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Transcript of National Grid Todayinvestors.nationalgrid.com/~/media/Files/N/National-Grid-IR... · National Grid...
NationalGridToday
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One of the world’s largest public owned utilities focused ontransmission and distribution activities in electricity and gas inboth the United Kingdom and the United States
March 2014 regulated assets of around £36bn generating operatingprofit of £3.7bn with a strong dividend
Strong growth opportunities in well regulated utility markets,particularly in the UK
Dividend policy effective 1 April 2013 – aim is to grow ordinarydividend at least in line with RPI for the foreseeable future
Our investment propositionWe aim to be a business focused on generating shareholder value through both dividends and asset/equity growth by
under predominantly regulated market conditions to service
low risk investing
in essential assets long-term sustainable consumer led demands
Reducing risk...
...Investing in essential assets...
...Our performance – returns and value added...
...Sustainable consumer-led demands
Developing the business
Total shareholder return Performance and returns
Focus on operating performanceManaging our cost base
Maximising incentives
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Generating strong cash flows
Delivering on commitments
Balance of activities Regulatedincome growth
Macro-economicprotection
Commodity andvolume protection
UK RAV
Group ROE Value addedper share
31 March 2014
31 March 2014 31 March 2014
31 March 2014 31 March 2014US Rate Base Net Debt
£ bn24.9
11.4% 57.2p
$ bn16.3 £ bn21.2
National Grid is a portfolio of distinct regulated businesses in the UK and the US and some unregulated businesses,primarily in the UK. This includes a mixture of cash generative developed assets with minimal investment requirements(such as our existing interconnectors and National Grid Metering business), businesses with low to medium levels ofgrowth and positive cash generation (such as our US and UK distribution businesses) and businesses with high levels ofinvestment and growth (such as our UK electricity transmission business and potential new unregulated investments).
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Maintaining strong credit ratings –key driver of value for the Group
Low single A credit ratings for UKoperating companies
Majority of US OpCos rated lowsingle A
NG plc rated BBB+
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Excludes $2.4bn of otherregulated assets including $0.3bnof working capital outside of ratebase
US capex remains broadly in linewith levels expected by ourdifferent regulators
Core growth
Additional opportunities
UK and US regulated ~5%
Accelerated UK load related
US network modernisation
US gas roll out
Business development:- UK interconnectors- US transmission and repowering
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Measure of value we create atoperational and group level
Reflects our ability to balancegrowth and pay dividends
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Captures total return per sharecreated on an operational basis
Shows increased value created inthe balance sheet, plus dividends,less increase to net debt
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Increased incentive to deliverinnovative and efficient capitalinvestments
Totex regime allows opportunityto grow RAV without investment
RPI inflation applies to RAV
May 2014
Operating returnmeasures
Regulators
Allowed
UnitedKingdom
UnitedStates
Shareholdervalue
Equity investors
Achieved Group ROE
Electricity Transmission Electricity Transmission
10.2% 12.4%
10.0% 12.8%
11.4%vs
last year11.7%*
9.9%
9.8%
13.0%
9.0%
Gas Transmission Gas Transmission
Gas Distribution
Total US
Gas Distribution
Total US
FERC
Gas Distribution Gas Transmission
12.2% 11.0%8.7% 8.3%
KEDNY KEDLI
US RoE
UK returns
NiMo Electric
Allowedreturns
2013/14 RAV and Rate base
Generating returns
7.2%
Basereturns
12.4%12.8%13.0%
Electricity Transmission
RAV andRate base
£0
$0
£24.9bn
$16.3bn
totalshareholder
return=
dividend yield+
growth in theper share value of
shareholders’equity
2014/15 priorities
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Strong balance sheet
Opportunities to improve returns
Priority remains delivery of attractive total returnsfor shareholders
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We manage a leveragedbusiness model to driveconsistent TSR performance byproviding growth in dividendsand assets
Balancing the rate of assetgrowth with secure financingproduces the optimal TSR
Additional investments need toenhance our TSR
Conclusion and outlook
Portfolio evolution
Distribution
Non-regulatedbusinesses
UK Transmission
Growth
YieldNot to scale
National Grid plc1 –3 StrandLondon WC2N 5EHUnited Kingdomwww.nationalgrid.com
Download our iPad appfree on the App Store
@nationalgridIR
Andy Mead
Victoria Davies
Senior Investor Relations OfficerT +44 (0)20 7004 3166M +44 (0)7752 [email protected]
Investor Relations Officer+44 (0)20 7004 3171+44 (0)7771 [email protected]
John Dawson
George Laskaris
Director of Investor RelationsT +44 (0)20 7004 3170
T +1 718 403 2526M +1 917 375 0989george.laskaris@
M +44 (0)7810 831944
US Investor Relations Director
nationalgrid.com
Tom Hull
Caroline Dawson
Investor Relations Manager+1 718 403 2487+1 917 524 [email protected]
Investor Relations ManagerT +44 (0)20 7004 3169M +44 (0)7789 [email protected]
Further information
National GridNational Grid plc
Important noticeThis document contains certain statements that are neither reported financial results nor other historical information. These statements are forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of theSecurities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. These statements include information with respect to National Grid’s financial condition, its results of operations and businesses, strategy, plans and objectives. Words such as ‘anticipates’, ‘expects’, 'should', ‘intends’,‘plans’, ‘believes’, 'outlook', ‘seeks’, ‘estimates’, ‘targets’, ‘may’, ‘will’, ‘continue’, ‘project’ and similar expressions, as well as statements in the future tense, identify forward-looking statements. Furthermore, this document, which is provided for information only, doesnot constitute summary financial statements and does not contain sufficient information to allow for as full an understanding of the results and state of affairs of National Grid, including the principal risks and uncertainties facing National Grid, as would be provided bythe full Annual Report and Accounts, including in particular the Strategic Review section and the ‘Risk factors’ on pages 176 to 178 of National Grid's latest Annual Report and Accounts, as updated by National Grid’s unaudited half year financial information for the sixmonths ended 30 September 2013 published on 21 November 2013 . Copies of the most recent Annual Report and Accounts are available online at www.nationalgrid.com or from Capita Registrars. Except as may be required by law or regulation, National Gridundertakes no obligation to update any of its forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this document. The content of any website references herein do not form part of this document.
