National Hydrogen Learning Demonstration€¦ · 2015 Target 2009 Target Gen 1 Gen 2 NREL CDP02...

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Keith Wipke, Sam Sprik, Jennifer Kurtz, Todd Ramsden, Chris Ainscough, Genevieve Saur February 6, 2012 DOE’s Informational Webinar Series National Hydrogen Learning Demonstration Status This presentation does not contain any proprietary, confidential, or otherwise restricted information NREL is a national laboratory of the U.S. Department of Energy Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy operated by the Alliance for Sustainable Energy, LLC v8

Transcript of National Hydrogen Learning Demonstration€¦ · 2015 Target 2009 Target Gen 1 Gen 2 NREL CDP02...

Page 1: National Hydrogen Learning Demonstration€¦ · 2015 Target 2009 Target Gen 1 Gen 2 NREL CDP02 Created: Mar-10-10 1:18 PM (1) Range is based on fuel economy and usable hydrogen on-board

Keith Wipke, Sam Sprik, Jennifer Kurtz, Todd Ramsden, Chris Ainscough, Genevieve Saur February 6, 2012 DOE’s Informational Webinar Series

National Hydrogen Learning Demonstration Status

This presentation does not contain any proprietary, confidential, or otherwise restricted information

NREL is a national laboratory of the U.S. Department of Energy Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy operated by the Alliance for Sustainable Energy, LLC

v8

Page 2: National Hydrogen Learning Demonstration€¦ · 2015 Target 2009 Target Gen 1 Gen 2 NREL CDP02 Created: Mar-10-10 1:18 PM (1) Range is based on fuel economy and usable hydrogen on-board

National Renewable Energy Laboratory 2 Innovation for Our Energy Future

Outline

• U.S. DOE Learning Demonstration Project Goals • Fuel Cell Vehicle and H2 Station Deployment

Status

• Technical Highlights of Vehicle and Infrastructure Analysis Results and Progress

• Next Steps and Project Wrap-up

Page 3: National Hydrogen Learning Demonstration€¦ · 2015 Target 2009 Target Gen 1 Gen 2 NREL CDP02 Created: Mar-10-10 1:18 PM (1) Range is based on fuel economy and usable hydrogen on-board

National Renewable Energy Laboratory 3 Innovation for Our Energy Future

Fuel Cell Electric Vehicle Learning Demo Project Objectives, Relevance, and Targets • Objectives

– Validate H2 FC Vehicles and Infrastructure in Real-World Setting – Identify Current Status and Evolution of the Technology

• Relevance – Objectively Assess Progress Toward Targets and Market Needs – Provide Feedback to H2 Research and Development – Publish Results for Key Stakeholder Use and Investment Decisions

Burbank, CA station. Photo: NREL

Performance Measure Interim (2009)*

Ultimate (2020)

Fuel Cell Stack Durability 2000 hours 5000 hours

Vehicle Range 250+ miles 300+ miles

Hydrogen Cost at Station $3/gge $2-4/gge**

Key Targets

*Project extended 2 years through 2011; **Previously $2-3/gge for 2015

Outside review panel

Details of each of these 3 results shown later

Page 4: National Hydrogen Learning Demonstration€¦ · 2015 Target 2009 Target Gen 1 Gen 2 NREL CDP02 Created: Mar-10-10 1:18 PM (1) Range is based on fuel economy and usable hydrogen on-board

National Renewable Energy Laboratory 4 Innovation for Our Energy Future

History: 4 OEM/Energy Teams Selected Competitively through FOA in 2004

***

*

**

* now ** now *** now

DOE funding: $170M Industry cost share: $189M

Total: $359M NREL received $6.6M from DOE for analysis

and support of this project since FY03

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National Renewable Energy Laboratory 5 Innovation for Our Energy Future

Involvement of Industry Teams Over 7 Years

RFP Startup Operation, Data Collection, and Analysis FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12

TODAY

Gen 1

Gen 2 Gen 2

Gen 1

Daimler, GM, and Air Products (CHIP) Demonstrated Vehicles/Stations within Project through CY2011

(CHIP)

Gen 1 & 2 Gen 1 Gen 2

Ford/BP and Chevron/Hyundai-Kia Concluded in 2009

Page 6: National Hydrogen Learning Demonstration€¦ · 2015 Target 2009 Target Gen 1 Gen 2 NREL CDP02 Created: Mar-10-10 1:18 PM (1) Range is based on fuel economy and usable hydrogen on-board

National Renewable Energy Laboratory 6 Innovation for Our Energy Future

CDPs

DDPs

Composite Data Products (CDPs) • Aggregated data across multiple systems,

sites, and teams • Publish analysis results every six months

without revealing proprietary data2

Detailed Data Products (DDPs) • Individual data analyses

• Identify individual contribution to CDPs • Shared every six months only with the

partner who supplied the data1

1) Data exchange may happen more frequently based on data, analysis, & collaboration 2) Results published via NREL Tech Val website, conferences, and reports (http://www.nrel.gov/hydrogen/proj_learning_demo.html)

