May 19, 2015 Recon Day 2 - Deborah Weinswig€¦ ·...

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1 Fung Business Intelligence Centre Global Retail & Technology Flash Report: Icsc Recon day 2 Copyright © 2015 The Fung Group. All rights reserved. May 19, 2015 Recon Day 2 AN UPDATE ABOUT THE ICSC FROM THE CHAIRMAN Overall, ICSC membership has enjoyed solid growth of 150%, primarily from outside the US. The organization has also expanded its services, boosting total operating revenue by 15%. The ICSC is confident that consumers will continue to visit shopping centers as the economy continues to recover. RECon remains the largest ICSC annual event, while the New York dealmaking conference is the fastestgrowing event. Today’s sessions delved into some technical aspects of the retail real estate sector: topics included capital markets, strategies to retain retailers, industry certification and women in retail real estate. CAPITAL MARKETS Kieran Quinn, Managing Director, Guggenheim Commercial Real Estate Finance The key takeaway from the capital markets discussion was that lenders are currently focusing on groceranchored regional malls. As for power centers, lenders are being more selective, aiming to ensure the right tenant mix and certain occupancy rates. Bigbox tenants that don’t offer grocery are also subject to this tighter screening process. EXECUTIVE WOMEN IN RETAIL REAL ESTATE Kristin Mueller, EVP and COO, Jones Lang LaSalle Women in business leadership is always a hot topic. The morning blockbuster session was organized in conjunction with CREW, a commercial real estate industry women’s association, to gain insights from women executives in the field. CREW currently has 9,000 members within 72 chapters in the US and Canada. This year, the association is working with MIT on a threeyear benchmark study on compensation and work satisfaction for women in the industry. The panel shared the following insights on the state of the sector and changing consumer behaviors:

Transcript of May 19, 2015 Recon Day 2 - Deborah Weinswig€¦ ·...

Page 1: May 19, 2015 Recon Day 2 - Deborah Weinswig€¦ · selective,(aiming(to(ensure(the(right(tenant(mix(and(certain(occupancy(rates.(BigKbox(tenants(thatdon’toffergrocery(are(also(subjectto(this(tighterscreening(process.(EXECUTIVE#WOMEN#IN#RETAIL#REAL#ESTATE#

 

  1 Fung Business Intelligence Centre Global Retail & Technology Flash Report: Icsc Recon day 2 Copyright © 2015 The Fung Group. All rights reserved.

May 19, 2015

Recon Day 2

AN  UPDATE  ABOUT  THE  ICSC  FROM  THE  CHAIRMAN  Overall,   ICSC   membership   has   enjoyed  solid   growth   of   150%,   primarily   from  outside   the   US.   The   organization   has   also  expanded   its   services,   boosting   total  operating  revenue  by  15%.  

The   ICSC   is   confident   that   consumers   will  continue   to   visit   shopping   centers   as   the  economy   continues   to   recover.   RECon  remains   the   largest   ICSC   annual   event,  while   the   New   York   deal-­‐making  conference  is  the  fastest-­‐growing  event.  

Today’s  sessions  delved  into  some  technical  aspects  of  the  retail  real  estate  sector:  topics  included  capital  markets,  strategies  to  retain  retailers,  industry  certification  and  women  in  retail  real  estate.  

CAPITAL  MARKETS  Kieran  Quinn,  Managing  Director,  Guggenheim  Commercial  Real  Estate  Finance  

The   key   take-­‐away   from   the   capital   markets   discussion   was   that   lenders   are   currently  focusing  on  grocer-­‐anchored  regional  malls.  As  for  power  centers,  lenders  are  being  more  selective,   aiming   to   ensure   the   right   tenant   mix   and   certain   occupancy   rates.   Big-­‐box  tenants  that  don’t  offer  grocery  are  also  subject  to  this  tighter  screening  process.  

EXECUTIVE  WOMEN  IN  RETAIL  REAL  ESTATE  Kristin  Mueller,  EVP  and  COO,  Jones  Lang  LaSalle  

Women   in  business   leadership   is  always  a  hot  topic.  The  morning  blockbuster  session  was  organized  in  conjunction  with  CREW,  a  commercial   real   estate   industry   women’s  association,   to   gain   insights   from   women  executives  in  the  field.  

CREW  currently  has  9,000  members  within  72   chapters   in   the   US   and   Canada.   This  year,   the   association   is   working   with  MIT  on   a   three-­‐year   benchmark   study   on  compensation   and   work   satisfaction   for  women  in  the  industry.  

