Mexico: the land of silver
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Transcript of Mexico: the land of silver
GLOBAL RESOURCES
INVESTMENT CONFERENCE
STATIONERS’ HALL, CITY OF LONDON ● TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY, 27-28 SEP 2011
www.ObjectiveCapitalConferences.com
Mexico: the land of silverGeorge Cavey – Orko Silver
Other sponsors & participating organisations:
GLOBAL RESOURCESINVESTMENT CONFERENCE 2011
Lead sponsor:
Media partners:
@Objectivelive
On the Fast Track to Silver Production at
La Preciosa
September 14, 2011
Gary Cope - President, CEO, and Director – Gary Cope has more than 30 years experience in corporate
finance and corporate strategy, as well as significant experience with the financing of publicly held
companies. Mr. Cope arranged the financing and was instrumental in the negotiations and sale of the
South Kemess Deposit.
Mike Devji - Executive Vice-President and Director – Also President & CEO of Blackcomb Minerals Inc.
An experienced financier of public companies, Mr. Devji led a group of investors who financed a 40%
interest in the South Kemess Gold-Copper Deposit in British Columbia, Canada. That interest was
subsequently sold for over $400 million.
George Cavey, P. Geo. - Vice-President Exploration and Director – 35 years in exploration and
consulting as the president of OreQuest Consultants. Past President of the Canadian Council of
Professional Geoscientists. The 2004 recipient of the APEGBC C.J. Westerman Award. Also the recipient
of the 2010 Canadian Professional Geoscientist Award, Canada’s highest honor for a Professional
Geoscientist.
B.H. (Ben) Whiting, M.Sc., P.Geo. - Chief Geologist - 30 years experience in the international exploration and mining plus past Adjunct Professor at Queen's University. Mr. Whiting was awarded the Aaro Aho Foundation's prize in Economic Geology.
Art Freeze, P.Geo. - Consulting Geologist, Advisory Board Member – 40 years experience in
international exploration and project management. Technical Advisor and Director for several public mining
companies as well as a consulting geologist for Goldcorp.
Key Management & Directors
4
Primary Listing: TSX Venture Exchange
Trading Symbol: OK
US OTC Pink Sheets: OKOFF
Frankfurt Exchange: OG3.F
Share Structure
Issued: 129,446,979
Options: (average $0.55) 12,672,500
Fully diluted: 142,118,979
Working Capital CDN $13,800,00052 Week Low/High CDN $1.40 to $3.25Current Price: CDN $2.57
Share Ownership (Fully diluted)
Institutional ~ 35% - 40%
Management ~ 15%
Goldcorp, Inc. (NYSE: GG) ~ 3%
Pan American (NASDAQ: PAAS) ~ 3%
Capital Structure September 14, 2011
5
• La Preciosa, one of the world’s largest primary silver deposits is located in Durango, Mexico, the world’s largest silver producer – 128.6 million oz in 2010.
• Our 43-101 compliant Resource Estimate is now 175 Million Silver Equivalent Ounces (70% Indicated, 30% Inferred)
• On April 14th 2009 Orko Silver signed a Joint Venture Agreement with Pan American Silver (NASDAQ: PAAS) to bring the La Preciosa deposit into production.
• Orko is fully financed.
•Aug 10th, 2011 Orko and Pan American release a new Resource Estimate (fully diluted resources) and a Preliminary Economic Assessment (PEA)
• Positive PEA demonstrates a long robust mine life.
