Monthly Indicators - ShowingTimemarketstatsreports.showingtime.com/NJAR_yyf2q/NJAR_NCJAR_M… ·...

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Monthly Snapshot 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Data as of November 20, 2016. All data from the Garden State MLS and New Jersey MLS. The margin of error for numbers reported at the statewide level is +/- 4% at the 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2016 ShowingTime. As we enter the final quarter of 2016, not much has changed since the year began. Market predictions have been, in a word, predictable. A relatively comfortable pace of activity has been maintained thanks to continuing low unemployment and mortgage rates. The one basic drag on market acceleration has been inventory decline. There is little to indicate that the low inventory situation will resolve anytime soon. • Single Family Closed Sales were up 10.1 percent to 1,747. • Townhouse-Condo Closed Sales were up 1.2 percent to 423. • Adult Communities Closed Sales were down 20.0 percent to 44. • Single Family Median Sales Price increased 3.9 percent to $350,000. • Townhouse-Condo Median Sales Price increased 14.5 percent to $271,631. • Adult Communities Median Sales Price decreased 0.6 percent to $317,500. Builder confidence is as high as it has been in more than a decade, yet the pace of economic growth has been slow enough to cause pause. A low number of first- time buyer purchases and a looming demographic shift also seem to be curbing the desire to start new single-family construction projects. As older Americans retire and downsize, single-family listings are expected to rise. The waiting is the hardest part. For residential real estate activity in Essex, Hunterdon, Morris, Somerset, Sussex, Union and Warren Counties. Percent changes are calculated using rounded figures. Median Sales Price Average Sales Price Percent of List Price Received Days on Market Until Sale Housing Affordability Index Inventory of Homes for Sale Months Supply of Inventory New Listings Single Family Market Overview Townhouse-Condo Market Overview Adult Community Market Overview Total Market Overview One-Year Change in Closed Sales All Properties Monthly Indicators October 2016 + 7.5% - 19.8% One-Year Change in Homes for Sale All Properties One-Year Change in Median Sales Price All Properties + 4.2% Pending Sales Closed Sales

Transcript of Monthly Indicators - ShowingTimemarketstatsreports.showingtime.com/NJAR_yyf2q/NJAR_NCJAR_M… ·...

Page 1: Monthly Indicators - ShowingTimemarketstatsreports.showingtime.com/NJAR_yyf2q/NJAR_NCJAR_M… · Single Family Market Overview Townhouse-Condo Market Overview Adult Community Market

Monthly Snapshot

23456789

101112131415

Data as of November 20, 2016. All data from the Garden State MLS and New Jersey MLS. The margin of error for numbers reported at the statewide level is +/- 4% at the 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2016 ShowingTime.

As we enter the final quarter of 2016, not much has changed since the year began. Market predictions have been, in a word, predictable. A relatively comfortable pace of activity has been maintained thanks to continuing low unemployment and mortgage rates. The one basic drag on market acceleration has been inventory decline. There is little to indicate that the low inventory situation will resolve anytime soon.

• Single Family Closed Sales were up 10.1 percent to 1,747. • Townhouse-Condo Closed Sales were up 1.2 percent to 423. • Adult Communities Closed Sales were down 20.0 percent to 44.

• Single Family Median Sales Price increased 3.9 percent to $350,000. • Townhouse-Condo Median Sales Price increased 14.5 percent to $271,631. • Adult Communities Median Sales Price decreased 0.6 percent to $317,500.

Builder confidence is as high as it has been in more than a decade, yet the pace of economic growth has been slow enough to cause pause. A low number of first-time buyer purchases and a looming demographic shift also seem to be curbing the desire to start new single-family construction projects. As older Americans retire and downsize, single-family listings are expected to rise. The waiting is the hardest part.

For residential real estate activity in Essex, Hunterdon, Morris, Somerset, Sussex, Union and Warren Counties. Percent changes are calculated using rounded figures.

