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Transcript of Matthew Seely Master Thesis Strategic Management
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What makes entrepreneurs rich?
An insti tu ti on al expl an at io n of en trep re neur ia l su cces s in Co nf uc ia n Asi a
Matthew Seely 338555
MScBA Strategic Management
Coach: Dr. Patrick Reinmoeller
Co-reader: Dr. Orietta Marsili
September 12, 2011
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Preface
This thesis is submitted in partial fulfilment of the degree of MScBA in Strategic Management at
RSM. The copyright of this Master thesis rests with the author. The author is responsible for its
contents. RSM is only responsible for the educational coaching and cannot be held liable for the
content.
Since I began the initial work on my thesis in late November 2010, it has been a large part of my
life. It has been a challenging experience at times, but I have learned from my experiences and
genuinely enjoyed the process.
Studying billionaires has been particularly interesting. Our society is obsessed with the super-
rich. While working on my thesis I could not help but notice the abundance of news articles in
the popular media about billionaires and other highly successful entrepreneurs; it is rare for me
to go more than a day or two without stumbling on such an article. While people are curious
about these highly successful entrepreneurs, little research has been done to understand the
causes of their success. It has been my pleasure to provide some insight that may satisfy this
curiosity.
I would like to thank my thesis coach Dr. Patrick Reinmoeller for his guidance from the start of
this undertaking and my co-reader Dr. Orietta Marsili for her feedback. They have both provided
valuable critiques that have helped me to strengthen this work.
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Executive summary
This thesis proposes to answer a simple question: what makes entrepreneurs rich? Not all
entrepreneurs do get rich, of course, which makes it all the more interesting to question why this
is the case. While this is a simple question, the answer is complex and can be answered in
different ways. Past research has focussed on how individual characteristics, for example
individualism (Busenitz, Gomez, and Spencer 2000)and age (Evans and Leighton1989a;
Reynolds, 1997;Peters, Cressy, and Storey,1999;Delmar and Davidson, 2000), affect
entrepreneurship. This study takes a different approach, however, focussing on factors outside of
the individual.Grant (1991)suggests that certain factors provide countries with a national
advantage, a view widely held in the field of strategic management and stemming from Michael
E. Porters seminal work, The Competitive Advantage of Nations (1990). This thesis argues that
institutions are at the heart of the advantage described by Porter and that these advantages can
benefit entrepreneurs.
Institutional literature is rooted in sociology. Paul J. DiMaggio and Walter W. Powell (1983)
explain that businesses adopt practices due to pressures from external organizations and cultural
expectations. Over the past three decades, researchers have attempted to identify the specific
institutions that affect businesses. In his 1980 work, Cultures Consequences, Geert Hofstede
identified four cultural values that predicted economic growth: power distance, uncertainty
avoidance, individualism, and masculinity. This list of factors grew to five, with the inclusion of
long-term orientation added by Hofstede and Bond (1988). These factors have been a starting
point for institutional literature, with several others being identified by scholars in the three
decades following Hofstedes original contribution. Scholars such as Kostova (1999), Ghemawat
(2001), and Berry, Guillen, and Zhou (2010)have attempted to integrate these findings into
comprehensive frameworks.
This study selects relevant institutional factors based on the framework of Berry et al. (2010).
Their framework identifies nine institutional dimensions based on a survey of previous
theoretical publications and empirical research. These dimensions are economic, financial,
political, administrative, cultural, demographic, knowledge, global connectedness, and
geographic. Their framework deals specifically with institutional distanceshowever, not the
absolute value of institutions; that is to say that they look at the difference between the
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institutions in different countries, rather than the institutions themselves. This study, in contrast,
looks at the absolute value of institutions and focuses on the following seven institutional factors:
economic, financial, political, cultural, demographic, knowledge, and global connectedness.
Based on these seven institutional factors and a survey of relevant literature, this thesis proposes
that increases in the following institutional variables are positively related to entrepreneurial
success: economic development, financial development, taxes and government spending,
property rights, immigration, individualism, long-term orientation, population, population
density, the percentage of the people aged 15 to 64, innovation, and global connectedness.
Research has suggested that entrepreneurship is most prevalent in highly developed and under-
developed nations (Wennekerset al., 2005). This is consistent with other researchers (Gilad and
Levine, 1986)who have proposed that entrepreneurs are either pushed into entrepreneurshipby circumstances or pulled in by opportunities. Research has shown that the prevalence of
push entrepreneurs is associated with a strong economy, while no such relationship exists for
pull entrepreneurs (Acs, 2006). This suggests that a developed economy will offer greater
opportunities for entrepreneurial success. To test this, this thesis proposes:H1 Increased
economic development is positively related to entrepreneurial success.
Scholars (Schumpeter1934;King and Levine,1993; Greenwoodand Smith, 1997)have argued
that strong financial institutions generate more successful entrepreneurs. Countries that are better
developed financially offer the funds to back entrepreneurs, but financial institutions also take on
an important role, which is screening entrepreneurs and selecting those with the greatest promise.
To test this, this thesis proposes:H2 Increased financial development is positively related to
entrepreneurial success.
Siu and Martin (1992)suggest that Hong Kongers are more likely to become entrepreneurs due
to their low levels of taxation. Empirical research suggests, however, that high tax rates actually
encourage entrepreneurship (Aronson, 1991; Blau, 1987; Carson, 1984; Evansand Leighton,
1989b;Long, 1982). Research into theForbes list of billionaires has shown that taxes and
government spending do not adversely affect the accumulation of extreme wealth (Neumayer,
2004). The following is proposed:H3a Increased taxes and government spending positively
relate to entrepreneurial success.
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Research has shown a positive relationship between property rights and economic growth (Hall
and Jones, 1999;Keefer and Knack, 1997; Knackand Keefer, 1995)and large wealth
accumulation by individuals (Neumayer, 2004). Therefore, this thesis proposes:H3b The
protection of property is positively related to entrepreneurial success.
Research has shown that immigrants are more likely to become entrepreneurs than non-
immigrants in the United States (Borjas, 1986; Collins and Moore, 1970). Chinese immigrants in
particular, have been found to have greater entrepreneurial success than people born domestically
(Redding, 1995). The following is therefore tested:H4a High immigration levels are positively
related to entrepreneurial success.
Several studies (McGrath, MacMillan, and Scheinberg, 1992;Shane, 1992;Shane1993; Tiessen,
1997)have emphasized the importance of individualism in entrepreneurship. Hofstede and Bond(1988) suggest that long-term orientation a characteristic of socially supportive cultures is
related to entrepreneurial success. To test these seemingly opposed views, the following are
proposed:H4b Increased levels of long-term orientation are positively related to
entrepreneurial success andH4c Increased levels of individualism are positively related to
entrepreneurial success.
Research shows that population growth and density contribute positively to the number of
entrepreneurial start-ups in a country (Armingtonand Acs, 2002)but it is unclear if this will
affect success. The following hypotheses are proposed to test this:H5a Increased population
levels are positively related to entrepreneurial success andH5b High population density is
positively related to entrepreneurial success.
Economists (Erb, Harvey, and Viskanta,1997;Huyn, Mallik, and Hettihewa, 2006) have linked
firm performance to the working-age population, while entrepreneurship researchers (Evans and
Leighton,1989a; Reynolds, 1997;Peters et al.1999;Delmaret al., 2000)found mixed results
for the influence of age on entrepreneurial tendencies. The following is therefore proposed:H5c
An increase in the percentage of the population aged 15 to 64 is positively related to
entrepreneurial success.
