Mumbai Retail 1q14
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Transcript of Mumbai Retail 1q14
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8/12/2019 Mumbai Retail 1q14
1/1
Cushman & Wakefield (India) Pvt Ltd1st Floor, Mafatlal HousePadma Bushan, H T Parekh MargChurchgate, Mumbai 400 020+91 22 6657 5555www.cushmanwakefield.co.in
For more information, contact:Siddhart GoelNational Head - ResearchTel: +91 22 6657 [email protected]
This report contains information available to the public and has been relied upon by Cushman & Wakefield onthe basis that it is accurate and complete. Cushman & Wake field accepts no responsibility if this should provenot to be the case. No warranty or representation, express or implied, is made to the accuracy orcompleteness of the information contained herein, and same is submitted subject to errors, omissions, changeof price, rental or other conditions, withdrawal without notice, and to an y special listing conditions imposed byour principals.2014 Cushman & Wakefield, Inc.All rights reserved.
Q1 2014MUMBAI, INDIA
RETAIL SNAPSHOTMARKETBEAT
A Cushman & Wakefield Research Publication
ECONOMYIndias GDP forecast for 2013-2014 has been
lowered to 4.9% from the earlier 5% due to
contraction in the manufacturing and mining
sectors. However, HSBCs Composite
Output Index for India stood at 50.3 in
February, indicating an expansion from 49.6 and 48.1 in January and
December respectively. The Indian Rupee remained largely range-
bound to INR61-63 against the US Dollar during this quarter,
although it did show some strengthening towards the end. The
Consumer Price Index (CPI) contracted to 8.10% in February 2014,
declining by 0.69 percentage point from January 2014. Though the
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) increased the repo rate by 25 basis
points to 8% this quarter, any further tightening in the near term is
unlikely in view of the declining inflation. Luxury watch brand
Jaeger-LeCoultre applied for a 100% FDI in single-brand retail. In
multi-brand retail, UK-based Tesco (a joint venture with Tata
groups retail arm Trent) got approvals from the Foreign
Investment Promotion Board (FIBP). Further, the RBI allowed
foreign retail investment in tax-free Rupee bonds to broaden the
investor base in the retail sector in the country.
MALL RENTALS APPRECIATE IN LOWER PAREL FORTWO QUARTERS IN A ROWRetailers demand for space remained stable in Mumbai during the
first quarter of 2014. Demand from the apparels segment was high
for a few prominent mall locations, especially in Lower Parel, which
resulted in a quarterly rental appreciation of 4%. Enquiry levels
from the apparels and food & beverage (F&B) segments for mall
space in the western suburbs remain high. Mall rentals in suburban
locations like Andheri, Malad, Goregaon, Ghatkopar, Thane and
Vashi remained stable given the steady demand levels. Mall rentals
at Mulund declined 4.6% during the quarter due to high vacancy
levels. Overall mall vacancy remained firm during the quarter and
was recorded at 15.3% in first quarter 2014.
MAIN STREET DEMAND DRIVEN BY F&B ANDAPPARELSThe demand for space was driven primarily by the F&B and
apparels retailers in main streets locations in Colaba, Andheri-west
and Borivali, but the rentals were static. Limited availability of
quality spaces remains a concern, especially in locations like Colaba,
Breach Candy and Borivali. A number of apparels and footwear
retailers are expanding operations in peripeheral western locations
like Vasai and Virar because of the growing population and
favorable demographics.
OUTLOOKQuality mall developments are expected to witness a steady
demand from retailers planning to expand in the city. Due to
constraints of quality space and high retailer preference for these
locations, select mall developments in Lower Parel, Malad and
Goregaon may witness rental appreciation. Demand for spaces in
main street locations like Linking Road, Borivali and Vashi is also
expected to increase in the coming quarter.
ECONOMIC INDICATORS
NATIONAL 2012 2013E 2014F
GDP Growth 5.0% 4.9% 6.1%
CPI Growth 10.2% 9.5% 7.8%
Private Final Expenditure Growth 5.0% -- -
Govt. Final Expenditure Growth 6.2% - -
Source: MOSPI & Roubini Global Economics
PRIME RETAIL RENTS MARCH 2014
MAIN STREETS INRSF/MTH
EUROSF/YR
US$SF/YR
Q-O-QCHANGE
Y-O-YCHANGE
Linking Road 750 107 148 0.0% 0.0%
Kemps Corner /Breach Candy
450 64 89 0.0% 2.3%
Colaba Causeway 700 100 138 0.0% 0.0%
Fort Fountain 375 54 74 0.0% 7.1%
LokhandwalaAndheri
350 50 69 0.0% 12.9%
Borivali LT Road 370 53 73 0.0% 0.0%
Chembur* 320 46 63 NA NA
Vashi 280 40 55 0.0% 16.7%
Thane 250 36 49 0.0% -3.8%
MALLS INRSF/MTH
EUROSF/YR
US$SF/YR
Q-O-QCHANGE
Y-O-YCHANGE
Lower Parel 600 86 118 4.4% 25.0%
Link Road(Andheri W)
400 57 79 0.0% 0.0%
Malad 460 66 91 0.0% 0.0%
Goregaon 300 43 59 0.0% 0.0%
Ghatkopar 330 47 65 0.0% 3.1%
Bhandup* 190 27 37 NA NA
Mulund 210 30 41 -4.6% -23.6%
Vashi 300 43 59 0.0% 17.7%
Thane 285 41 56 0.0% 1.8%
Kalyan* 60 9 12 NA NA
Note: Asking rents(INR/sf/month) on carpet area of ground floor Vanilla stores is quotedConversion Rate: US$1= INR 60.92 and Euro 1 = INR 84.04*Newly Added in 2014
SIGNIFICANT LEASING TRANSACTIONS
PROPERTY LOCATION TENANT SQUARE FEET
Magnet Mall Bhandup Central 35,000
Viva City Thane Zara 5,000