Michigan State Education Data Profile - May 2011

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    HOW WELL IS MICHIGAN

    PREPARING ALLSTUDENTS FOR COLLEGE,

    CAREERS AND LIFE

    May 2011

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    A high school diploma is no longer enough; now, nearly every good

    job requires some education beyond high school such as an

    associates or bachelors degree, certificate, license, or completion

    of an apprenticeship or significant on-the-job training.

    Far too many students drop out or graduate from high school

    without the knowledge and skills required for success, closing doors

    and limiting their post-high school options and opportunities.

    The best way to prepare students for life after high school is to alignK-12 and postsecondary expectations. All students deserve a world-

    class education that prepares them for college, careers and life.

    Why College- and Career-Ready

    Expectations for All?

    2

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    A HIGH SCHOOL DIPLOMA IS NOLONGER ENOUGH FOR SUCCESS

    The changing economy is accelerating theexpectations gap, as careers increasingly requiresome education/training beyond high school,and more developed knowledge and skills.

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    4Source: Carnevale, Anthony P. et al. (June 2010). Help Wanted: Projections of Jobs andEducationRequirements Through 2018. Georgetown Center on Education and the Workforce.ww9.georgetown.edu/grad/gppi/hpi/cew/pdfs/FullReport.pdf

    Jobs in Todays (and Tomorrows) Workforce

    Require More Education and Training

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    The Rise of Middle-Skill Jobs

    5Source: Holzer, Harry J. and Robert I. Lerman (February 2009). The Future of Middle-SkillJobs.Brookings Institution.

    High-skill jobs

    Occupations in the professional/technical and managerial categories.

    Often require four-year degrees and above

    Middle-skill jobs

    Occupations that include clerical, sales, construction, installation/repair,

    production, and transportation/material moving.

    Low-skill jobs

    Occupations in the service and agricultural categories.

    Often require some education and training beyond high school (but

    typically less than a bachelors degree), including associates degrees,

    vocational certificates, significant on-the-job training.

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    Employment Shares by Occupational Skill Level

    6Source: National Skills Coalition (2010). The Bridge to a NewEconomy: Worker TrainingFills the Gap.http://www.nationalskillscoalition.org/assets/reports-/the-bridge-to-a-new-economy.pdf ; National Skills Coalition (2011).

    State MiddleSkillFactSheets. http://www.nationalskillscoalition.org/resources/fact-sheets/state-fact-sheets/

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    Education and Training Beyond High School

    Is Increasingly Being Demanded

    8Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics. OccupationalOutlookHandbook, 2010-11 Edition.http://www.bls.gov/oco/oco2003.htm

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    The Jobs of Tomorrow

    9Source: Milano, Jessica,B

    ruce Reed & Paul Weinstein Jr. (Sept 2009).A

    Matter of Degrees:Tomorrows Fastest GrowingJobs andWhy Community College Graduates WillGet Them. TheNew Democratic Leadership Council.

    Michigan should be preparing students for the jobs of tomorrow,

    not the jobs of yesterday or even today.

    A quarter of American workers are now in jobs not even listed in the

    Census Bureaus occupation codes in 1967.

    Given the growth of new job sectors most notably green jobs it is

    common sense to provide all students with a strong foundation that

    keeps all doors open and all opportunities available in the future.

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    The Public Agrees That Education or

    Training Beyond High School

    is Necessary for Future Success

    10

    To really get ahead in life, a

    person needs at least some

    education beyond high

    school, whether that means

    university, community

    college, technical orvocational school.

    To really get ahead in life,

    a person needs more

    than just a high school

    education.