Nations vary according to their ability to produce and commercialize new technologies (Furman,
Porter, and Stern,2002). It has been suggested that national innovation systems have allowed
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certain Asian countries to thrive economically (Hou and Gee , 1993; Kim, 1993; Nelson and
Rosenberg,1993). To test the effect on entrepreneurship, the following is proposed:H6 High
levels of innovation are positively related to entrepreneurial success.
According to Berry et al.(2010)global connectedness the ability to interact with other parts of
the world is as an important institutional dimension in international business. Research has not
shown how this may affect entrepreneurial success, however. To test this, the following is
proposed:H7 Increased global connectedness is positively related to entrepreneurial success.
To test these hypotheses, this study performed a series of regression analyses using
entrepreneurial success as a dependent variable, and several institutional measures as
independent variables. To measure entrepreneurial success, this study used the annualForbes list
of billionaires from 1996 to 2011. Specifically, it calculated the total wealth, the average wealth,and the total number of billionaires per country and used these three metrics as measures of
entrepreneurial success. In doing so, this study takes a broad view of what it is to be an
entrepreneur. The independent variables used come from the World Banks World Development
Indicators (WDI), the Heritage Foundation and Wall Street Journals Index of Economic
Freedom, the CIA World Factbook, and World Values Survey from a variety of years.
Because many studies have focussed on cultural institutions, this thesis takes a different
approach and controls for culture, in order to focus on other institutional factors. To do this, it
has focussed on China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, and Singapore countries1that belong
to an area that the Global Leadership and Organizational Behaviour Effectiveness Research
Project (GLOBE) refers to as Confucian Asia2.
This research found mixed support for H1. The evidence suggests that a strong economy relates
positively to entrepreneurial success, but that countries that rely heavily on exports to support
their economy will produce less successful entrepreneurs. Mixed support was also found for H2;
it appears that financial development is positively related to entrepreneurial success, but that the
number of domestic companies is associated with a decrease in average billionaire wealth. Partial
1Although Hong Kong is part of China, this paper uses the term country loosely, applying it to self-governingregions such including Hong Kong.
2Confucian Asia also includes Taiwan; however, Taiwan is excluded from this study due to a lack of available data,from sources such as the World Bank, which do not distinguish between Taiwan and China in all of their data.
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support was found for H3a, with gross national expenditure contributing to the total number of
billionaires, but with no evidence suggesting that taxation increases entrepreneurial success.
Mixed support was found for H3b, with some evidence suggesting that property protection
contributes to entrepreneurial success, but with other evidence finding them opposed. Mixed
support was found for H4a, with evidence suggesting that the percentage of international migrant
stock is associated with an increase in entrepreneurial success, but with evidence that net
migration and Ethnic Chinese population decrease entrepreneurial success. No support was
found for H4b or H4c, though this is not surprising as this study controlled for cultural factors.
The models were significant however, indicating that culture is a predictor of entrepreneurial
success. Mixed support was found for H5a, with birth rate negatively contributing to the number
and overall value of billionaires and population growth contributing negatively to average
billionaire wealth. Population growth, however, contributed to average wealth. H5b yielded
mixed support; population density contributed significantly to entrepreneurial success, however
urban population contributed negatively to entrepreneurial success. Support was found for H5c,
with the percentage of the population aged 15 to 64 contributing positively to the model; the
percentage aged 65 and older also contributed significantly. Mixed support was found for H6,
with some variables indicating that knowledge increases entrepreneurial success and others
indicating the opposite effect. Mixed support was also found for H7, indicating that some forms
of global connectedness contribute to entrepreneurial success, while others have a negative
impact.
Overall, this study finds that institutional factors influence entrepreneurial success. Given the
fact that many of the results are contradictory, it suggests that the individual variables should be
investigated. That is to say, that rather than looking at a broad term like global connectedness;
future research should focus on specific factors such as Internet users or international tourism
expenditures. Alternatively, this research provides variables, which may be aggregated to create
new predictors of entrepreneurial success, which can be included together in a regression
analysis. Finally, this thesis offers some guidance for practitioners, suggesting that entrepreneurs
should seek out markets with supportive institutions and that governments cannot create
successful entrepreneurs merely through low taxes and spending, but must invest in building
institutions to support entrepreneurs.
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Contents
Preface............................................................................................................................................. 3
Executive summary......................................................................................................................... 5
Chapter 1 Introduction............................................................................................................... 13
Introduction............................................................................................................................... 13
Introduction to the problem definition...................................................................................... 14
Chapter 2 Theory ....................................................................................................................... 19
Problem definition and research questions............................................................................... 19
Economic factors .................................................................................................................. 19
Financial factors.................................................................................................................... 20
Political factors ..................................................................................................................... 20
Cultural factors...................................................................................................................... 22
Demographic factors............................................................................................................. 24
Knowledge factors................................................................................................................ 25
Global connectedness factors................................................................................................ 26
Chapter 3 Methodology ............................................................................................................. 29
Research objectives................................................................................................................... 29
Research design ........................................................................................................................ 29
Chapter 4 Results....................................................................................................................... 35
Economic factors ...................................................................................................................... 35
Financial factors........................................................................................................................ 36
Political factors ......................................................................................................................... 38
Cultural factors.......................................................................................................................... 40
Demographic factors................................................................................................................. 41
Knowledge factors.................................................................................................................... 44
Global connectedness factors.................................................................................................... 45
Chapter 5 Conclusion................................................................................................................. 47
Discussion................................................................................................................................. 47
Limitations................................................................................................................................ 55
Implications for research........................................................................................................... 56
Implications for practitioners.................................................................................................... 58
Works Cited................................................................................................................................... 61
Appendix....................................................................................................................................... 65
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Chapter 1 Introduction
Introduction
When considering entrepreneurial success in Asia it is difficult to ignore the growth of highly
successful Chinese individuals, as is reflected in the 64 Chinese billionaires that were identified
by a recentForbes list (Forbes, 2010). In absolute numbers, this sounds impressive; China is the
country with the second greatest number of billionaires (a distant second to the United States
with over 400). When the size of China's population is taken into account, it is considerably less
impressive. In China there is approximately one billionaire for every 20 million people (or 0.05
billionaires per million people; see appendix, Figure 1). This is one third of the global statistic of
0.15 billionaires for every million people and nowhere near the United stated with 1.29
billionaires for every million Americans. Closer (geographically and culturally) to China,
Singapore and Japan have 0.87 and 0.17 billionaires per million people, respectively. The biggest
contrast however, is with Hong Kong, a Special Administration Region of the People's Republic
of China3, which boasts a whopping 3.58 billionaires for every million people a greater number
per capita than any other country in the world excepting Monaco.4
The difference in success rates in these countries begs the question: what factors have created
this variance? Economists have long pointed to external factors that have allowed certain nations
to gain an advantage over others (Grant, 1991). In the field of strategic management Michael E.
Porter (1990)offers a framework that explains national advantage according to external factors.
