Memory Market 2018 and beyond - Intel · Worldwide Memory (+38% Y/Y) Mobile $29B Non-Mobile $31B...
Transcript of Memory Market 2018 and beyond - Intel · Worldwide Memory (+38% Y/Y) Mobile $29B Non-Mobile $31B...
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Alexey MylnikovRegional Sales Manager Distribution
Memory Market 2018 and beyond
February 2018
Data is the new currency
In an increasingly complex and connected world, the ability of an organization to collect, manage and analyze data effectively separates the winners from the runners-up.
Source: http://www.cioinsight.com/it-strategy/big-data/why-data-is-the-new-business-currency.html
Enterprise AutomotiveCloud/
Big Data NetworkingMobile/ Client IoT
Online Transaction Processingsystems with low-latency in-memory compute
Global sales of autonomous vehicles to reach ~600,000 units by 2025
Data center storage installed capacity to grow ~5X to 1.8 ZB between 2015 and 2020
Global IP traffic grows at a CAGR of 24% from 2016 to 2020
Global mobile data traffic to rise ~7X between 2016 and 2021
27.1 billion networked devices by 2021
Trends Driving Increased Data Traffic
Source, September 2017: Cisco, Gartner, IDC, Automobile manufacturers
IoT – Internet of Things
Worldwide Memory
(+38% Y/Y)
Mobile $29B
Non-Mobile $31B
Storage $16B
Non-Storage $32B
$60B
$48BSeptember 2017, Source: Gartner Q1-16 and Micron
¹Memory includes DRAM, NAND and NOR, Emerging and other
$385B
SemiconductorMarket in 2017
(+12% Y/Y)
Non-Memory Markets
$275B
(+47% Y/Y)
(+30% Y/Y)
Market$110BDRAM
Non-Volatile
Logic
$195B
+4% Y/Y
Discrete
$19B
+3% Y/Y
Analog
$22B
+5% Y/Y
Other
$39B
+9% Y/Y
Global Market Share2016 Top 10 by Revenue
Global Semiconductor Share Global Memory Share
$8,7
$9,3
$9,9
$11,9
$13,0
$13,2
$14,7
$15,4
$40,1
$54,1
MediaTek
NXP
Toshiba
Texas Instruments
Micron
Broadcom
SK Hynix
Qualcomm
Samsung
Intel
USD, Billions
$,9
$1,0
$1,0
$1,1
$1,3
$4,1
$7,2
$13,0
$14,4
$32,7
Cypress
Intel
Winbond
SanDisk
Nanya
Western Digital
Toshiba
Micron
SK Hynix
Samsung
USD, Billions
Source: Gartner Market Share Analysis: Semiconductor Revenue, Worldwide, 2016
Growth & Diversification of Demand
0
60
120
180
240
0
150
300
450
600
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
NANDB Gb EU
DRAMB Gb EU
NAND’16-’20 CAGR: ~45%
DRAM’16-’20 CAGR: ~20%
Source: Micron and industry analysts
0%
50%
100%
2015 2020
Auto & Embedded
Server & Networking
Mobile
PC & Graphics
0%
50%
100%
2015 2020
SSD
Mobile
USB/Cards
Consumer & Other
Diversification of demand creates market opportunities
Memory Market Bit Demand Forecast DRAM Industry Bit Mix
NAND Industry Bit Mix
Industry Outlook
DRAM
▪ Healthy market environment with broad demand drivers
▪ CY-18 Industry supply bit growth ~20%
▪ FY-18 Micron bit growth slightly below industry
NAND
▪ Increasing SSD adoption across client and datacenter
▪ CY-18 Industry supply bit growth approaching 50%
▪ FY-18 Micron bit growth somewhat above industry
DRAM
NAND
Long-Term MemoryIndustry Trends
Peak to Trough Decline:
-57%
-49%
-23%
-18%
$0
$25
$50
$75
$100
1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 2016
Memory Revenue ($B) Memory projected
to grow 2.5x non-memory semi
Source: Micron and industry analysts
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
| May 21, 2018
Enterprise DRAM Market Density Transitions
Source: Micron Business Development - 3Q16
DRAM % Equivalents
2Gb DDR3
4Gb DDR3
8 Gb DDR4
4Gb DDR4
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Speed (MTs) / Voltage
2400/2666
1.2V
2666
1.2V
2666/3200
1.2V
3200
1.2V
3200/3600
1.2/1.1V
3200/4400
1.2/1.1V
Tech DDR4 DDR4 DDR4 DDR4 DDR4/DDR5 DDR4/DDR5
16Gb DDR5
16 Gb DDR4
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1H'16 2H'16 1H'17 2H'17 1H'18 2H'18 1H'19 2H'19 1H'20 2H'20 1H'21 2H'21
| May 21, 2018
DDR4/DDR5 High Capacity Server Market Outlook
Key Points
32GB:
• RDIMM becomes mainstream in CY2016
through CY2019.
64GB:
• Increasing adoption in CY2016 through CY2020.
• 8Gb DDP LRDIMM transitions to 8Gb 3DS
RDIMM in CY2018 (2933/3200).