What is NREL’s Role? Project Approach Supporting Both DOE/Public as Well as Fuel Cell Developers

Results

Internal analysis completed quarterly

Bundled data (operation & maintenance/safety)

delivered to NREL quarterly

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National Renewable Energy Laboratory 7 Innovation for Our Energy Future

This Project Analyzed Massive Amounts of Data: 3.5 M miles and >500,000 vehicle trips (second-by-second)

122429

508441

0

100000

200000

300000

400000

500000

600000

0

25000

50000

75000

100000

125000

# Tr

ips

Size

of D

ata

(MB

)

Cumulative On-Road Data Received for Fuel Cell Vehicle Learning Demonstration

MB of data

# trips

~420 million seconds of data

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National Renewable Energy Laboratory 8 Innovation for Our Energy Future

99 CDPs in Total (40 Winter 2011 CDPs)

Hence, we’ll just cover some

highlights today

Page 9: National Hydrogen Learning Demonstration€¦ · 2015 Target 2009 Target Gen 1 Gen 2 NREL CDP02 Created: Mar-10-10 1:18 PM (1) Range is based on fuel economy and usable hydrogen on-board

National Renewable Energy Laboratory 9 Innovation for Our Energy Future

4

83

45

51

-

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Cum

ulat

ive

Vehi

cles

Dep

loye

d/R

etire

d1

Vehicle Deployment by On-Board Hydrogen Storage Type

700 bar on-road350 bar on-roadLiquid H2 on-road700 bar retired350 bar retiredLiquid H2 retired

(1) Retired vehicles have left DOE fleet and are no longer providing data to NREL(2) Two project teams concluded in Fall/Winter 2009Created Dec-13-11 3:12 PM

183

NREL cdp_fcev_25

(2)

Current Vehicle Deployment Status at End of Evaluation Period (9/30/11)

51 vehicles on road 132 retired

Large # vehicles required for statistical

significance

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National Renewable Energy Laboratory 10 Innovation for Our Energy Future

2nd Generation Vehicles Demonstrated Technology Improvements Over Gen 1

Generation 1 Vehicles • FC not freeze-capable • ~2003 stack technology • Storage: liquid H2 & 350

and 700 bar • Range: 100-200 miles • Efficiency: 51-58% at ¼

power

Generation 2 Vehicles • FC freeze-capable • ~2007-2009 stack tech. • Storage: All 700 bar

• Range: 200-250 miles • Efficiency: 53-59% at ¼

power

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National Renewable Energy Laboratory 11 Innovation for Our Energy Future

0

1

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Compressed Liquid Pipeline Reforming Electrolysis

Num

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f Sta

tions

Learning Demonstration Hydrogen Stations by Type

Operating Outside of ProjectOperating Within ProjectHistorical 2005-2009*

NREL cdp_fcev_32Created Dec-9-11 9:15 AM

Delivered On-Site Production

*Some project teams concluded Fall/Winter 2009. Markers show the cumulative stations operated during the 2005-2009 period

Current Infrastructure Status: Demonstration Station Testing Successfully Completed as Planned

Note: Many demonstration stations were taken offline as

planned at conclusion of demo. Some stayed open and/or

received upgrades (CA and NY).

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National Renewable Energy Laboratory 12 Innovation for Our Energy Future

7

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0

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f Sta

tions

Reporting Period

Cumulative Stations

Continuing Outside of ProjectRetired StationsCurrent Project Stations

NREL cdp_fcev_31Created Dec-9-11 9:15 AM

Infrastructure Status: Out of 25 Project Stations, 13 Are Still Operational* (~1/2 outside of DOE project)

Jan-31-2012

2 Online 3 Future

54 Online 15 Future

6 Online

SF Bay Area

DC to New York

3 Online

Detroit Area

Los Angeles Area

16 Online 11 Future

3 mile radius

6 mile radius

12

7

6

**

** Funded by state of CA or others, outside of this project

* CDP station status is as of 9/30/11

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National Renewable Energy Laboratory 13 Innovation for Our Energy Future

Project Achieved Both Technical Goals; Outside Analysis Used for Cost Evaluation

Vehicle Performance Metrics Gen 1 Vehicle Gen 2 Vehicle 2009 Target

Fuel Cell Stack Durability 2000 hours

Max Team Projected Hours to 10% Voltage Degradation 1807 hours 2521 hours

Average Fuel Cell Durability Projection 821 hours 1062 hours Max Hours of Operation

by a Single FC Stack to Date 2375 hours 1261 hours

Driving Range 103-190 miles 196-254 miles 250 miles

Fuel Economy (Window Sticker) 42 – 57 mi/kg 43 – 58 mi/kg no target

Fuel Cell Efficiency at ¼ Power 51 - 58% 53 - 59% 60%

Fuel Cell Efficiency at Full Power 30 - 54% 42 - 53% 50%

Infrastructure Performance Metrics 2009 Target

H2 Cost at Station (early market) On-site natural gas

reformation $7.70 - $10.30

On-site Electrolysis

$10.00 - $12.90 $3/gge

Average H2 Fueling Rate 0.77 kg/min 1.0 kg/min

Outside of this project, DOE independent panels concluded at 500 replicate stations/year: Distributed natural gas reformation at 1500 kg/day: $2.75-$3.50/kg (2006)

