MINISTRY OF REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT 1 Growing Together: International Conference on EU Cohesion Policy...
-
Upload
silvester-lewis -
Category
Documents
-
view
222 -
download
2
Transcript of MINISTRY OF REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT 1 Growing Together: International Conference on EU Cohesion Policy...
-
*Growing Together: International Conference on EU Cohesion PolicyThe effect of EU regional policy on economic and social cohesion of PolandDepartment of Structural Policy CoordinationAnkara March 28, 2013
-
*Poland geographical location
-
*Poland general information
-
*Plan of the presentationPoland as a beneficiary of the EU Cohesion Policy 2. Process of decentralization evolution of regional policy 3. Positive impact of Cohesion Policy 4. Lessons learned and good practices
-
* Poland as a beneficiary of the EU Cohesion Policy
-
*Calendar of changes in Poland (1) 1989 - 1 May 2004: - adjustment of national law to acquis communautaire and constitutional reforms, incl. reintroducing of self-government at regional level experiences in implementation of pre-accession funds (PHARE, SAPARD, ISPA ca. EUR 5,7 bln): better preparation for accession process, building administration capacity at different programmming and implementation level (at central and regional level), better preparation for the new finantial perspective (at strategic and system level) 2003-2004: - drafting documents and negotiations for 2004-2006 programming period; 2005 setting up the Ministry of Regional Development and concentrating all competences in management of Cohesion Policy
-
* 2006-2007:- drafting documents and negotiations for 2007-2013 programming period 2008-2009: closure of 2004-2006 programmes at the Polish side and submission of closure documents to EC creating a new system of strategic management in Poland 2010-till now- high dynamics of implementation 2007-2013 programmes, mid-term review and allocating National Performance Reserve and Technical Adjustment;- elaborating of strategic documents, incl. mid-term and long-term national development strategies, 9 integrated strategies, National Strategy of Regional Development, National Spatial Development Concept, etc. active participation in the debate on the future of Cohesion Policy after 2013 programming of the next period 2014-2020Calendar of changes in Poland (2)
-
*The main governmental institution competent for coordination of:development policy regional policy spatial policy EU Cohesion Policy in Poland
Main tasks:ordering the system for the strategic management of developmentpreparation and implementation of the socio-economic development strategy coordination of actions of relevant ministers, self-governments and socio-economic partners in the area of development policyefficient management of the EU funds Role of the Ministry of Regional Development
-
*EU 94%EU 81%Poland 6%Poland 19%European Union (2000-2006) 213,0 bln EUR Poland (2004-2006) 12,8 bln EUREuropean Union 347,4 bln EUR Poland 67,3 bln EURNATIONAL STRATEGIC REFERENCE FRAMEWORK 2007-2013NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2004-2006For the 2004-2006 financial perspective Poland received 12. 8 billions euro (6% of the total EU assistance in that period).In the period 2007-2013 Poland has at its disposal 67.3 billion euro for the Cohesion Policy that is almost 1/5 of the total EU Cohesion Policy financing.
Comparison of the Cohesion Policy allocation for Poland
Wykres4
94
6
Arkusz1
UE94
Polska6
Arkusz1
0
0
Arkusz2
Arkusz3
Wykres3
80.6
19.4
Arkusz1
UE80.6
Polska19.4
Arkusz1
0
0
Arkusz2
Arkusz3
-
*Main changes in the structure of Cohesion Policy in Polandmanaged by 16 regions managed by the Ministry of Regional Development(0,3%)(14%)(17%)(34%)(16%)(4%)(15%*)* % of total allocation(12%)(42%)(14%)(25%)(1%)(1%)managed by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development(3%)
-
*Implementation of Cohesion Policy Ca. 90 000 projects implemented for 14,4 bln euro of co-financing.2004-20062007-2013Till March 2013 ca. 82 000 contracts signed for 56 bln euro of co-financing
-
*New system of strategic documentsWhat we support by the EU money?
EXAMPLES2004-20062007-January 2013Built or modernized: motorways and expressways, roads, railway 5 650 km11 927 kmwater supply network5 700 km5 540 kmwastewater treatment plants225381Human capital development:new jobs set up6758286 520Research & Developmentnew technologies implemented4012424laboratories modernised or established1341584
-
*Process of decentralization evolution of regional policy
-
*Change of regional policyRegionally run, integrated, coordinated, multi level EU Cohesion Policy-like system becoming the major development instrumentIn the area of regional policy Poland in recent 20 years has undergone shift from:Centrally run, concentration of efforts on given problem areas with very modest impact
-
*
In 1999 Poland introduced 16 regions
From 2007 regions became fully responsible for big share of European funds under cohesion policy (regions are responsible for management of ca. 17 bln euro = 25% of the whole Polish 2007-2013 allocation)
Gradually regions took over responsibilities in new areas from the government (sometimes with money too)
Reorienting the development policy: increase the efficiency of programminglinks between programming and operational levelevaluation of development programmesreduction of the number of strategic documents
*Decentralization process in Poland (1)
-
*
Building multilevel governance system including all management partners and broad range of economic and social partners
New ways of cooperation between public-private partners, NGOs and academic sectors
Policy process of consultations public debate on a role of public policies territorially oriented in socio-economic growth and regional policy
Assistance of OECD, Word Bank evidence-based policy
Support of regional public administration
*Decentralization process in Poland (2)
-
*
Not only to spend money, but to modernise the country with the use of money
Create a good, effective policy for everyone! *
Challenge for Poland
HOW TO DO IT?
-
*Territorial approach
Regional policy is not only policy for poor areas it is a policy for all Polish regions and territories supporting in the best possible way in using their development potential and where is a necessity providing external resources Regional policy is effective in order to deliver it supports necessary institutional, legal and financial changes
Regional policy has an integrated character: integration of different public policies at national and regional level coordination of national policies
Integrated approach investment mix
*New model of regional policy
-
*New system of strategic planning in PolandNational Spatial Development Concept (NSDC)9 integrated strategies with a strong territorial dimension
-
*
Council of MinistersconcentratedadministrationconcentratedadministrationVoivoships Officedeconcentratedadministrationdeconcentratedadministrationvoivodship self-governmentpoviat self-governmentcommuneself-governmentstate administrationself-governmentcentral levelregional level(upper) local levellocal levelStructure of public administration
-
*Performance budget National Performance Reserve (0,6 bln euro from ERDF) is an instrument of competition among individual institutions involved in implementing EU funds.
The purpose of the National Performance Reserve is to stimulate: expenditure rate efficiency direction for expenditure
Added-value of the EU funds during the global crisis - the funds themselves and their proper management prevented Poland from the heavy impact of the crisis and economic slowdown in Europe.
