Modeling Causality of Mean and Variance between Sets of Signals

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ling Causality of Mean and Vari between Sets of Signals Syed Ashrafulla February 3, 2012

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Modeling Causality of Mean and Variance between Sets of Signals. Syed Ashrafulla February 3, 2012. Causality: Models and Methods. Agriculture Phillipines. EPA. Granger1969, Econometrica. NASA. All over Albany. Model: autoregression with conditional heteroscedasticity. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Modeling Causality of Mean and Variance between Sets of Signals

Page 1: Modeling Causality of Mean and Variance between Sets of Signals

Modeling Causality of Mean and Variancebetween Sets of Signals

Syed AshrafullaFebruary 3, 2012

Page 2: Modeling Causality of Mean and Variance between Sets of Signals

Causality: Models and Methods

NASA

EPA

All over Albany

Agriculture Phillipines

Causality in Mean Causality in Variance change in the mean when given the past change in the variance when given the past

Model: autoregression with conditional heteroscedasticity

Sims1972, Amer Eco Rev Engle1985, Econ Th

Hafner2008, Econ Anal of StatGeweke1982, J Amer Stat Assoc

Granger1969, Econometrica

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Canonical Granger Causality

Granger causality

• Why regional causality?• Sensitivity• Cross-talk• Long-range

• Why canonical?• Fewer parameters• Signals of interest

Optimization

• Nonlinear conjugate gradient descent

Ashrafulla2012, Proc IEEE ISBI

Ashrafulla2013, in process

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Application: Visuomotor Processing

Stimuli

Line Diamond

Response

NoGO GO

• Causality during task

• Difference between stimuli

• Difference between stimuli

• CGC finds significant task & stimulus differences.Ashrafulla2012, Biomag

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AcknowledgementsThis work was funded under the NIBIB T32EB00438 Bioinformatics Training Program and NIH grants R01EB009048 and

R01 5R01EB000473.