Distributed electrolysis at 1500kg/day: $4.90-$5.70 (2009)

Outside review panel

1)

2)

3)

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National Renewable Energy Laboratory 14 Innovation for Our Energy Future

1) FC Durability Target of 2000 Hours Met By Gen 2 Projections

Gen1 Gen2 Gen1 Gen2 Gen1 Gen20200400600800

1000120014001600180020002200240026002800

2006 Target

2009 Target

Actual Operating Hours Accumulated To-Date Projected Hours to 10% Voltage Degradation

Tim

e (H

ours

)

DOE Learning Demonstration Fuel Cell Stack Durability:Based on Data Through 2009 Q2

Max Hrs Accumulated1,2 Avg Hrs Accumulated1,3 Projection to 10% Voltage Degradation4,5,6

Max ProjectionAvg Projection

NREL CDP01Created: Mar-23-10 10:39 AM

(1) Range bars created using one data point for each OEM. Some stacks have accumulated hours beyond 10% voltage degradation.(2) Range (highest and lowest) of the maximum operating hours accumulated to-date of any OEM's individual stack in "real-world" operation.(3) Range (highest and lowest) of the average operating hours accumulated to-date of all stacks in each OEM's fleet.(4) Projection using on-road data -- degradation calculated at high stack current. This criterion is used for assessing progress against DOE targets, may differ from OEM's end-of-life criterion, and does not address "catastrophic" failure modes, such as membrane failure.(5) Using one nominal projection per OEM: "Max Projection" = highest nominal projection, "Avg Projection" = average nominal projection. The shaded projection bars represents an engineering judgment of the uncertainty on the "Avg Projection" due to data and methodology limitations. Projections will change as additional data are accumulated.(6) Projection method was modified beginning with 2009 Q2 data, includes an upper projection limit based on demonstrated op hours.

*

Durability is defined by DOE as projected hours to 10% voltage degradation *

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National Renewable Energy Laboratory 15 Innovation for Our Energy Future

Dyno Range (2) Window-Sticker Range (3) On-Road Range (4)(5)0

50

100

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200

250

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Vehi

cle

Ran

ge (m

iles)

Vehicle Range1

2015 Target2009 Target Gen 1 Gen 2

NREL CDP02Created: Mar-10-10 1:18 PM

(1) Range is based on fuel economy and usable hydrogen on-board the vehicle. One data point for each make/model.(2) Fuel economy from unadjusted combined City/Hwy per DRAFT SAE J2572.(3) Fuel economy from EPA Adjusted combined City/Hwy (0.78 x Hwy, 0.9 x City).(4) Excludes trips < 1 mile. One data point for on-road fleet average of each make/model.(5) Fuel economy calculated from on-road fuel cell stack current or mass flow readings.

2) Vehicle Range Achieved 2009 Target of 250 Miles with Gen 2 Adjusted Fuel Economy

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National Renewable Energy Laboratory 16 Innovation for Our Energy Future

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16Projected Early Market 1500 kg/day Hydrogen Cost1

$/kg

Natural Gas Reforming2 Electrolysis2

2015 DOE Hydrogen Program Goal Range3

Median25th & 75th Percentile10th & 90th Percentile

Created: Jan-19-10 11:08 AM

(1) Reported hydrogen costs are based on estimates of key cost elements from Learning Demonstration energy company partners and represent thecost of producing hydrogen on-site at the fueling station, using either natural gas reformation or water electrolysis, dispensed to the vehicle. Costsreflect an assessment of hydrogen production technologies, not an assessment of hydrogen market demand.(2) Hydrogen production costs for 1500 kg/day stations developed using DOE’s H2A Production model, version 2.1. Cost modeling represents thelifetime cost of producing hydrogen at fueling stations installed during an early market rollout of hydrogen infrastructure and are not reflective of thecosts that might be seen in a fully mature market for hydrogen installations. Modeling uses default H2A Production model inputs supplemented withfeedback from Learning Demonstration energy company partners, based on their experience operating on-site hydrogen production stations. H2A-based Monte Carlo simulations (2,000 trials) were completed for both natural gas reforming and electrolysis stations using default H2A values and10th percentile to 90th percentile estimated ranges for key cost parameters as shown in the table. Capacity utilization range is based on the capabilitiesof the production technologies and could be significantly lower if there is inadequate demand for hydrogen.(3) DOE has a hydrogen cost goal of $2-$3/kg for future (2015) 1500 kg/day hydrogen production stations installed at a rate of 500 stations per year.