-
*Cooperation - Multi-level governance system
Coordination of the management of processes Ministry of Regional Development leadership
Territory-oriented (place-based) approach - stress on investment mix
Integrated territorial approach - focus on pro-development measures
Strengthening territorial potentials
Competitiveness - result-oriented policies, performance budget
New model of integrated development policy (conclusion)
-
*Positive impact of Cohesion Policy
-
*Impact of the EU funds intervention on the GDP GDP growth in Poland in 2010 was about 0,6-0,7 pp. higher thanks to cohesion policyEU funds influence on the GDP growth in Poland
EU funds influence on the GDP growth in Poland (in pps) per capita
In 2010 the difference in the level of Polish GDP per 1 inhabitant in relation to the EU-27 was less than 1.4 to 2.2 percentage points (pp) thanks to EU funds Source: GUS, Eurostat
-
*Economic growth in Poland against the EU-27In 2007-2011 the average GDP growth rate in Poland amounted to 4.3%. The impact of the EU cohesion policy approx. 0.4 0.8 pp. Source: GUS, Eurostat
Wykres1
1.86.2
2.77.1
35
3.14.5
3.94.3
21.2
1.31.4
1.43.9
2.55.3
23.6
3.26.2
36.8
0.55.1
-4.21.6
1.83.8
UE-27
Polska
%
GDP change in Poland and EU-27
SPIS1
SPIS TABLIC
Tab.1. Zmiany PKB w wybranych krajach UE-27( %)
Tab.2. Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27 ( %, q/q-1, dane SA )
Tab.2a. Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27 ( %, q/q-4 )
Tab.3. Zmiany WDB ( %, dane roczne)
Tab.3a. Zmiany WDB w kwartaach ( %, q/q-4)
Tabl.4. Zmiany elementw popytu krajowego (%, dane roczne)
Tabl.4a. Zmiany elementw popytu krajowego w kwartaach (%, q/q-4)
Tabl.5. Skala wpywu wybranych kategorii na wzrost PKB (pp., q/q-4)
Tabl.5a. Skala wpywu wybranych kategorii na wzrost PKB w kwartaach (pp., q/q-4)
Tabl.6. Dynamika PKB w kwartaach (%, q/q-4, dane NSA)
1.KRAJE-UE
Tab.1. Zmiany PKB w wybranych krajach UE-27( %)
2006199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010
UE-273.21.82.73.03.13.92.01.31.42.52.03.23.00.5-4.21.8
Polska6.26.27.15.04.54.31.21.43.95.33.66.26.85.11.63.8
Francja2.22.40.2-2.61.6
Hiszpania4.03.60.9-3.7-0.1
Irlandia5.45.6-3.5-7.6-0.2
Niemcy3.22.71.0-4.73.6
Republika Czeska6.86.12.5-4.12.4
Wgry4.00.80.8-6.71.2
Wielka Brytania2.92.7-0.1-4.91.3
Wochy2.01.5-1.3-5.21.3
rdo: Eurostat (V 2011), GUS (13 V 2011)
akt. 23 III 2011
1.KRAJE-UE
UE-27
Polska
%
Zmiany PKB w Polsce i UE-27
wykres
Tab.1. Zmiany PKB w wybranych krajach UE-27( %)
2004200520062007200820092010
UE-272.52.03.23.00.5-4.21.8
Polska5.33.66.26.85.11.63.8
Francja2.40.2-2.61.6
Hiszpania3.60.9-3.7-0.1
Irlandia5.6-3.5-7.6-0.2
Niemcy2.71.0-4.73.6
Republika Czeska6.12.5-4.12.4
Wgry0.80.8-6.71.2
Wielka Brytania2.7-0.1-4.91.3
Wochy1.5-1.3-5.21.3
rdo: Eurostat (III 2011),
akt. 23 III 2011
wykres
1.86.2
2.77.1
35
3.14.5
3.94.3
21.2
1.31.4
1.43.9
2.55.3
23.6
3.26.2
36.8
0.55.1
-4.21.6
1.83.8
UE-27
Polska
%
Zmiany PKB w Polsce i UE-27
2.QQ-1-FULL
Tab.2. Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27 ( %, q/q-1, dane SA )
Iq06IIq06IIIq06IVq06Iq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10Iq11
EU-270.60.90.80.50.60.50.8-0.2-0.5-1.9-2.5-0.20.30.30.41.00.50.20.8
Poland1.71.62.01.41.81.61.32.21.40.70.8-0.40.40.60.41.50.61.11.20.81.0
rdo: Eurostat (8 VI 2011), GUS (31 VI 2011)
2.QQ-1-FULL
Po
Pol
EU-27
Poland
%, dane SA
Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27 w ujciu q/q-1
2a.QQ-4
Tab.2a. Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27 ( %, q/q-4 )
KwartayIq06IIq06IIIq06IVq06Iq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10Iq11
UE-27 (SA)3.13.43.52.82.82.42.41.70.7-1.7-5.0-5.1-4.3-2.20.62.02.22.12.5
Polska (SA)5.16.26.56.87.07.06.27.16.75.75.22.51.51.30.92.83.13.64.63.94.3
Polska (NSA)5.46.36.66.67.56.66.66.66.36.15.23.20.41.01.63.23.03.44.24.54.4
rdo: Eurostat (8 VI 2011), GUS (31 V 2011)
2a.QQ-4
UE-27 (SA)
Polska (SA)
%, dane SA
Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27, q/q-4
3a.Q-WDB
UE-27 (SA)
Polska (SA)
%, dane SA
Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27, q/q-4
4a.Q-DYNAMIKA
Tab.3a. Zmiany WDB w kwartaach ( %, q/q-4)
Iq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10Iq11
WDB7.76.46.36.45.86.35.03.70.90.91.93.42.82.93.73.94.1
Przemys11.48.89.210.710.39.86.71.5-5.5-4.5-0.65.89.911.510.26.57.8
Usugi rynkowe6.76.26.46.86.36.05.55.71.21.10.30.5-0.20.51.93.33.3
rdo:GUS (31 V 2011)
4a.Q-DYNAMIKA
WDB
Przemys
Usugi rynkowe
%, dane NSA, q/q-4
Zmiany WDB i jej gwnych skadowych
3.Y-WDB
Tabl.4a. Zmiany elementw popytu krajowego w kwartaach (%, q/q-4)
KategoriaIq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10Iq11
PKB7.56.66.66.66.36.15.23.20.41.01.63.23.03.44.24.54.4
Popyt krajowy109.3109.1108.7107.9107.3106.3104.8103.599.0
Spoycie ogem6.14.64.63.35.85.75.67.23.51.21.81.51.93.03.64.83.3
Akumulacja128.6130.6125.4118.8116.4109.7103.495.476.2
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae23.819.016.615.117.115.25.66.1-1.4-3.7-1.90.8-11.4-0.41.51.66.0
Export111.2108.0109.0108.4110.4111.2108.699.385.4
Import115.5114.1113.9111.6113.2111.9107.8101.082.4
WDB107.7106.4106.3106.4105.6106.2104.9103.4101.2
rdo: GUS (31 V 2011)
3.Y-WDB
PKB
Popyt krajowy
Spoycie ogem
Akumulacja
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae
%. q/q-4, dane NSA
Zmiany elementw popytu krajowego
inwestycje
Tab.3. Zmiany WDB ( %, dane roczne)
200220032004200520062007200820092010
WDB6.03.65.23.36.06.75.11.83.3
Przemys10.07.810.53.510.010.16.8-0.99.3
Budownictwo11.6-2.91.87.811.610.84.611.43.9
Usugi rynkowe5.52.54.23.65.56.55.90.81.4
usugi nierynkowe1.22.71.92.40.9
rdo:GUS (31 V 2011)
13 V - ZMIANA DANYCH ZA 2009 i 2010
inwestycje
WDB
Przemys
Budownictwo
Usugi rynkowe
%
Wzrost WDB w przekroju sektorw ekonomicznych
4.Y-dy.pop.
akt. 26 IV 2011
20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010
PKB Polska4.31.21.43.95.33.66.26.85.11.63.8
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae - Polska,2.7-9.7-6.3-0.16.46.514.917.69.6-1.1-1.2
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae - UE-274.60.8-0.61.33.13.56.15.8-0.8-12.0-0.7
Stopa inwestycji (relacja nakadw brutto na23.720.718.718.218.118.219.721.622.321.219.7
w tym publiczne3.43.33.43.43.94.24.65.25.6
UE-2720.720.219.619.519.620.020.721.321.119.118.5
4.Y-dy.pop.
Polska
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae - UE-27
%, r/r, ceny stae
Zmiany nakadw brutto na rodki trwae
5.Y-impakty
Polska
UE-27
%
Stopa inwestycji
5a. Q-IMPAKTY
stopa inwestycji ogem
stopa inwestycji publicznych
%
Stopa inwestycji
6.Q-Dynamika
PKB Polska
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae - Polska,
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae - UE-27
%
wydaj
Tabl.4. Zmiany elementw popytu krajowego (%, r/r)
Kategoria20072008200920102011
PKB6.85.11.63.8
Popyt krajowy8.75.6-1.04.4
Spoycie ogem4.66.12.03.3
Akumulacja24.34.0-11.58.5
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae17.69.6-1.2-1.0
Export9.17.1
Import17.313.7
WDB6.75.01.7
rdo: GUS (31 V 2011)
wydaj
2007
2008
2009
2010
%
Elementy popytu krajowego
DNB
Tabl.5. Skala wpywu wybranych kategorii na wzrost PKB (pp., q/q-4)
Kategoria200620062007200820092010
PKB6.26.26.85.11.63.8
Popyt krajowy7.37.38.95.7-1.14.4
Spoycie ogem4.24.23.84.71.62.7
spoycie indywidualne3.03.41.31.9
Akumulacja3.13.15.11.0-2.71.7
nakady brutto na rodki trwae2.72.73.42.1-0.3-0.2
Saldo obrotw z zagranic-1.1-1.1-2.1-0.62.7-0.6
rdo: GUS (31 V 2011)
DNB
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Skala wpywu na realny wzrost PKB
Arkusz1
Spoycie ogem
spoycie indywidualne
Akumulacja
nakady brutto na rodki trwae
Saldo obrotw z zagranic
pp.
