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![Page 1: Microsoft PowerPoint - BBforAll_Bangladesh_FINAL_sending.ppt ...](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022042521/54c717094a79599a708b4653/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
BROADBAND FOR ALLBROADBAND FOR ALLHighlighting the market potential with Highlighting the market potential with
3G mobile broadband
12 November 2008 - Dhaka
Restricted - Confidential Information
© GSM Association 2007
All GSMA meetings are conducted in full compliance with the GSMA’s anti-trust compliance policy
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AgendaContent Speakers
Welcome Address Ricardo Tavares, GSMA
Inaugural speech by the Chief Guest, the Honorable Chairman Major General Manzurul Alam (Retd), BTRC
Connecting Bangladesh Oddvar Hesjedal, Grameenphone
Reassessing Bangladesh’s Regulatory Road Map:Reassessing Bangladesh s Regulatory Road Map: The Impact of Mobile Broadband Rob Nicholls, Gilbert + Tobin
TEA BREAK
Opening speech for the Working Session by the Chief Guest Dr. Mohammad Mahbubur Rahman (Phd.), Opening speech for the Working Session by the Chief Guest ( )Ministry of Post & Telecommunications
Operator Perspective – Developing a Business Case for your Market Supun Weerasinghe, Dialog Mobile – Sri Lanka
Broadband for All using HSPA Martin Bäckström, Ericsson
Affordable 3G devices Bimal Dayal, Qualcomm India and South Asia
Interactive audience discussion panel - Speakers plus operator panel:
© GSM Association 2007
• Aktel• Bangalink• Grameenphone• Warid
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BROADBAND FOR ALLBROADBAND FOR ALLHighlighting the market potential with Highlighting the market potential with
3G mobile broadband
12 November 2008 - Dhaka
Restricted - Confidential Information
© GSM Association 2007
All GSMA meetings are conducted in full compliance with the GSMA’s anti-trust compliance policy
![Page 4: Microsoft PowerPoint - BBforAll_Bangladesh_FINAL_sending.ppt ...](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022042521/54c717094a79599a708b4653/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
A Global PerspectiveA Global PerspectiveHSPA delivering Mobile Broadband todayg y
Ricardo Tavares Senior Vice President for Public Policy Se o ce es de o ub c o cy
GSM Association
Restricted - Confidential Information
© GSM Association 2007
All GSMA meetings are conducted in full compliance with the GSMA’s anti-trust compliance policy
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The GSM Family – Delivering on Promises
HSPA Evolvedin 2008
HSUPA in 2008Standardization securing evolution track
HSPAEvolved28/40Mbps
HSPA
HSDPA in 2005
3G i 2001
EDGE in 2003
Source: Wireless Intelligence, September, 2008
<14.4Mbps
WCDMA384kbpsGPRS in 2000
GSM First call
3G in 2001
GSM40kbps
GSM First call made in 1991
3G
HSPA: 55 million subscribers
WCDMA: 297 million subscribers
2G GSM: 3.3 billion subscribers
© GSM Association 2007
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Connecting beyond the grid in India
1.6 bn people living off-grid today and 1bn people with unreliable supplypeople with unreliable supply
Future mobile subscriber growth will be heavily dependant on the off-grid y p gpopulation
Diesel generators used today but are costly to run and have an environmental impactto run and have an environmental impact
Green power (wind, solar etc) is the solution
GSMA Development Fund initiative to catalyse uptake of “Green Energy” for BTSs through major programme in 2008
© GSM Association 2007
BTSs through major programme in 2008
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GSMA working to connect Bangladesh
Working with mobile operators to accelerate mobile solutions for people living on less thanmobile solutions for people living on less than $2 per day Connectivity initiative aims to bring affordable GSM services to rural communities and areasGSM services to rural communities and areas previously unconnectedUse of enhanced GSM networks to bring Internet access to computers in fixed boothsInternet access to computers in fixed booths run by local entrepreneursAssists operators in identifying new opportunities providing best practice andopportunities, providing best practice and scaling projects from pilot to full rolloutRolled out Mobile Broadband Community Internet Centres in Bangladesh with
© GSM Association 2007
Internet Centres in Bangladesh with Grameenphone
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Universalising Mobile Broadband
UrbanResidential
Business
Personalfreedom
Students
Government
Communities,Social interaction
Personalefficiency
RuralFarmers
Villages
Entertainment, user generated content
Broadband Penetration
g
Industrial
Construction
Industrial growth(GDP and jobs)
Efficient organization
Bottom of the pyramid
Construction
Businessopportunities
Sustainable
© GSM Association 2007
Sustainablesociety
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Mobile Broadband is a Big Challenge
Bangladesh needs to improve its Mobile and Broadband
Source: ITU, GlobalComms, Wireless Intelligence
© GSM Association 2007
penetration to reduce the digital divide and diversify its economy.
