Market Indicators - General Overview - November 2014
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Transcript of Market Indicators - General Overview - November 2014
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 1
Market Snapshot – Nov 2014 vs. Nov 2013
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 2
Market Snapshot – Nov 2014 vs. Oct 2014
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 33
Single Family Business Outlook – Home CountiesNov ’13 vs. Nov ’14
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 44
Inventory, Closed Sales, New Listings - Home CountiesJan ’03 – Nov ’14
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 55
Single Family + Condo/Townhouse Inventory - Home CountiesJan ’03 – Nov ’14
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 66
Single Family + Condo/Townhouse Inventory - Home CountiesJan ’05 – Nov ’14
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 77
Single Family Inventory - Home CountiesJan ’04 – Nov ’14
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 88
Single Family Inventory - Home CountiesNov (2004 – 2014)
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 99
Single Family Inventory - Home CountiesNov (2004 – 2014)
Monterey
County
San Benito
County
San Mateo
County
Santa Clara
County
Santa Cruz
County
Nov '04 932 -3.2% 132 12.1% 648 -34.0% 1799 -30.7% 540 -14.6%
Nov '05 1692 -46.7% 233 -36.5% 1076 -60.2% 2747 -54.6% 828 -44.3%
Nov '06 2134 -57.7% 388 -61.9% 1192 -64.1% 3099 -59.8% 996 -53.7%
Nov '07 2619 -65.6% 501 -70.5% 1617 -73.5% 4775 -73.9% 1086 -57.6%
Nov '08 2612 -65.5% 428 -65.4% 1650 -74.1% 5290 -76.4% 1067 -56.8%
Nov '09 1416 -36.3% 220 -32.7% 1285 -66.7% 2973 -58.1% 761 -39.4%
Nov '10 1703 -47.0% 315 -53.0% 1679 -74.5% 4059 -69.3% 875 -47.3%
Nov '11 1519 -40.6% 255 -42.0% 1457 -70.6% 3230 -61.4% 817 -43.6%
Nov '12 1028 -12.3% 172 -14.0% 807 -47.0% 1608 -22.5% 606 -23.9%
Nov '13 850 6.1% 151 -2.0% 656 -34.8% 1403 -11.1% 564 -18.3%
Nov '14 902 148 428 1247 461
Home Counties - Single Family Inventory (2014 vs. Prior Years)
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 1010
Single Family Months of Inventory – San Mateo, Santa Clara, Santa Cruz
Mar ’03 – Nov ’14 (Rolling Three Month Average)
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 1111
Single Family Months of Inventory – Monterey and San Benito Counties
Mar ’03 – Nov ’14 (Rolling Three Month Average)
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 1212
Single Family + Condo/Townhouse Closed Sales – Home CountiesJan ’03 – Nov ’14
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 1313
Single Family + Condo/Townhouse Closed Sales - Home CountiesJan ’05 – Nov ’14
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Jan 2078 1638 1539 877 1390 1529 1574 1552 1460 1330
Feb 2048 1762 1658 1063 1497 1537 1648 1785 1597 1371
Mar 3210 2775 2248 1388 1916 2197 2399 2520 2289 1882
Apr 3407 2595 2101 1664 2158 2245 2329 2517 2468 2402
May 3376 2706 2270 1953 2355 2805 2369 2885 2780 2484
Jun 3836 2847 2353 2123 2808 2592 2633 2639 2543 2456
Jul 3396 2446 2136 2230 2788 2299 2238 2457 2643 1933
Aug 3538 2668 1962 2244 2421 2196 2446 2525 2559 2255