Key H2 Cost Elements and Ranges

Input Parameter Minimum (P10)

Maximum (P90)

Facility Direct Capital Cost $10M $25M

Facility Capacity Utilization 85% 95%

Annual Maintenance & Repairs $150K $600K

Annual Other O&M $100K $200K

Annual Facility Land Rent $50K $200K

Natural Gas Prod. Efficiency (LHV) 65% 75%

Electrolysis Prod. Efficiency (LHV) 35% 62%

NREL CDP15

3) Projected Early Market H2 Production Cost from Learning Demo Energy Partners’ Inputs

*

*

This project provides an excellent learning opportunity, but stations are not meant to emulate high volume replicate

stations of the future. Permitting was in transition.

Outside of this project, DOE independent panels concluded at 500 replicate stations/year: Distributed natural gas reformation at 1500 kg/day: $2.75-$3.50/kg (2006)

Distributed electrolysis at 1500kg/day: $4.90-$5.70 (2009)

Page 17: National Hydrogen Learning Demonstration€¦ · 2015 Target 2009 Target Gen 1 Gen 2 NREL CDP02 Created: Mar-10-10 1:18 PM (1) Range is based on fuel economy and usable hydrogen on-board

National Renewable Energy Laboratory 17 Innovation for Our Energy Future

EFFICIENCY: Verified High Gen 2 Fuel Cell System Efficiency Maintained (Compared to Gen 1)

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 1000

10

20

30

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50

60

Net System Power [%]

Effic

ienc

y [%

]

Fuel Cell System1 Efficiency2

Eff. at 25% Pwr Eff. at 100% Pwr ------------------- -------------------Gen1 51 - 58% 30 - 54%Gen2 53 - 59% 42 - 53%

DOE Target at 25% PowerDOE Target at 100% PowerGen 1 Efficiency RangeGen 2 Efficiency Range

NREL CDP08NREL CDP08Created: Sep-02-09 11:27 AM

1 Gross stack power minus fuel cell system auxiliaries, per DRAFT SAE J2615. Excludes power electronics and electric drive.2 Ratio of DC output energy to the lower heating value of the input fuel (hydrogen). 3 Individual test data linearly interpolated at 5,10,15,25,50,75,and 100% of max net power. Values at high power linearly extrapolated due to steady state dynamometer cooling limitations.

Critical result: Efficiency not sacrificed in order to

achieve improved durability and freeze capability

Page 18: National Hydrogen Learning Demonstration€¦ · 2015 Target 2009 Target Gen 1 Gen 2 NREL CDP02 Created: Mar-10-10 1:18 PM (1) Range is based on fuel economy and usable hydrogen on-board

National Renewable Energy Laboratory 18 Innovation for Our Energy Future

Dyno (1) Window-Sticker (2) On-Road (3)(4)0

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Fuel

Eco

nom

y (m

iles/

kg H

2)

Fuel Economy

Gen 1 Gen 2

NREL CDP06Created: Mar-10-10 1:18 PM

(1) One data point for each make/model. Combined City/Hwy fuel economy per DRAFT SAE J2572.(2) Adjusted combined City/Hwy fuel economy (0.78 x Hwy, 0.9 x City).(3) Excludes trips < 1 mile. One data point for on-road fleet average of each make/model.(4) Calculated from on-road fuel cell stack current or mass flow readings.

FUEL ECONOMY: Ranges of Fuel Economy from Dynamometer and On-Road Data Similar for Gen 1 & 2

Page 19: National Hydrogen Learning Demonstration€¦ · 2015 Target 2009 Target Gen 1 Gen 2 NREL CDP02 Created: Mar-10-10 1:18 PM (1) Range is based on fuel economy and usable hydrogen on-board

National Renewable Energy Laboratory 19 Innovation for Our Energy Future

0 50 100 150 200 250 3000

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enta

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f Ref

uelin

gs

Distance between refuelings [Miles]2

Distance Driven Between Refuelings: All OEMs

Gen1Gen2After 2009Q4

NREL cdp_fcev_80

1. Some refueling events are not detected/reported due to data noise or incompleteness.2. Distance driven between refuelings is indicative of driver behavior and does not represent the full range of the vehicle.

