• Capacity
• Location
Transmission
• Dry Gas
• Natural Gas Liquids
JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 8
![Page 9: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Simple Terms
Blue – Lack of pipelines
Orange – Challenges on existing
infrastructure
GREEN – % of gas captured and sold
Blue – % flared from zero sales wells
Orange – % flared from wells with at
least one mcf sold.
Aug 2019 Data – Non-Confidential WellsStatewide
Solving the Flaring Challenge
JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 9
![Page 10: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
10
Natural Gas Update
Production
• Technology
• Markets
Gathering
• Capacity
• Connections
Processing
• Capacity
• Location
Transmission
• Dry Gas
• Natural Gas Liquids
JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 10
![Page 11: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Gas Processing Expansions
JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline AuthorityJJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 11
![Page 12: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Recent Major Gas Processing Expansions
JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline AuthorityJJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12
Planned Major Gas Processing Expansions
670 MMCFD
625 MMCFD
![Page 13: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
13JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority
Solving the Flaring ChallengeAssumes Current Technology – Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included
JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 13
![Page 14: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
14JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority
Gas Processing Capacity & Future OutlookAssumes Current Technology – Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included
JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 14
Historical
Historical
Expected
Expected
![Page 15: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
15JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority
Gas Processing Capacity & Spare Capacity
JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 15
Historical Expected
9%
24%
![Page 16: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
16JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority
Gas Processing Capacity & Spare Capacity
JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 16
Historical Expected
9%
![Page 17: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
17JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority
Solving the Flaring ChallengeAssumes Current Technology – Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included
JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 17
![Page 18: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
18
Natural Gas Update
Production
• Technology
• Markets
Gathering
• Capacity
• Connections
Processing
• Capacity
• Location
Transmission
• Dry Gas
• Natural Gas Liquids
JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 18
![Page 19: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
19JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority
Solving the Flaring ChallengeAssumes Current Technology – Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included
JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 19
![Page 20: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
Major Gas Pipeline and
Processing Infrastructure
WBI Transmission
Whiting
JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline AuthorityJJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 20
![Page 21: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
WBI Energy – North
Bakken Expansion Project
JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 21
Project Highlights
• 67 Miles - 20” Pipeline
• 20 Miles - 12” Pipeline
• $220+ Million
• At least 250,000 MCFD Capacity (expandable)
• Expandable to 375,000 MCFD
• End of 2021 Proposed Completion
• Residue Gas Service From North of Lake
Sakakawea to Northern Border Pipeline in
McKenzie County
![Page 22: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 22
Northern Border Pipeline
*Data Source: Northern Border IPS
![Page 23: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
Northern Border BTU at Glen Ullin, ND
JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 23*Data Source: Northern Border IPS
![Page 24: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 24
Northern Border Pipeline Market Share
NDPA Calculations Using Northern Border IPS
~1,150+ BTU
~1,035 BTU
![Page 25: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 25
NB Pipeline Interconnects With Known BTU Limits
![Page 26: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 26Map Source: TC Energy Website
![Page 27: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 27Map Source: TC Energy Website
![Page 28: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 28
Northern Border – BTU Calculations*
*Assumes Equivalent Net Replacement of 1,035 Canadian Gas
![Page 29: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
29JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority
Solving the Flaring ChallengeAssumes Current Technology – Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included
JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 29
![Page 30: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
Bakken Natural Gas Infrastructure
3030JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 30
![Page 31: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
Northern Border Proposed Expansion Options
JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 31
Two Proposed Options:
Stateline/Watford City to Ventura
-580 Mdth Incremental (~525 MMCFD)
-Phase 1: Q3 2021
-Phase 2: Q4 2023
Stateline/Watford City to Cheyenne
-430 Mdth Incremental (~390 MMCFD)
-Phase 1: Q3 2021
-Phase 2: Q4 2022
![Page 32: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
Bakken & Three Forks
Natural Gas Liquids
![Page 33: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
Regional NGL Infrastructure
Kinder
JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 33
Ma
rath
on
Pe
tro
leu
m
![Page 34: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
North Dakota Captured* NGL’s
3434JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 34*Non-flared NGL’s & Assumes 10 GPM
![Page 35: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
NGL Pipeline Takeaway Options
35
3535JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 35
![Page 36: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority](https://reader033.fdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022041913/5e6894d386fee753124f411c/html5/thumbnails/36.jpg)
Justin J. Kringstad, DirectorNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority
600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405Bismarck, ND 58505-0840
Phone: (701)220-6227Fax: (701)328-2820
E-mail: [email protected]
Websites: www.pipeline.nd.gov
www.northdakotapipelines.com
Contact Information
JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 36