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Transcript of MBMC Thinking Like An Economist. MBMC Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights...
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 2
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Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCompanies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Introduction
What is the Optimal Class Size?To maximize learning without consideration
of cost?How would considering costs change our
answer?A personal tutorial course in economics might
cost $40,000A class of 300 students might cost
$200/student
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 3
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Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCompanies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Introduction
What is the Optimal Class Size?What trade-offs must university
administrators and students consider when choosing class size?
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 4
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Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCompanies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Economics: StudyingChoice In a World of Scarcity
The Scarcity PrincipleBoundless wants cannot be satisfied with
limited resources. Therefore, having more of one thing
usually means having less of another.Because of scarcity we must make
choices.
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 5
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Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCompanies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Economics: StudyingChoice In a World of Scarcity
Wants vs. Resources
Scarcity
Choices
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 6
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Economics: StudyingChoice In a World of Scarcity
Economics The study of how people make choices
under conditions of scarcity and of the results of those choices for society.
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 7
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Economics: StudyingChoice In a World of Scarcity
The Cost-Benefit PrincipleAn individual (or a firm or a society) should
take an action if, and only if, the extra benefits from taking the action are at least as great as the extra costs
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 8
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Economics: StudyingChoice In a World of Scarcity
Choosing the Optimal Class Size RevisitedAssumptions:
Two class sizes: 100 and 20Introductory economics classes currently have
100 studentsQuestion
Should the class size be reduced to 20 students?
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 9
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Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCompanies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Economics: StudyingChoice In a World of Scarcity
ObservationsThe “best” class from an economic point of
view will generally not be the same as the “best” size from the point of view of an educational psychologist.
People will feel differently about the value of smaller classes.
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 10
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Economics: StudyingChoice In a World of Scarcity
ApplicationWhat other examples of scarcity and
trade-offs can we identify?
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 11
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Economics: StudyingChoice In a World of Scarcity
Choosing the Optimal Class SizeAssume:
The cost of a class with 20 students is $1,000 per student more than a class of 100 students
What do you think:Would it be a good idea to reduce the class
size?
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 12
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Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCompanies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Applying The Cost-Benefit Principle
Rational PersonSomeone with well-defined goals who tries
to fulfill those goals as best he or she can
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 13
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Applying The Cost-Benefit Principle
Should you walk downtown to save $10 on a $25 computer game?The benefit of going downtown = $10The cost of going downtown is the dollar
value of everything you give up to go downtown
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 14
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Applying The Cost-Benefit Principle
Should you walk downtown to save $10 on a $25 computer game?Estimating the cost:
How much would someone have to pay you to walk downtown?
If you would walk downtown for $9; the trip’s cost is $9
The benefit ($10) exceeds the cost of ($9) of buying the game downtown
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 15
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Applying The Cost-Benefit Principle
QuestionWill everyone choose to buy the computer
game downtown?
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 16
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Applying The Cost-Benefit Principle
Economic SurplusThe benefit of taking any action minus its
cost The goal of economic decision makers is to
maximize their economic surplus
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 17
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Applying The Cost-Benefit Principle
Opportunity CostThe value of the next-best alternative that
must be forgone to undertake an activity
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 18
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Applying The Cost-Benefit Principle
QuestionWhat is the opportunity cost of buying the
game downtown?
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 19
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Applying The Cost-Benefit Principle
AssumeThe benefit of buying the game downtown
is $10The cost of making the trip is $12
QuestionsWhat is your economic surplus from buying
the game downtown?Where should you buy the game?
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 20
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Applying The Cost-Benefit Principle
The Role of Economic ModelsEconomic models are abstract (simplified
descriptions) models that allow us to analyze situations in a logical way
Other examples of abstract modelsA computer model of climate changeA road map
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 21
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Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCompanies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Applying The Cost-Benefit Principle
ObservationThe cost-benefit principle suggests that we
take only those actions that create additional economic surplus.
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 22
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Four Important Decision Pitfalls
Pitfall 1: Measuring cost and benefits as proportions rather than
absolute dollar amounts Examples:
Should you walk downtown to save $10 on a $2,020 laptop computer?
Which is more valuable, saving $100 on a $2,000 plane ticket to Tokyo or saving $90 on a $200 plane ticket to Chicago?
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 23
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Four Important Decision Pitfalls
Pitfall 2: Ignoring Opportunity CostsExample:
Should you use your frequent-flyer coupon to fly to Fort Lauderdale for spring break?
