Executive Forum on Modeling & Simulation 200131 May 2001

Executive Forum on Modeling & Simulation 200131 May 2001

PRESENTER

RICHARD W. SPINRAD, PhD.TECHNICAL DIRECTOR

OFFICE OF THE OCEANOGRAPHER OF THE NAVY

OCEAN EXECUTIVE AGENT

PRESENTER

RICHARD W. SPINRAD, PhD.TECHNICAL DIRECTOR

OFFICE OF THE OCEANOGRAPHER OF THE NAVY

OCEAN EXECUTIVE AGENT

Modeling & SimulationExecutive Agent Panel Modeling & SimulationExecutive Agent Panel

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1. REPORT DATE (DD-MM-YYYY)30-05-2001

2. REPORT TYPEBriefing

3. DATES COVERED (FROM - TO)xx-xx-2001 to xx-xx-2001

4. TITLE AND SUBTITLEModeling & Simulation Executive Agent PanelUnclassified

5a. CONTRACT NUMBER5b. GRANT NUMBER5c. PROGRAM ELEMENT NUMBER

6. AUTHOR(S)Spinrad, Richard W. ;

5d. PROJECT NUMBER5e. TASK NUMBER5f. WORK UNIT NUMBER

7. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESSOffice of the Oceanographer of the Navyxxxxx, xxxxxxx

8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORTNUMBER

9. SPONSORING/MONITORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESSUnited States Department of DefenseDefense Modeling and Simulation Office1901 N. Beauregard St., Suite 500Alexandria, VA22311-1705

10. SPONSOR/MONITOR'S ACRONYM(S)11. SPONSOR/MONITOR'S REPORTNUMBER(S)

12. DISTRIBUTION/AVAILABILITY STATEMENTAPUBLIC RELEASE,13. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES14. ABSTRACTThree Primary Mission Areas ? Safety of the Fleet and the Navy Shore Establishment ? Application of Meteorology and Oceanography(METOC) to optimizing performance of Navy Platforms, Weapon Systems, and Sensors ? Application of Geospatial Information and Services(GI&S) and Precise Time and Astrometry (PTA) Data to Navigation, Communications, and Targeting Systems15. SUBJECT TERMS16. SECURITY CLASSIFICATION OF: 17. LIMITATION

OF ABSTRACTPublic Release

18.NUMBEROF PAGES29

19. NAME OF RESPONSIBLE PERSONFenster, Lynnlfenster@dtic.mil

a. REPORTUnclassified

b. ABSTRACTUnclassified

c. THIS PAGEUnclassified

19b. TELEPHONE NUMBERInternational Area CodeArea Code Telephone Number703767-9007DSN427-9007

Standard Form 298 (Rev. 8-98)Prescribed by ANSI Std Z39.18

Three Primary Mission Areas

• Safety of the Fleet and the Navy ShoreEstablishment

• Application of Meteorology and Oceanography(METOC) to optimizing performanceof Navy Platforms, Weapon Systems,and Sensors

• Application of Geospatial Informationand Services (GI&S) and Precise Timeand Astrometry (PTA) Datato Navigation, Communications,and Targeting Systems

Assets:Almost 3300 Total End Strength8 Military Survey Ships9 Major ActivitiesAlmost $400M Total Resources$36M R&D (6.4 & 6.5)

Top of theAtmosphere

Sea Floor

Global< 0.4%

Navy TOA

< 0.4%

Navy TOA

Community Size & Scope

METOC Concepts

• Overarching Theme:• Network-Centric METOC Operations

• Common METOC Picture• 4-D Cube supporting COP/CTP

• Collection of METOC Data in Denied Areas• Rapid Environmental Assessment (REA)• Through the Sensor Data Collection

On sceneprocessing &delivery

Thru TheSensor Data

Dedicatedsensors

The 4-D “Cube”

Space (Astrometry)Space (Astrometry)& Time& Time

Feature Foundation Data(Static Characterization)

ImageryImagery

TerrainTerrain

Nav Nav DataData

OceanOceanCharacterizationCharacterization

AtmosphereAtmosphereCharacterizationCharacterization

NIM

AN

IMA

Navy

Navy

METOC Center

Dynamic Nowcast/Forecast

CommonOperational

Picture

WeaponSystems

MissionPlanningSystems

DataManagement

4-DCUBE

Force andThreat Data

Multi-MissionSupport Ship(Future)

MilitarySurvey Ships(Existing)

Rapid Environmental Assessment

Our Goal

As stated in the Navy’s M&S Master Plan:

“Ensure that authoritative representations ofthe ocean environment are defined andaccessible to the DoD M&S analysis,acquisition, and training communities.”

