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Transcript of MBMC Thinking Like An Economist. MBMC Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights...

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Thinking LikeAn EconomistThinking LikeAn Economist

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 2

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Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCompanies, Inc.  All rights reserved.

Introduction

What is the Optimal Class Size?To maximize learning without consideration

of cost?How would considering costs change our

answer?A personal tutorial course in economics might

cost $40,000A class of 300 students might cost

$200/student

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 3

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Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCompanies, Inc.  All rights reserved.

Introduction

What is the Optimal Class Size?What trade-offs must university

administrators and students consider when choosing class size?

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 4

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Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCompanies, Inc.  All rights reserved.

Economics: StudyingChoice In a World of Scarcity

The Scarcity PrincipleBoundless wants cannot be satisfied with

limited resources. Therefore, having more of one thing

usually means having less of another.Because of scarcity we must make

choices.

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 5

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Economics: StudyingChoice In a World of Scarcity

Wants vs. Resources

Scarcity

Choices

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 6

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Economics: StudyingChoice In a World of Scarcity

Economics The study of how people make choices

under conditions of scarcity and of the results of those choices for society.

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 7

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Economics: StudyingChoice In a World of Scarcity

The Cost-Benefit PrincipleAn individual (or a firm or a society) should

take an action if, and only if, the extra benefits from taking the action are at least as great as the extra costs

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 8

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Economics: StudyingChoice In a World of Scarcity

Choosing the Optimal Class Size RevisitedAssumptions:

Two class sizes: 100 and 20Introductory economics classes currently have

100 studentsQuestion

Should the class size be reduced to 20 students?

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 9

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Economics: StudyingChoice In a World of Scarcity

ObservationsThe “best” class from an economic point of

view will generally not be the same as the “best” size from the point of view of an educational psychologist.

People will feel differently about the value of smaller classes.

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 10

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Economics: StudyingChoice In a World of Scarcity

ApplicationWhat other examples of scarcity and

trade-offs can we identify?

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 11

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Economics: StudyingChoice In a World of Scarcity

Choosing the Optimal Class SizeAssume:

The cost of a class with 20 students is $1,000 per student more than a class of 100 students

What do you think:Would it be a good idea to reduce the class

size?

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 12

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Applying The Cost-Benefit Principle

Rational PersonSomeone with well-defined goals who tries

to fulfill those goals as best he or she can

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 13

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Applying The Cost-Benefit Principle

Should you walk downtown to save $10 on a $25 computer game?The benefit of going downtown = $10The cost of going downtown is the dollar

value of everything you give up to go downtown

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 14

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Applying The Cost-Benefit Principle

Should you walk downtown to save $10 on a $25 computer game?Estimating the cost:

How much would someone have to pay you to walk downtown?

If you would walk downtown for $9; the trip’s cost is $9

The benefit ($10) exceeds the cost of ($9) of buying the game downtown

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 15

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Applying The Cost-Benefit Principle

QuestionWill everyone choose to buy the computer

game downtown?

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 16

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Applying The Cost-Benefit Principle

Economic SurplusThe benefit of taking any action minus its

cost The goal of economic decision makers is to

maximize their economic surplus

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 17

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Applying The Cost-Benefit Principle

Opportunity CostThe value of the next-best alternative that

must be forgone to undertake an activity

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 18

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Applying The Cost-Benefit Principle

QuestionWhat is the opportunity cost of buying the

game downtown?

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 19

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Applying The Cost-Benefit Principle

AssumeThe benefit of buying the game downtown

is $10The cost of making the trip is $12

QuestionsWhat is your economic surplus from buying

the game downtown?Where should you buy the game?

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 20

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Applying The Cost-Benefit Principle

The Role of Economic ModelsEconomic models are abstract (simplified

descriptions) models that allow us to analyze situations in a logical way

Other examples of abstract modelsA computer model of climate changeA road map

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 21

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Applying The Cost-Benefit Principle

ObservationThe cost-benefit principle suggests that we

take only those actions that create additional economic surplus.

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 22

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Four Important Decision Pitfalls

Pitfall 1: Measuring cost and benefits as proportions rather than

absolute dollar amounts Examples:

Should you walk downtown to save $10 on a $2,020 laptop computer?

Which is more valuable, saving $100 on a $2,000 plane ticket to Tokyo or saving $90 on a $200 plane ticket to Chicago?

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 23

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Four Important Decision Pitfalls

Pitfall 2: Ignoring Opportunity CostsExample:

Should you use your frequent-flyer coupon to fly to Fort Lauderdale for spring break?

