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1 Page For Business and Professional Investors Only Morgan Stanley Investment Management High Yield in a low yield world: Still an opportunity March 2013
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Transcript of Morgan stanley presentation

Page 1: Morgan stanley presentation

1 Page

For Business and Professional Investors Only

Morgan Stanley Investment Management

High Yield in a low yield world:

Still an opportunity

March 2013

Page 2: Morgan stanley presentation

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MSIM Assets Under Management

33%

35%

18%

14%

U.S. Fixed Income

Global Fixed Income

Emerging Markets Debt

European Fixed Income

$338 billion in assets firm wide

Fixed Income Assets Under Management

• Over $160 billion in fixed income &

money market assets firm wide

• Approximately $61 billion in fixed income assets:

– Global Fixed Income: $20 billion

– European Fixed Income: $9 billion

– Emerging Markets: $10 billion

– US Fixed Income: $22 billion

Data as of December 31, 2012

Figures are quoted as of December 31, 2012. Morgan Stanley Investment Management (MSIM) is the asset management division of Morgan Stanley. Assets are managed by teams representing different MSIM legal entities; portfolio management teams are primarily located in New York, Philadelphia, London, Amsterdam, Singapore and Mumbai offices. Figure represents MSIM’s total assets under management/supervision.

234963

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Why is High Yield still an opportunity?

One of a few assets offering positive real yield in a low growth world:

• Monetary policy and regulation combining to suppress real yields of higher rated government and

corporate bonds

• Central banks providing liquidity on an unprecedented scale

• High real yielding assets will remain in demand whilst this supportive backdrop remains

Macro environment remains supportive of High Yield:

• Historically a low growth economic backdrop has been positive for High Yield returns

• Company management remain conservative when faced with an uncertain economic outlook

• Sound credit fundamentals and easy access to liquidity should combine to keep default rates low

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Why MSIM High Yield?

Our strategy provides investors the opportunity for:

• Improved diversification and alpha generation through security selection

• Higher volatility adjusted returns

• Greater liquidity in a broader market

• Capitalizing on valuation and mispricing in different sectors and geogrpahies

MSIM’s Global Fixed Income team has a truly global approach:

• Portfolio managers and researchers based in Europe, the US and Asia

• Portfolio management team consists of Richard Lindquist (global head of High Yield), Leon Grenyer

(head of European High Yield) and Christian Roth (head of Global Credit)

• Our investment philosophy, structure and culture of debate enables us to take advantage of market

opportunities in a timely fashion

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MSIM’s High Yield Resources

MSIM’s High Yield Team

• Richard Lindquist – Global Head of High Yield

– Over 28 years of experience in the high yield markets

• Leon Grenyer –Head of European High Yield

– Over 16 years of experience in the high yield markets

• Team of 16 dedicated research analysts

– Based in New York, London and Singapore to provide global coverage

• Team of 5 dedicated credit traders in New York and London

– Jack Cimarosa (New York) – joined MSIM from Guggenheim Partners where he worked closely

with Rich in managing high yield portfolios

• Additional resources available to the team

– Asset Allocation Team develops strategy across portfolios

– Macro Team provides guidance on broad economic themes

– Quantitative Research Team develops and maintains models

– Portfolio Construction Team ensures portfolios are managed according to client guidelines

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#sam.asset.id#

Global Credit Research Coverage

Well Resourced and Experienced Global Credit Team

Sector Credit Research Global Coverage

Aerospace & Defense / Conglomerates / Machinery Matt Millsfield / Leon Grenyer

Airlines / Auto Parts / Rails / Transportation Matt Millsfield / Leon Grenyer / Mohammed Fayek

Banks Ryan O’Connell / Alice La Trobe-Weston / Nick Dimitrov

Brokers / Agencies / ABCP / State-Sponsored European Banks Lois Pine

Cable / Media / Telecom / Information Technology Anuj Gulati / Cristian Ghiuvea / Ola Heldal

