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  • 8/7/2019 natgas weekly

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    Canada Research | Page 2 of 41 Energy

    Raymond James Ltd. | 2200 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2

    Company Ticker Ticker Current Rating Target Price Total Retur

    Primary Secondary Price (6-12 months) To Targe

    NAL Energy Corporation NAE-TSX C$13.17 2 C$13.75 14%

    Pengrowth Energy Corporation PGF-TSX PGH-NYSE C$12.89 2 C$13.00 7%

    Perpetual Energy Inc. PMT-TSX C$4.04 3 C$3.50 -3%

    PetroBakken Energy Ltd. PBN-TSX C$21.86 2 C$26.00 24%

    Progress Energy Resources Corp. PRQ-TSX C$13.51 3 C$12.50 2%

    Vermilion Energy Inc. VET-TSX C$47.32 2 C$50.00 13%

    Zargon Oil & Gas Ltd. ZAR-TSX C$20.96 3 C$21.50 9%

    Junior Oil & Gas ProducersCequence Energy Inc. CQE-TSX C$3.01 2 C$3.25 16%

    Cinch Energy Corp. CNH-TSX C$1.03 2 C$1.30 21%

    Compass Petroleum Ltd. CPO-TSXV C$1.75 2 C$2.00 23%

    Crocotta Energy Inc. CTA-TSX C$2.42 R R R

    Ember Resources Inc. EBR-TSX C$0.56 UR UR

    Insignia Energy Ltd. ISN-TSX C$1.95 2 C$2.25 25%

    Novus Energy Inc. NVS-TSXV C$1.29 2 C$1.50 16%

    NuLoch Resources Inc. NLR-TSXV C$2.26 3 C$2.50 9%

    Open Range Energy Corp. ONR-TSX C$2.64 2 C$3.25 35%

    Orleans Energy Ltd. OEX-TSX C$2.51 3 C$2.75 17%

    ProspEx Resources Inc. PSX-TSX C$1.85 UR UR

    Reliable Energy Ltd. REL-TSXV C$0.43 1 C$0.60 48%

    Renegade Petroleum Ltd. RPL-TSXV C$4.69 2 C$5.75 22%

    Twin Butte Energy Inc. TBE-TSX C$2.79 2 C$3.00 4 8%

    WestFire Energy Ltd. WFE-TSX C$8.33 1 C$10.50 38%

    International Oil & GasAlange Energy Corp. ALE-TSXV C$0.30 R R R

    Bankers Petroleum BNK-TSX C$8.68 1 C$20.00 130%

    Cirrus Energy Corp. CYR-TSXV C$1.12 3 C$1.15 3%

    Gran Tierra Energy GTE-TSX GTE-AMEX C$8.62 1 C$11.50 39%

    Greenfields Petroleum Corporation GNF.S-TSXV C$10.00 2 C$13.50 35%

    Niko Resources Ltd NKO-TSX C$95.89 4 C$85.00 -11%

    Pacific Rubiales Energy PRE-TSX C$32.99 1 C$46.00 41%

    Pan Orient Energy POE-TSXV C$6.95 2 C$10.50 51%

    Parex Resources Inc. PXT-TSXV C$9.30 2 C$9.50 2%

    PetroAmerica Oil Corp. PTA-TSXV C$0.53 2 C$1.10 108%

    PetroDorado Energy Ltd. PDQ-TSXV C$0.69 R R R

    Petromanas PMI-TSX C$0.42 2 C$1.25 198%

    Petrominerales PMG-TSX C$37.71 4 C$25.00 -34%

    Petronova Inc. PNA-TSXV C$1.64 2 C$2.50 52%

    ShaMaran Petroleum Corp. SNM-TSXV C$1.27 2 C$1.50 18%

    Suroco Energy Inc SRN-TSXV C$0.88 2 C$1.25 42%

    Talisman Energy Inc. TLM-TSX TLM-NYSE C$23.25 2 C$26.00 13%

    WesternZagros Resources WZR-TSXV C$0.57 4 C$0.10 -79%

    Oil Sands & Producers

    Alter NRG NRG-TSX C$1.40 2 C$3.25 64%

    Athabasca Oil Sands Corp. ATH-TSX C$16.68 2 C$18.50 23%

    Canadian Oil Sands Limited COS-TSX C$28.99 3 C$28.00 10%

    Cenovus Energy CVE-TSX CVE-NYSE C$34.20 2 C$41.00 26%

    Connacher Oil and Gas CLL-TSX C$1.39 2 C$1.75 3 2%

    OPTI Canada Inc. OPC-TSX C$0.35 3 C$0.75 12%

    Petrobank Energy and Resources Ltd. PBG-TSX C$23.80 3 C$29.00 15%

    Southern Pacific Resources Corp. STP-TSXV C$1.86 1 C$2.75 67%

    Suncor Energy Inc SU-TSX SU-NYSE C$41.97 3 C$43.00 4%

    Oil & Gas Energy Services

    Black Diamond Group Ltd. BDI-TSX C$23.70 2 C$26.00 13%

    Bonnett's Energy Services Trust BT.UN-TSX C$3.09 UR URCalfrac Well Services CFW-TSX C$34.45 2 C$40.00 15%

    Canyon Services Group Inc. FRC-TSX C$11.87 1 C$15.00 28%

    Ensign Energy Services ESI-TSX C$15.73 3 C$17.00 9%

    Essential Energy Services Ltd. ESN-TSX C$2.35 2 C$2.75 17%

    GasFrac Energy Services Ltd. GFS-TSXV C$10.75 2 C$12.50 15%

    Mullen Group Ltd. MTL-TSX C$19.83 3 C$19.00 0%

    Precision Drilling Corporation PD-TSX PDS-NYSE C$10.42 3 C$11.50 9%

    Pure Energy Services Ltd. PSV-TSX C$6.80 1 C$10.00 47%

    Savanna Energy Services SVY-TSX C$7.43 3 C$7.50 1%

    Secure Energy Services Inc. SES-TSX C$5.84 2 C$6.50 13%

    Stoneham Drilling Trust SDG.UN-TSX C$16.30 2 C$19.00 16%

    Trican Well Service TCW-TSX C$22.97 2 C$28.00 22%

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    Energy Canada Research | Page 3 of 41

    Raymond James Ltd. | 2200 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2

    Company Ticker Ticker Current Rating Target Price Total Retur

    Primary Secondary Price (6-12 months) To Targe

    Trinidad Drilling Ltd. TDG-TSX C$7.37 2 C$8.50 17%

    Western Energy Services Corp. WRG-TSXV C$0.42 3 C$0.40 -4%

    Raymond James Ltd.

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    Canada Research | Page 4 of 41 Energy

    Raymond James Ltd. | 2200 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2

    Exhibit 1: Weekly Statistics

    1 Week 1 Month 1 Year

    Oil & Gas Prices 4-Feb 3-Feb % Chg Ago Ago Ago

    Crude Oil

    Nea r month WTI contra ct (US$/bbl) $89.03 $90.54 -1.7% $89.34 $90.30 $7 3.14

    12-month WTI strip (US$/bbl) $96.11 $97.43 -1.4% $95.45 $93.82 $75.95

    Canadian par (Cdn$/bbl) $87.00 $87.41 -0.5% $77.00 $81.78 $75.57

    Heavy differential * (US$/bbl) $17.05 $21.49 -20.7% $18.90 $14.07

    Natural Gas

    Near month NYMEX contract (US$/mcf) $4.31 $4.34 -0.6% $4.32 $4.47 $5.42

    12-month NYMEX strip (US$/mcf) $4.63 $4.63 -0.1% $4.60 $4.64 $5.84

    Near month AECO contract (Cdn$/mcf) $3.82 $3.91 -2.4% $3.79 $4.06 $5.43

    1 Week 1 Month 1 Year

    FX 4-Feb 3-Feb % Chg Ago Ago Ago

    Canadian dollar (US$/Cdn) $1.01 $1.01 0.4% $1.00 $1.00 $0.93

    1 Week 1 Month 1 Year

    Canadian Equity Indices 4-Feb 3-Feb % Chg Ago Ago Ago

    TSX 300 Composite 13,792 13,841 -0.4% 13,438 13,396 11,129

    TSX Energy Producers Index 3,570 3,608 -1.1% 3,523 3,465 3,024

    TSX Energy Services Index 1,583 1,598 -1.0% 1,541 1,452 1,274

    TSX Energy Trust Index 175 174 0.3% 175 171 141

    * Source: Cenovus Energy Inc.

    Exhibit 2: Upcoming Events

    Mon-Feb-7

    Sask Land Sale

    Wed-Feb-9

    AB Land Sale

    Thu-Feb-10

    OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report

    Mon-Feb-21

    Family Day

    Tue-Feb-22

    March WTI Contract Expiry

    Thu-Feb-24

    March NYMEX Contract Expiry

    Mon-Feb-28

    EIA Monthly Natural Gas Production Report

    EIA Monthly Energy Review

    Wed-Mar-9

    AB Land Sale

    Fri-Mar-11

    OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report

    Tue-Mar-22 April WTI Contract Expiry

    Wed-Mar-23

    AB Land Sale

    Fri-Feb-25

    March NYMEX Contract Expiry

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    Energy Canada Research | Page 5 of 41

    Raymond James Ltd. | 2200 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2

    Exhibit 3: Market Indexes

    3.a TSX vs. S&P 500 3.b CAD/USD

    3.c TSX vs. TSX Capped Energy 3.d Canadian Energy Sub-indices

    3.e TSX E&P Index vs. S&P E&P Index 3.f TSX Energy Service vs. OSX

    Sources: Bloomberg, Raymond James Ltd.