Porter (1990) claims national advantage depends on entrepreneurs, but it also reasons that
entrepreneurs benefit from national advantage; a country with a national advantage should
produce entrepreneurs who are more successful than countries without an advantage. While
Porter (1990) does not specifically address institutions, they are at the root of the four factors he
describes. A growing field of literature does however, deal explicitly with the institutional causes
of business success (Berryet al., 2010).
Institutional literature is rooted in sociology. Paul J. DiMaggio and Walter W. Powell (1983),
drawing on the work of Max Weber, attempt to explain the homogeneity of organizations; they
3Although Hong Kong is part of China, this paper uses the term country loosely, applying it to self-governingregions such including Hong Kong.
4Monaco has an astronomical 30.3 billionaires per million people; however, this figure is merely the result ofhaving a single billionaire among its miniscule population of 33,000 people.
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argue that businesses adopt practices not because they are beneficial (though they may be), but
due to what they call institutional isomorphism. Organizations, according to this theory, do not
tend to diversify in their forms, but rather they tend to become more and more alike. DiMaggio
and Powell (1983) note, for instance, how American college textbook publishing evolved from
an industry with several business models, to a two-model industry. Institutions are what cause
this tendency toward homogeneity, as firms give in to formal and informal pressures by other
institutions and to cultural expectations (DiMaggio and Powell, 1983).
Institutional literature has attempted to identify the specific cultural variables that affect business,
the economy, and entrepreneurship. Much of the existing literature on the institutional causes of
entrepreneurship has focussed narrowly on cultural institutions, stemming from the cultural
dimensions identified by Geert Hofstede (1980). Over the past three decades institutional
literature has grown to include several other institutional dimensions (Berryet al., 2010), but no
study has empirically tested a comprehensive variety of institutional factors to determine their
effects on entrepreneurship.
This study will fill this gap in the literature, testing the effects of a variety of institutional factors
outlined by Berry et al. (2010)on entrepreneurial success. In order to focus on the variety of
institutional factors, and not just cultural factors, this study will specifically focus on the cultural
cluster identified by the Global Leadership and Organizational Behaviour Effectiveness Research
Project (GLOBE) as Confucian Asia. Confucian Asia includes China, Hong Kong, Japan, South
Korea, Singapore, and Taiwan (Houseet al., 2004). This study examines entrepreneurship in five
of these six countries: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, and Singapore (Taiwan is
excluded due to a lack of available data). As a measure of entrepreneurial success, this study will
use the personal wealth of billionaires in five of these countries over a 16-year period (1996-
2011). It will use regression analyses to assess the relationship between a variety of institutional
variables and entrepreneurial success.
Introduction to the problem definition
The concept of national advantage is nothing new. As Robert M. Grant (1991)points out,
national advantages are central to Adam Smiths 1776 work, The Wealth of Nations, which
introduces the concept of competitive advantage. Expanding on this in 1821, David Ricardo
developed the theory of comparative advantage of nations which asserts that a country gains an
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advantage in an industry due to its situation, its climate, and its other natural or artificial
advantages (Ricardo, 1821). Eli Heckscher and Bertil Ohlin5pick up this line of thinking in the
20thcentury, arguing that nations gain a comparative advantage over others due to factors of
production such as land, labour and capital (Ohlin, 1933). Michael Porter (1990)argues that
comparative advantage based on factors of production is not sufficient to explain patterns of
trade. Factor conditions still maintain an important role within Porters framework, albeit in
conjunction with three other determinants of national advantage (firm strategy, structure, and
rivalry; demand conditions; and related and supporting industries).
This paper does not disagree with Porters view that a variety of determinants interacts to create
a national advantage, but it focuses on one important cause: institutional differences. This does
not contradict Porter; in fact, it is compatible with his arguments. Porter (1990)does not deal
with institutional factors in any great depth, but he does say that the institutional structure
surrounding companies stimulates them to gain competitive advantage. Each of the
determinants described by Porter (1990)is influenced by institutions. Factor conditions include
natural resources, but according to Porter (1990), a nation does not inherit but instead creates
the most important factors of production such as human resources or a scientific base. For
example, educational institutions influence skilled labour (a factor condition). Demand
conditions are affected by a variety of institutions, including social, government and economic
institutions influencing the habits of consumers. Related and supporting industries are mostobviously affected by institutions established by the government. For example, the United States
large military investments create a supporting industry for the countrys weapons manufacturers.
Rivalry is largely influenced by government institutions. Countries like China limit foreign
competition by placing limitations on foreign direct investment. Even democratic, capitalist
countries impose trade tariffs and some limit domestic rivalry with control boards. Cultural
institutions also play a role; Porter (1990)notes that values and the perceived prestige of certain
industries in a given country drive investment and labour into the sector, creating greater rivalry.
Cultural institutions have received a great deal of attention in management scholarship.
Management scholars have embraced the four cultural dimensions identified by Geert Hofstede
(Berryet al., 2010). Hofstede (1980)conducted a survey of IBM employees in 40 countries
5Although Bertil Ohlin is the sole author ofInterregional and International Trade, he gives shared credit to EliHeckscher for the Heckscher-Ohlin model described in it.
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between 1967 and 1973. He identified power distance, uncertainty avoidance, individualism, and
masculinity as the four factors distinguishing one culture from another. Hofstede and Bond
(1988)later expanded these four factors to include Confucian dynamism also called long-term
orientation. Of the cultural factors identified by Hofstede, entrepreneurial studies have focussed
on individualism in particular (Busenitzet al., 2000). Although Hofstedes measures have been
embraced by management scholars, they have not gained popularity in the social sciences and
they have been criticized in other business fields such as international business, marketing, and
accounting (Berryet al., 2010). Berry et al. (2010)identify four specific problems with
Hofstedes measures. First, they criticize Hofstedes focus on culture, ignoring other
distinguishing dimensions of countries. Ghemawat (2001), in contrast, identifies culture as one
of four dimensions, or distances, that distinguish countries; the others are administrative,
geographic, and economic. Secondly, they criticize Hofstedes assumption that culture is static.
Tang and Koveos (2008)share this criticism, arguing that if cultural values correlate with
national wealth, then they cannot be static (as national wealth changes over time). This is
supported by Inglehart and Baker (2000)who found evidence of massive cultural change in
their study of 65 societies comprising 75% of the worlds population. Thirdly, they claim that
researchers studying individual managers make an ecological fallacy by assuming that the
results of Hofstedes general study can be applied to individual members of the group. Finally,
they criticize Hofstedes assumption that a survey of employees with a single company can be
generalized to the entire population.
Given the problems with Hofstedes cultural measures, it should come as no surprise that studies
relying on them have provided mixed and contradictory results (Berryet al., 2010). Studies have
shown cultural distance increases full ownership as a foreign entry strategy, that it encourages
joint ownership as a foreign entry strategy, and that it has no effect on ownership as a foreign
entry strategy (Berryet al., 2010). Some studies have found a correlation between lower foreign
subsidiary dissolution rates and greater cultural distances; others have found no relationship
(Berryet al., 2010). These mixed results suggest that although culture may influence businesses,
it alone is insufficient to explain the differences between countries.