Assume:Round trip airfare is $500 and is equal to your

frequent flyer couponOther costs equal $1,000

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 24

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Four Important Decision Pitfalls

Pitfall 2: Ignoring Opportunity CostsAssume (cont):

The most you are willing to pay for the Fort Lauderdale trip is $1,350

Alternate use for the frequent flyer coupon is to attend a wedding in Boston the week after spring break and the Boston airfare is $400 (coupon expires just after the wedding)

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 25

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Four Important Decision Pitfalls

Pitfall 2: Ignoring Opportunity Costs Example:

Should you use your frequent flyer coupon to fly to Fort Lauderdale for spring break?

Without the coupon: Benefits = $1,350 Cost = $1,400 ($400 opportunity cost + $1,000

other costs) Question

What would you do if the coupon expires just after spring break?

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 26

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Four Important Decision Pitfalls

Pitfall 2: Ignoring Opportunity Costs The key to using the concept of opportunity

cost correctly lies in recognizing precisely what taking a given action prevents us from doing.

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 27

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Four Important Decision Pitfalls

Pitfall 3: Failure To Ignore Sunk CostsThe only costs that should influence a

decision about whether to take an action are those that we can avoid by not taking the action

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 28

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Four Important Decision Pitfalls

Pitfall 3: Failure To Ignore Sunk CostsSunk cost

A cost that is beyond recovery at the moment a decision must be made

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 29

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Four Important Decision Pitfalls

Pitfall 3: Failure To Ignore Sunk CostsExample

How much should you eat at an all-you-can-eat restaurant?

Assume:Price = $520 randomly selected guests will get lunch on

the house

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 30

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Four Important Decision Pitfalls

Pitfall 3: Failure To Ignore Sunk CostsExample

How much should you eat at an all-you-can-eat restaurant?

Question:If all diners are rational, will there be any

difference in the average quantity of food consumed by these two groups?

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 31

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Four Important Decision Pitfalls

Pitfall 4: Failure To Understand the Average-Marginal DistinctionMarginal Benefit

The increase in total benefit that results from carrying out one additional unit of an activity

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 32

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Four Important Decision Pitfalls

Pitfall 4: Failure To Understand the Average-Marginal DistinctionMarginal Cost

The increase in total cost that results from carrying out one additional unit of an activity

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 33

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Four Important Decision Pitfalls

Pitfall 4: Failure To Understand the Average-Marginal Distinction

ExampleShould NASA expand the space shuttle

program from four launches per year to five?Benefits

o $24 billion (average of $6 billion/launch)

Costso $20 billion (average of $5 billion/launch)

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 34

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Four Important Decision Pitfalls

Pitfall 4: Failure To Understand the Average-Marginal

DistinctionAverage Cost

The total cost of undertaking n units of an activity divided by n

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 35

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Four Important Decision Pitfalls

Pitfall 4: Failure To Understand the Average-Marginal

DistinctionAverage Benefit

The total benefit of undertaking n units of an activity divided by n

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 36

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Four Important Decision Pitfalls

# of Launches Total Cost Average Cost Marginal Cost ($ billion) ($ billion/launch) ($ billion/launch)

What is the optimal number of launches?

0 0 0

1 3 3

2 7 3.5

3 12 4

4 20 5

5 32 6.4

Assume: Average Benefit = Marginal Benefit = $6 billion

3

4

5

8

12

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 37

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Normative Economicsvs. Positive Economics

Normative Economic PrincipleOne that says how people should behave

Example: Cost-benefit principle

Positive Economic PrincipleOne that predicts how people will behave

Example: The incentives matter principleo A person (or a firm or society) is more likely to take

an action if its benefit rises and less likely if its cost rises)

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 38

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Economics: Micro and Macro

MicroeconomicsThe study of individual choice under

scarcity and its implications for the behavior of prices and quantities in individual markets

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 39

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Economics: Micro and Macro

MacroeconomicsThe study of the performance of national

economies, and of the policies that governments use to try to improve that performance

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 40

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The Approach of This Text

Focus on core economic concepts Scarcity principle Cost-benefit principle Incentive principle Learning economics through

applications

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 41

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Economic Naturalism

Using insights from economics to help make sense of observations from everyday life

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 42

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Economic Naturalism

QuestionWhy do so many computer hardware

manufacturers include more than $1,000 worth of “free” software with a computer selling for only slightly more than that?

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 43

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Economic Naturalism

QuestionsWhy don’t automobile manufacturers make

cars without heaters?Why do the keypad buttons on drive-up

automatic teller machines have Braille dots?

Chapter 1: Thinking Like an Economist Slide 44

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Economic Naturalism

ApplicationsUse cost-benefit analysis to explain some

pattern of events or behavior you have observed in your own environment

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Chapter