Company Highlights
6
La Preciosa Mineral Resources
(Fully Diluted)
* Estimated at a 50 :1 Silver/Gold ratio with metallurgical recoveries and refining charges assumed to be the same for Ag & Au
NI 43-101 Reserve & Resource Categories
Reserve Categories Resource Categories
- Proven, Probable - Measured, Indicated, Inferred
7
CategoryCutoff
g/t AgTonnes
Grade
g/t AgEq
Ag
Grade
(g/t)
Silver Ounces
Au
Grade
(gt)
Gold
Ounces
AgEq
Ounces
50:1
Category
%
Indicated(Open Pit)
35 10,900,000 139 129 45,000,000 0.19 66,000 49,000,000
Indicated(Underground)
85 13,900,000 170 152 68,000,000 0.35 156,000 76,000,000
Indicated
Totals24,800,000 156 142 113,000,000 0.28 222,000 124,000,000 70%
Inferred(Open Pit)
35 7,600,000 81 74 18,000,000 0.13 31,000 20,000,000
Inferred(Underground)
85 7,600,000 128 117 28,000,000 0.21 52,000 31,000,000
Inferred
Totals15,200,000 96 105 46,000,000 0.17 83,000 51,000,000 30%
Totals 40,000,000 133 128 159,000,000 0.24 305,000 175,000,000 100%
- The 2009 resource estimate of 146.3 million ounces was an undiluted estimate
On Aug 10th, 2011 Orko and Pan American release a Preliminary Economic Assessment (PEA)
Demonstrates the potential for a 12 year mine Annual production of 6.8 million oz Ag and 12,000oz Au (LOM) Cash cost of $ $11.84/oz Ag Capital costs of $270 million (PAA burden)
Preliminary Economic Assessment (PEA)
8
Base Case Current Pricing
Silver Price (US$/oz) $25 $38
Gold Price (US$/oz) $1250 $1600
Undiscounted present value $497 million $1,309 billion
Net Present Value (5% discount) $315 million $922 million
Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 24.3% 52.7%
Payback 3.3 years 1.9 years
Sensitivity Analysis of La Preciosa
9
-10%
+10%+20%
-10%
+10%+20%
$12/oz
$18/oz
$25/oz
$30/oz
$40/oz
30%
20% 15%
Ind. only
-400
-200
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
Pro
ject
NPV
@ 5
% (
$M)
Capex Opex Ag price UG pillars Indicated only
10
Internal Rate of Return (IRR%)
IRR
%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Internal Rate of Return (IRR) vs Metal prices
Inte
rnal R
ate
of
Retu
rn
11
Silver $/oz,
Gold $/oz
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
$25, $1250 $30, $1400 $35, $1550 $38, $1600 $40, $1700 $45, $1850
Net Present Value (NPV @ 5%) vs Metal Prices
Net
Pre
sen
t V
alu
e
($ m
illi
on
)
12
Silver $/oz,
Gold $/oz
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
$25, $1250$30, $1400$35, $1550$38, $1600$40, $1700$45, $1850
Cost of Production 2010 (actual)- 2011(estimate)
•Assumes the completion of
positive feasibility study
• Assumes 91% Ag recovery and
65% Au recovery
• Assumes Ag 250 g/t, Au 0.30 g/t
• Assumes 10% dilution
• Ag Eq = Ag/Au 60:1
6.67.2
8.8
7.8 – Potential La Preciosa
Production (million ounces)
*- Assumes the completion of a
positive feasibility study
13Source: BMO Capital Markets
OK
Regional Map - Durango State, Mexico
• 45 minutes from the city of
Durango
• 45 minutes from International
Airport
• Access by paved highway
• 8 km to national power grid
• 8 km to rail lines
• 2 hours by road/rail to smelter
Located in the heart of Mexico’s prolific Sierra Madre Mining Belt,
which hosts large silver deposits such as Fresnillo & Pitarrilla14
La Preciosa
The Joint Venture consists of a large land package of 32,400 hectares (~ 80,000 acres)
15
Vertical Cross Section 2701980N
La Preciosa Deposit – Mine Plan
16
Vertical Cross Section 2701980N
La Preciosa Exploration and Development
17
Completed• Orko & Pan Am diamond drilling -245,000 metres (796,000 feet or 151 miles) of
core in 717 holes.
• Geotechnical pit-slope and mine support design (Golder Associates )
• Metallurgical & petrographical studies (SGS Mineral Services)
• Processing plant design studies (M3 Engineering)
• Environmental Impact Assessment (Clifton Associates )
• Resource Estimate (Snowden Mining Consultants Inc.)
• Preliminary Economic Assessment (Snowden Mining Consultants Inc.)
Ongoing• Project engineering consulting for Orko (AMEC)
• Community relations and surface rights purchase (Pan American)
• Feasibility Study by April 13, 2012 (Pan American/Snowden?)
Projected La Preciosa Timeline
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Martha Vein Discovery
Orko Drilling
Detailed PAA Drilling
Geotechnical Drilling
PEA
Feasibility Study *
Construction
Production
P
A
N
A
M
E
R
I
C
A
N
D
E
A
L
S
I
G
N
E
D
* The terms of the JV agreement require PAAS to complete a feasibility study by April 13, 2012.