Median Sales PriceAverage Sales PricePercent of List Price ReceivedDays on Market Until SaleHousing Affordability IndexInventory of Homes for SaleMonths Supply of Inventory

New Listings

Single Family Market OverviewTownhouse-Condo Market OverviewAdult Community Market Overview

Total Market Overview

One-Year Change in Closed SalesAll Properties

Monthly Indicators

October 2016

+ 7.5% - 19.8%One-Year Change in

Homes for SaleAll Properties

One-Year Change in Median Sales Price

All Properties

+ 4.2%

Pending SalesClosed Sales

Page 2: Monthly Indicators - ShowingTimemarketstatsreports.showingtime.com/NJAR_yyf2q/NJAR_NCJAR_M… · Single Family Market Overview Townhouse-Condo Market Overview Adult Community Market

Single Family Market Overview

Key Metrics Historical Sparklines 10-2015 10-2016 Percent Change YTD 2015 YTD 2016 Percent Change

Data as of November 20, 2016. All data from the Garden State MLS and New Jersey MLS. The margin of error for numbers reported at the statewide level is +/- 4% at the 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2016 ShowingTime. | 2

--

Months Supply 8.1 5.6 - 30.9% -- -- --

Homes for Sale 12,647 10,098 - 20.2% -- --

- 2.6%

Affordability Index 133 132 - 0.8% 118 125 + 5.9%

Days on Market 81 76 - 6.2% 77 75

- 2.7%

Pct. of List Price Received 96.6% 97.4% + 0.8% 97.3% 97.4% + 0.1%

Avg. Sales Price $413,472 $428,397 + 3.6% $468,773 $455,907

+ 10.6%

Median Sales Price $337,000 $350,000 + 3.9% $380,000 $372,000 - 2.1%

Closed Sales 1,587 1,747 + 10.1% 15,759 17,433

Key metrics for Single Family Properties Only, excluding Manufactured Housing, for the report month and for year-to-date (YTD) starting from the first of the year.

31,594 - 0.2%

Pending Sales 1,606 1,826 + 13.7% 16,641 18,927 + 13.7%

31,645New Listings 2,641 2,468 - 6.6%

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

Page 3: Monthly Indicators - ShowingTimemarketstatsreports.showingtime.com/NJAR_yyf2q/NJAR_NCJAR_M… · Single Family Market Overview Townhouse-Condo Market Overview Adult Community Market

Townhouse-Condo Market Overview

Key Metrics Historical Sparklines 10-2015 10-2016 Percent Change YTD 2015 YTD 2016 Percent Change

6,225 - 3.0%

Pending Sales 374 429 + 14.7% 3,937 4,191 + 6.5%

6,418New Listings 605 451 - 25.5%

Closed Sales 418 423 + 1.2% 3,802 3,976 + 4.6%

- 1.9%

97.2%

$290,883 - 0.3%

Median Sales Price $237,250 $271,631 + 14.5% $260,000 $255,000

Avg. Sales Price $289,569 $295,680 + 2.1% $291,784

182

+ 0.2%

Days on Market 78 69 - 11.5% 73 69 - 5.5%

Pct. of List Price Received 96.0% 97.1% + 1.1% 97.0%

Affordability Index 189 171 - 9.5% 172

- 21.1% -- -- --

Key metrics for Townhouses and Condominiums Only for the report month and for year-to-date (YTD) starting from the first of the year.

--Months Supply 5.9 4.3 - 27.1% -- --

Data as of November 20, 2016. All data from the Garden State MLS and New Jersey MLS. The margin of error for numbers reported at the statewide level is +/- 4% at the 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2016 ShowingTime. | 3

+ 5.8%

Homes for Sale 2,205 1,740

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

Page 4: Monthly Indicators - ShowingTimemarketstatsreports.showingtime.com/NJAR_yyf2q/NJAR_NCJAR_M… · Single Family Market Overview Townhouse-Condo Market Overview Adult Community Market

Adult Community Market Overview

Key Metrics Historical Sparklines 10-2015 10-2016 Percent Change YTD 2015 YTD 2016 Percent Change

Key metrics for properties in Adult Communities Only for the report month and for year-to-date (YTD) starting from the first of the year.

659 + 7.3%

Pending Sales 46 39 - 15.2% 392 399 + 1.8%

614New Listings 51 63 + 23.5%

Closed Sales 55 44 - 20.0% 369 381 + 3.3%

- 0.3%

$365,733 + 1.9%

Median Sales Price $319,500 $317,500 - 0.6% $339,900 $339,000

Avg. Sales Price $331,482 $366,054 + 10.4% $358,966

+ 0.1%

Days on Market 85 73 - 14.1% 80 85 + 6.3%

Pct. of List Price Received 97.4% 98.3% + 0.9% 97.2% 97.3%

+ 3.8%

Homes for Sale 248 268 + 8.1% -- -- --

Affordability Index 140 146 + 4.3% 132 137

--Months Supply 7.0 7.1 + 1.4% -- --

Data as of November 20, 2016. All data from the Garden State MLS and New Jersey MLS. The margin of error for numbers reported at the statewide level is +/- 4% at the 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2016 ShowingTime. | 4

