Meeting energy demand uk
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Transcript of Meeting energy demand uk
Meeting the Energy Needs of Tomorrow
- Well Drilling and
Shale Gas Fracturing (‘Fracking’).
Mechanical Engineering
Keith Shotbolt B.Sc. 1962 4th February 2013
Note: Total demand is approximately 220 million tonnes of oil equivalent per year. Oil provides 42% and gas provides 34% + 9% (share of electricity generation), giving a total of 85% for oil and gas. On 24 Jan 2013, Ed Davey, Secretary of State for Energy, said: “Oil and gas will form an integral part of the UK energy mix for decades to come. Over 70 percent of the UK's primary energy demand may still be filled by oil and gas into the 2040s.”
1 tonne of oil equivalent = 11,630 kWh. The energy demand of the average house is around 20,000kWh per annum. Approximately 25% of that is for electricity. UK houses have mainly gas fired heating.
Source: http://www.decc.gov.uk/en/content/cms/statistics/publications/ecuk/ecuk.aspx Table 1.5.
UK Energy Demand Percentage of Total
Year 1970 2010 Future
Coal and coke (exc. Electricity gen.) 29.0 1.3 Further decline
Coal gas 7.5 0.0
Natural gas 2.5 34.0 Imports zero in 2000 - now around 50%
Electricity 11.3 19.0 Increasing
Biomass and Waste 0.0 2.0 Increasing
Oil (Transport, Industry and Heating) 47.0 42.0 Gradually decreasing
Natural gas (methane - CH4) is formed by rotting vegetation, animal digestion, and in stagnant ponds and swamps.
Deep oil and gas deposits were formed from dead animals and plants being covered by layers of sedimentary rock. The sediments consist of small particles which were carried down by rivers from exposed areas of land into the sea. The thickness of sedimentary rock over North Sea oil and gas fields is around 2 to 3 km.
Most oil and gas produced to date has been from relatively permeable, large-grained sandstone or limestone, where the hydrocarbons can flow readily into the wellbores. When the reservoir pressure drops in old wells, production has been increased by acidizing and/or hydraulic fracturing the sandstone to ease release of hydrocarbons. Fracturing or ‘fracking’ was first used in 1947. There will be more detail on that later.
Installed wind power capacity at end of 2012 was 7,800 MW (~14% of 56,000 MW peak demand). There are over 4,200 wind turbines, and the average size is of the latest machines is around 3MW. By 2020, installed wind power capacity could be around 50% of electricity demand, needing approximately 7,000 more turbines. Nuclear Plant Accidents: 1979 – Three Mile Island, USA. 1986 – Chernobyl, Russia.
2011 – Fukushima, Japan.
Electricity Generation Percentage of Total
Year 2010 Future
Natural Gas 47.0 Steady
Coal 28.0 In decline. Drax converting to 50% biomass-fired.
Nuclear 16.0 Accidents - USA, Russia, Japan
Renewables (wind, biomass, hydro) 7.0 Target is 20% by 2020
Oil 1.0
Imports (mainly from France) 1.0
INFRASTRUCTURE. The UK has a vast pipeline network, mainly for the distribution of natural gas (red). The National Grid company is responsible for operation, maintenance and investment of both gas and electricity grids.
History of Natural Gas supplies into Europe
1959 - Discovery of large Groningen gas field in Netherlands
1965 - Discovery of first UK offshore gas field, West Sole
1970-90 - Installation of ten 56-inch gas pipelines from Siberia
1990-2010 - Large gas pipelines installed from Norway and Algeria.
Also, Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) supplies begin from Qatar and others.
Advantages of using methane as a fuel are that a) it is clean to handle
by pipeline, and b) generates around half the CO2 than an equivalent
amount of energy produced from burning coal.
Western Europe sources most of its natural gas from Russia. Possible routes of future gas lines are shown in blue. A 2005 Study described the importance of Russian gas, see: http://www.centrex.at/en/files/study_stern_e.pdf
Modern gas-fired power stations use the Combined Cycle Gas Turbine (CCGT), which has
an associated steam turbine to extract energy from the hot exhaust gases. One CCGT can
generate up to 500 MW with 70/30 split of gas/steam power.
General Electric (USA), Mitsubishi (Japan), Siemens (Germany) and Alsthom (France) are
competing in this market, and claim up to 60% efficiency on their largest machines.
This new 2400 MW power station at Willington, Derbyshire is proposed by
RWE npower.
