MATTHEW CONLEN, JAMES GLANZ AND …...20 hours ago · To avoid the same scenario, hundreds of...
Transcript of MATTHEW CONLEN, JAMES GLANZ AND …...20 hours ago · To avoid the same scenario, hundreds of...
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The Risk That Students Could Arrive at School With CoronavirusAs schools grapple with how to reopen, new estimates of what might happen if they opened now range from sobering to reassuring.
Article on Page A8.
Estimated number of infected peoplecoming to school in the first week
MATTHEW CONLEN, JAMES GLANZ AND BENEDICT CAREY/THE NEW YORK TIMES
Sources: Lauren Ancel Meyers and Spencer Fox, the University of Texas at Austin; Michael Lachmann, Santa Fe Institute. Note: A zero indicates a low probabilitythat an infected person will show up in the school during that week.
Schools with100 people
Schools with500 people
Schools with1,000 people
1 3 5 10+
LONDON — Before the pan-demic, a traditional state of playprevailed in the enormous econo-mies on the opposite sides of theAtlantic. Europe — full of olderpeople and rife with bickeringover policy — appeared stagnant.The United States, ruled by inno-vation and risk-taking, seemedset to grow faster.
But that alignment has been re-ordered by contrasting ap-proaches to a terrifying global cri-sis. Europe has generally gotten ahandle on the spread of the coro-navirus, enabling many econo-mies to reopen while protectingworkers whose livelihoods havebeen menaced. The United Stateshas become a symbol of feckless-ness and discord in the face of agrave emergency, yielding deep-ening worries about the fate ofjobs and sustenance.
On Friday, Europe released eco-nomic numbers that on their facewere terrible. The 19 nations thatshare the euro currency con-tracted by 12.1 percent from Aprilto June from the previous quarter— the sharpest decline since 1995,when the data was first collected.Spain fell by a staggering 18.5 per-cent, and France, one of the euro-zone’s largest economies, de-clined 13.8 percent. Italy shrankby 12.4 percent.
Europe appeared even worsethan the United States, which theday before recorded the single-worst three-month stretch in itshistory, tumbling by 9.5 percent inthe second quarter.
But beneath the headline fig-ures, Europe flashed promisingsigns of strength.
Germany had a drop in thenumbers of unemployed, surveysfound evidence of growing confi-dence amid an expansion in fac-tory production, and the euro con-tinued to strengthen against thedollar as investment flowed intoEuropean markets — signs of im-proving sentiment.
These contrasting fortunes un-derscored a central truth of a pan-demic that has killed more than670,000 people worldwide: Themost significant cause of the eco-nomic pain is the virus itself. Gov-ernments that have more adeptlycontrolled its spread have com-manded greater confidence fromtheir citizens and investors,putting their economies in betterposition to recuperate from theworst global downturn since theGreat Depression.
“There is no economic recoverywithout a controlled health situa-tion,” said Ángel Talavera, lead eu-rozone economist at Oxford Eco-nomics in London. “It’s not achoice between the two.”
European confidence has been
Europe FlashesSigns of HopeAmid a Plunge
In Marked Contrast toStruggles of the U.S.
This article is by Peter S. Good-man, Liz Alderman and Jack Ewing.
Continued on Page A7
One of the first school districtsin the country to reopen its doorsduring the coronavirus pandemicdid not even make it a day beforebeing forced to grapple with the is-sue facing every system activelytrying to get students into class-rooms: What happens whensomeone comes to school in-fected?
On the first day of classes onThursday, a call from the countyhealth department notifiedGreenfield Central Junior HighSchool in Indiana that a studentwho had walked the halls and satin various classrooms had testedpositive for the coronavirus.
Administrators began an emer-gency protocol, isolating the stu-dent and ordering everyone whohad come into close contact withthe person, including other stu-dents, to quarantine for 14 days. Itis unclear whether the student in-fected anyone else.
“We knew it was a when, not if,”said Harold E. Olin, superintend-ent of the Greenfield-CentralCommunity School Corporation,but were “very shocked it was onDay 1.”
To avoid the same scenario,hundreds of districts across thecountry that were once planningto reopen their classrooms, manyon a part-time basis, have re-versed course in recent weeks asinfections have spiked in manystates.
Those that do reopen are hav-ing to prepare for the near-certainlikelihood of quarantines andabrupt shutdowns when studentsand staff members test positive.
