Metro Vancouver Industrial Lands Portfolio · 2015-09-09 · Metro Vancouver Industrial Lands...
Transcript of Metro Vancouver Industrial Lands Portfolio · 2015-09-09 · Metro Vancouver Industrial Lands...
Metro Vancouver Industrial Lands Portfolio
Regional Planning Committee
Eric Aderneck
Senior Regional Planner
September 4, 2015
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• Stops erosion of industrial land• Accommodates industrial growth• Supports the regional economy• Achieves job growth• Supported by an efficient
transportation system
Regional Context -Successful IndustrialLand Strategy:
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Industrial• Heavy & light industrial activities • Residential not intended
Mixed Employment• Industrial• Commercial & other
employment related uses • Support industrial activities• Complement Urban Centres• Capitalize on FTDAs• Residential not intended
Policies: Metro 2040 Land Use Definitions
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What We’ve Done: Work Completed• 2005 + 2010 Industrial Lands
Inventory• 2011 Industrial Lands Intensification
Analysis Study• 2012 Industrial Lands Market
Readiness• 2012/2013 Best Practices for
Intensive Use of Industrial Lands• 2013 Redevelopment and
Intensification – Constraints / Opportunities
• 2013 High Density Multi Level Industrial Building Feasibility
• 2014 Industrial Land Protection and Intensification Policies Guideline
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2010 Industrial Land Inventory
6,600 acres vacant21,600 acres developed28,200 acres total
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Today’s Industry in Metro Vancouver
• Wide variety of types of industrial uses• Few cases of multi-level buildings• Efficiencies achieved through higher ceilings,
equipment / technology, and automation• Generally higher densities on higher value lands
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Link to Goods Movement
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0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Employment in Metro Vancouver by Sector
Manufacturing
Utilities & Construction
Trade, Transport,Warehousing
Education, Health, Info,Culture
FIRE, Professional,Business
Accmd., Food, OtherServices, Public Admin.
Agriculture & Resources
Num
ber o
f Job
s (10
00)
Link to Employment / Economy
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0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
12,000
13,000
Developed
Total Industrial Land Capacity 2010
Vacant
Industrial Land Demand & Supply
25,000
10,000
20,000
30,000
15,000
5,000
0
Acre
s
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Issues: Tensions and Responses• Shortage of industrial lands / high land prices• Pressure on ALR lands• ‘Industrial Land Reserve’ concept• Challenges and opportunities of industrial intensification• Loss of industry and associated economic / employment
activities to other regions
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What We’re Doing: Work Underway• 2015 Land Inventory Update / Enhancement: Type and Quantity of Land Use Land Utilization Market Readiness Intensification Potential
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Next Steps• Complete enhanced industrial land inventory update• Further technical work – ‘typologies’; intensification;
best practices; relationship to goods movement, employment, economy
• Ongoing engagement with industry – i.e. NAIOP• Explore potential policy directions