Scholars have expanded on Hofstedes dimensions. In the field of psychology, Schwartz and
Bilsky (1990)identify seven cultural dimensions in their study of data from Australia, Finland,
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Hong Kong, Spain, and the United States. These values, which exist in varying degrees in each
of the countries studied, are achievement, enjoyment, maturity, prosocial, restrictive conformity,
security, and self-direction. The GLOBE project was initiated in 1991 by Robert J. House
(Hofstede, 2006). Despite some differences, Hofstede maintains that the GLOBE project was
designed as a replication and elaboration of his original 1980 study (Hofstede, 2006). The
GLOBE project identifies nine cultural dimensions: uncertainty avoidance, power distance,
societal collectivism, in-group collectivism, egalitarianism, assertiveness, future orientation,
performance orientation, and humane orientation (House, Javidan, Hanges, and Dorfman, 2002).
Although these studies have expanded on Hofstedes cultural dimensions, they still do not fully
explain the differences between countries. Other researchers have expanded their research
beyond cultural factors to consider broader institutional factors.
Tatiana Kostova (1999)presents the country institutional profile (CIP) as an alternative to
cultural measures. The CIP consists of three components: regulatory, cognitive, and normative
(Kostova, 1999). The regulatory component deals with a countrys laws and rules (Kostova,
1999). The cognitive component relates to the schemas, frames, inferential sets, and
representations [that] affect the way people notice, categorize, and interpret stimuli from the
environment (Kostova, 1999). The normative component is concerned with a nations values
and norms (Kostova, 1999), such as those represented in Hofstedes cultural dimensions.
The problem with Kostovas framework is that the operational definitions are somewhat
ambiguous and open to interpretation. Ghemawat (2001)offers a more concrete framework for
institutional distances. According to his CAGE framework, the distinguishing institutional
distances between countries are cultural, administrative, geographic, and economic (Ghemawat,
2001). Cultural distance encompasses linguistic, ethnic, religious and normative differences;
administrative distance includes political ties, government policies and institutional weaknesses;
geographic distance includes not only the distance between two points, but physical remoteness,
shared borders, access to waters, country size, transportation/communication links, and
differences in climate; and economic distance includes the difference between consumer incomes
as well as the differences in the cost and quality of several resources (Ghemawat, 2001).
Interestingly, Ghemawat (2001)asserts that different distances affect particular industries to
varying degrees; for instance, the food industry is strongly affected by cultural distance, while
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the electrical power industry is much more strongly affected by geographic distance.
Recent work by Berry et al. (2010)offers a more in-depth framework for measuring institutional
distances. Through a review of the existing literature, they identify nine institutional distances. In
addition to Ghemawats cultural, administrative, geographic and economic distances, they also
identify financial, political, demographic, knowledge, and global connectedness as distinguishing
cross-national distances (Berryet al., 2010). Each of the identified distances is supported both by
theoretical literature and empirical studies (Berryet al., 2010).
Previous institutional literature has focussed on institutional distances, specifically on the effect
that distance has when entering foreign countries. This paper differs from this approach. Rather
than looking at the effect of institutional distances, this paper looks at the effect of the
institutions per se. Rather than looking, for instance, at how the distance between China andHong Kong affects the entry of a business from one locale to the other, this paper seeks to
understand which institutional factors lead to entrepreneurial success in China and Hong Kong
individually (and each of the other countries studied). To do this, this study focuses on the
absolute value of the institutional factors. This is a return to the tradition of early modern
economists like Adam Smith and David Ricardo, and embodied by Michael Porters diamond
framework, of trying to understand what factors lead to a national advantage. This paper goes
further, however, incorporating the institutional theories that have developed over the past three
decades.
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Chapter 2 Theory
Problem definition and research questions
This paper aims to show the influence of institutional factors on entrepreneurial success in the
Confucian Asian cultural cluster. In their review of institutional literature Berry et al. (2010)
identify eight distinct institutional dimensions affecting business: economic distance, financial
distance, political distance, administrative distance, cultural distance, demographic distance,
knowledge distance, and global connectedness distance. Additionally, they identify geographic
distance as an important non-institutional dimension. Berry et al. (2010)measure the institutional
distance between countries, however this study treats the dimensions as absolute values. The goal
of this research is not to find out if the institutional proximity of countries is beneficial, but rather
if the institutional factors in each country lead to a national advantage. This study uses seven of
the dimensions identified by Berry et al. (2010). It omits geographic distance, as it is a non-
institutional dimension, because it cannot be measured as an absolute value, and because this
study opts to focus on a group of geographically close countries; while geographic distance may
be important to entrepreneurship, its impact is neutralized by the focus of this study. It also omits
the administrative dimension. Administrative distance deals with shared colonizer-colony links,
language, religion, and legal systems. This dimension is omitted because while it may be relevant
to the institutional distance between countries, the literature does not indicate that these
dimensions have an impact on the competitive advantage of the nation. This paper will attempt toshow the relationship between seven institutional dimensions (economic, financial, political,
cultural, demographic, knowledge, and global connectedness respectively) and entrepreneurial
success.
Economic factors
Wennekers, Van Stel, Thurik and Reynolds (2005)demonstrate that there is a U-shaped
relationship between nascent entrepreneurship and economic development, meaning that nascent
entrepreneurship is most common in the most developed and least developed nations; nascent
entrepreneurship is least common in moderately developed nations. This suggests that people are
likely to become entrepreneurs because either they have nothing to lose or they have enough that
they can afford to lose some. This is consistent with Gilad and Levine (1986)who suggest there
are two types of entrepreneurship: push entrepreneurship and pull entrepreneurship.
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Entrepreneurs are either pushed into entrepreneurship due to adverse economic and social
conditions or they are pulled in by opportunities in the market (Giladet al., 1986). It is unclear
from previous research, however, whether the level of success is the same for entrepreneurs in
underdeveloped and highly developed nations or if there is a relationship between economic
development and entrepreneurial success. Research has shown however, that while push
entrepreneurs have no significant impact on the economy, pull entrepreneurs strongly and
positively impact the economy (Acs, 2006). This suggests that entrepreneurs who find
opportunities presented by a strong economy will be more successful than those who are forced
into entrepreneurship due to lack of other options; this paper therefore proposes the following:
H1: Increased economic development is positively related to entrepreneurial success.
Financial factors
Joseph Schumpeter (1934)argues that banks play an important role in developing entrepreneurs
by selecting and investing the ones that are most promising. King and Levine (1993)continue
with this line of thinking, asserting that financial institutions play an active role in evaluating,
managing, and funding the entrepreneurial activity that leads to productivity growth.
Greenwood and Smith (1997)share this view. Additionally, Greenwood and Smith (1997)claim
that financial markets give entrepreneurs access to capital which allows them to specialize,
undertake professional development , and invest in technology. In turn, these lead to a higher rate
of growth in the economy (Greenwoodet al., 1997). This literature suggests that strong financial
institutions should lead to greater entrepreneurial success, both because they serve as gatekeepers
investing only in high-potential entrepreneurs and by giving entrepreneurs the resources they
need to grow. The following is therefore proposed:
H2: Increased financial development is positively related to entrepreneurial success.
Political factors
Siu and Martin (1992)suggest that free market economic policies and low taxation encourage
Hong Kong citizens to become entrepreneurs because they are able to keep more of their money.
