Michael sosnowski advances in quant - 2011

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A Presenta*on from The NewMR “Advances in Quan*ta*ve Research” Event 19 September, 2012 Event sponsored by Affinnova All copyright owned by The Future Place and the presenters of the material For more informa=on about Affinnova visit www.affinnova.com For more informa=on about NewMR events visit newmr.org Doing More with Less: GeFng Greater Value from Mobile Quant Michael Sosnowski, TRC Market Research

Transcript of Michael sosnowski advances in quant - 2011

A  Presenta*on  from  The  NewMR  “Advances  in  Quan*ta*ve  Research”  Event  

19  September,  2012  

Event  sponsored  by  Affinnova  All  copyright  owned  by  The  Future  Place  and  the  presenters  of  the  material  

For  more  informa=on  about  Affinnova  visit  www.affinnova.com  For  more  informa=on  about  NewMR  events  visit  newmr.org  

Doing  More  with  Less:  GeFng  Greater  Value  from  Mobile  Quant    Michael  Sosnowski,  TRC  Market  Research    

Speaker: Michael Sosnowski, TRC Market Research NewMR Advances in Quantitative Research Event, 19 September 2012, Session 1

Doing  more  with  less:  GeFng  greater  value  from  mobile  quant  

Michael  Sosnowski  Execu=ve  Vice  President  TRC  Market  Research  

hNp://newmr.org/videos-­‐slides/advances-­‐in-­‐quant-­‐sept-­‐2012/steve-­‐nutall-­‐and-­‐adrian-­‐morgan/  

hNp://newmr.org/videos-­‐slides/advances-­‐in-­‐quant-­‐sept-­‐2012/steve-­‐nutall-­‐and-­‐adrian-­‐morgan/  

Speaker: Michael Sosnowski, TRC Market Research NewMR Advances in Quantitative Research Event, 19 September 2012, Session 1

Primary  researchers  in  the  pressure  cooker.  

Speaker: Michael Sosnowski, TRC Market Research NewMR Advances in Quantitative Research Event, 19 September 2012, Session 1

Is  mobile  a  way  to  do  more  with  less?  

•  The  most  interes=ng  and  value-­‐genera=ng  work  we  do  requires  some  degree  of  complexity.  

q  Conjoint  

q  Priori=za=on  techniques  

q  “What-­‐if”  simula=ons  

•  A  powerful  way  to  get  at  otherwise  hard-­‐to-­‐reach  popula=ons.  

•  An  invita=on  to  gather  data  at  =mes  and  places  not  previously  possible.  

•  Less  informa=on;  higher  frequency.  

•  Increasingly  consistent  with  how  consumers  want  to  give  feedback.  

…  just  not  too  much  less.  Yes...  

Speaker: Michael Sosnowski, TRC Market Research NewMR Advances in Quantitative Research Event, 19 September 2012, Session 1

Is  mobile  a  way  to  do  more  with  less?  

Embrace  the  mobile  impera=ve  but…  

…don’t  marginalize  yourself  with  low  involvement  or  low  value  contribu=ons.  

Speaker: Michael Sosnowski, TRC Market Research NewMR Advances in Quantitative Research Event, 19 September 2012, Session 1

Short  and  sweet  won’t  be  enough.  

Much  of  our  current  focus:  

•  5  to  10  ques=ons.  

•  Simple  response  dynamics.  

•  Assume  short  aNen=on  span.  

•  Maximize  experience  at  expense  of  informa=on  value.  

•  All  good  things  of  course,  but  we  need  to  draw  upon  our  other  strengths  –  design  and  analysis.  

Consumer-­‐  and  mobile-­‐friendly  surveys  

Speaker: Michael Sosnowski, TRC Market Research NewMR Advances in Quantitative Research Event, 19 September 2012, Session 1

Short  and  sweet  won’t  be  enough.  

More  with  less    in  a  mobile  environment  

Consumer-­‐  and  mobile-­‐friendly  surveys  

Don’t  maximize.  Op=mize!  

Speaker: Michael Sosnowski, TRC Market Research NewMR Advances in Quantitative Research Event, 19 September 2012, Session 1

Op*mize  &  challenge  conven*onal  wisdom.  

“You  can’t  do  advanced  choice-­‐based  research    on  a  handheld  device.”  

Speaker: Michael Sosnowski, TRC Market Research NewMR Advances in Quantitative Research Event, 19 September 2012, Session 1

Op*mize  &  challenge  conven*onal  wisdom.  