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Conclusion
The technology for mass market Mobile Broadband is here-HSPA
Connecting the bottom of the pyramid is an achievable goal
Licensing of 3G in 2.1GHz is key for Bangladesh in the next g y gthree months
Regulation should focus on promoting Mobile Broadband and idi i l ti h dd i l ti th tavoiding micro-regulation, such as sudden price regulation that
discourages investments due to uncertainty
Capital is scarce in the current environment—but Mobile Cap ta s sca ce t e cu e t e o e t but ob eBroadband will be a major focus of investments, provided that the regulatory environment is right
© GSM Association 2007
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BROADBAND FOR ALLBROADBAND FOR ALLHighlighting the market potential with Highlighting the market potential with
3G mobile broadband
12 November 2008 - Dhaka
Restricted - Confidential Information
© GSM Association 2007
All GSMA meetings are conducted in full compliance with the GSMA’s anti-trust compliance policy
![Page 12: Microsoft PowerPoint - BBforAll_Bangladesh_FINAL_sending.ppt ...](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022042521/54c717094a79599a708b4653/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Inaugural SpeechInaugural Speechby the Chief Guesty
Major General Manzurul Alam (Retd) Chairman
B l d h T l i ti R l t C i i (BTRC)Bangladesh Telecommunications Regulatory Commission (BTRC)
Restricted - Confidential Information
© GSM Association 2007
All GSMA meetings are conducted in full compliance with the GSMA’s anti-trust compliance policy
![Page 13: Microsoft PowerPoint - BBforAll_Bangladesh_FINAL_sending.ppt ...](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022042521/54c717094a79599a708b4653/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
BROADBAND FOR ALLBROADBAND FOR ALLHighlighting the market potential with Highlighting the market potential with
3G mobile broadband
12 November 2008 - Dhaka
Restricted - Confidential Information
© GSM Association 2007
All GSMA meetings are conducted in full compliance with the GSMA’s anti-trust compliance policy
![Page 14: Microsoft PowerPoint - BBforAll_Bangladesh_FINAL_sending.ppt ...](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022042521/54c717094a79599a708b4653/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Connecting BangladeshConnecting BangladeshGSMA Conference Dhaka, November 12, 2008Oddvar HesjedalCEO GrameenphoneCEO Grameenphone
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Bangladesh is already connected!
5 mill mobile164 Int rn t 0.6 mill
fixed Internet users
164 Internet Service
Providersusers
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A lot can be done with today’s Internet connection….
Social networking E Mail Educational InstitutionsSocial networkingNewsDownloadsJob HuntingMusicSearch Engines
E MailImagesKnowledge HubWeb BazaarWeb tool supportAd i i N k
Educational InstitutionsGameVideo/TVWAP - MobileSports - CricketS k M kChatting Advertising Network
BloggingStock Market
WEBSITE TYPE TOP 100 SITES
Global 58
Local 26
Indian 10
Unknown 6
G d T t l 100Grand Total 100
Source: GP analysis of data from www.alexa.com
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The challenges are speed, capacity…
…and risk capital…
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Mobile penetration
Huge Economic Impact of Mobile Industry in Bangladesh
20 0%25.0%30.0%35.0%
tion
0.0%5.0%
10.0%15.0%20.0%
2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 8 8 8
Pen
etra
Employment Impact
Q1'
01
Q3'
01
Q1'
02
Q3'
02
Q1'
03
Q3'
03
Q1'
04
Q3'
04
Q1'
05
Q3'
05
Q1'
06
Q3'
06
Q1'
07
Q2'
07
Q3'
07
Q4'
07
Q1'
08
Q2'
08
Q3'
08
Year
60 000
80,000
100,000
120,000Source: Deloitte 2008
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
2004 2005 2006 2007
Direct Indirect Multiplier
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Will Broadband have the same impact?
4500
5000Mill.
3500
4000
4500Mill.subs
2000
2500
3000
500
1000
1500
Mobile voice
0
500
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
Fixed BB
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What can Broadband bring?
Health PublicEducation
Healthservices
BusinessPublic
information
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…and JOY !!
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Fixed Internet activities 2007Source: Bangladesh Market Insight 2007, by
Browse the Internet
E-mails
Instant messaging/chat
Browse the Internet@work
Music/movies
Job opportunities
Online gamesg
Work/business e-mails
Phone calls
Internet communitiesInternet communities
Instant messaging/chat for work
Internet banking
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Bangladesh - urban Bangladesh - rural
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Remember local content
Challenge: The Bangladesh Chimney Effect
Remember local content challenge
371
mon
th fo
r IIG
175 161
SD/M
bps
pr m
17 10
U
Bangladesh(GP)
Malaysia (DiGi) India (Tata) Central EastEurope
Telenor Nordic
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Challenge: Expensive Network Infrastructure
RESIDENTIAL BS
BS
IP backbone
BUSINESS National & international
Internet
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Challenge: Revenues don’t match cost base
One PC user - 10000 times more traffic per month than a per month than a basic phone user
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Challenge: Frequency capacity
2x60 MHz for 3Gfor 3G
Too many operators i 3G?in 3G?
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Can Bangladesh succeed in bringing Internet to all ?
