Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich
22
Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich
description
Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich. Global Energy Consumption. Global Energy Consumption 2005-2010 (+10.9% overall increase). 400. 350. 50. 0. 300. 250. 200. 150. 100. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Transcript of Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich
Market DataASHRAE May, 7 2009
Keith Stippich
Global Energy ConsumptionGlobal Energy Consumption 2005-2010(+10.9% overall increase)
400
350
50
0
300
250
200
150
100
US and Canada Western Russia Other Europe Midddle East Africa Latin America China IndiaJapan/Korea Other Total
Europe Asia/Australia
2005 2010
Source: US Department of Energy – Buildings Data Energy Handbook
US Energy ConsumptionUS Building Energy Consumption Cost 2010
Total US Energy Consumption 2010 Direct Site Only (-50% of Total)(-20% of GDP) Total: $415B
Transportation28%
Industry32%
Residential Buildings22%
Commercial Buildings18%
Non-Identifiable$1 02. 1B
25%
Other Identifiable$1 35.5B
33%
HVAC Identifiable$177.4B
42%
Source: US Department of Energy – Buildings Data Energy Handbook
Construction Data
US-Non Residential Construction 2006-10Value put-in-place - Annualized Monthly Census data
J a n A p r J u l O c t J a n A p r J u l O c t J a n A p r J u l O c t J a n A p r J u l O c t J a n USD(M) YOY Growth
25
%
20
%
15
%
10
% 5
%
0
% -
5% -
10%
-
15%
-
20%
-
25%
50045040035030025020015010050
0
Source: US Census Bureau
US Construction Stimulus?
-10%
-20%
-30%
-40%
20%
30%
10%
Source: US Census Bureau
0% Jan Apr Ju l Oct Jan Apr Ju l Oct Jan Apr Ju l Oct Jan Apr Ju l Oct Jan
Public vs Private Annualized Commercial ConstructionGrowth 2006-10 (Put-in-Place)
Public: 38% of Total (Dec2009) Private: 61% of Total (Dec2009)
Stimulus Infrastructure Spending
Only $20B paidout in first year,which includes
non buildingprojects
(highways, trains,levees)
US Non-Residential Construction Awards
US Non-Residential Contruction Awards - Total
40%
2004 2005 2006 20072008 2009
2010 2011 20122013
30
%
20
%
10
%
0%
-10%
-20%
-
30
%
-
40
%
Values Surface
2009/2010 forecasts are down ~20% from Feb 2009, but stable since Nov 2009
Sour e: McGr w-Hill Feb 0
Source: McGraw-Hill, Feb 2010
-50%
US Non-Residential Construction AwardsUS Non Residential Construction Awards 2008, 2009, 2010
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
-
Commercial Offices Lodging Other Schools Healthcare Recreation GovernmentReligious Dormitories Manufacturing Warehousing
Total award growth rates: 1.5% (2008), -30.4% (2009), -1.2% (2010)Source: McGraw-Hill, Feb 10
Construction DataForecast vs. Completions
Institutional ConstructionAwards vs Completed Correlation
15%
10%
5%
0
% 2 0 0 4 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 6 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9 2 0 1 0 2 0 11 2 0 1 2 2 0 1 3
-5%
-10%
Completed Construction (CB) Two Year Award Avg (Current/Prior)
Sources: US Census Bureau, McGraw-Hill
Construction DataForecast vs. Completions
Commercial ConstructionAwards vs Completed Correlation
2 0 0 4 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 6 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9 2 0 1 0 2 0 11 2 0 1 2 2 0 1 3
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
-10%
-20%
-30%
-40%
Completed Construction (CB) Two Year Award Avg (Current/Prior)
Sources: US Census Bureau, McGraw-Hill
US Non-Residential Construction
1985-2006100%
80% Improvements/Repair
60%
40%
New Construction
20%
0% 1985 1990 1995 2000 2006
Source: DOE - Building Energy Data Book, October 2009
Thank You
Major Change is in the Air
36841
LightingHospitalLibraryManufacturingMuseumOfficeRetailSchool
ASHRAE 90.1 (area) watts per sq. ft. from 1989 thru 2004/20071989 1999 2001 2004
Wat
ts p
er s
q. ft
.
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
1989 1999 2001 2004Hospital 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.2Library 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.3
Manufacturing 2.5 2.2 2.2 1.3Museum 1.9 1.6 1.6 1.1
Office 1.8 1.3 1.3 1.0Retail 3.3 1.9 1.9 1.5School 1.9 1.5 1.5 1.2
Modeling Existing
Buildings
Energy Pro Design and DOE -2 Output Report page 3 &4
The VRF Central Equipment Module(s) are selected from the
Energy Pro data base and adjusted to meet loads from the zones.
The zones are also selected from the data base to meet the zone heating &
cooling loads
Energy Pro Design and DOE -2 Output Report page 5 & DOE-2 energy reports
ECON-1 Energy use and cost summary
Energy Pro Design and DOE -2 Output Report pages 6 thru 8
HVAC System Heating & Cooling load summary
Energy Pro Design and DOE -2 Output Report page DOE-2 Performance Reports
DOE-2 VRF System Performance
The VRF Central Equipment Module(s) are selected from the
Energy Pro data base and adjusted to meet loads from the zones.
The auxiliary heat shown here and on Econ-1 is due to setback in January and setback should be reduced in the
cold winter months
The End
