Multimedia - What is the Semiconductor Opportunity? Tuesday, May 22, 2007 Penn Club, New York Jon...

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Multimedia - What is the Semiconductor Opportunity? Tuesday, May 22, 2007 Penn Club, New York Jon Peddie, President, Jon Peddie Research

Transcript of Multimedia - What is the Semiconductor Opportunity? Tuesday, May 22, 2007 Penn Club, New York Jon...

Page 1: Multimedia - What is the Semiconductor Opportunity? Tuesday, May 22, 2007 Penn Club, New York Jon Peddie, President, Jon Peddie Research.

Multimedia - What is the Semiconductor Opportunity?

Tuesday, May 22, 2007Penn Club, New York

                               

Jon Peddie, President, Jon Peddie Research

                                                           

Page 2: Multimedia - What is the Semiconductor Opportunity? Tuesday, May 22, 2007 Penn Club, New York Jon Peddie, President, Jon Peddie Research.

© 2007 Gerson Lehrman Group Inc., All Rights Reserved

Council Member Biography

Jon Peddie, Ph.D., is one of the pioneers of the graphics industry, starting his career in

computer graphics in 1962. After the successful launch of several graphics manufacturing

companies, Dr. Peddie began Jon Peddie Associates in 1984 to provide comprehensive

data, information and management expertise to the computer graphics industry.

Dr. Peddie lectures at numerous conferences on topics pertaining to graphics technology

and emerging trends in digital media technology. He is frequently quoted in trade and

business publications, and contributes articles to numerous publications including Upside

Magazine, OEM Magazine, and the Wall Street Journal. He is also the author of several

books including Graphics User Interfaces and Graphics Standards, High Resolution

Graphics Display Systems, and Multimedia and Graphics Controllers.

Dr. Peddie has also been the Founder and President of Jupiter Systems; Executive Vice

President of Comarc; President of Fluidyn systems; and the President and Founder of

Data Graphics.

Page 3: Multimedia - What is the Semiconductor Opportunity? Tuesday, May 22, 2007 Penn Club, New York Jon Peddie, President, Jon Peddie Research.

© 2007 Gerson Lehrman Group Inc., All Rights Reserved

Table of Contents

► Latest products from Nvidia, AMD & Intel

► Graphics chips in DTVs, game consoles, PCs, handhelds and vehicles

► Breakdown of mobile phone parts suppliers

Page 4: Multimedia - What is the Semiconductor Opportunity? Tuesday, May 22, 2007 Penn Club, New York Jon Peddie, President, Jon Peddie Research.

© 2007 Gerson Lehrman Group Inc., All Rights Reserved

About GLG Institute

GLG Institute (GLGiSM) is a professional organization focused on educating business and investment professionals through in-person meetings. It is designed to revolutionize the professional education market by putting the power of programming into the hands of the GLG community.

GLGi hosts hundreds of Seminars worldwide each year.

GLGi clients receive two seats to all Seminars in all Practice Areas.

GLGi’s website enables clients to: ► Propose Seminar topics, agenda items and locations ► View and RSVP to scheduled and proposed Seminars ► Receive a daily briefing with new posts on your favorite tickers, subject

areas and from trusted Council Members ► Share Seminar details with colleagues or friends

Page 5: Multimedia - What is the Semiconductor Opportunity? Tuesday, May 22, 2007 Penn Club, New York Jon Peddie, President, Jon Peddie Research.

© 2007 Gerson Lehrman Group Inc., All Rights Reserved

Gerson Lehrman Group Contacts

John AronsohnVice PresidentGerson Lehrman Group850 Third Avenue, 9th FloorNew York, NY [email protected]

Christine RuaneSenior Product ManagerGerson Lehrman Group850 Third Avenue, 9th FloorNew York, NY 10022212-984-8505 [email protected]

Page 6: Multimedia - What is the Semiconductor Opportunity? Tuesday, May 22, 2007 Penn Club, New York Jon Peddie, President, Jon Peddie Research.

© 2007 Gerson Lehrman Group Inc., All Rights Reserved

IMPORTANT GLG INSTITUTE DISCLAIMER – By making contact with this/these Council Members and participating in this event, you specifically acknowledge, understand and agree that you must not seek out material non-public or confidential information from Council Members. You understand and agree that the information and material provided by Council Members is provided for your own insight and educational purposes and may not be redistributed or displayed in any form without the prior written consent of Gerson Lehrman Group. You agree to keep the material provided by Council Members for this event and the business information of Gerson Lehrman Group, including information about Council Members, confidential until such information becomes known to the public generally and except to the extent that disclosure may be required by law, regulation or legal process. You must respect any agreements they may have and understand the Council Members may be constrained by obligations or agreements in their ability to consult on certain topics and answer certain questions. Please note that Council Members do not provide investment advice, nor do they provide professional opinions. Council Members who are lawyers do not provide legal advice and no attorney-client relationship is established from their participation in this project.