Tabl.5a. Skala wpywu wybranych kategorii na wzrost PKB w kwartaach (PKB NSA, w %, q/q-4)
KategoriaIq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10Iq11
PKB7.56.66.66.66.36.15.23.20.41.01.63.23.03.44.24.54.4
Popyt krajowy9.39.39.08.17.76.95.43.4-1.9-2.8-1.31.12.04.44.56.24.5
Spoycie ogem5.23.93.82.44.94.74.55.03.11.01.51.11.62.43.03.42.9
Akumulacja4.15.45.25.72.82.20.9-1.6-5.0-3.8-2.80.00.42.01.52.81.6
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae3.03.23.24.32.42.91.21.8-0.2-0.8-0.40.3-1.7-0.10.30.50.7
Saldo obrotw z zagranic-1.8-2.7-2.4-1.5-1.4-0.8-0.2-0.22.33.82.92.11.0-1.0-0.3-1.7-0.1
WDB6.95.75.55.65.15.54.33.20.80.81.62.92.62.53.33.43.7
rdo: GUS (31 V 2011)
Akt: 14 VII 2010
PKB
Popyt krajowy
Spoycie ogem
Akumulacja
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae
Saldo obrotw z zagranic
WDB
Czynniki wzrostu PKB
Tabl.6. Dynamika PKB w kwartaach (%, q/q-4, dane NSA)
KategoriaIq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09
PKB107.5106.6106.6106.6106.1105.9105.0102.9100.8
Popyt krajowy109.3109.1108.7107.9107.3106.3104.8103.599.0
Spoycie ogem106.1104.6104.6103.3105.5105.4105.3107.3103.9
Akumulacja128.6130.6125.4118.8116.4109.7103.495.476.2
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae123.8119.0116.6115.1115.7114.6103.5104.6101.2
Export111.2108.0109.0108.4110.4111.2108.699.385.4
Import115.5114.1113.9111.6113.2111.9107.8101.082.4
WDB107.7106.4106.3106.4105.6106.2104.9103.4101.2
rdo: GUS
DO AKTUALIZACJI
20032004200520062007200820092010
UE-27
Dynamika PKB102.5102.0103.2103.0100.595.8101.8
Dynamika pracujcych 15+102.0101.9101.298.399.4
Dynamika wydajnoci pracy101.2101.199.397.5102.4
Polska
Dynamika PKB105.3103.6106.2106.8105.1101.6103.8
Dynamika pracujcych 15+103.4104.4103.7100.4100.6
Dynamika wydajnoci pracy102.7102.3101.4101.2103.2
20032004200520062007200820092010
UE-27
Pracujcy 15+210794.2214936.3219070.3221673.3217812.8216449.2
Dynamika r/r102.0101.9101.298.399.4
Polska
Pracujcy 15+14115.614593.615240.515799.815868.015960.5
Dynamika r/r103.4104.4103.7100.4100.6
20062007200820092010
Dynamika wydajnoci pracy UE-27101.2101.199.397.5102.4
Dynamika wydajnoci pracy Polska102.7102.3101.4101.2103.2
UE-27
Dynamika PKB
Dynamika pracujcych 15+
Dynamika wydajnoci pracy
UE-27
Dynamika PKB
Dynamika pracujcych 15+
Dynamika wydajnoci pracy
Polska
Dynamika wydajnoci pracy UE-27
Dynamika wydajnoci pracy Polska
Tabl. PKB i DNB w mln z
2000200520082009
PKB74437898330212754321343657
Saldo dochodu z zagranicy-2692-18769-25678-47463
DNB74168996453312497541296194
Ludno38255.938161.338115.938153.4
Na 1 mieszkaca w z
PKB19458257673346235217
DNB19388252753278833973
rnica704926741244
MBD000A237F.xls
Wykres1
2.55.3
23.6
3.26.2
36.8
0.55.1
-4.21.7
1.83.8
UE-27
Polska
%
Zmiany PKB w Polsce i UE-27
SPIS1
SPIS TABLIC
Tab.1. Zmiany PKB w wybranych krajach UE-27( %)
Tab.2. Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27 ( %, q/q-1, dane SA )
Tab.2a. Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27 ( %, q/q-4 )
Tab.3. Zmiany WDB ( %, dane roczne)
Tab.3a. Zmiany WDB w kwartaach ( %, q/q-4)
Tabl.4. Zmiany elementw popytu krajowego (%, dane roczne)
Tabl.4a. Zmiany elementw popytu krajowego w kwartaach (%, q/q-4)
Tabl.5. Skala wpywu wybranych kategorii na wzrost PKB (pp., q/q-4)
Tabl.5a. Skala wpywu wybranych kategorii na wzrost PKB w kwartaach (pp., q/q-4)
Tabl.6. Dynamika PKB w kwartaach (%, q/q-4, dane NSA)
1.KRAJE-UE
Tab.1. Zmiany PKB w wybranych krajach UE-27( %)
20062004200520062007200820092010
UE-273.22.52.03.23.00.5-4.21.8
Polska6.25.33.66.26.85.11.73.8
Francja2.22.40.2-2.61.6
Hiszpania4.03.60.9-3.7-0.1
Irlandia5.45.6-3.5-7.6-0.2
Niemcy3.22.71.0-4.73.6
Republika Czeska6.86.12.5-4.12.4
Wgry4.00.80.8-6.71.2
Wielka Brytania2.92.7-0.1-4.91.3
Wochy2.01.5-1.3-5.21.3
rdo: Eurostat (III 2011),
akt. 23 III 2011
1.KRAJE-UE
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
%
Zmiany PKB w wybranych krajach UE-27
DNB
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
UE-27
Polska
%
Zmiany PKB w Polsce i UE-27
2.QQ-1-FULL
Tabl. PKB i DNB w mln z
2000200520082009
PKB74437898330212754321343657
Saldo dochodu z zagranicy-2692-18769-25678-47463
DNB74168996453312497541296194
Ludno38255.938161.338115.938153.4
Na 1 mieszkaca w z
PKB19458257673346235217
DNB19388252753278833973
rnica704926741244
2a.QQ-4
Tab.2. Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27 ( %, q/q-1, dane SA )
Iq06IIq06IIIq06IVq06Iq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10
UE-270.60.90.80.50.60.50.8-0.2-0.5-1.9-2.5-0.20.30.30.41.00.50.2
Polska1.71.62.01.41.81.61.32.21.40.70.8-0.40.40.60.41.50.61.11.20.8
rdo: Eurostat (15 II 2011), GUS (2 III 2011)
2a.QQ-4
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
Po
Pol
UE-27
Polska
%, dane SA
Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27 w ujciu q/q-1
3a.Q-WDB
Tab.2a. Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27 ( %, q/q-4 )
KwartayIq06IIq06IIIq06IVq06Iq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10
UE-27 (SA)3.13.43.52.82.82.42.41.70.7-1.7-5.0-5.1-4.3-2.20.62.02.22.1
Polska (SA)5.16.26.56.87.07.06.27.16.75.75.22.51.51.41.02.93.13.74.63.9
Polska (NSA)5.46.36.66.67.56.66.66.66.36.15.23.20.51.01.73.23.03.54.24.4
rdo: Eurostat (1 II 2011), GUS (2 III 2011)
3a.Q-WDB
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
UE-27 (SA)
Polska (SA)
%, dane SA
Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27, q/q-4
4a.Q-DYNAMIKA
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
UE-27 (SA)
Polska (SA)
%, dane SA
Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27, q/q-4
3.Y-WDB
Tab.3a. Zmiany WDB w kwartaach ( %, q/q-4)
Iq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10
WDB7.76.46.36.45.86.35.03.70.91.01.93.42.83.03.83.8
Przemys11.48.89.210.710.39.86.71.5-4.9-3.80.26.19.711.410.26.2
Usugi rynkowe6.76.26.46.86.36.05.55.71.31.30.30.7-0.10.82.03.3
rdo:GUS (3 III 2011)
3.Y-WDB
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
WDB
Przemys
Usugi rynkowe
%, dane NSA, q/q-4
Zmiany WDB i jej gwnych skadowych
4.Y-dy.pop.
Tabl.4a. Zmiany elementw popytu krajowego w kwartaach (%, q/q-4)
KategoriaIq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10
PKB7.56.66.66.66.36.15.23.20.51.01.73.23.03.54.24.4
Popyt krajowy109.3109.1108.7107.9107.3106.3104.8103.599.0
Spoycie ogem6.14.64.63.35.85.75.67.23.51.21.81.52.12.83.64.4
Akumulacja128.6130.6125.4118.8116.4109.7103.495.476.2
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae23.819.016.615.117.115.25.66.11.0-3.6-1.70.8-12.8-1.70.40.9
Export111.2108.0109.0108.4110.4111.2108.699.385.4
Import115.5114.1113.9111.6113.2111.9107.8101.082.4
WDB107.7106.4106.3106.4105.6106.2104.9103.4101.2
rdo: GUS (3 III 2011)
4.Y-dy.pop.
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
PKB
Popyt krajowy
Spoycie ogem
Akumulacja
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae
%. q/q-4, dane NSA
Zmiany elementw popytu krajowego
5.Y-impakty
Tab.3. Zmiany WDB ( %, dane roczne)
200620032004200520062007200820092010
WDB6.03.65.23.36.06.75.11.83.3
Przemys10.07.810.53.510.010.16.8-0.39.2
Budownictwo11.6-2.91.87.811.610.84.69.93.8
Usugi rynkowe5.52.54.23.65.56.55.90.91.5
usugi nierynkowe1.22.71.92.4
rdo:GUS (28 I 2011)
5.Y-impakty
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
WDB
Przemys
Budownictwo
Usugi rynkowe
%
Wzrost WDB w przekroju sektorw ekonomicznych
5a. Q-IMPAKTY
Tabl.4. Zmiany elementw popytu krajowego (%, r/r)
Kategoria20072008200920102011
PKB6.85.11.73.8
Popyt krajowy8.75.6-1.03.9
Spoycie ogem4.66.12.03.2
Akumulacja24.34.0-11.46.7
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae17.69.6-1.1-2.0
Export9.17.1
Import17.313.7
WDB6.75.01.7
rdo: GUS (28 I 2011)
5a. Q-IMPAKTY
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
2007
2008
2009
2010
%
Elementy popytu krajowego
6.Q-Dynamika
Tabl.5. Skala wpywu wybranych kategorii na wzrost PKB (pp., q/q-4)
Kategoria200620062007200820092010
PKB6.26.26.85.11.73.8
Popyt krajowy7.37.38.95.7-1.14.0
Spoycie ogem4.24.23.84.71.72.6
Akumulacja3.13.15.11.0-2.81.4
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae2.72.73.42.1-0.2-0.4
Saldo obrotw z zagranic-1.1-1.1-2.1-0.62.8-0.2
rdo: GUS (30III 2011)
6.Q-Dynamika
000
000
000
000
000
2006
2007
2008
2009
pp.
Skala wpywu na wzrost realny PKB
Arkusz1
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
pp.