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

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New Listings

Historical New Listings by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

November 2015 1,865 439 49

December 2015 1,375 303 28

January 2016 2,263 507 52

February 2016 2,860 591 64

March 2016 3,978 743 83

April 2016 4,050 728 79

May 2016 3,776 699 61

June 2016 3,598 661 66

July 2016 2,872 616 63

August 2016 2,599 575 67

September 2016 3,130 654 61

October 2016 2,468 451 63

12-Month Avg. 2,903 581 61 Note: If no activity occurred during a month, no data point is shown and the line extends to the next available data point.

A count of the properties that have been newly listed on the market in a given month.

Data as of November 20, 2016. All data from the Garden State MLS and New Jersey MLS. The margin of error for numbers reported at the statewide level is +/- 4% at the 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2016 ShowingTime. | 5

2,648

549

48

2,641

605

51

2,468

451

63

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

October

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

29,122

5,967

562

31,645

6,418

614

31,594

6,225

659

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

Year to Date

2014 2015 2016

- 25.5%+ 10.2%- 6.6%- 0.3% + 7.6%- 0.2%+ 8.7% - 3.0%

2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016

+ 9.2% + 7.7% + 4.1%+ 2.4% + 23.5%+ 6.3%2014 2015 2016

+ 45.5% + 7.3%+ 9.3%2014 2015 2016

+ 8.5%

Page 6: Monthly Indicators - ShowingTimemarketstatsreports.showingtime.com/NJAR_yyf2q/NJAR_NCJAR_M… · Single Family Market Overview Townhouse-Condo Market Overview Adult Community Market

Pending Sales

Historical Pending Sales by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

November 2015 1,347 319 21

December 2015 1,232 317 31

January 2016 1,134 312 25

February 2016 1,517 378 24

March 2016 2,039 429 45

April 2016 2,164 511 46

May 2016 2,223 467 50

June 2016 2,208 454 39

July 2016 1,952 387 49

August 2016 1,968 423 41

September 2016 1,896 401 41

October 2016 1,826 429 39

12-Month Avg. 1,792 402 38 Note: If no activity occurred during a month, no data point is shown and the line extends to the next available data point.

Data as of November 20, 2016. All data from the Garden State MLS and New Jersey MLS. The margin of error for numbers reported at the statewide level is +/- 4% at the 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2016 ShowingTime. | 6

A count of the properties on which offers have been accepted in a given month.

1,567

384

43

1,606

374

46

1,826

429

39

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

October

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

14,726

3,663

351

16,641

3,937

392

18,927

4,191

399

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

Year to Date

2014 2015 2016

+ 14.7%- 2.6%+ 13.7%+ 2.5% + 7.5%+ 13.7%+ 13.0% + 6.5%

2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016

+ 5.2% - 2.4% + 0.2%+ 1.9% - 15.2%+ 7.0%2014 2015 2016

+ 16.2% + 1.8%+ 11.7%2014 2015 2016

- 5.6%

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Closed Sales

Historical Closed Sales by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

November 2015 1,334 293 25

December 2015 1,711 402 40

January 2016 1,195 284 15

February 2016 1,047 264 25

March 2016 1,315 351 36

April 2016 1,549 388 32

May 2016 1,695 419 40

June 2016 2,354 517 42

July 2016 2,233 460 48

August 2016 2,376 476 56

September 2016 1,922 394 43

October 2016 1,747 423 44

12-Month Avg. 1,707 389 37 Note: If no activity occurred during a month, no data point is shown and the line extends to the next available data point.

Data as of November 20, 2016. All data from the Garden State MLS and New Jersey MLS. The margin of error for numbers reported at the statewide level is +/- 4% at the 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2016 ShowingTime. | 7

A count of the actual sales that closed in a given month.

