Migration data for Leeds City Region What’s available and what does it tell us?
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Transcript of Migration data for Leeds City Region What’s available and what does it tell us?
Available data‘Easily’ accessible• Population trends, migration estimates and projections• Migrant workers• International students at universities• Pupil first language• National migration trends
Negotiable• Local authority level data on A8 workers• Asylum seekers and some refugees• Locally collected data by individual services
Sources of information and support
Links to:• (Inter)national and local datasets• Local Government Association guide• Commentary on national migration statistics and the
net migration target• Local Information Systems in the region
all can be found in our Introduction to Migration Statistics at: www.migrationyorkshire.org.uk/statistics
New JSNA Guide to Migrant Health (flier in packs)
Local Migration Profile project
Driven by partner agencies struggling to find and use migration data to prepare for migrants in their client groups
Flexible design
Regular outputs combining available data for each local authority area and subregions
Send me everything
How many immigrants are
there?
What’s unique?
Non-specialist audience
Compares different sources
Change over time and space
Compares locality to the regional ‘average’
Regular updates to include new data
Mainstream service applications
General migration background
(internal briefings, media)
Population profiling requirements
JSNA (health), LEA and EIA (LAs)
Targeting specific groups
burglary prevention (housing services), engaging with minority communities (police and fire services)
Research support
local studies (arts and leisure), choosing research sample sites (flooding)
Migrant service applications
Needs assessments for new services
(Red Cross destitution work, Barnardo’s scoping needs of asylum children)
Evidence in grant applications (Police)
Planning for existing services
(languages for translation materials, UKBA LITs)
Improving services
(asylum dispersal sites, improving LA support for vulnerable groups following inspection)
Migration trends in Leeds City Region (1)
Different causes of long-term population changeNatural change (births and deaths) significantly adding to Bradford and Kirklees, but reducing change in CravenInternal migration (within UK) significant in Craven, Barnsley and Selby, but reducing change in BradfordInternational migration adding to population growth everywhere, but significant in Bradford, Leeds and York
Stable net international migration levels in LCR but increasing churn in communities?ONS predicted varied changes at a local level, but overall an increase in both immigration and emigrationBut latest national statistics show less emigration than expected, so net migration may rise
International migration in LCR
Sources: ONS
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5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031
Imm
igra
tion
& E
mig
ratio
nTIM Immigration TIM Emigration
Migration trends in Leeds City Region (2)
Predictable levels of international students at university; changes in non-EU student imminent
Fewer asylum seekers and refugeesbeginning to stabilise after significant falls
Accession migration beginning to stabiliseFrom 1440 registrations (Q409) to 1170 (Q110), 830 (Q210) and now 1620 (Q310)
Balance between accession / non-accession migration changing, with increasing non-EU arrivalsTop countries of origin mainly Poland except: Pakistan (Bradford and Kirklees), India (Leeds) and China (York)
International students at university
3.6 Foreign Students - domicile
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Num
ber
of S
tude
nts
EU Non-EU
New arrivals across Leeds City Region2.2 NINo Country of Origin - group
Sources: NIRS
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2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
NIN
o R
egis
trat
ions
Accession Other Europe
Old Commonwealth New Commonwealth
Other
Accession falling
New Commonwealth rising
Gaps in the data
Particular migrant groups:Those joining families already hereFurther education and ESOL learnersPeople with no recourse to public fundsPeople leaving the UK (and by what route)
Alternative migration indicators:Local servicesRegistered employers and education providersLocal research
What’s coming up in 2011?
New inclusion of pupil data in our profiles
Less data? Fewer services producing data, localism drive reducing targets and local government reporting requirements
Ending of transitional arrangements for A8 countries will end WRS data
Net migration target reducing entry through formal routes (work, study, asylum) – other routes of entry?
External influences on migration patterns – A8 economies, north Africa displacement
Our role as data users
Balancing risk…
limited access to sensitive data
political sensitivity and gatekeeping
how much data should we collect?…and benefit:
a more informed ‘debate’ on migration
improved data expertise among migrant services
bridging policy, practice, data and research - better services for whole communities