Chemicals / Energy / Paper & Packaging Lei Wang / Leon Grenyer

Electronics Cristian Ghiuvea / Leon Grenyer

Emerging Markets/Asian Corporates Chris Lin

Emerging Markets Corporates Warren Mar / Juliet Lim

Finance Companies Nick Dimitrov

Food, Beverage & Tobacco Anuj Gulati / Sarah Singh / Mohammed Fayek

Gaming & Lodging / Homebuilding / Services Matthew Millsfield / Mohammed Fayek

Healthcare Anuj Gulati / Mohammed Fayek

Insurance Nick Dimitrov

Metals / Mining Lei Wang / Leon Grenyer

Quantitative Modeling Mikhael Breiterman-Loader

REITs Cristian Ghiuvea

Retail – Food / Drug / Other Nicolas Peña / Sarah Singh

Sovereigns Ryan O’Connell

Utilities Nicolas Peña / Sarah Singh

Key Team Members

Rich Lindquist Global High Yield

Leon Grenyer Euro High Yield

Chris Roth Global Credit

Ric Ford European Credit

Each analyst / portfolio manager concentrates on 2 to 3 industries, focusing their research on approximately 40-50 companies.

New York based investors research US companies, while our London-based investors conduct research on non-US issuers.

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Portfolio Construction

Guideline Monitoring and Risk Management

Fundamental

Screens Credit

Analysis

Relative

Valuation

Analysis

Buy/Sell

Discipline

Client

Portfolio

Client’s

Objectives,

Guidelines,

and

Benchmark

Macro analysis : Economic environment and valuation

A consistent process focused on

bottom-up security selection

Ongoing macro analysis to

optimise portfolio beta positioning

Risk management is integrated

into our investment process

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Portfolio Characteristics

Guidelines for our High Yield portfolios

• Portfolios well-diversified at issuer and industry levels

– Typically hold up to 125 issues

– Single-name exposures generally limited to 2%

– Industry sectors generally limited to 3x the index weight for sectors < 5% of the index and 2x the

index weight for sectors > 5% of the index, subject to a maximum of 25%

– Cash holdings typically 0-5% (generally to accommodate flows)

• Returns expected to depend heavily on our fundamental credit analysis

– 80-85% of portfolio return typically from bottom-up security selection

– 15-20% typically from top-down sector allocation

• Sector rotation generally takes place as our view of the economic cycle changes

• Annual portfolio turnover expected to be typically 35-40%

• Focus on middle market credits, with $200 million to $1 billion of total debt outstanding

– 15-20% typically invested in the top 100 largest high yield issuers

– 80-85% of the portfolio typically invested in middle market issuers

Past performance is not indicative of future results. The statements above represent how the portfolio management team generally implements its investment process under normal market conditions.

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Middle Market High Yield

Typically, middle market issues will provide:

• Superior yields

• Higher coupons

• Shorter maturities

• Lower volatility

• Default rates in line with broader market

The higher coupons and shorter

maturities of middle market issuers

typically translate into lower duration,

which we view as attractive during

the current period of macro risk and

rate volatility

During a typical sell-off, the hard-to-

find nature of smaller middle market

deals usually makes them less likely

to be sold

Middle market issuers have

outperformed the broader market

with lower volatility and made

portfolios risk / return profiles more

attractive

Cumulative Return vs Issue Size

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Apr-01 Mar-03 Feb-05 Jan-07 Dec-08 Nov-10

$150-200mn $250-300mn $400-500mn $750-1,000mn

Spread Volatility vs Issue Size

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

55%

Oct-00 Nov-02 Dec-04 Jan-07 Feb-09 Mar-11

$150-200mn $250-300mn $400-500mn $750-1,000mn

Source: Barclays Capital. Data through June 30, 2012. Cumulative returns shown are not compounded. Spread volatility shown is annualized rolling 3 month daily spread volatility Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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MS INVF Global High Yield Fund

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MS INVF Global High Yield Bond Product Summary

Index (Beta) • Barclays Global High Yield Index

Credit Risk

(Alpha Source)