1,531

393

34

1,587

418

55

1,747

423

44

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

October

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

13,883

3,569

348

15,759

3,802

369

17,433

3,976

381

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

Year to Date

2014 2015 2016

+ 1.2%+ 6.4%+ 10.1%+ 3.7% + 6.5%+ 10.6%+ 13.5% + 4.6%

2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016

+ 9.0% - 3.6% + 3.1%+ 7.4% - 20.0%+ 61.8%2014 2015 2016

- 15.0% + 3.3%+ 6.0%2014 2015 2016

0.0%

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Median Sales Price

Historical Median Sales Price by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

November 2015 $340,000 $253,000 $344,000

December 2015 $347,750 $248,000 $317,500

January 2016 $322,500 $245,000 $337,000

February 2016 $315,000 $247,750 $319,000

March 2016 $322,700 $250,000 $340,000

April 2016 $348,500 $252,000 $339,000

May 2016 $375,000 $265,000 $340,000

June 2016 $412,000 $259,500 $316,750

July 2016 $410,000 $245,000 $326,000

August 2016 $410,000 $260,000 $357,450

September 2016 $360,000 $260,000 $347,900

October 2016 $350,000 $271,631 $317,500

12-Month Med.* $368,000 $255,000 $335,000 Note: If no activity occurred during a month, no data point is shown and the line extends to the next available data point.

Point at which half of the sales sold for more and half sold for less, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.

Data as of November 20, 2016. All data from the Garden State MLS and New Jersey MLS. The margin of error for numbers reported at the statewide level is +/- 4% at the 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2016 ShowingTime. | 8

* Median Sales Price for all properties from November 2015 through October 2016. This is not the average of the individual figures above.

$350,000

$265,000 $254,500

$337,000

$237,250

$319,500

$350,000

$271,631

$317,500

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

October

$100,000

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

$500,000

1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

$380,000

$260,000

$310,000

$380,000

$260,000

$339,900

$372,000

$255,000

$339,000

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

Year to Date

2014 2015 2016

+ 14.5%- 10.5%+ 3.9%- 3.7% 0.0%- 2.1%0.0% - 1.9%

2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016

- 0.2% - 1.3% + 2.4%+ 2.1% - 0.6%+ 25.5%2014 2015 2016

- 29.6% - 0.3%+ 9.6%2014 2015 2016

+ 4.5%

Page 9: Monthly Indicators - ShowingTimemarketstatsreports.showingtime.com/NJAR_yyf2q/NJAR_NCJAR_M… · Single Family Market Overview Townhouse-Condo Market Overview Adult Community Market

Average Sales Price

Historical Average Sales Price by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

November 2015 $422,183 $290,126 $368,848

December 2015 $437,476 $283,474 $351,565

January 2016 $402,897 $275,763 $480,060

February 2016 $392,280 $280,174 $330,863

March 2016 $404,043 $275,010 $374,440

April 2016 $440,192 $281,649 $339,922

May 2016 $466,065 $309,457 $354,944

June 2016 $495,960 $298,356 $347,998

July 2016 $491,313 $286,581 $353,569

August 2016 $504,723 $302,049 $395,760

September 2016 $436,914 $288,932 $359,546

October 2016 $428,397 $295,680 $366,054

12-Month Avg.* $452,173 $290,197 $364,637 Note: If no activity occurred during a month, no data point is shown and the line extends to the next available data point.

Average sales price for all closed sales, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.

Data as of November 20, 2016. All data from the Garden State MLS and New Jersey MLS. The margin of error for numbers reported at the statewide level is +/- 4% at the 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2016 ShowingTime. | 9

* Avg. Sales Price for all properties from November 2015 through October 2016. This is not the average of the individual figures above.

$414,784

$296,585 $296,258

$413,472

$289,569

$331,482

$428,397

$295,680

$366,054

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

October

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

$500,000

$600,000

1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

$470,410

$296,733

$344,646

$468,773

$291,784

$358,966

$455,907

$290,883

$365,733

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

Year to Date

2014 2015 2016

+ 2.1%- 2.4%+ 3.6%- 0.3% - 1.7%- 2.7%- 0.3% - 0.3%

2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016

- 3.8% + 0.3% + 3.1%+ 1.3% + 10.4%+ 11.9%2014 2015 2016

- 25.1% + 1.9%+ 4.2%2014 2015 2016

- 1.3%

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Percent of List Price Received

Historical Percent of List Price Received by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

November 2015 96.4% 97.1% 97.6%

December 2015 96.6% 96.6% 96.8%

January 2016 96.6% 97.7% 97.5%

February 2016 96.4% 96.7% 98.8%

March 2016 96.6% 97.0% 96.1%

April 2016 96.8% 96.8% 96.6%

May 2016 97.5% 97.4% 97.2%

June 2016 97.9% 97.1% 97.5%

July 2016 98.4% 97.3% 96.8%

August 2016 98.0% 97.2% 97.1%

September 2016 97.2% 97.3% 97.6%

October 2016 97.4% 97.1% 98.3%

12-Month Avg.* 97.3% 97.1% 97.3% Note: If no activity occurred during a month, no data point is shown and the line extends to the next available data point.