Skala wpywu na realny wzrost PKB
Tabl.5a. Skala wpywu wybranych kategorii na wzrost PKB w kwartaach (PKB NSA, w %, q/q-4)
KategoriaIq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10
PKB7.56.66.66.66.36.15.23.20.51.01.73.23.03.54.24.4
Popyt krajowy9.39.39.08.17.76.95.43.4-2.0-2.6-1.31.12.03.94.25.6
Spoycie ogem5.23.93.82.44.94.74.55.03.31.01.51.11.92.32.93.2
Akumulacja4.15.45.25.72.82.20.9-1.6-5.3-3.6-2.80.00.11.61.32.4
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae3.03.23.24.32.42.91.21.8-0.2-0.8-0.40.3-1.9-0.30.10.3
Saldo obrotw z zagranic-1.8-2.7-2.4-1.5-1.4-0.8-0.2-0.22.53.63.02.11.0-0.40.0-1.2
WDB6.95.75.55.65.15.54.33.20.90.81.72.92.62.63.33.4
rdo: GUS (3 III 2011)
Akt: 14 VII 2010
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
PKB
Popyt krajowy
Spoycie ogem
Akumulacja
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae
Saldo obrotw z zagranic
WDB
Czynniki wzrostu PKB
Tabl.6. Dynamika PKB w kwartaach (%, q/q-4, dane NSA)
KategoriaIq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09
PKB107.5106.6106.6106.6106.1105.9105.0102.9100.8
Popyt krajowy109.3109.1108.7107.9107.3106.3104.8103.599.0
Spoycie ogem106.1104.6104.6103.3105.5105.4105.3107.3103.9
Akumulacja128.6130.6125.4118.8116.4109.7103.495.476.2
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae123.8119.0116.6115.1115.7114.6103.5104.6101.2
Export111.2108.0109.0108.4110.4111.2108.699.385.4
Import115.5114.1113.9111.6113.2111.9107.8101.082.4
WDB107.7106.4106.3106.4105.6106.2104.9103.4101.2
rdo: GUS
DO AKTUALIZACJI
Wykres3
0.10.10.1
0.10.40.3
0.20.80.8
0.40.40.5
0.4-0.3-0.1
0.321.1
0.610.7
0.70.60.7
0.61.10.8
0.81.20.9
0.9-0.20.1
0.8-0.5-0.2
MaMoR3
EUImpactModIII
Hermin
p p.
Impact of resources from the European funds on the growth rate of GDP in fixed prices(variance from the scenario without the EU resources in pp.)
porwnanie 3 modeli
POZIOM PKB w cenach biecych
RokMaMoR3EUImpactModIIIHermin
20040.10.10.2
20050.10.50.6
20060.31.21.8
20070.81.62.9
20081.21.43.0
20091.53.44.4
20102.14.35.8
20112.84.97.2
20123.56.08.7
20134.37.210.5
20145.17.011.2
20155.96.510.9
TEMPO WZROSTU PKB
RokMaMoR3EUImpactModIIHermin
20040.10.10.1
20050.10.40.3
20060.20.80.8
20070.40.40.5
20080.4-0.3-0.1
20090.32.01.1
20100.61.00.7
20110.70.60.7
20120.61.10.8
20130.81.20.9
20140.9-0.20.1
20150.8-0.5-0.2
WYDAJNO PRACY, UE-27=100
RokMaMoR3EUImpactModIIHermin
20040.30.00.0
20050.3-0.20.0
20060.2-0.40.1
20070.3-0.40.2
20080.5-0.20.4
20090.7-0.80.5
20100.7-0.80.7
20110.9-0.90.9
20121.1-0.91.2
20131.5-0.91.4
20141.9-0.31.6
20152.30.41.8
PKB per capita wg PPS, UE-27=100
RokMaMoR3EUImpactModIIHermin
20040.00.10.1
20050.10.30.2
20060.20.60.6
20070.40.90.8
20080.70.80.8
20090.92.01.5
20101.32.61.9
20111.73.02.4
20122.23.72.9
20132.74.53.5
20143.24.43.6
20153.74.23.6
poziomy w scenariuszu z funduszami
201060.659.760.0
61.962.362.0
201563.264.564.1
66.968.767.6
NAKADY BRUTTO NA RODKI TRWAE
RokMaMoR3EUImpactModIIHermin
2004-0.10.72.4
20054.23.75.0
20065.67.712.8
20075.210.015.7
20087.17.710.7
20097.118.921.9
20108.021.630.2
201111.229.532.9
201213.333.640.2
201313.839.949.4
201414.835.944.6
201510.429.836.4
TEMPO WZROSTU NAKADW BRUTTO
RokMaMoR3EUImpactModIIHermin
2004-0.80.71.3
20054.23.02.0
20061.54.24.6
2007-0.62.51.5
20082.2-2.3-2.8
2009-0.29.15.3
20100.92.23.3
20112.96.61.8
20122.13.33.0
20130.65.53.5
20141.1-3.0-1.6
2015-4.14.5-3.1
STOPA INWESTYCJI
RokMaMoR3EUImpactModIIHermin
2004-0.10.10.4
20050.60.60.8
20060.91.21.9
20070.71.62.4
20081.01.31.5
20091.23.03.0
20101.33.53.9
20111.43.84.0
20121.74.44.6
20131.65.95.2
20141.75.14.5
20150.84.13.5
STRUKTURA WARTOCI DODANEJ BRUTTO
Sektor ISektor IISektor III
RokMaMoR3EUImpactModIIHerminMaMoR3EUImpactModIIHerminMaMoR3EUImpactModIIHermin
20040.00.0-0.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.0
20050.00.0-0.10.00.10.10.0-0.1-0.0
20060.0-0.1-0.10.10.20.20.0-0.1-0.1
20070.0-0.1-0.20.10.20.3-0.1-0.1-0.1
20080.0-0.1-0.10.20.10.2-0.2-0.1-0.1
20090.0-0.1-0.20.20.40.4-0.2-0.3-0.2
20100.0-0.1-0.30.30.50.6-0.3-0.4-0.3
20110.0-0.2-0.30.40.70.6-0.4-0.5-0.4
20120.0-0.2-0.30.50.80.8-0.5-0.6-0.5
20130.0-0.2-0.40.61.00.9-0.6-0.8-0.6
20140.0-0.2-0.30.70.90.9-0.6-0.8-0.5
20150.0-0.1-0.30.81.00.8-0.8-0.8-0.5
WSKANIK ZATRUDNIENIA
RokMaMoR3EUImpactModIIHermin
2004-0.10.10.1
20050.00.40.2
20060.11.00.5
20070.31.30.6
20080.41.00.5
20090.52.51.0
20100.72.81.2
20110.93.71.4
20121.04.41.7
20131.35.22.0
20141.54.61.9
20151.63.71.7
STOPA BEZOBOCIA
RokMaMoR3EUImpactModIIHermin
20040.1-0.2-0.1
20050.0-0.9-0.3
2006-0.2-1.6-0.7
2007-0.5-0.9-1.0
2008-0.7-0.4-0.8
2009-0.7-2.6-1.5
2010-1.1-2.4-1.8
2011-1.4-3.3-2.2
2012-1.6-3.1-2.6
2013-2.1-3.5-3.1
2014-2.3-2.1-2.9
2015-2.4-1.6-2.7
LICZBA PRACUJCYCH
RokMaMoR3EUImpactModIIHermin
2004-14.022.715.0
20051.0108.845.0
200631.0266.9125.0
200791.0347.7165.0
2008117.0266.6134.0
2009122.0668.6255.0
2010188.0748.4315.0
2011243.0983.1369.0
2012285.01146.3439.0
2013343.01356.4523.0
2014398.01183.5502.0
2015421.0943.3456.0
INFLACJA
RokMaMoR3EUImpactModIIHermin
20040.70.0-
20050.10.0-
20060.10.0-
20070.10.0-
2008-0.30.0-
20090.20.0-
2010-0.10.0-
20110.00.0-
2012-0.10.0-
20130.00.0-
2014-0.30.0-
2015-0.10.0-
DEFICYT SFP
RokMaMoR3EUImpactModIIHermin
2004-0.40.00.0
2005-0.50.10.0
2006-0.70.20.1
2007-0.60.30.1
2008-0.30.30.2
2009-0.50.40.7
2010-0.40.50.9
20110.00.71.2
20120.30.91.5
20130.51.11.8
20141.01.11.8
20151.40.81.7
DUG PUBLICZNY
RokMaMoR3EUImpactModIIHermin
20040.30.0-0.1
20050.7-0.2-0.3
20061.2-0.6-0.9
20071.5-0.7-1.3
20081.4-0.7-1.4
20091.7-1.7-2.2
20101.7-2.2-3.0
20111.3-3.0-3.9
20120.6-3.8-4.6
2013-0.3-4.5-5.4
2014-1.6-4.3-5.7
2015-3.3-3.9-5.5
EKSPORT w ujciu towarowym
RokMaMoR3EUImpactModIIHermin
20040.00.0-
20050.3-0.3-
20060.7-0.3-
20071.3-0.6-
20082.0-0.5-
20092.5-0.1-
20103.2-0.8-
20113.7-0.5-
20124.3-0.5-
20134.9-0.2-
20145.90.2-
20156.51.6-
IMPORT w ujciu towarowym
RokMaMoR3EUImpactModIIHermin
20040.90.1-
20050.70.2-
20061.00.5-
20071.40.1-
20081.11.3-
20091.60.8-
20102.11.3-
20112.91.1-
20123.51.6-
20134.60.8-
20144.90.5-
20155.6-1.3-
SALDO OBROTW BIECYCH BILANSU PATNICZEGO W RELACJI DO PKB
RokMaMoR3EUImpactModIIHermin
2004-0.20.0-
20050.4-0.1-
20061.3-0.3-
20071.7-0.4-
20081.6-0.4-
20092.6-0.7-
20103.1-0.8-
20113.1-0.8-
20123.5-0.8-
20133.8-0.8-
20143.6-0.8-
20153.1-0.8-
porwnanie 3 modeli
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
MaMoR3
EUImpactModIII
Hermin
%
porwnanie danych historycznych
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
MaMoR3
EUImpactModIII
Hermin
pkt proc.