    $0.75

    $0.80

    $0.85

    $0.90

    $0.95

    $1.00

    $1.05

    Feb-09 May-09 Aug-09 Nov-09 Feb-10 May-10 Aug-10 Nov-10 Feb-11

    6,000

    7,000

    8,000

    9,000

    10,000

    11,000

    12,000

    13,000

    14,000

    15,000

    16,000

    Feb-09 May-09 Aug-09 Nov-09 Feb-10 May-10 Aug-10 Nov-10 Feb-11

    TSX

    600

    700

    800

    900

    1,000

    1,100

    1,200

    1,300

    1,400

    1,500

    1,600

    S&P

    TSX

    S&P 500

    7,000

    8,000

    9,000

    10,000

    11,000

    12,000

    13,000

    14,000

    15,000

    16,000

    17,000

    Feb-09 May-09 Aug-09 Nov-09 Feb-10 May-10 Aug-10 Nov-10 Feb-11

    TSX

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    3,500

    4,000

    4,500

    5,000

    Energy

    TSX

    TSX Capped Energy

    25

    50

    75

    100

    125

    150

    175

    200

    225

    250

    Feb-09 May-09 Aug-09 Nov-09 Feb-10 May-10 Aug-10 Nov-10 Feb-11

    Percentage

    25

    50

    75

    100

    125

    150

    175

    200

    225

    250

    Percentage

    E&P

    Service

    Trust

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    3,500

    Feb-09 May-09 Aug-09 Nov-09 Feb-10 May-10 Aug-10 Nov-10 Feb-11

    TSX Service

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    OSX

    TSX Service

    OSX

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    3,500

    4,000

    4,500

    5,000

    5,500

    Feb-09 May-09 Aug-09 Nov-09 Feb-10 May-10 Aug-10 Nov-10 Feb-11

    TSX E&P

    400

    450

    500

    550

    600

    650

    700

    750

    800

    850

    900

    S&P E&P

    TSX E&P

    S&P E&P

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    Canada Research | Page 6 of 41 Energy

    Raymond James Ltd. | 2200 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2

    Exhibit 4: Weather

    4.a Heating Degree Days (HDDs) 4.b Cumulative HDDs (bcf/degree day)

    4.c Cooling Degree Days (CDDs) 4.d Cumulative CDDs (bcf/degree day)

    4.e NOAA 6-10 Day Temperature Outlook 4.f NOAA One Month Temperature Outlook

    Sources: Bloomberg, NOAA, Colorado State University, EIA, the Weather Network, Raymond James Ltd.

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    J F M A M J J A S O N D

    5-Yr Range

    2011

    2010

    0

    25

    50

    75

    100

    125

    150

    J F M A M J J A S O N D

    5-Yr Range

    2011

    2010

    0

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,000

    6,000

    J F M A M J J A S O N D

    2005-2009

    2011

    2010

    0

    300

    600

    900

    1,200

    1,500

    1,800

    J F M A M J J A S O N D

    2005-2009

    2011

    2010

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    Energy Canada Research | Page 7 of 41

    Raymond James Ltd. | 2200 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2

    Exhibit 5: Natural Gas

    5.a NYMEX Gas 1-Mo & Strip Price (US$/mcf) 5.b AECO 1-Mo & Strip Price (Cdn$/Gj)

    5.c AECO Differential to NYMEX (US$/mcf) 5.d Oil to Gas Ratio (WTI/NYMEX Gas)

    5.e U.S. Natural Gas Storage (Bcf) 5.f Change in U.S. Natural Gas Storage (Bcf)

    Sources: Bloomberg, Raymond James Ltd.

    $2

    $4

    $6

    $8

    Feb -09 A ug -09 Feb-10 A ug -10 Feb-11 A ug-11 Feb -12

    $0

    $2

    $4

    $6

    $8

    Feb -09 A ug -0 9 Feb -10 A ug-10 Feb -11 A ug -11 Feb-12

    ($0.25)

    $0.00

    $0.25

    $0.50

    $0.75

    $1.00

    $1.25

    $1.50

    $1.75

    $2.00

    $2.25

    $2.50

    Feb -0 9 A ug -0 9 Feb -10 A ug -10 Feb -11 A ug -11 Feb -12

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    3,500

    4,000

    J F M A M J J A S O N D

    Five-Year Range

    Five-Year Average

    2011

    2010

    -300

    -250

    -200

    -150

    -100

    -50

    0

    50

    100

    150

    J F M A M J J A S O N D

    Five-Year Range

    Five-Year Average

    2011

    2010

    5x

    7x

    9x

    11x

    13x

    15x

    17x

    19x

    21x

    23 x

    25x

    27x

    Feb -09 A ug -0 9 Feb-10 A ug -10 Feb -11 A ug -11 Feb -12

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    Canada Research | Page 8 of 41 Energy

    Raymond James Ltd. | 2200 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2

    Exhibit 6: Natural Gas (continued)

    6.a Weekly U.S. LNG Imports (Bcf) 6.b LNG Netbacks - Landed (US$/mcf)

    Destination Port Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11

    Cove Poi nt $4.04 $7.75 $7.40

    Al tami ra $4.24 $4.70 $4.53

    La ke Cha rles $3.63 $4.04 $3.89

    Spain $8.80 $9.20 $9.60

    Belgi um $8.54 $8.43 $8.55

    UK $8.45 $8.33 $8.43

    India $8.60 $9.50 $10.10

    Japan $9.85 $10.55 $10.45

    Korea $9.95 $10.55 $10.56

    6.c N.A. Gas Spot Prices (US$/mcf) - Friday Close

    Sources: Bloomberg, Waterborne Energy, Raymond James Ltd.

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    J F M A M J J A S O N D

    Five-Year Range

    Five-Year Average

    2010

    2011

    $4.19

    $4.21

    $4.32

    $4.67$4.49

    $4.78

    $4.57 $4.47

    $4.44

    $4.74

    $5.17

    $5.15

    $3.874

    Niagara

    NY City Gate

    Ventura

    Chicago

    Katy Hub Henry Hub

    Waha Hub

    AECO

    Sumas

    Malin

    Opal

    San JuanTopock

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    Energy Canada Research | Page 9 of 41

    Raymond James Ltd. | 2200 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2

    Exhibit 7: Natural Gas (continued)

    7.a Cdn Natural Gas Production (Bcf/d) 7.b Cdn Natural Gas Exports to U.S. (Bcf/d)

    7.c U.S. Natural Gas Production (Bcf/d) 7.d U.S. Natural Gas Demand (Bcf/d)

    7.e U.S. Natural Gas Exports to Mex. (Bcf/d) 7.f NYMEX Gas Non-Commercial Positions

    Sources: Bloomberg, Bentek Energy, Raymond James Ltd.

    11

    12

    13

    14

    15

    16

    J F M A M J J A S O N D

    Four-Year Range

    Four-Year Average

    2010

    2009

    8

    9

    10

    11

    12

    13

    14

    J F M A M J J A S O N D

    Three-Year Range

    Three-Year A verage

    2010

    2009

    50

    52

    54

    56

    58

    60

    62

    64

    66

    J F M A M J J A S O N D

    Four-Year Range

    Four-Year Average

    2010

    2009

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    110

    J F M A M J J A S O N D

    Four-Year Range

    Four-Year Average

    2010

    2009

    -225,000

    -200,000

    -175,000

    -150,000

    -125,000

    -100,000

    Feb-

    09

    M ay-

    09

    Aug-

    09

    Nov-

    09

    Feb-

    10

    May-

    10

    Aug-

    10

    Nov-

    10

    0.0

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    J F M A M J J A S O N D

    Four-Year Range

    Four-Year Average

    2010

    2009

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    Canada Research | Page 10 of 41 Energy

    Raymond James Ltd. | 2200 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2

    Exhibit 8: Crude Oil

    8.e Heavy Differential (in US$/bbl & % of Edmonton Par)

    Sources:Bloomberg, Raymond James Ltd.

    8.a Light Oil 1-Mo & Strip Price (US$/bbl)

    8.c Heavy Oil Prices (US$/bbl) 8.d Crude Oil Storage (# of days of inventory)

    8.b Crude Oil Storage (000's of bbls)

    240,000

    260,000

    280,000

    300,000

    320,000

    340,000

    360,000

    380,000

    J F M A M J J A S O N D

    Five-Year Range

    Five-Year Average

    2011

    2010

    $30

    $40

    $50

    $60

    $70

    $80

    $90

    $100

    $110

    Feb-09 Aug-09 Feb-10 Aug-10 Feb-11 Aug-11

    WTI

    Brent

    $20

    $30

    $40

    $50

    $60

    $70

    $80

    $90

    $100

    F eb- 09 M ay -0 9 A ug -0 9 N ov -0 9 F eb -10 M ay -1 0 A ug -1 0 N ov -1 0 F eb -1 1

    Lloyd

    Maya

    16

    18

    20

    22

    24

    26

    J F M A M J J A S O N D

    Five-Year Range

    Five-Year Average

    2011

    2010

    -$10

    $0

    $10

    $20

    $30

    $40

    Feb-09 May-09 Aug-09 Nov-09 Feb-10 May-10 Aug-10 Nov-10 Feb-11

    -25%

    -15%

    -5%

    5%

    15%

    25%

    35%

    Heavy $

    Heavy %

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    Energy Canada Research | Page 11 of 41

    Raymond James Ltd. | 2200 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2

    Exhibit 9: Crude Oil (continued) and Refining

    9.e U.S. Refining Margins (US$/bbl)

    Sources: Bloomberg, Raymond James Ltd.