11.8%9.5% 8.8% 8.0%8.5%
6.4%
MassElec
MassGas
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UK and US
Electricity and gas
Transmission and distribution
lobalfunctionsLocal expertise and g
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RPI linked UK revenues
Asset growth leading to increasedrevenues
Updated rate cases
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Bad debt trackers and creditprotection
UK inflation linked revenuesand assets
Price control ‘re-openers’
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Revenue decoupling
Energy commodity pass through
Low carbon economy andlong term growth in demand
Replacingageing assets
Security of supply= system resilience
NiMo Gas 10.3%Narragansett Electric 10.1%
Narragansett Gas 9.9%
Investment: Asset Growth
5+% paUK Electricity Transmission
UK GasTransmission
UK Gas Distribution
US Regulated
Significant investment program
Several important upgrades required
Challenge to improve customer service
Sustain returns and growth
* Excluding major storms
New gas and electric rate plans were approved in 2013 for NewYork and Rhode Island:
Niagara Mohawk (Electricity and Gas)- Headlines for 3 year rate plan include 9.3% allowed RoEand 48% equity cap structure
Narragansett (Electricity and Gas)- Headlines for 1 year rate plan include 9.5% RoE and 49%equity cap structure
LIPA power supply agreement (PSA)- Headlines include 15 year agreement with 9.75% RoE
and 50% equity structure
Keyspan Energy Delivery New York (KEDNY)- Modifies existing rate agreement for a 2 year period- Headlines include 9.4% RoE, 48% equity structure, andcapex of approximately $300m per annum
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UK profile
8.8% 9.2% 9.0%
£ bn24.9
2011/12 2012/13 2013/14
Actual return as percentage of allowed return� �� �
� FERC�
� Electricity Transmission�
£10.9bn
£5.5bn
£8.5bn
� New York�
� Gas Transmission�
� Massachusetts�
� Gas Distribution�
� Rhode Island�
� Allowed return* Achieved return�� �
National Grid is an international electricity and gascompany based in the UK and northeastern US. We playa vital role in connecting millions of people to the energythey use, safely, reliably and efficiently.
In the US our electricity and gas distributionbusiness provide services to customers inNew York, Massachusetts and RhodeIsland. We also own and operate anelectricity transmission network spanningupstate New York, Massachusetts, RhodeIsland, New Hampshire and Vermont.
In the UK we own the electricitytransmission system in England andWales, and operate the system inGreat Britain. We also own andoperate the gas transmission systemin Great Britain as well as four of theeight gas distribution networks.