Gen1 Refuelings1 = 18941 Median distance between refuelings = 56 Miles Gen2 Refuelings1 = 6870 Median distance between refuelings = 81 Miles

Created: Dec-13-11 3:57 PM

Refuelings after 2009Q41 = 9937 Median distance between refuelings = 98 Miles

RANGE: Results Show Significant Improvement in Real-World Driving Range Between 3 Sets of Vehicles

+45% improvement Gen 1 to Gen 2

+71% improvement in real-world driving

range with latest adv. tech. vehicles

Note: Actual range possible >200 miles

Page 20: National Hydrogen Learning Demonstration€¦ · 2015 Target 2009 Target Gen 1 Gen 2 NREL CDP02 Created: Mar-10-10 1:18 PM (1) Range is based on fuel economy and usable hydrogen on-board

National Renewable Energy Laboratory 20 Innovation for Our Energy Future

RANGE: NREL/SRNL Experiment Verified Toyota FCHV-adv Capable of up to 430-Mile Driving Range Without Refueling on June 30, 2009

Average trip

distance (miles)

H2 consumed

(kg)

Remaining usable H2

(kg)

Calculated remaining

range (miles) (miles) (miles)

Vehicle #1

331.50 4.8255 1.4854 102.04 433.55

431 Vehicle #2

331.45 4.8751 1.4328 97.41 428.87

0 MPG

30 MPG

60 MPG

90 MPG

Report: http://www.nrel.gov/hydrogen/pdfs/toyota_fchv-adv_range_verification.pdf Toyota video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iz0vD5E7glA

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National Renewable Energy Laboratory 21 Innovation for Our Energy Future

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 >20000

5

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25Fuel Cell Stack4 Operation Hours

FC S

tack

s [%

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Operation Hours

25% of FC Stacks > 937 hours

Med

ian

(620

hou

rs)

In Service1

Retired2

Not in Service3

NREL cdp_fcev_86Created: Dec-15-11 12:32 PM

1) Stacks that are in service and accumulating operation hours.2) Stacks retired due to low-performance or catastrophic failure.3) Indicates stacks that are no longer accumulating hours either a) temporarily or b) have been retired for non- stack performancerelated issues or c)removed from DOE program.4) Only includes systems operating after 2009Q4.

DURABILITY: Data from FCEVs After 2009 Q4 Fuel Cell Stack Operation Hours

Some stacks operated up over 1,400 hours, but many still below

600 hours

Page 22: National Hydrogen Learning Demonstration€¦ · 2015 Target 2009 Target Gen 1 Gen 2 NREL CDP02 Created: Mar-10-10 1:18 PM (1) Range is based on fuel economy and usable hydrogen on-board

National Renewable Energy Laboratory 22 Innovation for Our Energy Future

0

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0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 10001100120013001400150016001700180019002000Stack Op Hour Segments2

% P

ower

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Max Fuel Cell Stack3 Power Degradation Over Operation

1) Normalized by fleet median value at 200 hours.2) Each segment point is median FC power (+-50 hrs). Box not drawn if fewer than 3 points in segment.3) Only includes systems operated after 2009Q4.

Data Range25th & 75th PercentilesGroup MedianOutlier

NREL cdp_fcev_90Created: Jan-10-12 10:29 AM

Median power differencefrom 0 hour segment to1300 hour segment = -18.2%

DURABILITY: What Does the Stack Aging Look Like? Max FC Power Degradation Rate Drops with Aging

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National Renewable Energy Laboratory 23 Innovation for Our Energy Future

0 300 600 900 1200 1500 1800 2100 2400 2700 3000 >30000102030405060

Fuel Cell Stacks4 Projected Hours to 10% Voltage Degradation

1,74

8

FC S

tack

s [%

]

Time 0 Fit (In Service)Time 0 Fit (Retired or Not in Service)2

Weighted Average (Fleet)

0 300 600 900 1200 1500 1800 2100 2400 2700 3000 >30000102030405060

2,26

1

Projected Hours to 10% Voltage Degradation 1,3

FC S

tack

s [%

]

Steady Operation Fit (In Service)5

Steady Operation Fit (Retired or Not in Service)2, 5Weighted Average (Fleet)

NREL cdp_fcev_87Created: Jan-10-12 10:28 AM

1) Projection using field data, calculated at high stack current, from operation hour 0 or a steady operation period. Projected hours may differ from an OEM's end-of-life criterion and does not address "catastrophic" failure modes.2) Indicates stacks that are no longer accumulating hours either a) temporarily or b) have been retired for non- stack performance related issues or c) removed from DOE program.3) Projected hours limited based on demonstrated hours.4) Only includes systems operating after 2009Q4.5) Not all stacks have a steady operation fit which is calculated from data after 200 hr break-in period. The steady operation starting hour is an approximation of the period after initial break-in where degradation levels to a more steady rate.

DURABILITY: Fuel Cell Stacks Projected Hours to 10% Voltage Degradation; Two Fits

Using All Data from t0

Fitting After First 200

Hours

Page 24: National Hydrogen Learning Demonstration€¦ · 2015 Target 2009 Target Gen 1 Gen 2 NREL CDP02 Created: Mar-10-10 1:18 PM (1) Range is based on fuel economy and usable hydrogen on-board

National Renewable Energy Laboratory 24 Innovation for Our Energy Future

0 500 1000 1500 20000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500Comparison of Operation Hours and Projected Hours to 10% Voltage Degradation5

Proj

ecte

d H

ours

1,2,

4

Operation Hours

projected hrs = operation hrs

FC SystemFC System (Limited)2

FC System (Retired)3

Unity Line

NREL cdp_fcev_88Created: Jan-10-12 10:29 AM

25% of stacks arebelow the unity lineand have operatedpast 10% voltagedegradation.