If this is true then differences in taxation may explain the differences in entrepreneurial success
in Confucian Asia. Siu and Martins (1992)assertion is not empirically demonstrated however,
and a paper published by the International Monetary Fund suggests that high personal taxes can
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actually encourage entrepreneurship (Gordon, 1998); empirical studies on the effects of taxation
on entrepreneurship support this view (Aronson, 1991; Blau, 1987; Carson, 1984; Evanset al.,
1989b;Long, 1982). Djankov, La Porta, Lopez-De-Silanes, and Shleifer (2002)conclude that
highly regulated environments discourage entrepreneurship, however Baumol (1990, 1993)
argues that entrepreneurship levels are the same regardless of government regulation, but that
increased regulation encourages entrepreneurs to operate outside of the government regulation
(i.e. unlicensed or illegally). Capelleras, Mole, Greene, and Storey (2008)support Baumol (1990,
1993), showing that new firm size and growth differs between highly regulated and lightly
regulated countries (in this case Spain and the United Kingdom respectively) only when
unregistered businesses are excluded from consideration. None of these aforementioned studies
deals explicitly with extremely successful entrepreneurs (i.e. multi-millionaires or billionaires),
but a previous study of theForbes list of billionaires concluded that [n]either a higher fiscal
burden, nor a greater extent of government intervention, nor a greater extent of governmental
interference with prices and wages, has a negative effect on the incidence of great wealth
(Neumayer, 2004). This same study also concluded that government spending on social welfare
does not have a negative impact on large wealth accumulation. Together, these studies suggest
that tax rates and government spending will not adversely affect the success of entrepreneurs. It
is unclear whether taxation and government spending will affect entrepreneurial success. To test
this, the following hypothesis is proposed:
H3a: Increased taxes and government spending positively relate to entrepreneurial success.
Research shows private property rights are linked to increased economic growth (Hallet al.,
1999;Keeferet al., 1997; Knacket al., 1995). Neumayers (2004)study supports this,
concluding that private property rights positively affect large wealth accumulation while
socialist/communist dictatorships negatively affect large wealth accumulation. China appears to
offer a counter-example to the idea that private property rights are linked to economic growth as
it has experienced large economic growth despite its poor protection of private property but this
economic growth has not been the result of the private sector (Che and Qian, 1998). Nee (1992)
argues that private entrepreneurs in China are unwilling to reinvest their profits in their
businesses due to the lack of private property rights protecting them. This suggests that
entrepreneurs are less likely to be successful in countries with poor private property rights. From
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this, it is proposed:
H3b: The protection of property is positively related to entrepreneurial success.
Cultural factors
As noted above, much of the research into the institutional factors affecting national advantage
and entrepreneurial success have focussed on culture. The countries studied in this research
Confucian Asia are strongly influenced by Chinese culture. Siu and Martin (1992)suggest that
the success of entrepreneurs in Hong Kong may be attributed to the presence of Chinese
immigrants. This is supported by the fact that Chinese immigrants have had disproportionate
success in entrepreneurship relative to natives in several East Asian countries (Redding, 1995)
and it is consistent with empirical studies in the United States (Borjas, 1986; Collinset al., 1970)
that have shown immigrants are more likely to become entrepreneurs. Additionally, research in
Australia has shown that a large proportion of its wealthiest people are immigrants (Gilding,
1999). Not all immigrant communities are equally successful, however. Tarun Khanna (2007)
compares the success of overseas Chinese to overseas Indians, and finds that the Chinese expat
community is much more successful because while the Chinese diaspora (the community of
ethnically Chinese people living outside of China) is embraced by the Chinese government, the
Indian government has historically shunned the Indian diaspora. This suggests that Chinese
immigrants may be more inclined toward entrepreneurial success than immigrants may in
general. The success of Chinese immigrants may stem from characteristics inherent to all
immigrants, Chinese culture, or as Redding (1995)suggests from a combination of the two. It
reasons to hypothesize that countries with high levels of immigration (and in particular high
levels of Chinese immigration) will have a greater incidence of entrepreneurial success. The
following hypothesis is proposed:
H4a: High immigration levels are positively related to entrepreneurial success.
Academic literature has given considerable attention to the role that individualism plays in
entrepreneurship; individualism has been shown to be positively related to entrepreneurial output
as measured by the number of patents (Shane, 1992, 1993)and entrepreneurs typically are more
individualist than collectivist in nature (McGrathet al., 1992). Not surprisingly, individualist
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cultures are more entrepreneurial than collectivist cultures (Tiessen, 1997). The verdict is not
entirely clear in the academic community, however. Some studies have concluded that power
distance and individualism are the driving factors in entrepreneurial orientation, but others have
concluded that lower uncertainty avoidance is the key factor (Berryet al., 2010). Importantly,
while many studies have focussed on individualism as a driver of entrepreneurship, other
research has shown a lack of correlation between the two (Busenitzet al., 2000). Some literature
contradicts the notion that individualism drives entrepreneurship, showing that collectivist
nations actually spur entrepreneurial endeavours (Franke,Hofstede, and Bond, 1991; Hofstedeet
al., 1988). Stephan and Uhlaner (2010)studied entrepreneurship in socially supportive cultures
compared to performance-based cultures finding that Confucian countries (which scored high in
the measures of socially supported cultures) were found to have higher rates of entrepreneurship.
This suggests that Confucian cultures may be more inclined to entrepreneurial success. Hofstede
and Bond (1988) argue that Confucian dynamism contributes to economic growth and
entrepreneurship. Hofstede and Bonds concept of Confucian dynamism distinguishes two
different types of Confucian values, those that are oriented to the future and those that are
oriented to the present and past. Countries with high levels of Confucian dynamism are said to
emphasize future oriented Confucian values but to place less emphasis on Confucian values
oriented to the present and past. While entrepreneurship literature has focused on opportunity
recognition and short-term orientation (Shaneand Venkataraman, 2000)this suggests that long-
term orientation may actually be related to entrepreneurial success.
There is a tension between Siu and Martins (1992) assertion that Hong Kong entrepreneurs are
successful because they do not have a Confucian outlook, and that of Hofstede and Bond (1988)
who argue that Confucian dynamism (or long-term orientation) encourages entrepreneurship. It
could well be that while long-term orientation and individualism are seemingly opposed, they are
not mutually exclusive and can both be beneficial to entrepreneurs in different ways, and cultures
that can draw on both traditions will produce more successful entrepreneurs. Two hypotheses are
proposed to test this:
H4b: Increased levels of long-term orientation are positively related to entrepreneurial success.
H4c: Increased levels of individualism are positively related to entrepreneurial success.
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Demographic factors
Demographic factors affect the attractiveness of markets and their potential for growth (Berryet
al., 2010). Research suggests that population growth is positively related to the number of
entrepreneurial start-ups in a country (Armingtonet al., 2002). A growing population can
encourage pull entrepreneurs by providing growing consumer markets and it can create push
entrepreneurs as it creates more competition for employment particularly when population
growth is driven by immigration (Wennekerset al., 2005). The following hypothesis is proposed:
H5a: Increased population levels are positively related to entrepreneurial success.
Research has also shown that population density is positively related to the number of start-ups
in a country (Armingtonet al., 2002). This is consistent with Porters (1990)view that
competitive advantage arises from particular clusters, such as the electronics cluster in Silicon
valley or the automotive cluster in Detroit. The following is therefore proposed:
H5b: High population density is positively related to entrepreneurial success.
In the field of economics, researchers have focussed on the effect of age on firm performance.
