MPX Corporate Presentation - May 2013
description
Transcript of MPX Corporate Presentation - May 2013
May, 2013
The material that follows is a presentation of general background information about MPX Energia S.A. and its subsidiaries (collectively, “MPX” or the
“Company”) as of the date of the presentation. It is information in summary form and does not purport to be complete. No representation or warranty, express
or implied, is made concerning, and no reliance should be placed on, the accuracy, fairness, or completeness of this information.
This presentation may contain certain forward-looking statements and information relating to MPX that reflect the current views and/or expectations of the
Company and its management with respect to its performance, business and future events. Forward looking statements include, without limitation, any
statement that may predict, forecast, indicate or imply future results, performance or achievements, and may contain words like “may”, “plan”, “believe”,
“anticipate”, “expect”, “envisages”, “will likely result”, or any other words or phrases of similar meaning. Such statements are subject to a number of risks,
uncertainties and assumptions. We caution you that a number of important factors could cause actual results to differ materially from the plans, objectives,
expectations, estimates and intentions expressed in this presentation. In no event, neither the Company, any of its affiliates, directors, officers, agents or
employees nor any of the placement agents shall be liable before any third party (including investors) for any investment or business decision made or action
taken in reliance on the information and statements contained in this presentation or for any consequential, special or similar damages.
This presentation does not constitute an offer, or invitation, or solicitation of an offer, to subscribe for or purchase any securities.
Neither this presentation nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever.
Recipients of this presentation are not to construe the contents of this summary as legal, tax or investment advice and recipients should consult their own
advisors in this regard.
The market and competitive position data, including market forecasts, used throughout this presentation were obtained from internal surveys, market
research, publicly available information and industry publications. Although we have no reason to believe that any of this information or these reports are
inaccurate in any material respect, we have not independently verified the competitive position, market share, market size, market growth or other data
provided by third parties or by industry or other publications. MPX, the placement agents and the underwriters do not make any representation as to the
accuracy of such information.
This presentation and its contents are proprietary information and may not be reproduced or otherwise disseminated in whole or in part without MPX ’s prior
written consent.
Disclaimer
2
Exposure to Brazil’s Growing Energy Demand
1
Brazil is highly dependent on hydro generation
Newer hydropower predominantly run-of-the-river, leading to faster depletion of reservoirs
4
Dry season
Southeast Reservoirs
(~70% of total storage capacity)
Source: ANEEL
Brazil’s Generation Capacity: 131 GW
(Breakdown by source - 2012)
68.7%
9.9%
2.2%1.6%1.6%
16.0%
Hydro Gas Coal Nuclear Wind Others Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
67% 56%
76%
29%38%
46%54%
62%
Average 2007-2011 2012 2013
Water storage capacity has stagnated, leading to
decreased system autonomy
5Source: ONS
Storage Capacity
(Southeast = 70% total capacity)
Autonomy = Storage Capacity / (Load – Thermal Generation)
Storage capacity
stagnation
Current reservoir autonomy ~ 5 months
New thermal plants are necessary to guarantee a reliable power supply
GW/m
onth
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 202060.0
65.0
70.0
75.0
80.0
85.0
90.0
65.2
86.5
64.7
78.1
ENERGY DEMAND
PHYSICAL GUARANTEE_x000d_(with signed PPAs)
GW
avg
Sources: ONS, ANEEL 6
2016-on: new generation required~8 GWavg required until 2020
Economic growth will boost power demand leading to
a supply deficit in 2016Default and delays in greenfield projects might further increase need for new capacity
2MPX at a Glance
Relevant Sector
Opportunities
Company Operating since 2012
Qualified and committed
Management Robust portfolio of projects
Demand: significant growth in energy
consumption expected in the coming years
Supply: risk of delays in start-up of relevant
projects
Energy Matrix: concentrated
in hydropower
Team: prepared and aligned with the
interests of shareholders
Management: highly-qualified and aligned
with the company’s perpetuation
Thermal projects: to meet the
needs of Brazil
Diversified company: ancillary business
in power Generation and natural Gas E&P.
Steady revenue stream: Tax-advantaged
thermal power plants coming on-line in
2012/13
Onshore gas assets: High
operating margins and fast payback
on investment
8
Steady cash flows and differentiated competitive positioning
A unique investment case in Brazil’s energy market
9Note : Annual Payments are indexed to the IPCA inflation index (Figures as of November, 2012).
