The Decision Making Process Week 4 MGT 101 - Principles of Management and Business.
Mgt 240 Lecture Decision Support Systems March 3, 2005.
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Transcript of Mgt 240 Lecture Decision Support Systems March 3, 2005.
Mgt 240 LectureMgt 240 Lecture
Decision Support SystemsDecision Support Systems
March 3, 2005March 3, 2005
MiscellaneousMiscellaneous Exam 2Exam 2
Week after spring breakWeek after spring break Sample questions are availableSample questions are available Exam help session Monday, March 14 from 7-Exam help session Monday, March 14 from 7-
9pm in L0509pm in L050 Reading outlines available for material in Reading outlines available for material in
texttext Review slides!Review slides!
Homework 4Homework 4 Correct answer for relational table structure Correct answer for relational table structure
questionquestion
Programmed versus Programmed versus Nonprogrammed DecisionsNonprogrammed Decisions
Programmed decisionsProgrammed decisions Easy to computerizeEasy to computerize Example?Example?
Nonprogrammed decisionsNonprogrammed decisions Rules and relationships not definedRules and relationships not defined Problem is not routineProblem is not routine Not easily quantifiableNot easily quantifiable Example?Example?
What is a DSS?What is a DSS? A DSS is a computer-based tool, controlled A DSS is a computer-based tool, controlled
by the end user, used to support and by the end user, used to support and improve decision making in semi-structured improve decision making in semi-structured and unstructured problem situations. and unstructured problem situations.
The DSS helps to impose structure on the The DSS helps to impose structure on the decision-making process, and helps to bring decision-making process, and helps to bring together human judgment and computerized together human judgment and computerized information.information.
The DSS supports but does not replace the The DSS supports but does not replace the role of the end user in the decisionrole of the end user in the decision process. process.
Stages of the Decision Making Stages of the Decision Making Process: Process: Intelligence Intelligence
Problems or opportunities are Problems or opportunities are identified or definedidentified or defined
Intelligence Phase DSS toolsIntelligence Phase DSS tools
ExcelExcel List capabilities: Sorting, filteringList capabilities: Sorting, filtering Pivot tablesPivot tables ChartingCharting Gourmet1Gourmet1
Intelligence Phase DSS Intelligence Phase DSS ToolsTools
XcelsiusXcelsius OverviewOverview
Executive DashboardExecutive Dashboard Identify, track, trend, and correct problems Identify, track, trend, and correct problems
as managers evaluate the health of key as managers evaluate the health of key areas of their organizationareas of their organization
Identify operational efficienciesIdentify operational efficiencies Proactively identify and apply corrective Proactively identify and apply corrective
measuresmeasures
Executive Dashboard Executive Dashboard FeaturesFeatures
Dashboard Screen: The dashboard page displays the overall health of key performance indicators. Each box represents a key performance indicator (KPI) and the health for corresponding periods. The default executive dashboard shown can be unique to the individual logged in, or shared by the entire organization.
Executive Dashboard Executive Dashboard FeaturesFeatures
View Screen: The View screen gives a snapshot picture of the key performance indicator (KPI). Charts display supporting data, while text details the criteria and justification for each KPI.
Executive Support Systems (ESS) Executive Support Systems (ESS) in Perspectivein Perspective
Tailored to individual executivesTailored to individual executives Easy to useEasy to use Drill down capabilitiesDrill down capabilities Support need for external dataSupport need for external data Can help when uncertainty is highCan help when uncertainty is high Future-orientedFuture-oriented Linked to value-added processesLinked to value-added processes
Capabilities of an ESSCapabilities of an ESS
Support for defining an overall visionSupport for defining an overall vision Support for strategic planningSupport for strategic planning Support for strategic organizing & staffingSupport for strategic organizing & staffing Support for strategic controlSupport for strategic control Support for crisis managementSupport for crisis management
Stages of the Decision Making Stages of the Decision Making Process: Process: DesignDesign
Alternative solutions to the problem Alternative solutions to the problem or opportunity are developedor opportunity are developed
Design Phase DSS ToolsDesign Phase DSS Tools
ExcelExcel What if analysisWhat if analysis
Data tablesData tables Scenario managerScenario manager
Inn exampleInn example Meeting, Brainstorming, and DecisionMeeting, Brainstorming, and Decision
Making Tools for groups Making Tools for groups
Characteristics of a GDSSCharacteristics of a GDSS
Special designSpecial design Ease of useEase of use FlexibilityFlexibility Decision-making supportDecision-making support Anonymous inputAnonymous input Reduction of negative group behaviorReduction of negative group behavior Parallel communicationParallel communication Automated record keepingAutomated record keeping
Problem Solving or Choice Problem Solving or Choice ApproachesApproaches
Optimization:Optimization: find the best solution find the best solution Satisficing:Satisficing: find a good solution find a good solution Heuristics:Heuristics: rules of thumb rules of thumb
Optimization, Satisficing, and Optimization, Satisficing, and Heuristic ApproachesHeuristic Approaches
Stages of the Decision Making Stages of the Decision Making Process: ChoiceProcess: Choice
Selecting a course of actionSelecting a course of action ExcelExcel
SolverSolver Sale exampleSale example
Expert systemsExpert systems Intended to perform at the level of a human expert in Intended to perform at the level of a human expert in
a particular domaina particular domain Decision Tree AnalysisDecision Tree Analysis
Decision Decision ToolPakToolPak Add-in to Excel that facilitates construction of decision treesAdd-in to Excel that facilitates construction of decision trees
Common Expert System Common Expert System ArchitectureArchitecture
User
Knowledge Engineer
UserInterface
Inference Engine
Knowledge Base
User Environment Development Environment
Blackboard
DocumentedKnowledge
ExpertKnowledge
Data Warehouses, Data Marts, Data Warehouses, Data Marts, and Data Miningand Data Mining
Data WarehouseData Warehouse - a database that collects - a database that collects business information from many sources in the business information from many sources in the enterprise, covering all aspects of the company’s enterprise, covering all aspects of the company’s processes, products, and customers.processes, products, and customers.
Data MartData Mart – a subset of a data warehouse. – a subset of a data warehouse.
Data MiningData Mining - an information analysis tool that - an information analysis tool that involves the automated discovery of patterns and involves the automated discovery of patterns and relationships in a data warehouse. relationships in a data warehouse.