    9.c Weekly Tanker Rates (US$/bbl)

    9.b OPEC Capacity and Production (mln bbl/d)

    9.d WTI Oil Non - Commercial Positions

    9.f Gasoline and Distillate Pricing (US$/bbl)

    9.a U.S. Crude Imports (000's bbl/d)

    25

    27

    29

    31

    33

    35

    37

    F eb- 09 Ma y- 09 A ug -0 9 N ov -0 9 F eb- 10 Ma y- 10 A ug -1 0 N ov -10 F eb -1 1

    OPEC Spare Capacity

    OPEC Production

    $1

    $2

    $3

    $4

    Fe b-09 May-09 Au g-09 Nov-09 Feb-10 May-10 Aug -10 No v-10 Feb-11

    7,000

    7,500

    8,000

    8,500

    9,000

    9,500

    10,000

    10,500

    11,000

    11,500

    12,000

    J F M A M J J A S O N D

    Five-Year Range

    Five-Year Average

    2011

    2010

    $0

    $5

    $10

    $15

    $20

    $25

    Feb-09 May-09 Aug-09 Nov-09 Feb-10 May-10 Aug-10 Nov-10 Feb-11

    321 Spread

    211 Spread

    $30

    $40

    $50

    $60

    $70

    $80

    $90

    $100

    $110

    Feb-09 May-09 Aug-09 Nov-09 Feb-10 May-10 Aug-10 Nov-10 Feb-11

    Gasoline

    Distillates

    -50,000

    -25,000

    0

    25,000

    50,000

    75,000

    100,000

    125,000

    150,000

    175,000

    200,000

    Feb-09 May-09 Aug-09 Nov-09 Feb-10 May-10 Aug-10 Nov-10 Feb-11

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    Canada Research | Page 12 of 41 Energy

    Raymond James Ltd. | 2200 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2

    Exhibit 10: Refining (continued)

    10.c Distillates Storage (# of Days Fwd Supply)

    Sources: Bloomberg, Raymond James Ltd.

    10.d Distillates Demand (000's of bbls)

    10.b Gasoline Demand (000's of bbls)10.a Gasoline Storage (# of Days Fwd Supply)

    10.e Refinery Utilization Rate (% of Capacity)

    60%

    65%

    70%

    75%

    80%

    85%

    90%

    95%

    100%

    J F M A M J J A S O N D

    Five-Year Range

    Five-Year Average

    20112010

    8,000

    8,500

    9,000

    9,500

    10,000

    J F M A M J J A S O N D

    Five-Year Range

    Five-Year Average

    2011

    2010

    18

    20

    22

    24

    26

    28

    J F M A M J J A S O N D

    Five-Year Range

    Five-Year Average

    2011

    2010

    18

    20

    22

    24

    26

    28

    30

    32

    34

    36

    38

    40

    42

    44

    46

    48

    50

    J F M A M J J A S O N D

    Five-Year Range

    Five-Year Average

    2011

    2010

    3,000

    3,500

    4,000

    4,500

    5,000

    J F M A M J J A S O N D

    Five-Year Range

    Five-Year Average

    2011

    2010

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    Energy Canada Research | Page 13 of 41

    Raymond James Ltd. | 2200 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2

    Exhibit 11: Energy Services

    11.a Weekly Rig Count 11.b Weekly Service Rig Count

    11.c Contractor Utilization (13-Wk MA) 11.d Well Licenses (13-Wk Total)

    11.e Well Completions 11.f Well Licenses

    Sources: Nickle's Energy Group, CAODC, Raymond James Ltd.

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

    NBR

    PD

    SDG

    TDG

    SVYESI

    AKT

    1,500

    19,904

    1,500

    1,177

    1,177

    9,323

    837

    13,634

    837

    13,300

    644

    644

    0

    5,000

    10,000

    15,000

    20,000

    25,000

    30,000

    35,000

    Quarter to Date Year to Date Full Year

    20

    08

    20

    09

    20

    10

    20

    11

    2008

    2009

    2008

    2009

    2010

    2011

    2010

    2011

    1,177

    19,333

    2,048

    2,048

    10,334

    1,159

    1,159

    1,177

    14,580

    1,394

    1,394

    0

    5,000

    10,000

    15,000

    20,000

    25,000

    30,000

    35,000

    Quarter to Date Year to Date Full Year

    2008

    2009

    2010

    200

    8

    200

    9

    201

    0

    201

    1

    200

    8

    200

    9

    201

    0

    201

    1

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

    2006-2009

    2011

    20100

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    1,000

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

    2006-2009

    2011

    2010

    0

    2,000

    4,000

    6,000

    8,000

    10,000

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

    2006-2009

    2011

    2010

    WRG

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    Canada Research | Page 14 of 41 Energy

    Raymond James Ltd. | 2200 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2

    Exhibit 12: Energy Services (continued)

    12.a U.S. Active Land Rigs Targeting Gas 12.b U.S. Active Land and GOM Rig Count

    12.c U.S. State Drilling Rig Counts 12.d U.S. Active Rigs by Drilling Type

    12.e U.S. Active Well Service Rig Count 12.f International Active Rig Count

    Sources: EIA, Baker Hughes, Raymond James Ltd.

    0

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11

    0

    15

    30

    45

    60

    75

    90

    105

    120

    135

    150

    Land Drilling Rigs

    GOM Drilling Rigs

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11

    0

    30

    60

    90

    120

    150

    180

    210

    240

    270

    300Texas (left-hand scale)

    Colorado (right-hand scale)

    Arkansas (right-hand scale)

    Wyoming (right-hand scale)

    Lousiana (right-hand scale)

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    1,400

    1,600

    1,800

    2,000

    2,200

    '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11

    Horizontal

    Directional

    Vertical

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10

    Offshore

    Land

    1,500

    1,700

    1,900

    2,100

    2,300

    2,500

    2,700

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

    2004

    20052006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    2007

    600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    1,400

    1,600

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

    2006

    2008

    20092010

    2011

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    15/41

    Energy Canada Research | Page 15 of 41

    Raymond James Ltd. | 2200 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2

    Raymond James Canadian Energy Coverage Share PerformanceTotal Returns Capital Returns (%) Total Returns Capital Returns (%)

    Ticker Price 1-Year YTD QTD MoM MTD Week

    52-Week

    Low

    52-Week

    Hi Ticker Price 1-Year YTD QTD MoM MTD Week

    52-Week

    Low

    52-Week

    Hi

    Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. AAV $7.57 10% 12% 12% 1 1% 2% 4% 33% -9% Petrodorado Energy Ltd. PDQ $0.67 na -6% -6% -8% -4% -3% 235% -13%

    Alange Energy Corp. ALE $0.30 -45% -44% -44% -42% -3% -2% 9% -63% Petromanas Energy Inc. PMI $0.43 42% 8 % 8% 13% 4% 1% 67% -46%

    Alter NRG Corp. NRG $1.49 -34% 3% 3% 4% 6 % 6 % 33% -37% Petrominerales Ltd PMG $37.22 56% 12% 12% 12% -5% -5% 67% -7%

    ARC Resources Ltd. ARX $25.41 25% 0% 0% -1% 2% 3% 35% -3% Precision Drilling Corporation PD $10.27 22% 7% 7% 6% -2% -1% 71% -4%

    Athabasca Oil Sands Corp. ATH $16.60 na 10% 10% 12% -2% -1% 68% -8% Progress Energy Ltd. PRQ $13.41 2% 6% 6% 7% -2% 1% 30% -7%

    AvenEx Energy Corp. AVF $6.15 15% 0% 0% 1% -2% 0% 32% -5% ProspEx Resources Ltd. PSX $1.86 4% 42% 42% 38% 3% -1% 68% -25%

    Bankers Petroleum Ltd. BNK $8.94 50% 18% 18% 1 8% 7% 9% 63% -8% Pure Energy S ervic es Ltd. PS V $6.70 154% 12% 12% 1 5% 11% 1 1% 215% -4%

    Baytex Energy Corp. BTE $50.43 65% 8% 8% 7% 2% 3% 82% -2% Reliable Energy Ltd. REL $0.43 19% 26% 26% 30% 5% 4% 65% -4%

    Birchcliff Energy Ltd. BIR $12.04 26% 26% 26% 26% 6% 7% 52% -1% Renegade Petroleum Ltd. RPL $4.88 36% 20% 20% 22% 10% 12% 74% 4%

    Black Diamond Group Limited BDI $23.70 36% 10% 10% 1 0% 0% 1% 48% -3% Savanna Energy S ervices Corp. S VY $7.39 3% 4% 4% 8% 4% 3% 46% -5%