0.0
3.0
6.0
9.0
12.0
7.2 M 8.0 M *
3.2 3.6
4.04.4
PAAS
Orko
Projected Annual Silver (Eq) Production
Silver Eq
Ounces
(millions)
La Preciosa’s potential production of more than 7 million ounces of silver annually represents more than 5% of Mexico’s annual silver production
19
Annual production (million ounces)
* - Assumes an ~10% increase in productivity with final engineering study results
ProducingPrice
( Sept 14) Market
2010
Silver
2010
Gold OtherMcap/
Production Reserves & ResourcesMcap/
Resource
Company Capitalization production production production
AgEq
(Ag:Au 50:1) Ag AuAgEq
(Ag:Au 40:1)
First Majestic $20.48 $1,921,594,757 7,024,055 2,145 Pb, Zn 262 300,000,000 35,000 6.4
Silvercorp $6.83 $1,127,699,545 4,140,000 2,000 Pb, Zn 161 218,000,000 175,146 5.0
Great Panther $3.26 $373,922,000 1,534,956 7,380 Pb, Zn 172 17,100,000 80,000 17.7
Silver Standard $26.48 $2,087,119,864 6,301,140 Pb, Zn 320 1,740,405 4,752,600 8.7
Endeavor $12.48 $870,567,360 3,285,833 17,000 Zn 210 72,000,000 320,000 9.9
Fortuna Silver $6.10 $675,190,700 1,906,422 Pb Zn Cu 354 90,140,000 499,275 5.9
Aurcana $0.74 $256,771,139 771,031 67 51,800,000 5.0
Scorpio Mining $2.22 $426,462,000 910,352 193 61,000,000 7.0
Minera Andes $2.75 $728,039,458 2,608,875 41,306 Cu 156 110,000,000 3,009,000 2.8
Excellon Res $0.77 $187,050,224 1,317,605 Pb, Zn 142 37,000,000 19,000 4.9
Orko @ 45% $2.57 $332,677,451 3,200,000 11,800 n/a 104 159,000,000 305,000 1.9
Potential Annual Silver (Eq) Production
Assumes 100% Orko interest
(Orko 45% interest = 4.2)
20
* - does not include base metal credits
AgEq
production
estimate
World's Leading Primary Silver Mines
(2010 production in millions of ounces)
Source: The Silver Institute
Rank Mine/Country Operating Company Production
1. Cannington, Australia BHP Billiton 38.60
2. Fresnillo, Mexico Industrias Peñoles SA de CV 33.76
3. Gümüsköy, Turkey Eti Gümüş A.Ş. 11.46
4. Dukat, Russia JSC Polymetal 11.10
5. Pallancata, Peru Hochschild Mining / International Minerals 10.14
6. Uchucchacua, Peru Compañia de Minas Buenaventura 9.27
7. Arcata, Peru Hochschild Mining 8.10
8. Greens Creek, U.S. Hecla Mining 7.21
9. Imiter, Morocco Société Métallurgique d'Imiter 7.20
La Preciosa, Mexico Pan American/ Orko Silver 7.20
10. San Bartolomé, Bolivia Coeur d'Alene Mines 6.71
11. Alamo Dorado, Mexico Pan American Silver Corp. 6.68
12. Pirquitas, Argentina Silver Standard 6.30
13. Palmarejo, Mexico Coeur d'Alene Mines 5.89
14. San José, Argentina Hochschild Mining / Minera Andes 5.32
15. Ying, China Silvercorp 4.32
La Preciosa, Mexico Pan American interest only 4.00
16. Manantial Espejo, Argentina Pan American Silver Corp 4.00
17. La Colorada, Mexico Pan American Silver Corp 3.70
La Preciosa, Mexico Orko Silver interest only 3.20
18. Huaron, Peru Pan American Silver Corp 3.00 21
Significance of La Preciosa to PAA
22
Company
Issued &
Outstanding
Share
price
Market
Capitalization
Silver
Reserves &
Resources*
Silver
production
(2010)
Future Silver
production *
(Ag ounces)
Pan American 107,791,000 $32.84 $3,539,856,440 1,190,793,000 24,285,440 23,500,000
Orko Silver
(La Preciosa)* 129,446,979 $2.57 $332,678,736 159,000,000 n/a 6,800,000
OK - PAA 8% 9% 12% 22%
* - Columns are assuming silver only (not silver equivalent - AgEq) for La Preciosa
Upside for Orko
• Pan American has spent more than US$16 million on exploration and development to complete a feasibility study
• PAAS must contribute 100% of the funds necessary to develop and construct an operating mine, in consideration for a 55% interest in the joint venture
• Orko will be fully carried and will end up owning 45% of a producing mine
• PAAS is fast tracking La Preciosa to production for early 2014
• AMEC and Orko have determined that the PEA is a conservative document, with upside expected in:
• Resource estimate (lower cut-off grades)• Mining methods• Reduced dilution of many of the veins• Grade• Financial analysis-
• 5% management fee included will disappear if 100% PAAS ownership(~$0.80 per oz Ag)
• ~$30 million in sustaining capital to be moved to capital costs (100 % PAAS burden)
• Net result will be lower costs per tonne, longer mine life23
As of September 14, 2011
24ECU, OK, MAG, SVL, XAG, KTN, ORM, SOL UXG, EPZ, ASM, CJO GPR, FR, EDR, SLX, FVI, IPT
What Others are Saying
Byron Capital Markets – Jeff Wu, Mining Analyst – Aug 2011 “The PEA deeply
underestimates La Preciosa’s economic value.”