    87

    8

    Source: Achieve, Inc. (2010). Achievingthe Possible: WhatAmericans Think the College andCareer-ReadyAgenda. http://www.achieve.org/files/AchievingThePossible-FinalReport.pdf

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    Americas International Edge is Slipping in

    Postsecondary Degree Attainment

    11Source: OECD. Education at a Glance 2010. (All rates are self-reported.) http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/education-at-a-glance-2010_eag-2010-en; National Center for Higher EducationManagement Systems, analysis of 2009 American Community Survey. http://www.higheredinfo.org

    0 10 20 30 40 50 60% Young Adults (25-34) with College Degree % Adults (25-64) with College Degree

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    % of Citizens with Postsecondary Degrees Among OECD Countries, by Age Group (2 )

    - 4 4 - 4 3 -44 2 -34 ALL (2 - 4)

    1 U.S. (40%) Canada (44%) Canada (54%) Korea (58%) Canada (49%)

    2 Canada (40%) Japan (43%) Japan (48%) Canada (56%) Japan (43%)

    3 N.Z. (34%) U.S. (40%) Finland (44%) Japan (55%) U.S. (41%)

    4 Finland (29%) N.Z. (38%) U.S. (43%) N.Z. (48%) N.Z. (40%)

    Australia (28%) Finland (37%) Korea (43%) Norway (46%) Finland (37%)

    Norway (28%) Australia (33%) N.Z. (40%) Ireland (45%) Korea (37%)

    7 Switz. (27%) Denmark (32%) Norway (38%) Denmark (43%) Norway (36%)

    8 U.K. (27%) Norway (32%) Australia (38%) Belgium (42%) Australia (36%)

    Sweden (26%) Switz. (31%) Denmark (37%) Australia (42%) Denmark (34%)

    1 Neth. (26%) Neth. (31%) Ireland (37%) U.S. (42%) Ireland (34%)

    11 Denmark (26%) Iceland (30%) Switz. (36%) Sweden (41%) Switz. (34%)

    12 Japan (26%) U.K. (30%) Iceland (36%) France (41%) U.K. (33%)

    13 Germany (24%) Belgium (29%) Belgium (35%) Neth. (40%) Belgium (32%)

    14 Iceland (24%) Sweden (28%) U.K. (33%) Spain (39%) Neth. (32%)

    1 Belgium (22%) Ireland (27%) Sweden (33%) Luxembourg (39%) Sweden (32%)

    4 - 4: Michigan (34%) MI (38%) MI (3 %) MI (3 %)

    Americas International Edge is Slipping in

    Postsecondary Degree Attainment

    12Source: OECD. Education at a Glance 2010. http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/education-at-a-glance-2010_eag-2010-en ; National Center for Higher Education Management Systems analysis of 2009 AmericanCommunity Survey. http://www.higheredinfo.org

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    FAR TOO MANY STUDENTS DROP

    OUT OR GRADUATE FROM HIGH

    SCHOOL UNPREPARED FOR REALWORLD CHALLENGES

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    Of Every 100 9th Graders in Michigan

    14Source: National Center for Higher Education Management Systems (2008). Student Pipeline- Transition andCompletion Ratesfrom 9th Grade to College. http://www.higheredinfo.org

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    9th Graders Grad ateigh hoolin 4 ears

    Enroll inCollege In the

    Fall

    till Enrolledophomore

    ear ofCollege

    Earn aCollegeDegree

    1

    71

    42

    28

    18

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    Achievement Remains Low: 8th Grade

    Achievement Over Time

    15Source: National Assessment of Educational Progress. Analysis of data downloaded fromhttp://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/naepdata/

    8th Grade Math 1 2 2

    Michigan 19% 31%

    U.S. 21% 34%

    8th Grade Reading 1 8 2

    Michigan n/a 31%

    U.S. 33% 32%

    8th Grade Science 1 2

    Michigan 32% 35%

    U.S. 29% 30%

    %At or Above Proficient on 8th Grade NAEP

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    And Gaps Persist: Michigans 8th Grade

    Achievement Gap

    16Source: National Assessment of Educational Progress. Analysis of data downloaded fromhttp://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/naepdata/

    Subgroup8th Grade Math

    (2 )

    8th Grade

    Reading (2 )

    8th Grade Science

    (2 )

    All Students 31% 31% 32%

    White 37% 36% 42%

    Black 5% 9% 6%

    Hispanic 17% 26% 20%

    Asian 59% n/a n/a

    American Indian n/a n/a n/a

    %At or Above Proficient on 8th Grade NAEP

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    High School Graduation Rates Remain