    Bonavista Energy Corporation BNP $29.69 27% 3 % 3% 1% 1% 2% 35% -1% Secure Energy Services Inc . SES $5.92 na 1 % 1 % 5% 1% 2% 91% -4%Calfrac Well S erv ic es Ltd. CFW $33.85 43% -1% - 1% 2 % 0% 0% 10 6% -6% S haMaran Petro leum Co rp S NM $1 .2 3 167% -10% -10% -11% -6% -9 % 2 46% -14%

    Canadian Natural Re so urc es Limite d CNQ $ 44 .1 5 2 6% 0 % 0 % 0 % -1 % 2 % 3 8% -4 % S outhe rn P ac ific Re so urc e C orp. S TP $ 1.8 4 1 02 % 1 0% 10 % 9 % 5 % 8 % 1 39 % -2 %

    Canadian Oil S ands Limited COS $28.54 1% 8 % 8 % 7% 4% 7% 18% -14% Stoneham Drilling Trust S DG $16.35 227% 40% 40% 38% 2% 9% 241% -5%

    Canyon Services Group, Inc. FRC $11.83 219% 9% 9% 9% 6% 6% 238% -3% Suncor Energy Inc. SU $40.61 28% 6 % 6% 7% -2% 1% 36% -5%

    Cenovus Energy Inc. CVE $33.88 na 2% 2 % 1% -2% 2% 40% -4% Suroco Energy Inc . SRN $0.86 56% 30% 30% 25% 1% 2% 146% -9%

    Cequence Energy Ltd. CQE $2.91 -5% 48% 48% 49% 8% 10% 90% -13% Talisman Energy Inc. TLM $22.75 26% 3% 3% 2% -1% 3% 45% -2%

    Cinch Energy Corp. CNH $1.03 -30% -16% -16% -13% -4% -16% 2% -46% Toromont Industries Ltd. TIH $31.70 17% 3 % 3% 3% 1% 1% 39% -2%

    Cirrus Energy Corporation CYR $1.12 -37% 24% 24% 2 6% 5% 22% 129% -51% Trican Well S ervice Ltd. TCW $22.27 55% 11% 11% 1 3% 2% 5% 114% -6%

    Connacher Oil and Gas Ltd. CLL $1.37 14% 3 % 3% 3% -5% -4% 25% -27% Trinidad Drilling Ltd. TDG $7.26 2% 15% 15% 1 6% 1% 4% 60% -10%

    Crescent Point Energy Corp. CPG $43.62 16% -1% -1% 0% -1% 1% 24% -4% Twin Butte Energy Ltd. TBE $2.91 143% 43% 43% 4 1% 9% 1 3% 155% 1%

    Crew Energy Inc. CR $21.19 51% 11% 11% 12% 5% 7% 54% -1% V ermilion Energy Inc. VET $47.40 46% 3% 3% 4% 0% 1% 52% -1%

    Crocotta Energy Inc. CTA $2.45 63% 39% 39% 4 1% 3% 7% 86% -6% Western Energy S ervic es Corp. WRG $0.44 -40% 22% 22% 2 6% 1 1% 11% 252% -40%

    Daylight Energy Ltd DAY $10.16 -2% -2% -2% 0% 1% 2% 21% -12% Westernzagros Resources Ltd. WZR $0.56 -10% 18% 18% 1 8% 2% 2% 143% -40%

    EnCana Corp. ECA $31.68 -4% 9% 9% 8% -2% -1% 14% -12% WestFire Energy Ltd. WFE $8.23 na 19% 19% 18% 3 % 4 % 83% -12%

    Enerplus Corporation ERF $31.85 37% 4% 4 % 0% -1% 0% 75% -3% Zargon Energy Trust ZAR $21.00 6% -7% -7% 4% -7% -5% 24% -8%

    Ensign Energy Services Inc. ESI $15.71 4% 5 % 5% 4% -3% 1% 38% -4%

    Essential Energy S ervic es Ltd. ES N $2.33 85% 9% 9% 6% 2% 4% 118% -2%

    Fairborne Energy Ltd. FEL $4.78 2% 13% 13% 10% 3% 3% 34% -9%

    GAS FRAC Energ y S erv ic es, Inc . GFS $10.49 na 14% 1 4% 13 % 0% 1 0% 12 9% -1 3%

    Gran Tierra Energy, Inc . GTE $8.92 77% 10% 10% 1 0% -1% 5% 152% -3%

    Insignia Energy Ltd ISN $1.89 -15% 5% 5 % 5% -3% -5% 18% -22%

    Legacy Oil + Gas Inc. LEG $15.74 40% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 60% -2%

    Mullen Group Ltd. MTL $20.29 22% 20% 20% 19% 3% 3% 53% -3%

    NAL Energy Corporation NAE $13.16 3% 2% 2% 0% 2% 2% 36% -6% T ota l Return s Capi ta l Return s (%)Nexen Inc. NXY $23.94 2% 5% 5% 5% -5% -1% 31% -11%

    Niko Resources Ltd. NKO $95.85 -1% -7% -7% -7% -2% 0% 7% -17% 1-Year YTD QTD MoM MTD Week

    Novus Energy Inc. NVS $1.28 44% 15% 15% 22% 10% 13% 75% -4% Ne ar-Mont h WT I Contra ct (US $/bbl) 22% -3% - 3% 0% -3% 0 % 31% -3%

    NuLoch Resources, Inc . NLR $2.20 47% 6% 6% 10% -1% -1% 132% -12% Ne ar mont h NYM EX cont ra ct (US $/mcf) -2 0% - 2% - 2% - 8% -2 % 0 % 31% -22%

    Open Range Energy Corp. ONR $2.62 11% 38% 38% 40% -5% 4% 138% -7% Domestic E&Ps 14% 10% 10% 11% 1 % 2% 46% -9%

    OPTI Canada Inc. OPC $0.30 -85% -55% -55% -56% -57% -55% 58% -88% International E&Ps 29% 4% 4% 4 % -1% 1 % 95% -19%

    Orleans Energy Ltd. OEX $2.50 -3% 1% 1% 0% 0% 2 % 33% -22% Oil Sands Producers 1% -4% -4% -4% -8% -6% 49% -29%

    Pacific Rubiales Energy Corp. PRE $31.53 121% -7% -7% -7% -9% -8% 130% -12% Royalty Trusts 19% 2% 2% 1% 0 % 1 % 39% -6%

    Pan Orient Energy Corp. POE $6.88 8% 3% 3% 0% 0% 2 % 46% -21% Oilfield Services 55% 9% 9% 9% 2% 3 % 97% -4%

    Parex Resources Inc. PXT $9.65 na 12% 12% 14% 3% 3% 176% 0% O il-Weighted Producers & Trusts 23% 4% 4% 4% -1% 0% 74% -17%

    Pengrowth Energy Corporation PGF $12.56 16% -2% -2% -4% -2% -3% 48% -6% Gas-Weighted Producers & Trusts 7% 14% 14% 1 4% 1% 2% 45% -13%

    Perpetual Energy Inc. PMT $4.03 -19% 3% 3% 1% 0 % 2% 7% -26% Balanced Producers & Trusts 14% 2% 2% 1% 0 % 1 % 33% -5%

    Petroamerica Oil Corp. PTA $0.51 na -16% -16% -18% -7% -7% 82% -31% Large-Cap 11% 5% 5% 4% -1% 2% 32% -7%

    PetroBakken Energy Ltd. PBN $21.85 na 1% 1% 0% 2% 3% 18% -28% Mid-Cap 27% 6% 6% 5% 1% 2% 56% -8%

    Petrobank Energy and Resources, Ltd. PBG $23.56 -55% -7% -7% -8% 0% 2% 3% -60% Small-Cap 26% 7% 7% 7 % -1% 1% 81% -16%

    Leaders & LaggardsWeekly Performance Summary Monthly Performance Summary

    *This analysis does not include transaction cos ts and tax considerations. If included these costs could reduce an investor' s return. Past performance is not indicative of future results

    Energy Sub-Sector Performance

    52-Week

    Hi

    52-Week

    Low

    CYR

    NVS

    TBE

    RPL

    WRG

    Oilfield Services

    TSX

    Domestic E&Ps

    Forex

    Royalty Trusts

    International E&Ps

    NYMEX Gas

    WTI

    Oil Sands Producers

    PTA

    PRE

    SNM

    CNH

    OPC

    -60% -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30%

    CQE

    CTA

    TBE

    ONR

    SDG

    Domestic E&Ps

    Oilfield Services

    International E&Ps

    TSX

    Forex

    Royalty Trusts

    WTI

    Oil Sands Producers

    NYMEX Gas

    SNM

    CNH

    PTA

    ALE

    OPC

    -80% -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60%

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    Canada Research | Page 18 of 41 Energy

    Raymond James Ltd. | 2200 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2

    EnergyServices

    Company

    Closing

    Target

    Stock

    Target

    MktCap

    Name

    Symbol

    Price

    Price

    Rating

    Return

    ($mln)

