Market opportunities for waste derived fuels and process heat
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Transcript of Market opportunities for waste derived fuels and process heat
18th May 2012
SRF: Fuelling the Future
Kathryn WarrenSenior ConsultantWaste Management & Resource EfficiencyAEA
Agenda – all in 20 minutes!
+ A personal welcome
+ Setting the scene
+ Aims of our research
+ Methodology applied
+ Outcomes
+ What next?
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A personal welcome
+ Senior Consultant @ AEA in Waste Management and Resource Efficiency
+ Focus on
- waste derived fuel- EfW- waste procurement
+ Cardiff based
- UK/US remit
+ Delivering EfW and organics procurement support for a number of private waste companies
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www.aeat.co.uk
Setting the SceneSetting the Scene
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Current Situation
+ Increasing landfill tax
+ Growth in MBT
+ Rise in SRF production
+ Zero waste policies
+ Financial melt down7
The Energy Situation
+ Commitment to CO2 Reduction
+ Commitment to Renewable Energy
+ Ageing Nuclear Capacity
+ High gas and oil prices
+ Dwindling home production of oil and gas
+ Rising population
+ Equates to a potential Energy Crisis
- Extracting energy from waste seen to be a positive contribution!
- EfW, Biogas, Solid Recovered Fuels
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Fuel inputs
How much waste derived fuel is available?
What are the current markets for for WDF in the UK
How much energy could we recover from the UK waste stream
What would be the economics of using more WDF?
What are the opportunities for Fossil Fuel Displacement?
Setting the scene
Energy outputs
How much process heat do we use in England?
How does that compare with fuel available?
How could industry use WDFs?
How would this work financially?
Our approach
Review of Waste Derived Fuels
+ Top down approach:- Overall arisings- Potential WDF within overall arisings- WDF included RDF/SRF, Waste wood, forestry residues and agricultural
residues
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UK Waste arisings
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Waste type Total (million tonnes)
MSW 31.5
C&I 67.3
C&D 101.0
Dry agricultural residues 13.3
Forestry residues 7.8
TOTAL 220.7
Potential WDF
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MaterialTonnes
available (Mt)
Energy potential (GJ)
RDF/SRF from MSW and C&I
(2015)11,482,884 125,880,748
Waste Wood (2009) 2,200,000 33,000,000
Forestry Residues (2009) 1,987,000 18,677,800
Agricultural Residues (2009) 3,012,000 54,216,000
TOTAL 18,681,884 231,774,548
Current use of WDF - SRF
+ Estimated 800,000 already produced
+ A further 2.5 million tonnes from future MBT/MHT plants
+ Other than EfW, other predominant user is cement kilns
+ Finite capacity of cement kilns
+ Large quantities exported
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Current use of WDF - wood
+ Markets for virgin untreated wood have increased, due to expansion of biomass heating
+ Markets for waste wood not developed in the same way
+ Examples of WID compliant biomass plants, but most still focussed on clean wood and biomass
+ Increasing exports of waste wood
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Opportunities for fossil fuel displacement
+ Depends very much on energy conversion technology
+ Technologies are limited in the range of fuel types they can accept
+ Fuel quality, properties and composition need to be understood
+ Increasingly fuels are produced to a specification, as opposed to mass burn
+ Unlikely that most raw materials would be suitable for direct use in an energy recovery process
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UK Heat DemandUK Heat Demand
Overall Heat Demand
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Sector GW Heat load
Industrial 13.7
Domestic 147.8
Commercial Offices 4.6
Government buildings 3.3
Education 3.3
Health 1.3
Others 20.7
Total (all Sectors) 194.7
WDF and Heat mapping
+ Mapped sites producing waste using GIS
+ Calculated energy resource at each site, using assumed CV of waste type
+ Identified large single point heat loads
+ Sized potential EfW plants based on energy available and heat demand
+ Selection of sites analysed further for feasibility and costs
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Heat mapping
Large Heat Users
+ 94% of waste sites mapped had point heat loads within 20 mile radius
+ Suitability refined to include only:- Large and medium industrial sites- Established district heating schemes
+ Total heat load of these sites estimated at 6.75 GWth
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Heat demand by sector
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Matching suitable technology
Technology Type
Range of tonnage of waste used
(tonnes/year)
Maturity of Technology
Size range of Technology
(MW)
Heat only plant (Combustion)
500 – 100,000Mature
technology0.25 – 70
MWth
CHP (standard steam cycle)
15,000 tonnes upwards
Mature technology
1 MWe upwards
Gasification and pyrolysis (Heat or
CHP)600 -100,000
Development & Commercialisati
on
1 MWe upwards
Reference sites chosen
Scale Sector PlantLocatio
n
Waste Feedstock Available within 20
mile radius.
