Modelling UK digital communications

ModellingUKDigitalCommunica3ons

IntroductoryOverview

[email protected]

ThreeKeyAims

Currentapproach

Data

Required analytics and applications

OurSharedAmbi3on

Totransforminfrastructureinvestmentdecision-making

MISTRAL:Mul3-scaleInfraSTRucturesystemsAnaLy3cs

ModellingandAnalysisofUKandGlobalInfrastructureTransi9ons

Energy|Transport|DigitalCommunica9ons|Water|Waste

Consor9umLeader–ProfessorJimHall(Oxford)

•  SupportfromEPSRC~£5million

•  Universitycontribu3ons~£1million

•  Industrycontribu3ons~£2million

ProfessorPeterTyler

DrDavidCleevely

DrEdwardOughton

Oursponsorsandpartners:

TheCambridgeDigitalCommunica3onsTeam

TheCambridgeCommunica3onsAssessmentModel

Scenarios

CoverageandCapacityData

NetworkModels

VisualisedSpa9alRollout

CapexandOpexInforma9on

NetworkPerformanceMetrics

Strategies

InfrastructureViability

1)Capacity-demandand2)risk,vulnerabilityandresilience

GeneralModellingApproach:‘Geotyping’

London Ci3es

Suburbia Rural

Geotypes:Similardemandandnetworkproper>es

GeotypesDrivenbyDemographicScenarios…

Capturespopula>onandpremiseschangeover>me

TechnologyDeploymentStrategies

3-SectoredMacrocellTower FTTdp/FTTH/FTTPDeployment

SmallCellDeployment SatelliteDeployment

Networkdimensioning:(i)Fixedand(ii)mobile/wireless

NetworkModels

Es>ma>ngthenetworkstructuretoimprovecostes>mates

NetworkModels

Mobileassetscanberoutedintothissynthe>cfixednetwork

InfrastructureDeploymentCostsUnitcostsofdeployment

InfrastructureDeploymentCostsUnitcostsofdeployment Temporalcosttrends

InfrastructureDeploymentCostsUnitcostsofdeployment Temporalcosttrends

Capex,opexandTotalCostofOwnership

InfrastructureViability

Thisinforma>ondirectstherolloutstrategies

TechnologyAdop3onRate

BehaviouralDeploymentStrategies

Bestrevenuegenera3onfirst?

Highestgrowthpoten3alfirst?

Mosteasytodeployfirst

Tes>ngdifferentrolloutstrategies


Examinetheperformanceofinfrastructureover>me

Baseline50Mbpsrollout,2x2networks

Ubiquitous10Mbpsrollout,2x2networks Baseline50Mbps


www.thinkbroadband.com

ModellingApproach

Geotypesegmenta9on

Deployedassettechnology-  Exchange-  Cabinet-  Basesta3on

Postcodesectors-  Popula3on-  Area-  SiteDensity

Dataandscenarios

ModellingApproach


Geotypesegmenta9on



G.fastFTTdp-Street/

FTTdp-Building

Technicalinputs-  Networkconfigura3on-  Technology

performance-  Distanceinforma3on-  Propaga3onmodel-  Overbookingfactor

FTTH/FTTP

Spectrumintegra9on

Networkdensifica9on

Spectralefficiencygains

Dataandscenarios

ModellingApproach


Geotypesegmenta9on



G.fastFTTdp-Street/

FTTdp-Building



Costmodel

-  Investmentcostsbypremises,postcodesector,LA,region,urban/rural

Assetcosts-  Unitcosts-  Timetrends-  Capex,OpexandTotal

CostofOwnership

FTTH/FTTP

Spectrumintegra9on

Networkdensifica9on

Spectralefficiencygains

Dataandscenarios

ModellingApproach


Geotypesegmenta9on



G.fastFTTdp-Street/

FTTdp-Building

ExploratoryParameters

Annualcapitalintensity



Costmodel



CostofOwnership

Co-investmentAgreements

End-userspeedFTTH/FTTP

Spectrumintegra9on

Networkdensifica9on

SpectralefficiencygainsInfrastructuresharing

Dataandscenarios

‘What-if’?

Coverageobliga3onsUniversalServiceObliga3on

Demand-sides3mulusPublic-sectorfibredeployment

Radicalspectrumreform

ModellingApproach


Geotypesegmenta9on



G.fastFTTdp-Street/

FTTdp-Building

ExploratoryParameters

Annualcapitalintensity



Costmodel


Results

Spa9al,temporalandeconomicbreakdownofresults


CostofOwnership

Co-investmentAgreements

End-userspeedFTTH/FTTP

Spectrumintegra9on

Networkdensifica9on

SpectralefficiencygainsInfrastructuresharing

Dataandscenarios

Coverage Capacity Energydemand

‘What-if’?

Coverageobliga3onsUniversalServiceObliga3on

Demand-sides3mulusPublic-sectorfibredeployment

Radicalspectrumreform

Interdependencies

Data

Wecoulddomoreresearchwithmoredata!

RequiredAnaly3csandApplica3ons

Whatanaly3csarerequiredandbywhom?

ThreeKeyAims

Currentapproach

Data

Required analytics and applications

Ques3ons

1.  Arewetakingtherightapproach?2.  Arewemissinganything?3.  Canyouhelpwithdata?4.  Whatanaly3csareactuallyrequired?5.  Whomightusethisresearch?6.  Wouldyourorganisa3onbeinterestedinpartnering?

Contact:[email protected]

Modelling UK digital communications

Technology

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