Percentage found when dividing a property’s sales price by its most recent list price, then taking the average for all properties sold in a given month, not accounting for seller concessions.

Data as of November 20, 2016. All data from the Garden State MLS and New Jersey MLS. The margin of error for numbers reported at the statewide level is +/- 4% at the 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2016 ShowingTime. | 10

* Pct. of List Price Received for all properties from November 2015 through October 2016. This is not the average of the individual figures above.

96.4%97.0%

96.1%96.6%

96.0%

97.4%97.4% 97.1%

98.3%

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

October

92.0%

93.0%

94.0%

95.0%

96.0%

97.0%

98.0%

99.0%

1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

97.0% 97.2% 96.8%97.3% 97.0% 97.2%97.4% 97.2% 97.3%

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

Year to Date

2014 2015 2016

+ 1.1%- 1.0%+ 0.8%+ 0.2% - 0.2%+ 0.1%+ 0.3% + 0.2%

2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016

+ 0.3% + 0.5% + 0.7%+ 0.4% + 0.9%+ 1.4%2014 2015 2016

- 2.3% + 0.1%+ 0.4%2014 2015 2016

+ 0.2%

Page 11: Monthly Indicators - ShowingTimemarketstatsreports.showingtime.com/NJAR_yyf2q/NJAR_NCJAR_M… · Single Family Market Overview Townhouse-Condo Market Overview Adult Community Market

Days on Market Until Sale

Historical Days on Market Until Sale by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

November 2015 80 68 66

December 2015 85 75 74

January 2016 90 84 90

February 2016 92 84 91

March 2016 98 80 96

April 2016 82 75 76

May 2016 74 66 73

June 2016 68 59 69

July 2016 61 58 86

August 2016 67 63 104

September 2016 73 65 91

October 2016 76 69 73

12-Month Avg.* 77 69 83 Note: If no activity occurred during a month, no data point is shown and the line extends to the next available data point.

Average number of days between when a property is listed and when an offer is accepted in a given month.

Data as of November 20, 2016. All data from the Garden State MLS and New Jersey MLS. The margin of error for numbers reported at the statewide level is +/- 4% at the 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2016 ShowingTime. | 11

* Days on Market for all properties from November 2015 through October 2016. This is not the average of the individual figures above.

86

72

90

8178

85

7669

73

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

October

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

8075

86

7773

8075

69

85

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

Year to Date

2014 2015 2016

- 11.5%+ 8.3%- 6.2%- 5.8% - 2.7%- 2.6%- 3.8% - 5.5%

2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016

- 4.4% - 9.1% - 12.8%- 12.2% - 14.1%- 5.6%2014 2015 2016

- 4.3% + 6.3%- 7.0%2014 2015 2016

- 18.1%

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Housing Affordability Index

Historical Housing Affordability Index by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

November 2015 131 175 129

December 2015 128 180 140

January 2016 137 181 131

February 2016 145 185 143

March 2016 141 181 133

April 2016 131 181 134

May 2016 122 172 134

June 2016 112 179 146

July 2016 113 189 142

August 2016 113 178 130

September 2016 129 178 133

October 2016 132 171 146

12-Month Avg.* 128 179 137 Note: If no activity occurred during a month, no data point is shown and the line extends to the next available data point.

Data as of November 20, 2016. All data from the Garden State MLS and New Jersey MLS. The margin of error for numbers reported at the statewide level is +/- 4% at the 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2016 ShowingTime. | 12

This index measures housing affordability for the region. For example, an index of 120 means the median household income is 120% of what is necessary to qualify for the median-priced home under prevailing interest rates. A higher number means greater affordability.

* Affordability Index for all properties from November 2015 through October 2016. This is not the average of the individual figures above.