• Issuer : Index plus 200bp

• Sector : Industry sectors generally limited to 3x the index weight for

sectors < 5% of the index and 2x the index weight for sectors > 5% of

the index, subject to a maximum of 25%

Currency • Base currency of the fund is a blend of USD, Euro and GBP

Duration • +/- 1 year

Derivatives • Can use derivatives (futures/swaps) consistent with

investment guidelines/UCITS3

1. Applications for shares in any Morgan Stanley INVF should not be made without first consulting the current Prospectus, Key Investor Information Document ("KIID"), Annual Report and Semi-Annual Report (“Offering Documents”), or other documents available in your local jurisdiction which are available free of charge at the address above.

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Note: • Barclays Capital Global High Yield Index

Eff. Dur. Spr. Dur. OAS YTM Rating Beta

Portfolio 3.89 3.87 592 6.83 B 1.12

Index1 3.86 3.96 488 5.79 B+

Net 0.03 -0.10 104 1.05

Source: Morgan Stanley Investment Management

1. Applications for shares in any Morgan Stanley INVF should not be made without first consulting the current Prospectus, Key Investor Information Document (“KIID”), Annual Report and Semi-Annual Report (“Offering Documents”), or other documents available in your local jurisdiction which are available free of charge at the address above.

2. This information reflects the views of the portfolio management team. These views may change without notice as circumstances or market conditions change. All information is provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as a recommendation to purchase or sell the securities mentioned.

Risk Summary

As of February 28th, 2013

MS INVF Global High Yield Bond Fund

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MS INVF Global High Yield Bond Fund As of February 28th, 2013

Sector Exposures

Source: Morgan Stanley Investment Management

1. Applications for shares in any Morgan Stanley INVF should not be made without first consulting the current Prospectus, Key Investor Information Document (“KIID”), Annual Report and Semi-Annual Report (“Offering Documents”), or other documents available in your local jurisdiction which are available free of charge at the address above.

2. This information reflects the views of the portfolio management team. These views may change without notice as circumstances or market conditions change. All information is provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as a recommendation to purchase or sell the securities mentioned.

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MS INVF Global High Yield Bond Fund As of February 28, 2013

Source: Morgan Stanley Investment Management

1. Applications for shares in any Morgan Stanley INVF should not be made without first consulting the current Prospectus, Key Investor Information Document (“KIID”), Annual Report and Semi-Annual Report (“Offering Documents”), or other documents available in your local jurisdiction which are available free of charge at the address above.

2. This information reflects the views of the portfolio management team. These views may change without notice as circumstances or market conditions change. All information is provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as a recommendation to purchase or sell the securities mentioned.

Region & Countries

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As of February 28th, 2013

MS INVF Global High Yield Bond Fund

Credit Quality

Source: Morgan Stanley Investment Management

1. Applications for shares in any Morgan Stanley INVF should not be made without first consulting the current Prospectus, Key Investor Information Document (“KIID”), Annual Report and Semi-Annual Report (“Offering Documents”), or other documents available in your local jurisdiction which are available free of charge at the address above.

2. This information reflects the views of the portfolio management team. These views may change without notice as circumstances or market conditions change. All information is provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as a recommendation to purchase or sell the securities mentioned.

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MS INVF Global High Yield Bond Fund Presented in USD terms

(0.3)

2.9

5.7

16.4

21.3

(0.3)

1.3

3.4

12.4

16.6

-2

3

8

13

18

23

February YTD 3 Months 1 Year Since Inception

Perc

ent

(%)

MS INVF Global High Yield Bond Fund (gross) Barclays Capital Global High Yield Index

Performance Returns1 as of February 28th, 2013 The inception date of the MS INVF Global High Yield Bond Fund is November 18, 2011

1. Past performance should not be construed as a guarantee of future performance. Performance returns reflect the average annual rates of return. Periods less than one year are not annualized. The performance results shown are presented GROSS of investment advisory fees and include the reinvestment of dividends and income. Had fees been included, returns would be lower. The comparison index is the Barclays Capital Global High Yield Index. Individual results will vary.