You acknowledge and agree that Gerson Lehrman Group does not screen and is not responsible for the content of materials produced by Council Members. You understand and agree that you will not hold Council Members or Gerson Lehrman Group liable for the accuracy or completeness of the information provided to you by the Council Members. You acknowledge and agree that Gerson Lehrman Group shall have no liability whatsoever arising from your attendance at the event or the actions or omissions of Council Members including, but not limited to claims by third parties relating to the actions or omissions of Council Members, and you agree to release Gerson Lehrman Group from any and all claims for lost profits and liabilities that result from your participation in this event or the information provided by Council Members, regardless of whether or not such liability arises is based in tort, contract, strict liability or otherwise. You acknowledge and agree that Gerson Lehrman Group shall not be liable for any incidental, consequential, punitive or special damages, or any other indirect damages, even if advised of the possibility of such damages arising from your attendance at the event or use of the information provided at this event.

Page 7: Multimedia - What is the Semiconductor Opportunity? Tuesday, May 22, 2007 Penn Club, New York Jon Peddie, President, Jon Peddie Research.

Jon Peddie ResearchJon Peddie Research

Jon Peddie Research Founded in 2001 - our 20th year Focus and emphasis on Digital Technology, Multi

Media, and Graphics Consulting and market research - Advisor to

industry leaders and financiers Bi-weekly report, various Digital Technology

Market Studies

The Business of Multimedia and Graphics

Page 8: Multimedia - What is the Semiconductor Opportunity? Tuesday, May 22, 2007 Penn Club, New York Jon Peddie, President, Jon Peddie Research.

Jon Peddie ResearchJon Peddie Research

Multimedia Platforms

Five platforms– DTVs– Game Consoles– PCs– Handhelds

• Mobile Phones & PDAs• Game machines• Media players

– Vehicles

What do they have in common– What’s unique?

Page 9: Multimedia - What is the Semiconductor Opportunity? Tuesday, May 22, 2007 Penn Club, New York Jon Peddie, President, Jon Peddie Research.

Jon Peddie ResearchJon Peddie Research

Multimedia PlatformsWhat do they have in commonPlatform Screen

Size CPU GPU/

Video

Memory Comm

DTV 17 - 60 RISC/DSP

Generic Semi, Disc Ethernet

Game

console

17 - 60 RISC Custom Semi, Disc Ethernet, Wireless

PC 17 - 30 CISC Generic Semi, Disc Ethernet, Phone, Wireless

Handheld 1.5 – 6 RISC/

DSP

Custom Semi, Flash, Disc

Wireless

Vehicles 3 - 9 RISC/

DSP

Generic Semi, Disc Internal Ethernet

Page 10: Multimedia - What is the Semiconductor Opportunity? Tuesday, May 22, 2007 Penn Club, New York Jon Peddie, President, Jon Peddie Research.

Jon Peddie ResearchJon Peddie Research

PCs

The most segmented The second largest unit volume The most dynamic The highest market value

Page 11: Multimedia - What is the Semiconductor Opportunity? Tuesday, May 22, 2007 Penn Club, New York Jon Peddie, President, Jon Peddie Research.

Jon Peddie ResearchJon Peddie Research

PC Platform suppliers

Apple Dell Fujitsu Lenvo HP Panasonic Sony

Page 12: Multimedia - What is the Semiconductor Opportunity? Tuesday, May 22, 2007 Penn Club, New York Jon Peddie, President, Jon Peddie Research.

Jon Peddie ResearchJon Peddie Research

PCs Segments:

– Architectures• AMD• Intel

– Operating systems• Apple• Microsoft• Linux

– Desktops• Integrated• Discrete

– Mobile• Integrated• Discrete

Page 13: Multimedia - What is the Semiconductor Opportunity? Tuesday, May 22, 2007 Penn Club, New York Jon Peddie, President, Jon Peddie Research.

Jon Peddie ResearchJon Peddie Research

PCs Intel

IntelProcessor

NorthBridge

Graphics memoryHigh-speed

DDRAM

South Bridge

GraphicsProcessor

Unit (GPU)

All that other stuff:USB, CD\DVD, HDD, audio, PCI, parallel serial, 1394, keyboard, IR, etc.

Integrated Graphics Controller (IGC), AKA integrated graphics chip, also integrated graphics processor (IGP)

The interface: AGP on oldersystems, PCI Express on the newer systems

System memoryHigh-speed

SDRAM

Frame buffer

FSB

Page 14: Multimedia - What is the Semiconductor Opportunity? Tuesday, May 22, 2007 Penn Club, New York Jon Peddie, President, Jon Peddie Research.

Jon Peddie ResearchJon Peddie Research

PCs AMD

AMDProcessor HyperLink

to PCIeBridge

Graphics memoryHigh-speed

DDRAM

South Bridge

GraphicsProcessor

Unit (GPU)

All that other stuff:USB, CD\DVD, HDD, audio, PCI, parallel serial, 1394, keyboard, IR, etc.