The  panel  shared  the  following  insights  on  the  state  of  the  sector  and  changing  consumer  behaviors:  

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  2 Fung Business Intelligence Centre Global Retail & Technology Flash Report: Icsc Recon day 2 Copyright © 2015 The Fung Group. All rights reserved.

 

1) Retail  Real  Estate  Is  Lagging,  but  Quickly  Catching  Up  

Retail   real  estate  has  been   lagging  other  property   types.  The   recovery  process  has  been  slow   for   retail   in   comparison   to   three   other   major   real   estate   types:   office   (which   has  exceeded   its  2007  high-­‐water  mark  value),   industrial   (which  experienced  a   recent  surge)  and   apartment   (which   is   largely   saturated).   Retail   real   estate   is   active   and   fluid   in   the  market.  On  the  East  Coast  and  in  the  Dallas  area,  retail  real  estate  is  hitting  prerecession  price  levels  and  pre-­‐2006  acquisition  volumes.  

Overall,  e-­‐commerce  expansion  still  presents  opportunities   in   retail   real  estate,  although  landlords  and  retailers  need  to  define  the  right  real  estate  strategy   in  order  to  provide  a  different   shopping   experience.   However,   there’s   more   opportunity   in   class   B   and   B+  properties,  where   rents   have   rebounded   very   quickly.   Properties   that   focus   on   “women  off-­‐malls”  have  the  most  opportunity.  

2) Providing  Convenience  for  Busy  Women  Is  Key  for  Retail  Stores  

In   the   US,   80%   of   shopping   decisions   are   made   by   women,   and   the   profile   of   women  shoppers  is  changing  rapidly.  They  are  now  very  highly  educated  consumers  because  they  conduct  online  shopping  research  on  pricing  and  products.  Only  5%  of  households  include  a  stay-­‐at-­‐home  mom.  Hence,  moms  are  busier  than  ever  and  seeking  convenience.  

Grocery   stores  are   taking   the   shopping  experience   to   the  next   level.   For  example,   some  have  craft  beer  bars  in  store  to  attract  traffic.  Shopping  centers  are  also  actively  working  to  improve  existing  centers  for  busy  women  shoppers.  

LUNCH  KEYNOTE  SPEECH:  OLD  NAVY’S  BRANDING  STORY  Stefan  Larsson,  Global  President,  Old  Navy  

Stefan  Larsson  stated  that  Old  Navy’s  brand  vision  is  to  provide  inspirational  items  at  value  price  points,  a  “masspirational”  strategy.  Old  Navy  is  unique,  as  no  brands  compete  with  the  company  in  this  segment;  most  retailers  sell  through  private  labels  rather  than  under  a  big-­‐name  brand.  

While  Old  Navy  attempts  to  preserve  its  heritage  in  this  space,  it  also  faces  the  challenge  of   a   trend   cycle   that   has   shortened   from   two   years   to   three   months.   It’s   therefore  important  that  Old  Navy  stay  on  trend  and  guide  shoppers  in  terms  of  trends.  

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  3 Fung Business Intelligence Centre Global Retail & Technology Flash Report: Icsc Recon day 2 Copyright © 2015 The Fung Group. All rights reserved.

 

The   brand   has   heavily   invested   in   technology:   it   has   installed   Wi-­‐Fi   in   over   50%   of   its  stores.   Sales   associates   are   trained   to  help   customers   search   for   items  and   to   complete  online  transactions  in  stores.  For  these  reasons,  stores  have  become  more  important  than  ever,  as  they’re  the  focal  points  of  customer  engagement.  

WHAT’S  COMING  NEXT?  FBIC  is  attending  the  Meet  the  Trustees  Breakfast  on  Tuesday.  An  industry  town  hall  and  panel  discussions  on  “the  mall  of  the  future”  are  also  on  tomorrow’s  agenda.  Stay  tuned.

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  4 Fung Business Intelligence Centre Global Retail & Technology Flash Report: Icsc Recon day 2 Copyright © 2015 The Fung Group. All rights reserved.

   Deborah  Weinswig,  CPA  Executive  Director—Head  of  Global  Retail  &  Technology  Fung  Business  Intelligence  Centre  New  York:  917.655.6790  Hong  Kong:  +852  6119  1779  [email protected]    Cam  Bolden  [email protected]    Marie  Driscoll,  CFA  [email protected]    John  Harmon,  CFA  [email protected]    Amy  Hedrick  [email protected]    Aragorn  Ho  [email protected]    John  Mercer  [email protected]    Charlie  Poon  [email protected]    Kiril  Popov  [email protected]    Stephanie  Reilly  [email protected]    Lan  Rosengard  [email protected]    Jing  Wang    [email protected]