National Programme

for the Development of Low-Emission Economy

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Agenda2

1. Background of the document (global, European and national developments)

2. The Programme in the context of strategic papers

3. Guidelines for the Programme

3. The main target and the specific targets

4. Structure of the Programme

5. The timeline

6. Key conceptual issues

7. Identification of activities

8. Potential and estimated cost of reducing emissions

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Background of the document Transition to a low-emission economy

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Transition to a low-emission economy:• A response to climate change,• A chance to build a material- and energy-efficient economy

(a competitive advantage).

Two issues for Poland:• In the short- and mid-term – an economic slowdown may occur together

with an increase of financial burden for the economy• In the long run – the economy should be modernised and boast new

technologies, thus increasing its competitiveness

The need for the transition has been highlighted by important institutions: • The UN (work on the Durban Platform aimed at reaching a global

agreement that would substitute the 2012-expiring Kyoto Protocol)• The OECD (the green growth as a key topic of the recent OECD review

on Poland),• The EU.

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Background of the document The low-emission economy in the EU

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Europe 2020 Strategy (the priorities):· the smart growth,· the inclusive growth, · the sustainable growth

The Energy and Climate Package (ECP)Binding targets for 2020

Roadmap for moving to a competitive low carbon economy in 2050

The proposal of an 80% reduction target for 2050

National Programme for the Development of Low-Emission Economy

(the Polish low-emission programme)

top-down approachtop-down approach

top-downapproachtop-downapproach

bottom-upapproach

bottom-upapproach

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The Programme in the context of strategic papers

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Strategy for innovativeness and efficiency of the economy 2012-2020 (SIEG) is the leading strategy for the Programme.

The Programme will also be consistent with other government initiatives, including in particular:• the Poland 2030 document, • the mid-term strategy for the development of Poland,• nine horizontal strategies, currently under development (beside the

above-mentioned SIEG also the following ones: Energy security and environment, Strategy of transport development, Strategy of sustainable development of countryside and agriculture as well as Regional development strategy).

The Programme will also be consistent with the ECP targets and with the existing management system for emission of GHG and other substances.

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Guidelines for the Programme6

The guidelines were adopted by the Council of Ministers on 16th August 2011.

Key issues:

• The essence of the Programme is to help generate economic, social and environmental benefits resulting from actions reducing emissions (among others through better innovativeness and implementation of new technologies or decreased energy-intensity) up to 2050.

• The Programme and analyses prepared for its purposes will constitute the basis for the Polish position in further discussions regarding possibilities and costs of reducing GHG emissions.

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Guidelines of the Programme7

Key issues (continued):

• The Programme will be directed to entrepreneurs from all sectors of the economy, economic and territorial self-government, business environment institutions and NGOs, but also to each Polish citizen.

• The final result of the Programme will be a set of actions aimed (directly or indirectly) at reducing GHG emissions, as well as a set of support instruments that will help all participants of the Programme to make a successful transition to a low-emission economy.

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The development of a low-emission economy without prejudice to the country’s sustainable development.

The main target8

The assessment of reduction actions will be made on the basis of the so-called rolling costs.

The main target will be specified with a precise digit. The GHG reduction level will be linked with relevant indicators of GDP growth, including these presenting GDP-related emissions (calculated as CO2 emissions per GDP unit).

Reaching the main target requires defining, among others, the activities supporting the reduction of emissions of GHG and other substances (together with anticipated effects of the reduction), the priorities linked with them, support instruments, emission reduction paths up to 2050 (divided into ETS and non-ETS sectors) or checkpoints in the course of the Programme (that enable measuring progress).

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The specific targets9

Six inter-linked targets that are supposed to help reach the main target.

1) Development of low-emission energy sources

Within this target, one will try and define the optimal energy-mix for Poland up to 2050. Such definition would constitute useful information for the power industry regarding directions of investment policy. That would, in turn, greatly facilitate swift transition to a low-emission economy.