Of the nation’s 25 largest schooldistricts, all but six have an-nounced they will start remotely,
First Day Back,Indiana SchoolFinds Infection
Harbinger of Obstaclesto Reopening in Fall
This article is by Eliza Shapiro,Giulia McDonnell Nieto del Rio andShawn Hubler.
Continued on Page A8
WASHINGTON — Welcome tothe next election battleground:the post office.
President Trump’s yearslongassault on the Postal Service andhis increasingly dire warningsabout the dangers of voting bymail are colliding as the presiden-tial campaign enters its finalmonths. The result has been togenerate new concerns about howhe could influence an election con-ducted during a pandemic inwhich greater-than-ever numbersof voters will submit their ballotsby mail.
In tweet after all-caps tweet,Mr. Trump has warned that allow-ing people to vote by mail will re-sult in a “CORRUPT ELECTION”that will “LEAD TO THE END OFOUR GREAT REPUBLICANPARTY” and become the “SCAN-DAL OF OUR TIMES.” He haspredicted that children will stealballots out of mailboxes. OnThursday, he dangled the idea ofdelaying the election instead.
Members of Congress and stateofficials in both parties rejectedthe president’s suggestion and hisclaim that mail-in ballots wouldresult in widespread fraud. Butthey are warning that a hugewave of ballots could overwhelmmail carriers unless the PostalService, in financial difficulty foryears, receives emergency fund-ing that Republicans are blockingduring negotiations over anotherpandemic relief bill.
At the same time, the mail sys-tem is being undercut in ways setin motion by Mr. Trump. Fueled byanimus for Jeff Bezos, the founderof Amazon, and surrounded by ad-visers who have long called forprivatizing the post office, Mr.Trump and his appointees havebegun taking cost-cutting stepsthat appear to have led to slowerand less reliable delivery.
In recent weeks, at the directionof a Trump campaign megadonorwho was recently named the post-master general, the service hasstopped paying mail carriers andclerks the overtime necessary toensure that deliveries can be com-pleted each day. That and otherchanges have led to reports of let-ters and packages being delayedby as many as several days.
Voting rights groups say it is arecipe for disaster.
“We have an underfunded stateand local election system and a de-
TRUMP’S ATTACKS ON MAIL SERVICESOW VOTING FEARS
CUTBACKS, THEN DELAYS
Using Post Office as Toolto Tarnish Election,
Watchdogs Say
This article is by Michael D.Shear, Hailey Fuchs and Kenneth P.Vogel.
Continued on Page A16
BEIJING — For weeks, as Bei-jing quickly drafted and imposed astringent new national securitylaw for Hong Kong, many in theregion feared the rules would beused to intimidate the opposition,but hoped they would not presagea broad crackdown.
Now those hopes have beendashed. Brushing aside interna-tional criticism and sanctions, theChinese government has used theletter and spirit of the law to crushHong Kong’s pro-democracy op-position with surprising ferocity.
In the last week alone, the au-thorities have ousted a tenuredlaw professor at the University of
Hong Kong who has been a keyfigure in the city’s democracymovement, and arrested fouryoung activists on suspicion thatthey expressed support online forindependence. They have alsobarred a dozen candidates fromrunning for the legislature, usingopposition to the security law asnew ground for disqualification.
On Friday, the authorities post-poned for a year the election itself,which had been scheduled forSept. 6. While they cited the coro-navirus pandemic as justificationfor the move, it underscored Bei-jing’s fears that pro-democracycandidates could triumph.
The breadth and severity of the
China Wields Its Security LawTo Crush Hong Kong Dissent
This article is by Keith Bradsher,Elaine Yu and Steven Lee Myers.