2. Applications for shares in any Morgan Stanley INVF should not be made without first consulting the current Prospectus, Key Investor Information Document (“KIID”), Annual Report and Semi-Annual Report (“Offering Documents”), or other documents available in your local jurisdiction which are available free of charge at the address above.

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MS INVF European Currencies High Yield

Fund

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MS INVF Euro Currencies High Yield Bond Product

Summary

Index (Beta) • BoA Merrill Lynch European Currency High Yield

Constrained Ex Sub Financials (HPS2)

Credit Risk

(Alpha Source)

• Issuer : Index plus 200bp

• Sector : Industry sectors generally limited to 3x the index weight for

sectors < 5% of the index and 2x the index weight for sectors > 5% of

the index, subject to a maximum of 25%

Non Euro Denominated

Corporates, Currency risk

hedged (Alpha Source)

• Base currency of the fund is Euro

• Can buy bonds in non Euro currencies (Currency risk

hedged)

Duration • +/- 1 year

Derivatives • Can use derivatives (futures/swaps) consistent with

investment guidelines/UCITS3

1. Applications for shares in any Morgan Stanley INVF should not be made without first consulting the current Prospectus, Key Investor Information Document ("KIID"), Annual Report and Semi-Annual Report (“Offering Documents”), or other documents available in your local jurisdiction which are available free of charge at the address above.

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MS INVF Euro Currencies High Yield Fund: Risk

Summary As of February 28, 2013

1. BoA ML Euro Currencies High Yield ex subordinated financials index 2. Applications for shares in any Morgan Stanley INVF should not be made without first consulting the current Prospectus, Key Investor Information

Document ("KIID"), Annual Report and Semi-Annual Report (“Offering Documents”), or other documents available in your local jurisdiction which are available free of charge at the address above.

Duration Spr. Dur. OAS YTM Rating Beta

Portfolio 3.17 3.73 527 5.63 B+ 1.25

Index1 3.15 3.16 481 5.37 BB-

Net 0.02 0.57 45 0.26

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1. Applications for shares in any Morgan Stanley INVF should not be made without first consulting the current Prospectus, Key Investor Information Document ("KIID"), Annual Report and Semi-Annual Report (“Offering Documents”), or other documents available in your local jurisdiction which are available free of charge at the address above.

2. This information reflects the views of the portfolio management team as of February 28, 2013. These views may change without notice as circumstances or market conditions change. All information is provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as a recommendation to purchase or sell the securities mentioned.

MS INVF Euro Currencies High Yield Fund:

Sector Positions Exposure as of February 28, 2013

Source: Blackrock, Morgan Stanley Investment Management

Note: BoA ML European Currencies High Yield ex Subordinated Financials Index

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1. Applications for shares in any Morgan Stanley INVF should not be made without first consulting the current Prospectus, Key Investor Information Document (“KIID”), Annual Report and Semi-Annual Report (“Offering Documents”), or other documents available in your local jurisdiction which are available free of charge at the address above.

2. This information reflects the views of the portfolio management team as of February 28, 2013. These views may change without notice as circumstances or market conditions change. All information is provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as a recommendation to purchase or sell the securities mentioned.

MS INVF Euro Currencies High Yield Fund :

Regional Exposure Exposure as of February 28, 2013

Source: Blackrock, Morgan Stanley Investment Management

Note: BoA ML European Currencies High Yield ex Subordinated Financials Index

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1. Applications for shares in any Morgan Stanley INVF should not be made without first consulting the current Prospectus, Key Investor Information Document (“KIID”), Annual Report and Semi-Annual Report (“Offering Documents”), or other documents available in your local jurisdiction which are available free of charge at the address above.

2. This information reflects the views of the portfolio management team as of February 28, 2013. These views may change without notice as circumstances or market conditions change. All information is provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as a recommendation to purchase or sell the securities mentioned.

