Mobility 2045 Update

Surface Transportation Technical CommitteeFebruary 23, 2018

Agenda Review

3

Agenda

1. Roadway Recommendations2. Public Transportation Recommendations3. Draft Financial Plan4. Selected Recommended Policies5. Public Meeting Comments6. Schedule and Next Steps

Roadway Recommendations

5

Roadway Recommendations MapMajor Roadway Recommendations

6

Asset Optimization MapAsset Optimization Recommendations

7

Arterial Recommendations Map

8

Arterial Capacity Improvements

8

Priced Facilities MapPriced Facility Recommendations

9

Controlled Access MapFreeway Recommendations

10

Roadway Recommendations MapMajor Roadway Recommendations

Project Recommendation

Tables Are Available

11

Illustrative Roadway Corridorsfor Future ConsiderationRoadway Corridors for Future Evaluation

12

Additional Plan ComponentsSustainable DevelopmentBicycle and Pedestrian FacilitiesPeople MoversFreightAviationTransportation Demand ManagementTransportation System ManagementTransportation System Safety and Security

13

Additional Plan ComponentsEnvironmental ConsiderationsNatural Environment – Extreme Weather ResiliencyEnvironmental Justice

High-Speed RailSocial ConsiderationsFinancial PlanTechnologyPoliciesProgramsPublic Transportation

Public Transportation Recommendations

15

Mobility 2045 Transit Programs

• High-speed rail, intercity bus, intercity train, next generation magnetic levitation

State and National Transit Connections Program

• High-intensity bus, guaranteed transit, stacked commuter rail, regional rail, light rail

Regional Connections: Next Generation Transit Program

• People mover and goods movement, circulator, streetcar, local bus

Last-Mile Transit Connections Program

• Specialized services for community access including autonomous vehicles

Community Access Transit Program

• Improvements to safety and security, capacity, operations, technology, and accessibility

Transit Enhancements and Mobility Improvements Program

16

DRAFT

Transit Corridor Recommendations

Draft Financial Plan

18

Mobility 2040 vs Mobility 2045Mobility 2040 Mobility 2045

Planning Horizon 2016 – 2040 (25 Years) 2018 – 2045 (28 Years)Legislative Action Revenue

Propositions 1 & 7revenues estimated

Propositions 1 & 7 now integrated into UTP and TIP

Innovative Revenue

Toll and tolled managed lane facilities scaled back

Continue to use toll managed tools in select corridors based on new regional toll policy boundary

Enhancement Revenue

Needs outpace ability to pay for improvements; included state, federal, and local revenue enhancements

Needs outpace ability to pay for improvements; continuing assumptions of federal, state, and local revenue enhancements

19

Financial AssumptionsTraditional Funds are InsufficientMultiple Scenarios and Options to Generate

Additional FundsContinue Toll Roads and Toll Managed Lanes as a

Long Term Strategy Not Approving a Specific ScenarioFuture Available Funding Sources Unknown

New Federal Infrastructure InitiativeApproving Equivalent Magnitude Funding

Amount

20

Financial AssumptionsFunding Strategy

Mobility 2040 (Final)

Mobility 2045 (DRAFT)

State Fuel Tax(per gallon)

Existing State Motor Fuel Tax+$0.05 in 2020+$0.07 in 2030

Existing State Motor Fuel Tax+$0.05 in 2025+$0.07 in 2035

State Fuel Tax Indexing No No

Federal Fuel Tax(per gallon)

Existing Federal Motor Fuel Tax+$0.05 in 2020+$0.05 in 2030

Existing Federal Motor Fuel Tax+$0.05 in 2025+$0.05 in 2035

Average Vehicle Registration Fee

Existing Fee+$10 in 2020+$10 in 2030

Existing Fee+$10 in 2025+$10 in 2035

Tollroads, Managed Lanes, CDA, and PPP

Currently Funded Facilities Currently funded projects + select, strategic facilities based on new toll area policy

Other Assumptions Utilize New Revenues from 84thLegislature (~$34.5B to region over time)

New revenues from 84th legislature, now allocated in UTP/TIP, will continue through horizon year

Total Revenue ($B) $118.9 $135.5

21

Funding Estimates (in $billion)

Traditional Federal and State 42.9$ Tolled/Managed (Local) 9.3$

Subtotal* 52.2$

Traditional (Federal and Local) 37.7$ Innovative ( State and Local) 19.8$

Subtotal* 57.5$

State 3.3$ Federal 3.9$ Local 2.4$

Subtotal* 9.6$

Local Spending and Local Match 16.2$

135.5$ Grand Total*

Roadway Funds

Transit Funds

Revenue Enhancements

Local Funds

* Actual dollars in billions. Values may not sum due to independent rounding.