Erb, Harvey, and Viskanta (1997)found a correlation between the population aged 25 and 45 and
stock returns in the United States. In the United States, shares were rapidly driven up during the
1990s by baby boomers as they entered their prime earning years and began saving forretirement (Poterba, 2001). Huyn et al. (2006)found a positive relationship between the size of
the population aged 40 to 65 and the superannuation fund.6The relationship between age and
stock prices suggests that entrepreneurs may benefit from investments in the market depending
on the age demographics of the population. It is unclear, however, if these studies based in
western, English-speaking countries translate to Asia.
A variety of studies has yielded different results with respect to the relationship between age and
a propensity toward entrepreneurship. Peters et al. (1999)found that younger individuals are less
likely to be or become self-employed and Evans and Leighton (1989a)found the average
entrepreneur to be over 40-years-old. Research into nascent entrepreneurs contradicts this;
American research has found a concentration of nascent entrepreneurs in the 25-to 34-year-old
6The superannuation is an Australian pension fund with a mandatory component paid by employers.
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demographic; 9.7% of individuals in this demographic are categorized as nascent entrepreneurs
twice the overall American average and people in this demographic are responsible for 71% of
all start-ups (Reynolds, 1997). A replication of the study in Sweden demonstrated different
results, with only 3% of Swedes in the 25-to 34-year-old demographic being classified as
nascent entrepreneurs (Delmaret al., 2000). The authors attribute this difference to two factors.
Firstly, they explain that Swedes in that demographic are more indebted than their American
counterparts leaving them less able to bare the risks of entrepreneurship (Delmaret al., 2000).
Secondly, they speculate that because there are more women in the workforce there are more
families with two working parents during the age when children are raised, leaving little room
for the efforts needed to set up a business (Delmaret al., 2000). This suggests that while age may
affect entrepreneurial propensities, cultural and other institutional factors are also at play.
Furthermore it is unclear whether the variation of entrepreneurial rate by age is a reflection of
age per se or generational differences (Verheul, Wennekers, Audretsch, and Thurik, 2002).
Research clearly shows that the age demographics of a population are important factors for
entrepreneurship and that they are related to stock market growth, but research has yet to explore
their effect on entrepreneurial success. Furthermore, these studies have focussed on Western
nations so the relationship between age demographics and entrepreneurial success in Confucian
Asia may or may not hold. The following is therefore proposed:
H5c: An increase in the percentage of the population aged 15 to 64 is positively related to
entrepreneurial success.
Knowledge factors
Furman, Porter, and Stern (2002)suggest that nations vary according to their national
innovative capacity, or their ability to produce and commercialize new technologies. This
echoes the view of Nelson and Rosenberg (1993)who suggest the rise of Japan and newly
industrialized countries like South Korea and Taiwan and the decline of the United States sincethe 1970s can be attributed to differences national innovation systems. Kim (1993)suggests
that the rise of South Korea in the 20thcentury can be attributed to its national innovation system
while Hou and Gee (1993)offer a similar explanation for the rise of the Taiwanese economy.
While research shows a positive correlation between innovation and economic growth, the
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relationship between innovation and entrepreneurship differs. Interestingly, research has shown
that the relationship between innovative capacity and nascent entrepreneurship is not linear, but
U-shaped, with the greatest incidence of nascent entrepreneurship being found in the countries
with the greatest and least innovative capacity (Wennekers, Van Stel, Thurik, and Reynolds
2005). The authors of the study note, however, that the U-shaped relationship is not as robust
when the United States is removed from the analysis (Wennekerset al., 2005). Also of interest is
that no Asian countries are shown to have high rates of nascent entrepreneurship and innovative
capacity in this study. Asian countries, in general, are shown to have high rates of nascent
entrepreneurship and low innovative capacity, while some (most notably Japan) have low levels
of nascent entrepreneurship and moderate innovative capacity (Wennekerset al., 2005). This is
consistent with Kim (1976), who suggests that innovation is not as important in newly
industrialized, non-western countries because the technological know-how already exists and
does not need to be innovated. Kim and Lau (1994)further support this, showing that economic
growth in Hong Kong, South Korea, Singapore and Taiwan can be attributed primarily to
tangible inputs not to technology. This suggests that exploitation of existing knowledge may be
more important than exploration to create knowledge in Confucian Asia.
Studies have yet to show the relationship between innovative capacity and entrepreneurial
success in Confucian Asia. While previous work suggests there is a negative relationship
between innovative capacity and nascent entrepreneurship in Asia (Wennekerset al., 2005),nascent entrepreneurs include push entrepreneurs. For reasons outlined above, it is unlikely
that push entrepreneurs will achieve the same level of success as pull entrepreneurs. Given
that pull entrepreneurs are more likely to be successful, the following is proposed:
H6: High levels of innovation are positively related to entrepreneurial success.
Global connectedness factors
Berry et al.(2010)identify global connectedness as an important institutional dimension ininternational business. They define global connectedness as the ability of resident individuals
and companies to interact with other parts of the world, obtain information, and diffuse their own
activities (Berryet al., 2010). The importance of global connectedness is supported by Rugman
and Verbeke (2003)who emphasize the importance of transnational clusters, in response to
Porters (1990)regional clusters. Global connectedness can be measured using tourism and
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Internet use as measures (Berryet al., 2010). Much has been written about the factors affecting
rates of Internet adoption in different countries (Andrs, Cuberes, Diouf, and Serebrisky, 2010;
Guillnand Zhou, 2005;Oxleyand Yeung, 2001;Wunnavaand Leiter, 2009)but little attention
has been paid the effects of Internet use on the economy or entrepreneurship.
The Internet is an enabling technology (Porter, 2001). In economics its been suggested that the
Internet has the potential to connect countries, which are isolated from economic hubs and trade
routes, to the global economy (Duntand Harper, 2002). In the field of export marketing, Hamill
(1997)suggests that the Internet can help SMEs connect with international clients to export
products and overcome the barriers to internationalization, while empirical research by Lu and
Julian (2007)shows Internet use can increase export marketing performance.
Surprisingly little literature addresses the role of global connectedness on entrepreneurship. AnAmerican study found that while there is a positive connection between owning a personal
computer and becoming an entrepreneur, the link between Internet access and entrepreneurship is
negative and statistically insignificant (Fairlie, 2006). The author of the study suggests that there
may be a relationship between Internet access and entrepreneurial performance; however, the
study did not test this hypothesis. Prahalad and Hammond (2002)suggest that the Internet and
other digital technologies can connect the poor in the so-called bottom-of-the-pyramid-nations,
increasing their entrepreneurial prospects. This can also benefit international firms who are able
to connect with these entrepreneurs. For example, one of DuPonts Latin American subsidiaries
used Internet kiosks to interact with customers and farmers in remote areas (Prahaladand
Hammond, 2002).
Asian countries have developed transnational economies and become experts in manufacturing,
but while they have developed sophisticated, computer-based manufacturing systems, knowledge
management is relatively underdeveloped (Ernst, 2001). Guilln and Surez (2005)present the
world as digitally divided with high levels of Internet use in high-income OECD countries and
relatively low levels of Internet use in other countries. They project that this divide will only
increase with time. This divide has the potential to stifle developing nations in Asia, while giving
a strategic advantage to those nations that are better connected to the world.