    Inequitable in Michigan

    17Source: Education Week (2007). Graduation in the UnitedStates.http://www.edweek.org/media/ew/dc/2010/34sos_gradrate.pdf

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    American

    IndianAsian

    HispanicBlackWhiteAll

    51%

    81%

    56%54%

    77%6 %

    48%

    82%

    4 %

    81%78%

    n/a

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    Americas International Edge is Slipping in

    High School Graduation Rates

    18Source: OECD. Education at a Glance 2010. (All rates are self-reported) http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/education-at-a-glance-2010_eag-2010-en; National Center for Higher EducationManagement Systems, analysis of 2008 and 2009 American Community Survey. http://www.higheredinfo.org

    0 20 40 60 80 100

    Iceland

    U.K.

    Netherlands

    Norway

    Ireland

    Denmark

    Germany

    Israel

    Canada

    Poland

    Korea

    U.S.

    Michigan

    % Young Adults (25-34) with HS Diploma+ % Adults (25-64) with HS Diploma+

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    Enrollment in College Does NOT Equal

    College Readiness

    19Source: National Center for Education Statistics (2003). RemedialEducation at Degree-GrantingPostsecondary Institutions in Fall2000.

    Percentage of U.S. first-year students in two-year and four-yearinstitutions requiring remediation

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    Enrollment in College Does NOT Equal

    College Readiness in Michigan

    21Source: Mackinac Center for Public Policy (Sept 2000). The Cost of RemedialEducation:HowMuch MichiganPays When Students Fail to Learn BasicSkills. http://www.mackinac.org/archives/2000/s2000-05.pdf

    33% of Michigans high school

    graduates enrolled in the states public

    colleges (including research, statecolleges, universities and 8 two-year

    colleges) require remediation/learning

    support.

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    Many College Students Fail to Return Their

    Sophomore Year and Go On To Earn Degrees

    22Source: National Center for Higher Education Management Systems (2008).Retention Rates -

    First-Time College Freshmen ReturningTheirSecondYear; Graduation Rates.http://www.higheredinfo.org/

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    Completion (4-Year)Persistence (4-

    Year)Persistence (2-Year)

    56%

    75%

    54% 54%

    73%

    50%

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    Many College Students Fail to Earn a

    Degree in Michigan

    23Source: NCES. IPEDS Graduation RateSurvey,analyzed by National Center for Management ofHigher Education Systems.

    Percent of students earning a bachelors degreewithin six years in Michigan, 2007

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    The Majority of Graduates Would Have Taken

    Harder Courses, Particularly in Mathematics

    24Source: Peter D. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies (2005). Rising to the Challenge:AreHigh SchoolGraduates Preparedfor College andWork? Michigan, DC: Achieve.

    Would have taken

    more challenging

    courses in at least

    one area

    Math

    Science

    English

    Knowing what you know today about the expectations of college/work

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    A MORE RIGOROUS & RELEVANT

    HIGH SCHOOL EDUCATION WILL

    OPEN DOORS FOR STUDENTS AND KEEP THEM OPEN

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    Personal Benefits of Education in Michigan

    While there may be jobs available to high school dropouts and

    graduates, they often pay l and off r l c rit ythan jobs

    held by those with at least some postsecondary experience.

    The link between educational attainment and gainful employmentis clear:

    More education is associated with higher

    earnings and higher rates of employment.

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    27Source: U.S. Census Bureau (2010). Current Population Survey. Figures are based on the total personsin the civilian labor force. http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/cpstc/cps_table_creator.html

    Personal Benefits of Education in Michigan

    Michigan Statistics: TotalUnemployment: 14%, Mean Income: $41,771

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    28Source:Carnevale, Anthony P. et al. (June 2010). Help Wanted: Projections of Jobs andEducation Requirements Through

    2018. Georgetown Center on Education and the Workforce. www9.georgetown.edu/grad/gppi/hpi/cew/pdfs/FullReport.pdfAnalysis based on authors analysis of March 2008 CPS data.

