May 2015 Vanderbilt Poll
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Transcript of May 2015 Vanderbilt Poll
11th Vanderbilt University Poll
April 23 – May 9, 2015 John G. Geer & Joshua D. Clinton, Co-Directors
May 13, 2015
1,001 registered voters in Tennessee
MoE: +/- 4.3 percentage points
Obama Approval
41% 42%
45%
40%
28%
39%
34%
35%
0%
20%
40%
60%
February 2012 May 2012 December 2012
May 2013 December 2013
May 2014 November 2014
May 2015
% APP
ROVA
L Among TN Registered Voters
Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2015 Poll: N=1,001; MoE: +/- 4.30%
Perceptions of the Economy
44%
53%
52%
66%
60% 64%
67%
24% 23%
33% 31% 32%
32%
39%
48%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
February 2012
May 2012 December 2012
May 2013 December 2013
May 2014 November 2014
May 2015
% “VE
RY GOOD” OR “FAIRLY G
OOD”
TN economy U.S. economy
Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2015 Poll: N=1,001; MoE: +/- 4.30%
Among TN Registered Voters
Perceptions of the Economy by Partisanship
66% 66%
34%
66%
49%
67%
21%
70%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Na6onal economy TN state economy
% “VE
RY GOOD” OR “FAIRLY G
OOD”
Democrats Republicans Independents Tea Party Members
Among TN Registered Voters
Source: Vanderbilt University Poll May 2015 N=1,001; MoE: +/- 4.30%
Perceptions of State Economy by Region
62%
82%
71%
57%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100% % “VE
RY GOOD” OR “FAIRLY G
OOD”
Eastern TN Nashville area Central TN (ex. Nashville) Memphis/Western TN
Among TN Registered Voters
Source: Vanderbilt University Poll May 2015 N=1,001; MoE: +/- 4.30%
Approval of Haslam & State Legislature Among TN Registered Voters
Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2015 Poll: N=1,001; MoE: +/- 4.30%
61% 64%
68% 63% 61%
58%
70%
67%
49%
51% 53%
51%
53%
49%
55% 55%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
February 2012
May 2012 December 2012
May 2013 December 2013
May 2014 November 2014
May 2015
% APP
ROVA
L
Governor Bill Haslam Tennessee State Legislature
Approval of Tennessee Senators
56%
55% 53%
49% 49% 51% 49% 52%
59% 55% 52% 49% 52%
53%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
May 2012 December 2012
May 2013 December 2013
May 2014 November 2014
May 2015
% APP
ROVA
L
Lamar Alexander Bob Corker
Among TN Registered Voters
Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2015 Poll: N=1,001; MoE: +/- 4.30%
Approval of State Leaders by Partisanship
60%
34% 39% 41%
75%
65% 68% 70% 68%
45%
52% 51%
70%
50% 48%
74%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Haslam Alexander Corker State Legislature
Democrats Republicans Independents Tea Party Members
Among TN Registered Voters
Source: Vanderbilt University Poll May 2015 N=1,001; MoE: +/- 4.30%
Top Priority of TN State Government Over Time
60% 60%
50% 48% 48%
40%
44%
12%
10% 15% 17% 18% 20%
19%
21% 18% 18%
28% 27% 27% 24%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
May 2012 December 2012
May 2013 December 2013
May 2014 November 2014
May 2015
Economy Health Care Educa]on
Which of the following do you think should be the top priority of the Tennessee state government?
Among TN Registered Voters
Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2015 Poll: N=1,001; MoE: +/- 4.30%
Opinion – State Legislative Priorities
Thinking back to what the State Legislature accomplished over the past five months, would you say that it (1) spent enough time on issues that you care about, or (2) did not spend enough time on issues that you care about?
25%
63%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Spent enough ]me on issues I care about Did not spend enough ]me on issues I care about
Among TN Registered Voters
Source: Vanderbilt University Poll May 2015 N=1,001; MoE: +/- 4.30%
Opinion – State Legislative Priorities
19%
72%
29%
56%
24%
68%
32%
59%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Spent enough ]me on issues I care about Did not spend enough ]me on issues I care about
Democrats Republicans Independents Tea Party Members
Among TN Registered Voters
Source: Vanderbilt University Poll May 2015 N=1,001; MoE: +/- 4.30%
Thinking back to what the State Legislature accomplished over the past five months, would you say that it (1) spent enough time on issues that you care about, or (2) did not spend enough time on issues that you care about?
Support for Insure Tennessee Many public officials in Tennessee are considering implementing “Insure Tennessee,” a program proposed by Governor
Haslam that would expand health insurance coverage to 280,000 low-income people without health insurance in the state. Do you [support] neither support nor oppose, or [oppose] expanding health care coverage for low-income people in the
state?