    $/sh

    Yield

    11E

    12E

    11E

    12E

    11E

    12E

    11E

    12E

    11E

    12E

    Analyst

    BlackDiamond

    BDI

    $23.70

    $26.00

    OP2

    14.5%

    $389

    $1.14

    4.8%

    $1.63

    $1.79

    14.5x

    13.2x

    $71

    $75

    6.6x

    6.0x

    10

    .9%

    12.0%

    AB

    Calfrac

    CFW

    $33.85

    $40.00

    OP2

    18.6%

    $1,459

    $0.15

    0.4%

    $2.01

    $3.08

    16.8x

    11.0x

    $286

    $367

    6.6x

    5.1x

    11

    .5%

    15.7%

    AB

    Canyon

    FRC

    $11.83

    $15.00

    SB1

    27.6%

    $709

    $0.10

    0.8%

    $1.14

    $1.34

    10.4x

    8.8x

    $129

    $160

    5.4x

    4.0x

    30

    .4%

    27.2%

    AB

    Ensign

    ESI

    $15.71

    $17.00

    MP3

    10.6%

    $2,404

    $0.38

    2.4%

    $1.07

    $1.17

    14.7x

    13.5x

    $400

    $425

    6.0x

    5.2x

    10

    .5%

    12.0%

    AB

    Essential

    ESN

    $2.27

    $2.75

    OP2

    21.1%

    $162

    $0.00

    0.0%

    $0.15

    $0.22

    15.4x

    10.3x

    $35

    $39

    4.2x

    3.0x

    6

    .7%

    9.2%

    AB

    GasFrac

    GFS

    $10.49

    $12.50

    OP2

    19.2%

    $628

    $0.00

    0.0%

    $0.51

    $1.20

    20.4x

    8.8x

    $71

    $140

    8.9x

    4.3x

    11

    .9%

    23.4%

    AB

    Mullen

    MTL

    $20.29

    $19.00

    MP3

    -1.4%

    $1,597

    $1.00

    4.9%

    $0.97

    $1.08

    20.9x

    18.8x

    $233

    $244

    8.5x

    8.0x

    6

    .4%

    6.9%

    AB

    Precision

    PD

    $10.27

    $11.50

    MP3

    12.0%

    $2,831

    $0.00

    0.0%

    $0.64

    $0.77

    16.1x

    13.3x

    $521

    $585

    6.7x

    5.6x

    6

    .8%

    7.5%

    AB

    Pure

    PSV

    $6.70

    $10.00

    SB1

    49.3%

    $159

    $0.00

    0.0%

    $0.79

    $1.05

    8.5x

    6.4x

    $43

    $55

    4.0x

    2.7x

    14

    .0%

    16.2%

    AB

    Savanna

    SVY

    $7.39

    $7.50

    MP3

    1.5%

    $584

    $0.00

    0.0%

    $0.33

    $0.52

    22.1x

    14.3x

    $101

    $122

    7.0x

    5.5x

    4

    .0%

    5.3%

    AB

    Secure

    SES

    $5.92

    $6.50

    OP2

    9.8%

    $377

    $0.00

    0.0%

    $0.20

    $0.44

    29.1x

    13.4x

    $39

    $64

    9.6x

    6.1x

    8

    .8%

    16.1%

    AB

    Stoneham

    SDG.UN

    $16.35

    $19.00

    OP2

    16.2%

    $126

    $0.00

    0.0%

    $1.48

    $1.73

    11.0x

    9.5x

    $32

    $34

    5.0x

    4.0x

    8

    .8%

    10.2%

    AB

    Toromont

    TIH

    $31.70

    $36.00

    OP2

    15.6%

    $2,444

    $0.64

    2.0%

    $2.08

    NA

    15.2x

    NA

    $332

    NA

    8.4x

    NA

    NA

    NA

    BC/AB

    Trican

    TCW

    $22.27

    $28.00

    OP2

    26.2%

    $3,195

    $0.10

    0.4%

    $1.45

    $1.88

    15.4x

    11.8x

    $506

    $611

    6.7x

    5.2x

    18

    .2%

    21.0%

    AB

    Trinidad

    TDG

    $7.26

    $8.50

    OP2

    19.8%

    $877

    $0.20

    2.8%

    $0.39

    $0.49

    18.5x

    14.8x

    $225

    $240

    6.2x

    5.4x

    5

    .6%

    6.6%

    AB

    Western

    WRG

    $0.44

    $0.40

    MP3

    -9.1%

    $332

    $0.00

    0.0%

    $0.03

    $0.03

    15.5x

    13.0x

    $52

    $59

    7.3x

    6.0x

    11

    .5%

    12.8%

    AB

    Median

    15.9%

    0.2%

    $0.88

    $1.08

    15.4x

    13.0x

    6.6x

    5.2x

    10

    .5%

    12.0%

    Source:Bloomberg,RaymondJamesLtd.

    Dividen

    ds

    ROIC

    EV/EBITDA

    EBITDA

    P/E(fd)

    EPS(fd)

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    Energy Canada Research | Page 19 of 41

    Raymond James Ltd. | 2200 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2

    Important Investor Disclosures

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    Canada Research | Page 20 of 41 Energy

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    analyst and/or research associate owns shares of the common stock of Leggett & Platt. The covering analyst and/or

    research associate owns shares of the common stock of Sprint Nextel Corp. The Analyst and/or Associate or a member of

    his/their household has a long position in the securities of Trinidad Drilling Ltd. The Analyst and/or Associate or a

    member of his/their household has a long position in the securities of Toromont Industries.

    The views expressed in this report accurately reflect the personal views of the analyst(s) covering the subject securities. No

    part of said person's compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views

    contained in this research report. In addition, said analyst has not received compensation from any subject company in the

    last 12 months.

    Ratings and Definitions

    Raymond James Ltd. (Canada) definitions

    Strong Buy (SB1) The stock is expected to appreciate and produce a total return of at least 15% and outperform the

    S&P/TSX Composite Index over the next six months. Outperform (MO2) The stock is expected to appreciate and

    outperform the S&P/TSX Composite Index over the next twelve months. Market Perform (MP3) The stock is expected to

    perform generally in line with the S&P/TSX Composite Index over the next twelve months and is potentially a source of

    funds for more highly rated securities. Underperform (MU4) The stock is expected to underperform the S&P/TSX

    Composite Index or its sector over the next six to twelve months and should be sold.

    Raymond James & Associates (U.S.) definitions

    Strong Buy (SB1) Expected to appreciate, produce a total return of at least 15%, and outperform the S&P 500 over the nextsix to 12 months. For higher yielding and more conservative equities, such as REITs and certain MLPs, a total return of at

    least 15% is expected to be realized over the next 12 months. Outperform (MO2) Expected to appreciate and outperform

    the S&P 500 over the next 12-18 months. For higher yielding and more conservative equities, such as REITs and certain

    MLPs, an Outperform rating is used for securities where we are comfortable with the relative safety of the dividend and

    expect a total return modestly exceeding the dividend yield over the next 12-18 months. Market Perform (MP3) Expected

    to perform generally in line with the S&P 500 over the next 12 months. Underperform (MU4) Expected to underperform

    the S&P 500 or its sector over the next six to 12 months and should be sold. Suspended (S) The rating and price target have

    been suspended temporarily. This action may be due to market events that made coverage impracticable, or to comply

    with applicable regulations or firm policies in certain circumstances, including when Raymond James may be providing

    investment banking services to the company. The previous rating and price target are no longer in effect for this security

    and should not be relied upon.

    Raymond James Latin American rating definitionsStrong Buy (SB1) Expected to appreciate and produce a total return of at least 25.0% over the next twelve months.

    Outperform (MO2) Expected to appreciate and produce a total return of between 15.0% and 25.0% over the next twelve

    months. Market Perform (MP3) Expected to perform in line with the underlying country index. Underperform (MU4)

    Expected to underperform the underlying country index.

    Raymond James European Equities rating definitions

    Strong Buy (1) Absolute return expected to be at least 10% over the next 12 months and perceived best performer in the

    sector universe. Buy (2) Absolute return expected to be at least 10% over the next 12 months. Fair Value (3) Stock

    currently trades around its fair price and should perform in the range of -10% to +10% over the next 12 months. Sell (4)

    Expected absolute drop in the share price of more than 10% in next 12 months.

    Suitability Categories (SR)

    For stocks rated by Raymond James & Associates only, the following Suitability Categories provide an assessment ofpotential risk factors for investors. Suitability ratings are not assigned to stocks rated Underperform (Sell). Projected 12-

    month price targets are assigned only to stocks rated Strong Buy or Outperform.

    Total Return (TR) Lower risk equities possessing dividend yields above that of the S&P 500 and greater stability of principal.

    Growth (G) Low to average risk equities with sound financials, more consistent earnings growth, possibly a small dividend,

    and the potential for long-term price appreciation.

    Aggressive Growth (AG) Medium or higher risk equities of companies in fast growing and competitive industries, with less

    predictable earnings and acceptable, but possibly more leveraged balance sheets.

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    Raymond James Ltd. | 2200 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2

    High Risk (HR) Companies with less predictable earnings (or losses), rapidly changing market dynamics, financial and

    competitive issues, higher price volatility (beta), and risk of principal.

    Venture Risk (VR) Companies with a short or unprofitable operating history, limited or less predictable revenues, very high

    risk associated with success, and a substantial risk of principal.