Kaczor SFP
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
MaMoR3
EUImpactModIII
Hermin
pkt proc.
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
MaMoR3
EUImpactModIII
Hermin
pkt proc.
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
MaMoR3
EUImpactModIII
Hermin
pkt proc.
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
MaMoR3
EUImpactModIII
Hermin
pkt proc.
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
MaMoR3
EUImpactModIII
Hermin
pkt proc.
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
MaMoR3
EUImpactModIII
Hermin
%
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
MaMoR3
EUImpactModIII
Hermin
pkt proc.
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
MaMoR3
EUImpactModIII
Hermin
pkt proc.
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
MaMoR3
EUImpactModIII
Hermin
pkt proc.
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
MaMoR3
EUImpactModIII
Hermin
pkt proc.
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
MaMoR3
EUImpactModIII
Hermin
tys. osb
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
MaMoR3
EUImpactModIII
pkt proc.
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
MaMoR3
EUImpactModIII
Hermin
pkt proc.
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
MaMoR3
EUImpactModIII
Hermin
pkt proc.
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
MaMoR3
EUImpactModIII
pkt proc.
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
MaMoR3
EUImpactModIII
%
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
MaMoR3
EUImpactModIII
%
Wskanik200420052006200720082009rdo danych
Tempo zmian PKB, rok poprzedni=1005.33.66.26.85.11.7http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls
MaMoR5.33.66.26.85.11.8
EUImpactMod5.33.66.26.85.21.7
Poziom PKB, w cenach biecych w mld z9259831,0601,1771,2751,344http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls
MaMoR9259831,0601,1771,2751,344
EUImpactMod9259831,0601,1771,2761,344
Poziom PKB (w PPS) na mieszkaca w odniesieniu do UE-27515152545761http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls
MaMoR515152545861
EUImpactMod515152545761
Wskanik zatrudnienia ludnoci w wieku 15-64 ogem (przecitne w roku, BAEL)51.752.854.557.059.259.3http://appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/nui/show.do?query=BOOKMARK_DS-053312_QID_16B533E6_UID_-3F171EB0&layout=TIME,C,X,0;GEO,L,Y,0;SEX,L,Z,0;INDIC_EM,L,Z,1;INDICATORS,C,Z,2;&zSelection=DS-053312INDIC_EM,EMP_RT_15_64;DS-053312SEX,T;DS-053312INDICATORS,OBS_FLA
MaMoR51.752.854.557.059.259.3
EUImpactMod51.953.053.957.059.059.1
Pracujcy w wieku 15-64 ogem (w tys., przecitne w roku, BAEL)13,50413,83414,33814,99715,55715,630http://appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/nui/show.do?query=BOOKMARK_DS-053312_QID_4D3DFA67_UID_-3F171EB0&layout=TIME,C,X,0;GEO,L,Y,0;SEX,L,Z,0;INDIC_EM,L,Z,1;INDICATORS,C,Z,2;&zSelection=DS-053312INDIC_EM,EMP_15_64;DS-053312SEX,T;DS-053312INDICATORS,OBS_FLAG;&
MaMoR13,50413,83414,33814,99715,55715,630
EUImpactMod13,50413,83514,19014,99615,55715,630
Stopa bezrobocia ludnoci w wieku 15-64 ogem (przecitne w roku, BAEL)19.017.813.99.67.18.2http://appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/nui/show.do?query=BOOKMARK_DS-055418_QID_-3219821D_UID_-3F171EB0&layout=TIME,C,X,0;GEO,L,Y,0;S_ADJ,L,Z,0;AGE,L,Z,1;SEX,L,Z,2;INDICATORS,C,Z,3;&zSelection=DS-055418INDICATORS,OBS_FLAG;DS-055418S_ADJ,NSA;DS-055418SEX,T;DS
MaMoR19.017.813.99.67.18.2
EUImpactMod19.318.014.29.77.28.3
Bezrobotni w wieku 15-64 (w tys., przecitne w roku, BAEL)3,2303,0452,3441,6191,2111,411http://appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/nui/show.do?query=BOOKMARK_DS-055416_QID_-60A2F508_UID_-3F171EB0&layout=TIME,C,X,0;GEO,L,Y,0;S_ADJ,L,Z,0;AGE,L,Z,1;SEX,L,Z,2;INDICATORS,C,Z,3;&zSelection=DS-055416INDICATORS,OBS_FLAG;DS-055416SEX,T;DS-055416AGE,TOTAL;DS
MaMoR3,2303,0452,3441,6191,2111,411
EUImpactMod3,2303,0452,3391,6191,2111,4091652.15040607741537.37821352481354.88152527741316.12664590951485.48336552411589.8672723808
Struktura wartoci dodanej brutto wg gwnych sektorw gospodarki (w cenach biecych, w mln z)821,665.0866,329.0931,179.01,029,442.01,116,476.01,193,982.0http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls
- sektor I (sekcje A-B),41,749.039,051.039,712.044,377.041,556.043,345.0
- sektor II (sekcje C-F),252,705.0266,043.0289,680.0325,684.0352,110.0379,227.0
- sektor III (sekcje G-Q),527,211.0561,235.0601,787.0659,381.0722,810.0771,410.0
- w tym usugi rynkowe405,436.0431,834.0465,856.0512,340.0560,471.0595,797.0
Struktura wartoci dodanej brutto wg gwnych sektorw gospodarki (w cenach biecych, w %)100.0100.0100.0100.0100.0
- sektor I (sekcje A-B),5.14.54.34.33.73.6
MaMoR5.14.54.34.33.73.6
EUImpactMod5.04.54.34.33.73.6
- sektor II (sekcje C-F),30.830.731.131.631.531.8
MaMoR30.830.731.131.631.531.8
EUImpactMod30.329.530.230.831.029.9
- sektor III (sekcje G-Q),64.264.864.664.164.764.6
MaMoR64.164.864.664.164.764.6
EUImpactMod64.766.065.664.965.366.5
- w tym usugi rynkowe49.349.850.049.850.249.9
MaMoR49.349.950.049.850.249.9
EUImpactMod49.350.550.550.150.351.9
Struktura pracujcych wg gwnych sektorw gospodarki (przecitne w roku, BAEL)http://appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/nui/show.do?query=BOOKMARK_DS-053316_QID_-766D0C69_UID_-3F171EB0&layout=TIME,C,X,0;GEO,L,Y,0;SEX,L,Z,0;INDIC_EM,L,Z,1;INDICATORS,C,Z,2;&zSelection=DS-053316SEX,T;DS-053316INDIC_EM,AGRI_RT;DS-053316INDICATORS,OBS_FLAG;&r
- sektor I (sekcje A-B),18.017.415.814.714.0
MaMoR18.017.415.814.714.013.3
EUImpactMod17.917.315.714.713.913.2
- sektor II (sekcje C-F),28.829.229.930.631.4
MaMoR28.829.230.030.831.931.1
EUImpactMod28.929.330.030.831.931.1
- sektor III (sekcje G-Q),53.253.554.454.654.6
MaMoR53.253.454.254.554.155.6
EUImpactMod53.253.454.254.654.255.6
Wydajno pracy w odniesieniu do UE-2761.561.360.761.961.965.0http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/tgm/table.do?tab=table&init=1&language=en&pcode=tsieb030&plugin=1
MaMoR61.561.360.761.762.265.3
EUImpactMod61.461.261.760.863.166.5
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae (w cenach biecych w mln z)167,158179,180208,308253,729283,906285,230http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls
MaMoR167,200179,200208,308253,729280,935281,920
EUImpactMod167,200179,200208,308253,729283,900283,600
Tempo wzrostu nakadw brutto na rodki trwae (w cenach staych, rok poprzedni=100)106.4106.5114.9117.6109.698.9http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls
MaMoR106.4106.5114.9117.6108.299.6
EUImpactMod104.4104.4114.5117.2108.596.5
Stopa inwestycji18.118.219.721.622.321.2http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls
MaMoR18.118.219.721.622.121.1
EUImpactMod18.118.219.721.622.221.1
Inflacja CPI (przecitne roku)3.52.11.02.54.23.5http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls
MaMoR3.52.11.02.54.23.5
EUImpactMod3.52.11.02.54.24.0
Saldo obrotw biecych w relacji do PKB (w cenach biecych)-4.0-1.2-2.7-4.7-4.8-2.2http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls
MaMoR-4.0-1.2-2.7-4.7-4.8-2.2
EUImpactMod-4.0-1.2-2.7-4.7-5.1-1.9
Eksport w ujciu patniczym
warto obrotw towarowych (w mln EUR w cenach biecych)65,84777,56293,406105,893120,890101,760http://www.nbp.pl/home.aspx?f=/statystyka/bilans_platniczy/bilansplatniczy_r.html
MaMoR65,84777,56293,406105,893120,890101,760
EUImpactMod69,30086,600104,100121,500144,400111,700
tempo zmian wolumenu118.2110.6116.1109.4106.892.0http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls
MaMoR118.2110.6116.1109.4106.891.7
EUImpactMod114.0108.0114.6109.1107.192.0
Import w ujciu patniczym
warto obrotw towarowych (w mln EUR w cenach biecych)70,39979,80498,945118,262138,614104,862http://www.nbp.pl/home.aspx?f=/statystyka/bilans_platniczy/bilansplatniczy_r.html
MaMoR70,39979,80498,945118,262138,614104,862
EUImpactMod75,41691,325112,379136,734163,835119,196
tempo zmian wolumenu117.3105.2116.8115.1108.585.7http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls
MaMoR117.3105.2116.8115.1108.586.9
EUImpactMod115.8104.7117.3113.7108.086.5
Wynik sektora finansw publicznych w relacji do PKB-5.7-4.1-3.6-1.9-3.7-7.1http://www.mofnet.gov.pl/_files_/dlug_publiczny/obligacje_hurtowe/raporty_roczne/raport_roczny_2009.pdf
MaMoR-5.4-4.1-3.6-1.9-3.7-7.2
EUImpactMod-5.7-4.3-3.9-1.9-3.7-7.2
Dug publiczny w relacji do PKB46.747.547.844.846.949.8http://www.mofnet.gov.pl/_files_/dlug_publiczny/obligacje_hurtowe/raporty_roczne/raport_roczny_2009.pdf
MaMoR45.747.147.745.047.150.9
EUImpactMod45.747.147.745.047.250.9
Napyw BIZ (w mln EUR w cenach biecych)10,2378,33015,74117,24210,1289,896http://www.nbp.pl/home.aspx?f=/statystyka/bilans_platniczy/bilansplatniczy_r.html
MaMoR------
EUImpactMod11,5009,30017,90020,60012,4009,100
http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls
http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls
http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls
http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls
http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls
http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls
http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls
http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls
http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls
http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls
http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls
DEFICYT SFP
RokMaMoR IMaMoR IIMaMoR IIIMaMoR IVMaasricht2010
20040.10.10.10.40.7
20050.10.10.20.51.1
20060.30.30.30.71.4
20070.10.20.20.60.9
2008-0.1000.30.7
20090000.51
2010-0.2-0.3-0.10.40.7
2011-0.5-0.6-0.400.1
2012-0.7-0.8-0.6-0.3-0.2
2013-1-1-0.9-0.5-0.8
2014-1.4-1.3-1.3-1-1.3
2015-1.8-1.7-1.5-1.4-1.7
DUG PUBLICZNY
RokMaMoR3 IMaMoR3 IIMaMoR3 IIIMaMoR3 IVMaasricht2010
2004-0.3-0.2-0.20.30.6
2005-0.4-0.3-0.30.71.6
2006-0.7-0.6-0.71.22.6
2007-0.7-0.7-0.71.52.9
2008-0.8-0.8-0.71.43.1
2009-1.3-1.2-0.41.73.7
2010-1.5-1.3-1.41.73.9
2011-1.6-1.2-1.51.33.4
2012-1.8-1.3-1.60.62.6
2013-1.9-1.4-1.8-0.31.3
2014-1.9-1.4-1.9-1.6-0.5
2015-1.8-1.2-2-3.3-2.6
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
MaMoR I
MaMoR II
MaMoR III
MaMoR IV
Maasricht2010
pkt proc.
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
MaMoR I
MaMoR II
MaMoR III
MaMoR IV
Maasricht2010
pkt proc.
Wykres1
1.86.2
2.77.1
35
3.14.5
3.94.3
21.2
1.31.4
1.43.9
2.55.3
23.6
3.36.2
3.26.8
0.35.1
-4.31.6
23.9
1.54.3
EU-27
Poland
%
GDP change in Poland and EU-27
SPIS1
SPIS TABLIC
Tab.1. Zmiany PKB w wybranych krajach UE-27( %)
Tab.2. Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27 ( %, q/q-1, dane SA )
Tab.2a. Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27 ( %, q/q-4 )
Tab.3. Zmiany WDB ( %, dane roczne)
Tab.3a. Zmiany WDB w kwartaach ( %, q/q-4)
Tabl.4. Zmiany elementw popytu krajowego (%, dane roczne)
Tabl.4a. Zmiany elementw popytu krajowego w kwartaach (%, q/q-4)
Tabl.5. Skala wpywu wybranych kategorii na wzrost PKB (pp., q/q-4)
Tabl.5a. Skala wpywu wybranych kategorii na wzrost PKB w kwartaach (pp., q/q-4)
Tabl.6. Dynamika PKB w kwartaach (%, q/q-4, dane NSA)
1.KRAJE-UE
Tab.1. Zmiany PKB w wybranych krajach UE-27( %)
20061996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011
EU-273.21.82.73.03.13.92.01.31.42.52.03.33.20.3-4.32.01.5
Poland6.26.27.15.04.54.31.21.43.95.33.66.26.85.11.63.94.3
Francja2.22.40.2-2.61.6
Hiszpania4.03.60.9-3.7-0.1
Irlandia5.45.6-3.5-7.6-0.2
Niemcy3.22.71.0-4.73.6
Republika Czeska6.86.12.5-4.12.4
Wgry4.00.80.8-6.71.2
Wielka Brytania2.92.7-0.1-4.91.3
Wochy2.01.5-1.3-5.21.3
rdo: Eurostat (V 2011), GUS (13 V 2011)
akt. 23 III 2011
1.KRAJE-UE
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
EU-27
Poland
%
Zmiany PKB w Polsce i UE-27
wykres
Tab.1. Zmiany PKB w wybranych krajach UE-27( %)
2004200520062007200820092010
EU-272.52.03.23.00.5-4.21.8
Poland5.33.66.26.85.11.63.8
Francja2.40.2-2.61.6
Hiszpania3.60.9-3.7-0.1
Irlandia5.6-3.5-7.6-0.2
Niemcy2.71.0-4.73.6
Republika Czeska6.12.5-4.12.4
Wgry0.80.8-6.71.2
Wielka Brytania2.7-0.1-4.91.3
Wochy1.5-1.3-5.21.3
rdo: Eurostat (III 2011),
akt. 23 III 2011
wykres
1.86.2
2.77.1
35
3.14.5
3.94.3
21.2
1.31.4
1.43.9
2.55.3
23.6
3.26.2
36.8
0.55.1
-4.21.6
1.83.8
EU-27
Poland
%
Zmiany PKB w Polsce i UE-27
2.QQ-1-FULL
Tab.2. Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27 ( %, q/q-1, dane SA )
Iq06IIq06IIIq06IVq06Iq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10Iq11
EU-270.60.90.80.50.60.50.8-0.2-0.5-1.9-2.5-0.20.30.30.41.00.50.20.8
Poland1.71.62.01.41.81.61.32.21.40.70.8-0.40.40.60.41.50.61.11.20.81.0
rdo: Eurostat (8 VI 2011), GUS (31 VI 2011)
2.QQ-1-FULL
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
Po
Pol
EU-27
Poland
%, dane SA
Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27 w ujciu q/q-1
2a.QQ-4
Tab.2a. Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27 ( %, q/q-4 )
KwartayIq06IIq06IIIq06IVq06Iq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10Iq11
EU-27 (SA)3.13.43.52.82.82.42.41.70.7-1.7-5.0-5.1-4.3-2.20.62.02.22.12.5
Poland (SA)5.16.26.56.87.07.06.27.16.75.75.22.51.51.30.92.83.13.64.63.94.3
Poland (NSA)5.46.36.66.67.56.66.66.66.36.15.23.20.41.01.63.23.03.44.24.54.4
rdo: Eurostat (8 VI 2011), GUS (31 V 2011)
2a.QQ-4
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
EU-27 (SA)
Poland (SA)
%, dane SA
Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27, q/q-4
3a.Q-WDB
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
EU-27 (SA)
Poland (SA)
%, dane SA
Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27, q/q-4
4a.Q-DYNAMIKA
Tab.3a. Zmiany WDB w kwartaach ( %, q/q-4)
Iq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10Iq11
WDB7.76.46.36.45.86.35.03.70.90.91.93.42.82.93.73.94.1
Przemys11.48.89.210.710.39.86.71.5-5.5-4.5-0.65.89.911.510.26.57.8
Usugi rynkowe6.76.26.46.86.36.05.55.71.21.10.30.5-0.20.51.93.33.3
rdo:GUS (31 V 2011)
4a.Q-DYNAMIKA
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
WDB
Przemys
Usugi rynkowe
%, dane NSA, q/q-4
Zmiany WDB i jej gwnych skadowych
3.Y-WDB
Tabl.4a. Zmiany elementw popytu krajowego w kwartaach (%, q/q-4)
KategoriaIq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10Iq11
PKB7.56.66.66.66.36.15.23.20.41.01.63.23.03.44.24.54.4
Popyt krajowy109.3109.1108.7107.9107.3106.3104.8103.599.0
Spoycie ogem6.14.64.63.35.85.75.67.23.51.21.81.51.93.03.64.83.3
Akumulacja128.6130.6125.4118.8116.4109.7103.495.476.2
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae23.819.016.615.117.115.25.66.1-1.4-3.7-1.90.8-11.4-0.41.51.66.0
Export111.2108.0109.0108.4110.4111.2108.699.385.4
Import115.5114.1113.9111.6113.2111.9107.8101.082.4
WDB107.7106.4106.3106.4105.6106.2104.9103.4101.2
rdo: GUS (31 V 2011)
3.Y-WDB
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
PKB
Popyt krajowy
Spoycie ogem
Akumulacja
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae
%. q/q-4, dane NSA
Zmiany elementw popytu krajowego
inwestycje
Tab.3. Zmiany WDB ( %, dane roczne)
200220032004200520062007200820092010
WDB6.03.65.23.36.06.75.11.83.3
Przemys10.07.810.53.510.010.16.8-0.99.3
Budownictwo11.6-2.91.87.811.610.84.611.43.9
Usugi rynkowe5.52.54.23.65.56.55.90.81.4
usugi nierynkowe1.22.71.92.40.9
rdo:GUS (31 V 2011)
13 V - ZMIANA DANYCH ZA 2009 i 2010
inwestycje
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
WDB
Przemys
Budownictwo
Usugi rynkowe
%
Wzrost WDB w przekroju sektorw ekonomicznych
4.Y-dy.pop.
akt. 26 IV 2011
20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010
PKB Polska4.31.21.43.95.33.66.26.85.11.63.8
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae - Polska,2.7-9.7-6.3-0.16.46.514.917.69.6-1.1-1.2
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae - UE-274.60.8-0.61.33.13.56.15.8-0.8-12.0-0.7
Stopa inwestycji (relacja nakadw brutto na23.720.718.718.218.118.219.721.622.321.219.7
w tym publiczne3.43.33.43.43.94.24.65.25.6
UE-2720.720.219.619.519.620.020.721.321.119.118.5
4.Y-dy.pop.