MS INVF Euro Currencies High Yield Fund :

Peripheral Exposure Exposure as of February 28, 2013

Source: Blackrock, Morgan Stanley Investment Management

Note: BoA ML European Currencies High Yield ex Subordinated Financials Index

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1. Applications for shares in any Morgan Stanley INVF should not be made without first consulting the current Prospectus, Key Investor Information Document (“KIID”), Annual Report and Semi-Annual Report (“Offering Documents”), or other documents available in your local jurisdiction which are available free of charge at the address above.

2. This information reflects the views of the portfolio management team as of Februrary 28, 2012. These views may change without notice as circumstances or market conditions change. All information is provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as a recommendation to purchase or sell the securities mentioned.

MS INVF Euro Currencies High Yield Fund :

Ratings Exposure as of February 28, 2013

Source: Blackrock, Morgan Stanley Investment Management

Note: BoA ML European Currencies High Yield ex Subordinated Financials Index

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Euro Currencies High Yield Bond Strategy European Currencies High Yield Representative Account – Presented in EUR terms

1. Past performance should not be construed as a guarantee of future performance. Performance returns reflect the average annual rates of return. Periods less than one year are not annualized. The performance results shown are based on the strategy’s representative account, presented GROSS of investment advisory fees, and include the reinvestment of dividends and income. Had fees been included, returns would be lower. The comparison index is the BoA Merrill Lynch European Currency High Yield Constrained Ex Sub Financials (HPS2) Index. Individual results will vary.

2. Applications for shares in any Morgan Stanley INVF should not be made without first consulting the current Prospectus, Key Investor Information Document (“KIID”), Annual Report and Semi-Annual Report (“Offering Documents”), or other documents available in your local jurisdiction which are available free of charge at the address above.

Index (Beta)

BoA Merrill Lynch European Currency

High Yield Constrained Ex Sub

Financials (HPS2)

Credit Risk (Alpha Source)

Issuer : Index plus 200bp

Sector : Index +/- 10%

Non Euro Denominated Corporates,

Currency risk hedged (Alpha

Source)

Base currency of the fund is Euro

Can buy bonds in non Euro currencies

(Currency risk hedged)

Duration Risk

+/- 1 year

Derivatives

Can use derivatives (futures/swaps)

consistent with investment

guidelines/UCITS3

AUM: €549 million (02/28/13)

Available Vehicles:

SICAV Pooled Vehicle

Separate Account

1.27 1.02

3.37

11.2311.66

10.40

2.79

0.70 0.83

2.89

14.56

11.3010.84

9.61

4.96

15.98

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

February YTD 3 Months 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years Since Inception

Perf

orm

ance (

%)

European Currencies High Yield Representative Account (Gross)

BoA Merrill Lynch European Currency High Yield Constrained Index excl Sub Financials

Performance Returns1 as of February 28th, 2013 The inception date of the European Currencies High Yield Representative Account is December 14, 1998

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53985

Current High Yield Bond Strategy (March 2013)1

Current Themes

• Focus on B-rated issuers

• Identifying winners and avoiding losers is key to outperformance

• Underweight issuers with a large percentage of European-related business

• Target industrials with pricing power and ability to pass through raw material inflation. See risks to margins.

• Overweight quality middle market issuers that offer a yield advantage over the largest high yield issuers

• Event risk often positive to High Yield, e.g. re-equitization: IPO / shareholder contributions / asset sales

• M&A: potential to be bought by cash-rich IG companies

Sector Choice

• Overweights: Packaging,, Aerospace, Building Materials, Gaming, Cyclical Consumer Services, Consumer Products, Food and Beverage Transportation Services

• Underweights: Metals and Mining, Paper, Media, Wirelines, Airlines, Home Construction, Energy, Utilities,

Good Fundamentals Dependent on Eurozone

• Slow global economic recovery; economic data plateaus

• Eurozone will still dominate headlines

• China growth important to global demand, but moderating

• Monetary policy easy; fiscal policies tighter

• 4Q12 Earnings mixed

• Default rates low, expected to remain low in 2013

Forward Indicators Mixed

• Global Confidence indicators diverging

• Austerity plans a likely drag on growth in Europe • Bank deleveraging to impact growth