Continued on Page A10
THIS WEEKEND
The N.B.A. returned in its “bubble,”with two close games and statementson social justice issues. PAGE B7
SPORTSSATURDAY B7-9
A Momentous First Night BackManvendra Singh Gohil, a gay rightsadvocate, endured threats and disinher-itance. The Saturday Profile. PAGE A9
INTERNATIONAL A9-12
An Indian Prince’s Journey
Representative Karen Bass and theformer national security adviser SusanRice are said to be among the leadingcontenders for running mate. PAGE A20
NATIONAL A13-17, 20
Biden’s Narrowing Short ListMarc Maron, the comic, actor and pod-caster, reflects on his relationship withLynn Shelton, the writer and directorwho died unexpectedly in May: “I gother and she clearly got me.” PAGE C1
ARTS C1-7
Candor, Even in His Grief
President Trump brushes off U.S. intel-ligence, and resurrects some mantrasfrom the 2016 campaign. PAGE A11
On Russia, He’s ConsistentBaseball’s outbreak spread, as the St.Louis Cardinals postponed Friday’sgame after positive tests. PAGE B8
A New Virus Disruption
There are 1,500 moose on remote IsleRoyale, Mich. Our photographer took asix-hour ferry ride to find them. PAGE A13
On a Mission for Moose
In this gay haven on Cape Cod knownfor its nightlife, the crowds are smallerthis summer. And the nightclubs areclosed. But by the pool, the show goeson (that splash may be a wig). PAGE C1
Provincetown, With Masks
Andrew M. Cuomo PAGE A19
EDITORIAL, OP-ED A18-19Beijing is hoping that construction willaid in a recovery as much of the econ-omy, including exports, lags. PAGE B1
BUSINESS B1-6
China’s Infrastructure Cure
OAKLAND, Calif. — One by one,the celebrity Twitter accountsposted the same strange mes-sage: Send Bitcoin and theywould send back double yourmoney. Elon Musk. Bill Gates.Kanye West. Joseph R. Biden Jr.Former President Barack Obama.They, and dozens of others, werebeing hacked, and Twitter ap-peared powerless to stop it.
While some initially thought thehack was the work of profession-als, it turns out the “mastermind”of one of the most high-profilehacks in recent years was a 17-year-old recent high school gradu-ate from Florida, the authoritiessaid on Friday.
Graham Ivan Clark was ar-rested in his Tampa apartment,where he lived by himself, earlyFriday, state officials said. Hefaces 30 felony charges in thehack, including fraud, and is beingcharged as an adult.
Two other people, Mason JohnSheppard, 19, of the United King-dom, and Nima Fazeli, 22, of Or-lando, Fla., were accused of help-ing Mr. Clark during the takeover.Prosecutors said the two ap-peared to have aided the centralfigure in the attack, who went bythe name Kirk. Documents re-leased on Friday do not providethe real identity of Kirk, but theysuggest that it was Mr. Clark.
Mr. Clark was skilled enough togo unnoticed inside Twitter’s net-work, said Andrew Warren, the
Teen ChargedWith LeadingTwitter Breach
By KATE CONGERand NATHANIEL POPPER
Continued on Page A15
In Arizona’s most populated re-gion, the coronavirus is so ubiqui-tous that contact tracers havebeen unable to reach a fraction ofthose infected.
In Austin, Texas, the story ismuch the same. Just as it is inNorth Carolina, where the state’shealth secretary recently toldstate lawmakers that its trackingprogram was hiring outside work-ers to keep up with a steady rise incases, as a number of other stateshave done.
Cities in Florida, another statewhere Covid-19 cases are surging,have largely given up on trackingcases. Things are equally dismalin California. And in New YorkCity’s tracing program, workerscomplained of crippling communi-
cation and training problems.Contact tracing, a cornerstone
of the public health arsenal totamp down the coronavirusacross the world, has largelyfailed in the United States; the vi-rus’s pervasiveness and majorlags in testing have rendered thesystem almost pointless. In someregions, large swaths of the popu-lation have refused to participateor cannot even be located, furtherhampering health care workers.
“We are not doing it to the levelor extent that it should be done,”said Steve Adler, the mayor ofAustin, echoing the view of many
state and city leaders. “There arethree main reasons. One is thesheer number of people, the sec-ond is the delay in getting test re-sults back, the third is the widecommunity spread of the disease.”
The goal of contact tracing forCovid-19 is to reach people whohave spent more than 15 minuteswithin six feet of an infected per-son and ask them to quarantine athome voluntarily for two weekseven if they test negative, moni-toring themselves for symptomsduring that time. But few placeshave reported systemic success.And from the very beginning ofthe U.S. epidemic, states and citieshave struggled to detect the prev-alence of the virus because ofspotty and sometimes rationed di-agnostic testing and long delays ingetting results.
Contact Tracing Has Largely Failed in the U.S.By JENNIFER STEINHAUER
and ABBY GOODNOUGHTesting Shortfalls Leave
System in Shambles
Continued on Page A5
Late Edition
VOL. CLXIX . . . . No. 58,772 © 2020 The New York Times Company NEW YORK, SATURDAY, AUGUST 1, 2020
Today, mostly sunny, warmer, high86. Tonight, increasing clouds, low74. Tomorrow, variable clouds, a fewshowers, thunderstorms, high 85.Weather map appears on Page C8.
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