64%
13% 19%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Support Neither support nor oppose Oppose
Among TN Registered Voters
Source: Vanderbilt University Poll May 2015 N=1,001; MoE: +/- 4.30%
Support for Insure Tennessee by Partisanship
85%
5% 8%
49%
19%
28%
65%
13% 17%
42%
17%
40%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Support Neither support nor oppose Oppose
Democrats Republicans Independents Tea Party Members
Among TN Registered Voters
Source: Vanderbilt University Poll May 2015 N=1,001; MoE: +/- 4.30%
Many public officials in Tennessee are considering implementing “Insure Tennessee,” a program proposed by Governor Haslam that would expand health insurance coverage to 280,000 low-income people without health insurance in the state.
Do you [support] neither support nor oppose, or [oppose] expanding health care coverage for low-income people in the state?
Opinion – Need for Legislative Vote on Insure Tennessee Recently, the State Legislature and Governor Haslam disagreed over “Insure Tennessee.” Some argue that the legislature
was right to not bring the proposal to a vote because some elected officials disagreed with parts of the program. Others say that the full legislature should have been able to vote on the program so that everyone could express their opinions. Do you
think that the full legislature should vote on Insure Tennessee, or do you think that a vote isn't needed?
78%
15%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Full legislature should vote Vote isn't needed
Among TN Registered Voters
Source: Vanderbilt University Poll May 2015 N=1,001; MoE: +/- 4.30%
Opinion – Need for Legislative Vote on Insure Tennessee by Partisanship
83%
11%
73%
22%
82%
14%
68%
25%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Full legislature should vote Vote isn't needed
Democrats Republicans Independents Tea Party Members
Among TN Registered Voters
Source: Vanderbilt University Poll May 2015 N=1,001; MoE: +/- 4.30%
Recently, the State Legislature and Governor Haslam disagreed over “Insure Tennessee.” Some argue that the legislature was right to not bring the proposal to a vote because some elected officials disagreed with parts of the program. Others say that the full legislature should have been able to vote on the program so that everyone could express their opinions. Do you
think that the full legislature should vote on Insure Tennessee, or do you think that a vote isn't needed?
Favorability of Proposed Gun Control Legislation by Partisanship
The Tennessee State Legislature is considering legislation on a number of issues related to gun control. Would you favor or oppose each of the following measures?
Among TN Registered Voters
Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2015 Poll: N=1,001; MoE: +/- 4.30%
50% 49% 44% 42%
21%
9%
59%
29% 20%
49%
12% 5%
46%
58% 50%
39%
23%
10%
55% 50% 49%
45%
21% 11%
30%
68% 65%
30%
44%
16%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Banning anyone from carrying a gun from coming within 250 feet of
a school
Allowing Tennesseeans to take their guns to all of the same places allowed
for off-‐duty police
Allowing Tennesseeans to have firearms in public parks
Banning guns on any property
owned, used, or operated by schools
Allowing Tennesseeans to carry guns openly or concealed in public without a
permit
Allowing Tennesseeans to purchase a gun without having a background check
% FAV
OR
All respondents Democrats Republicans Independents Tea Party Members
Support for Gas Tax by Partisanship Elected officials in Tennessee are considering raising the gas tax for the first time in more than 25 years. Revenues from the
tax will help fund improvements to roads throughout the state [as well as develop mass transit alternatives that would relieve traffic]. Do you [favor], neither favor nor oppose, or [oppose] an increase in the gas tax, or haven’t you heard
enough about it?
Among TN Registered Voters
Source: Vanderbilt University Poll May 2015 N=1,001; MoE: +/- 4.30%
25%
5%
46%
24% 27%
8%
39%
25% 21%
3%
50%
26% 32%
7%
41%
21%
13%
2%
69%
17%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Support Neither support nor oppose
Oppose Haven't heard enough
All respondents Democrats Republicans Independents Tea Party Members
Support for State Education Initiatives
29%
25% 24%
17%
0%
20%
40%
Improving teacher performance in schools
Improving the state's lowest performing
schools
Developing challenging educa6on standards
Crea6ng beSer tests to more accurately measure student achievement
Of the following state education initiatives, which do you think is the MOST important?
Among TN Registered Voters
Source: Vanderbilt University Poll May 2015 N=489; MoE: +/- 6.15%
Support for State Education Initiatives by Use
(1) Of the following state education initiatives, which do you think is the MOST important? (2) Do you have children who currently attend K-12 public school in Tennessee?