0%
0%
1%
BangladeshPakistanUkraine 1%
5%
7%
Ukraine
ThailandIndia
10%
10%
10%RussiaSerbiaMontenegro
17%
30%
64%
MalaysiaHungarySweden
70%
75%
Norway
Denmark
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Collaboration and joint efforts are needed
Cost-efficient Internet
ICT and Broadband Policy of Bangladesh
Services supporting social Cost efficient Internet and broadband infrastructure
Services supporting social development, exports and
knowledge industries
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The road to Success of Broadband Bangladesh
• Competence • Competition • Collaboration• Collaboration
• Predictable regulations• National Content and Internet servicesNational Content and Internet services
• Policy enabling profitable business cases• Incentives to provide rural area coverage
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Yes, We Can
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ThankThankyou
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BROADBAND FOR ALLBROADBAND FOR ALLHighlighting the market potential with Highlighting the market potential with
3G mobile broadband
12 November 2008 - Dhaka
Restricted - Confidential Information
© GSM Association 2007
All GSMA meetings are conducted in full compliance with the GSMA’s anti-trust compliance policy
![Page 33: Microsoft PowerPoint - BBforAll_Bangladesh_FINAL_sending.ppt ...](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022042521/54c717094a79599a708b4653/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
Reassessing Bangladesh’s Regulatory Road Map Reassessing Bangladesh s Regulatory Road Map
The Impact of Mobile Broadband
Rob NichollsConsultantN b 2008November 2008
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Agendag
• The Regulatory Roadmap
• Regulatory issues in HSPA– Spectrum
Li ht h d d h– Light-handed approach
• QoS issues
• International capacity and connectivity
2304510_2.PPT | October 2008 page | 33
• Conclusions
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The Regulatory Roadmapg y p
• Overhauling spectrum management
• Restructuring taxation for growth
• Licensing multiple gateway operators• Licensing multiple gateway operators
• Reforming interconnection arrangements
• Corporatisation and privatisation of the BTTB
2304510_2.PPT | October 2008 page | 34
• Strengthening regulatory capacity
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Regulatory issues in HSPAg y
• Spectrum – the life blood of communications• Best practice solution is to allocate sufficient spectrum to p p
existing operators to allow them to expand from voice/GPRS to HSPA:
efficient outcome as investment in infrastructure already– efficient outcome as investment in infrastructure already substantially made
– licences can be allocated without a complex procedure and compliant with WTO processescompliant with WTO processes
– operators increase backhaul capacity to meet expected demand– rapid social outcomes – potential national multi-operator competing
services
2304510_2.PPT | October 2008 page | 35
services
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Regulatory issues in HSPAg y
• No regulatory intervention works best to encourage investment:
– only fix the problem if there is a problem– allow devices to be imported without hindrance
B l t t b t l t th k t l th– encourage Bangla content but let the market solve the issues
– major investments require regulatory certaintyajo est e ts equ e egu ato y ce ta ty• Regulation of service not technology• Need to have voice regulatory settings correct as a basis
for growth e g international voice settlement regime
2304510_2.PPT | October 2008 page | 36
for growth – e.g. international voice settlement regime
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QoS issues
• New quality of service issues arise for high speed packet switched services:
– Latency– Jitter– Packet lossPacket loss– Contention– Availability
• Different services have different QoS issues
• QoS management becomes a regulatory issue in
2304510_2.PPT | October 2008 page | 37
broadband
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Different services have different QoS issues
Bandwidth Latency Jitter Loss
Multimedia Medium Important Important Moderate
Interactive Low Important Moderate Important
D f i h i i dData Transfer High Unimportant Unimportant Moderate
Web browsing High Unimportant Unimportant Moderate
2304510_2.PPT | October 2008 page | 38
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Regulation of international capacityg p y
• QoS issue can be managed in the HSPA/GPRS network if there is sufficient spectrum and sufficient backhaul:p
– External factors are the issues– In-country latency/jitter/packet loss at the IX
C t ti d k t l i th i t ti l it– Contention and packet loss in the international capacity (fibre)
– Satellite and VSAT are problematic for broadband Sate te a d S a e p ob e at c o b oadba dservices (latency and availability)
• Need to scale to ensure that the user experience encourages adoption
2304510_2.PPT | October 2008 page | 39
encourages adoption
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Regulation of international capacityg p y
• International access to the global internet is key to providing the benefits of universal broadband (in terms of p g (GDP growth and global competitiveness)
• This access needs to be available at globally competitive prices in order to ensure that the benefits can be enjoyedprices in order to ensure that the benefits can be enjoyed by Bangladesh and Bangladeshis
• Throughput per user per month can be used to assist f ( fdimensioning of international capacity (leads to adoption of
DWDM in many places for international capacity)
2304510_2.PPT | October 2008 page | 40
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Conclusions
• Some of the Regulatory Roadmap issues are still to be addressed and this could constrain HSPA deploymentp y
• The regulatory framework around HSPA needs to be very light-handed in order to encourage:
the significant investment required by the operators– the significant investment required by the operators– the adoption of the services by consumers
• The need for spectrum to facilitate national broadband access is key
• International bandwidth at globally competitive cost-based pricing is a vital input to successful deployment of HSPA
2304510_2.PPT | October 2008 page | 41
pricing is a vital input to successful deployment of HSPA
