Mitä ennakointi on ja mitä VTT tekee ennakoinnin alueella ...

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Mitä ennakointi on ja mitä VTT tekee ennakoinnin alueella? Foresight at VTT Dr. Johanna Kohl, Senior Scientist, Team Leader Foresight and Socio-Technical Change Team VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland

Transcript of Mitä ennakointi on ja mitä VTT tekee ennakoinnin alueella ...

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Mitä ennakointi on ja mitä VTT tekee ennakoinnin alueella? Foresight at VTT

Dr. Johanna Kohl, Senior Scientist, Team LeaderForesight and Socio-Technical Change TeamVTT Technical Research Centre of Finland

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Foresight – what?

Foresight is not forecasting or science Foresight is holistic Foresight is a systematic, participatory,

future intelligence gathering and medium-to-long-term visionbuilding process

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Foresight- why and how?

Anticipation is an unavoidable human trait and an essential feature of planning future activities

Anticipation enables the creation of visions of the future Combining societal, environmental, technological and economic

implications A dynamic shared knowledge creation processes that go repeatedly

through externalisation, combination, internalisation and socialisation phases in a spiral way.

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Taking into account various stakeholders

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Innovation System• economic and industrial development • R&D and innovation outputs • employment • skills and education • welfare & environment • governance of innovation system

Foresight • anticipating technological development• foreseeing changes in society • regulatory development • changes in market demand

Evaluation• impacts• additionality • efficiency• quality• sustainability

Innovation Strategies• assessment of strategic options• prior assessment of impacts • technology assessment

Past Future

Socio-economicDevelopment

InnovationPolicy

StrategicDecision-making

Strategic policy intelligence for managing innovation systems

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Societal Embedding of Innovations

ProducersProgressiveness of service

Wellbeing of personnel ,Production & distribution cost

Adaptability to production system

SocietalQuality

DevelopersTransferabilityBest practice

Development costAdaptability to other healthorganisations’ requirements

Societal actorsSocietal relevance

Conformity to normsExternalities

Adaptability to societal structure

UsersHealth value

UsabilityCost of purchase and use

Adaptability to context of use

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Foresight methodologies

http://forlearn.jrc.es/guide/4_methodology/meth_classification.htm

The shape inside the circle shows how often each method has been used within a set of exercises collected and analyzed by the European Foresight Monitoring Network.

Various applicationsof methods

at VTT in external

and internal projects

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VTT roadmap brings together the future of markets, products and technologies

Technologies

Products, solutions

Markets

Present Short term Medium to long term

VISION

Drivers

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Foresights since late 1990s -- the importance increasingly recognized in 2000s

Trend from technology roadmaps to broader socio-economic and ecological contexts, creating vision and identifying future drivers, markets and products (“demand pull”), required response from S&T(“science push”)

Recent strategy: searching for R&D driven solutions to grand challenges like linking challenges of healthy ageing, climate change and carsity of raw materials.(European Comission, JPIs, etc.)

How? Foresight experts as methodological & process consultants organize internal & external procedures, which are multidisciplinary, scientific, business and other required competences to exercises

Foresights for internal purposes and as foresight services for clients

Foresight at VTT

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VTT Group’s operational model – roles in foresight

VTT Expert Services Oy Expert studies and assessments Certification and approval services Testing, inspection and calibration

VTT International Oy Administration and 

development of international service points

VTT Ventures Oy Ownership and 

development of spin‐offs

Strategic research Internally financed research Jointly funded research

V T T

Business solutions Customer account management  Commercial projects Technology licensing as part ofcommercial projects

(Separation of economic activities) 

Research and development Research personnel, resources Project implementation Competence management

Group services Top management Support functions

IP Business   IPR sales and licensing IPR portfolio management

Foresight project execution Foresight experts, coordination

Foresight supporting strategic research portfolio

Planning and implementationof corporate strategy utilisingresults of foresight studies Knowledge solutions & BI

Contract projects in foresight

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VTT research on Organisations, Networks and Innovation Systems