Is  that  true?  Let’s  ask  ourselves  some  fundamental  ques=ons:  

Why  do  we  do  advanced  choice-­‐based  studies?  •  To  understand  preferences  and  build  beNer  products.  

•  Because  we  believe  trade-­‐offs  are  superior  to  ra=ngs.  

       

 

 

Why  don’t  we  do  such  studies  on  mobile  devices?  •  They  require  too  many  choices.  

•  It’s  difficult  to  render  mul=-­‐op=on  choices  on  the  small  screen.  

Speaker: Michael Sosnowski, TRC Market Research NewMR Advances in Quantitative Research Event, 19 September 2012, Session 1

Op*mize  &  challenge  conven*onal  wisdom.  

An  es*ma*on  challenge:  What’s  the  right  number  of  choices?        Case  study:    Understanding  preferences  for  HDTVs  

•  7  unique  aNributes  –  brand,  price,  specifica=ons.  •  331  par=cipants.  •  3  HDTV  profiles  (plus  “none”)  per  choice  task  •  13  tasks  (cards).  

Speaker: Michael Sosnowski, TRC Market Research NewMR Advances in Quantitative Research Event, 19 September 2012, Session 1

Op*mize  &  challenge  conven*onal  wisdom.  

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Perhaps  we  don’t  need  so  many  choice  tasks?  

Maximum  hit  rate  

Minimum  error  

Case  study:    Understanding  preferences  for  HDTVs  

#  of  choice  tasks  

Speaker: Michael Sosnowski, TRC Market Research NewMR Advances in Quantitative Research Event, 19 September 2012, Session 1

Op*mize  &  challenge  conven*onal  wisdom.  

A  design  challenge:  Can  choices  be  simplified?      Case  study:  

Stemming  aKriLon  among  mobile  subscribers  

•  9  unique  aNributes.  •  1,208  par=cipants.  •  Take  it  or  leave  it  -­‐  1  mobile  (plus  “none”)  per  choice.  

Speaker: Michael Sosnowski, TRC Market Research NewMR Advances in Quantitative Research Event, 19 September 2012, Session 1

Op*mize  &  challenge  conven*onal  wisdom.  

89%  

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Stark  “yes  or  no”  choices  can  yield  robust  models  of  choice.  

Case  study:    Stemming  a:ri;on  among  mobile  subscribers  

Speaker: Michael Sosnowski, TRC Market Research NewMR Advances in Quantitative Research Event, 19 September 2012, Session 1

Op*mize  &  challenge  conven*onal  wisdom.  

“Fewer  tasks?  Simplified  choices?    

That  might  just  work!”  

Speaker: Michael Sosnowski, TRC Market Research NewMR Advances in Quantitative Research Event, 19 September 2012, Session 1

Op*mize  &  do  more  powerful  quan*ta*ve    studies  via  the  mobile,  today.  

Tournament-­‐style  prioriLzaLon…  good  for  online;  GREAT  for  the  mobile  plaWorm  •  What  makes  it  good  for  lengthy  feature  sets  makes  it  a  great  poten=al  fit  for  mobile  MR.  

q  Fewer  ques=ons  q  More  relevant  ques=ons  q  Handheld-­‐friendly  formaFng  requirements  q  Simple  response  mechanics  

Consumer-­‐  and  mobile-­‐  friendly  surveys  

More  with  less    in  a  mobile  environment  

A  potent  applicaLon  that  combines  innovaLve  design  and  analysis  with  a  simple  and  engaging  task  

Speaker: Michael Sosnowski, TRC Market Research NewMR Advances in Quantitative Research Event, 19 September 2012, Session 1

Mobile  “more  with  less”  in  ac*on.  

Want  to  catch  a  movie  in  a  theater?    

How  do  you  decide  what  to  see?  

 

An  everyday  priori=za=on  problem.  

Speaker: Michael Sosnowski, TRC Market Research NewMR Advances in Quantitative Research Event, 19 September 2012, Session 1

Mobile  “more  with  less”  in  ac*on.  

•  So  many  factors  to  consider.    

•  We  stopped  at  18.  

•  Max-­‐Diff  =  14  choice  sets.  

•  Tournament-­‐style  approach:  9.  

•  “That’s  more  mobile-­‐appropriate,”  we  thought.  “Let’s  test  it  out.”  

A  tournament  style  approach  

Speaker: Michael Sosnowski, TRC Market Research NewMR Advances in Quantitative Research Event, 19 September 2012, Session 1

Mobile  “more  with  less”  in  ac*on.  