Sheet1

Roadway Funds

Traditional Federal and State$ 42.9

Tolled/Managed (Local)$ 9.3

Subtotal*$ 52.2

Transit Funds

Traditional (Federal and Local)$ 37.7

Innovative ( State and Local)$ 19.8

Subtotal*$ 57.5

Revenue Enhancements

State$ 3.3

Federal$ 3.9

Local$ 2.4

Subtotal*$ 9.6

Local Funds

Local Spending and Local Match$ 16.2

Grand Total*$ 135.5

22

$37.4

$7.2

$3.6

$27.2

$43.4Freeways/Tollways and Arterials

Additional Roadway Capacity

HOV/Managed LanesIncrease Auto Occupancy

Rail and BusInduce Switch to Transit

Growth, Development, and Land Use StrategiesMore Efficient Land Use & Transportation Balance

Management and OperationsImprove Efficiency & Remove Trips from SystemTraffic Signals and Bicycle & Pedestrian Improvements

Infrastructure MaintenanceMaintain & Operate Existing FacilitiesBridge Replacements

Total Expenditures* $118.9

$ 38.7

$ 9.6

$ 3.2

$ 33.4

$ 50.6

$ 135.5

2040 2045

* Actual dollars, in billions. Values may not sum due to independent rounding.

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DRAFTPrioritization and Expenditures

23

Regional FundingRoadway

Expenditures

$ 51 BRegional

Roadway Needs

$ 389 BShortfall$ 338 B

Selected Recommended Policies

25

Selected Proposed Policy Additions

FreightEncourage Regional Railroads to Participate in

Regional Planning

Active Transportation Mode ShareSupport Active Transportation Measurable Share

of all Transportation Modes

26

Selected Proposed Policy Additions

TechnologyEncourage Data SharingEncourage Automated VehiclesSupport Infrastructure MaintenanceEncourage Ridesharing

Asset OptimizationResiliency

Develop Strategies to Address Vulnerabilities

Roadway MaintenanceSupport Asset Management Policies

27

Selected Proposed Policy Additions

GeneralSupport Ability to Modify Mobility Plan for

Emergency Operational ImprovementsTechnology LanesManaged LanesAccess RampsAuxiliary Lanes

Managed Toll Lane SystemSupport Implementation within a Tolled

Managed Lane Policy Area

28

Toll/Managed Lane Policy Boundary

Toll Managed Lane System Policy Boundary

Within Boundary13% Land Area67% of Congestion

Public Meeting Comments

30

Public Comment TopicsOctober 2017

Eminent DomainLake Corridor Project in Collin County

January 2018FundingHyperloop and Bullet TrainBackup Plan for Toll Road FundingArterial Needs AssessmentDraft Plan Available When?Use UPRR From Fort Worth to Dallas for Commuter RailAlternate Roads, Do Not Expand Other Modes

31

Public Comment Topics

February 2018Policy Foundation for Mobility 2045Transportation Assistance for South Dallas CountyTransit Funding

Schedule and Next Steps

33

Mobility 2045 ScheduleAugust 2017

Sep. 2017

Oct. 2017

Nov.2017

Dec. 2017

Jan.2018

Feb. 2018

March 2018

April 2018

May 2018

June 2018

July 2018

August2018

Sep. 2018

Oct.2018

Nov. 2018

Notes:• Public meetings held during highlighted months.• Regional Transportation Council action on Mobility 2045 Plan scheduled for June 14, 2018.

Air Quality Conformity

STTCAction

Official Comment

Period

Draft Recommendations

for Review

Plan Development

RTCAction

34

Next Steps

Official Public Comment PeriodApril through May

Revise RecommendationsDraft Final Document – April 1 STTC Updates in March and AprilReview and Action

STTC – May 25RTC – June 14

35

Questions?

Kevin FeldtProgram Managerkfeldt@nctcog.org

(817) 704-2529

Dan LamersSenior Program Manager

dlamers@nctcog.org(817) 695-9263

www.nctcog.org/mobility2045

Sarah ChadderdonProgram Manager

schadderdon@nctcog.org(817) 695-9180

Mobility 2045 UpdateAgenda ReviewAgendaRoadway RecommendationsRoadway Recommendations MapAsset Optimization MapArterial Recommendations MapPriced Facilities MapControlled Access MapRoadway Recommendations MapSlide Number 11Additional Plan ComponentsAdditional Plan ComponentsPublic Transportation RecommendationsMobility 2045 Transit ProgramsSlide Number 16Draft Financial PlanMobility 2040 vs Mobility 2045Financial AssumptionsFinancial AssumptionsFunding Estimates (in $billion)Slide Number 22Slide Number 23Selected Recommended PoliciesSelected Proposed Policy AdditionsSelected Proposed Policy AdditionsSelected Proposed Policy AdditionsSlide Number 28Public Meeting CommentsPublic Comment TopicsPublic Comment TopicsSchedule and �Next StepsMobility 2045 ScheduleNext StepsQuestions?