On average, thesestacks haveoperated for 990hours.

Stacks above theunity line have notoperated past 10%voltage degradation.

1) Indicates the projected hours to a 10% voltage degradation based upon curve fitting data from operation hour 0.2) Projected hours limited based on demonstrated hours.3) Stacks retired due to low-performance or catastrophic failure.4) Each projection has uncertainty based on the confidence intervals of the fit.5) Only includes systems operated after 2009Q4.

DURABILITY: Comparison of Fuel Cell Operation Hours and Projected Hours to 10% Voltage Degradation

Many stacks have projections that we limit to 2X due to minimize

extrapolation

Stacks consistently operating past 10% voltage degradation

Page 25: National Hydrogen Learning Demonstration€¦ · 2015 Target 2009 Target Gen 1 Gen 2 NREL CDP02 Created: Mar-10-10 1:18 PM (1) Range is based on fuel economy and usable hydrogen on-board

National Renewable Energy Laboratory 25 Innovation for Our Energy Future

INFRASTRUCTURE: Evaluated On-Site Hydrogen Production Efficiency

On-Site Natural Gas Reforming On-Site Electrolysis0

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2010 MYPP Target2015 MYPP Target

2012 MYPP Target

2017 MYPP Target

Prod

uctio

n Ef

ficie

ncy

(LH

V %

)

Hydrogen Production Conversion Efficiency1

Average Station Efficiency

Quarterly Efficiency Data

Highest Quarterly Efficiency

Efficiency Probability Distribution2

NREL CDP13Created: Mar-09-10 3:16 PM

1Production conversion efficiency is defined as the energy of the hydrogen out of the process (on an LHV basis) divided by the sum ofthe energy into the production process from the feedstock and all other energy as needed. Conversion efficiency does not includeenergy used for compression, storage, and dispensing.2The efficiency probability distribution represents the range and likelihood of hydrogen production conversion efficiency based onmonthly conversion efficiency data from the Learning Demonstration.

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National Renewable Energy Laboratory 26 Innovation for Our Energy Future

GHG: Learning Demonstration Vehicle Greenhouse Gas Emissions (WTW)

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GH

G E

mis

sion

s (g

CO

2-eq

/mi)

Learning Demonstration Fuel Cycle Well-to-Wheels Greenhouse Gas Emissions1

Baseline Conventional Mid-Size Passenger Car2

Baseline Conventional Mid-Size SUV2

Average WTW GHG Emissions (Learning Demo)

Minimum WTW GHG Emissions (Learning Demo)

WTW GHG Emissions (100% Renewable Electricity)

WTW GHG Probability Based on Learning Demo3

NREL CDP62Created: Mar-08-10 4:16 PM

On-Site Natural Gas Reforming On-Site Electrolysis(4)1. Well-to-Wheels greenhouse gas emissions based on DOE's GREET model, version 1.8b. Analysis uses default GREET values except for FCV fuel economy, hydrogenproduction conversion efficiency, and electricity grid mix. Fuel economy values are the Gen 1 and Gen 2 window-sticker fuel economy data for all teams (as used in CDP #6);conversion efficiency values are the production efficiency data used in CDP #13.2. Baseline conventional passenger car and light duty truck GHG emissions are determined by GREET 1.8b, based on the EPA window-sticker fuel economy of a conventionalgasoline mid-size passenger car and mid-size SUV, respectively. The Learning Demonstration fleet includes both passenger cars and SUVs.3. The Well-to-Wheels GHG probability distribution represents the range and likelihood of GHG emissions resulting from the hydrogen FCV fleet based on window-sticker fueleconomy data and monthly conversion efficiency data from the Learning Demonstration.4. On-site electrolysis GHG emissions are based on the average mix of electricity production used by the Learning Demonstration production sites, which includes bothgrid-based electricity and renewable on-site solar electricity. GHG emissions associated with on-site production of hydrogen from electrolysis are highly dependent onelectricity source. GHG emissions from a 100% renewable electricity mix would be zero, as shown. If electricity were supplied from the U.S. average grid mix, average GHGemissions would be 1330 g/mile.