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Reassessing Bangladesh’s Regulatory Road Map Reassessing Bangladesh s Regulatory Road Map
The Impact of Mobile Broadband
Rob NichollsConsultantO t b 2008October 2008
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BROADBAND FOR ALLBROADBAND FOR ALLHighlighting the market potential with Highlighting the market potential with
3G mobile broadband
12 November 2008 - Dhaka
Restricted - Confidential Information
© GSM Association 2007
All GSMA meetings are conducted in full compliance with the GSMA’s anti-trust compliance policy
![Page 45: Microsoft PowerPoint - BBforAll_Bangladesh_FINAL_sending.ppt ...](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022042521/54c717094a79599a708b4653/html5/thumbnails/45.jpg)
AgendaContent Speakers
Opening speech for the Working Session by the Chi f G t
Dr. Mohammad Mahbubur Rahman (Phd.), Mi i t f P t & T l i tiChief Guest Ministry of Post & Telecommunications
Operator Perspective –Developing a Business Case for your Market Supun Weerasinghe, Dialog Mobile – Sri Lanka
Broadband for All using HSPA Martin Bäckström, Ericsson
Affordable 3G devices Bimal Dayal, Qualcomm India and South Asia
Interactive audience discussion panel - Speakers plus operator panel:• Aktel• BangalinkBangalink• Grameenphone• Warid
© GSM Association 2007
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BROADBAND FOR ALLBROADBAND FOR ALLHighlighting the market potential with Highlighting the market potential with
3G mobile broadband
12 November 2008 - Dhaka
Restricted - Confidential Information
© GSM Association 2007
All GSMA meetings are conducted in full compliance with the GSMA’s anti-trust compliance policy
![Page 47: Microsoft PowerPoint - BBforAll_Bangladesh_FINAL_sending.ppt ...](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022042521/54c717094a79599a708b4653/html5/thumbnails/47.jpg)
Restricted - Confidential Information
© GSM Association 2007
All GSMA meetings are conducted in full compliance with the GSMA’s anti-trust compliance policy
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Agenda
Content Speakers
Opening speech for the Working Session by the Chief Guest
Dr. Mohammad Mahbubur Rahman (Phd.), Ministry of Post & Telecommunications
Operator Perspective Supun Weerasinghe Dialog Mobile SriOperator Perspective –Developing a Business Case for your Market
Supun Weerasinghe, Dialog Mobile – Sri Lanka
Broadband for All using HSPA Martin Bäckström, Ericsson
Affordable 3G devices Bimal Dayal, Qualcomm India and South Asia
Interactive audience discussion panel - Speakers plus operator panel:• Aktel• Bangalink• Grameenphone
© GSM Association 2007
• Grameenphone• Warid
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Opening Speech for theOpening Speech for the Working Session
by the Chief Guest
Dr. Mohammad Mahbubur Rahman (Phd.), Secretary
Ministry of Post & Telecommunications
Restricted - Confidential Information
© GSM Association 2007
All GSMA meetings are conducted in full compliance with the GSMA’s anti-trust compliance policy
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BROADBAND FOR ALLBROADBAND FOR ALLHighlighting the market potential with Highlighting the market potential with
3G mobile broadband
12 November 2008 - Dhaka
Restricted - Confidential Information
© GSM Association 2007
All GSMA meetings are conducted in full compliance with the GSMA’s anti-trust compliance policy
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BROADBAND FOR ALLBROADBAND FOR ALLHighlighting the market potential with Highlighting the market potential with
3G mobile broadband
12 November 2008 - Dhaka
Restricted - Confidential Information
© GSM Association 2007
All GSMA meetings are conducted in full compliance with the GSMA’s anti-trust compliance policy
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Broadband for All usingBroadband for All using HSPAHSPAMartin BackstromVP/Networks
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Mobile Broadband
MarketMarketTechnology and evolutionBusiness considerations
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Mobile traffic, voice and data
Subscriber traffic in GSM/CDMA/WCDMA/HSPA/LTE
Traffic growth 2006-2013
New revenue streams:
8
10New revenue streams:
– Mobile Handheld data usageE.g. Iphone
– Mobile PC data usage
6
Exab
ytes
gE.g. USB modems
Complement to voice and SMS revenues
2
4Ye
arly
EMobile PC
0
2
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Mobile Voice
Mobile Handheld
© Ericsson AB 2008 Commercial in confidence 2008-09-1753
DVB-H, Mobile WiMax and WiFi traffic not includedSource: Internal Ericsson
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Mobile Broadband targets all segments
Mobile Broadband
Mobile Broadband
Mobile Broadband
© Ericsson AB 2008 Commercial in confidence 2008-09-1754
Fixed broadband WiFi
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HSPA world map207 i l HSPA t k207 commercial HSPA networks
C i l HSPA t k
© Ericsson AB 2008 Commercial in confidence 2008-09-1755
Commercial HSPA networks
HSPA network launch commitments
Source: GSA – Global mobile Suppliers Association: July, 2008
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104 Ericsson HSPA networksIn commercial operation
2005World’s first:
AT&T-USA2006
IIJ Mobile-Japan MVNO
Telcel-MexicoClaro-HondurasNucleo-Paraguay
Movistar-SpainBite-LatviaBravocom-Estonia MVNO
Dialog-Sri LankaS
Méditel-MoroccoTeliaSonera-FinlandTDC Mobil-DenmarkPersonal-Argentina
Mobilkom-Austria3-ItalyPartner-IsraelSwisscom-SwitzerlandMobiltel-BulgariaVodafone-Germany
TIM-BrazilBrasil Telecom-BrazilT-Mobile-USABhutan Telecom-BhutanDST-BruneiCYTA-Cyprus
T-Mobil-Slovak RepublicNTT DoCoMo-JapanExcelcomindo-IndonesiaMaxis-MalaysiaFar East Tone-TaiwanPTC-Poland
Etisalat Misr-EgyptSingTel-SingaporeVodafone-EgyptTeliaSonera-SwedenCTM-MacauPromonte-Montenegro
MTN-South AfricaVodafone-PortugalOptimus-PortugalTMN-PortugalEMT-EstoniaVipnet-Croatia
U-Mobile-MalaysiaMTS-RussiaGeocell-Georgia
Softbank Mobile-JapanTelstra-AustraliaKPN-NetherlandsWataniya-KuwaitPolkomtel-PolandAT&T-Puerto Rico
T-Mobil-MontenegroMovistar-MexicoMovistar-ArgentinaMovistar-UruguayO2-Irelandm:tel-Montenegro
Elisa-FinlandVodafone-RomaniaT-Mobile-HungaryTIM-ItalyAl Jawal-Saudi ArabiaCellcom-Israel
Rogers-Canada3-Sweden3-Australia3-DenmarkSatelindo-IndonesiaSunrise-Switzerland
Unitel-AngolaSiminn-IcelandTeleNor-NorwayIndosat-IndonesiaWind-ItalyClaro-Brazil
Smartone-Hong KongCosmote-GreeceBite-LithuaniaVodafone-UKAmena-SpainMobily-Saudi Arabia
Entel PCS-ChileMobitel-SloveniaTelekom Srbija-Serbia