MSEA Role

• Facilitator in the project startup phase

• Catalyst during development

• Certifier in the capability delivery/migration

phase of a simulation.

CNO

N096

N6M CNMOC

FNMOC NAVO Centers

ONR/NRL

SPAWAR PMW 155

N6

DMSO

Our Extended M&S Organization

MSEA (Air & Space)

NWC/NWDC

MSEA (Terrain)

DoN

Policy

Requirements

FleetSupport

DoDM&S

INE

EnvironmentalServers

Ocean Models&

Databases

R&DProgramOperations

Operational Concept

(MEL)

Master Environmental Library(MEL)

Challenge: Facilitate discovery, access, subscription, and delivery of environmentalinformati on, products, and data wherever they are stored.

Naval Oceanographic Office

Data in standard transferformat

User Site

WWWInterface

Query Reply

uu

Metadataproducts

Order

ConfirmationAccess Sites u u

u

u u

uu u

Autonomous ResourceSites

http://mel.dmso.mil

Query

Ocean and AtmosphericMaster Library

• Navy Standard library of models, algorithms and databasesfor use in operational METOC prediction systems.

• 59 configure-managed items are available:• 19 Data Bases• 33 Models• 7 Algorithms

• 34 more approved for development

• Independent model and database V&V panels

OCEAN MODELSMODAS 1.0Naval Search and Rescue 1.0Surf Prediction 3.0Shallow Water REF/DIF 1.0

OCEAN DATA BASESGDEM PROV. 4.0ICECAP 2.0Historical Temporal Shipping-V 1.1GDEM-V 2.5GDEM-Province 4.0

SENSOR SPECIFIC DATA BASESVLAD NOISE GAIN 2.0

GI&S PRODUCTS (Digital Bathy)DBDB-V Ver 3.0

ACOUSTIC MODELSParabolic Equation 5.0ASTRAL 5.0ASPM 4.3Gaussian Ray Bundle 1.0High Freq Env Acoustic (HFEVA) 1.0COLOSSUS II 1.0Low Freq Bottom LOSS 2.4 (LFBLTAB)Surface LOSS 2.0System LOSS 1.0Active LOSS 2.0CASTAR 1.0CASS 3.0 ACOUSTIC DATA BASESHigh Freq BL 2.1Low Freq BL 9.1Consolidated BLUG 1.1

Vol Scattering Strength 6.2Wind & Residual Noise 2.1Shipping Noise 5.2

OAML Library ItemsOAML Library ItemsRepresentational List from Oct 2000

ATMOSPHERIC DATABASESHEPC 1.0UAGC 1.1GTCT 1.0NHECT 1.0SMGC 1.0

ALGORITHMSSLAC 3.0Wilson Sound Speed 1.0TEMP/UTIL 1.0D-Values 1.0PADA 1.0Surface Scattering Strength 1.0

ATMOSPHERIC MODELSMUF 1.1LUF 1.1EDH 1.0RFSDR 1.0CLUTTER 1.1STD EM PROP. 1.0SSR 1.0RADFO 1.0FLIR 2.0CHAFF TRAJ. 1.0CHAFF DISP. 1.0METBAL 1.0RPO 1.16RIA 1.0MVOI 1.0VLSTRACK 2.0

Representational List from Oct 2000OAML Library ItemsOAML Library Items

M&S Issues

• Rapid Data Assimilation in M&S

• Surf models for shallow water specialoperations

• A nesting of ocean-related models andproducts

• Timely demonstrations to assessprogress/effectiveness

Remote Sensors

Global Data Fusion

NAVOCEANO

• MCSST & Altimetry• Air, Buoy, & Ship XBTs• Through-the-Sensor

METOC Centers

Regional Fusion &TailoredOperational SupportLocal XBT Measurements

Compressed Oceanographic Data

Rapid Data Assimilation in M&S(Same as for Operations)

Integrated Wave to Surf Modeling

ADCIRC or PCTIDES (fixed) (relocatable)

COAMPS

Beach Profile Data

ADCIRC17

WIND-DRIVENTIDES

WAVE MODELS Bathymetry

SURF FORECASTS(TEXT, GIFS)

Deep-waterWave Spectra

Ref

ract

edW

ave

Spec

tra

WAVE REFRACTIONMODEL (REF/DIF1)

BEACH 1BEACH 2

BEACH 3

Wind Stress

WindStress

SURF3.0

Beach Profiles

•Navy SEAL Team Survey•Constant slope•Sediment-based•REA (SHOALS etc.)•Blended

Shallow-WaterDirectional Wave Spectra

• STWAVE• REFDIF

Tides

• ADCIRC• PC-TIDES• Tide Tables

Winds• COAMPS• Other SURF 3.0 OUTPUT:

