MGMT 650B – Consulting Skills for Managers
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Transcript of MGMT 650B – Consulting Skills for Managers
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. We accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.
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How can China Unicom use the iPhone to increase 5% How can China Unicom use the iPhone to increase 5% of the subscriber market share within 24 months?of the subscriber market share within 24 months?
MGMT 650B – Consulting Skills for Managers
Presented by Team D:BOHRA, Shilpa Rajesh; CHAN, Yat Hei; LIN, Michelle Lan Yan; MO, Siu Hei; TONG, Sze Man; TSE, Mei Yi Joyce
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. We accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.
Table of Contents
Sections
1. Executive Summary [3]
2. iPhone Pricing [5]
3. Killer Message To Represent iPhone [12]
4. Mid To Long Term Strategy [21]
5. Our Recommendations [27]
Appendix
A. Interview Highlight [29]
Page
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. We accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents. 3
Section 1
Executive Summary
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. We accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents. 4
Executive Summary China Unicom (“CU” or “Unicom”), being the second largest mobile operator in China as well as globally, is facing a highly competitive market resulting with losing subscriber market share in China every year since 2003.
SITUATION
In August 2009, CU partnered with Apple to launch iPhone 3G in China hoping to regain its subscriber market share.
How can CU use the iPhone to increase 5% of the subscriber market share within 24 months?
CU should set competitive pricing on iPhone and associated plans; deliver a clear iPhone message which is most appealing to customers; and set a sustainable strategy to maintain the market shares gained from launching iPhone.
1. CU should set the competitive pricing which could achieve market penetration a) The current iPhone prices are uncompetitiveb) Potential customers (such as bloggers) think the current price of iPhone is too expensivec) Current data pricing is not accepted by most mobile users
2. CU needs to come up with a “killer” message that represents iPhone to attract more China mobile users considering switching to CU
a) A clear “killer” message will help CU target the correct market segments and increase its presenceb) Currently CU has not incorporate iPhone’s features in the message are most appealing to potential
Chinese subscribersc) There are potential users who would want to switch operator to CU
3. CU should plan longer term strategies to sustain the market shares gained from iPhone launcha) Younger age group, high tech gurus, top management should be CU’s targeted customer segmentsb) Improvement in 2G and 3G network shows increase of subscriptionsc) From now and beyond 24 months, CU should build and develop its own data platform which can be
used on iPhone or any other smart phone which corresponds to the improving “lifestyle” image and subsequently into a premium operator.
COMPLICATION
QUESTION
ANSWER
RATIONALE
RATIONALE
RATIONALE
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. We accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents. 5
Section 2
iPhone Pricing
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. We accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.
CU’s iPhone pricing are uncompetitive CU’s iPhone handsets are priced on average 26% higher than Apple Store prices
in Hong Kong; 27% higher than grey market prices
We believe the pricing is incorrect. CU may want to target high-end customer segment, but potential users can just buy the phones from grey market or from Hong Kong to sign up with China Mobile instead
We recommend CU to cut 30% of the iPhone retail prices to stay competitive
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RmbGrey market Hong Kong Apple Store China Unicom
Source: www.zol.com.cn, www.apple.com.hk, China Unicom
Comparison of iPhone handset costs from grey market, Hong Kong Apple Store and China Unicom
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. We accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.
Cutting prices of iPhone will not hurt profitability Our sensitivity analysis shows that cutting 30% of retail prices to match grey
market prices will defend the market share
Cutting prices will not hurt profitability given the increase in volume
We believe cutting prices by 30% will lead to a 120% increase in sales volume
Total gross profit will increase by 10% as a result
(Rmb) Base case Cutting 10% of retail price Cutting 20% of retail price Cutting 30% of retail priceRetail price 4,999 4,499 3,999 3,499 Cost 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 Gross profit 2,999 2,499 1,999 1,499 Gross margin 60.0% 55.5% 50.0% 42.8%Projected sales ('000) 500 550 750 1,100 I ncrease in sales 10.0% 50.0% 120.0%Total gross profit (mn) 1,500 1,375 1,499 1,649 Change in gross profit -8.3% 0.0% 10.0%
Elasticity analysis of price cutting
Source: ?? What’s the source of projected saes and increase in sales? Can we say Research estimate?
Tim, please send me the table in excel and let me try to do some formatting for it. Thanks.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. We accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.
CU’s upfront payment is too high Due to the 24 months contract, Unicom’s iPhone users will need to prepay high
tariff upfront. Total upfront payment ranges from Rmb 5,999 – 7,999 Comparing to grey market iPhone where no prepayment is needed, Unicom
requires 49% higher payment We believe this is uncompetitive. We advise Unicom to cancel this requirement.