Among TN Registered Voters
Source: Vanderbilt University Poll May 2015 N=489; MoE: +/- 6.15%
37%
27% 24%
10%
27% 25%
23%
19%
0%
20%
40%
Improving teacher performance in schools
Improving the state's lowest performing
schools
Developing challenging educa6on standards
Crea6ng beSer tests to more accurately measure student achievement
Has child in TN pub. schools Does not have child in TN pub. schools
Views on Marijuana Legalization
Which of the following statements comes closer to your view about the use of marijuana by adults?
Among TN Registered Voters
32% 29%
24%
44% 42%
48%
22% 26%
25%
0%
20%
40%
60%
May 2014 November 2014 May 2015
Should be legal for personal use Should be legal only for medicinal use Should not be legal
Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2015 Poll: N=488; MoE: +/- 6.16%
Views on Marijuana Legalization by Partisanship
33%
52%
12% 12%
44% 44%
29%
52%
15% 11%
39%
48%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Should be legal for personal use Should be legal only for medicinal use
Should not be legal
Democrats Republicans Independents Tea Party Members
Among TN Registered Voters
Source: Vanderbilt University Poll May 2015 N=488; MoE: +/- 6.16%
Which of the following statements comes closer to your view about the use of marijuana by adults?
Views on “Right to Die”
If a person has a disease that cannot be cured and is living in pain, do you think doctors should be allowed to assist the patient by some painless means to end their life if the patient and his or her family request it?
55%
39%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Yes No
Source: Vanderbilt University Poll May 2015 N=519; MoE: +/- 5.98%
Among TN Registered Voters
Views on “Right to Die” by Partisanship
67%
29%
47% 45%
60%
35%
58%
33%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Yes No
Democrats Republicans Independents Tea Party Members
Among TN Registered Voters
Source: Vanderbilt University Poll May 2015 N=519; MoE: +/- 5.98%
If a person has a disease that cannot be cured and is living in pain, do you think doctors should be allowed to assist the patient by some painless means to end their life if the patient and his or her family request it?
Right to Die – Legalization Options
28% 25%
12%
31%
0%
20%
40%
Doctors should be allowed to painlessly end the person's life if the person requests it
Doctors should be allowed to painlessly end the person's life only if the person and the person's family
request it
The person should be allowed to have their life ended by any means they desire
There are no circumstances under which an individual should be allowed to
end their life
Recently, the State Legislature discussed a bill about a person's right to die. Which of the following comes closest to your view about what a person with an incurable disease should be able to do?
Among TN Registered Voters
Source: Vanderbilt University Poll May 2015 N=482; MoE: +/- 6.20%
Right to Die – Legalization Options
31% 26%
14%
23% 20%
27%
9%
40%
29% 22%
13%
31% 24%
15% 15%
43%
0%
20%
40%
60%
Doctors should be allowed to painlessly end the person's life if the person requests it
Doctors should be allowed to painlessly end the person's life only if the person and the person's family
request it
The person should be allowed to have their life ended by any means they desire
There are no circumstances under which an individual should be allowed to
end their life
Democrats Republicans Independents Tea Party Members
Recently, the State Legislature discussed a bill about a person's right to die. Which of the following comes closest to your view about what a person with an incurable disease should be able to do?
Among TN Registered Voters
Source: Vanderbilt University Poll May 2015 N=482; MoE: +/- 6.20%
Support for Bible as State Book The Tennessee State Legislature recently considered a law making the Bible the official state book. [Some elected officials opposed this bill because they believe the Bible deserves more respect than being listed beside the state song or state bird. Others wanted to acknowledge the importance of the Bible.] Do you support or oppose recognizing the Bible as the state
book of Tennessee?
Among TN Registered Voters
Source: Vanderbilt University Poll May 2015 N=1,001; MoE: +/- 4.30%
60%
50%
72%
54%
80%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
% SUPP
ORT
All respondents Democrats Republicans Independents Tea Party Members
Support for Police Cameras Would you support or oppose requiring patrol officers in your area to wear small video cameras whenever they’re on duty?
86%
11%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Support Oppose
Among TN Registered Voters
Source: Vanderbilt University Poll May 2015 N=505; MoE: +/- 6.06%
Support for Repeal of Motorcycle Helmet Law There is currently a state law requiring all motorcycle riders to wear a helmet regardless of age. Would you support or
oppose a law making it legal for adults age 21 or over to ride a motorcycle WITHOUT a helmet?
22%
75%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Support Oppose
Among TN Registered Voters
Source: Vanderbilt University Poll May 2015 N=496; MoE: +/- 6.11%