    Rating Distributions

    Coverage Universe Rating Distribution Investment Banking Distribution

    RJL RJA RJL RJA

    Strong Buy and Outperform (Buy) 71% 53% 50% 24%

    Market Perform (Hold) 27% 40% 33% 11%

    Underperform (Sell) 2% 7% 0% 17%

    Raymond James Relationship Disclosures

    Raymond James Ltd. or its affiliates expects to receive or intends to seek compensation for investment banking services

    from all companies under research coverage within the next three months.

    Company Name DisclosureAlter NRG Within the last 12 months, Alter NRG has paid for all or a material portion of the travel

    costs associated with a site visit by the Analyst and/or Associate.

    Arc Resources Ltd. Raymond James Ltd. has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities within the

    last 12 months with respect to Arc Resources Ltd..

    Raymond James Ltd. has provided investment banking services within the last 12 months

    with respect to Arc Resources Ltd..

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to Arc Resources Ltd..

    Athabasca Oil Sands Corp. Raymond James Ltd. has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities within the

    last 12 months with respect to Athabasca Oil Sands Corp..

    Raymond James Ltd. has provided investment banking services within the last 12 monthswith respect to Athabasca Oil Sands Corp..

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to Athabasca Oil Sands Corp..

    AvenEx Energy Corp. Raymond James Ltd. has provided investment banking services within the last 12 months

    with respect to AvenEx Energy Corp..

    Bankers Petroleum Raymond James Ltd. has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities within the

    last 12 months with respect to Bankers Petroleum.

    Raymond James Ltd. has provided investment banking services within the last 12 months

    with respect to Bankers Petroleum.

    Raymond James Ltd. has provided non-investment banking securities-related services

    within the last 12 months with respect to Bankers Petroleum.

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to Bankers Petroleum.

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for services other than investment

    banking within the last 12 months with respect to Bankers Petroleum.

    Baytex Energy Corp. Ruston Goepel who is an officer and director of Raymond James Ltd. or its affiliates serves

    as a director of Baytex Energy Corp..

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to Baytex Energy Corp..

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    Raymond James Ltd. | 2200 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2

    Company Name Disclosure

    Birchcliff Energy Ltd. Raymond James Ltd. makes a market in the securities of Birchcliff Energy Ltd..

    Black Diamond Group Ltd. Raymond James Ltd. has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities within the

    last 12 months with respect to Black Diamond Group Ltd..

    Raymond James Ltd. has provided investment banking services within the last 12 months

    with respect to Black Diamond Group Ltd..

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to Black Diamond Group Ltd..

    Canadian Natural Resources

    Ltd

    Raymond James Ltd. makes a market in the securities of Canadian Natural Resources Ltd.

    Within the last 12 months, Canadian Natural Resources Ltd has paid for all or a material

    portion of the travel costs associated with a site visit by the Analyst and/or Associate.

    Canyon Services Group Inc. Raymond James Ltd. has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities within the

    last 12 months with respect to Canyon Services Group Inc..

    Raymond James Ltd. has provided investment banking services within the last 12 months

    with respect to Canyon Services Group Inc..

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to Canyon Services Group Inc..

    Cenovus Energy Within the last 12 months, Cenovus Energy has paid for all or a material portion of the

    travel costs associated with a site visit by the Analyst and/or Associate.

    Cinch Energy Corp. Raymond James Ltd. makes a market in the securities of Cinch Energy Corp..

    Raymond James Ltd. has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities within the

    last 12 months with respect to Cinch Energy Corp..

    Raymond James Ltd. has provided investment banking services within the last 12 months

    with respect to Cinch Energy Corp..

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to Cinch Energy Corp..

    Compass Petroleum Ltd. Raymond James Ltd. has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities within the

    last 12 months with respect to Compass Petroleum Ltd..

    Raymond James Ltd. has provided investment banking services within the last 12 months

    with respect to Compass Petroleum Ltd..

    Raymond James Ltd. has provided non-investment banking securities-related services

    within the last 12 months with respect to Compass Petroleum Ltd..

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to Compass Petroleum Ltd..

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for services other than investment

    banking within the last 12 months with respect to Compass Petroleum Ltd..

    Connacher Oil and Gas Raymond James Ltd. has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities within the

    last 12 months with respect to Connacher Oil and Gas.

    Raymond James Ltd. has provided investment banking services within the last 12 months

    with respect to Connacher Oil and Gas.

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to Connacher Oil and Gas.

    Daylight Energy Ltd. Raymond James Ltd. has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities within the

    last 12 months with respect to Daylight Energy Ltd..

    Raymond James Ltd. has provided investment banking services within the last 12 months

    with respect to Daylight Energy Ltd..

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to Daylight Energy Ltd..

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    Raymond James Ltd. | 2200 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2

    Company Name Disclosure

    EnCana Corporation Within the last 12 months, EnCana Corporation has paid for all or a material portion of the

    travel costs associated with a site visit by the Analyst and/or Associate.

    Enerplus Corporation Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to Enerplus Corporation.

    Essential Energy Services Ltd. Raymond James Ltd. has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities within the

    last 12 months with respect to Essential Energy Services Ltd..

    Raymond James Ltd. has provided investment banking services within the last 12 months

    with respect to Essential Energy Services Ltd..

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to Essential Energy Services Ltd..

    GasFrac Energy Services Ltd. Raymond James Ltd. has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities within the

    last 12 months with respect to GasFrac Energy Services Ltd..

    Raymond James Ltd. has provided investment banking services within the last 12 months

    with respect to GasFrac Energy Services Ltd..

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to GasFrac Energy Services Ltd..

    Gran Tierra Energy Raymond James Ltd. has provided non-investment banking securities-related services

    within the last 12 months with respect to Gran Tierra Energy.

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for services other than investment

    banking within the last 12 months with respect to Gran Tierra Energy.

    Greenfields Petroleum

    Corporation

    Raymond James Ltd. has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities within the

    last 12 months with respect to Greenfields Petroleum Corporation.

    Raymond James Ltd. has provided investment banking services within the last 12 months

    with respect to Greenfields Petroleum Corporation.

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to Greenfields Petroleum Corporation.

    Legacy Oil & Gas Inc. Raymond James Ltd. has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities within the

    last 12 months with respect to Legacy Oil & Gas Inc..

    Raymond James Ltd. has provided investment banking services within the last 12 monthswith respect to Legacy Oil & Gas Inc..

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to Legacy Oil & Gas Inc..

    Leggett & Platt Raymond James & Associates received non-investment banking securities-related

    compensation from LEG within the past 12 months.

    NAL Energy Corporation Raymond James Ltd. makes a market in the securities of NAL Energy Corporation.

    Raymond James Ltd. has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities within the

    last 12 months with respect to NAL Energy Corporation.

    Raymond James Ltd. has provided investment banking services within the last 12 months

    with respect to NAL Energy Corporation.

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within thelast 12 months with respect to NAL Energy Corporation.

    Nexen Inc. Within the last 12 months, Nexen Inc. has paid for all or a material portion of the travel

    costs associated with a site visit by the Analyst and/or Associate.

    Niko Resources Ltd Within the last 12 months, Niko Resources Ltd has paid for all or a material portion of the

    travel costs associated with a site visit by the Analyst and/or Associate.

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    Raymond James Ltd. | 2200 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2

    Company Name Disclosure

    Novus Energy Inc. Raymond James Ltd. has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities within the

    last 12 months with respect to Novus Energy Inc..

    Raymond James Ltd. has provided investment banking services within the last 12 months

    with respect to Novus Energy Inc..

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to Novus Energy Inc..

    NuLoch Resources Inc. Raymond James Ltd. has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities within the

    last 12 months with respect to NuLoch Resources Inc..

    Raymond James Ltd. has provided investment banking services within the last 12 months

    with respect to NuLoch Resources Inc..

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to NuLoch Resources Inc..

    Open Range Energy Corp. Raymond James Ltd. makes a market in the securities of Open Range Energy Corp..

    Pacific Rubiales Energy Within the last 12 months, Pacific Rubiales Energy has paid for all or a material portion of

    the travel costs associated with a site visit by the Analyst and/or Associate.

    Parex Resources Inc. Raymond James Ltd. has provided investment banking services within the last 12 months

    with respect to Parex Resources Inc..

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to Parex Resources Inc..

    Pengrowth Energy Corporation Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to Pengrowth Energy Corporation.

    Perpetual Energy Inc. Raymond James Ltd. has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities within the

    last 12 months with respect to Perpetual Energy Inc..

    Raymond James Ltd. has provided investment banking services within the last 12 months

    with respect to Perpetual Energy Inc..

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to Perpetual Energy Inc..

    PetroAmerica Oil Corp. Raymond James Ltd. has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities within the

    last 12 months with respect to PetroAmerica Oil Corp..

    Raymond James Ltd. has provided investment banking services within the last 12 months

    with respect to PetroAmerica Oil Corp..

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to PetroAmerica Oil Corp..

    PetroDorado Energy Ltd. Raymond James Ltd. has provided investment banking services within the last 12 months

    with respect to PetroDorado Energy Ltd..

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to PetroDorado Energy Ltd..

    Petromanas Raymond James Ltd. has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities within the

    last 12 months with respect to Petromanas.

    Raymond James Ltd. has provided investment banking services within the last 12 monthswith respect to Petromanas.

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to Petromanas.

    Progress Energy Resources

    Corp.