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Source: www.zol.com.cn, www.apple.com.hk, China Unicom
What do you need to pay at the beginning to own an iPhone?
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. We accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.
What do customers think of the data plans?
% of respondents think pricing of data plan is acceptable
42%
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CT CU CM
Out of 300,000 respondents, 42% customers think pricing of China Telecom (“CT”)
is more reasonable as compared to 17% of CU’s pricing This could be due to the fact that CT’s data plan charges is time based instead of the usual byte based, which is more user-friendly
Source: Market research report
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. We accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.
Prices and promotions is the number one attraction for customers to switch to CU
Reasons for potentially shifting to CU
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Don't know / Others
Handsets
Better technology /Data speed
Network / Coverage /Service
Trust the brand
Price / Promotions
Source: Market research report
Reasons for potentially shifting to CU
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. We accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.
Bloggers think iPhone prices are expensive We surveyed bloggers’ initial responses from Chinese discussion forums
They think iPhone are expensive. We recommend Unicom to cut price
Most of the responses were negative. The main issues are: Affordability concern - “Unicom’s iPhone is way too expensive, I wonder how
many people can afford it…( 联通版的实在是太贵了啊,有几个人能买的起… )” - Posted by 们领军 , 2009-9-29 11:15
High upfront payment - “The total upfront payment is too high. Those who can afford to pay the upfront prepayment should have already bought iPhone in the grey market. ( 不管如何实惠,第一次付款的钱数太多。有如此多的钱的人想要iphone 的早买了…要是真正的分期付款就好了… )” - Posted by 123.182.171.*, 2009-10-6 22:56
iPhone in the grey market is cheaper and has WiFi functionality - “Although iPhone sold in the grey market does not have official warranty, I can still have it repaired elsewhere, and the service is pretty good. iPhone sold in the grey market has WiFi functionality and is a lot cheaper than Unicom’s handset plans… ( 水货iphone 坏了吗没人管? 我这还不错 跟普通手机一样 保修 虽不是全国联保 但免费升级保修什么地 还是没问题的 这样算下来 , 有比联通多了个 wifi 还便宜了许多 ...)” - Posted by 115.48.237.*, 2009-10-5 23:10
Source: [Name of the Blog]
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. We accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.
Bloggers think iPhone prices are expensive (con’t) Most of the responses were negative. The main issues are (cont’d):
Without WiFi, data cost will be a lot higher - “Without WiFi, you are likely to incur a lot more expensive 3G data charges…( 联通 3G 是没有 wifi 的… 联通的想上网只能 3G... 多上会,不好意思,你的手机号会欠费好几百… )”- Posted by 吃西红柿番茄 , 2009-10-1 19:14
It is cheaper to buy iPhone in the grey market and join CU’s student plan “I think it is cheaper to buy an iPhone in the grey market and join CU’s student plan… ( 诚然,现在 iphone 水货也 3700 多,加上 2 年每月 126 总共要近 7000 ,可是你又没有 wifi ,怎么和水货竞争。想来想去要么等,要么买部水货手机再办个 66 套餐合适 )” - Posted by 122.194.5.*, 2009-10-3 07:07
Tariff of CU’s iPhone packages seems to be reasonable “I think the price packages of Unicom’s iPhone are pretty reasonable… Unicom offers flat rate on domestic roaming and long-distance calls which is good. Phones sold in the grey market may be cheaper, but Unicom’s packages are bundled with monthly voice minutes and data. I think Unicom’s iPhone packages are more attractive… (… 现在有了联通 -wcdma ,据说最低 套餐 96 ,关键全国范围接听免费,打电话也不贵,还有那么多增值服务,我觉的挺好。网上说用联通 -iPhone 要 5099 元,这可是 2 年186 元的话费 呢… 这样看来 iPhone 还 是比较合适的 )” - Posted by myie2cn, 2009-9-27 20:56
Source: [Name of the Blog]
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. We accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents. 13
Section 3
Killer Message for iPhone – A Lifestyle Phone
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. We accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.
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CU / CT / CM 3G Network Advertisement 3G handsets
What is the current market visibility of CU as compared to its competitors?
No. of hits results found on each “Search Words” in Youku.com
Source: Youku.com
From the Youku.com search, CU and its associated network, advertisement and 3G handsets has lowest hit number of results found
CU needs to increase its presence in the telecommunication market and to increase TV advertisements and promotion for its 3G network and iPhone
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Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. We accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.
China Unicom currently focuses its TV advertisement message on the functionality of 3G
Video Function – Connecting People
CU focuses its TV advertisement promotions on the functionality of its 3G network, from high speed connection, video call functions, music download, high speed internet and its corporate advertisement on “Changing the World”
Music download
3G with the
World
Source: Youku.com
High Speed Network Changing the World
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While CU’s competitor, China Telecom has clear messages for its target segments China Telecom’s target segment: business users and young people
It is easier for the customers to see the image and value in China Telecom
Business Users – Connect the business people and CEO from anywhere and anytime
Lifestyle Phone for young people with multi-functions
Source: Youku.com
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. We accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.