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Metro Vancouver Agriculture Portfolio
Regional Planning CommitteeTheresa Duynstee
Regional Planner
September 4, 2015
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Agriculture contributes to the region’s prosperity
and livability …and food production for
future generations
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Economic development
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Fresh, healthy food…and long term food security
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Photos from Delta Farmland and Wildlife Trust
Ecosystem goods and services
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Regional Growth Strategy By "" No." 136. 2010
Metro Vancouver 2040 Shaping Our Future
Arlnpti:rl hy th A Grea ter Voricouv<lf Reyiomil Dislricl Board
OH July '29. 2011 Updated t:> Septembei 21, 2012
.wwv.metro'l;an:ou"-9r.org
I
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Parcels Used for farming
41%Parcels Not
used for farming
59%
Major Land Use Challenges
Farmed 50%
Not farmed and
unavailable 25%
Not farmed with
potential 25%
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.... 8 N l"Jl!.ll
COi i \IHIA
' 'linistl')' of 1\griculfurc
Land Use Inventory Report Reference ~umber: 800.~10-29.201-t
Metro Vancouver Regional Report Summer 2010 & 2011
Sn·eugthe-ning Farming Program ~linis.n·y of Agriculture
March 6, 2014
Farm Lease Agreements in Metro Vancouv e Regional ~lannlng Information Bulletin
lhls 1;:.., 1eundey,:· 1t~ &lr'lll~s.1heJmouoto"'Jrlilr:f lo.¥..ecl -. the 1~1on"'1dlt •htwn(tl'f' ..,.I(~ of P)1<;rlr g l "'fl'\M lor g-CPllT' PO~~ ,:iir~ ;i "1 lmpnrt;w't me,;1'5 f(' nr ·pa~ ll l'<..1ll lOUllL :>I .. t.l wdy l-...1111.."tJ iJ rKl i11 !J•t. Tctiul~ ._. <l l<.J 111JllHiflX J ic 'Ji...lJilily U -:1g11..Ul.lrli!,
WHAT IS A FAM.I l f:ASU
A farm IEase is .a contrKtu.a agrEenErtt hro.Jgh wh d'l a lancv-... ner cor·~;st;.:0,.p~lo"l1 ghts t );ii a: f'(lp;!t'Tf. a.-pornc.n ot prapii!l1y. for a c~:t'!rmlned rlne fl!'rlcd . sutje<l ra •>arlOl."i condll:•ons., In " "' 11. mt;e• l; u l '·l)'llH't" ll. Tln•1111'1:<"· l) •un • ·1 p1...-.m , ret.; in~ the nght tc d1~oose o" th~ 3-.d. wh1 ~ :te l t>Mr. :IP'ir.v.>P) hn> fKYi"~' nn of thP lnnc: unc: :>r Che-le.:isie ..t::reemeot .)1)(! the re;ponSlbilit'1 of ma1nra 'ling It ar.cord ig ro che :'.'r"ns tf lte -:ase A ll:'<1!:.i!' 11 1u~l~ it1w1il 111: lu1 iLW Ll:' k'r1luru <• llli1'.
WHY ARE LEASES IMPORTA\'T FORAGRJCULTURF7
Farming
J Hl i USTAIN.AIU: Ri"IOMl~l~Nlin~•~ll:Yl;:::::::Jiiiilllll
Agri culture in Metro Vancouver
2011 Census of Agriculture Bulletin
The ~rkv!tlnl iNJuwv ln Mtuo VlftCOWtr is a ~J (Oft'IOOMnt ol th• rt010tt't economv. food MOJritY ¥"11 «ammunltY wtl-1*n9. In 2010, bnN 1r1 MKro vanc.ouver ~t41d 2,_ of the '9-~.'• t'1IN '-"" 1tc:t1PU on only- 1.>,.,. of tt.. Cll'CI•~• farft'ltand, 1~"9*"'' f111r11ly fll"l'l"ll (Of"ltJIWI co llf'OOuC• I Wide ••etMY of (;(OP• ·~ •9"0d:. WM• ·~ tn'l!l'CIM'ltrlQlr 1.111.UU'llblt land fl\l.OaOtMttlt Ol'XbCff.
Atto1,mlrnq tot SJY. °' 6 .C.'!1" '10~. MeottQ V.1MUuftor ri. both .m 1~ <oft!.;ul'f"-"f .Mid s:;itll)fier c.f ~I PIOduets. TM t"embiriation of a mod-erat@ <limate, fetd! soils, aMJ the Agricultur.iil ~ R~ (ALR) l\x emibled the~ induwv to mab a s,j,gnifiant eontribvti¢n to M ftoQion•I ttOftOlllY- Wflilt al.most W of N munleiol t•fl in ~ Vancouver Nioe ~ f11rm1ng, ~. u.tui, ~\lrrty, Pitt MNdowt and~ ~t f« d'lt l'flllontv o/ IOt'ie~l'll actN.tv aM nt.ar1V "°' ot tht l.IJ'ld in tht A&.lt.