121

160 167

133

189

140132

171

146

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

October

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

112

163

137

118

172

132125

182

137

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

Year to Date

2014 2015 2016

- 9.5%+ 18.1%- 0.8%+ 9.9% + 5.5%+ 5.9%+ 5.4% + 5.8%

2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016

+ 1.7% + 3.7% - 0.6%- 0.6% + 4.3%- 16.2%2014 2015 2016

+ 44.0% + 3.8%- 3.6%2014 2015 2016

- 2.8%

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Inventory of Homes for Sale

Historical Inventory of Homes for Sale by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

November 2015 11,685 2,110 261

December 2015 10,082 1,819 221

January 2016 10,019 1,811 230

February 2016 10,312 1,833 253

March 2016 11,110 1,945 273

April 2016 11,872 2,000 292

May 2016 12,258 2,020 283

June 2016 12,334 2,011 282

July 2016 11,983 2,035 280

August 2016 11,241 1,931 290

September 2016 10,938 1,955 275

October 2016 10,098 1,740 268

12-Month Avg. 11,161 1,934 267 Note: If no activity occurred during a month, no data point is shown and the line extends to the next available data point.

The number of properties available for sale in active status at the end of a given month.

Data as of November 20, 2016. All data from the Garden State MLS and New Jersey MLS. The margin of error for numbers reported at the statewide level is +/- 4% at the 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2016 ShowingTime. | 13

12,554

2,164

213

12,647

2,205

248

10,098

1,740268

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

October

0

2,500

5,000

7,500

10,000

12,500

15,000

17,500

1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

2014 2015 2016- 21.1%+ 1.9%- 20.2%+ 0.7%

2014 2015 2016+ 9.6% + 3.9% + 8.1%+ 16.4%

2014 2015 2016+ 13.9%

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Months Supply of Inventory

Historical Months Supply of Inventory by Month Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

November 2015 7.4 5.6 7.3

December 2015 6.3 4.8 6.0

January 2016 6.2 4.7 6.2

February 2016 6.3 4.7 6.8

March 2016 6.6 4.9 7.2

April 2016 7.0 5.0 7.6

May 2016 7.2 5.1 7.4

June 2016 7.2 5.1 7.6

July 2016 7.0 5.2 7.6

August 2016 6.4 4.9 7.8

September 2016 6.2 4.9 7.2

October 2016 5.6 4.3 7.1

12-Month Avg.* 6.6 4.9 7.1 Note: If no activity occurred during a month, no data point is shown and the line extends to the next available data point.

The inventory of homes for sale at the end of a given month, divided by the average monthly pending sales from the last 12 months.

Data as of November 20, 2016. All data from the Garden State MLS and New Jersey MLS. The margin of error for numbers reported at the statewide level is +/- 4% at the 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2016 ShowingTime. | 14

* Months Supply for all properties from November 2015 through October 2016. This is not the average of the individual figures above.

9.0

6.2 6.5

8.1

5.97.0

5.64.3

7.1

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

October

0

5

10

15

20

1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016

Single Family Townhouse-Condo Adult Communities

2014 2015 2016- 27.1%- 4.8%- 30.9%- 10.0%

2014 2015 2016+ 9.8% + 1.6% + 1.4%+ 7.7%

2014 2015 2016+ 20.4%

Page 15: Monthly Indicators - ShowingTimemarketstatsreports.showingtime.com/NJAR_yyf2q/NJAR_NCJAR_M… · Single Family Market Overview Townhouse-Condo Market Overview Adult Community Market

Total Market Overview

Key Metrics Historical Sparklines 10-2015 10-2016 Percent Change YTD 2015 YTD 2016 Percent Change

--Months Supply 7.6 5.4 - 28.9% -- --

Data as of November 20, 2016. All data from the Garden State MLS and New Jersey MLS. The margin of error for numbers reported at the statewide level is +/- 4% at the 95% confidence level. Provided by New Jersey REALTORS®. Report © 2016 ShowingTime. | 15

+ 5.5%

Homes for Sale 15,100 12,106 - 19.8% -- -- --

Affordability Index 141 140 - 0.7% 128 135

+ 0.2%

Days on Market 81 75 - 7.4% 76 74 - 2.6%

Pct. of List Price Received 96.5% 97.4% + 0.9% 97.2% 97.4%

$424,218 - 2.0%

Median Sales Price $316,750 $330,000 + 4.2% $350,000 $342,500

Avg. Sales Price $386,062 $401,802 + 4.1% $432,928

19,930 21,790 + 9.3%

- 2.1%

- 9.6%

Closed Sales 2,060 2,214 + 7.5%

Key metrics for single-family properties, townhouses, condominiums and properties in adult communities combined, for the report month and for year-to-date (YTD) starting from the first of the year.

38,478 - 0.5%

Pending Sales 2,026 2,294 + 13.2% 20,970 23,517 + 12.1%

38,677New Listings 3,297 2,982

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016

10-2013 10-2014 10-2015 10-2016