Six research teams

Enterprise Network Management

Renewal and Development of Organisations

Organisational Psychology

Innovation and knowledge economy

Innovation policy research

Foresight and socio-technical change

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VTT Foresight and Socio-Technical Change team

Team members:

Toni Ahlqvist, Senior ScientistAnnele Eerola, Principal ScientistMinna Halonen, Research Scientist (on maternity leave Aug 2011 =>)

Sirkku Kivisaari, Senior ScientistJohanna Kohl, Senior Scientist, Team LeaderRaija Koivisto, Research ProfessorAnna Leinonen, Research Scientist (on maternity leave 2011)

Jouko Myllyoja, Research ScientistNina Wessberg, Senior ScientistMikko Dufva, PhD student (starting Jan 2012)

Contact also: Torsti Loikkanen, Research Co-ordinator and Ville Valovirta, Key Account Manager

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National-level cooperation (examples) Finnsight 2015, incl. VTT panel members. Tekes and the Academy of Finland, 2005-2006 SITRA's foresight network, incl. VTT reseachers 2005-2006 TrendWiki working group of the Ministry of Economy and Employment, 2010=> Open Wave, Tekes/Finnish Boat Industry (2010-2012), Strategy support for EIT ICT Labs Finnish node, Tekes 2011

Nordic-level cooperation (examples) Nordic Hydrogen Energy Foresight, VTT as a core partner. NICe & NER, 2003-2005 Nordic ICT Foresight, VTT as coordinator. NICe, 2005-2007 Nordic Biomedical Sensor Foresight, VTT as partner. NICe, 2005-2006 GoReNEST (2008-2009), TOP-NEST (2011 =>), SHHP Innovation Networks (2008-2009),

EU-level cooperation (examples) Nanotechnology roadmapping. EU FP6, 2004-2005 Emerging S&T priorities in public research policies in Europe, US and Japan.

EU Platform Foresight , 2004-2005. ETEPS - BIO4EU. IPTS/European Parliament, 2006 ForSociety ERA-Net, VTT involved in Future Dialogues, 2006-2007 TESTNET – WT & CP future outlooks for European ETV system, 2006-2008 ATEsT. EU FP7, assesment of energy system modelling and transition management tools, 2009-

2012 Research and Innovation Strategies and Investment in Grand Challenges, ERAB, 2011

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VTT carries out various foresights and future oriented exercises…

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…for private & public clients, with different methodological approaches

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VTT’s mission and foresight

VTT creates the prerequisites for society’s sustainable development, employment and wellbeing.

VTT produces research and   innovation services that enhance the international  competitiveness of companies,  society   and other customers. 

Foresight is embedded and a promotor for a socio‐technical change

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Customer sectors- Biotechnology,

pharmaceutical and food industries

- Electronics- Energy- ICT- Real estate and

construction- Machines and vehicles- Services and logistics- Forest industry- Process industry and

environment

Customer sectors- Biotechnology,

pharmaceutical and food industries

- Electronics- Energy- ICT- Real estate and

construction- Machines and vehicles- Services and logistics- Forest industry- Process industry and

environment

Focus areas of research- Applied materials- Bio- and chemical

processes- Energy- Information and

communication technologies

- Industrial systems management

- Microtechnologies and electronics

- Services and the built environment

- Business research

Focus areas of research- Applied materials- Bio- and chemical

processes- Energy- Information and

communication technologies

- Industrial systems management

- Microtechnologies and electronics

- Services and the built environment

- Business research

VTT’s operations- Research and

Development - Strategic Research- Business Solutions- IP Business- Group Services

VTT’s companies- VTT Expert Services Ltd

(incl. Labtium Ltd, EnasLtd)

- VTT Ventures Ltd- VTT International Ltd- VTT Memsfab Ltd

VTT’s operations- Research and

Development - Strategic Research- Business Solutions- IP Business- Group Services

VTT’s companies- VTT Expert Services Ltd

(incl. Labtium Ltd, EnasLtd)

- VTT Ventures Ltd- VTT International Ltd- VTT Memsfab Ltd

Foresight + technological competenciesAdvantage that others do not have!

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VTT creates business from technology