2) Better energy-efficiency

It concerns virtually all spheres of the economy and is inexorably linked with the unification of the technical infrastructure.

The energy-intensity 2050 target level will be specified for the economy, together with checkpoints and relevant actions aimed at reaching it. Much potential in this area lies in the building sector, including public buildings.

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The specific targets10

3) Better raw material and resource-efficiency

Resource-efficiency will be based on the assessment of: demand for resources, national production, international trade and trends regarding production, trade turnover and consumption.

4) Development and use of low-emission technologies

The technologies must be realistically implementable. Clean coal technologies should be of particular significance.

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The specific targets11

5) Waste prevention and better waste management

The whole life cycle of products should be designed so that no or minimal waste is created. There is great potential in selective collection of waste and different types of recovering, including recycling.

6) Promotion of new consumption patterns

Implementation of new, sustainable consumption patterns must be closely linked with education, already at its earlier stages.

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Structure of the Programme12

1. The diagnosis of socio-economic and legal situation (with the use of SWOT and STEEPLE analyses)

2. The targets of the Programme (indicators helping reach the main and the specific targets)

3. Identification of activities in individual sections of the economy (according to the GHG reduction potential)

4. The priorities (defined based on reduction effects for the identified activities)

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Structure of the Programme13

5. Directions of interventions and actions(legislative changes, financial instruments etc.)

6. Monitoring and assessing the degree to which the Programme’s targets are reached

7. The financial plan (financing sources: the state budget, National Fund for Environmental Protection and Water Management, EU funds etc.)

8. The evaluation report

9. The strategic environmental impact assessment (a legal obligation)

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The timeline14

The Timeline depicts a detailed list of tasks, with each task and sub-task having its:

• coordinating unit with the responsible person, • cooperating units with responsible persons, • deadlines.

The Programme will be the result of close cooperation between the Ministry of Economy, the Ministry of Environment as well as other ministries and agencies (in the scope of their competence). An important support role in the work has been assigned to the Social Council of the Programme (established on 29th June 2012), consisting of 45 independent experts.

Such wide-ranging approach to emission reduction should enable best possible identification of horizontal solutions.

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The timelineState of play

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Currently, the work on identification of activities in individual sections of the economy is being conducted.

Working meetings in the following sections have already taken place: transport, construction industry, energy, agriculture and fishery, industry and forestry, with participation of representatives of relevant ministries, agencies and the Social Council of the Programme.

It is assumed that conceptual work will be finished in 2013.

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Key conceptual issues16

The bottom up approach is used, which means the Programme is based on identification of activities in individual sections of the economy.

Advantage of such approach: it lowers the risk of overlooking an important sphere of activity, e.g. as a result of repeating traditional patterns of thinking.

The list of sections of the economy: (Polish Statistical Office nomenclature):

1. Energy, 2. Construction industry, 3. Transport, 4. Agriculture and fishery, 5. Forestry, 6. Industry, 7. Trade and services, 8. Households, 9. Waste, 10. Social dialogue/Education, 11. Public administration

The activity – the smallest identifiable sphere of human activity that was identified (in each section of the economy) by reason of its potential in reaching the specific targets.

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The activities Identification

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Identification of activities should lead to singling out an indivisible unit. Identification of an activity does not mean that action must follow – the actions will be specified after the prioritisation. The list of activities gives, however, the idea about the spectrum of possibilities.

Examples:• Use of solar collectors for water heating, • Thermomodernisation of existing residential buildings (but the spheres of building/production

and exploitation have to be treated separately, just like education or information on these issues),

• Glues used to attach labels on bottles.

Hints:Analysing of potential activities with each specific target in mind (separately), e.g. activities from the Waste section (3.9) do not have to come only under the specific target dealing with waste (2.5), but should be identified bearing in mind other specific targets (2.1 – 2.6). There is also a 1 activity – 1 specific target rule, so an activity implementing two specific targets should be described as two separate ones.

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Ministerstwo Gospodarki

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