• 16Gb monolithic DRAM in CY2018 initiates
transition 64GB (2Rx4) RDIMM
• DDR5 64GB RDIMM is anticipated to replace
32GB RDIMM as mainstream in 2022
128GB:
• Transitions from 4H/3DS LRDIMM to 2H/3DS
RDIMM in CY2018-2020.
256GB:
• Enablement of 4H/3DS RDIMM with the
introduction of the 16Gb monolithic DRAM in
CY2018.
Module Type:
• LRDIMM replaced by RDIMM even at the
highest densities once 3DS stacking is required
(CY2018-2020).
16GB RDIMM
32GB RDIMM
Other
1G Equivalents
128GB 3DS RDIMM
256GB 3DS RDIMM
Source: Micron Business Development - 3Q16
8GB RDIMM
32GB DDP LRDIMM
64GB DDP LRDIMM
64GB RDIMM
128GB 3DS LRDIMM
NAND Industry Supply trend (SLC bits constraint will persist)
DRAM technology-driven supply growth has been
slowing, with trend expected to continue
NAND supply growth is stable with headwinds to supply
from 3D conversions continuing through 2018
Source: Micron and industry analysts
Industry Experience Driving advancements in memory
technology since 1978
Over 20,000 patents
More than 34,000 team members working in 17 countries
Trusted relationships with the world’s most influential technology ecosystems
Technology Expertise
Integrity
Expansive Product Offering
DDR
DDR2
DDR3
DDR4
GDDR5
GDDR5X
LPDRAM
RLDRAM® Memory
FDDIMM
LRDIMM
Mini-DIMM
NVDIMM
RDIMM
SODIMM
SORDIMM
UDIMM
VLP Mini-DIMM
VLP RDIMM
VLP UDIMM
3D NAND
Enterprise NAND
Serial NAND
TLC, MLC, SLC
e.MMC
Embedded USB
UFS
Parallel NOR
Serial NOR
Xccela™ Flash
e.MMC-Based MCP
NAND-Based MCP
NOR-Based MCP
DRAM DRAM Modules NAND Flash Managed NAND NOR Flash Multichip Packages
Client SSD
Enterprise PCIe NVMe SSD
Enterprise SAS SSD
Enterprise SATA SSD
Industrial microSD Cards
Software
Hybrid Memory Cube
Persistent Memory
− NVDIMM
− 3D XPoint™
High Performance Computing
Storage Advanced Solutions
Memory, Storage, and Advanced Solutions
May 21, 2018
Micron | Качество для каждого NAND & DRAM чипа
Финальный тестДизайн компонента
Процесс
производств
а в
соответстви
и с
передовыми
технологиям
и
Тестирование пластин
Определение параметров
девайсов
Поиск
наилучших
компоненто
в для наших
продуктов
Оптимизаци
я дизайна в
соответстви
и в
конечным
решением
Выбраковка
в
HALT/HAST
камерах и
на
принудител
ьный отказ
в печах
Производство пластин
Надежность для каждого произведенного устройства
| May 21, 2018
Crucial vs. Micron
Модули памяти брендированные Crucial и Micronидентичны!!!!
− Crucial - бренд, третированный Micron для продаж в канале.
− Модули брендированные Micron и Crucial PN и произведены на одних фабриках с одинаковым уровнем тестирования.
16 | ©2014 Micron Technology, Inc. | Micron Confidential
DDR4 RDIMM validation | Intel
• Crucial RDIMMs are validated on Intel platforms
Source: http://www.intel.com/content/www/us/en/platform-memory/platform-memory.html
May 21, 2018
DDR4 RDIMM validation | Asus
Source: http://dlcdnet.asus.com/pub/ASUS/mb/Socket2011-R3/Z10PE-D16/QVL/Z10PE-D16.pdf
• Validation under Support for each board, example below for Z10PR-D16 etc.
May 21, 2018
DDR4 validation | Supermicro
*Valid as of 20 September 2015
• DDR4 validation on Supermicro boards
May 21, 2018
19 | ©2014 Micron Technology, Inc. | Micron Confidential
www.crucial-russia.ru | конфигуратор
May 21, 2018
May 21, 2018
© 2016 Micron Technology, Inc.
Micron Accelerated Solutions: Announced April 12, 2016
| November 22, 201614 | Micron Confidential
All-flash high-performance
software-defined storage
(SDS) solution for Virtual SAN
6.2
Solution brief & reference
architecture
Three Ready Nodes orderable
SKUs from Supermicro
VMware Virtual SAN 6.2
All-Flash Ready Nodes
All-flash optimized open
source scale-out storage
solution for cloud
infrastructure
POC solution brief
POC solution orderable from
Supermicro
CEPH Proof-of-Concept Nexenta Edge Demo
Micron actively partnering
with Nexenta on next-gen all-
flash SDS solutions
Demo brief
First demonstration of an all-
flash Nexenta Edge solution
Что такое Micron для вас?
75% стоимости сервераOur memory & storage solutions make your workloads
greener …just betterfaster
| May 21, 2018
14 3 2NAND Flash
Manufacturers
DRAM Manufacturers Both DRAM
& NAND
for the Enterprise
The only
firm with the next
generation memory
solution (3DXPoint)
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