GMP – Kevin Reid, Director -“We highlight Orko Silver as a unique investment
opportunity in the silver sector, offering good metal price exposure to silver and
exploration upside through its La Preciosa project in Durango, Mexico, but with a
lower risk profile than typical for a preproduction silver play as its JV agreement
with senior producer Pan American Silver offloads construction financing risk (OK
is fully carried through to production) and reduces overall development risk (Pan
American is an experienced mine builder). While we see good upside to our
fundamental target, we also believe that the structure of the JV with Pan American
makes Orko Silver a potential M&A target. ”
Pan American Silver – Geoff Burns, President – Aug 2011 - “It is a very
interesting project for Pan American …it has a solid silver production profile, has a
relatively long mine life, and is located in a good mining jurisdiction…At current
silver prices, the project economics become extremely robust. We will be moving
forward aggressively to complete a Feasibility Study and to position ourselves for
a construction decision…”25
Orko Silver Corp. Share Price Chart – September 14, 2011
PAA JV announced
6th Resource Estimate
Soft TSX market
Private Placement
Announced
February 2011
Why Orko Silver?
• La Preciosa is one of the world’s largest primary silver deposits
• La Preciosa’s superb location offers an infrastructure advantage
• Pan American is advancing La Preciosa to production, early 2014
• Excellent potential to expand the silver resources
• Orko has a fully carried interest into production
• Better leverage in Orko shares than Pan American shares; the current share
price doesn't factor in any potential takeover premium
• Significant upside in lower costs and higher productivity when engineering
studies are concluded and incorporated into the Feasibility Study
• Orko is fully financed
• Share price doesn't factor in an increase in the price of silver, PAAS could
forward sell at today’s Ag price
• Orko’s economic share of production is closer to 57% to reflect $0 capital cost
(GMP)
• Share price doesn't factor in increased confidence generated from a full
Feasibility Study (Q2 - 2012)27
1180 - 999 West Hastings Street
Vancouver, B.C. Canada V6C 2W2
Phone: +1.604.687.6310
Fax: +1.604.687.6365
Email: [email protected]
Web: www.orkosilver.com
TSX Venture Exchange: OK
US OTC Pink Sheets: OKOFF
Frankfurt Exchange: OG3.F
Contact Information
28
This presentation of Orko Silver Corp. (the “Company”) contains “forward-looking information” within the meaning of the United
States “Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995” and applicable Canadian securities legislation. Statements containing
forward-looking information express, as at the date of this presentation, the Company’s
plans, estimates, forecasts, projections, expectations, or beliefs as to future events or results and the Company does not
intend, and does not assume any obligation to, update such statements containing the forward-looking information.
Generally, forward-looking information can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “plans,” “projects” or
“projected,” “expects” or “does not expect,” “is expected,” “estimates,” “forecasts,” “scheduled,” “intends,” “anticipates” or “does
not anticipate,” or “believes,” or variations of such words and phrases, or statements that certain actions, events or results
“may,” “can,” “could,” “would,” “might” or “will be taken,” “occur” or “be achieved.” Statements containing forward-looking
information include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to the anticipated economic returns of any of the Company’s
projects, the expected results from exploration activities, the economic viability of the development of newly discovered ore
bodies, the accuracy of mineral resource estimates, future production levels, the requirements for additional capital, the results
of drilling, and Orko Silver’s commitment to, and plans for developing, newly discovered and existing mineralized structures.
Statements containing forward-looking information involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors that may
cause the actual results, level of activity, performance, or achievements of Orko Silver and its operations to be materially
different from those expressed or implied by such statements. Such factors include, among others, the actual results of current
exploration activities, future prices of silver and gold, unpredictable risks and hazards relating to the development of La
Preciosa, and the speculative nature of exploration and development. Although the Company has attempted to identify
important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in forward-looking statements, there
may be other factors that cause results to be materially different from those anticipated, described, estimated, assessed, or
intended. There can be no assurance that any statements containing forward-looking information will prove to be accurate as
actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. Accordingly, undue reliance
should not be placed on statements containing forward-looking information.
This presentation has been prepared by the Company and has not been reviewed or approved by Pan American Silver. George
Cavey, P.Geo., is the Qualified Person responsible for the preparation of the scientific and technical information related to the
Company’s operations that is included in this presentation.
Forward-Looking Statements
29
www.orkosilver.com