Sep 3312 2186 1223 2127 2503 2037 2144 2194 2258 2270
Oct 2881 2219 1426 2114 2577 1994 2008 2456 2404 2312
Nov 2667 2182 1328 1594 2138 1930 2038 2273 1899 1787
Dec 2408 2066 1201 1810 2325 2234 2201 2230 1859 0
Nov '05 2667
Nov '06 2182
Nov '07 1328
Nov '08 1594
Nov '09 2138
Nov '10 1930
Nov '11 2038
Nov '12 2273
Nov '13 1899
Nov '14 1787
Home Counties - Single Family + Condo/Townhouse Closed Sales
-7.4%
-12.3%
-21.4%
-5.9%
-33.0%
-18.1%
34.6%
12.1%
-16.4%
Home Counties
Closed Sales
Variance to
prior Years
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
Nov'05
Nov'06
Nov'07
Nov'08
Nov'09
Nov'10
Nov'11
Nov'12
Nov'13
Nov'14
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 1414
Single Family Closed Sales – Home CountiesJan ’04 – Nov ’14
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 1515
Single Family Closed Sales – Home CountiesNov (2004 – 2014)
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 1616
Single Family Closed Sales – Home CountiesNov (2004 – 2014)
Monterey
County
San Benito
County
San Mateo
County
Santa Clara
County
Santa Cruz
County
Nov '04 269 -36.8% 88 -65.9% 543 -39.0% 1284 -46.7% 229 -48.5%
Nov '05 227 -25.1% 59 -49.2% 470 -29.6% 1090 -37.2% 157 -24.8%
Nov '06 167 1.8% 26 15.4% 393 -15.8% 870 -21.3% 171 -31.0%
Nov '07 96 77.1% 20 50.0% 290 14.1% 511 34.1% 84 40.5%
Nov '08 268 -36.6% 53 -43.4% 266 24.4% 618 10.8% 94 25.5%
Nov '09 273 -37.7% 63 -52.4% 323 2.5% 899 -23.8% 141 -16.3%
Nov '10 230 -26.1% 41 -26.8% 328 0.9% 820 -16.5% 118 0.0%
Nov '11 273 -37.7% 49 -38.8% 339 -2.4% 767 -10.7% 130 -9.2%
Nov '12 238 -28.6% 45 -33.3% 398 -16.8% 907 -24.5% 168 -29.8%
Nov '13 171 -0.6% 34 -11.8% 323 2.5% 724 -5.4% 127 -7.1%
Nov '14 170 30 331 685 118
Home Counties - Single Family Sales (2014 vs. Prior Years)
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 1717
Single Family + Condo/Townhouse New Listings - Home CountiesJan ’03 – Nov ’14
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 1818
Single Family + Condo/Townhouse New Listings - Home CountiesJan ’05 – Nov ’14
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Jan 3291 4061 3519 3947 3907 3334 3380 2890 2170 2164
Feb 3561 4080 3508 4353 3867 3711 3373 3011 2534 2496
Mar 4912 5140 4828 4785 4397 4649 3953 3313 3011 3081
Apr 5359 4787 4745 5185 3909 4613 3916 3151 3499 3380
May 5224 6019 5279 4934 3636 4044 3986 3551 3592 3520
Jun 5392 6152 4894 4840 3820 4423 3784 3132 3358 3209
Jul 5210 5523 4747 4530 3915 4089 3429 3096 3529 2420
Aug 5450 5356 4720 4344 3612 3867 3342 2941 3163 2850
Sep 5544 4810 4143 4632 3608 3726 3095 2619 3016 2924
Oct 5106 3763 4202 4468 3480 3267 2988 2732 2650 2497
Nov 3648 2646 3034 3098 2700 2657 2355 1923 1774 1531
Dec 1929 1666 2223 2656 2219 2088 1724 1237 1113 0
Nov '05 3648
Nov '06 2646
Nov '07 3034
Nov '08 3098
Nov '09 2700
Nov '10 2657
Nov '11 2355
Nov '12 1923
Nov '13 1774
Nov '14 1531
Home Counties - Single Family + Condo/Townhouse New Listings
-43.3%
-42.4%
Variance to
prior Years
Home Counties
New Listings
-58.0%
-35.0%
-20.4%
-13.7%
-42.1%
-49.5%
-50.6%
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
Nov'05
Nov'06
Nov'07
Nov'08