Empirical research on the effects of global connectedness and entrepreneurship, specifically in
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Confucian Asia, are lacking. This study will fill this gap by testing the following hypothesis:
H7: Increased global connectedness is positively related to entrepreneurial success.
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Chapter 3 Methodology
Research objectives
This paper aims to contribute to academic literature dealing with the success of entrepreneurs
across Confucian Asia. It also aims to contribute to institutional literature more broadly by
demonstrating that institutions have an effect on entrepreneurial success. No research has
attempted to explain the varying levels of entrepreneurial success in Confucian Asia and this
research will fill this void.
This research aims to provide practical insight for practitioners as well; by studying the
institutional factors that affect entrepreneurial success in the countries studied, it can allow
international entrepreneurs, investors, and expanding businesses to assess which countries are
more conducive to the success of entrepreneurial ventures. While this does not help countries intheir home markets, it can provide insight into selecting new countries for international
expansion.
Perhaps most importantly, this research will benefit policy makers in the countries covered by
this study. Porter (1990)asserts that governments play a role in shaping the context and
institutional structure surrounding companies and in creating an environment that stimulates
companies to gain competitive advantage. By understanding which institutions are most
important, governments can focus on creating the institutions that are conducive to
entrepreneurial success. Although not all institutions can be controlled or influenced by policy
makers, some can. This research will provide policy makers with insight into how government
institutions can encourage or stifle entrepreneurial success.
Research design
The above hypotheses were examined by way of a longitudinal study of billionaires from a
narrow cultural cluster of countries: China, Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea, and Japan,
using publicly available secondary data. As has been noted above, many studies have focussed
on the cultural differences as a source of advantage. By focussing on a cultural cluster of
countries, it allows the other institutional factors to be examined more closely. A cultural cluster
is a group of countries distinguished by geographic proximity, mass migration and ethnic social
capital, and religious and linguistic similarities (Gupta, Hanges, and Dorfman 2002). The idea of
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cultural clusters can be traced back to the mid-20thcentury in the works of historian Arnold J.
Toynbee and psychologist Raymond Cattell (Guptaet al., 2002). The GLOBE project has been
the most in-depth attempt to group countries into cultural clusters. The project groups the 62
societies studied into 10 cultural clusters: Anglo cultures, Latin Europe, Nordic Europe,
Germanic Europe, Eastern Europe, Latin America, Sub-Sahara Africa, Arab cultures, Southern
Asia, and Confucian Asia (Houseet al., 2004). This paper focuses specifically on Confucian
Asia. These countries offer an interesting opportunity to investigate the role that institutions play
in creating a national advantage because they share strong similarities in many respects, yet there
are distinct differences and the success of entrepreneurs varies greatly across these countries.
This provides an opportunity to isolate the specific institutional factors that cause entrepreneurial
success.
Confucian Asia has a distinct worldview influenced by the teachings of Confucius and Buddha
(Houseet al., 2004). Some countries in Confucian Asia have sizeable ethnic Chinese
populations, including Hong Kong (95% of the population), and Singapore (77% of the
population); South Korea and Japan have smaller but significant Chinese populations (CIA,
2010). At the same time, there are sharp differences between countries in Confucian Asia. A
communist government has been in power in China since the 1949; the British returned Hong
Kong to the Chinese after 156 years of rule in 1997; Singapore was founded as a British colony;
Korea existed as part of Japan for much of the first half of the 20th
century and is now dividedinto a capitalist South and communist North; and Japan was under American occupation
following the Second World War, emerging as an economic powerhouse (CIA, 2010). These
unique histories have caused profound institutional differences between Confucian Asian
countries. Whitley (1992)describes the East Asian countries (specifically Japan, South Korea,
Hong Kong, and Taiwan) as having unique business systems that have developed as a result of
their particular national histories. While Western countries share common norms, capital market-
based financial systems, and similar methods for skill development within organizations, the
differences between East Asian countries are profound (Whitley, 1992). The authority relations
and structures of firms within East Asia vary considerably between countries due to the different
pre-industrial histories in each country (Whitley, 1992). Siu and Martin (1992)suggest that Hong
Kong entrepreneurs are successful because of specific institutional difference, but no study has
empirically demonstrated that institutional differences can explain the differing levels of
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entrepreneurial success in Confucian Asia. This study aims to fill this gap, showing how
institutional differences can explain the variance in entrepreneurial success between countries in
this cluster.
This study examined the personal wealth of billionaires across these regions as listed byForbes
annual list of billionaires from 1996 to 2011.Forbes lists the total estimated wealth of
billionaires at an individual level on an annual basis. This individual-level data was used to build
a country-level data set. The billionaires were organized by their country of citizenship as
listed byForbes and then the values were added to give total billionaire wealth per country,
averaged to give the average billionaire wealth per country, and counted to give the number of
billionaires per country. The result was a country-level data set giving the total value, average
value, and total number of billionaires by country for the years 1996 to 2011. The wealth of these
billionaires was considered in relation to a variety of institutional factors over the course of
multiple years. The specific institutional measures are outlined in Table 2 of the appendix. These
measures come from a variety of sources including the World Banks World Development
Indicators (WDI), the Heritage Foundation and Wall Street Journals Index of Economic
Freedom, and the CIA World Factbook. For the cultural measures, Geert Hofstedes (1980)four
measures and Hofstede and Bonds (1988)additional measure of long-term orientation were
measured using corresponding questions from the World Values Survey; this is in keeping with
the methods used by Berry et al. (2010)and Hofstede and Minkov (2010).
The sample for total billionaire had a mean of 42.742, a median of 25.8, a mode of 1.30, and a
standard deviation of 43.49313. The average billionaire wealth sample had a mean of 965534, a
median of 2.79, a mode of 1.3, and a standard deviation of 1.268979. The number of billionaires
had a mean of 13.5 with a median of 7.5, a mode of 4, and a standard deviation of 16.63229. The
descriptive statistics for all dependent and independent variables are included in Table 3 of the
appendix. The sample size varied by variable the maximum number of data points for any
variable was 80 (one data point per year for 16 years in 5 countries). The number of available
data points for each variable is listed in Table 2. Some of the data (demographic figures and
cultural values) were only available on a periodic basis. Missing data between available data
points was interpolated in keeping with the methodology of Berry et al. (2010). Missing values
outside of the range of available data points were excluded from the analyses.
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This study conducted three separate multiple regression analyses for each hypothesis using the
dependent variables of the number of billionaires per country, the total value of these billionaires,
and the average wealth of billionaires by country. The independent variables that were used for
each hypothesis are the institutional measures outlined in Table 2. This was done to ascertain
whether or not these institutional variables are, in fact, related to entrepreneurial success as
proposed in the hypotheses.
To test H1, this thesis used the following model:
ES =B0 +B1 * ANI +B2 * Inf +B3 * IGDP +B4 * IUSD +B5 * EGDP +B6 * EUSD + ;
where ES is entrepreneurial success, ANI is adjusted net income, Inf is inflation, IGDP is imports
as a percentage of GDP, IUSD is imports in US dollars, EGDP is exports as a percentage of GDP,
and EUSD is exports in US dollars.
To test H2, the following model was used:
ES =B0 +B1 * LDC +B2 * MCap +B3 * DC + ;
where ES is entrepreneurial success, LDC is the number of listed domestic companies, MCap is
the market capitalization of listed domestic companies, and DC is the domestic credit available
to the private sector.