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to Progress Energy Resources Corp..

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    Raymond James Ltd. | 2200 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2

    Company Name Disclosure

    Reliable Energy Ltd. Raymond James Ltd. has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities within the

    last 12 months with respect to Reliable Energy Ltd..

    Raymond James Ltd. has provided investment banking services within the last 12 months

    with respect to Reliable Energy Ltd..

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to Reliable Energy Ltd..

    Renegade Petroleum Ltd. Raymond James Ltd. has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities within the

    last 12 months with respect to Renegade Petroleum Ltd..

    Raymond James Ltd. has provided investment banking services within the last 12 months

    with respect to Renegade Petroleum Ltd..

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to Renegade Petroleum Ltd..

    Secure Energy Services Inc. Raymond James Ltd. makes a market in the securities of Secure Energy Services Inc..

    Raymond James Ltd. has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities within the

    last 12 months with respect to Secure Energy Services Inc..

    Raymond James Ltd. has provided investment banking services within the last 12 months

    with respect to Secure Energy Services Inc..

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to Secure Energy Services Inc..

    ShaMaran Petroleum Corp. Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to ShaMaran Petroleum Corp..

    Southern Pacific Resources

    Corp.

    Raymond James Ltd. has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities within the

    last 12 months with respect to Southern Pacific Resources Corp..

    Raymond James Ltd. has provided investment banking services within the last 12 months

    with respect to Southern Pacific Resources Corp..

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to Southern Pacific Resources Corp..

    Sprint Nextel Corp. Raymond James & Associates received non-investment banking securities-related

    compensation from S within the past 12 months.

    Suroco Energy Inc Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to Suroco Energy Inc.

    Toromont Industries Within the last 12 months, Toromont Industries has paid for all or a material portion of the

    travel costs associated with a site visit by the Analyst and/or Associate.

    TransDigm Group, Inc. Raymond James & Associates received non-securities-related compensation from TDG

    within the past 12 months.

    Trinidad Drilling Ltd. Within the last 12 months, Trinidad Drilling Ltd. has paid for all or a material portion of the

    travel costs associated with a site visit by the Analyst and/or Associate.

    Raymond James Ltd. has provided non-investment banking securities-related services

    within the last 12 months with respect to Trinidad Drilling Ltd..

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within thelast 12 months with respect to Trinidad Drilling Ltd..

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for services other than investment

    banking within the last 12 months with respect to Trinidad Drilling Ltd..

    Twin Butte Energy Inc. Raymond James Ltd. makes a market in the securities of Twin Butte Energy Inc..

    Vermilion Energy Inc. Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to Vermilion Energy Inc..

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    Raymond James Ltd. | 2200 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2

    Company Name Disclosure

    Western Energy Services Corp. Raymond James Ltd. has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities within the

    last 12 months with respect to Western Energy Services Corp..

    Raymond James Ltd. has provided investment banking services within the last 12 months

    with respect to Western Energy Services Corp..

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to Western Energy Services Corp..

    WestFire Energy Ltd. Raymond James Ltd. has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities within the

    last 12 months with respect to WestFire Energy Ltd..

    Raymond James Ltd. has provided investment banking services within the last 12 months

    with respect to WestFire Energy Ltd..

    Raymond James Ltd. has received compensation for investment banking services within the

    last 12 months with respect to WestFire Energy Ltd..

    Stock Charts, Target Prices, and Valuation Methodologies

    Valuation Methodology: The Raymond James methodology for assigning ratings and target prices includes a number of

    qualitative and quantitative factors including an assessment of industry size, structure, business trends and overall

    attractiveness; management effectiveness; competition; visibility; financial condition, and expected total return, amongother factors. These factors are subject to change depending on overall economic conditions or industry- or company-

    specific occurrences.

    Risk Factors

    General Risk Factors: Following are some general risk factors that pertain to the projected target prices included on

    Raymond James research: (1) Industry fundamentals with respect to customer demand or product / service pricing could

    change and adversely impact expected revenues and earnings; (2) Issues relating to major competitors or market shares or

    new product expectations could change investor attitudes toward the sector or this stock; (3) Unforeseen developments

    with respect to the management, financial condition or accounting policies or practices could alter the prospective

    valuation; or (4) External factors that affect the U.S. economy, interest rates, the U.S. dollar or major segments of the

    economy could alter investor confidence and investment prospects. International investments involve additional risks suchas currency fluctuations, differing financial accounting standards, and possible political and economic instability.

    Risks - Alter NRG

    1. Limited financial resources - Alter Nrg must rely on its ability to borrow funds or sell additional equity to finance its costs

    of developing projects. Alter Nrg's ability to raise funds is subject to capital market risks, such as the availability and cost of

    capital as well as the company's credibility. If financing is unavailable, projects may be delayed, development may be

    indefinitely postponed, or the future value of the company's investment may be impaired. 2. Project execution risks -

    Gasification projects are in early stages of development, with inherent risks such as cost overruns due to the changes in

    availability and costs of materials, equipment and qualified personnel. 3. Regulatory risks - The development of gasification

    projects are dependent on the company receiving the necessary regulatory approvals. A failure to obtain these approvals

    on a timely basis or with acceptable terms and conditions could result in delays, abandonment or restructuring of projects

    and increased costs, all of which could have a material adverse effect on Alter Nrg. 4. Risks related to commodity prices,

    exchange rates, interest rates, tipping fees, political factors and general economic conditions. 5. Early Development - Thecompany is in early stages of development and have no history of earnings or operations. Future development and

    profitability is highly dependent on development of projects. 6. Competition - The gasification industry is highly competitive

    and Alter Nrg competes with a substantial number of other companies. Alter Nrg's technology is one of many alternatives in

    gasification - and although it benefits from being the most advanced in the plasma gasification space - there can be no

    assurance that this technology will be adopted on a wide scale.

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    Risks - Novus Energy Ltd.

    1) Operational risks, including weather related risks; 2) Project execution risks, including cost overrun risks due to material

    and labour costs escalation and productivity issues; 3) Exploration and development risks primarily on conventional

    production related to locating commercially viable reserves and carrying out successful drilling programs; 4) Environmental

    risks, including costs of new equipment and associated construction costs for maintaining environmental integrity; 5)

    Regulatory risks with regard to oil and gas projects. 6) Commodity price risk and foreign exchange risk.

    Risks - Canadian Natural Resources Ltd.

    1) Operational risks, including weather related risks in offshore Africa or North Sea; 2) Project execution risks, especiallywith large-scale projects such as the oil sands and offshore Africa and North Sea, including cost overrun risks due to

    material and labor costs escalation and productivity issues; 3) Exploration and development risks primarily on conventional

    production related to locating commercially viable reserves and carrying out successful drilling programs; 4) Political risks in

    some countries such as Africa and UK. 5) Environmental risks, including costs of new equipment and associated

    construction costs for maintaining environmental integrity; 6) Regulatory risks with regard to international and the oil sands

    projects.

    Risks - Alange Energy Corp.

    International oil & gas companies within our research universe are subject to a range of risks, including, but not limited to:

    environmental risk, political risk, operational risk, financial risk, hedging risk, commodity price fluctuation risk, and currency

    risk. Any difference between our oil & gas price forecasts and realized commodity prices will likely have an impact on our

    earnings and valuation estimates for the international oil & gas companies in our research coverage universe. Alange's oil &

    gas operations are inherently complex and exposed to a number of risks, most of which are beyond the companys control.These include: environmental compliance issues; personal accidents; production problems; availability of labor and

    equipment, and interruption due to inclement, weather conditions, road closures, and/or militant activities. Other risks

    include, but are not limited to: uncertainties surrounding capital and operating costs; aging equipment and facilities which

    could lead to increased costs; actions taken by Colombia's government; and changes in fiscal regimes.

    Risks - Petromanas Energy Inc.

    Competition - The oil & gas industry is highly competitive and the corporation competes with a substantial number of

    companies. There can be no assurance that such competitors will not substantially increase the resources devoted to the

    development and marketing of products and services that compete with those of Petromanas or enter markets that

    Petromanas is active in.

    Commodity Price Volatility - The corporation is subject to the fluctuations in oil, natural gas and other commodity energy

    prices. It is anticipated that the international oil & gas industry has an inherently high capital cost due to large construction

    projects. Nevertheless, changes in commodity prices could result in a decision by Petromanas to suspend or reduceoperations because such operations are no longer economically viable. If production is not suspended or reduced during

    such period, the low differential between the price of the corporations end products and the cost of production could

    lower Petromanas revenues.

    Reserve and resource risks - Petromanas currently provides both internal and third party resource evaluations on its assets.

    These calculations remain dependent on long-term oil & gas pricing, geological assumptions made, and the companys

    ability to confirm/discover oil &/or gas on said assets. The company does not currently have any booked reserves, and as

    such, an investment in Petromanas is subject to exploration activity risks.

    Drilling risks - Petromanas is focused on oil & gas exploration, including the potential to drill relatively deep wells (~5,000+

    meters). These wells inherently carry a higher operational risk than shallower wells due to, amongst other risks, the higher

    pressures and temperatures typically encountered at these depths.