Approximate plant size
(MW)
SmallFood
Manufacturing
Heat only Y&H 1600 tonnes/yr 0.5 MWth
Large Engineering Heat only SE39,000
tonnes/yr11.5 MWth
Large Engineering CHP SE39,000
tonnes/yr6.5 MWth / 2.5
MWe
Large ChemicalsCHP
conversion
NW50,000
tonnes/yr7.5 MWth / 3.5
MWe
Technical analysis results
Small Heat Only
Large Heat Only
Large CHP
Large CHP
Conversion
Feedstock throughputt/yr
1,600 39,000 39,000 50,000
Feedstock consumptionkg/hr
215 5,250 5,250 6,160
Equivalent WDF thermal inputMWhth
4,250 104,000 104,000 132,000
Annual thermal output MWhth
3,400 83,200 46,800 59,400
Annual electrical outputMWhe
0 0 18,700 23,800
Natural gas savingsNm3/yr
380,300 9,286,400 5,223,600 9,953,000
Imported electricity savingsMWhe
0 0 18,700 -4,200
Financial analysis results
£/year Small Heat Only
Large Heat Only Large CHP Large CHP
ConversionTotal energy costs
savings £181,000 £4,420,000
£4,980,000
£4,930,000
Total income from incentives £46,900 £416,000 £318,000 £278,000
Additional O&M £28,400 £698,000 £965,000 £940,000
Total financial benefit £199,500 £4,138,000
£4,333,000 £4,268,000
Simple payback years 6.4 5.7 7.2 6.0
Simple total financial benefit
(20 years duration)
£2,710,000
£59,210,000
£55,260,00
0
£59,900,000
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What are the barriers?What are the barriers?
Project Development Barriers 1
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Barrier ImpactWaste Incineration Directive
• Increased combustion requirements – i.e higher temperatures, correct residence times• Requirement for flue gas treatment • Requirement for flue gas monitoring equipment
Planning Permission
• Schemes will require planning permission• Higher requirement for an Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA)• Likelihood of public opposition
Permitting Requirements
• A WID scheme will either be a Part A(1) scheme regulated by the Environment Agency or a Part A(2) regulated by the Local Authority• As the sites are importing waste – they will need to be compliant with waste permitting elements • Smaller sites may not currently require an environmental permit
Technology Availability
• There is a limited amount of technology available – particularly at smaller scales.• Technically possible to have smaller plant, but at a cost
Project Development Barriers 2
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Barrier Impact
Technology Cost
• The cost of the equipment particularly the flue gas treatment add significant cost (flue gas treatment c. £250,000 for smaller schemes).• Cost of this equipment is not linear – therefore making small schemes expensive.
Operating Costs
• Cost associated with ongoing permitting/licensing• Ash disposal costs.
Site suitability • The site needs to have space to accept solid fuel, store in the appropriate manner (controlling odour etc).• On-site solutions only likely to be suitable for only larger industrial sites
Feed stock supply risk
• EfW schemes would have a life span of 20 – 25 years - there needs to be reassurance that the feedstock will be available over this period.
Tackling perception of EfW
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So, what next?So, what next?
What actions are needed?
+ More work with regulators to progress end of waste status for wider range of waste derived fuels?
+ Work with traditional fossil fuel users to explore opportunities for using waste derived fuels
+ Support to waste processors to understand fuel requirements?
+ Wider implementation of fuel standards?
+ WID – Why so expensive?
+ Learning from Europe and their use of WDFs?
+ Open debate and discussion ……
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Any questions?
I’m here all day ….Kathryn Warren
Senior Consultant
Waste Management & Resource Efficiency
07837 293929
www.aeat.co.uk