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National Renewable Energy Laboratory 27 Innovation for Our Energy Future

1 2 3 4 5 6 70

50

100

150

200

250

Station (Sorted By Increasing Station Capacity)

Cap

acity

Util

izat

ion

1 [%]

Demonstration Station Capacity Utilization

58.9%

Maximum Daily Utilization

Maximum Quarterly Utilization2

Average Daily Utilization2

NREL cdp_fcev_91Created: Jan-10-12 11:38 AM

Note: Learning Demonstrationpriority was for good stationcoverage not high station utilization

1Station nameplate capacity reflects a variety of system design consderations including system capacity, throughput, system reliability and durability, and maintenance. Actual daily usage may exceed nameplate capacity.2Maximum quarterly utilization considers all days; average daily utilization considers only days when at least one filling occurred

INFRASTRUCTURE: Station Capacity Utilization

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National Renewable Energy Laboratory 28 Innovation for Our Energy Future

Sun Mon Tues Wed Thur Fri Sat0

2

4

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Dis

pens

ed H

ydro

gen

[% o

f tot

al]

Day of Week

Dispensed Hydrogen per Day of Week

0

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18

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27

30

Dai

ly A

vera

ge [k

g]

27 kg/day avgAll StationsIndividual Stations

NREL cdp_fcev_83Created: Dec-15-11 1:20 PM

INFRASTRUCTURE: Some CDPs Are Now Looking at the Transition from Demo to Early Market – Utilization is Important

Several stations are serving 4-5 vehicles/day on

average

Some stations still significantly under utilized

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National Renewable Energy Laboratory 29 Innovation for Our Energy Future

INFRASTRUCTURE: Infrastructure Reliability Growth

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

5

Shap

e Pa

ram

eter

)1

Overall Site Reliability Growth: Infrastructure3

Site: 1 Site: 2 Site: 3 Site: 4 Site: 5 Site: 6 Site: 7

1. IEC 61164:2004(E)., Reliability Growth - Statistical Test and Evaluation Methods, IEC. 2004.

2.% change in instantaneous MTBF

3. Includes data from stations operating after 2009 Q4.

Entire historyLast 20% of eventsFirst 120 Days

NREL cdp_fcev_97Created: Jan-09-12 4:23 PM

Sites Sorted by Increasing Age (Calendar Days)

Failu

re R

ate

Incr

easi

ngFa

ilure

Rat

e D

ecre

asin

g

Instantaneous MTBF improved for 5 of 7 sites for the last 20% of events.

12%2 522%2

43%2

127%2

-64%2 -20%2

379%2

Most stations have shown improved reliability recently

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National Renewable Energy Laboratory 30 Innovation for Our Energy Future

0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 20

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Avg Fuel Rate (kg/min)

Num

ber o

f Fue

ling

Even

tsHistogram of Fueling Rates

All Light Duty by Year

5 minute fill of5 kg at 350 bar

3 minute fill of5 kg at 350 bar

Year Avg (kg/min) %>1 ------- ----------------- -------2005 0.66 16%2006 0.74 21%2007 0.81 26%2008 0.77 23%2009 0.77 22%2010 0.63 2%2011 0.68 12%

20052006200720082009201020112006 MYPP Tech Val Milestone2012 MYPP Tech Val Milestone

NREL cdp_fcev_52Created: Jan-10-12 11:49 AM

FUELING: Tracking Fueling Rates by Year

Average fueling rate rose up until 2009 when some of the higher throughput

stations closed down

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National Renewable Energy Laboratory 31 Innovation for Our Energy Future

0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 20

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Avg Fuel Rate (kg/min)

Num

ber o

f Fue

ling

Even

ts

Histogram of Fueling RatesVehicle and Infrastructure

5 kg in 5 minutes

5 kg in3 minutes

25464 EventsAverage = 0.77 kg/min

23% >1 kg/min

8,050 EventsAverage = 0.65 kg/min

7% >1 kg/min

2006 MYPP Tech Val Milestone 2012 MYPP Tech Val Milestone Through 2009Q4 After 2009Q4

NREL cdp_fcev_18Created: Dec-07-11 11:08 AM

FUELING: Changes in Refueling Rate Trends – Average Refueling Rate Decreased 16%

Decrease is result of average H2 per fill

increasing 25%, but average fueling time increasing by 37%

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National Renewable Energy Laboratory 32 Innovation for Our Energy Future

0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2 0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Avg Fuel Rate (kg/min)

Histogram of Fueling Rates350 vs 700 bar Fills

5 minute fill of5 kg at 350 bar

3 minute fill of5 kg at 350 bar

Fill Type Avg (kg/min) %>1 Count------------- ------------------ ------- --------Through 2009Q4350 bar 0.82 29% 19659700 bar 0.63 4% 5590------------- ------------------ ------- --------After 2009Q4350 bar 0.70 8% 2594700 bar 0.64 7% 5208

Num

ber o

f Fue

ling

Even

ts (T

hrou

gh 2

009Q

4)

350 bar (Through 2009Q4)700 bar (Through 2009Q4)700 bar (After 2009Q4)350 bar (After 2009Q4)2006 MYPP Tech Val Milestone2012 MYPP Tech Val Milestone

0

100

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ber o

f Fue

ling

Even

ts (A

fter

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9Q4)

NREL cdp_fcev_14Created: Jan-10-12 10:23 AM

FUELING: Fueling Rates by Fill Pressure and Communication vs. Non-communication – Fueling infrastructure in transition

0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2 0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Avg Fuel Rate (kg/min)