Capacity1,756 MW
Annual Capacity Payments(adjusted for ownership %)
R$ 878.2 million
Energy Source Coal Coal Gas – open cycle
MPX Stake 50% 100% 70%
Total Capacity (MW)
720 360 676
Energy Sold (Avg MW)
615 315 450
Capacity Payments (R$ MM/year)
567.2 299.8 421.2
Start up Dec/12 – May/13 Feb/13 Jan-Apr/13
Operating power plants will generate annual revenues of at least R$ 878 million
MPX currently operates over 1.7 GW
PECÉM I PARNAÍBA IITAQUI
10
Minimum annual revenues of R$ 761 million will come from assets under construction
Additional 1.1 GW will come on stream in 2013
10
PECÉM II PARNAÍBA IIINova Venécia
PARNAÍBA II
Energy Source Coal Gas – combined cycle Gas – open cycle Gas
MPX Stake 100% 70% 70% 70%
Total Capacity (MW) 365 517 176 56
Energy Sold (avg. MW ) 276 450 98 46
Capacity Payments (R$ MM/year) 269.2 353.1 93.5 54.0*
Start up 2Q13 4Q13 2Q13 4Q13
PARNAÍBA IVFree Market
* Figures as of January, 2013. Energy contract.
Note : Annual Payments are indexed to the IPCA inflation index (Figures as of November, 2012).
Capacity1,114 MW
Annual Capacity Payments(adjusted for ownership %)
R$ 619.6 million
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COAL
Açu Coal: 2.1 GW
Sul + Seival: 1.3 GW
- Integrated to the Seival Mine: Operating
License granted and 152 MM tons in proven
reserves
WIND
Ventos Wind: up to 1.2 GW
- High-quality greenfield assets in one of Brazil’s best wind resource areas
- Capacity: 600 MW
- Estimated Load Factor: 48% (P50)
- Grid connection 30 km from Complex
- All land rights secured
- Environmental license granted
- Option to acquire project’s expansion (+600 MW)
GAS
Parnaíba Expansion: 2.2 GW
- Key competitive advantage through the
integration of natural gas production and
power generation in a tax-advantaged
region
Açu CCGT: 3.3 GW
- Located 150km from natural gas
accumulations discovered in the Campos
Basin at a port with a license to build a
regasification terminal
Maranhão Rio de Janeiro Rio de Janeiro Rio Grande do Sul Rio Grande do Norte
MPX also holds a robust portfolio of greenfield assets10 GW in licensed base-load and wind power generation projects
Natural Gas E&P
3
3 rigs operating simultaneously: 2 focused on exploration
and 1 completion rig on the production development
GAVIÃO REAL
Beginning of commercial production in Jan/13
Current gas production: 4.1 million m3/day
GAVIÃO BRANCO
Declaration of commerciality presented to ANP
Total estimated volume in place between 0.2 and 0.5 Tcf
13
Integrated onshore gas fields supply MPX power plants
in the Parnaíba basin
MPX holds 33.3% of OGX Maranhão, a company that owns and
operates onshore gas fields in the Parnaíba Basin
Three new discoveries in the basin:
• Fazenda Chicote accumulation (well OGX-107):
Net pay: 66 m; AOF: 3.2 MM m3/day
• Fazenda Santa Isabel accumulation – Net pay: 24 m
• São Raimundo accumulation – Net pay: 27 m
10 exploratory wells planned for 2013
Limited competition in gas-fueled power generation
Tax-advantaged region can attract industrial investments when gas is available
With attractive opportunities to monetize new discoveriesUnique competitive position in gas-fired generation
Gas Field GTU
Power Generation
14
Financial Highlights
4
16
Debt Profile
Debt Maturity Profile (R$ million)
Note: Values incorporate principal + capitalized interest + charges and exclude outstanding convertible debentures.
R$ billion Mar/13
Gross Debt (R$ MM) 5.5
Net Debt (R$ MM) 5.1
Average Cost (%) 8.3
Average Tenure (years) 5.0
Short Term Debt (2013):
R$ 740.1 million refer to outstanding bridge-loans to Parnaíba I & II power plants -
> to be paid-off with draw down from long-term financing.