2007DNA-FinlandTelenor-Serbia
Bouygues-FranceTelemig Celular-BrazilElisa UMTS 900-FinlandBatelco-BahrainNawras-OmanMTN-Nigeria
© Ericsson AB 2008 Commercial in confidence 2008-09-1756
yOne-AustriaVodafone-SpainElisa-EstoniaVodafone-Netherlands
eMobile-JapanTele2-SwedenTelkomsel-IndonesiaPannon-Hungary
gTango-Luxembourg
2008Elisa UMTS 900-EstoniaClaro-El Salvador Source: Ericsson, August, 2008
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EricssonThe leader in HSPA
L h d t kLaunched networksEricsson World
HSPA 104 (50%) 207
HSPA 7.2 Mbps 37 (67%) 55p ( )
HSPA on uplink 35 (69%) 51
All continents Frequency bandsN. America Europe Asia 2100 850 17/2100
© Ericsson AB 2008 Commercial in confidence 2008-09-1757
S. America Africa Australia 900 1900 17/1800
Source: GSA – Global mobile Suppliers Association and Ericsson: July/August, 2008
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HSPA subscribers
50,000,000
60,000,000
49.6m
40,000,000
50,000,000
33.3m30,000,000
12.7m
21.2m
10 000 000
20,000,000
3.5m6.9m
12.7m
0
10,000,000
Dec 2006 Mar 2007 Jun 2007 Sep 2007 Dec 2007 Mar 2008
© Ericsson AB 2008 Commercial in confidence 2008-09-1758
Dec 2006 Mar 2007 Jun 2007 Sep 2007 Dec 2007 Mar 2008
Source:
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HSPA will drive mobile broadband
1.3 billion mobile broadband subscriptions 2012
~70% market share 2012
HSPA 67%
subscriptions 2012
EV-DO 22%
LTE 4%
Mobile WiMAX 4%
Other (e g Flash OFDM UMTS TDD iB rst) 3%Other (e.g. Flash-OFDM,UMTS TDD, iBurst) 3%
Source: Strategy Analytics & Ericsson internal
© Ericsson AB 2008 Commercial in confidence 2008-09-1759
> 800 HSPA devices launched, economy of scale advantage
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804 HSPA enabled devicesFrom over 129 suppliers
384 HSPA phones, media players, camera (~50%)p , p y , ( )
340 PC with embedded HSPA, PC cards, USB modems (~40%)
73 wireless routers (~10%)
© Ericsson AB 2008 Commercial in confidence 2008-09-1760
Source: GSA – Global mobile Suppliers Association: Sep, 2008
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M bil b db d 2 3 6 Mb f
© Ericsson AB 2008 Commercial in confidence 2008-09-1761
Mobile broadband: 2-3.6 Mbps for 114.000-204.000 IDR per month
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Evolution of SingTel mobile networkEricsson was awarded contract May 16th
HSPA 5.7 Mbps in UL and 14.4 in DL island wide– Discussions to include 21 Mbps in DL
All IP transport RBS RNC and PS CNAll IP transport RBS, RNC and PS CN– Fibre all the way out to the RBS– Upgrade to FE from 2 E1-7 E1 today
E i f PS CN it d i b b db d t kExpansion of PS CN capacity driven by broadband uptake3G Direct TunnelDiscussions about HSPA QoS management for 2009Discussions about HSPA QoS management for 2009
Strong growth of voice and wireless broadband
http://home.singtel.com/news_centre/news_releases/2008_05_16.asp
© Ericsson AB 2008 Commercial in confidence 2008-09-1762
Strong growth of voice- and wireless broadband revenues on saturated market
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South Africa, MTNThe benefits when using 3G/HSPA
Access to critical information: Around eight to ten people a day use the terminals to search for jobs email
Mobile broadband connects the unconnected
people a day use the terminals to search for jobs, email friends or check out the results of their favorite football team. Accessing it online is comparatively easier and cheaper than traveling significant distances to ascertain the same information.Functions as an employer-employee bridge: Sandton p y p y gis growing rapidly and has many job vacancies while Alexandra has many willing workers. Alexandra’s townspeople can find vacancies and get help with applications and CVs through the community Internet café and business center.Improved entrepreneurship: Other townspeople have approached MTN regarding setting up their own HSDPA powered Internet café in their part of the town.
“The projects are making a real impact on people’s lives. Some use it to get jobs or check theirlives. Some use it to get jobs or check their
university application. But most importantly we’re seeing people become accustomed to the Internet, trusting what technology can do for them and how it can make their life simpler. If they can be included
i th di it l th it ill b fit ll f S th
© Ericsson AB 2008 Commercial in confidence 2008-09-1763
in the digital age, then it will benefit all of South Africa,”
Ashraff Paruk, General Manager, Product Innovation and Strategy, MTN SA
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South Africa, MTNMobile broadband connects the unconnected
© Ericsson AB 2008 Commercial in confidence 2008-09-1764
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A very first global initiative
Launch participants include:
Microsoft, Dell, Lenovo, Toshiba, 3 Group, Asus ECS Ericsson Gemalto OrangeAsus, ECS, Ericsson, Gemalto, Orange, Qualcomm, Telefónica Europe, Telecom Italia TeliaSonera T Mobile and VodafoneItalia, TeliaSonera, T-Mobile, and Vodafone.
© Ericsson AB 2008 Commercial in confidence 2008-09-1765
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Mobile Broadband
MarketMarketTechnology and evolutionBusiness considerations
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8 times increase of PS data in 18 months !!!W ld t ti ti f E i 3G/HSPA t kWorld average statistics from Ericsson 3G/HSPA networks
ps/R
NC
Mbp
t-06
n-07
r-07 l-0
7
t-07
n-08
r-08
Oct
Jan
Apr Ju Oct
Jan
Apr
Speech traffic Packet (DCH+HS) traffic
DCH Packet traffic HS Packet traffic
© Ericsson AB 2008 Commercial in confidence 2008-09-1767
PS overtook speech in June 2007 - >90% of PS traffic is HS
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HSPA Evolution - reality end 2008Announcements in Barcelona
With Ericsson will deliver speeds of 21 Mbps in 2008 across our NextG
network a world firstnetwork - a world first
Will work alongside Ericsson, ... to trial Release
7 HSPA+7 HSPA+
Recent announcements HSPA Evolution
CEO De la Vega: “AT&T has a time-to-market advantage over WiMAX with its HSPA technology. HSPA gy
Release 7 will give the company 7 Mbps to 20 Mbps data speeds and
the company will only have to deploy a software upgrade”
Singapore, 16 May 2008 CEO Allen Lew“… HSPA Evolution, enabling even faster
download and upload speeds of up to 42 Mbps and 12 Mbps respectively within the
next 18 months ”
© Ericsson AB 2008 Commercial in confidence 2008-09-1768
Strong commitment to HSPA Evolution
next 18 months.
