Medical Manpower in Belgium Numerus clausus Alain De Wever.
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Transcript of Medical Manpower in Belgium Numerus clausus Alain De Wever.
Medical Manpower in Belgium
Numerus clausus
Alain De Wever
Medicine
A. Medical planning agents in Belgium
Belgium
Federal State
Regions Communities
Flemish French Dutch speaking
1° Federal level
Establish the number of doctors who have access to the practice in the health insurance system
1996 : Creation of the « Commission de planification » (Planning Commission)
2° Communities’ level
Flemish Community
Entrance exam
(Decree of July 24, 1996)
2° Communities’ level
French community
End Bachelor examination – Third year(Decree of July 17, 1997)
End Master examination for the specialization – seventh year (Decree of July 27, 2003)
Examination at the end of the first year and at the entrance in the specialization training(Decree of July 1st, 2005)
3° Difference between communities
Flemish Community French Community
Entrance exam Examination
Number of students < quotas Number of students = quotas
At the end of the first year, classification of the best students per university
At the end of the seventh year, inter-universities commission
GP (43 %) Specialists (57 %) Quotas per specialization
The examinations in the French Community
The exam consists of 2 parts :
Exam assessing the scientific knowledge (physics, chemistry, biology, mathematics)
Comprehension tests (assessment of the ability to acquire & assimilate information through comprehension & restitution tests)
Entrance exam in the Flemish Community
B. Too much doctors in Belgium ?
Medical density
Medical acts / inhabitant
Time
Number
Plethora
1° Past trend
Fig.1
Sources : D. Deliège (SESA – UCL)
2° Current trend
Ageing medical population and increase of the retirement
Increase of the feminization of the medical population
Increase of the healthcare consumption Diversification of the medical profession
(pharma industry, civil agent, professor, etc.)
2.1. a Ageing medical population
-
0,10
0,20
0,30
0,40
0,50
0,60
0,70
0,80
0,90
1,00
1,10
2004 2009 2014 2019 2024 2029 2034 2039 2044 2049 2054
Flemish Com. Total < 75 surviving (incl. Overquota)
Flemish Com. Remaining practising care
French Com. Total < 75 surviving (incl. Overquota)
French Com. Remaining practising care
Ageing medical population : 55-74 / 20-54
Source : UCL – Sesa – Deliège D.
2.1. b Retirements’ boom
French and Dutch speaking communities
Source : UCL – Sesa – Deliège D.
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
<30 30 - 34 35 - 39 40 - 44 45 - 49 50 - 54 55 - 59 60 - 64 65 - 69 70 - 74
Dutch speaking men
Dutch speaking w omen
French speaking men
French speaking w omen
2.2. Feminization of the profession
Women doctors’ rate
Source : UCL – Sesa – Deliège D.
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
2004 2009 2014 2019 2024 2029 2034 2039 2044 2049 2054
Flemish Com. Remaining practising care
French Com. Remaining practising care
2.3. Consumption increase
Due to the ageing (22 %) Due to others agents including the wealth (66 %)
Source : UCL – Sesa – Deliège D.
05000
1000015000
2000025000
3000035000
4000045000
50000
2030 2050 2030 2050
% Croissance totale % Croissance totale % Croissance horsPIB
% Croissance horsPIB
Vieillissement
Démo
Surplus>PIB
PIB
Time
Medical acts / inhabitant
Medical density
Number
Plethora
Shortage
3° Coming trend
Sources : D. Deliège (SESA – UCL)
Demographic bump Feminization Working hours’ decrease (48 hours/
week – European Directive – Colla law)
Possible shortage
Physiotherapists
Restriction by the federal level of the number of physiotherapists who can work in the health insurance reimbursement system
No restriction at communities’ level (training)
However, the French Community limits the
access for the students who do not live in
Belgium (30 %) economical reasons (by
lottery)
Examination organized by the Federal State : Attitude test for the self-employed practice Ability test for the self-employed practice Knowledge test :
Laws about physiotherapists’ rights and duties About the health insurance