CU should deliver the message - “iPhone is a Lifestyle Phone”
CU can leverage on the brand of the iPhone and deliver a clear message to the target customers that iPhone is more than a phone for voice call, it’s a lifestyle phone that can be built into our daily life
iPhone combines three lifestyle functions: iPod + revolutionary mobile phones + breakthrough internet communicator
Steven Jobs, CEO of Apple said that “iPhone is doing 5 years ahead of what other phone” with great design and faster speed
Source: Steve Jobs, CEO of Apple – Introducing the iPhone at
Faster Speed - 36% faster than Nokia
phone
Combination of iPod + Phone + Internet
Design – “Something
wonderful in your hand”
Multi-functions – Doing 5 years ahead
of other phone
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. We accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.
How does iPhone compare with OPhone? iPhone has unique design, functions and features that OPhone is imitating. iPhone is selling at a higher price than OPhone OPhone is more popular phone in China due to it has more localized data platforms
installed which iPhone is currently lacked of.
iPhone Vs OPhone
Chinese customization Low handset production costs
Software platforms Apple store Fetion, Monternet, [x] Mobile market
Network standard advantage (Compatible with other popular handsets with 85% of the world)
China MobileChina Unicom
iPhone OPhone
China Telecom
Source: Brokerage research reports
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. We accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.
What do customers think so far?
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% of respondents willing to switch operator
Out of 300,000 respondents, 47% potential customers are more willing to change to CU than 27% customers prefer CT This could be due to customers are aware of more popular 3G handsets will only work on CU’s WCMDA network
Source: Market research report
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Section 4
Strategy
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Strategy 1 -Target Customer Segments The customer segment should target the _______age group, high technology gurus, high
management employees
From ______
Strategy to target customers in one years time
Source: Market research report
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Strategy 1 -Targeted Customer Segments Any more charts/ data for the segment?
Strategy to target customers in one years time
Source: Market research report
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Strategy 2 - Improve its telecommunication network
RMB38.7 billion (US$5.6 billion) has earmarked to develop its 3G business in 2009 but it still has a weak telecommunication network.
At the moment, China Unicom has the least telecommunication ports in China as compared with its competitors.
Source: [ x ]
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No. of Telecommunication Ports Own By Each China Mobile Operator
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. We accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents. 24
Improve its telecommunication network Prior to 2009, CU operated the CDMA network in China. Due to Government’s
mandated restructuring, CU was forced to sell the technology to CT. CT spent Rmb 100 bn to improve its network and to do market campaign. In 9 months,
monthly new addition subscribers market share improved from 3.6% to 31.8% We believe CU can reference the success of CT by spending money to improve its
existing GSM/WCDMA network.
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No. of Monthly New Subscription of CDMA Network in China
Source: ???
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The data platform should be a killer weapon against its competitors on data subscription
Referencing to Verizon, a US mobile operator, Verizon wireless developed its own data platform and was introduced in 2008. Being the best amongst US operators and able to achieve “Any App, Any Device”, it is able to sustain a consistent net-adds growth every quarter since 2005. Verizon remained competitive against AT&T which has the exclusivity of selling iPhone.
Strategy 3 - Develop its own unique data platform
Source: Chetan Sharma Consulting
No. of Quarterly Net-adds of Different US Operators
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. We accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents. 26
Section 5
Our Recommendations
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. We accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.
Our Recommendations We believe CU’s pricing of iPhone is unattractive. We recommend CU to cut 20%
of the iPhone retail prices to stay competitive.
We think the prepayment of tariff for iPhone packages are unappealing. Upfront prepayment is way too high which is scaring potential users away. We recommend CU to cancel this requirement.
We believe CU to take this opportunity to improve brand image and promote iPhone and its 3G services as “lifestyle” products. Unicom can leverage on the premium image of iPhone to give an impression of providing more than “phone services”.
In our view, CU will eventually lose the exclusive right to sell iPhone in 2 years’ time. Apple has been a tough partner. We believe CU should make this window of opportunity to improve its network, customers experience, as well as strengthen its data application platforms and ally with data content partners. CU can leverage on Apple’s branding to attract premium partners. In addition, CU can learn from Apple’s state-of-the-art technologies.
By doing so, CU will transform into an operator with more advanced data platform, better network, more streamlined customers experience and becoming an operator of choice with advanced technologies. We believe eventually it does not matter whether Unicom still has the iPhone after 2 years.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. We accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents. 28
Appendix 1
Interview Highlight
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. We accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.
Interview highlights Tim to draft