    Regulatory and Political - Petromanas operations are subject to a variety international laws, regulations and guidelines,

    including laws and regulations relating to health and safety, the conduct of operations, the protection of the environment

    and the manufacture, management, transportation, storage and disposal of certain materials used in operations. Changes

    to laws, regulations and guidelines due to environmental changes, unforeseen environmental effects, general economic

    conditions and other matters may cause adverse effects to operations. The companys properties are located in Albania.

    The companys operations, financial results, and valuation could be adversely affected by events beyond its control taken

    by the current or future governments in Albania with respect to policy changes regarding taxation, regulation, and other

    business environment changes.

    Environmental Liability - Petromanas is subject to various environmental laws and regulations enacted in the jurisdictions in

    which it operates, including the governance of the manufacturing, processing, importation, transportation, handling and

    disposal of certain materials used in operations. Petromanas may become liable for damages against which it cann

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    Risks - Pacific Rubiales Energy

    International oil & gas companies within our research universe are subject to a range of risks, including, but not limited to:

    environmental risk, political risk, operational risk, financial risk, hedging risk, commodity price fluctuation risk, and currency

    risk. Any difference between our oil & gas price forecasts and realized commodity prices will likely have an impact on our

    earnings and valuation estimates for the international oil & gas companies in our research coverage universe. Pacific

    Rubiales' oil & gas operations are inherently complex and exposed to a number of risks, most of which are beyond the

    companys control. These include: environmental compliance issues; personal accidents; production problems; availability

    of labor and equipment, and interruption due to inclement, weather conditions, road closures, and/or local protests. Other

    risks include, but are not limited to: uncertainties surrounding capital and operating costs; aging equipment and facilities

    which could lead to increased costs; actions taken by host governments; and changes in fiscal regimes.

    Risks - Parex Resources Inc.

    International oil & gas companies within our research universe are subject to a range of risks, including, but not limited to:

    environmental risk, political risk, operational risk, financial risk, hedging risk, commodity price fluctuation risk, and currency

    risk. Any difference between our oil & gas price forecasts and realized commodity prices will likely have an impact on our

    earnings and valuation estimates for the international oil & gas companies in our research coverage universe. Parex

    Resources oil & gas operations are inherently complex and exposed to a number of risks, most of which are beyond the

    companys control. These include: environmental compliance issues; personal accidents; production problems; availability

    of labor and equipment, and interruption due to inclement, weather conditions, road closures, and/or labour union strike

    activities. Other risks include, but are not limited to: uncertainties surrounding capital and operating costs; aging equipment

    and facilities which could lead to increased costs; actions taken by, Colombia's, and Trinidad & Tobago's governments; and

    changes in fiscal regimes.

    Risks - Petroamerica Oil Corp.

    International oil & gas companies within our research universe are subject to a range of risks, including, but not limited to:

    environmental risk, political risk, operational risk, financial risk, hedging risk, commodity price fluctuation risk, and currency

    risk. Any difference between our oil & gas price forecasts and realized commodity prices will likely have an impact on our

    earnings and valuation estimates for the international oil & gas companies in our research coverage universe. Petro

    Andina's oil & gas operations are inherently complex and exposed to a number of risks, most of which are beyond the

    companys control. These include: environmental compliance issues; personal accidents; production problems; availability

    of labor and equipment, and interruption due to inclement, weather conditions, road closures, and/or labour union strike

    activities. Other risks include, but are not limited to: uncertainties surrounding capital and operating costs; aging equipment

    and facilities which could lead to increased costs; actions taken by, Argentina's, Colombia's, and Trinidad & Tobago's

    governments; and changes in fiscal regimes.

    Risks - Nexen Inc.

    Risks include, but are not limited to, exposure to fluctuations in commodity prices (primarily oil & gas), as well as variations

    in foreign exchange rates and interest rates. Operational risks include weather-related interruptions, dry holes, restricted

    access to facilities, unplanned pipeline shutdowns, unexpected production delays and cost overruns. Also, higher than

    expected decline rates could result in lower production. Other notable risks include change in government policies and

    legislation (e.g. income tax and royalty), counterparty risk, environmental concerns, and changes in reserve estimates.

    Lower cash flow could impact Nexens ability to service and/or refinance debt.

    Risks - Cenovus Energy

    Key risks include cash flow exposure to fluctuations in commodity prices and foreign exchange rates, more specifically the

    relationship between the Canadian and U.S. dollar. Due to the nature of its operations, Cenovus also faces risks associated

    with weather-related interruptions, dry holes, restricted access to facilities, unplanned pipeline shutdowns and unexpected

    production delays. Also, the company is exposed to the risk that unexpected increases in decline rates lower productionvolumes, resulting in lower cash flow. Unexpected cost overruns, change in government policies (local, provincial and

    federal) and interest rate fluctuations could also negatively impact net income and cash flow.

    Risks - Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd.

    1) Operational risks, including weather related risks; 2) Project execution risks, including cost overrun risks due to material

    and labor costs escalation and productivity issues; 3) Exploration and development risks primarily on conventional

    production related to locating commercially viable reserves and carrying out successful drilling programs; 4) Environmental

    risks, including costs of new equipment and associated construction costs for maintaining environmental integrity; 5)

    Regulatory risks with regard to oil and gas projects. 6) Commodity price risk and foreign exchange risk.

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    Risks - ARC Resources Ltd.

    Risks include, but are not limited to, exposure to fluctuations in commodity prices (primarily oil & gas), as well as variations

    in foreign exchange rates and interest rates. Operational risks include weather-related interruptions, dry holes, restricted

    access to facilities, unplanned pipeline shutdowns, unexpected production delays and cost overruns. Also, higher than

    expected decline rates could result in lower production. Other notable risks include change in government policies and

    legislation (e.g. income tax and royalty), counterparty risk, environmental concerns, and changes in reserve estimates.

    Lower cash flow could impact Arcs ability to service and/or refinance debt.

    Risks - AvenEx Energy Corp.Risks include, but are not limited to, exposure to fluctuations in commodity prices (primarily oil & gas), as well as variations

    in foreign exchange rates and interest rates. Operational risks include weather-related interruptions, dry holes, restricted

    access to facilities, unplanned pipeline shutdowns, unexpected production delays and cost overruns. Also, higher than

    expected decline rates could result in lower production. Other notable risks include change in government policies and

    legislation (e.g. income tax and royalty), counterparty risk, environmental concerns, and changes in reserve estimates.

    Lower cash flow could impact Avenirs ability to service and/or refinance debt. Avenir may be negatively affected if the

    portfolio of Real Estate assets which it owns decreases in value.

    Risks - Black Diamond Group Ltd.

    Some of the specific risk factors that pertain to the projected 6 to 12 month stock price target for Black Diamond are as

    follows: i) The demand, pricing and terms for modular structures is highly dependant on the level of industry activity for

    Canadian resource companies and infrastructure development. The level of activity is influenced by several factors outside

    of Black Diamonds control, including but not necessarily limited to; commodity prices, the cost of exploring for anddeveloping resources, available infrastructure capacity, and the ability of project oriented resource companies to raise

    equity capital or debt financing. ii) The modular structures market is highly competitive with both regional suppliers and

    large multi-national companies in the industry. Although Black Diamond believes that it is continuing to build market share,

    it does not presently hold a dominant market position with respect to any of the services it offers. iii) Future development

    in Albertas oil sands is subject to environmental regulations which could potentially reduce overall investment in the

    region. A material portion of Black Diamonds near term growth is dependant on continued investment in the oil sands.

    Risks - Birchcliff Energy Ltd.

    1) Operational risks, including weather related risks; 2) Project execution risks, including cost overrun risks due to material

    and labor costs escalation and productivity issues; 3) Exploration and development risks primarily on conventional

    production related to locating commercially viable reserves and carrying out successful drilling programs; 4) Environmental

    risks, including costs of new equipment and associated construction costs for maintaining environmental integrity; 5)

    Regulatory risks with regard to oil and gas projects. 6) Commodity price risk and foreign exchange risk.

    Risks - Bankers Petroleum

    International oil & gas companies within our research universe are subject to a range of risks, including, but not limited to:

    environmental risk, political risk, operational risk, financial risk, hedging risk, commodity price fluctuation risk, and currency

    risk. Any difference between our oil & gas price forecasts and realized commodity prices will likely have an impact on our

    earnings and valuation estimates for the international oil & gas companies in our research coverage universe. Bankers' oil &

    gas operations are inherently complex and exposed to a number of risks, most of which are beyond the companys control.

    These include: environmental compliance issues; personal accidents; production problems; availability of labor and

    equipment, and interruption due to inclement, weather conditions, road closures, and/or local protests. Other risks include,

    but are not limited to: uncertainties surrounding capital and operating costs; aging equipment and facilities which could

    lead to increased costs; actions taken by Albania's governments; and changes in fiscal regimes.

    Risks - Bonavista Energy Corporation

    Risks include, but are not limited to, exposure to fluctuations in commodity prices (primarily oil & gas), as well as variations

    in foreign exchange rates and interest rates. Operational risks include weather-related interruptions, dry holes, restricted

    access to facilities, unplanned pipeline shutdowns, unexpected production delays and cost overruns. Also, higher than

    expected decline rates could result in lower production. Other notable risks include change in government policies and

    legislation (e.g. income tax and royalty), counterparty risk, environmental concerns, and changes in reserve estimates.

    Lower cash flow could impact Bonavistas ability to service and/or refinance debt.