• Moderate US GDP growth of around +2% for 2013

• Continued high unemployment, improving housing market

• China slowdown, global growth implications

Technicals Still Positive

• Demand for credit strong; net new corporate supply moderate

• Dealer balance sheets significantly reduced

• Price moves exaggerated by thin trading

Valuation Remains Attractive

• Spreads still attractive on a leverage-adjusted basis

• Implied default rates much higher than actual defaults

1. This information reflects the views of the portfolio manager as of the date noted above, and is subject to change without notice in response to changing circumstances and market conditions. This information should not be construed as investment advice and should not be deemed a recommendation to buy or sell any strategy.

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High Yield Historically Strong During Slow Growth

High yield performance has

historically held up well during

periods of low economic growth

(0%-2% Real GDP growth), as

companies maintain relatively

conservative balance sheets

amidst modest growth prospects

102538

Median Total Returns by GDP Growth Bucket (Since 1985) Data from 1985 to March 31, 2012

Source: Morgan Stanley, Ibbotson, The Yield Book, Bloomberg Past performance is not indicative of future results. For illustrative purposes only.

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Credit Quality of High Yield Market Has Improved

Overall credit quality of the High

Yield market has improved over

the last few years. Both net

leverage and interest coverage

are materially better than their

historical averages.

102538

Net Leverage and Interest Coverage Ratio of US High Yield Market Data from 1996 to July 2012

Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research Past performance is not indicative of future results. For illustrative purposes only.

2.5

2.7

2.9

3.1

3.3

3.5

3.7

3.9

4.1

4.3

4.5

1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

Net

Lev

erag

e (N

et D

ebt/

LTM

EB

ITD

A,

x)

LeverageRatio (HY Issuers) Average Leverage (3.6x)

2.0

2.2

2.4

2.6

2.8

3.0

3.2

3.4

3.6

3.8

4.0

1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

Cov

erag

e (L

TM

EB

ITD

A/N

et L

TM

Int

eres

t E

xpen

se),

x

CoverageRatio (HY Issuers) Average Coverage (3.3x)

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Positive Real Yielding Assets Stand to Benefit

From Unconventional Policy Easing

Aligning Investments with Policy: Buying Assets with Positive Real Yields

Both the Fed and ECB are

committed to unconventional

easing in unlimited size and with

no expiration date. This has the

effect of reflating asset prices

and reducing risk premiums.

Asset reflation is the

transmission mechanism for

unconventional policy easing

which will have the effect of

pushing real yields lower.

As a result, assets with positive

real yields stand to benefit.

Note: Real yields as the nominal yield of the asset less longer-term inflation implied by the 5y breakeven

market rates. Dividend yields are viewed as real because inflation is already netted out.

Source: Bloomberg, MSIM.

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Credit Risk Premia remain elevated in HY

As of February 28, 2013

Source: Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Moody’s Investor Services, Barclays Live

Credit Risk Premium represents

the excess return above the

historic default loss experience.

Global High Yield Credit risk

premia are higher than the median

for the past 15 years.

Cre

dit R

isk P

rem

ium

(B

Ps)

-1000.0

-800.0

-600.0

-400.0

-200.0

0.0

200.0

400.0

AA A BBB BB B CCC

Current Credit Risk Premium Credit Risk Premium Pre-Crisis *31/12/2006

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Attractive Total Return – Global High Yield*

Taking into account carry, spread

tightening and loss given default,

total return looks attractive.

Data as at February 28 2013

Index Yield 5.87%, Option

Adjusted Spread (OAS) 473bps

(Barclays Global High Yield Index.