There will be four 500 MW CCGT units and four 100 MW open cycle units.
The latter can go from start-up to full power in 10 minutes for rapid response to
change in demand.
Rolls Royce supplies the open cycle type, which are based on aircraft engines.
Costs. Extract from: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wind_power_in_the_United_Kingdom
A 2004 study by the Royal Academy of Engineering found that wind power cost 5.4
pence per kW·h for onshore installations and 7.2 pence per kW·h for offshore,
compared to 2.2p/kW·h for gas and 2.3p/kW·h for nuclear.
By 2011 onshore wind costs at 8.3/kW·h had fallen below new nuclear at
9.6p/kW·h,
However, offshore wind costs at 16.9p/kW·h were significantly higher than early
estimates mainly due to higher build and finance costs,.
Wind-generated power is a variable resource. The amount of electricity produced at
any time and location depends on wind speeds, air density, and turbine
characteristics.
In June 2011 several energy companies told the government that 17 gas-fired plants
costing £10 billion would be needed by 2020 to act as back-up generation for wind.
The companies said they would require "capacity payments" to make the investment
economic, on top of the subsidies already paid for wind.
From 1970 to 1998, the price of gas in the USA averaged between 2.0 and 2.5 dollars
per 1000 cu.ft.. The country then started to import more LNG, and the price averaged in
excess of 5 dollars per 1000 cu.ft. from 2003 to 2009.
Between 2006 and 2010, shale (fine-grained, laminated and fissile mudstone) gas
production increased from 0.7 trillion to 4.6 trillion cu.ft. per annum. This trend has
continued and both domestic and industrial consumers are benefiting from the reduced
price of gas.
Shale gas developments have been made economic by adapting directional drilling
and fracturing technologies – mainly used offshore until 2005.
Well Drilling.
Access to liquid and gas hydrocarbon fuels is done by drilling a well into
the producing rock stratum.
This process is obviously much easier than sinking a mine shaft to allow
men to mine coal, and then providing transport to market. When I started
at University in 1959, Britain was a coal-based economy for house heating,
electricity generation and railway locomotives.
The first significant gas field in the UK North Sea was not discovered until
1965, and an oil discovery followed in 1969. I was employed in the oil and
gas industry from 1974 to retirement in 2006.
In most cases, the oil and/or gas have sufficient pressure to flow out of the
well and into a gathering pipeline system.
Well Drilling is the foundation of present-day standards of living. This
video 01 shows the basic requirements for drilling a vertical onshore well.
Drilling Safety for Personnel and the Environment depends on:
1. Good Mud Density Control
2. Good Cementing of Casing, and
3. An Effective Blowout Preventer (BOP).
1. Mud is circulated down the drill pipe, through the bit and back up the annulus.
This keeps the bit cool, carries the cuttings back to surface pits, and balances
the pressure of fluids in any stratum or formation.
2. Each casing must be cemented in place to form an effective seal to prevent
one stratum ‘leaking’ into an adjacent stratum. For example, it is not acceptable
for methane to leak into a fresh water aquifer that is, or may be used for
domestic consumption. The casing should be centralised in the hole to ease
cement flow around its circumference.
3. If the drill bit hits a stratum containing high pressure fluids, and the drillers
cannot adjust the mud density to balance the high pressure, the fluids may start
to rise up the well bore. It is essential that fluids are contained in the well and
this is done by closing one or more annular or ram type blowout preventers.
Simplified Video 02 : Basic steps for drilling any hydrocarbon well.
Casing centralisers have bow springs to hold the casing central in the hole as
cement is displaced up the annulus.
Poor centralising can lead to leaks from one stratum to another.
BP’s report (Figure 1) states that the primary reservoir sands extended from 18,051 ft to
18,223 ft. This diagram shows that the hole diameter reduced from 9.875” to 8.5” at
18,126 ft depth – approximately half way through the pay zone.
The annular gap around the 7” casing in the 8.5” hole was only 0.75”, instead of the 1.5”
to 2” recommended by Halliburton, the cementing Contractor. This tight annulus caused a
restriction to mud flow, and a pressure of 3,142 psi was needed to establish circulation.
Details at Bottom of Macondo Blowout well
Rig Deck
Casing String in
Mud-filled Riser
and Well.
