Mayors as Futurists: Foresight for City Leaders...Mayors as Futurists: Foresight for City Leaders...

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Mayors as Futurists: Foresight for City Leaders Jake Dunagan, Ph.D Director, Governance Futures Lab Institute for the Future Austin, TX Joint PSFN, FFCOI, APF Meeting July 27, 2018

Transcript of Mayors as Futurists: Foresight for City Leaders...Mayors as Futurists: Foresight for City Leaders...

Page 1: Mayors as Futurists: Foresight for City Leaders...Mayors as Futurists: Foresight for City Leaders Jake Dunagan, Ph.D Director, Governance Futures Lab Institute for the Future Austin,

Mayors as Futurists: Foresight for City Leaders

Jake Dunagan, Ph.DDirector, Governance Futures LabInstitute for the FutureAustin, TX

Joint PSFN, FFCOI, APF MeetingJuly 27, 2018

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Outline of talk

•Why Mayors as Futurists?

• Context and methods used for SxSW Mayor’s Summit

• Show and tell: Mayor’s Artifacts from the Future

• Lessons and insights

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Why Mayors as Futurists?

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“There has been a de facto memo sent out by the national government and most states to cities and counties: you are in

charge of the future.”

-Bruce Katz, on networked governance

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Context for engagement with Mayors

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Mayors workshop agenda: Major activities

• Polak Game

• Presentation: Thinking like a futurist

• Thing from the Future: Cities Edition

• Causal Layered Analysis

• Artifact brainstorm

Page 8: Mayors as Futurists: Foresight for City Leaders...Mayors as Futurists: Foresight for City Leaders Jake Dunagan, Ph.D Director, Governance Futures Lab Institute for the Future Austin,
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TAXES

In a

city

there is a related to

what is it?

SAYIN

G

DIVIDE

D

Page 10: Mayors as Futurists: Foresight for City Leaders...Mayors as Futurists: Foresight for City Leaders Jake Dunagan, Ph.D Director, Governance Futures Lab Institute for the Future Austin,

TAXES

In a

city

there is a related to

what is it?

SAYIN

G

DIVIDE

D

Page 11: Mayors as Futurists: Foresight for City Leaders...Mayors as Futurists: Foresight for City Leaders Jake Dunagan, Ph.D Director, Governance Futures Lab Institute for the Future Austin,

TAXES

In a

city

there is a related to

what is it?

SAYINGDIVIDED

Page 12: Mayors as Futurists: Foresight for City Leaders...Mayors as Futurists: Foresight for City Leaders Jake Dunagan, Ph.D Director, Governance Futures Lab Institute for the Future Austin,

TAXES

In a

city

there is a related to

what is it?

SAYINGDIVIDED

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IMMIGRATION

In a

city

there is a related to

what is it?

POSTERFORESIGHTFUL

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Page 15: Mayors as Futurists: Foresight for City Leaders...Mayors as Futurists: Foresight for City Leaders Jake Dunagan, Ph.D Director, Governance Futures Lab Institute for the Future Austin,
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Posters from the Future

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Austin

• Big issues: gentrification, maintaining creative industries, housing, inequality, transportation, city vs. state legal battles, environment

• Goals: to grow without losing “weirdness,” to limit inequality, to become more diverse, to protect natural inheritance, to not just consume music, but to create it.

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Mayor Steve Adler, Austin

“In my worst case scenario, I see Barton Springs Pool dried out and filled with trash.”

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Austin,TexasJanuary 1, 2030

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Mayor Tom Tait, Anaheim

“I want Anaheim to be considered the kindest place on Earth.”

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Anaheim, CaliforniaJune 15, 2030

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Lydia Mihalik, Findlay, OH

“We have to help people who are struggling with opioid abuse. We have to give them hope.”

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Concept drawing: Travis Kupp

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Findlay, OhioJune 15, 2030

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What I’ve learned

• Mayors are well positioned to bridge big vision/narrative with practical solutions

• Mayors are woefully under-trained in foresight

• Mayors are extremely receptive to foresight training

• Mayors have taken tools and exercises and used them with their staffs

• Mayors are seeking creative approaches to major challenges and are open to experimentation

• Mayors are well-networked and are enthusiastic to work with other cities, across regions, size, and political parties