MIECO-RMQ32015
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Transcript of MIECO-RMQ32015
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MIECO CHIPBOARD BERHAD (5001) Intrinsic Value calculationKLSE stock selection criteria Par Value = 1.00EBIT growth (%) >10% 38.08%EPS growth (%) >10% 70.96%PER <10 8.86
Description Financial Year End : 31/12/2015Year STD 2014 2015 Q3 GrowthStock name MIECO MIECOShare price 1.29 1.29No. of shares 210,000 210,000Market cap 270,900 270,900Sales 321,890 327,688 1.80%Net profit 17,877 30,562 70.96%EBIT 28,342 39,136 38.08%EBIT Margin 8.8% 11.9% 35.64%Interest Cost 8,901 7,589 -14.74%Interest Coverage >9 3.184 5.157 61.96%EPS 0.085 0.146 70.96%P/E <=10 15.15 8.86 -41.51%Current Assets 111,527 142,078 27.39%Total Asset 512,395 533,023 4.03%Equity 273,567 289,687 5.89%Current Liabilities 182,618 185,379 1.51%Total liabilities 238,828 243,336 1.89%Stocks 47,143 53,842 14.21%Current Ratio >1.8 0.61 0.77 25.50%Quick Ratio >1.4 0.35 0.48 35.01%Borrowings 101,260 89,441 -11.67%Minority interest 0 0Cash & Securities 6,319 16,104 154.85%Cash per share 0.03 0.08 154.85%Net Debt 94,941 73,337 -22.76%EV = Market Cap + Mi + Borrowings - Excess Cash 365,841 344,237 -5.91%EV/EBIT <8.0 12.91 8.80 -31.86%Earnings Yield >12% 7.75% 11.37% 46.75%NTA 1.3 1.38 6.15%Change in inventories -1,401 -6,945 395.72%Change in receivables -2,235 -12,030 438.26%Change in payables -10,182 15,333 -250.59%Cash Flow From Operation (CFFO) >Net profit 14,392 29,711 106.44%Free cash flow >10% sale 33,793 28,409 -15.93%Proceeds from borrowings 295 -Repayment of borrowings -29,874 -16,090 -46.14%Dividend (cent) 0.00 0.00Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0%Net profit margin (N.profit/sales) >8% 5.55% 9.33% 67.93%Asset turnover (sales/t.asset) >0.5 0.63 0.61 -2.14%Financial leverage (Total asset/equity) <2.0 1.87 1.84 -1.76%
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ROE >10% 6.53% 10.55% 61.44%Price/Book Value <1.5 0.99 0.94 -5.56%
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Method 1Target price (EV/EBIT=12) 1.17 1.89Current Price 1.29 1.29Margin of Safety -10.50% 31.64%Potential gain -9.50% 46.29%
Method 2ROE 6.53% 10.55%Rr, % 8.00% 8.00%NTA 1.30 1.38IV= ROE/ Rr*NTA 1.06 1.82Current Price 1.29 1.29Margin of Safety -21.48% 29.12%Potential gain -17.68% 41.08%
Method 3(22.5*EPS*Book value per share)^0.5EPS 0.09 0.15Total equity 273567 289687Number of shares 210000 210000(22.5*EPS*Total Equity/share)^0.5 1.58 2.13Current price 1.29 1.29Margin of Safety 18.33% 39.30%Potential gain 22.45% 64.75%
Checklist STD Actual RemarksPE Ratio <=10 8.86 GoodROE >10% 10.55% GoodFree Cash Flow > 10% Sales > 32769 28,409 OKCFFO > Net Profit > 30562 29,711 OKDebt to Equity - (T.debt/T.equity) <=0.5 - 1 0.84 GoodNet Debt to Equity <=0.5 - 0.8 0.25 GoodNet Profit Margin (N.profit/Sales) >8% 9.33% GoodAsset Turnover (Sales/T.asset) >0.5 0.61 GoodFinancial Leverage (Total asset/Equity) <2.0 1.84 GoodInterest Coverage >9 5.16 BadCurrent Ratio >1.8 0.77 BadQuick Ratio >1.4 0.48 BadEV/EBIT <8.0 8.80 BadEarnings Yield >12% 11.37% OKPrice / Book Value <1.5 0.94 Good
Current Target Gain %Actual Price 1.29 2.01 56
average 1+3
Thank you.Ooi Teik BeeRemisierTel : 603-21482111 (Office hours)