R$ 204.5 million refer to debt amortization for Pecém II, Itaqui and Parnaíba I
Cash & Cash Equivalents
2013 2014 2015 2016 From 2017 on
364.7
2,342.0
208.8 234.2 239.1
2,435.8
1,498(27%)
3,962(73%)
Working Capital Project Finance
Joint-control with E.ON
5
EIKE BATISTAFREE FLOAT
Joint-Venture MPX E.ON (JV)
Amapari Energia
Parnaíba (expansion)
Açu TPPs
Ventos Wind
Itaqui TPPPecém II
TPPPecém I
TPP
SeivalCoal Mine
OGX Maranhão
Parnaíba IICCGT
Parnaíba IOCGT
Natural gas exploratory blocks in the
Parnaíba Basin
50% 100% 100% 51%
70% 70% 33% 70%
70%
35%
50%
Supply & Trading
35%
50%
50%
11.7%53.5%34.8%
Sul & SeivalTPPs
Castilla TPP
50% 50%
50% 50%
Tauá Solar
100% 100% 100%
50%
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MPX current ownership structure
1. E.ON acquires 24.5% stake from Eike Batista for a price of R$10/share
■Price adjusted to max R$11/share, depending on
settlement price of capital increase and MPX share
performance in subsequent 6 months
2. MPX carries out min R$1.2bn public primary offering
■E.ON committed to subscribe for R$0.4bn at R$10/share
■BTG retained as global bookrunner with firm underwriting
commitment at R$10/share for balance not subscribed by
E.ON and other investors
3. MPX-E.ON JV reintegrated into MPX at book value
Expected outcome after Step 3:
■E.ON achieves ~36% direct share in MPX
■Eike Batista reduces interest in MPX to ~24%
■MPX financial position is strengthened to fund forthcoming
investments
Summary – 3 steps
19
Transaction Summary
Current structure
Targeted structure
11.7% 53.5%
EIKE BATISTA
FREE FLOAT
MPX-E.ON
34.8%
50%50%
~36.1% ~23.7%
EIKE BATISTA
FREE FLOAT
~40.2%
Starting point: 578.4 M shares
1. E.ON acquires 24.5% from Eike Batista
2. MPX capital increase of at least R$1.2bn at min R$10/share
3. MPX-E.ON JV reintegration
E.ON
20
EIKEBATISTA
FREEFLOAT
11.7%
36.2%
35.2%
36.1%
53.5%
29.0%
24.1%
23.7%
34.8%
34.8%
40.7%
40.2%
Indicative evolution of MPX shareholding structure
Stronger capital structure and enhanced execution capabilities
21
Transaction rationale
Simplification of operating and governance structures
■ MPX becomes E.ON’s main vehicle for expansion in Brazil, instead of JV with MPX
■ E.ON and Eike Batista shall execute a shareholders’ agreement to regulate the exercise of their voting rights
Strengthening of MPX capital structure to support development pipeline
■ Strong energy demand growth expected in coming years
■ Structural need for thermal capacity to back-up hydro -> dedicated thermal auctions under discussion
■ Robust pipeline of licensed greenfield thermo generation projects and strong origination capabilities
■ Superior access to fuel resources
Enhanced execution capabilities
■ Stronger influence of E.ON in management of MPX, enhancing execution capabilities
■ E.ON’s proven expertise in construction & operation of power plants to contribute to robust process improvements at MPX
Robust pipeline of thermal projects to meet
Brazil’s need for a more reliable electric system
Tax-advantaged thermal power plants coming
on-line
Attractive monetization of natural gas resources
E.ON to join control group further supporting
development of strong portfolio of energy
assets
Experienced management team to execute on
strategic vision
Stronger capital structure and enhanced execution capabilities to develop robust pipeline of licensed greenfield thermo generation projects
Deficit in the demand-supply balance
Energy matrix concentrated in hydropower
Stagnated storage capacity
Reservoirs at levels similar to those of 2001’s
energy rationing
Spot prices (PLD) at historical highs for the last 10
years
Need to increase the base generation capacity
OPPORTUNITIES
INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
22
MPX is well-positioned to capture market opportunities
Appendix - Images
6
PORTO DO PECÉM I & II TPP
24
ITAQUI TPP
25
PARNAÍBA I & II TPP
26
PARNAÍBA: E&P – NATURAL GAS
27