Nov'09
Nov'10
Nov'11
Nov'12
Nov'13
Nov'14
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 1919
Single Family New Listings - Home CountiesJan ’04 – Nov ’14
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 2020
Single Family New Listings - Home CountiesNov (2004 – 2014)
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 2121
Single Family New Listings - Home CountiesNov (2004 – 2014)
Monterey
County
San Benito
County
San Mateo
County
Santa Clara
County
Santa Cruz
County
Nov '04 303 -34.7% 55 -32.7% 373 -34.9% 1141 -48.4% 205 -45.4%
Nov '05 445 -55.5% 96 -61.5% 520 -53.3% 1474 -60.0% 241 -53.5%
Nov '06 381 -48.0% 74 -50.0% 383 -36.6% 994 -40.7% 172 -34.9%
Nov '07 401 -50.6% 88 -58.0% 465 -47.7% 1313 -55.1% 160 -30.0%
Nov '08 523 -62.1% 80 -53.8% 400 -39.3% 1262 -53.3% 173 -35.3%
Nov '09 384 -48.4% 77 -51.9% 376 -35.4% 1066 -44.7% 173 -35.3%
Nov '10 358 -44.7% 68 -45.6% 395 -38.5% 1045 -43.6% 152 -26.3%
Nov '11 287 -31.0% 52 -28.8% 336 -27.7% 918 -35.8% 194 -42.3%
Nov '12 236 -16.1% 47 -21.3% 337 -27.9% 761 -22.6% 139 -19.4%
Nov '13 188 5.3% 51 -27.5% 278 -12.6% 690 -14.6% 119 -5.9%
Nov '14 198 37 243 589 112
Home Counties - Single Family New Listings (2014 vs. Prior Years)
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 2222
Single Family + Condo/Townhouse Median Price - Home CountiesJan ’05 – Nov ’14
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Jan $625,000 $695,000 $699,000 $660,000 $380,000 $450,000 $435,500 $415,000 $540,000 $640,000
Feb $651,000 $699,950 $705,000 $680,000 $381,000 $465,400 $420,000 $438,875 $555,000 $668,000
Mar $669,000 $707,000 $740,000 $677,750 $369,000 $499,900 $460,000 $475,000 $615,000 $729,000
Apr $685,000 $704,865 $775,000 $655,000 $404,000 $500,000 $480,000 $502,500 $676,250 $735,000
May $685,000 $725,000 $775,000 $650,000 $415,000 $522,500 $477,750 $527,500 $688,945 $748,500
Jun $708,000 $740,000 $768,500 $639,000 $460,000 $525,500 $515,000 $559,000 $670,000 $765,000
Jul $700,000 $725,000 $759,975 $595,000 $487,750 $535,000 $484,500 $565,000 $692,000 $718,000
Aug $710,000 $720,000 $761,000 $545,445 $476,000 $510,500 $490,000 $560,000 $670,000 $738,000
Sep $695,000 $715,000 $750,000 $490,000 $469,825 $500,000 $465,000 $560,000 $670,000 $730,000
Oct $699,000 $711,500 $758,000 $477,200 $487,944 $500,000 $455,000 $567,000 $668,150 $750,000
Nov $700,000 $709,000 $750,000 $435,000 $500,000 $492,000 $437,500 $565,000 $659,250 $745,000
Dec $690,500 $695,000 $702,900 $410,000 $480,000 $463,750 $440,000 $563,000 $655,000 $0
Nov '05 $700,000
Nov '06 $709,000
Nov '07 $750,000
Nov '08 $435,000
Nov '09 $500,000
Nov '10 $492,000
Nov '11 $437,500
Nov '12 $565,000
Nov '13 $659,250
Nov '14 $745,000
Home Counties - Single Family + Condo/Townhouse Median Price
Home Counties
Median Price
Variance to
prior Years
6.4%
5.1%
31.9%
13.0%
-0.7%
71.3%
49.0%
51.4%
70.3%
$0
$200,000
$400,000
$600,000
$800,000
$1,000,000
Nov'05
Nov'06
Nov'07
Nov'08
Nov'09
Nov'10
Nov'11
Nov'12
Nov'13
Nov'14
$750,000 $745,000
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 2323
Single Family Median Prices - Home CountiesJan ’04 – Nov ’14
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 2424