To test H3a, this thesis used the following model:
ES =B0 +B1 * TTR +B2 * GNE +B3 * FiscF +B4 * TF +B5 * MF +B6 * IF +B7 * FinF +B8 *
LF +B9 * GS + ;where ES is entrepreneurial success, TTR is total tax rate, FiscF is fiscal freedom, TF is trade
freedom, MF is monetary freedom, IF is investment freedom, FinF is financial freedom, LF is
labour freedom, and GS is government spending.
The thesis tested H3b using the following model:
ES =B0 +B1 * PRP +B2 * PR +B3 * TRP +B4 * PEC +B5 * TEC +B6 * FFC + ;
where ES is entrepreneurial success, PRP is the number of procedures to register a property, PR
is property rights, TRP is time to register property, PEC is procedures to enforce a contract, TEC
is time to enforce a contract, and FFC is freedom from corruption.
H4a was tested using the model:
ES =B0 +B1 * IMS +B2 * NM +B3 * EC + ;
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where ES is entrepreneurial success, IMS is international migrant stock, NM is net migration,
and EC is Ethnic Chinese population.
H4b and H4c were tested using the following model:
ES =B0 +B1 * AUTH +B2 * OBD +B3 * INDP +B4 * INDV +B5 * FAM +B6 * WRK +B7 *
THR +B8 * NP + ;
where ES is entrepreneurial success, AUTH is respect for authority (power distance), OBD is
obedience (power distance), INDP is independence (individualism), INDV is individual
responsibility (individualism), FAM is importance of family life (femininity), WRK is
importance of work life (masculinity), THR is thrift (long-term orientation) and NP is national
pride (short-term orientation).
H5a was tested using the model:
ES =B0 +B1 * BR +B2 * POPT +B3 * POPG +;
where ES is entrepreneurial success, BR is the birth rate, POPT is the total population, and
POPG is population growth.
H5b was tested according to the model:
ES =B0 +B1 * POPD +B2 * UP +B3 * RD + ;
where ES is entrepreneurial success, POPD is population density; UP is urban population, and
RD is road density.
H5c was tested with the model:
ES =B0 +B1 * LE +B2 * POPMid +B3 * POPEld +;
where ES is entrepreneurial success, LE is life expectancy, POPMid is the percentage of the
population aged 15 to 64, and POPEld is the population aged 65 and over.
H6 was tested using the model:
ES =B0 +B1 * RDE +B2 * JOURN +B3 * RSRCH +B4 * PTNT + ;
where ES is entrepreneurial success, RDE is R&D expenditures, JOURN is the number of
scientific and technical journal publications, RSRCH is the number of researchers in R&D per
million people, and PTNT is the number of patents applied for.
H7 was tested using the model:
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ES =B0 +B1 * MOB +B2 * MOBP +B3 * TRSM +B4 * INTR +B5 * INTRP +B6 * TEL +B8 *
TELP + ;
where ES is entrepreneurial success, MOB is the number of mobile phone subscribers, MOBP is
the number of mobile phone subscribers per 100 people, TRSM is international tourism
expenditures, INTR is the number of Internet users, INTRP is the number of Internet users per
100 people, TEL is the number of telephone lines, and TELP is the number of telephone lines per
100 people.
The regression analyses were performed using the ordinary least squares method. Importantly,
the dependent variables (total billionaire wealth, average billionaire wealth, and total number of
billionaires) are continuous, and there is evidence that that are related to the predictor variables
used in the analyses. The relationship between predictors and dependent variables is linear and
the error is normally distributed and uncorrelated with the predictors. There are, however,
problems with multicollinearity. The implications of multicollinearity are discussed in the
limitations section of the conclusion.
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Chapter 4 Results
Economic factors
This study analyzed the correlation between the total worth of billionaires per country, the
average worth of billionaires per country, and the total number of billionaires per country with
the following economic measurements: export of goods and services in US dollars, the export of
goods and services as a percentage of GDP, inflation, national income, imports of goods and
services in US dollars, and imports of goods and services as a percentage of GDP. A summary of
the expected and resultant coefficient directions is found in Table 4 of the appendix. Details of
the regressions are found in Table 5.
A regression analysis was performed using the total worth of billionaires per country as a
dependent variable, and export of goods and services in US dollars, the export of goods andservices as a percentage of GDP, inflation, national income, imports of goods and services in US
dollars, and imports of goods and services as a percentage of GDP as independent variables.
Adjusted net national income, and imports of goods and services (percentage of GDP)
contributed significantly (p < .001) and positively to the model supporting H1. Every dollar
that adjusted net national income increases, the total value of billionaires in a country increases
by $0.02818. For every percentage point that imports of goods and services increases, total
billionaire wealth increases by $818 million.The exports of goods and services (percentage of
GDP) contributed significantly (p < .001) and negatively to the model, contradicting H1. For
every percentage point that exports of goods and services increases, total billionaire value
decreases by $3.498 billion. Overall, the model yielded an adjusted R squared value of .636 was
found to be statistically significant (p < .001). This indicates that 63.6% of variation in total
billionaire wealth can be predicted based on these economic variables.
A multiple regression analysis of average billionaire wealth per country (the dependent variable)
and export of goods and services in US dollars, the export of goods and services as a percentage
of GDP, inflation, national income, imports of goods and services in US dollars, and imports of
goods and services as a percentage of GDP (the independent variables) was performed. Adjusted
net national income contributed significantly (p < .01) and positively to the model with every
dollar increase to net national income predicting a $0.0006568 increase in average billionaire
wealth, supporting H1. Inflation contributed significantly (p < .05) and positively with every
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percentage increase in inflation, increasing average wealth by $114 million, supporting H1.
Imports of goods and services (percentage of GDP) contributed significantly (p < .001) and
positively, supporting H1; every percentage increase equalled an increase of $117 million in
average wealth. Exports of goods and services (percentage of GDP) also contributed
significantly (p < .001) but negatively, with every percentage point of increase in exports
amounting to a decrease of $149 million in average wealth; this contradicts H1. Overall, the
regression analysis yielded a statistically significant (p < .001) model with an adjusted R square
value of 0.552, indicating that 55.2% of the variation in average billionaire wealth can be
predicted with these economic variables.
A regression analysis using the number of billionaires as the dependent variable and export of
goods and services in US dollars, the export of goods and services as a percentage of GDP,
inflation, national income, imports of goods and services in US dollars, and imports of goods and
services as a percentage of GDP as the independent variables was performed. In this model,
adjusted national income contributed positively and significantly (p < .001) with every dollar
increase in adjusted national income equalling an increase of 8.757E-12 billionaires per country,
offering support for H1. Imports of goods and services (percentage of GDP) contributed
positively and significantly (p < .001) with each percentage point increase equalling an increase
of 0.922 billionaires, also supporting H1. Imports of goods and services (current US$)
contributed negatively and significantly (p < .05) with every dollar increase in imports equallinga decrease of 6.182E-11 billionaires, contradicting H1. Exports of goods and services (percent of
GDP) contributed negatively and significantly (p < .001) to the model; for every percentage
point of increase in exports there was a decrease in the number of billionaires by 0.761,
contradicting H1. Exports of goods and services in US dollars also contributed significantly (p