    Benefits to Education

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    29Source:ACT (2010). ACT 2009 Results. http://www.act.org/news/data/09/states.html ; College Board. Mean 2010SATScores byState. http://professionals.collegeboard.com/profdownload/2010-sat-trends.pdf

    Michigans Students Taking College

    Admissions Exams

    2010 Michigan U.S.

    Participation in ACT 100% 47%

    Average ACT Score 19.7 21

    Participation in SAT 5% 47%

    Average SAT Score 1766 1509

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    30Source:ACT (2010). College Readiness BenchmarkAttainment byState.http://www.act.org/news/data/10/benchmarks.html?utm_campaign=cccr10&utm_source=data10_leftnav&utm_medium=web#benchmark

    Students Meeting College Readiness

    Benchmark

    0%10%20%

    30%40%50%60%70%

    English, 2010Reading, 2010

    Math, 2010Science, 2010

    All 4 tests, 2010

    66%

    52%

    43%

    2 %24%

    56%

    40%

    33%

    25%

    1 %

    Percentage of ACT-tested graduates who met or

    exceeded the College Readiness Benchmark

    Note:A benchmarkscore indicates a 50% chance of obtaininga Bor higher or about a 75% chance of obtaininga C or higher in thecorrespondingcredit-bearingcollegecourses.

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    31Source: College Board (2011). AP Report to the Nation.http://professionals.collegeboard.com/profdownload/7th-annual-ap-report-to-the-nation-2011.pdf

    Students Participating in Advanced

    Placement and Exceeding College and Career

    Readiness

    Percent of all 12th Graders Participating inAdvanced Placement (2008)

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    THE SOLUTION:

    STATE-LED EFFORTS TO CLOSE THE

    EXPECTATIONS GAPAll students deserve a world-class education thatprepares them for college, careers and life.

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    The College- and Career-Ready Agenda

    33

    Align high school standards with the demands of collegeand careers.Align high school standards with the demands of collegeand careers.

    Require students to take a college- and career-ready

    curriculum to earn a high school diploma.

    Require students to take a college- and career-ready

    curriculum to earn a high school diploma.

    Build college- and career-ready measures into statewidehigh school assessment systems.Build college- and career-ready measures into statewidehigh school assessment systems.

    Develop reporting and accountability systems thatpromote college and career readiness.Develop reporting and accountability systems thatpromote college and career readiness.

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    Michigans Commitment to Closing the

    Expectations Gap to Date

    34

    In 2006 Michigan aligned its high school academic standards in

    mathematics and English with college- and career-ready

    expectations.

    In 2006 Michigan adopted college- and career-ready graduation

    requirements the Michigan Merit Curriculum for all students.

    Michigan requires all students to take the ACT, along with sections of

    WorkKeys and state-developed tests, as part of its high school

    assessment system, the Michigan Merit Exam.

    Michigan adopted the Common Core State Standards in June 2010.

    Michigan is a Governing State in the SMARTER BALANCEDAssessment Consortium, a consortium of states working to develop

    a common assessment system using Race to the Top Common

    Assessment funds.

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    How Michigan Can Continue to Build on its

    Momentum

    Realize the promise of the Common Core State Standards by implementing

    them fully and successfully, taking into consideration the related curricular

    and policy changes.

    Remain committed to the goals of the common assessment consortium

    and developing a next-generation, computer-based assessment system that

    will measure the full range of the Common Core State StandardsFurther progress on the states data collection efforts, particularly the

    linking of K-12 and postsecondary student-level data, and ensuring student-

    level data are available to key stakeholders (such as parents, teachers,

    students).

    Re-examine the states K-12 accountability system to determine how it can

    reward measures of college and career readiness, in alignment with thestates standards, course requirements and assessments.

    Focus efforts around increasing the states graduation rate (and

    decreasing the dropout rate) through student support programs and

    partnerships with higher education.

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    HOW WELL IS MICHIGAN

    PREPARING ALL

    STUDENTS FORCOLLEGE, CAREERS AND

    LIFE