Derived Units N ..kg m sec2
bar ..100000N m2
tonne .1000kgf
Density of mud at Macondo well mud ..14.17lbf gal1
=mud 1.698103 .kgf m
3
Density of Steel ..7850kgf m3
Length of Pipe L .18300ft =L 5.578103
m
Pressure at 18,300ft depth P .mud L =P 1.347104
psi =P 928.772bar
Extension of long piece of steel rod or pipe under own weightExt=WL/2AE=density.A.L^2/2.A.E
Pipe Young's ModulusE ..200000N mm2
Relative density of pipe in mud steelinmud mud
Extension of pipe in m ud =steelinmud 6.152103 .kgf m
3Ext
.steelinmud L2
.2 E=Ext 4.693m
Outside diameterD .7 in Inside diameterd .6 in Wall thickness t .0.5 in
Casing String Weight W ...steelinmud
4D
2d
2L =W 226.041 tonne
Casing Yield Stress S .125000psi Pressure to Yield Py ..2 tS
d=Py 1.43610
3bar
Basic Calculations using Macondo Data
This float collar is designed to allow mud to enter as the casing string is lowered downhole. Flow
in the upwards direction will raise the Auto-Fill Ball to its position as shown. After landing the
casing in its wellhead hanger, mud is pumped down the string and the ball settles in its seat at
the bottom of the Tube.
Initially, flow is limited by having to pass through the small circulation port(s). The pump flow
must be increased to above 7 bpm, to induce a pressure drop of around 500 psi, and the entire
Auto-Fill Tube is ejected when its retaining pins shear. After Tube ejection, the two Check Valves
are spring-closed - as required to prevent back flow of cement.
At Macondo, mud circulation down the casing began at the ninth attempt after raising the pump pressure to
3,142 psi. The flow rate of mud did not exceed 4 bpm, which was not sufficient to eject the Auto-Fill Tube. BP’s
procedure stated that 8 bpm was required.
Cementing proceeded a) without flushing the annulus around the shoe track at sufficiently high rate and
duration to ensure full circumferential removal of compressed sediment and good distribution of cement, and b)
without converting the float collar to activate its two check valves to prevent cement backflow.
There was no cementing evaluation log at Macondo, which may have shown it to be inadequate.
Drill pipe was run to 8,367ft ready for mud displacement. During the ‘negative pressure test’, for which there
was no detailed procedure, no flow from the kill line was accepted and 1,400 psi on the drill pipe was ignored.
While displacing the mud with seawater, reservoir fluids rising up the casing should have been detected by
water inflow and mud outflow monitoring before arrival of hydrocarbons at the rig floor, but no reasonably
accurate outflow versus inflow observations were made.
After uncontrolled arrival of oil and gas at the rig floor, the blind-shear rams in the BOP stack failed to close due
to the presence of off-centre drill pipe.
US Gulf of Mexico
Deepwater Horizon rig – 21st April 2010
11 Men Died
What went Wrong?
This diagram shows off-centre drill pipe between the two blind-shear rams (BSRs)
as contact is first made. The upper BSR has blades with a Vee having sides set at
80 degrees to the axis of motion, and providing very little centralising effect. The
lower BSR has its straight blade perpendicular to the motion axis, with no
centralising effect. Neither ram has side extensions to prevent an outer fold of
material being squeezed between the outer ram faces, thus preventing closure.
Macondo Blind-shear Rams
Directional or Deviated Drilling.
In the mid-1970s at BP’s Forties field in the North Sea, a single platform
could drill multiple wells typically tp 3000m below seabed and out to
2000m radius. The hole through the reservoir rock was returned closer to
vertical to aid wireline operations, which depend on gravity.
Mud Motor.
Hydraulic pumps and motors can be manufactured as helical screws, with one less
lobe on the rotor than in the stator.
When drilling the ‘build’ or bend section of the well, the drill string does not rotate,
and the drill bit is turned by a mud motor at the bottom, as shown in this short
video 03. A typical build rate is 6 degrees per 30 m – giving a radius of ~300m.
Perforating the Casing and Improving Flow into the Wellbore.
After cementing the casing through the producing formation (pay zone) a
perforating gun with multiple explosive charges punches holes through the casing
wall.
If the formation has low permeability, flow into the well can be improved by
acidizing or fracturing. This artist’s impression shows fractures expected in a tight
sandstone formation. Run video 04.
Extract from: http://www.netl.doe.gov/technologies/oil-gas/publications/brochures/Shale_Gas_March_2011.pdf
In the 1990s, long sidetrack horizontal wells were drilled into the 25m thick oil
reservoir under the Troll gas field offshore Norway.