•  414  U.S.  adults.  •  20-­‐ques=on  survey  (6-­‐7  minutes)  

•  All  accessed  and  completed  the  survey  using  a  mobile  device.  

•  Main  tasks  –  review  and  priori=ze  across  our  18  “go  to  the  movies”  choice  factors.  

•  Simple,  appropriately-­‐formaNed  tasks  presented  on-­‐device.  

Speaker: Michael Sosnowski, TRC Market Research NewMR Advances in Quantitative Research Event, 19 September 2012, Session 1

Results  confirm  our  ability  to  tackle  difficult  quant  work  via  mobile.  

a.  You  like  the  plot  or  story    b.  It  is  your  favorite  movie  genre    c.  It  is  adapted  from  something  you  are  familiar  with  d.  It  received  good  reviews  from  movie  cri=cs    e.  Your  friends  and  family  liked  it    f.  The  movie  has  your  favorite  stars    g.  The  theater  is  conveniently  located    h.  It  is  playing  at  a  convenient  =me  at  the  theater    i.  It's  a  sequel  to  a  movie  you've  already  seen    j.  It  is  shown  in  3D    k.  The  theater  has  good  quality  and  variety  of  food    l.  You  have  a  loyalty  card  or  get  points  or  rewards  m.  It's  targeted  towards  people  like  you    n.  You  think  it  will  be  a  popular  movie    o.  It  has  your  favorite  director    p.  It  is  a  long  movie    q.  It  has  an  R  ra=ng    r.  It  is  animated    

A  rank-­‐ordering  of  importance  

Most  important  decision  factor  

Least  important  decision  factor  

Case  study:    What’s  important  to  you  when  choosing  a  movie?  

Speaker: Michael Sosnowski, TRC Market Research NewMR Advances in Quantitative Research Event, 19 September 2012, Session 1

Results  confirm  our  ability  to  tackle  difficult  quant  work  via  mobile.  Case  study:    What’s  important  to  you  when  choosing  a  movie?  

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a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r

Mobile   Tradi=onal  

Bayesian  esLmaLon  of  uLliLes  helps  idenLfy  Lers  of  

importance.  

Results  match  nicely  to  those  obtained  using  tradiLonal  online  data  collecLon.  

Speaker: Michael Sosnowski, TRC Market Research NewMR Advances in Quantitative Research Event, 19 September 2012, Session 1

“More  with  less”  mobile  research:  Beyond  short  &  sweet.  More  than  fast  &  cheap.  

•  Don’t  marginalize  the  role  of  custom,  quan*ta*ve  research  in  an  increasingly  mobile  environment.    

•  Remember  we  have  more  tools  in  our  belt  than  programming  and  crea*ve  forma\ng.  

•  This  is  relevant  right  now.  

•  “More  with  less”  mobile  can  help  improve  all  methodologies.  

•  Be  an  op*mizer,  not  a  maximizer.  

Speaker: Michael Sosnowski, TRC Market Research NewMR Advances in Quantitative Research Event, 19 September 2012, Session 1

Thank  you.  Michael  Sosnowski  

Execu=ve  Vice  President  TRC  Market  Research  

Speaker: Michael Sosnowski, TRC Market Research NewMR Advances in Quantitative Research Event, 19 September 2012, Session 1

Q  &  A  

Sue York NewMR

Michael Sosnowski TRC Market Research

Speaker: Michael Sosnowski, TRC Market Research NewMR Advances in Quantitative Research Event, 19 September 2012, Session 1

Michael  Sosnowski  TRC  Market  Research  

Visit  TRC’s  site  at  hNp://trchome.com  Read  Michael  and  his  colleagues’  blog  posts  @  hNp://trchome.com/trc-­‐blog.html  Follow  Michael  @  hNp://twiNer.com/MRSosnowski  (@MRSosnowski)  Connect  with  Michael  on  LinkedIn  @  hNp://linkedin.com/in/michaelrsosnowski  Contact  Michael  at  215.641.2258  or  at  [email protected]  

A  Presenta*on  from  The  NewMR  “Advances  in  Quan*ta*ve  Research”  Event  

19  September,  2012  

Event  sponsored  by  Affinnova  All  copyright  owned  by  The  Future  Place  and  the  presenters  of  the  material  

For  more  informa=on  about  Affinnova  visit  www.affinnova.com  For  more  informa=on  about  NewMR  events  visit  newmr.org  

Doing  More  with  Less:  GeFng  Greater  Value  from  Mobile  Quant    Michael  Sosnowski,  TRC  Market  Research