PCI Express

System memoryHigh-speed

SDRAM

Frame buffer

Hyper-Links

MemoryBus

Page 15: Multimedia - What is the Semiconductor Opportunity? Tuesday, May 22, 2007 Penn Club, New York Jon Peddie, President, Jon Peddie Research.

Jon Peddie ResearchJon Peddie Research

PC Market Growth

Q1'

04

Q3'

04

Q1'

05

Q3'

05

Q1'

06

Q3'

06

Q1'

07

Discrete Mobile

IGP Mobile

Discrete Desktop

IGP Desktop

05

10152025303540

Market Growth M unitsJon Peddie Research

Discrete Mobile

IGP Mobile

Discrete Desktop

IGP Desktop

Page 16: Multimedia - What is the Semiconductor Opportunity? Tuesday, May 22, 2007 Penn Club, New York Jon Peddie, President, Jon Peddie Research.

Jon Peddie ResearchJon Peddie Research

PC Market Data

Discrete Mobile Market Share Q 1'07

AMD40%

O thers0%

Nvidia60%

Discrete Desktop Market Share Q 1'07

AMD40%

O thers1%

Nvidia59%

Desktop Graphics Market Share Q 1'07

Intel31.8%

Nvidia32% AMD

21%

VIA/S39%

O thers0%SiS

5%

IGC Desktop Market Share Q 1'07

SiS9%

VIA/S314%

AMD10%

Intel51%

Nvidia16%

Page 17: Multimedia - What is the Semiconductor Opportunity? Tuesday, May 22, 2007 Penn Club, New York Jon Peddie, President, Jon Peddie Research.

Jon Peddie ResearchJon Peddie Research

PC Parts SuppliersVendor AMD

IGPAMD GPU

Intel

IGP

Intel

GPU

AMD Y Y Y Y

Intel N N Y ~

Matrox N Y N Y

Nvidia Y Y Y Y

SiS Y N Y N

VIA Y Y Y Y

Page 18: Multimedia - What is the Semiconductor Opportunity? Tuesday, May 22, 2007 Penn Club, New York Jon Peddie, President, Jon Peddie Research.

Jon Peddie ResearchJon Peddie Research

Handhelds

The largest unit volume The most categories The most suppliers The second most dynamic The most regulated The most talked about

Page 19: Multimedia - What is the Semiconductor Opportunity? Tuesday, May 22, 2007 Penn Club, New York Jon Peddie, President, Jon Peddie Research.

Jon Peddie ResearchJon Peddie Research

Mobile Phone Platform suppliers

LG Motorola Nokia Samsung Sony - Ericson

Page 20: Multimedia - What is the Semiconductor Opportunity? Tuesday, May 22, 2007 Penn Club, New York Jon Peddie, President, Jon Peddie Research.

Jon Peddie ResearchJon Peddie Research

Handhelds

Mobile phones– Smart phones– Feature phones– Value phones

Game machines Media players

– Audio– A/V

Combos of all the above

Page 21: Multimedia - What is the Semiconductor Opportunity? Tuesday, May 22, 2007 Penn Club, New York Jon Peddie, President, Jon Peddie Research.

Jon Peddie ResearchJon Peddie Research

Handhelds

Page 22: Multimedia - What is the Semiconductor Opportunity? Tuesday, May 22, 2007 Penn Club, New York Jon Peddie, President, Jon Peddie Research.

Jon Peddie ResearchJon Peddie Research

Mobile Phone Market Data

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

0

100

200

300

400

500

600 Millions of units shiped per year worldwideJon Peddie Research

High-End 2006-10 CAGR: 25%

Midrange 2006-10 CAGR: 16%

Low-end 2006-10 CAGR: -1%

Page 23: Multimedia - What is the Semiconductor Opportunity? Tuesday, May 22, 2007 Penn Club, New York Jon Peddie, President, Jon Peddie Research.

Jon Peddie ResearchJon Peddie Research

Mobile Phone Parts SuppliersCompany Country Application-Processor Co-Processor SoC IP Media-Processor

3Dlabs UK X

AMD US X X

ARM UK X

Broadcom US X X X X

DMP Japan X X

Freescale US X

GiQuilla US X

Imagination Technologies UK X

LSI/Agere US X

MagicEyes Korea X

Marvell US X X

MtekVision Korea X

Neomagic US X

NexusChips Korea X X

Nvidia US X X X

NXP (Philips) Netherland X X

Panasonic Japan X X

Qualcomm US X X

Renesas Japan X

Samsung Korea X

SMedia Taiwan X

ST Switzerland X X

Takumi Japan X

TI US X

Toshiba Japan X

Zoran US X

Page 24: Multimedia - What is the Semiconductor Opportunity? Tuesday, May 22, 2007 Penn Club, New York Jon Peddie, President, Jon Peddie Research.

Jon Peddie ResearchJon Peddie Research

Thank you

[email protected]