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First HSUPA 5.8 Mbps Commercial network, July 16, 2008
Ericsson (NASDAQ ERIC) and 3 Italia ha e achie ed anEricsson (NASDAQ: ERIC) and 3 Italia have achieved an industry first: the successful establishment of enhanced HSPA mobile-data connections in a commercial network. The enhanced HSPA technology enables maximum uplink data rates
f 5 8Mb d i ifi t d ti i t k l tof 5.8Mbps and a significant reduction in network latency, resulting in markedly better performance for interactive consumer applications.
Vincenzo Novari, CEO of 3 Italia, says: "This world-first achievement reaffirms our commitment to accelerating the development of the mobile broadband market."
Up to 5 8 Mbps in UL and <35 ms latency
Source: http://www.ericsson.com/ericsson/press/releases/20080716-1236207.shtml
© Ericsson AB 2008 Commercial in confidence 2008-09-1769
Up to 5.8 Mbps in UL and <35 ms latency in commercial operation
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Mobile Broadband
MarketMarketTechnology and evolutionBusiness considerations
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Mobile Broadband High Level Architeture and network cost CAPEX & OPEX
Packet CoreRadio Network
Node B RNC SGSN GGSNTerm.Term. Internet
Transport
P k C
Radio Network
Packet Core
T tRadio Network Transport
© Ericsson AB 2008 Commercial in confidence 2008-09-1771
Air-interface capacity, high capacity nodes and efficient transport solution key for competitive offering
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Air interface capacityPS CNRAN
Subscriber bit-rate for RBS 3x1, 10% active
200025003000
Ericsson 2009
10001500
2000
Kbp
s Ericsson 2009
Ericsson 2008
Current network
0500
200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700
Increase revenues with best Mobile Broadband bit rates
# subscribers per RBS site
© Ericsson AB 2008 Commercial in confidence 2008-09-1772
Increase revenues with best Mobile Broadband bit-rates.More subscribers can be served by each RBS Reduced CAPEX and OPEX.
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High capacity nodesPS CNRAN
High capacity GGSN in commercial operation – >20 Gbps
Up to 6000 kPDP– Up to 6000 kPDP
Intelligent SGSN with 3G Direct Tunnel– 50-90% fewer SGSNs– Ericsson’s unique configuration mechanisms
Per subscriber, per related APN(s), RNC and/or GGSN
Next generation high capacity RNC – 2 Gbps
Architecture support up to 20 Gbps– Architecture support up to 20 Gbps
© Ericsson AB 2008 Commercial in confidence 2008-09-1773
Scalable and high availability nodes to cater for continuous traffic increase
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Evolution path architecture
2009/2010
Evolving towards a flat architecture
Today 2008
GGSN GGSN GGSN/SAE-GW
SGSN SGSN SGSN/MME
BTS
RNC
Node B
BSC
GERAN UTRAN
BTS
RNC
Node B
BSC
GERAN UTRAN eUTRAN
BTS
RNC
Node B
BSC
GERAN UTRAN
eNode B
© Ericsson AB 2008 Commercial in confidence 2008-09-1774
Control planeUser plane
GERAN UTRAN GERAN UTRAN eUGERAN UTRAN
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Large cost savings with 3GDT PS CNRAN
Relative investment
3GDT 3GDT3GDT 3GDT
SGSN SGSN
SGSNSGSN
GGSN GGSN GGSN GGSN
Typical BroadbandFixed tariff10-fold traffic increase
Extreme BroadbandLow fixed tariffHigh-traffic video services
© Ericsson AB 2008 Commercial in confidence 2008-09-1775
50-90% fewer SGSNs
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Optimal Iub TN solution3 N ti IP
PS CNRAN
Site Capacity 2. HSPA off load
3. Native IPHigh
Quality IP(Ethernet)ATM/IP dual (Ethernet)ATM/IP dual
stackE1 + BestEffort IP (ADSL)
1 ATME1s
6-106 10 Mbps
High capacity sites
Coverage sites
© Ericsson AB 2008 Commercial in confidence 2008-09-1776
Ericsson has all 3 in commercial operations
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Subscribers and volume
70
Subscriber clusters based on estimated monthly trafficBroadband APN
40
50
60
[%]
5% extreme users
10
20
30[%]
< 1 MB 1 MB -10 MB
10 MB -100 MB
100 MB- 1 GB
1 GB -10 GB
10 GB -100 GB
100 GB1 TB
Cluster sizeCluster volume
0
Cl t
Mobile Broadband Example: many subs <100 MB 80% of users < 1GB per month
100 GB - 1 TBCluster
Source: Ericsson
© Ericsson AB 2008 Commercial in confidence 2008-09-1777
Mobile Broadband Example: many subs <100 MB, 80% of users < 1GB per month…yet 5% of subs generate nearly 80% of the traffic Bandwidth Management!