All lhi:i <J,;iU Of'OY.cled 1n lh~ buhtitt hA' bcrvn 1.:omp1lvd "°"" S.t ... ll~t.c11 C~ ?011 C<rn~u~ of Aoricvltu~ refused Ol't Ma'( 10, 201:? for tM meuopcliun ~or Metro VMCOt..!Wr Reqlon~ Oistric.t. oaa hH ~ ~n ruon~ fw memb<!r mc.inicioalibM with sio;inifiQM ~t"IQllWraJ Ktivitv ind COf""P.i-ed to reRfts from the- rraiser v~ Reoional Dist rict.. e..c. ~ Ol\Jda.
lpsos Reid
in Metro Vancouver ALR Landowner Survey Prtp:mM for r11Sctro Var.co<>'Mr
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Property Tax Investigation
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ALR in BC
Agricultural Land Reserve and the Agricultural Land Commission
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Preventing Illegal Fill
Agriculture Impact Assessment
Water Forum (proposed 2016)
Agriculture Awareness
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Action PlanLocal Government Role
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Urban Centres and FTDA Portfolio
Regional Planning Committee
Heather McNellDivision Manager, Planning and Policy Analysis
September 4, 2015
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Why is structuring growth important from a regional perspective?
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Why is structuring growth important from a regional perspective?
efficient regional land use pattern and transportation network
reduced energy use, GHG emissions, and pollution, and improved air quality
Efficient utilities & transit ($$ savings) natural area, agricultural and industrial
land protection jobs close to where people live opportunities for transit, multi-
occupancy vehicles, cycling and walking complete, walkable communities
Supports:
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Sprawl = 10%-40% increased cost in infrastructure and public services (Litman, 2015)
Halifax – shift the amount of redevelopment from 16% to 50% = $715 million in savings over two decades
Calgary – shift development patterns to use 25% less land = $11 billion in capital costs
Costs associated with how and where we grow…
When growth is mostly greenfield…
Versus when more growth is through infill…
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Why is structuring growth a regional issue?
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Livable Region Plan, 1975
1975: Managed Growth / Transit Oriented Regional Vision
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1996: Consistent Regional Vision
Livable Region Strategic Plan
Growth Ate-IS Undtr Bus lano/Priori1Y; Hew or Upgraded • Meuopolitan • M11nicipal D Concentr111ion • Municipiril Edsting Hioh Occ1,1panc., L::l lnter·Rogional Co•• Town Centres Area Consideration Skylrain I Sea Bus Vehicle fac ility Highw11y Connection
~ Intermediate CafBclty Regional Roads • Region•I • Green Zone Urb3o • Agricultural Unds Transit System Coitnoctions and •• Commuter Rail
Town Centres Areas Areas In I.ho Green Zone lLight Rall/Busway) Goods M ovement .. RPL - 31 -
2011: Consistent Regional Vision
Metro 2040/ ...
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2015: Urban Centres Network
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Seymour
CoquitlamCapilano
Regional Water
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Regional Sewerage
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Structuring Growth in the Region – Integrating Land Use and Transportation Investment
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Regional City Centre ProfilesCoquitlam
,--1 km
D f'uea: 280 hectares "".~i Transit walking catchment: 90% of area
Maple Ridge
,--1 km
O Area: 286 hectares
Kl Transit walking catchment: 60% of area
Richmond
O Area: 935 hectares
1 Transit walking catchment: 60% of area
Langley
,--1 km
TONnshi
··-~
0 Area: 635 hectares
v ··Transit walking catchme nt: 35% of area
Metrotown
~
D Area: 310 hectares
:JTransit walking catchment: 95% of area
Surrey Metro Centre
D Area: 473 hectares
A Transit walking catchment: 95% of area
Lonsdale
D Area: 264 hectares
'"".JTransit walking catchment: 95% of area
New Westminster
,--1 k:n
O Area: 108 hectares
~Transit walking catchment: 90% of area
Vancouver Metro Core
D Area: 1,665 hectares
1 Transit walking catchment: 95% of area RPL - 37 -
FOCUSING GROWTH IN URBAN CENTRES AND FREQUENT TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT AREAS (FTDAs)
40%of dwelling unit growth to Urban Centres
Metro 2040 targets
28%to good transit-oriented locations along the FTN
+
50%of employmentgrowth to Urban Centres
27%to good transit-oriented locations along the FTN
+
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Main Issues
Recognized that tools to structure growth needed some new depth to better reflect transit infrastructure, market demand, and municipal TOD efforts = FTDAs
After 4 years – recognize that municipal uptake on the FTDA tool has been uneven and from different drivers
Frequent Transit Network
Have targets for FTDAs, but it is an evolving concept – challenging to measure
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What’s been completed?