Default Rate (%) 300 400 450 500 600 800

2 12.6 8.3 6.2 4.1 -0.1 -8.6

3 12.0 7.7 5.6 3.5 -0.7 -9.2

4 11.4 7.1 5.0 2.9 -1.3 -9.8

6 10.2 5.9 3.8 1.7 -2.5 -11.0

8 9.0 4.7 2.6 0.5 -3.7 -12.2

Note: Assuming Interest rates are unchanged through the year

Default Rate (%) 5.00% 5.50% 6.00% 7.00% 8.00% 9.00%

2 8.4 6.2 4.1 -0.1 -4.3 -8.6

3 7.8 5.6 3.5 -0.7 -4.9 -9.2

4 7.2 5.0 2.9 -1.3 -5.5 -9.8

6 6.0 3.8 1.7 -2.5 -6.7 -11.0

8 4.8 2.6 0.5 -3.7 -7.9 -12.2

Spread at 28 February 2014 (bp)

Yield at 28 February 2014 (%)

*Illustrative Returns Only. Source: MSIM

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Attractive Total Return – European High Yield*

Taking into account carry, spread

tightening and loss given default,

total return looks attractive

Data as at February 2013 Index

Yield 5.37%, OAS 477bps

(BoA Merrill Lynch European

Currencies High Yield

(constrained) index, excluding

subordinated financials)

*Illustrative Returns Only. Source: MSIM

Recovery Default Rate (%) 300 400 450 500 600 800

2 10.0 6.7 5.1 3.4 0.1 -6.5

40% 3 9.4 6.1 4.5 2.8 -0.5 -7.1

4 8.8 5.5 3.9 2.2 -1.1 -7.7

6 7.6 4.3 2.7 1.0 -2.3 -8.9

8 6.4 3.1 1.5 -0.2 -3.5 -10.1

Note: Assuming Interest rates are unchanged through the year

Recovery Default Rate (%) 4.50% 5.00% 5.50% 6.00% 7.00% 8.00%

2 7.0 5.4 3.7 2.1 -1.2 -4.5

40% 3 6.4 4.8 3.1 1.5 -1.8 -5.1

4 5.8 4.2 2.5 0.9 -2.4 -5.7

6 4.6 3.0 1.3 -0.3 -3.6 -6.9

8 3.4 1.8 0.1 -1.5 -4.8 -8.1

Spread at 28 February 2014 (bp)

Yield at 28 February 2014 (%)

STRATEGY AND OUTLOOK

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Appendix

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Global High Yield Team - Key Biographies

Christian G. Roth, CFA Managing Director

[email protected]

Chris is a member of the Fixed Income team. He joined Morgan Stanley in 1991 and has 25 years of investment experience. Prior to joining the firm, he was a senior associate in the merchant banking group of Dean Witter Capital Corporation. Chris received a B.S. in economics from the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. He holds the Chartered Financial Analyst designation and is a member of the UK Society of Investment Professionals.

[email protected] Richard is head of the High Yield Fixed Income team at Morgan Stanley Investment Management. He joined the firm in 2011 and has 28 years of investment experience. Prior to joining Morgan Stanley, Richard was a managing director and co-head of U.S. High Yield at Guggenheim Partners responsible for portfolio management, asset gathering, client service and overseeing all high yield trading. Previously, he was a managing director and head of the U.S. and Global High Yield Fixed Income team responsible for managing the firm’s high yield assets for pension funds, mutual funds and insurance companies, as well as globally marketing the strategy and servicing existing high yield clients at both HSBC Halbis Partners (HSBC Global Asset Management) and Credit Suisse Asset Management. Richard received a B.S. in finance from Boston College and an M.B.A. in finance from the University of Chicago. He holds the Chartered Financial Analyst designation.

Richard Lindquist, CFA Managing Director

Leon Grenyer Executive Director

[email protected]

Leon is a member of the Fixed Income team. He joined Morgan Stanley in 2002 and has 15 years of investment experience. Prior to joining the firm, he was a credit analyst and investment analyst at Abbey National Treasury Services. Leon received a B.S. in geography from the University of Bristol.

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Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The value of the investments and the income from them can go down as well as up and an investor may not get back the amount invested. There can be no assurance that the Fund will achieve its investment objectives.

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