•Significant wave height•Significant breaker height•Peak period, Breaker period•Breaker Type:

•Spilling•Plunging•Surging

•Breaker Angle•Surf Zone Width•Longshore Current•Modified Surf Index

Distributed Integrated OceanPrediction System (DIOPS 1.0)

Telescoping StrategyGlobal/Mesoscale/Tactical/Nowcast Scales

TAMS/RT (6.4) / (DAMPS):• On-scene tactical data assimilation• COAMPS, METOC database, GUI• Tactical weather; 0-48h guidance

TAMS/RT (6.4) / (DAMPS):• On-scene tactical data assimilation• COAMPS, METOC database, GUI• Tactical weather; 0-48h guidance

COAMPS:• FNMOC nonhydrostatic model, <9 km/L30• Globally relocatable; Data assimilation• Explicit moist physics; 0-72h guidance• Provides boundary conditions for on-scene

COAMPS coarse mesh

COAMPS:• FNMOC nonhydrostatic model, <9 km/L30• Globally relocatable; Data assimilation• Explicit moist physics; 0-72h guidance• Provides boundary conditions for on-scene

COAMPS coarse mesh

NOWCAST (6.2):• Battlegroup mesonet concept• Fuse observations and model output• Common battlespace environment• Tactical end users; 0-6h guidance

NOWCAST (6.2):• Battlegroup mesonet concept• Fuse observations and model output• Common battlespace environment• Tactical end users; 0-6h guidance

NOGAPS:• FNMOC spectral model, T239/L36*• Data assimilation; 0-10 day guidance• Provides boundary conditions for

COAMPS coarse mesh

* Scheduled for FY02

NOGAPS:• FNMOC spectral model, T239/L36*• Data assimilation; 0-10 day guidance• Provides boundary conditions for

COAMPS coarse mesh

* Scheduled for FY02

Nesting of Ocean-relatedModels and Products

NWDC M&S Objective

To create a condition/state where novel conceptsinvolving C2 architectures, organizations, andtechnologies can be end-to-end and repeatedlystimulated in a robust and scalable manner forFBEs and Laboratory Experiments.

Directly relates to the direction, management of information flow to critical nodes of war fighting decision makers

Timely Demonstrations toTest Progress

Los Angeles

Ft Irwin

Nellis

29 PalmsPoint Mugu

Monterey

China Lake

Edwards

SanNicholas

Sea Ranges

Land Ranges

Vandenberg

LasVegas

• Set Conditions• Establish Access• Conduct Initial Strikes & Joint Tactical Actions• Sustain• Achieve Dimensional /

Time-definite Superiority

FBE Concept of OperationsFBE Concept of Operations

Assessing Model Effectiveness

•A Problem of Time: Refresh rates.–Littoral Ocean Regions are characterized by long and short term

factors, but unlike the deep water, short term effects are moresignificant

•A Problem of Space–Rapid changes in bottom slopes create the need for non-uniform grids

Gulf of MexicoAug 29 to Sept 3, 1999

Sound Speed

QJR 103

OPAREA 3

ITA Box Inner

Ocean Sensitivity Study

Effectiveness of M&S

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

1 2 3 4 5

Day

Tar

gets

Des

troy

edPerfect WeatherPerfect ForecastGood ForecastPoor ForecastPlan 1Plan 2Plan 3

• Developed weather pattern – clouds, ceiling, visibility, precip, temp.• Modeled weather, impact on flights & available targets.• Results: targets destroyed and risk to aircraft.

• Developed weather pattern – clouds, ceiling, visibility, precip, temp.• Modeled weather, impact on flights & available targets.• Results: targets destroyed and risk to aircraft.

Environmental ImpactTargets Destroyed

The Way Ahead in Ocean M&S

• Display technologies

• Sensitivity to the environment• Sensitivity studies

• Impact studies and products

• Data acquisition

• Resolution• Space and time

Industry’s Role

• Rapid Environmental Assessment

• Sensor Development / Integration

• Through the Sensor Technologies

• Information Fusion

Contact Information

TechnicalEd Weitzner202-762-0264weitzner.edward@hq.navy.mil

PolicyTom Cuff202-762-0251cuff.thomas@hq.navy.mil

Back Up Slides

Through the Sensor Data Collection

SABLE currently processes recorded active sonar returns from the AN/SQS-53C sonar.

SignalConditioner Beamformer

Ship and Sonar StatusShip’s Recorder

HullArray

Database Filtering Reverberation Scattering Strength