Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more...

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Transcript of Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more...

Page 1: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative
Page 2: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

Methodology and Sampling…

Annual Survey Metro Working

South Africans

Saving & Investment

Behaviours & Attitudes

1 487 respondents Online survey

(7 main metros)

Personal Monthly

Income as at end

February 2020:R5k +

Weighted to the

working SA population

12 Edition. 15th measure.Fieldwork dates: 29 May – 23 June 2020

Page 3: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

2019…Words that come to mind when thinking

about the state of our country at the moment…

Page 4: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

2020…Words that come to mind when thinking

about the state of our country at the moment…

Page 5: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

Confidence in the SA economy…

56%

31%

37%

43% 44%

34%

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

“I feel confident about the South African economy” (% Strongly agree/Agree)

Page 6: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

Satisfaction with the way the

Government is handling the

COVID-19 situation

58%

Page 7: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

CONSUMERS’ CURRENT REALITY

Page 8: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

Satisfaction with financial situation…

6.5

5.9

6.4

6.16.3

5.3

2016 2018 20202015 2017 2019

Mean score out of 10

Previous lowest score in history of OMSIM was 5.9

Page 9: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

Income status…

Impact

Positive impact – I am earning more than before 5%

No impact as yet – I am earning the same as before 38%

Some negative impact – I am earning a bit less/have

taken a small salary reduction/reduced hours

26%

Significant negative impact – I am earning significantly

less/big salary or earnings reduction

23%

I have been retrenched/not earning at all from my

business/no income from work

8%

57%

“I am constantly worried about losing my job/income”: 66%

Page 10: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

Working status…

Impact

I go out to work as before 35%

I am now working from home (most or all of the

time)

32%

I continue to work from home as I did before 12%

I am still employed, but am not able to go out and work nor work from home

21%

Based on those employed at time of fieldwork

Page 11: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

Change in incomes…

Change

Personal Income as at end of February 2020

R5k – R9 999 R10k – R19 999 R20k – R39 999 R40k – R79 999 R80k+

Unchanged 38% 52% 55% 47% 59%

Up to 25% more 1% 5% 3% 5% 3%

25% + more 5% 3% 4% 5% 2%

Up to 25% less - 12% 11% 12% 11%

25% - 50% less 9% 9% 14% 11% 7%

50% - 75% less 41% 6% 9% 9% 9%

75% + less 6% 13% 4% 11% 9%

100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Page 12: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

Financial situation worse than a year ago…

29%33%

31%

48%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

2017 2018 2019 2020

Page 13: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

If lost job, have funds to last for…

40%

15%

17%

27%

1 month or less 2 months 3 months More than 3 months

2019 2020

1 month or less 28% 40%

2 months 17% 15%

3 months 17% 17%

More than 3 months

38% 27%

Based on those employed at time of fieldwork

Page 14: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

State of finances…

2019 2020

• Dipped into savings to make ends meet 23% 52%

• Fallen behind on household bills 24% 37%

• Taken advantage of points/rewards accumulated on loyalty programmes

- 54%

• Have cashed in a savings/investment policy - 23%

Page 15: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

Level of financial stress…

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2018 2019 2020

14% 12% 8%

50% 50%34%

32% 33%

44%

4% 5%14%

No stress Low stress High stress Overwhelming stress

58% high/overwhelming

stress level

Page 16: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

Financial situation expectation over next 6 months…

39%45% 41%

53%

45%43% 47% 26%

16% 12% 12%21%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2017 2018 2019 2020

Improve Stay the same Get worse

Page 17: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

Have Education Policies…

36%

31%32%

30%

28%

26%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

36%

31%32%

30%

28%

26%

Based on those with dependent children

Page 18: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

DEPENDENCY

Page 19: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

Other adult dependents (excluding spouse/partner)

35%38% 36%

39%

43%

52%

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Page 20: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

The Old Mutual Sandwich Generation Indicator

27%

31%28%

31%34%

42%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Page 21: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

DEBT

Page 22: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

Personal Loans…

17%

24%

15% 15%

21%

43%

3%7% 6% 4%

5%

12%

7%

11%10% 9%

13%

19%

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

From Financial Institution From microlender From family/friends

Other Loans/Debt:

From employer 9%

Instalment Sale 45%

Overdraft 49%

Page 23: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

Loan repayment situation…

Fallen behind/no longer able to meet

• Personal loan from a financial institution 32%

• Personal loan from a microlender 34%

• Personal loan from a friend/family 39%

Page 24: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

Fallen behind on debt payments…

2019 2020

• Fallen behind on credit card payments 15% 28%

• Fallen behind on store card/account payments 32% 30%

• Fallen behind on rent or home loan payments 7% 26%

Page 25: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

Debt relief…

Credit Card 29%

Store card/account 22%

Personal loan from a financial

institution

38%

Personal loan from a microlender 40%

Personal loan from a friend/family 41%

Home Loan 35%

Yes No Pending

57% 23% 20%

43% 29% 28%

53% 26% 21%

61% 26% 14%

59% 26% 15%

63% 18% 19%

Have explored or applied for a payment holiday/restructure or debit relief

Have you succeeded in getting it?

Page 26: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

INFORMAL SAVINGS

Page 27: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

Informal Savings…

54% 55% 57%60% 61%

67%

43%38% 38%

44% 44%

34%

24% 22% 22% 19%23%

38%

6%

17%12%

16% 15%

40%

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Informal Savings Stokvels Burial Societies Grocery Schemes

Page 28: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

Stokvels…

R965

R981

R950

R984

R856

R1087

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

We are still holding our stokvelmeetings face-to-face 22%

We are meeting online now(Whatsapp, Zoom, Stokfella, Teams) 78%

Average Monthly ContributionMeetings

Page 29: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

POST COVID BUYING

Page 30: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

Post Covid – changes to buying behavior…

Essential spendFood and groceries, transport, education,

accommodation, assistance payments,

medical aid, cellphone/data costs, car &

HH insurance

Essential Costs

Priority “luxuries”

Cigarettes, alcoholic beverages,

DSTV/Mnet subscriptions, other online

TV/movie/music streaming services (eg.

Netflix, Spotify, Amazon Prime, Disney,

etc.), E-Hailing services (Uber, Taxify, etc.)

As needed

Hair/Beauty, domestic worker/gardener,

Nanny/child minder at home, pre-

school/after care services, home

improvements/maintenance, online

shopping for food, clothing, shoes

electronics and appliances

Nice to haveNice to haveHoliday and travel, Eating out/going out,

take-aways, having friends

around/entertaining at home

Page 31: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

Main concerns about the pandemic…

The health of my loved ones and immediate

family/loved ones falling ill or worse

My own health/falling ill myself or worse

Impact on the economy

Page 32: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

Potential positives about the pandemic…

Respect and appreciation for essential workers

Appreciation of shared humanity/Ubuntu/empathy

Improved public health services

Better work/life balance

Page 33: Methodology and Sampling… Li… · Income status… Impact Positive impact –I am earning more than before 5% No impact as yet –I am earning the same as before 38% Some negative

Thank you