Single Family Median Prices - Home CountiesNov (2004 – 2014)
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 2525
Single Family Median Prices - Home CountiesNov (2004 – 2014)
Monterey
County
San Benito
County
San Mateo
County
Santa Clara
County
Santa Cruz
County
Nov '04 $598,000 -21.8% $535,000 -19.4% $795,000 38.4% $649,000 31.4% $630,000 8.8%
Nov '05 $685,000 -31.8% $648,500 -33.5% $854,888 28.7% $745,000 14.4% $789,500 -13.2%
Nov '06 $660,000 -29.2% $570,000 -24.4% $881,500 24.8% $775,000 10.0% $719,000 -4.7%
Nov '07 $590,000 -20.8% $417,000 3.4% $915,000 20.2% $850,000 0.3% $740,000 -7.4%
Nov '08 $277,500 68.5% $300,000 43.7% $666,000 65.2% $515,000 65.5% $445,000 54.0%
Nov '09 $247,000 89.3% $295,000 46.1% $725,000 51.7% $605,000 40.9% $550,000 24.6%
Nov '10 $245,000 90.8% $285,000 51.2% $723,000 52.1% $590,000 44.5% $544,000 26.0%
Nov '11 $270,000 73.1% $245,000 75.9% $736,500 49.4% $565,000 50.9% $415,250 65.0%
Nov '12 $323,350 44.6% $365,000 18.1% $770,000 42.9% $679,500 25.5% $512,500 33.7%
Nov '13 $422,000 10.8% $379,000 13.7% $928,500 18.5% $795,000 7.2% $659,500 3.9%
Nov '14 $467,500 $431,000 $1,100,000 $852,500 $685,250
Home Counties - Single Family Median Price (2014 vs. Prior Years)
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 2626
Single Family Average Price - Home CountiesJan ’04 – Nov ’14
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 2727
Single Family Average Price - Home CountiesNov (2004 – 2014)
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 2828
Single Family Average Price - Home CountiesNov (2004 – 2014)
Monterey
County
San Benito
County
San Mateo
County
Santa Clara
County
Santa Cruz
County
Nov '04 $810,019 -7.9% $574,666 -18.3% $1,085,991 31.4% $783,776 41.5% $700,341 11.9%
Nov '05 $998,677 -25.3% $696,686 -32.6% $1,077,936 32.3% $886,405 25.1% $876,033 -10.6%
Nov '06 $962,331 -22.4% $629,092 -25.4% $1,168,366 22.1% $938,590 18.1% $787,468 -0.5%
Nov '07 $998,271 -25.2% $532,150 -11.8% $1,213,364 17.6% $1,047,683 5.8% $804,958 -2.7%
Nov '08 $388,566 92.1% $339,477 38.2% $851,747 67.5% $637,593 73.9% $597,787 31.1%
Nov '09 $403,343 85.0% $298,097 57.4% $858,851 66.1% $748,741 48.1% $620,405 26.3%
Nov '10 $377,700 97.6% $328,837 42.7% $886,350 61.0% $730,691 51.8% $572,741 36.8%
Nov '11 $381,648 95.5% $293,178 60.1% $933,597 52.8% $762,007 45.5% $459,221 70.6%
Nov '12 $572,348 30.4% $396,031 18.5% $1,016,384 40.4% $883,664 25.5% $594,835 31.7%
Nov '13 $677,149 10.2% $441,979 6.2% $1,125,944 26.7% $1,064,302 4.2% $716,872 9.3%
Nov '14 $746,299 $469,250 $1,426,624 $1,108,848 $783,407
Home Counties - Single Family Average Price (2014 vs. Prior Years)
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 2929
Condo/Townhouse Business Outlook – Home CountiesNov ’13 vs. Nov ’14
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 3030
Condo/Townhouse Months of Inventory – San Mateo, Santa Clara, Santa Cruz
Mar ’03 – Nov ’14 (Rolling Three Month Average)
MLSListings Inc Confidential Copyright 2014 3131
Condo/Townhouse Months of Inventory – Monterey and San Benito Counties
Mar ’03 – Nov ’14 (Rolling Three Month Average)