Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich. Global Energy Consumption Global Energy Consumption...

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Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich

Transcript of Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich. Global Energy Consumption Global Energy Consumption...

Page 1: Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich. Global Energy Consumption Global Energy Consumption 2005-2010 (+10.9% overall increase) 400 350 50 0 300.

Market Data

ASHRAE May, 7 2009Keith Stippich

Page 2: Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich. Global Energy Consumption Global Energy Consumption 2005-2010 (+10.9% overall increase) 400 350 50 0 300.

Global Energy ConsumptionGlobal Energy Consumption 2005-2010(+10.9% overall increase)

400

350

50

0

300

250

200

150

100

US and Canada Western Russia Other Europe Midddle East Africa Latin America China IndiaJapan/Korea Other Total

Europe Asia/Australia

2005 2010

Source: US Department of Energy – Buildings Data Energy Handbook

Page 3: Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich. Global Energy Consumption Global Energy Consumption 2005-2010 (+10.9% overall increase) 400 350 50 0 300.

US Energy Consumption

US Building Energy Consumption Cost 2010Total US Energy Consumption 2010 Direct Site Only (-50% of Total)

(-20% of GDP) Total: $415B

Transportation28%

Industry32%

Residential Buildings22%

Commercial Buildings18%

Non-Identifiable$1 02. 1B

25%

Other Identifiable$1 35.5B

33%

HVAC Identifiable$177.4B

42%

Source: US Department of Energy – Buildings Data Energy Handbook

Page 4: Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich. Global Energy Consumption Global Energy Consumption 2005-2010 (+10.9% overall increase) 400 350 50 0 300.

Construction Data

US-Non Residential Construction 2006-10Value put-in-place - Annualized Monthly Census data

J a n A p r J u l O c t J a n A p r J u l O c t J a n A p r J u l O c t J a n A p r J u l O c t J a n USD(M) YOY Growth

25

%

20

%

15

%

10

% 5

%

0

%

-

5% -

10%

-

15%

-

20%

-

25%

50045040035030025020015010050

0

Source: US Census Bureau

Page 5: Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich. Global Energy Consumption Global Energy Consumption 2005-2010 (+10.9% overall increase) 400 350 50 0 300.

US Construction Stimulus?

-10%

-20%

-30%

-40%

20%

30%

10%

Source: US Census Bureau

0% Jan Apr Ju l Oct Jan Apr Ju l Oct Jan Apr Ju l Oct Jan Apr Ju l Oct Jan

Public vs Private Annualized Commercial ConstructionGrowth 2006-10 (Put-in-Place)

Public: 38% of Total (Dec2009) Private: 61% of Total (Dec2009)

Page 6: Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich. Global Energy Consumption Global Energy Consumption 2005-2010 (+10.9% overall increase) 400 350 50 0 300.

Stimulus Infrastructure Spending

Only $20B paid

out in first year,

which includes

non building

projects

(highways, trains,

levees)

Page 7: Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich. Global Energy Consumption Global Energy Consumption 2005-2010 (+10.9% overall increase) 400 350 50 0 300.

US Non-Residential Construction Awards

US Non-Residential Contruction Awards - Total

40%

2004 2005 2006 20072008 2009

2010 2011 20122013

30

%

20

%

10

%

0%

-10%

-20%

-

30

%

-

40

%

Values Surface

2009/2010 forecasts are down ~20% from Feb 2009, but stable since Nov 2009

Sour e: McGr w-Hill Feb 0

Source: McGraw-Hill, Feb 2010

-50%

Page 8: Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich. Global Energy Consumption Global Energy Consumption 2005-2010 (+10.9% overall increase) 400 350 50 0 300.

US Non-Residential Construction AwardsUS Non Residential Construction Awards 2008, 2009, 2010

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

-

Commercial Offices Lodging Other Schools Healthcare Recreation GovernmentReligious Dormitories Manufacturing Warehousing

Total award growth rates: 1.5% (2008), -30.4% (2009), -1.2% (2010)Source: McGraw-Hill, Feb 10

Page 9: Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich. Global Energy Consumption Global Energy Consumption 2005-2010 (+10.9% overall increase) 400 350 50 0 300.