Histogram of Fueling RatesComm vs Non-Comm Fills

5 minute fill of5 kg at 350 bar

3 minute fill of5 kg at 350 bar

Fill Type Avg (kg/min) %>1 ------------- ------------------ -------Through 2009Q4Comm 0.86 30%Non-Comm 0.66 12%------------- ------------------ -------After 2009Q4Comm 0.58 3%Non-Comm 0.81 16%

Num

ber o

f Fue

ling

Even

ts (T

hrou

gh 2

009Q

4)

Comm (Through 2009Q4)Non-Comm (Through 2009Q4)Non-Comm (After 2009Q4)Comm (After 2009Q4)2006 MYPP Tech Val Milestone2012 MYPP Tech Val Milestone

0

100

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Num

ber o

f Fue

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9Q4)

NREL cdp_fcev_29Created: Jan-10-12 10:28 AM

700 bar fueling rates holding constant at ~0.63 kg/min

350 bar fueling rates dropped from

0.82 to 0.70 kg/min

Comm fill rates dropped while non-comm fill rates increased

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National Renewable Energy Laboratory 33 Innovation for Our Energy Future

Analysis at NREL Leveraged Across Applications; Being Applied to Compare Similarities/Differences

Other data sources: FC bus, forklift, lab data, and backup

power

Fueling rates vary by application, driven by constraints on nominal pressure, volume, tank materials

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National Renewable Energy Laboratory 34 Innovation for Our Energy Future

Example of Analysis Results Informing R&D Activities and Codes and Standards Development

-20 0 20 40 60-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

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60

Ambient Air Temperature [deg C]

Tank

Tem

pera

ture

[deg

C]

Tank vs. Ambient Air Temps Prior to Refueling

Freq

uenc

y

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Delta Temperature [deg C]

Cou

nt

Delta Temperature: Tank minus Ambient

Delta Temp HistogramNormal Distribution Fit

0

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

Den

sity

Mean= -3.751Std Dev= 6.129

NREL CDP72Created: Mar-11-10 10:24 AM

-This CDP created in support of SAE J2601 related to refueling-Temperatures are prior to refueling and exclude data within 4 hours of a previous fill-The plot to the left excludes ambient temperatures less than -5 deg C

FCEVs arrive at station with a tank temperature

that is 3.8 degrees C colder than ambient temp

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National Renewable Energy Laboratory 35 Innovation for Our Energy Future

Technical Summary

• Project has completed ~7 years of real-world validation • Vehicle operation: 183 vehicles, 154,000 hours, 3.5 million

miles, 500,000 trips • H2 station operation: 25 stations, 151,000 kg produced or

dispensed, 33,000 fuelings • DOE Key Technical Targets Validated and Met:

• FC Durability >2,000 hours and Range >250 miles

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National Renewable Energy Laboratory 36 Innovation for Our Energy Future

Learning Demo Project Wrap-Up

• Winter 2011 CDPs just posted on NREL web site • Draft final report in March 2012, to be published in April • Continuing to receive data on H2 infrastructure with

support from DOE (primarily in CA: stations funded by CEC and ARB). New results to follow.

• In discussions with how to continue to assess FCEV progress in the coming years

• This project is the 1st time such comprehensive data was collected by an independent 3rd-party and consolidated for public dissemination Successful framework being used for other projects

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National Renewable Energy Laboratory 37 Innovation for Our Energy Future

NREL Has Built the Infrastructure and Framework for Other Projects to Follow

Final Public Report

Learning Demo Conclusion S

pring 2006 CD

Ps

Fall 2006 CD

Ps

Spring 2007 C

DP

s

Fall 2007 CD

Ps

Spring 2008 C

DP

s

Fall 2008 CD

Ps

Spring 2009 C

DP

s

Fall 2009 CD

Ps

Spring 2010 C

DP

s

Fall 2010 CD

Ps

Spring 2011 C

DP

s

Fall 2011 CD

Ps

Winter 2011 C

DP

s

Page 38: National Hydrogen Learning Demonstration€¦ · 2015 Target 2009 Target Gen 1 Gen 2 NREL CDP02 Created: Mar-10-10 1:18 PM (1) Range is based on fuel economy and usable hydrogen on-board

National Renewable Energy Laboratory 38 Innovation for Our Energy Future

To Learn More on Your Own… It’s All Online on NREL’s web site

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National Renewable Energy Laboratory 39 Innovation for Our Energy Future

New Graphical Way of Viewing Results Will Soon Be Online

Web demo Sunburst temporarily located at http://nreldev.nrel.gov/hydrogen/_noctp/demo/source/sunburst.html

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National Renewable Energy Laboratory 40 Innovation for Our Energy Future

Online Questions and Discussion

All public Learning Demo papers and presentations are available online at http://www.nrel.gov/hydrogen/proj_tech_validation.html

Project Contact: Keith Wipke, National Renewable Energy Lab 303.275.4451 keith.wipke nrel.gov @

DOE FCT Program website: http://www1.eere.energy.gov/hydrogenandfuelcells/index.html