All new Urban Centre boundaries confirmed through Regional Context Statements - acquired historical data to 1991
Urban Centre Profiles 12 Frequent Transit Development Areas confirmed through RCSs Office Development in Urban Centres Inventory and Report
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What’s on the go?
Urban Centres and FTDA Review Evaluate effectiveness Advance policy Better integration with transportation planning tools Improved service and relevance for municipalities
Office in Centres Facts in Focus
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What’s next?
Continue to integrate land use planning tools (Urban Centres and FTDAs) more effectively with other Metro 2040 objectives
Transportation infrastructure / corridor planning Affordable and diverse housing GHGs and water consumption, etc. (integrating climate change
adaptation)
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~ ~ metrovancouver SERVICES AND SOLUTIONS FOR
A LIVABLE REGION
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Regional Growth Forecasting
Regional Planning Committee
Terry HoffSenior Regional Planner
September 4, 2015
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Growth Forecasting Purpose / Applications
• Metro 2040 - Planning and Monitoring
• Coordinating Regional and Municipal Plans
• Metro Vancouver Utilities Demand Modeling
• Collaboration with TransLink Transportation Demand Modeling
• Planning Context for Regional Agencies and Businesses RPL - 45 -
Forecasting Content / Products
• Population• Age, Gender, Household formation, Labour Force
• Housing• Demand for Dwelling units by type, tenure
• Employment• Jobs by Industry, occupation sectors
• Land Supply – use / capacity • Housing, industrial, commercial
• Regional Growth / Development Indicators• Policy Targets / Objectives, Residential Density
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Metro Population Growth Forecast
Based on a number of factors, Metro Vancouver’s forecasts anticipate population growth of about 1 Million by 2041
• From 2.5 million in 2015
• To 3.45 million in 2041
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Overview – Growth Forecasting Method
Census Baseline
National and Provincial Population Forecast Scenarios• Statistics Canada• Province of BC
Municipal and Submunicipal Growth Scenarios• Land Use / Capacity• Trends• Metro 2040 Designations / Policies• OCP Designations / Plans / Policies• Regional / Subregional Demographics• Municipal Perspective / Consultation
Regional Growth Forecast Scenarios • Regional Share of Canada’s Immigration and Migration• Land Capacity / Utilization / Policies
Top Down
Bottom UpRPL - 48 -
Stats Can Population Scenario Forecasts Canada 2014 - 2041
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
50000
55000
48 Million
39 Million
44 Million
Growth +9 Million
Low Scenario
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Stats Can Population Forecast British Columbia 2014 - 2041
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
5.2 Million
Growth +1.5 Million
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Vancouver CMA Historic Share of Growth
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
110%
120%
Metro Share of BC Growth 70%
Metro Share of Canada Growth 11%
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Vancouver CMAHistoric Population Growth
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
55,000
60,000
Average 37,000
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Stats Can Growth Scenarios Extrapolating MV Regional Share to 2041
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
4,500,000
BC @ 17% of Stats Can Scenarios
Metro @ 70% of BC Scenarios
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1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
4,500,000
Metro Vancouver Growth Scenariosto 2041
Stats Can Low Scenario
Population
Growth 2011 – 2041• Stats Can High Scenario = 1.64 Million• Metro 2040 Mid Range Scenario = 1.09 Million• Stats Can Low Scenario = 0.54 Million
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Comparative Regional Growth Forecasts to 2041
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
4,500,000
Stats Can High ScenarioCBCUrban FuturesMetro 2040BC Stats P2014Stats Can Low Scenario
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Factors Affecting Growth Forecast
• Immigration - 80% - 100% of annual growth• Federal policy on immigration levels – current 260,000/year• World events affecting immigration to Canada – particularly
from the Pacific Rim• Immigrant settlement preferences and patterns
• Domestic Migration - +/- 10% of annual growth• Interprovincial and Intraprovincial • Relative strength of Metro Vancouver regional economy• Livability choices
• Natural Increase- 20% to -0% of annual growth• Declining from 20% in 2011 to <0% 2030s.
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