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QoS ManagementHSPA Traffic Handling Priority
Gold Silver Silver Bronze
Priority based on:ySubscription
– Corporate > StudentService
3.0Mbps 1.0
Mbps1.0
Mbps0.5
Mbps
Service– Mobile TV > YouTube
Subscriber usage– Limit bit rate when “bucket” b a e e buc e
is reachedNetwork (cell) load
– Limit bit rate under peak load
VIP Subscriber Flat Rate Subscribers
pfor low priority subscribers
O ti i d f i t ll d it
© Ericsson AB 2008 Commercial in confidence 2008-09-1778
Optimized usage of installed capacity -traffic handling priority introduced with SW features
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QoS Management PS CNRAN
for optimal investment across all nodes
ROI ~ 300%ROI ~ 300%MBB generates Capacity investment
pressure in Congested RAN cells:pressure in Congested RAN cells: additional 4,6%
SAVINGS: Apply e2e QoS management to traffic coming from congested cell to avoid capacity increase. Savings are equal to the extra-investment that would be needed in congested cells (5%) 4.6 % of RAN investment
© Ericsson AB 2008 Commercial in confidence 2008-09-1779
INVESTMENTS : Packet Core “e2e QoS Management” Double 1 year “Packet Core” investment: 1.2 %
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Summary
Mobile Broadband - New revenue streamMobile Broadband New revenue stream– Mobile Handheld data – Mobile PC data
Lower cost per GigabyteI d i i t f it– Increased air-interface capacity
– High capacity nodes– Upgrade TN to remove Iub bottleneckUpgrade TN to remove Iub bottleneck– QoS for optimal investment
© Ericsson AB 2008 Commercial in confidence 2008-09-1780
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Alokito Bangladesh
© Ericsson AB 2008 Commercial in confidence 2008-09-1781
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© Ericsson AB 2008 Commercial in confidence 2008-09-1782
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BROADBAND FOR ALLBROADBAND FOR ALLHighlighting the market potential with Highlighting the market potential with
3G mobile broadband
12 November 2008 - Dhaka
Restricted - Confidential Information
© GSM Association 2007
All GSMA meetings are conducted in full compliance with the GSMA’s anti-trust compliance policy
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Affordable 3G Devices
Bimal DayalVP & Country Manager, Business Developmenty g pQualcomm India & South AsiaNovember 12, 2008
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85
Thi d t t i d i ti f t h f tThis document contains descriptions of parts whose manufacture, use,
sale, offer for sale, or importation into the United States is limited or
prohibited by the injunctions against QUALCOMM Incorporated. This
Terms and Conditions of Usage
document should not be construed as an offer to sell such parts for use
or importation into the U.S., nor should it be construed as assistance in
making, using, selling, offering to sell, or the importation of any productmaking, using, selling, offering to sell, or the importation of any product
in the U.S. containing such parts. This document is intended solely to
provide information for those products that are outside the scope of the
i j ti R i i t’ d l d d/ f th i f ti i thiinjunction. Recipient’s download and/or use of the information in this
document constitutes agreement with these terms.
QUALCOMM Incorporated 5775 Morehouse Drive San Diego CA 92121 1714QUALCOMM Incorporated, 5775 Morehouse Drive, San Diego, CA 92121-1714
85
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3G TodayGlobal Economies of Scale, Extensive Ecosystem for Devices and Services
670M 3G subscribers
3000+ devices
490 Commercial 3G operators490 Commercial 3G operators
Source: Wireless Intelligence
86
Globally 3G has significant impact on data and VAS revenue
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Emerging economies will represent >72% of global subscribers g g g
87
Source: Wireless Intelligence
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3G will drive mobile broadband connections well into the next decade
Forecasted global mobilebroadband subscribersbroadband subscribers
88
Sources: Strategy Analytics, July 2007; Informa, September 2007.HSPA Family includes HSDPA, HSUPA & HSPA+. EV-DO Family includes Rel. 0, Rev. A and Rev. B.
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3G handsets forecast to reach >55% of total handset shipments by 2012of total handset shipments by 2012
*2G includes cdmaOne, TDMA, GSM, EDGE,GPRS, iDen, PDC, PHS
89
Source: Average of Strategy Analytics (Jan 2008), InStat (Jul 2007), IDC (Jan 2008), Gartner (July 2007), Forward Concepts (Jul 2007), ABI (Dec 2007), Yankee Group (Dec 2007), WCIS+ (Feb 2008) and IMS (Oct 2007)
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3G WCDMA and HSPA device forecast:Predicted to grow to nearly 680 million by 2012
900
ed cted to g o to ea y 680 o by 0
600
700
800 HSUPAHSDPAWCDMA (R99)
Sale
s
HSPA:
400
500
600
al H
ands
et S HSPA:
680 million devices projected to
200
300
Ann
ua
p jsell in 2012
0
100
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
90
Source: Strategy Analytics, January 2008
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Device Diversity – Addressing All Market Segments Feature Phones, Smart Phones, USB Dongles, Embedded modules for LaptopsFeature Phones, Smart Phones, USB Dongles, Embedded modules for LaptopsMore than 874 have been commercialized by 117 vendors
• 288 handsets• 214 notebooks
Samsung F5082 Megapixel camera,
2 4” di l
Huawei E220USB Modem
Fujitsu Lifebook Q2010Embedded HSDPA
• 78 USB modems• 74 PC cards• 50 wireless routers
S GSMA O t 2008
2.4” display50 wireless routers• 44 embedded modules
Source: GSMA, Oct. 2008
http://hspa.gsmworld.com/devices/default.asp
Apple iPhoneHSDPA tri-band
Targeting 22+ countries
LG KU990 Viewty5 Megapixel camera,
3” display
Option GlobetrotterExpress Card,quad-band 3GNote: not all devices shown at right (with
91
Targeting 22+ countries3 display quad band 3Gimages) include Qualcomm chipsets
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‘3G for All’ entry level WCDMA/HSPA handsets
Winner of 2007 GSMA “3G for All” Winner of 2008 GSMA “3G for All”
UMTS HSPA
Currently offered by: 2007 2008Globe
H3G
M1
O
MSM6K
HSDPA
MSM6K
WCDMA
Orange
Smart
T-Mobile
And More!And More!LG KU250
LG KM560
92
Kelly Williams, executive director of technology for Cingular."We expect 3G to become as ubiquitous as GSM worldwide. Offering customers an affordable 3G handset will help
make that become a reality."