Assume:Round trip airfare is $500 and is equal to your
frequent flyer couponOther costs equal $1,000
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 24
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Four Important Decision Pitfalls
Pitfall 2: Ignoring Opportunity CostsAssume (cont):
The most you are willing to pay for the Fort Lauderdale trip is $1,350
Alternate use for the frequent flyer coupon is to attend a wedding in Boston the week after spring break and the Boston airfare is $400 (coupon expires just after the wedding)
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 25
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Four Important Decision Pitfalls
Pitfall 2: Ignoring Opportunity Costs Example:
Should you use your frequent flyer coupon to fly to Fort Lauderdale for spring break?
Without the coupon: Benefits = $1,350 Cost = $1,400 ($400 opportunity cost + $1,000
other costs) Question
What would you do if the coupon expires just after spring break?
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 26
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Four Important Decision Pitfalls
Pitfall 2: Ignoring Opportunity Costs The key to using the concept of opportunity
cost correctly lies in recognizing precisely what taking a given action prevents us from doing.
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 27
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Four Important Decision Pitfalls
Pitfall 3: Failure To Ignore Sunk CostsThe only costs that should influence a
decision about whether to take an action are those that we can avoid by not taking the action
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 28
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Four Important Decision Pitfalls
Pitfall 3: Failure To Ignore Sunk CostsSunk cost
A cost that is beyond recovery at the moment a decision must be made
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 29
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Four Important Decision Pitfalls
Pitfall 3: Failure To Ignore Sunk CostsExample
How much should you eat at an all-you-can-eat restaurant?
Assume:Price = $520 randomly selected guests will get lunch on
the house
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 30
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Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCompanies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Four Important Decision Pitfalls
Pitfall 3: Failure To Ignore Sunk CostsExample
How much should you eat at an all-you-can-eat restaurant?
Question:If all diners are rational, will there be any
difference in the average quantity of food consumed by these two groups?
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 31
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Four Important Decision Pitfalls
Pitfall 4: Failure To Understand the Average-Marginal DistinctionMarginal Benefit
The increase in total benefit that results from carrying out one additional unit of an activity
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 32
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Four Important Decision Pitfalls
Pitfall 4: Failure To Understand the Average-Marginal DistinctionMarginal Cost
The increase in total cost that results from carrying out one additional unit of an activity
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 33
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Four Important Decision Pitfalls
Pitfall 4: Failure To Understand the Average-Marginal Distinction
ExampleShould NASA expand the space shuttle
program from four launches per year to five?Benefits
o $24 billion (average of $6 billion/launch)
Costso $20 billion (average of $5 billion/launch)
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 34
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Four Important Decision Pitfalls
Pitfall 4: Failure To Understand the Average-Marginal
DistinctionAverage Cost
The total cost of undertaking n units of an activity divided by n
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 35
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Four Important Decision Pitfalls
Pitfall 4: Failure To Understand the Average-Marginal
DistinctionAverage Benefit
The total benefit of undertaking n units of an activity divided by n
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 36
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Four Important Decision Pitfalls
# of Launches Total Cost Average Cost Marginal Cost ($ billion) ($ billion/launch) ($ billion/launch)
What is the optimal number of launches?
0 0 0
1 3 3
2 7 3.5
3 12 4
4 20 5
5 32 6.4
Assume: Average Benefit = Marginal Benefit = $6 billion
3
4
5
8
12
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 37
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Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCompanies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Normative Economicsvs. Positive Economics
Normative Economic PrincipleOne that says how people should behave
Example: Cost-benefit principle
Positive Economic PrincipleOne that predicts how people will behave
Example: The incentives matter principleo A person (or a firm or society) is more likely to take
an action if its benefit rises and less likely if its cost rises)
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 38
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Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCompanies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Economics: Micro and Macro
MicroeconomicsThe study of individual choice under
scarcity and its implications for the behavior of prices and quantities in individual markets
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 39
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Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCompanies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Economics: Micro and Macro
MacroeconomicsThe study of the performance of national
economies, and of the policies that governments use to try to improve that performance
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 40
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Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCompanies, Inc. All rights reserved.
The Approach of This Text
Focus on core economic concepts Scarcity principle Cost-benefit principle Incentive principle Learning economics through
applications
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 41
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Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCompanies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Economic Naturalism
Using insights from economics to help make sense of observations from everyday life
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 42
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Economic Naturalism
QuestionWhy do so many computer hardware
manufacturers include more than $1,000 worth of “free” software with a computer selling for only slightly more than that?
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 43
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Economic Naturalism
QuestionsWhy don’t automobile manufacturers make
cars without heaters?Why do the keypad buttons on drive-up
automatic teller machines have Braille dots?
Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 44
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Economic Naturalism
ApplicationsUse cost-benefit analysis to explain some
pattern of events or behavior you have observed in your own environment