Electricity transmission owner(England and Wales)
GB electricity system operator
GB gas transmission owner
Over 7,000km of high voltageoverhead line
Over 400km of underground cable
329 substations located at 242 sites
Continuous real-time matching ofdemand and generation output, ensuringthe stability and security of the powersystem and the maintenance ofsatisfactory voltage and frequency
Designated as system operator for thenew offshore electricity transmissionregime
Over 7,500km of high pressure pipe
23 compressor stations connecting toeight distribution networks and to thirdparty independent systems for onwardtransportation of gas to end consumers
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Electricity transmission owner
Canadian interconnector
Electricity distribution
Own and operate electricity transmissionnetworks in upstate New York and NewEngland with voltages ranging from 69kVto 345kV
Largest electricity transmission serviceprovider in New York andby reference to the length of these highvoltage transmission lines
Own and operate a 224km direct currenttransmission line rated at 450kV that is akey section of an interconnector betweenNew England and Canada
Own and operate electricity distributionnetworks in upstate New York,Massachusetts and Rhode Island
~3.4 million electricity consumers in NewEngland and upstate New York
New England
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GB gas system operator
24 hour balancing of supply and demand
Gas distribution
LNG storage
Regulation
131,000km of gas distribution pipelineused to transport gas from the nationaltransmission system to around 10.9 millionconsumers on behalf of 26 active gasshippers
Own and operate three liquefied naturalgas (LNG) storage facilities
Ofgem currently provide the UK regulatoryframeworks for our gas and electricitybusinesses
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Electricity generation
Gas distribution owner
Gas storage
Regulation
53 electricity generation units on LongIsland that together provide 3.9GW ofpower under contract to LIPA
Our plants consist of oil and gas firedsteam turbine, gas turbine and dieseldriven generating units ranging from 2MWto 385MW
3.5 million consumers: New York,Massachusetts and Rhode Island
~58,000km of gas distribution pipeline inan area 26,400km
During cold weather we have 19 facilitieswhich supplement gas from the interstatepipeline system with LNG and propane
We currently have 1 federal and 3 stateregulators who provide frameworks for our12 US businesses
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2
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US achieved Return on Equity %
Rate Base31 March 2014
RAV31 March 2014
UK regulated returns %2013/14
UK regulation US regulation
UK key facts and figures US key facts and figures
Cost of equity
Cost of debt
Gearing
Totex incentive rate
Total expenditure (nominal)*
7.0%
Index tracker
60%
47%
£19.9bn
6.8%
Index tracker
62.5%
44%
£7.0bn
6.7%
Index tracker
65%
63%
£11.9bn
Electricitytransmission
Gastransmission
Gasdistribution
Operations andasset management
Regulatoryengagement
Financial planningand execution
Delivering value through growth and shareholder returns
Electricity Transmission
* Including average 3.0% long run inflation
Gas Transmission Gas Distribution
2009/10
2009/10
2009/10 2012/13 2013/14
2009/10
2010/11
2010/11 2012/13 2013/142011/12
2010/11 2011/12
2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14
2011/12 2012/13 2013/14
3.5£bn
£bn
p
p
3.13.6 3.6 3.7 45.4 46.0 51.4 54.0
4.7 4.4 39.28 40.85 42.03
47.1
4.1 4.1 4.6 36.3733.68†
£ bn3.7
£ bn4.6
54.0p
42.03p
OperatingProfit*
OperatingCash Flow*
EarningsPer Share*
DividendPer Share
Essential qualities for success
10.2 12.4 10.0 12.8 9.9 13.0
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Maximise the use of our existingasset base
Maintain reliability and security
Plan and deliver the future system
Focus on customer satisfaction andstakeholder engagement
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Balance the ever more complexsupply and demand mix
Deliver incentive income
Drive cost savings and efficiency
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Secure the right rate plans forcustomers and investors
Agree appropriate incentive schemes
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Maintain an efficient balance sheet
Fund our growth
Minimise funding costs
Financing package
* Ofgem “Best View” scenario. Assumes inflation of 3% per annum (includes non-controllable costs)
RIIO regulatory framework
Revenue = Innovation + Incentives + Outputs
Covering 8 years (2013/14 – 2020/21)
Continued RPI linkage to revenues and RAV
Enhanced incentives and retention of capex savings
Total expenditure (totex) focus
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Scrip dividend – proactive management
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Supports high levels of growth and maintains A- credit ratingduring impact of RIIO transition measures on depreciation
Average take-up of around 20% over the first three years ofthe
Board will take more proactive approach to manage dilutionassociated with scrip
However, provides little value if capital raised is unnecessary
Scrip programme
Non-regulated businesses
We also own several non-regulated businesses providingservices closely linked with our regulated businesses includingGrain LNG, metering, interconnectors and property
Grain LNG – terminal capacity now up to 20% of UK demand
French interconnector (2,000MW) – Own and operate UKassets and portion of subsea cables
BritNed – joint venture with TenneT; a 1,000MW 260km subseaelectricity link between the UK and the Netherlands
Future opportunities include offshore transmission, additionalinterconnectors and further expansion to Grain LNG
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* Excludes $2.4bn of otherregulated assets including$0.4bn of working capitaloutside of rate base
US profile
31 March 2014
UK Gas Distribution
Gas distribution operating area
UK Transmission
Scottish electricitytransmission system
English and Welsh electricitytransmission system
Gas transmission system
Terminal
LNG terminal owned by National Grid
LNG terminal
Electricity interconnector
Gas interconnector
* Business performance excluding exceptional items, remeasurements and stranded cost recoveries † 2009/10 has been rebased for the rights issue
$ bn*16.3
$2.2bn
$9.8bn
$3.3bn
$1.0bn
US Regulated
Electricity transmission network
Gas distribution operating area
Electricity distribution area
LIPA
Generation
Gas and electricity distributionarea overlap