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The USB modem phenomenonDonglemaniaDonglemania
• Key markets and operators all involved– 3, VF, SFR, TMO, TME/O2, Orange and TIM sell
lvolume– 7.2 Mbps no price difference – drives upgrade &
new users– Targeted across market segments, not just g g , j
corporate/IT• Trends in 2009
– Launch of HSUPA modems (7.2/2.0+ Mbps)I t d ti f fi t HSPA+ d i– Introduction of first HSPA+ devices
93
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Mobile broadband computing momentum
Mobile notebook modem shipments Embedded 3G notebook vendors
200I t l M d
100
150
Internal ModemsUSB ModemsPCMCIA Cards
ts in
Mill
ions
0
50
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Uni
t
Source: ABI Research, Q2 2008
Embedded 3G notebook metrics Next Step
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Launched NB Offerings
Launched NB Models
Notebook Manufacturers
3G Embedded Carriers
June 2007 157 74 18 20
June 2008 418 159 18 34
p
94
June 2008 418 159 18 34Source: Qualcomm, July 2008
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New pocket and mobile computing segmentsp p g g
Handset Feature Smartphone Pocket Computing Mobile Computing Traditional LaptopHandset< 2”
FeaturePhone
2.5”
Smartphone< 3.5”
Pocket Computing Device4” – 6”
Mobile Computing Device7” – 12”
Traditional Laptop > 12”
Target Segmentsg g
95
Trendsetters FamiliesMobileProfessionals
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Single-Chip solutions for mass market 3G HSPA smartphonesmass market 3G HSPA smartphones
• Unprecedented levels of integrationTodayEnd 2008
• 600 MHz Scorpion applications processor
• Windows Mobile, Linux, Android and BREW®
• 45nm CMOS process technology
2D d 3D h d l t d hi
QSC7230HSPA+
MSM7K
HSPA
Today 2008
• 2D and 3D hardware-accelerated graphics
• Fully integrated GPS, FM radio, and Bluetooth
• Integrated support for worldwide cellular frequency bands
RF+
• Unparalleled battery life• 80+ hours of music playback
• 1 day talk time
• 1 month standby time
(môrz lâ) (n ) The observation made in 1965 by Gordon Moore that the number of transistors per square
96
(môrz lâ) (n.) The observation made in 1965 by Gordon Moore, that the number of transistors per square inch on integrated circuits had doubled every year since the integrated circuit was invented. Moore
predicted that this trend would continue for the foreseeable future
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Many WCDMA & HSPA mobile devices launched with Qualcomm chipsetsQ p
50More than 50 chip customers
Over 350 devices in design and production
BandRich HTC Huawei LG Samsung Sony Ericsson Spice ZTE
97
BandRich HTC Huawei LG Samsung Sony Ericsson Spice ZTE
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Lowering the Cost of WCDMA (UMTS) Handsets
$407$450 ASP of Lowest 10% of WCDMA
WCDMA Lowest Price
$270$295$290
$341
$290
$367
$311$287
$272 $270$300
$350
$400
$163 $162$175$176$181
$231
$197
$270
$221$198
$228
$195 $191
$$141$141
$272$254
$270
$217
$150
$200
$250
$53$67$78
$124$105
$135$128$128$141
$129$141
$50
$100
$150
$0
2004Q12004Q22004Q32004Q42005Q12005Q22005Q32005Q42006Q12006Q22006Q32006Q42007Q12007Q22007Q32007Q42008Q12008Q2
Notes: WCDMA Phones Sold per Calendar Quarter; lowest price represents complete phones sold in quantities of
98
approx 50,000 units or higher. Data derived from licensee reports. Does not include modules or modems.Source: Qualcomm Incorporated
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“Connectivity is Productivity”
Information Communication Technologies (ICT), particularly mobile telephones have a great impact in improving economic efficiency
”... According to Economist Jeffrey Sachs Bangladesh Operator ‘opened the world’s eyes to expanding the use of modern telecommunications
99
world s eyes to expanding the use of modern telecommunications technologies in the world’s poorest places.’
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Affordable 3G device: Connectivity, Mobility & Computing& Computing
3G h l b l i f l t l l 3G d i t3G has global economies of scale, entry level 3G devices atsub US $100
3G device diversity addresses various market segments and3G device diversity addresses various market segments anduser needs for voice communication and broadband dataaccess
3G ill b i t i idi i hi h d3G will be mainstream service, providing voice, high speeddata and rich content services
3G will expand into new segments of connected computing3G will expand into new segments of connected computingand consumer devices
• 3G/HSPA will drive wireless broadband access
100
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Thank You
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BROADBAND FOR ALLBROADBAND FOR ALLHighlighting the market potential with Highlighting the market potential with
3G mobile broadband
12 November 2008 - Dhaka
Restricted - Confidential Information
© GSM Association 2007
All GSMA meetings are conducted in full compliance with the GSMA’s anti-trust compliance policy
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Interactive Audience Discussion Panel
Aktel: Bidyut Kumar Basu, Chief Commercial Officer
Dialog Mobile – Sri Lanka: Supun Weerasinghe, Chief Operating Officer
Ericsson: Martin Bäckström, Vice President, Networks, Market Unit South East Asia
Gilbert + Tobin: Rob Nicholls ConsultantGilbert + Tobin: Rob Nicholls, Consultant
Grameenphone: Oddvar Hesjedal, Chief Executive Officer
GSMA: Ricardo Tavares, Senior Vice President - Public Policy
Qualcomm India and South Asia: Bimal Dayal, VP & Country Manager, Business Development
Warid: Azmat M, Khan, Deputy General Manager for Strategic Planning and Business Development
© GSM Association 2007
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BROADBAND FOR ALLBROADBAND FOR ALLHighlighting the market potential with Highlighting the market potential with
3G mobile broadband
12 November 2008 - Dhaka
Restricted - Confidential Information
© GSM Association 2007
All GSMA meetings are conducted in full compliance with the GSMA’s anti-trust compliance policy