This well configuration, with long horizontal portions in the producing formation,
is used for onshore shale gas developments in the USA.
Experience in the USA has shown that mutiple small stages of fracturing over
a longer length cause less damage and are more effective producers than the
earlier wells, which had a shorter horizontal section and fewer perforations.
There follows a video 05 showing shale gas development in Quebec, Canada.
UK Beneficiary of Shale Gas Developments.
KCA DEUTAG is one of the largest international drilling contractors. The company
employs 8,000 staff in more than 22 countries and it had revenue in 2010 of
US$1.34 billion.
KCA DEUTAG is currently the drilling operations contractor on 33 offshore
platforms worldwide and owns and operates a fleet of mobile offshore drilling units
consisting of 3 jack-ups and 3 self erecting tender barges. The company also owns
and operates a fleet of more than 60 land drilling rigs.
The headquarters are in Aberdeen, Scotland. There is an office in Bad Bentheim,
Germany, where the central technical support function is located, and regional
offices in key operational areas - Russia, the Middle East, the Caspian region and
Norway.
UK Beneficiary of Shale Gas Developments.
Hunting PLC is an international energy
services provider that manufactures and
distributes products that enable the
extraction of oil and gas for the world’s
leading companies.
The global "Upstream" activity is co-
ordinated through Hunting Energy Services
with a large presence in North America,
Europe, the Middle East and Asia. The
company owns and develops proprietary
patented products including premium
casing connections, burst discs, make up
processes, coating of threads and mud-
motors.
In strategic locations around the world
Hunting owns and operates plants,
properties and equipment employing people
to serve its global customers with local
services and products.
UK Beneficiary of Shale Gas Developments.
Weir PLC is a leading global engineering solutions provider. It designs,
manufactures and supplies innovative products and expert engineering services for
the minerals, oil & gas and power & industrial markets.
Weir operates on a global scale, with around 50 manufacturing facilities and over
120 service facilities around the world. The business operations are structured
across three sector-focused divisions:
The Oil & Gas division supplies pumps like the one shown above for fracturing
shale gas in the USA. Pressures can reach 1000 bar (100,000 kPa).
Major Concerns about Onshore Drilling and Fracturing:
1. Contamination of Ground and Drinking Water
2. Earthquakes
1. Fluids associated with shale gas developments can be contained provided the
well casing is correctly cemented, and waste water disposal is controlled. Some
contractors have been known to ‘cut corners’ and problems often result. Workers
do not like their activities being watched, but crucial stages must be performed to
standard procedures and specifications. The Macondo blowout is an example of
badly performed and inadequately regulated activities. My own experience of
oilfield Projects often involved four organisations. The Main Contractor, a Project
Management Contractor, a Certifying Authority, and the Owner/Operator.
2. Since 2002, there have been 3 earthquakes in the UK >4.0 on the Richter
scale. The largest was in Dudley measuring 4.7. There have been 19 quakes
>3.0, and each year there are 10 quakes >2.5. Quakes near Blackpool in Spring
of 2011 were 2.3 and 1.5. They were attributed to fracking, which was stopped
pending a thorough investigation. A Study for the Dept of Energy and Climate
Change Study resulted in approval on Dec 13th, 2012 for drilling and fracking by
the company Cuadrilla to continue. Future quakes greater than 0.5 will be noted
and the fracturing will be stopped, pending an investigation of the procedure.
References:
1. http://www.eia.gov/analysis/studies/worldshalegas/
2. http://www.netl.doe.gov/technologies/oil-gas/publications/brochures/Shale_Gas_March_2011.pdf
3. http://og.decc.gov.uk/en/olgs/cms/explorationpro/onshore/cuadrilla_decc/cuadrilla_decc.aspx
4. http://og.decc.gov.uk/assets/og/bo/onshore-paper/uk-onshore-shalegas.pdf
Conclusion. Hydraulic fracturing needs water and sand injected at pressures up to 1000 bar.
The resulting cracks are held open by larger sand grains which increase formation permeability.
Shale gas production has been very successful onshore in the USA, and may be found to be
economically viable in the UK. Geologists have said it is probable that the UK has five times
greater reserves of shale gas offshore than onshore. Other countries, e.g. China, Ukraine and
Poland, have vast onshore shale gas reserves and are proceeding with their development.
Cuadrilla’s exploratory fracking site near Blackpool . Photo Phil Heywood The Guardian