Construction DataForecast vs. Completions

Institutional ConstructionAwards vs Completed Correlation

15%

10%

5%

0

%2 0 0 4 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 6 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9 2 0 1 0 2 0 11 2 0 1 2 2 0 1 3

-5%

-10%

Completed Construction (CB) Two Year Award Avg (Current/Prior)

Sources: US Census Bureau, McGraw-Hill

Page 10: Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich. Global Energy Consumption Global Energy Consumption 2005-2010 (+10.9% overall increase) 400 350 50 0 300.

Construction DataForecast vs. Completions

Commercial ConstructionAwards vs Completed Correlation

2 0 0 4 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 6 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9 2 0 1 0 2 0 11 2 0 1 2 2 0 1 3

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%

-10%

-20%

-30%

-40%

Completed Construction (CB) Two Year Award Avg (Current/Prior)

Sources: US Census Bureau, McGraw-Hill

Page 11: Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich. Global Energy Consumption Global Energy Consumption 2005-2010 (+10.9% overall increase) 400 350 50 0 300.

US Non-Residential Construction

1985-2006

100%

80% Improvements/Repair

60%

40%

New Construction

20%

0%1985 1990 1995 2000 2006

Source: DOE - Building Energy Data Book, October 2009

Page 12: Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich. Global Energy Consumption Global Energy Consumption 2005-2010 (+10.9% overall increase) 400 350 50 0 300.

Thank You

Page 13: Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich. Global Energy Consumption Global Energy Consumption 2005-2010 (+10.9% overall increase) 400 350 50 0 300.

Major Change is in the Air

36841

LightingHospital

Library

Manufacturing

Museum

Office

Retail

School

ASHRAE 90.1 (area) watts per sq. ft. from 1989 thru 2004/2007

1989 1999 2001 2004

Wat

ts p

er s

q. ft

.

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

1989 1999 2001 2004Hospital 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.2Library 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.3

Manufacturing 2.5 2.2 2.2 1.3Museum 1.9 1.6 1.6 1.1

Office 1.8 1.3 1.3 1.0Retail 3.3 1.9 1.9 1.5

School 1.9 1.5 1.5 1.2

Page 14: Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich. Global Energy Consumption Global Energy Consumption 2005-2010 (+10.9% overall increase) 400 350 50 0 300.

Modeling Existing

Buildings

Page 15: Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich. Global Energy Consumption Global Energy Consumption 2005-2010 (+10.9% overall increase) 400 350 50 0 300.
Page 16: Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich. Global Energy Consumption Global Energy Consumption 2005-2010 (+10.9% overall increase) 400 350 50 0 300.

Energy Pro Design and DOE -2 Output Report page 3 &4

The VRF Central Equipment Module(s) are selected from the

Energy Pro data base and adjusted to meet loads from the zones.

The zones are also selected from the data base to meet the zone heating &

cooling loads

Page 17: Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich. Global Energy Consumption Global Energy Consumption 2005-2010 (+10.9% overall increase) 400 350 50 0 300.

Energy Pro Design and DOE -2 Output Report page 5 & DOE-2 energy reports

ECON-1 Energy use and cost summary

Page 18: Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich. Global Energy Consumption Global Energy Consumption 2005-2010 (+10.9% overall increase) 400 350 50 0 300.

Energy Pro Design and DOE -2 Output Report pages 6 thru 8

HVAC System Heating & Cooling load summary

Page 19: Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich. Global Energy Consumption Global Energy Consumption 2005-2010 (+10.9% overall increase) 400 350 50 0 300.

Energy Pro Design and DOE -2 Output Report page DOE-2 Performance Reports

DOE-2 VRF System Performance

The VRF Central Equipment Module(s) are selected from the

Energy Pro data base and adjusted to meet loads from the zones.

The auxiliary heat shown here and on Econ-1 is due to setback in January and setback should be reduced in the

cold winter months

Page 20: Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich. Global Energy Consumption Global Energy Consumption 2005-2010 (+10.9% overall increase) 400 350 50 0 300.
Page 21: Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich. Global Energy Consumption Global Energy Consumption 2005-2010 (+10.9% overall increase) 400 350 50 0 300.
Page 22: Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich. Global Energy Consumption Global Energy Consumption 2005-2010 (+10.9% overall increase) 400 350 50 0 300.

The End