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
Polska
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae - UE-27
%, r/r, ceny stae
Zmiany nakadw brutto na rodki trwae
5.Y-impakty
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
Polska
UE-27
%
Stopa inwestycji
5a. Q-IMPAKTY
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
stopa inwestycji ogem
stopa inwestycji publicznych
%
Stopa inwestycji
6.Q-Dynamika
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
PKB Polska
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae - Polska,
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae - UE-27
%
wydaj
Tabl.4. Zmiany elementw popytu krajowego (%, r/r)
Kategoria20072008200920102011
PKB6.85.11.63.8
Popyt krajowy8.75.6-1.04.4
Spoycie ogem4.66.12.03.3
Akumulacja24.34.0-11.58.5
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae17.69.6-1.2-1.0
Export9.17.1
Import17.313.7
WDB6.75.01.7
rdo: GUS (31 V 2011)
wydaj
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
2007
2008
2009
2010
%
Elementy popytu krajowego
DNB
Tabl.5. Skala wpywu wybranych kategorii na wzrost PKB (pp., q/q-4)
Kategoria200620062007200820092010
PKB6.26.26.85.11.63.8
Popyt krajowy7.37.38.95.7-1.14.4
Spoycie ogem4.24.23.84.71.62.7
spoycie indywidualne3.03.41.31.9
Akumulacja3.13.15.11.0-2.71.7
nakady brutto na rodki trwae2.72.73.42.1-0.3-0.2
Saldo obrotw z zagranic-1.1-1.1-2.1-0.62.7-0.6
rdo: GUS (31 V 2011)
DNB
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Skala wpywu na realny wzrost PKB
Arkusz1
00000
00000
00000
00000
Spoycie ogem
spoycie indywidualne
Akumulacja
nakady brutto na rodki trwae
Saldo obrotw z zagranic
pp.
Tabl.5a. Skala wpywu wybranych kategorii na wzrost PKB w kwartaach (PKB NSA, w %, q/q-4)
KategoriaIq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10Iq11
PKB7.56.66.66.66.36.15.23.20.41.01.63.23.03.44.24.54.4
Popyt krajowy9.39.39.08.17.76.95.43.4-1.9-2.8-1.31.12.04.44.56.24.5
Spoycie ogem5.23.93.82.44.94.74.55.03.11.01.51.11.62.43.03.42.9
Akumulacja4.15.45.25.72.82.20.9-1.6-5.0-3.8-2.80.00.42.01.52.81.6
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae3.03.23.24.32.42.91.21.8-0.2-0.8-0.40.3-1.7-0.10.30.50.7
Saldo obrotw z zagranic-1.8-2.7-2.4-1.5-1.4-0.8-0.2-0.22.33.82.92.11.0-1.0-0.3-1.7-0.1
WDB6.95.75.55.65.15.54.33.20.80.81.62.92.62.53.33.43.7
rdo: GUS (31 V 2011)
Akt: 14 VII 2010
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
PKB
Popyt krajowy
Spoycie ogem
Akumulacja
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae
Saldo obrotw z zagranic
WDB
Czynniki wzrostu PKB
Tabl.6. Dynamika PKB w kwartaach (%, q/q-4, dane NSA)
KategoriaIq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09
PKB107.5106.6106.6106.6106.1105.9105.0102.9100.8
Popyt krajowy109.3109.1108.7107.9107.3106.3104.8103.599.0
Spoycie ogem106.1104.6104.6103.3105.5105.4105.3107.3103.9
Akumulacja128.6130.6125.4118.8116.4109.7103.495.476.2
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae123.8119.0116.6115.1115.7114.6103.5104.6101.2
Export111.2108.0109.0108.4110.4111.2108.699.385.4
Import115.5114.1113.9111.6113.2111.9107.8101.082.4
WDB107.7106.4106.3106.4105.6106.2104.9103.4101.2
rdo: GUS
DO AKTUALIZACJI
20032004200520062007200820092010
UE-27
Dynamika PKB102.5102.0103.2103.0100.595.8101.8
Dynamika pracujcych 15+102.0101.9101.298.399.4
Dynamika wydajnoci pracy101.2101.199.397.5102.4
Polska
Dynamika PKB105.3103.6106.2106.8105.1101.6103.8
Dynamika pracujcych 15+103.4104.4103.7100.4100.6
Dynamika wydajnoci pracy102.7102.3101.4101.2103.2
20032004200520062007200820092010
UE-27
Pracujcy 15+210794.2214936.3219070.3221673.3217812.8216449.2
Dynamika r/r102.0101.9101.298.399.4
Polska
Pracujcy 15+14115.614593.615240.515799.815868.015960.5
Dynamika r/r103.4104.4103.7100.4100.6
20062007200820092010
Dynamika wydajnoci pracy UE-27101.2101.199.397.5102.4
Dynamika wydajnoci pracy Polska102.7102.3101.4101.2103.2
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
UE-27
Dynamika PKB
Dynamika pracujcych 15+
Dynamika wydajnoci pracy
UE-27
000
000
000
000
000
Dynamika PKB
Dynamika pracujcych 15+
Dynamika wydajnoci pracy
Polska
00
00
00
00
00
Dynamika wydajnoci pracy UE-27
Dynamika wydajnoci pracy Polska
Tabl. PKB i DNB w mln z
2000200520082009
PKB74437898330212754321343657
Saldo dochodu z zagranicy-2692-18769-25678-47463
DNB74168996453312497541296194
Ludno38255.938161.338115.938153.4
Na 1 mieszkaca w z
PKB19458257673346235217
DNB19388252753278833973
rnica704926741244
MBD000A237F.xls
Wykres1
2.55.3
23.6
3.26.2
36.8
0.55.1
-4.21.7
1.83.8
UE-27
Polska
%
Zmiany PKB w Polsce i UE-27
SPIS1
SPIS TABLIC
Tab.1. Zmiany PKB w wybranych krajach UE-27( %)
Tab.2. Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27 ( %, q/q-1, dane SA )
Tab.2a. Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27 ( %, q/q-4 )
Tab.3. Zmiany WDB ( %, dane roczne)
Tab.3a. Zmiany WDB w kwartaach ( %, q/q-4)
Tabl.4. Zmiany elementw popytu krajowego (%, dane roczne)
Tabl.4a. Zmiany elementw popytu krajowego w kwartaach (%, q/q-4)
Tabl.5. Skala wpywu wybranych kategorii na wzrost PKB (pp., q/q-4)
Tabl.5a. Skala wpywu wybranych kategorii na wzrost PKB w kwartaach (pp., q/q-4)
Tabl.6. Dynamika PKB w kwartaach (%, q/q-4, dane NSA)
1.KRAJE-UE
Tab.1. Zmiany PKB w wybranych krajach UE-27( %)
20062004200520062007200820092010
UE-273.22.52.03.23.00.5-4.21.8
Polska6.25.33.66.26.85.11.73.8
Francja2.22.40.2-2.61.6
Hiszpania4.03.60.9-3.7-0.1
Irlandia5.45.6-3.5-7.6-0.2
Niemcy3.22.71.0-4.73.6
Republika Czeska6.86.12.5-4.12.4
Wgry4.00.80.8-6.71.2
Wielka Brytania2.92.7-0.1-4.91.3
Wochy2.01.5-1.3-5.21.3
rdo: Eurostat (III 2011),
akt. 23 III 2011
1.KRAJE-UE
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
%
Zmiany PKB w wybranych krajach UE-27
DNB
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
UE-27
Polska
%
Zmiany PKB w Polsce i UE-27
2.QQ-1-FULL
Tabl. PKB i DNB w mln z
2000200520082009
PKB74437898330212754321343657
Saldo dochodu z zagranicy-2692-18769-25678-47463
DNB74168996453312497541296194
Ludno38255.938161.338115.938153.4
Na 1 mieszkaca w z
PKB19458257673346235217
DNB19388252753278833973
rnica704926741244
2a.QQ-4
Tab.2. Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27 ( %, q/q-1, dane SA )
Iq06IIq06IIIq06IVq06Iq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10
UE-270.60.90.80.50.60.50.8-0.2-0.5-1.9-2.5-0.20.30.30.41.00.50.2
Polska1.71.62.01.41.81.61.32.21.40.70.8-0.40.40.60.41.50.61.11.20.8
rdo: Eurostat (15 II 2011), GUS (2 III 2011)
2a.QQ-4
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
Po
Pol
UE-27
Polska
%, dane SA
Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27 w ujciu q/q-1
3a.Q-WDB
Tab.2a. Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27 ( %, q/q-4 )
KwartayIq06IIq06IIIq06IVq06Iq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10
UE-27 (SA)3.13.43.52.82.82.42.41.70.7-1.7-5.0-5.1-4.3-2.20.62.02.22.1
Polska (SA)5.16.26.56.87.07.06.27.16.75.75.22.51.51.41.02.93.13.74.63.9
Polska (NSA)5.46.36.66.67.56.66.66.66.36.15.23.20.51.01.73.23.03.54.24.4
rdo: Eurostat (1 II 2011), GUS (2 III 2011)
3a.Q-WDB
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
UE-27 (SA)
Polska (SA)
%, dane SA
Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27, q/q-4
4a.Q-DYNAMIKA
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
UE-27 (SA)
Polska (SA)
%, dane SA
Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27, q/q-4
3.Y-WDB
Tab.3a. Zmiany WDB w kwartaach ( %, q/q-4)
Iq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10
WDB7.76.46.36.45.86.35.03.70.91.01.93.42.83.03.83.8
Przemys11.48.89.210.710.39.86.71.5-4.9-3.80.26.19.711.410.26.2
Usugi rynkowe6.76.26.46.86.36.05.55.71.31.30.30.7-0.10.82.03.3
rdo:GUS (3 III 2011)
3.Y-WDB
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
WDB
Przemys
Usugi rynkowe
%, dane NSA, q/q-4
Zmiany WDB i jej gwnych skadowych
4.Y-dy.pop.
Tabl.4a. Zmiany elementw popytu krajowego w kwartaach (%, q/q-4)
KategoriaIq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10
PKB7.56.66.66.66.36.15.23.20.51.01.73.23.03.54.24.4
Popyt krajowy109.3109.1108.7107.9107.3106.3104.8103.599.0
Spoycie ogem6.14.64.63.35.85.75.67.23.51.21.81.52.12.83.64.4
Akumulacja128.6130.6125.4118.8116.4109.7103.495.476.2
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae23.819.016.615.117.115.25.66.11.0-3.6-1.70.8-12.8-1.70.40.9
Export111.2108.0109.0108.4110.4111.2108.699.385.4
Import115.5114.1113.9111.6113.2111.9107.8101.082.4
WDB107.7106.4106.3106.4105.6106.2104.9103.4101.2
rdo: GUS (3 III 2011)
4.Y-dy.pop.
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
PKB
Popyt krajowy
Spoycie ogem
Akumulacja
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae
%. q/q-4, dane NSA
Zmiany elementw popytu krajowego
5.Y-impakty
Tab.3. Zmiany WDB ( %, dane roczne)
200620032004200520062007200820092010
WDB6.03.65.23.36.06.75.11.83.3
Przemys10.07.810.53.510.010.16.8-0.39.2
Budownictwo11.6-2.91.87.811.610.84.69.93.8
Usugi rynkowe5.52.54.23.65.56.55.90.91.5
usugi nierynkowe1.22.71.92.4
rdo:GUS (28 I 2011)
5.Y-impakty
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
WDB
Przemys
Budownictwo
Usugi rynkowe
%
Wzrost WDB w przekroju sektorw ekonomicznych
5a. Q-IMPAKTY
Tabl.4. Zmiany elementw popytu krajowego (%, r/r)
Kategoria20072008200920102011
PKB6.85.11.73.8
Popyt krajowy8.75.6-1.03.9
Spoycie ogem4.66.12.03.2
Akumulacja24.34.0-11.46.7
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae17.69.6-1.1-2.0
Export9.17.1
Import17.313.7
WDB6.75.01.7
rdo: GUS (28 I 2011)
5a. Q-IMPAKTY
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
2007
2008
2009
2010
%
Elementy popytu krajowego
6.Q-Dynamika
Tabl.5. Skala wpywu wybranych kategorii na wzrost PKB (pp., q/q-4)
Kategoria200620062007200820092010
PKB6.26.26.85.11.73.8
Popyt krajowy7.37.38.95.7-1.14.0
Spoycie ogem4.24.23.84.71.72.6
Akumulacja3.13.15.11.0-2.81.4
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae2.72.73.42.1-0.2-0.4
Saldo obrotw z zagranic-1.1-1.1-2.1-0.62.8-0.2
rdo: GUS (30III 2011)
6.Q-Dynamika
000
000
000
000
000
2006
2007
2008
2009
pp.
Skala wpywu na wzrost realny PKB
Arkusz1
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
pp.
Skala wpywu na realny wzrost PKB
Tabl.5a. Skala wpywu wybranych kategorii na wzrost PKB w kwartaach (PKB NSA, w %, q/q-4)
KategoriaIq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10
PKB7.56.66.66.66.36.15.23.20.51.01.73.23.03.54.24.4
Popyt krajowy9.39.39.08.17.76.95.43.4-2.0-2.6-1.31.12.03.94.25.6
Spoycie ogem5.23.93.82.44.94.74.55.03.31.01.51.11.92.32.93.2
Akumulacja4.15.45.25.72.82.20.9-1.6-5.3-3.6-2.80.00.11.61.32.4
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae3.03.23.24.32.42.91.21.8-0.2-0.8-0.40.3-1.9-0.30.10.3
Saldo obrotw z zagranic-1.8-2.7-2.4-1.5-1.4-0.8-0.2-0.22.53.63.02.11.0-0.40.0-1.2
WDB6.95.75.55.65.15.54.33.20.90.81.72.92.62.63.33.4
rdo: GUS (3 III 2011)
Akt: 14 VII 2010
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
PKB
Popyt krajowy
Spoycie ogem
Akumulacja
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae
Saldo obrotw z zagranic
WDB
Czynniki wzrostu PKB
Tabl.6. Dynamika PKB w kwartaach (%, q/q-4, dane NSA)
KategoriaIq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09
PKB107.5106.6106.6106.6106.1105.9105.0102.9100.8
Popyt krajowy109.3109.1108.7107.9107.3106.3104.8103.599.0
Spoycie ogem106.1104.6104.6103.3105.5105.4105.3107.3103.9
Akumulacja128.6130.6125.4118.8116.4109.7103.495.476.2
Nakady brutto na rodki trwae123.8119.0116.6115.1115.7114.6103.5104.6101.2
Export111.2108.0109.0108.4110.4111.2108.699.385.4
Import115.5114.1113.9111.6113.2111.9107.8101.082.4
WDB107.7106.4106.3106.4105.6106.2104.9103.4101.2
rdo: GUS
DO AKTUALIZACJI
-
*Benefits to the EU-15 countries from the implementation of cohesion policy in V4 countries Comparison of total benefits of EU15 to net contributions of individual EU15 countries, in the part related to the implementation of the Cohesion Policy in Visegrad Group (V4: Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia) Each net euro invested under the Cohesion Policy by EU15 comes back in the form of additional exports of 61 cents
For Germany, Ireland and Luxembourg the gained benefits are higher than the costs
Source: Instytut Bada Strukturalnych: Evaluation of benefits to the EU-15 countries resulting from the implementation of the Cohesion Policy in the Visegrad Group countries (for MRD PL)
-
*Future in Poland: 2014-2020 programming period 72.9 billion EUR for Cohesion Policy for Poland strenghtening the implementation of Europe 2020 strategy incentives intergrated approach more effective use of territorial potential coordination of intervention (Territorial Contract) bigger decentralisation challenges for Poland for 2014-2020 are defined in:National Development Strategy 2020adopted by Council of Ministers on the 25 of September, 2012Its strategic objective is:to develop a base for further enhancement of the economy competitiveness, improvement of social and territorial cohesion and increase the efficiency and effectiveness of public sector.
-
*Lessons learned and good practices
-
*Lessons learned and good practices (1)Cohesion policy in Poland - conclusionsInstitutional and systemic changes in Poland, including enhancement of: Strategic planning and management Good governance Partnership principle Result-oriented policies, performance budgetCoordination with other European policies and national development policy: CAP, Maritime policy, Fishery policy national policiesIntegrated territorial approachEffective instrumentsFocus on pro-development measuresOpen to international cooperation: exchange of experience
-
*Lessons learned and good practices (2)Development policy in Poland how to deliver successful growth Use of territorial potentials of endogenous growthCoordination of territorialy oriented sectoral policiesDelivery mechanism that proved its worth in 2004-2006 and first years of 2007-2013 period :
Effective monitoring systemConditionalityPartnership principleNotable contribution to the shape of Cohesion Policy mutual relevancePolish response to financial crisis ? thematic and geographical concentration smart growth integrated approachObjective-oriented
-
*
Scope of cooperation: cohesion policy, regional policy, development policy, spatial policy, urban policy, evaluation Aim of cooperation:sharing experience with EU Member Statessupporting the EU candidate countries and countries in transition Forms of cooperation:organizing bilateral and multilateral meetings, seminars, workshops, study visits, internshipsrealizing development projectsconsultations via e-mailspublishing activityInternational cooperation
-
*
Internet websites of the Ministry of Regional Developmentwww.mrr.gov.plwww.funduszeeuropejskie.gov.pl
-
* Ministry of Regional Development ul. Wsplna 2/4 www.mrr.gov.pl www.funduszestrukturalne.gov.plThank you for the attentionPiotr uber Director of the Department of Structural Policy Coordination
*****************